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The Impact of Country Credit Risk Management on the Egyptian Commercial Banks’ Performance - The Moderating Role of Country Liquidity Risk Management 国家信用风险管理对埃及商业银行业绩的影响--国家流动性风险管理的调节作用
Ahmed Elgayar
: The purpose of this study is to investigate how country liquidity risk management influences the potential impact of country credit risk management on the performance of the commercial banks sector in Egypt. The research methodology employed an empirical approach, collecting secondary data from the Egyptian banking sector spanning from 2012 to 2022. This analysis focuses on the three largest commercial banks dominating the Egyptian market, namely the National Bank of Egypt (NBE), Banque Misr (BM), and Banque du Caire (BdC). Three hypotheses were formulated, and empirical time-series simple linear and multiple regression models were utilized to test these hypotheses. The findings confirm the validity of all three hypotheses and provide insights into the relationships among the variables outlined in these hypotheses. Notably, the results align with the expected theoretical impact . For
:本研究旨在探讨国家流动性风险管理如何影响国家信贷风险管理对埃及商业银行部门业绩的潜在影响。研究方法采用实证方法,从埃及银行业收集 2012 年至 2022 年的二手数据。分析重点是主导埃及市场的三大商业银行,即埃及国家银行(NBE)、米斯尔银行(BM)和凯尔银行(BdC)。研究提出了三个假设,并利用经验时间序列简单线性和多元回归模型对这些假设进行了检验。研究结果证实了所有三个假设的有效性,并深入分析了这些假设中概述的变量之间的关系。值得注意的是,结果与预期的理论影响一致。对于
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of Job Embeddedness on Creative Performance: An Empirical Study on Mobile Telecommunication Companies in Egypt 工作嵌入性对创造性绩效的影响:埃及移动电信公司的实证研究
Mohammed Soliman, Rana Ibrahim, Youmna Youssef
This study aims to examine the effect of job embeddedness on creative performance. A questionnaire was used to collect data from 381 employees of mobile telecommunication companies in Egypt. The hypothesized relationship was tested by using the partial least squares structural equation modeling technique (PLS-SEM). The results indicate that job embeddedness dimensions, namely links, fit, and sacrifices have a significant positive effect on creative performance. These findings show that strengthening employee ’s links with co-workers, supervisors, and customers, ensuring a good fit with the job, and preventing the sacrifice of organizational benefits can improve creative performance. This research integrates philosophies from job embeddedness theory and previous management studies into a more employee-centered approach. Thus, this paper contributes to the existing literature by providing evidence that job embeddedness enhances employees’ creative performance. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed. In addition, limitations and future research directions are presented.
本研究旨在探讨工作嵌入性对创造性绩效的影响。通过问卷调查收集了埃及移动通信公司 381 名员工的数据。采用偏最小二乘结构方程建模技术(PLS-SEM)对假设关系进行了检验。结果表明,工作嵌入度维度(即联系、适应和牺牲)对创造性绩效有显著的积极影响。这些结果表明,加强员工与同事、上司和客户的联系,确保与工作的良好契合,以及防止牺牲组织利益,可以提高创造性绩效。本研究将工作嵌入理论和以往的管理研究中的理念整合为一种更加以员工为中心的方法。因此,本文提供了工作嵌入性能提高员工创造性绩效的证据,为现有文献做出了贡献。本文讨论了理论和实践意义。此外,本文还提出了局限性和未来的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
External Debt Sustainability in Egypt’s economy: A probabilistic Approach 埃及经济的外债可持续性:概率方法
marwa kamal
The concept of external debt sustainability gains importance because it relates to responsible policies that ensure macroeconomic stability. One stability rule of external debt is that the ratio of net debt to GDP be equal to or less than the present value of the ratio of net exports to GDP plus the interest differential times the ratio of total assets to GDP. This paper used a probabilistic approach to examine the sustainability of Egypt’s external debt, considering that sustainability requires the net debt to be less than or equal to the present value of net exports. We have applied VAR methodology using a quarterly panel dataset comprising 2010 – 2023. The estimated parameters were then used in a Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the distribution of the repayment capacity. Our empirical analysis led us to conclude that there is evidence of the unsustainability of Egypt’s external debt. Accordingly, Egypt must balance domestic adjustment and foreign borrowing adequately.
外债可持续性的概念之所以重要,是因为它与确保宏观经济稳定的负责任政策有关。外债的一条稳定规则是,净债务与国内生产总值的比率等于或小于净出口与国内生产总值的比率加上利息差额乘以总资产与国内生产总值的比率的现值。考虑到可持续性要求净债务小于或等于净出口的现值,本文采用概率方法来研究埃及外债的可持续性。我们利用 2010-2023 年的季度面板数据集,采用了 VAR 方法。然后,在蒙特卡罗模拟中使用估计参数来计算偿还能力的分布。通过实证分析,我们得出结论:有证据表明埃及的外债不可持续。因此,埃及必须充分平衡国内调整和国外借贷。
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引用次数: 0
الأهمية الاقتصادية لصادرات التكنولوجيا المتقدمة في كوريا الجنوبية 韩国高科技出口的经济重要性
حسام الدين اسماعيل
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引用次数: 0
Comprehensive Analysis of Credit Risk Determinants in the Egyptian Property and Casualty Insurance Sector: Exploring Macroeconomic, Industrial, and Company Specific Factors 埃及财产和意外保险业信用风险决定因素的综合分析:探索宏观经济、行业和公司的具体因素
اسلام عبدالحكيم كامل صيام
: Through risk mitigation, investment encouragement, and financial market stabilization, the insurance sector plays a critical role in promoting economic stability. But there are inherent difficulties in the business, especially when it comes to managing credit risk, which is brought on by things like non-defaulting borrowers, unpaid premiums, and unpaid reinsurance amounts. This study examines how credit risk is affected by macroeconomic, industry-specific, and insurance company specific factors in Egyptian property and liability insurance companies between 2012 and 2022. In order to examine the relationships between credit risk, which is represented by three components: uncollected premiums, reinsurance, and bonds as dependent variables, and key independent variables like market share, ownership concentration, return on equity, insurance size, premium growth rate, and economic indicators like GDP, inflation, public debt, and unemployment. The study uses a variety of regression models, including pooled, fixed effects, and random effects regressions. Additionally, endogeneity and time persistence in credit risk structures are studied through the use of the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The robustness of the dynamic model is validated by the Sargan test and autocorrelation tests (AR (1) and AR (2)) which verify the efficiency of the used tools and the lack of serial correlation. The findings demonstrate the importance of factors in determining credit risk, including Return on equity (ROE), Premiums growth rate, Insurance Size, Insurance Capitalization, and economic indicators. This study offers insights for credit risk management and strategic decision-making in the insurance industry, furthering our understanding of credit risk in Egyptian markets.
:通过降低风险、鼓励投资和稳定金融市场,保险业在促进经济稳定方面发挥着至关重要的作用。但保险业也存在固有的困难,尤其是在管理信用风险方面,信用风险是由借款人违约、未付保费和未付再保险金额等因素造成的。本研究探讨了 2012 年至 2022 年期间埃及财产和责任保险公司的信用风险如何受到宏观经济、特定行业和保险公司特定因素的影响。信用风险由三个部分组成:未收缴保费、再保险和债券作为因变量,为了研究信用风险与市场份额、所有权集中度、股本回报率、保险规模、保费增长率等关键自变量以及国内生产总值、通货膨胀、公共债务和失业率等经济指标之间的关系。研究采用了多种回归模型,包括集合回归、固定效应回归和随机效应回归。此外,还使用广义矩法(GMM)研究了信贷风险结构的内生性和时间持久性。萨根检验和自相关检验(AR (1) 和 AR (2))验证了动态模型的稳健性,证明了所使用工具的效率和缺乏序列相关性。研究结果表明了决定信贷风险的各种因素的重要性,包括股本回报率(ROE)、保费增长率、保险规模、保险资本化和经济指标。这项研究为保险业的信用风险管理和战略决策提供了启示,进一步加深了我们对埃及市场信用风险的了解。
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引用次数: 0
أثر الجينات التنظيمية عبر الإدارة الاستراتيجية للموارد البشرية كمتغير وسيط على تطبيق ممكنات نموذج التميز الأوروبي EFQM دراسة تطبيقية على اتحاد الغرفة التجارية بالقاهرة 通过战略人力资源管理作为中介变量的组织基因对应用 EFQM 推动因素的影响 一项关于开罗商会联合会的应用研究
,وفاء فنجري مرزوق سعيد
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引用次数: 0
الدور الوسيط لعمليات إدارة المعرفة في العلاقة بين اليقظة الاستراتيجية والتغيير التنظيمي: دراسة تطبيقية على العاملين بجامعة الحدود الشمالية 知识管理过程在战略意识与组织变革之间的中介作用:对北部边境大学员工的应用研究
نايف فوزي الرويلي
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引用次数: 0
أثر إجمالى تكوين رأس المال على النمو الاقتصادي في مصرخلال الفترة 1990 – 2023 1990-2023 年间资本形成总额对埃及经济增长的影响
سحر احمد حسن يوسف
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引用次数: 0
أزمة ديون سيادية في الدول المنخفضة الدخل تقترب- كيف يمكن تفاديها؟ (دراسة مقارنة مع أزمة 1994) 低收入国家的主权债务危机正在逼近--如何避免? 与 1994 年危机的比较研究
شريف بودري
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引用次数: 0
Does Corporate Sustainability Management Moderate the Relationship Between Cost Stickiness and Earnings Management? The Case of Egypt 企业可持续性管理是否会调节成本粘性与收益管理之间的关系?埃及案例
Yasmine Safwat Ibrahim Hassan, Ahmed Mahmoud Mohamed Youssef, Nancy Mohamed Mahmoud Ahmed
The main objective of this study is to examine the moderating role of corporate sustainability management on the relationship between cost stickiness and earnings management. In this research, a sample of 256 observations from 65 Egyptian firms listed on the Egyptian Stock Exchange is used for a period of five years, from 2018 to 2022. The ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression is applied for four multiple regression models to test the research hypotheses. Cost stickiness is measured by the model of Homburg and Nasev (2008) and selling, general, and administrative expenses are used as a proxy for cost stickiness. Discretionary accruals estimated from the modified Jones model (1995) are used to measure earnings management, and the S&P Global ESG Score is used to assess a company's sustainability performance, determined by aggregating its environmental, social, and governance dimension scores. The results reveal a significant positive relationship between cost stickiness and earnings management. Moreover, it is found that corporate sustainability management has a significant negative effect on cost stickiness. Additionally, corporate sustainability management has a positive significant effect on earnings management. Finally, the findings indicate that corporate sustainability management moderates the relationship between cost stickiness and earnings management, implying that corporate sustainability management reduces the positive impact of cost stickiness on earnings management.
本研究的主要目的是考察企业可持续发展管理对成本粘性与收益管理之间关系的调节作用。本研究以在埃及证券交易所上市的 65 家埃及公司的 256 个观测值为样本,时间跨度为 2018 年至 2022 年,为期五年。普通最小二乘法(OLS)回归应用于四个多元回归模型,以检验研究假设。成本粘性采用 Homburg 和 Nasev(2008 年)的模型进行衡量,销售、一般和管理费用被用作成本粘性的替代指标。根据修正的琼斯模型(1995 年)估算的可自由支配的应计项目用于衡量收益管理,标准普尔全球 ESG 分数用于评估公司的可持续发展绩效,该分数由公司的环境、社会和治理维度的总分决定。研究结果表明,成本粘性与收益管理之间存在明显的正相关关系。此外,研究还发现企业可持续发展管理对成本粘性有显著的负面影响。此外,企业可持续发展管理对收益管理也有显著的正向影响。最后,研究结果表明,企业可持续发展管理调节了成本粘性与收益管理之间的关系,这意味着企业可持续发展管理降低了成本粘性对收益管理的积极影响。
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المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية
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