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Model-informed optimal allocation of limited resources to mitigate infectious disease outbreaks in societies at war. 根据模型优化有限资源的分配,以缓解战争社会中传染病的爆发。
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0575
Vaibhava Srivastava, Drik Sarkar, Claus Kadelka

Infectious diseases thrive in war-torn societies. The recent sharp increase in human conflict and war thus requires the development of disease mitigation tools that account for the specifics of war, such as the scarcity of important public health resources. We developed a compartmental, differential equation-based disease model that considers key social, war and disease mechanisms, such as gender homophily and the replacement of soldiers. This model enables the identification of optimal allocation strategies that, given limited resources required for treating infected individuals, minimize disease burden, assessed by total mortality and final epidemic size. A comprehensive model analysis reveals that the level of resource scarcity fundamentally affects the optimal allocation. Desynchronization of the epidemic peaks among several population subgroups emerges as a desirable principle since it reduces disease spread between different subgroups. Further, the level of preferential mixing among people of the same gender, gender homophily, proves to strongly affect disease dynamics and optimal treatment allocation strategies, highlighting the importance of accurately accounting for heterogeneous mixing patterns. Altogether, the findings help answer a timely question: how can infectious diseases be best controlled in societies at war? The developed model can be easily extended to specific diseases, countries and interventions.

传染病在饱受战争蹂躏的社会中肆虐。因此,最近人类冲突和战争急剧增加,需要开发能考虑到战争特殊性(如重要公共卫生资源稀缺)的疾病缓解工具。我们开发了一个基于微分方程的分区疾病模型,该模型考虑了关键的社会、战争和疾病机制,如性别同质性和士兵替换。该模型能够确定最佳分配策略,在治疗受感染个体所需资源有限的情况下,通过总死亡率和最终疫情规模评估,最大限度地减轻疾病负担。综合模型分析表明,资源稀缺程度会从根本上影响最优分配。疫情峰值在几个人口亚群之间的非同步化是一个理想的原则,因为它可以减少疾病在不同亚群之间的传播。此外,事实证明,同性之间的优先混合程度(性别同质性)会对疾病动态和最佳治疗分配策略产生强烈影响,这凸显了准确考虑异质性混合模式的重要性。总之,这些发现有助于回答一个适时的问题:在战争社会中如何才能最好地控制传染病?所建立的模型可以很容易地扩展到特定疾病、国家和干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
The suppression of ocean waves by biogenic slicks. 生物浮渣对海浪的压制。
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0385
Nathan J M Laxague, Christopher J Zappa, Shantanu Soumya, Oliver Wurl

Ocean waves are significantly damped by biogenic surfactants, which accumulate at the sea surface in every ocean basin. The growth, development, and breaking of short wind-driven surface waves are key mediators of the air-sea exchange of momentum, heat and trace gases. The mechanisms through which surfactants suppress waves have been studied in great detail through careful laboratory experimentation in quasi-one-dimensional wave tanks. However, the spatial scales over which this damping occurs in structurally complex surfactant slicks on the real ocean have not been resolved. Here, we present the results of field observations of the spatial response of decimetre- to millimetre-scale waves to biogenic surfactant slicks. We found that wave damping in organic material-rich coastal waters resulted in a net (spatio-temporally averaged) reduction of approximately 50% in wave slope variance relative to the open ocean for low to moderate wind speeds. This reduction of wave slope variance is understood to result in a corresponding reduction in momentum input to the wave field. This significant effect had thus far evaded quantification due in large part to the enormous range of scales required for its description-spanning the sea surface microlayer to the ocean submesoscale.

生物源表面活性剂对海浪有明显的阻尼作用,在每个大洋盆地的海面上都有生物源表面活性剂的积累。由风驱动的短表面波的生长、发展和破碎是动量、热量和痕量气体海气交换的关键媒介。通过在准一维波浪槽中进行仔细的实验室实验,我们对表面活性剂抑制波浪的机制进行了深入研究。然而,这种阻尼作用发生在实际海洋中结构复杂的表面活性剂漂浮层中的空间尺度尚未得到解决。在此,我们介绍了对分米至毫米尺度的波浪对生物源表面活性物质漂浮层的空间响应的实地观测结果。我们发现,在富含有机物质的沿岸水域,波浪阻尼导致相对于开阔海域的低风速到中等风速的波 浪斜率方差净减小约 50%(时空平均值)。在这种情况下,波浪斜率变异的减小会导致输入波浪场的动量相应减小。到目前为止,这一重大影响还没有被量化,这在很大程度上是由于描述这一影响所需的尺度范围非常大--从海面微层到海洋次中尺度。
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引用次数: 0
Global and local identifiability analysis of a nonlinear biphasic constitutive model in confined compression. 约束压缩非线性双相构造模型的全局和局部可识别性分析
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0415
John M Peloquin, Dawn M Elliott

Application of biomechanical models relies on model parameters estimated from experimental data. Parameter non-identifiability, when the same model output can be produced by many sets of parameter values, introduces severe errors yet has received relatively little attention in biomechanics and is subtle enough to remain unnoticed in the absence of deliberate verification. The present work develops a global identifiability analysis method in which cluster analysis and singular value decomposition are applied to vectors of parameter-output variable correlation coefficients. This method provides a visual representation of which specific experimental design elements are beneficial or harmful in terms of parameter identifiability, supporting the correction of deficiencies in the test protocol prior to testing physical specimens. The method was applied to a representative nonlinear biphasic model for cartilaginous tissue, demonstrating that confined compression data does not provide identifiability for the biphasic model parameters. This result was confirmed by two independent analyses: local analysis of the Hessian of a sum-of-squares error cost function and observation of the behaviour of two optimization algorithms. Therefore, confined compression data are insufficient for the calibration of general-purpose biphasic models. Identifiability analysis by these or other methods is strongly recommended when planning future experiments.

生物力学模型的应用依赖于从实验数据中估算出的模型参数。当多组参数值可以产生相同的模型输出结果时,参数的不可识别性就会带来严重的误差,但在生物力学中却很少受到关注,而且在没有刻意验证的情况下,这种不可识别性也会被忽视。本研究开发了一种全局可识别性分析方法,将聚类分析和奇异值分解应用于参数-输出变量相关系数向量。该方法可直观显示哪些特定实验设计元素对参数可识别性有利或有害,从而支持在测试物理试样之前纠正测试方案中的不足之处。将该方法应用于软骨组织的代表性非线性双相模型,结果表明密闭压缩数据无法提供双相模型参数的可识别性。这一结果得到了两项独立分析的证实:对平方总和误差成本函数的赫塞斯局部分析,以及对两种优化算法行为的观察。因此,密闭压缩数据不足以校准通用双相模型。在规划未来实验时,强烈建议使用这些方法或其他方法进行可识别性分析。
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引用次数: 0
Physical mechanism reveals bacterial slowdown above a critical number of flagella. 物理机制揭示了细菌在鞭毛数量超过临界值时速度减慢的现象。
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0283
Maria Tătulea-Codrean, Eric Lauga

Numerous studies have explored the link between bacterial swimming and the number of flagella, a distinguishing feature of motile multi-flagellated bacteria. We revisit this open question using augmented slender-body theory simulations, in which we resolve the full hydrodynamic interactions within a bundle of helical filaments rotating and translating in synchrony. Unlike previous studies, our model considers the full torque-speed relationship of the bacterial flagellar motor, revealing its significant impact on multi-flagellated swimming. Because the viscous load per motor decreases with the flagellar number, the bacterial flagellar motor transitions from the high-load to the low-load regime at a critical number of filaments, leading to bacterial slowdown as further flagella are added to the bundle. We explain the physical mechanism behind the observed slowdown as an interplay between the load-dependent generation of torque by the motor, and the load-reducing cooperativity between flagella, which consists of both hydrodynamic and non-hydrodynamic components. The theoretically predicted critical number of flagella is remarkably close to the values reported for the model organism Escherichia coli. Our model further predicts that the critical number of flagella increases with viscosity, suggesting that bacteria can enhance their swimming capacity by growing more flagella in more viscous environments, consistent with empirical observations.

许多研究探讨了细菌游动与鞭毛数量之间的联系,鞭毛数量是多鞭毛运动细菌的一个显著特征。我们利用增强细长体理论模拟重新探讨了这个未决问题,在模拟中,我们解决了同步旋转和平移的螺旋丝束内的全部流体动力学相互作用。与之前的研究不同,我们的模型考虑了细菌鞭毛马达的全部扭矩-速度关系,揭示了其对多鞭毛游动的重大影响。由于每个马达的粘性负荷随鞭毛数量的增加而减少,因此细菌鞭毛马达会在鞭毛数量达到临界值时从高负荷状态过渡到低负荷状态,从而导致细菌在鞭毛束中增加更多鞭毛时速度减慢。我们将所观察到的减速现象背后的物理机制解释为马达产生的转矩与鞭毛之间的减载协同作用之间的相互作用。理论预测的鞭毛临界数量与模式生物大肠杆菌的数值非常接近。我们的模型进一步预测,鞭毛的临界数量会随着粘度的增加而增加,这表明细菌可以通过在粘度更高的环境中生长更多的鞭毛来提高它们的游泳能力,这与经验观察结果是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Seeing the piles of the velvet bending under our finger sliding over a tactile stimulator improves the feeling of the fabric. 手指在触觉刺激器上滑动时,看到成堆的天鹅绒在我们的手指下弯曲,从而改善了织物的触感。
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0368
Laurence Mouchnino, Brigitte Camillieri, Jenny Faucheu, Mihaela Juganaru, Alix Moinon, Jean Blouin, Marie-Ange Bueno

Using friction modulation to simulate fabrics with a tactile stimulator (i.e. virtual surface) is not sufficient to render fabric touch and even more so for hairy fabrics. We hypothesized that seeing the pile of the velvet darken or lighten depending on changes in the finger movement direction on the virtual surface should improve the velvet fabric rendering. Participants actively rubbed a tactile device or a velvet fabric looking at a screen that showed a synthesized image of a velvet that either remained static (V-static) or darkening/lightening with the direction of touch (V-moving). We showed that in V-moving condition, the touched surface was always perceived rougher, which is a descriptor of a real velvet (Experiment 1). Using electroencephalography and sources localization analyses, we found increased activity in the occipital and inferior parietal lobes (Experiment 2) when seeing dark and shining traces during back-and-forth finger movements over the virtual surface. This suggests that these two posterior cortical regions work together to evaluate visuo-tactile congruence between the seen and the felt (tactile). The visuo-tactile binding, evidenced by neural synchronization (specifically, theta band (5-7 Hz) oscillation) in the left inferior posterior parietal lobule, is consistent with enhanced integration of information and probably contributed to the emergence of a more realistic velvet representation.

使用摩擦调制来模拟织物的触觉刺激器(即虚拟表面)不足以呈现织物的触感,对于多毛织物来说更是如此。我们假设,根据手指在虚拟表面上移动方向的变化,看到天鹅绒的绒毛变深或变浅,应该可以改善天鹅绒织物的渲染效果。屏幕上显示的天鹅绒合成图像要么保持静态(V-静态),要么随触摸方向变暗或变亮(V-移动)。实验结果表明,在 "V-移动 "条件下,被触摸的表面总是更粗糙,而这正是真实天鹅绒的描述(实验 1)。通过脑电图和信号源定位分析,我们发现当手指在虚拟表面上前后移动时,当看到黑暗和闪亮的痕迹时,枕叶和顶叶下部的活动增加(实验 2)。这表明,这两个后部皮层区域共同作用,以评估看到的和感觉到的(触觉)之间的视觉-触觉一致性。左下顶叶后叶的神经同步(特别是θ波段(5-7赫兹)振荡)证明了视觉-触觉结合,这与信息整合的增强是一致的,并可能有助于形成更逼真的天鹅绒表象。
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引用次数: 0
Reply to 'Experimental measurement of assembly indices are required to determine the threshold for life'. 对 "确定生命阈值需要对装配指数进行实验测量 "的答复
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0622
Robert M Hazen, Peter C Burns, H James Cleaves Ii, Robert T Downs, Sergey V Krivovichev, Michael L Wong

We clarify misunderstandings of Walker et al. (Walker et al. 2024 J. R. Soc. Interface 21, 20240367 (doi:10.1098/rsif.2024.0367)) related to studies of the assembly pathways of molecular subunits in minerals. The finding that these subunits have calculated assembly pathways less than approximately 25 informs a central premise of Assembly Theory-that only life can produce numerous copies of molecules with assembly indices above a threshold value. What that threshold value might be, and whether the same value applies to chemical systems as different as organic and inorganic molecules, are questions deserving of additional study.

我们澄清了沃克等人(Walker et al. 2024 J. R. Soc. Interface 21, 20240367 (doi:10.1098/rsif.2024.0367))对矿物中分子亚基组装途径研究的误解。这些亚基的组装路径计算结果小于约 25,这一发现为组装理论提供了一个核心前提--只有生命才能产生大量组装指数超过阈值的分子拷贝。至于这个临界值是多少,以及这个临界值是否适用于有机分子和无机分子这样不同的化学系统,这些问题都值得进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
Cocoon microstructures through the lens of topological persistence. 通过拓扑持久性透视茧微结构
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0218
Vira Raichenko, Nikolai Rosenthal, Michaela Eder, Myfanwy E Evans

Biological materials display a wide array of functionality, often dictated by complicated microstructures. New geometric and topological strategies allow one to describe the microstructures in a precise and systematic way. This article describes the application of topological persistence and other geometric methods to the microstructural analysis of three-dimensional X-ray micro-computed tomography scans of the Bombyx mori silkworm cocoons. These methods allow conclusions to be drawn about pore space gradients, silk fibre thickness gradients and fibre alignment within the cocoon. The study demonstrates the applicability of these topological and geometric methods to quantify and characterize fibrous materials.

生物材料具有多种功能,通常由复杂的微观结构决定。新的几何和拓扑策略可以精确、系统地描述微观结构。本文介绍了拓扑持久性和其他几何方法在蚕茧三维 X 射线显微计算机断层扫描微观结构分析中的应用。通过这些方法,可以对蚕茧内的孔隙梯度、丝纤维厚度梯度和纤维排列得出结论。这项研究表明,这些拓扑和几何方法适用于量化和表征纤维材料。
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引用次数: 0
Personalized in silico model for radiation-induced pulmonary fibrosis. 辐射诱发肺纤维化的个性化硅学模型。
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0525
Eleftherios Ioannou, Myrianthi Hadjicharalambous, Anastasia Malai, Elisavet Papageorgiou, Antri Peraticou, Nicos Katodritis, Dimitrios Vomvas, Vasileios Vavourakis

Radiation-induced pulmonary fibrosis (RIPF) is a severe late-stage complication of radiotherapy (RT) to the chest area, typically used in lung cancer treatment. This condition is characterized by the gradual and irreversible replacement of healthy lung tissue with fibrous scar tissue, leading to decreased lung function, reduced oxygen exchange and critical respiratory deficiencies. Currently, predicting and managing lung fibrosis post-RT remains challenging, with limited preventive and treatment options. Accurate prediction of fibrosis onset and progression is therefore clinically crucial. We present a personalized in silico model for pulmonary fibrosis that encompasses tumour regression, fibrosis development and lung tissue remodelling post-radiation. Our continuum-based model was developed using data from 12 RT-treated lung cancer patients and integrates computed tomography (CT) and dosimetry data to simulate the spatio-temporal evolution of fibrosis. We demonstrate the ability of the in silico model to capture the extent of fibrosis in the entire cohort with a less than 1% deviation from clinical observations, in addition to providing quantitative metrics of spatial similarity. These findings underscore the potential of the model to improve treatment planning and risk assessment, paving the way for more personalized and effective management of RIPF.

放射诱导的肺纤维化(RIPF)是胸部放射治疗(RT)的晚期严重并发症,通常用于肺癌治疗。这种情况的特点是健康的肺组织逐渐被纤维瘢痕组织不可逆转地取代,导致肺功能下降、氧交换减少和严重的呼吸功能障碍。目前,预测和管理 RT 后肺纤维化仍具有挑战性,预防和治疗方案有限。因此,准确预测肺纤维化的发生和发展在临床上至关重要。我们提出了一种个性化的肺纤维化硅学模型,该模型包括肿瘤消退、纤维化发展和放疗后肺组织重塑。我们基于连续体的模型是利用 12 位接受过 RT 治疗的肺癌患者的数据开发的,它整合了计算机断层扫描(CT)和剂量测定数据来模拟纤维化的时空演变。我们证明,除了提供空间相似性的定量指标外,硅学模型还能捕捉整个队列中的纤维化程度,与临床观察结果的偏差小于 1%。这些发现强调了该模型在改善治疗计划和风险评估方面的潜力,为更个性化、更有效地管理 RIPF 铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Cooperative control of environmental extremes by artificial intelligent agents. 人工智能代理对极端环境的合作控制。
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0344
Martí Sánchez-Fibla, Clément Moulin-Frier, Ricard Solé

Humans have been able to tackle biosphere complexities by acting as ecosystem engineers, profoundly changing the flows of matter, energy and information. This includes major innovations that allowed to reduce and control the impact of extreme events. Modelling the evolution of such adaptive dynamics can be challenging, given the potentially large number of individual and environmental variables involved. This article shows how to address this problem by using fire as the source of extreme events. We implement a simulated environment where fire propagates on a spatial landscape, and a group of artificial agents learn how to harvest and exploit trees while avoiding the damaging effects of fire spreading. The agents need to solve a conflict to reach a group-level optimal state: while tree harvesting reduces the propagation of fires, it also reduces the availability of resources provided by trees. It is shown that the system displays two major evolutionary innovations that end up in an ecological engineering strategy that favours high biomass along with the suppression of large fires. The implications for potential artificial intelligence management of complex ecosystems are discussed.

人类作为生态系统的工程师,深刻改变了物质、能量和信息的流动,从而能够应对生物圈的复杂性。其中包括能够减少和控制极端事件影响的重大创新。鉴于可能涉及大量的个体和环境变量,对这种适应性动态演化进行建模可能具有挑战性。本文展示了如何利用火灾作为极端事件的源头来解决这一问题。我们建立了一个模拟环境,在这个环境中,火灾在空间景观上传播,一群人工代理学习如何收获和利用树木,同时避免火灾蔓延的破坏性影响。这些代理需要解决冲突,以达到群体层面的最优状态:采伐树木可以减少火灾的传播,但同时也会减少树木提供的资源。研究表明,该系统在进化过程中出现了两大创新,最终形成了有利于高生物量和抑制大火的生态工程战略。本文讨论了人工智能管理复杂生态系统的潜在意义。
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引用次数: 0
Experimentally measured assembly indices are required to determine the threshold for life. 需要通过实验测量装配指数来确定生命阈值。
IF 3.7 2区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2024.0367
Sara I Walker, Cole Mathis, Stuart Marshall, Leroy Cronin

Assembly theory (AT) aims to distinguish living from non-living systems by explaining and quantifying selection and evolution. The theory proposes that the degree of assembly depends on the number of complex objects, with complexity measured using a combination of the object's assembly index (AI) and its abundance. We previously provided experimental evidence supporting AT's predictive power, finding that abiotic systems do not randomly produce organic molecules with an AI greater than approximately 15 in detectable amounts. Hazen et al. (Hazen et al. 2024 J. R. Soc. Interface 21, 20230632. (doi:10.1098/rsif.2023.0632)) proposed inorganic molecules that theoretically have AIs greater than 15, suggesting similar complexity to biological molecules. However, our AIs are experimentally measured for organic, covalently bonded molecules, whereas Hazen's are theoretical, derived from crystal structures of charged units that are not isolable in solution. This distinction underscores the challenge in experimentally validating theoretical AIs.

组装理论(AT)旨在通过解释和量化选择与进化来区分生命系统与非生命系统。该理论认为,组装程度取决于复杂物体的数量,而复杂性则通过物体的组装指数(AI)和丰度的组合来衡量。我们之前提供的实验证据支持了AT的预测能力,发现非生物系统不会随机产生可检测到的AI大于约15的有机分子。Hazen 等人 (Hazen et al. 2024 J. R. Soc. Interface 21, 20230632.(doi:10.1098/rsif.2023.0632)提出的无机分子理论上具有大于 15 的人工合成指数,表明其复杂性与生物分子类似。然而,我们的 AIs 是通过实验测得的有机共价键分子的 AIs,而 Hazen 的 AIs 则是理论上的,是从溶液中无法分离的带电单元的晶体结构中推导出来的。这一区别凸显了实验验证理论 AIs 所面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of The Royal Society Interface
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