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Bounding phenotype transition probabilities via conditional complexity. 通过条件复杂度的边界表型转移概率。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0916
Kamal Dingle, Pascal Hagolani, Roland Zimm, Muhammad Umar, Samantha O'Sullivan, Ard Louis

By linking genetic sequences to phenotypic traits, genotype-phenotype maps represent a key layer in biological organization. Their structure modulates the effects of genetic mutations which can contribute to shaping evolutionary outcomes. Recent work based on algorithmic information theory introduced an upper bound on the likelihood of a random genetic mutation causing a transition between two phenotypes, using only the conditional complexity between them. Here we evaluate how well this bound works for a range of genotype-phenotype maps, including a differential equation model for circadian rhythm, a matrix-multiplication model of gene regulatory networks, a developmental model of tooth morphologies for ringed seals, a polyomino-tile shape model of biological self-assembly, and the hydrophobic/polar (HP) lattice protein model. By assessing three levels of predictive performance, we find that the bound provides meaningful estimates of phenotype transition probabilities across these complex systems. These results suggest that transition probabilities can be predicted to some degree directly from the phenotypes themselves, without needing detailed knowledge of the underlying genotype-phenotype map.

通过将基因序列与表型性状联系起来,基因型-表型图谱代表了生物组织的关键层。它们的结构可以调节基因突变的影响,从而有助于形成进化结果。最近基于算法信息论的工作引入了随机基因突变引起两种表型之间转换的可能性的上限,仅使用它们之间的条件复杂性。在这里,我们评估了这种结合对一系列基因型-表型图谱的作用,包括昼夜节律的微分方程模型、基因调控网络的矩阵增殖模型、环斑海豹牙齿形态的发育模型、生物自组装的多角瓦形状模型和疏水/极性(HP)晶格蛋白模型。通过评估三个水平的预测性能,我们发现边界提供了这些复杂系统的表型转移概率的有意义的估计。这些结果表明,转移概率在某种程度上可以直接从表型本身来预测,而不需要详细了解潜在的基因型-表型图谱。
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引用次数: 0
A minimal genetic circuit for cellular anticipation. 细胞预期的最小遗传回路。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0528
Jordi Pla-Mauri, Ricard Solé

Living systems have evolved cognitive complexity to reduce environmental uncertainty, enabling them to predict and prepare for future conditions. Anticipation, distinct from simple prediction, involves active adaptation before an event occurs and is a key feature of both neural and aneural biological agents. Building on the moving average convergence-divergence principle from financial trend analysis, we propose an implementation of anticipation through synthetic biology by designing and evaluating experimentally testable minimal genetic circuits capable of anticipating environmental trends. Through deterministic and stochastic analyses, we demonstrate that these motifs achieve robust anticipatory responses under a wide range of conditions. Our findings suggest that simple genetic circuits could be naturally exploited by cells to prepare for future events, providing a foundation for engineering predictive biological systems.

生命系统已经进化出认知复杂性,以减少环境的不确定性,使它们能够预测和准备未来的条件。与简单的预测不同,预判涉及在事件发生前的主动适应,是神经和神经生物因子的关键特征。基于金融趋势分析的移动平均收敛发散原理,我们提出了通过合成生物学设计和评估能够预测环境趋势的实验可测试的最小遗传电路来实现预测。通过确定性和随机分析,我们证明了这些基序在广泛的条件下实现稳健的预期反应。我们的研究结果表明,细胞可以自然地利用简单的遗传回路为未来的事件做准备,为工程预测生物系统提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
A mathematical model of metacarpal subchondral bone adaptation, microdamage and repair in racehorses. 赛马掌骨软骨下骨适应、微损伤与修复的数学模型。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0297
Michael Pan, Fatemeh Malekipour, Peter Pivonka, Ashleigh V Morrice-West, Jennifer A Flegg, R Chris Whitton, Peta L Hitchens

Fractures of the distal limb in Thoroughbred racehorses primarily occur because of accumulation of bone microdamage from high-intensity training. Mathematical models of subchondral bone adaptation of the third metacarpal lateral condyles are capable of approximating existing data for Thoroughbred racehorses in training or at rest. To improve upon previous models, we added a dynamic resorption rate and microdamage accumulation and repair processes. Our ordinary differential equation model simulates the coupled processes of bone adaptation and microdamage accumulation, and is calibrated to data on racehorses in training and rest. Sensitivity analyses of our model suggest that joint loads and distances covered per day are among the most significant parameters for predicting microdamage accumulated during training. We also use the model to compare the impact of incrementally increasing training programmes as horses enter training from a period of rest, and maintenance workloads of horses that are race fit on bone adaptation. We find that high-speed training accounts for the majority of damage to the bone. Furthermore, for horses in race training, the estimated rates of bone repair are unable to offset the rate of damage accumulation under a typical Australian racing campaign, highlighting the need for regular rest from training.

纯种马远端肢体骨折主要是由于高强度训练造成的骨微损伤的积累而发生的。第三掌骨外侧髁软骨下骨适应的数学模型能够近似于纯种赛马在训练或休息时的现有数据。为了改进以前的模型,我们增加了动态吸收率和微损伤积累和修复过程。我们的常微分方程模型模拟了骨适应和微损伤积累的耦合过程,并对训练和休息中的赛马数据进行了校准。我们的模型的敏感性分析表明,关节载荷和每天覆盖的距离是预测训练期间积累的微损伤的最重要参数。我们还使用该模型来比较当马匹从休息期进入训练时逐渐增加的训练计划的影响,以及比赛适合马匹的维持工作量对骨骼适应的影响。我们发现高速训练是造成骨骼损伤的主要原因。此外,对于参加比赛训练的马来说,在典型的澳大利亚比赛中,骨骼修复的估计速度无法抵消损伤积累的速度,这突出了训练后定期休息的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
The Beckman legacy and the future of interdisciplinary research. 贝克曼的遗产和跨学科研究的未来。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0462
Stephen Maren

The Beckman Institute for Advanced Science of Technology at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign was established in 1989 with the generous support of the Arnold and Mabel Beckman Foundation. It was built to break through disciplinary boundaries and produce scientific discoveries that could only be made by teams using interdisciplinary approaches. After 36 years, I reflect on the transformative legacy of the Beckman Institute at Illinois and how it informs my perspective on future of interdisciplinary research.

贝克曼高级科学技术研究所位于伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校,成立于1989年,得到了阿诺德和梅布尔·贝克曼基金会的慷慨支持。它的建立是为了突破学科界限,产生只能由使用跨学科方法的团队做出的科学发现。36年后,我回顾了伊利诺斯州贝克曼研究所的变革遗产,以及它如何影响我对未来跨学科研究的看法。
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引用次数: 0
Scarce data, noisy inferences and overfitting: the hidden flaws in ecological dynamics modelling. 缺乏数据,嘈杂的推断和过拟合:生态动力学建模中的隐藏缺陷。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0183
Mario Castro, Rafael Vida, Javier Galeano, Jose A Cuesta

Metagenomic data has significantly advanced microbiome research by employing ecological models, particularly in personalized medicine. The generalized Lotka-Volterra (gLV) model is commonly used to understand microbial interactions and predict ecosystem dynamics. However, gLV models often fail to capture complex interactions, especially when data are limited or noisy. This study critically assesses the effectiveness of gLV and similar models using Bayesian inference and a model reduction method based on information theory. We found that ecological data often leads to non-interpretability and overfitting due to limited information, noisy data and parameter sloppiness. Our results highlight the need for simpler models that align with the available data and propose a distribution-based approach to better capture ecosystem diversity, stability and competition. These findings challenge current bottom-up ecological modelling practices and aim to shift the focus towards a statistical mechanics view of ecology based on distributions of parameters.

宏基因组数据通过采用生态模型,特别是在个性化医疗中显著推进了微生物组研究。广义Lotka-Volterra (gLV)模型通常用于理解微生物相互作用和预测生态系统动力学。然而,gLV模型往往不能捕捉复杂的相互作用,特别是当数据有限或有噪声时。本研究使用贝叶斯推理和基于信息论的模型约简方法对gLV和类似模型的有效性进行了批判性评估。我们发现,由于有限的信息、噪声数据和参数的马虎性,生态数据经常导致不可解释和过拟合。我们的研究结果强调需要更简单的模型来与现有数据保持一致,并提出了一种基于分布的方法来更好地捕捉生态系统的多样性、稳定性和竞争。这些发现挑战了当前自下而上的生态建模实践,旨在将重点转向基于参数分布的生态学统计力学观点。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating large birds' radar cross-section for aeroecology studies using T-matrix modelling. 利用t -矩阵模型估计大型鸟类的雷达横截面用于空气生态学研究。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0510
Korin Reznikov, Valery Melnikov, Nir Sapir

Radar technology has become a powerful tool for studying animal aeroecology in the lower atmosphere, particularly bird migration across large spatio-temporal scales. Quantifying bird density from radar data requires radar cross-section (RCS) estimates. Although RCS data exist for small bird species, large birds, especially soaring and flocking species, remain poorly characterized, partly due to technical challenges in measuring and modelling their complex morphology. This study introduces a practical and accessible modelling framework for estimating species-specific RCS in large birds, using the T-matrix electromagnetic scattering method, based on geometrically simplified representations of bird morphology. We computed spherical RCS values for 11 large bird species across C- and S-band radar wavelengths and compared them with both spherical and prolate spheroidal RCS estimates obtained using the WIPL-D software, a method previously validated for biological targets. As expected, the spherical simplification led to a systematic overestimation of RCS relative to a more anatomically representative model. However, the bias was consistent and can be corrected using regression-derived scaling factors. This approach addresses the critical lack of empirical RCS data for large birds, offering an alternative that can be implemented in open-source platforms. It can be integrated with automated detection tools to enhance our understanding of migration patterns in understudied bird groups and to support efforts to mitigate bird-aircraft collisions.

雷达技术已成为研究低层大气中动物空气生态学,特别是大时空尺度鸟类迁徙的有力工具。从雷达数据量化鸟类密度需要雷达横截面(RCS)估计。尽管存在小型鸟类的RCS数据,但大型鸟类,特别是翱翔和群集的鸟类,仍然缺乏特征,部分原因是在测量和建模其复杂形态方面存在技术挑战。本研究基于鸟类形态的几何简化表示,采用t矩阵电磁散射方法,引入了一种实用且易于使用的建模框架,用于估计大型鸟类的物种特异性RCS。我们计算了11种大型鸟类在C波段和s波段雷达波长上的球形RCS值,并将其与使用WIPL-D软件获得的球形和长形球形RCS值进行了比较。正如预期的那样,球形简化导致相对于更具解剖学代表性的模型,RCS的系统高估。然而,偏差是一致的,可以使用回归衍生的比例因子来纠正。这种方法解决了大型鸟类缺乏经验RCS数据的问题,提供了一种可以在开源平台上实现的替代方案。它可以与自动检测工具相结合,以增强我们对未被充分研究的鸟类群体的迁徙模式的理解,并支持减少鸟类与飞机碰撞的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Negative feedback and oscillations in a model for mRNA translation. mRNA翻译模型中的负反馈和振荡。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0338
Aliza Ehrman, Thomas Kriecherbauer, Lars Grüne, Michael Margaliot

The ribosome flow model (RFM) is a phenomenological model for the unidirectional flow of particles along a one-dimensional chain of [Formula: see text] sites. The RFM has been extensively used to study the dynamics of ribosome flow along a single-mRNA molecule during translation. In this case, the particles model ribosomes and each site corresponds to a consecutive group of codons. Networks of interconnected RFMs have been used to model and analyse large-scale translation in the cell and, in particular, the effects of competition for shared resources. Here, we analyse the RFM with a negative feedback connection from the protein production rate to the initiation rate. This model is based on, for example, the production of proteins that inhibit the translation of their own mRNA. The RFM with negative feedback is a 2-cooperative dynamic system, i.e. its flow maps the set of vectors with up to one-sign variation to itself. Using tools from the theory of 2-cooperative dynamical systems, we provide a simple condition guaranteeing that the closed-loop system admits at least one non-trivial periodic solution. When this condition holds, we also explicitly characterize a large set of initial conditions such that any solution emanating from this set converges to a non-trivial periodic solution. Such a solution corresponds to a periodic pattern of ribosome densities along the mRNA and to a periodic pattern of protein production.

核糖体流动模型(RFM)是粒子沿一维链(公式:见文本)单向流动的一种现象学模型。RFM已被广泛用于研究核糖体在翻译过程中沿单个mrna分子流动的动力学。在这种情况下,粒子模拟核糖体,每个位点对应于一组连续的密码子。相互关联的rfm网络已被用于模拟和分析细胞中的大规模翻译,特别是对共享资源竞争的影响。在这里,我们分析了从蛋白质产生速率到起始速率的负反馈连接的RFM。例如,该模型基于抑制自身mRNA翻译的蛋白质的产生。具有负反馈的RFM是一个2-合作的动态系统,即它的流将变化最多为1个符号的向量集映射到自身。利用2-合作动力系统理论的工具,给出了保证闭环系统至少存在一个非平凡周期解的一个简单条件。当这个条件成立时,我们也显式地刻画了一个大的初始条件集合,使得从这个集合发出的任何解收敛于一个非平凡周期解。这样的溶液对应于mRNA核糖体密度的周期性模式和蛋白质生产的周期性模式。
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引用次数: 0
Wavenumber affects the lift of ray-inspired fins near a substrate. 波数影响靠近基材的光线激发鳍的升力。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0276
Yuanhang Zhu, Leo Liu, Tianjun Han, Qimin Feng, Keith W Moored, Qiang Zhong, Daniel B Quinn

Rays and skates tend to have different fin kinematics depending on their proximity to a ground plane such as the sea-floor. Near the ground, rays tend to be more undulatory (high wavenumber), while far from the ground, rays tend to be more oscillatory (low wavenumber). It is unknown whether these differences are driven by hydrodynamics or other biological pressures. Here, we show that near the ground, the time-averaged lift on a ray-like fin is highly dependent on wavenumber. We support our claims using a ray-inspired robotic rig that can produce oscillatory and undulatory motions on the same fin. Potential flow simulations reveal that lift is always negative because quasi-steady forces overcome wake-induced forces. Three-dimensional flow measurements demonstrate that oscillatory wakes are more disrupted by the ground than undulatory wakes. All these effects lead to a suction force towards the ground that is stronger and more destabilizing for oscillatory fins than undulatory fins. Our results suggest that wavenumber plays a role in the near-ground dynamics of ray-like fins, particularly in terms of dorsoventral accelerations. The fact that lower wavenumber is linked with stronger suction forces offers a new way to interpret the depth-dependent kinematics of rays and ray-inspired robots.

鳐鱼和鳐鱼往往有不同的鳍运动学,这取决于它们接近地面,如海底。近地面处,射线波动较大(高波数),而远离地面处,射线振荡较大(低波数)。目前尚不清楚这些差异是由流体动力学还是其他生物压力驱动的。在这里,我们表明,在接近地面时,射线状鳍上的时间平均升力高度依赖于波数。我们使用射线启发的机器人钻机来支持我们的观点,该钻机可以在同一鳍上产生振荡和波动运动。势流模拟显示,升力总是负的,因为准稳定力克服了尾迹诱导的力。三维流动测量表明,振荡尾迹比波动尾迹更容易受到地面的干扰。所有这些影响导致了对地面的吸力,对振荡鳍来说,这种吸力比波动鳍更强,更不稳定。我们的结果表明,波数在射线状鳍的近地动力学中起作用,特别是在背腹加速度方面。较低的波数与较强的吸力有关的事实为解释射线和射线启发机器人的深度相关运动学提供了一种新的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Stroke impairs the proactive control of dynamic balance during predictable treadmill accelerations. 在可预测的跑步机加速过程中,中风损害了动态平衡的主动控制。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0336
Tara Cornwell, James Finley

We maintain balance during gait using both proactive and reactive control strategies. Damage to the brain from a stroke impairs reactive balance, but little is known about how a stroke impacts proactive control during walking. Stroke-related impairments to proactive control could become targets for interventions designed to improve responses to predictable disturbances and reduce fall risk. Therefore, we determined whether proactive strategies during predictable treadmill accelerations differed between people post-stroke (n = 14) and people without stroke (n = 14). Both groups walked with accelerations at random (every one to five strides) and regular (every three strides) intervals. We quantified the effects of the perturbations as changes to the centre of mass (COM) speed and used mechanical leg work to quantify the proactive strategies to slow the COM. Participants without stroke reduced peak COM speed better than those with stroke when perturbations were regular (-0.016 m s-1 versus +0.004 m s-1; p = 0.007). They also reduced positive leg work more during the perturbation step than the group post-stroke (-5.7% versus +2.5%; p = 0.003). One implication of these findings is that people post-stroke may be more susceptible to falls during predictable gait disturbances, and future work should identify the underlying impairments that cause these deficits.

我们使用主动和被动控制策略来保持步态平衡。中风对大脑的损害会损害反应性平衡,但人们对中风如何影响行走时的主动控制知之甚少。主动控制的中风相关损伤可能成为干预的目标,旨在改善对可预测干扰的反应并降低跌倒风险。因此,我们确定在可预测的跑步机加速过程中,中风后患者(n = 14)和未中风患者(n = 14)的主动策略是否存在差异。两组人都以随机(每一到五步)和有规律(每三步)的间隔加速行走。我们将扰动的影响量化为质心(COM)速度的变化,并使用机械腿功来量化减缓质心的主动策略。无脑卒中的参与者比有脑卒中的参与者在常规扰动下降低峰值COM速度更好(-0.016 m s-1 vs +0.004 m s-1; p = 0.007)。与中风后组相比,他们在干扰阶段减少了更多的积极腿部工作(-5.7% vs +2.5%; p = 0.003)。这些发现的一个含义是,中风后的人在可预测的步态障碍期间可能更容易跌倒,未来的工作应该确定导致这些缺陷的潜在损伤。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning predictions from unpredictable chaos. 机器学习从不可预测的混乱中预测。
IF 3.5 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2025.0441
Jian Jiang, Long Chen, Lu Ke, Bozheng Dou, Yueying Zhu, Yazhou Shi, Huahai Qiu, Ben-Gong Zhang, Tianshou Zhou, Guo-Wei Wei

Chaos is omnipresent in nature, and its understanding provides enormous social and economic benefits. However, the unpredictability of chaotic systems is a textbook concept due to their sensitivity to initial conditions, aperiodic behaviour, fractal dimensions, nonlinearity and strange attractors. In this work, we introduce, for the first time, chaotic learning, a novel multiscale topological paradigm that enables accurate predictions from chaotic systems. We show that seemingly random and unpredictable chaotic dynamics counterintuitively offer unprecedented quantitative predictions. Specifically, we devise multiscale topological Laplacians to embed real-world data into a family of interactive chaotic dynamical systems, modulate their dynamical behaviours and enable the accurate prediction of the input data. As a proof of concept, we consider 28 datasets from four categories of realistic problems: 10 brain waves, four benchmark protein datasets, 13 single-cell RNA sequencing datasets and an image dataset, as well as two distinct chaotic dynamical systems, namely the Lorenz and Rossler attractors. We demonstrate chaotic learning predictions of the physical properties from chaos. Our new chaotic learning paradigm profoundly changes the textbook perception of chaos and bridges topology, chaos and learning for the first time.

混乱在自然界中无处不在,对它的理解提供了巨大的社会和经济效益。然而,混沌系统的不可预测性由于其对初始条件、非周期行为、分形维数、非线性和奇异吸引子的敏感性而成为教科书概念。在这项工作中,我们首次引入了混沌学习,这是一种新的多尺度拓扑范式,可以从混沌系统中进行准确的预测。我们表明,看似随机和不可预测的混沌动力学反直觉提供了前所未有的定量预测。具体来说,我们设计了多尺度拓扑拉普拉斯算子,将现实世界的数据嵌入到一系列相互作用的混沌动力系统中,调节它们的动态行为,并能够准确预测输入数据。作为概念证明,我们考虑了来自四类现实问题的28个数据集:10个脑电波,4个基准蛋白质数据集,13个单细胞RNA测序数据集和一个图像数据集,以及两个不同的混沌动力系统,即洛伦兹和罗斯勒吸引子。我们从混沌中展示了物理性质的混沌学习预测。我们的新混沌学习范式深刻地改变了教科书对混沌的认知,并首次将拓扑、混沌和学习联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
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