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Integrated Layout and Cable Routing in Wind Farm Optimal Design 风电场优化设计中的综合布局与电缆布线
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4470
Martina Fischetti, M. Fischetti
We address a very important problem in offshore wind farm design, namely, the combined optimization of the turbine location and of the connection cables required to bring the electrical power produced by the turbines to a given substation, and eventually to shore. We first describe a mixed-integer linear programming model that combines previous proposals from the literature. Then we improve it by a number of additional inequalities intended to strengthen its linear programming relaxation. In particular, we propose new classes of Benders-like cuts derived from an induced-clique substructure of the problem. The validity of these cuts is established in a purely combinatorial way, without resorting to Benders’s standard duality theory, and efficient separation procedures are proposed. The practical effectiveness of the proposed cuts is established through computational tests, showing that they do improve very significantly the dual bound provided by the standard model. We also present an exact branch-and-cut solver for the problem, which separates the new cuts at run time. Computational results confirm that the new cuts are instrumental for the success of our exact solver. This paper was accepted by Chung-Piaw Teo, optimization.
我们解决了海上风电场设计中一个非常重要的问题,即涡轮机位置和连接电缆的组合优化,这些连接电缆需要将涡轮机产生的电力输送到给定的变电站,并最终输送到岸上。我们首先描述了一个混合整数线性规划模型,该模型结合了以前文献中的建议。然后我们通过一些额外的不等式来改进它,以增强它的线性规划松弛性。特别地,我们提出了从问题的诱导团子结构衍生出的类benders切割的新类别。这些切割的有效性是建立在一个纯粹的组合方式,而不是诉诸于Benders的标准对偶理论,并提出了有效的分离程序。通过计算试验证明了所提出的切割方法的实际有效性,表明它们确实大大改善了标准模型提供的对偶界。我们还为该问题提供了一个精确的分支-切割求解器,它在运行时分离新的切割。计算结果证实了新的切割对精确解算器的成功是有帮助的。本文被张忠平(Chung-Piaw Teo)接受,优化。
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引用次数: 2
The Mnemonomics of Contractual Screening 契约筛选的记忆学
Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3930657
Liang Guo
In many markets, buyers sign advance contracts before actual decisions on transactions or consumptions are made. Therefore, a buyer may have private information on expected payoff at the contracting stage, and as time moves on, new information on other components of payoff may arrive. However, prior information can be losable, forgettable, or unattended. In this paper, we investigate how limited memory may influence the optimal design of contracts for sequential screening. Despite memory loss, the buyer can make ex post inference about her initially informed type from the chosen contract. As ex ante screening facilitates subsequent retrospection, the chosen contract can serve as a self-reminding instrument. This would yield an endogenous demand for separation in ex ante contract choice. In response, distortions in the optimal contract design can be either mitigated or intensified, leading to improved or undermined social welfare, respectively. As a result, the equilibrium buyer surplus can be higher than that under perfect memory. We also show that the buyer can exhibit the so-called flat-rate bias, even though her preference is time consistent and perfectly predicted. In addition, as memory can be perfectly recovered from the equilibrium contract choice, investing on any other memory-improving instrument is redundant. Moreover, the buyer’s demand for screening can induce her to choose dominated refund contract. Nevertheless, when dominance must be obeyed, the seller may offer a menu of refund contracts with two-way distortions. This paper was accepted by Matthew Shum, marketing.
在许多市场中,买家在做出交易或消费的实际决定之前签订了预先合同。因此,在签约阶段,买方可能拥有关于预期支付的私人信息,随着时间的推移,关于支付的其他组成部分的新信息可能会出现。然而,先前的信息可能会丢失、遗忘或无人关注。在本文中,我们研究有限的内存如何影响顺序筛选契约的最优设计。尽管失去了记忆,但买方可以根据所选合同对她最初得知的类型做出事后推断。由于事先的筛选有利于随后的回顾,所选择的合同可以作为一种自我提醒的工具。这将在事前契约选择中产生内生的分离需求。因此,最优契约设计中的扭曲可以减轻或加剧,分别导致社会福利的改善或破坏。因此,均衡买方剩余可以高于完全记忆下的均衡买方剩余。我们还表明,买家可能表现出所谓的固定利率偏见,即使她的偏好是时间一致的,完全可以预测的。此外,由于内存可以从均衡契约选择中完全恢复,因此投资于任何其他改善内存的工具都是多余的。此外,买方对筛选的需求会促使其选择占主导地位的退款合同。然而,当必须服从支配地位时,卖方可能会提供一系列双向扭曲的退款合同。这篇论文被市场营销学的Matthew Shum接受。
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引用次数: 1
Serving Democracy: Evidence of Voting Resource Disparity in Florida 为民主服务:佛罗里达州投票资源差距的证据
Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4497
Gérard P. Cachon, Dawson Kaaua
Florida, an important state in presidential elections in the United States, has received considerable media coverage in recent years for long lines to vote. Do some segments of the population receive a disproportionate share of the resources to serve the voting process, which could encourage some or dissuade others from voting? We conduct the first empirical panel data study to examine whether minority and Democrat voters in Florida experience lower poll worker staffing, which could lengthen the time to vote. We do not find evidence of a disparity directly due to race. Instead, we observe a political party effect—all else equal, a 1% increase in the percentage of voters registered as Democrat in a county increases the number of registered voters per poll worker by 3.5%. This effect appears to be meaningful—using a voting queue simulation, a 5% increase in voters registered as Democrat in a county could increase the average wait time to vote from 40 minutes (the approximate average wait time to vote in Florida in 2012 and the highest average wait time across all states in that election per the Cooperative Congressional Election Study) to about 115 minutes. This paper was accepted by Vishal Gaur, operations management.
佛罗里达州是美国总统选举的重要州,近年来,媒体对该州选民排长队投票的情况进行了大量报道。人口中的某些部分是否获得了不成比例的用于投票进程的资源,从而可能鼓励或劝阻某些人不投票?我们进行了第一次实证小组数据研究,以检查佛罗里达州的少数民族和民主党选民是否经历了较低的投票工作人员配备,这可能会延长投票时间。我们没有发现直接由种族造成的差异的证据。相反,我们观察到一种政党效应——在其他条件相同的情况下,一个县登记为民主党的选民比例每增加1%,每个投票工作人员的登记选民数量就会增加3.5%。这种效应似乎是有意义的——使用投票队列模拟,一个县登记为民主党的选民增加5%,平均投票等待时间就会从40分钟(2012年佛罗里达州投票的平均等待时间大致是这个数字,根据国会选举合作研究,这是该选举中所有州的最高平均等待时间)增加到115分钟左右。本文被运营管理专业的Vishal Gaur接受。
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引用次数: 0
Personalized Pricing and Distribution Strategies 个性化定价和分销策略
Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4437
B. Jullien, Markus Reisinger, P. Rey
The availability of consumer data is inducing a growing number of firms to adopt more personalized pricing policies. This affects both the performance of, and the competition between, alternative distribution channels, which in turn has implications for firms’ distribution strategies. We develop a formal model to examine a brand manufacturer’s choice between mono distribution (selling only through its own direct channel) or dual distribution (selling through an independent retailer as well). We consider different demand patterns, covering both horizontal and vertical differentiation and different pricing regimes, with the manufacturer and retailer each charging personalized prices or a uniform price. We show that dual distribution is optimal for a large number of cases. In particular, this is always the case when the channels are horizontally differentiated, regardless of the pricing regime; moreover, if both firms charge personalized prices, a well-designed wholesale tariff allows them to extract the entire consumer surplus. These insights obtained here for the case of intrabrand competition between vertically related firms are thus in stark contrast to those obtained for interbrand competition, where personalized pricing dissipates industry profit. With vertical differentiation, dual distribution remains optimal if the manufacturer charges a uniform price. By contrast, under personalized pricing, mono distribution can be optimal when the retailer does not expand demand sufficiently. Interestingly, the industry profit may be largest in a hybrid pricing regime, in which the manufacturer forgoes the use of personalized pricing and only the retailer charges personalized prices. This paper was accepted by Joshua Gans, business strategy.
消费者数据的可用性促使越来越多的公司采用更加个性化的定价政策。这既影响了可选择分销渠道的表现,也影响了可选择分销渠道之间的竞争,这反过来又影响了公司的分销策略。我们开发了一个正式的模型来检验品牌制造商在单一分销(仅通过自己的直接渠道销售)或双重分销(也通过独立零售商销售)之间的选择。我们考虑了不同的需求模式,包括水平和垂直差异以及不同的定价机制,制造商和零售商各自收取个性化价格或统一价格。我们证明了对偶分布在很多情况下是最优的。特别是,无论定价机制如何,当渠道横向分化时,情况总是如此;此外,如果两家公司都收取个性化的价格,精心设计的批发关税使它们能够榨取全部的消费者剩余。因此,本文对垂直相关公司之间品牌内竞争的研究结果与对品牌间竞争的研究结果形成鲜明对比,在品牌间竞争中,个性化定价会消耗行业利润。在垂直差异化的情况下,如果制造商收取统一的价格,二元分销仍然是最优的。相反,在个性化定价下,当零售商没有充分扩大需求时,单一分销是最优的。有趣的是,在混合定价制度下,行业利润可能是最大的,在这种制度下,制造商放弃使用个性化定价,只有零售商收取个性化价格。这篇论文被Joshua Gans接受,商业策略。
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引用次数: 5
Impact of Motivation and Workload on Service Time Components: An Empirical Analysis of Call Center Operations 动机和工作量对服务时间构成的影响:呼叫中心运营的实证分析
Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4491
Ahmad M. Ashkanani, Benjamin B. Dunford, K. Mumford
We study the joint effects of motivation and workload on human servers’ service time. Using operational and survey data from a call center with a pooled queue structure and limited financial incentives, we examine how individual differences between servers’ trait intrinsic motivation (IM) and extrinsic motivation (EM) impact their average offline, online, and total service times in response to changing workloads. We find significant differences in the patterns of workload and service time relationships across different stages of the service request between servers possessing different combinations of trait motivation. For example, servers with a combination of high IM and low EM were approximately 15% (161%) faster in processing the offline portion of service requests than their peers with the opposite combination (low and high) when workload levels were low (high), respectively. In contrast, servers with high IM-low EM were approximately 35% (5%) slower in processing the online portion of service requests than their low IM-high EM counterparts when workload levels were low (high), respectively. Our findings suggest important nuances in how servers with different trait motivation types respond to changing workload across different stages of the service request. The behavioral pattern shown by high IM-low EM servers is consistent with the preferences of productivity-seeking call center managers who favor speedup and slowdown at certain stages of the service request, conditional to workload. These findings underscore the importance of accounting for trait-based individual differences for a more complete understanding of the complex relationship between workload and service time. This paper was accepted by Charles Corbett, operations management.
我们研究了动机和工作量对人类服务器服务时间的共同影响。利用来自呼叫中心的运营和调查数据,我们研究了服务器特征内在动机(IM)和外在动机(EM)之间的个体差异如何影响其响应不断变化的工作负载的平均离线、在线和总服务时间。研究发现,不同特质动机组合的服务人员在不同服务请求阶段的工作负荷和服务时间关系模式存在显著差异。例如,在工作负载水平低(高)时,具有高IM和低EM组合的服务器在处理服务请求的脱机部分时分别比具有相反组合(低和高)的对等服务器快大约15%(161%)。相比之下,在工作负载水平低(高)时,具有高im -低EM的服务器在处理服务请求的在线部分时分别比具有低im -高EM的服务器慢约35%(5%)。我们的研究结果表明,在服务请求的不同阶段,具有不同特征动机类型的服务器如何响应不断变化的工作负载存在重要的细微差别。高im -低EM服务器显示的行为模式与寻求生产力的呼叫中心经理的偏好一致,他们喜欢在服务请求的某些阶段加速和减速,这取决于工作量。这些发现强调了考虑基于特质的个体差异对于更全面地理解工作量和服务时间之间的复杂关系的重要性。这篇论文被运营管理的Charles Corbett接受。
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引用次数: 0
Active Learning for Contextual Search with Binary Feedback 基于二元反馈的主动学习上下文搜索
Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4473
Xi Chen, Quanquan C. Liu, Yining Wang
In this paper, we study the learning problem in contextual search, which is motivated by applications such as crowdsourcing and personalized medicine experiments. In particular, for a sequence of arriving context vectors, with each context associated with an underlying value, the decision maker either makes a query at a certain point or skips the context. The decision maker will only observe the binary feedback on the relationship between the query point and the value associated with the context. We study a probably approximately correct learning setting, where the goal is to learn the underlying mean value function in context with a minimum number of queries. To address this challenge, we propose a trisection search approach combined with a margin-based active learning method. We show that the algorithm only needs to make [Formula: see text] queries to achieve an ε-estimation accuracy. This sample complexity significantly reduces the required sample complexity in the passive setting where neither sample skipping nor query selection is allowed, which is at least [Formula: see text]. This paper was accepted by J. George Shanthikumar, data science.
在本文中,我们研究了上下文搜索中的学习问题,这是由众包和个性化医学实验等应用驱动的。特别是,对于到达的上下文向量序列,每个上下文都与一个底层值相关联,决策者要么在某个点进行查询,要么跳过上下文。决策者将只观察关于查询点和与上下文关联的值之间关系的二元反馈。我们研究了一个可能近似正确的学习设置,其目标是使用最少的查询次数来学习上下文中的底层均值函数。为了解决这一挑战,我们提出了一种结合基于边缘的主动学习方法的三切分搜索方法。我们表明,该算法只需要进行[Formula: see text]查询即可达到ε-估计精度。这种样本复杂度显著降低了被动设置中所需的样本复杂度,在被动设置中,既不允许跳过样本,也不允许查询选择,这至少是[公式:见文本]。这篇论文被数据科学的J. George Shanthikumar接受。
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引用次数: 1
Estimating Effects of Incentive Contracts in Online Labor Platforms 在线劳务平台激励契约效果评估
Pub Date : 2022-07-08 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4450
Nur Kaynar, Auyon Siddiq
The design of performance based incentives—commonly used in online labor platforms—can be naturally can be naturally posed as a moral hazard principal-agent problem. In this setting, a key input to the principal’s optimal contracting problem is the agent’s production function: the dependence of agent output on effort. Although agent production is classically assumed to be known to the principal, this is unlikely to be the case in practice. Motivated by the design of performance-based incentives, we present a method for estimating a principal-agent model from data on incentive contracts and associated outcomes, with a focus on estimating agent production. The proposed estimator is statistically consistent and can be expressed as a mathematical program. To circumvent computational challenges with solving the estimation problem exactly, we approximate it as an integer program, which we solve through a column generation algorithm that uses hypothesis tests to select variables. We show that our approximation scheme and solution technique both preserve the estimator’s consistency and combine to dramatically reduce the computational time required to obtain sound estimates. To demonstrate our method, we conducted an experiment on a crowdwork platform (Amazon Mechanical Turk) by randomly assigning incentive contracts with varying pay rates among a pool of workers completing the same task. We present numerical results illustrating how our estimator combined with experimentation can shed light on the efficacy of performance-based incentives. This paper was accepted by Chung Piaw Teo, optimization.
基于绩效的激励机制的设计——通常用于在线劳动平台——很自然地会被视为一个道德风险的委托代理问题。在这种情况下,委托人最优契约问题的一个关键输入是代理人的生产函数:代理人产出对努力的依赖。虽然代理人的生产通常被认为是委托人知道的,但在实践中不太可能是这样。在基于绩效的激励设计的激励下,我们提出了一种从激励合同和相关结果的数据估计委托代理模型的方法,重点是估计代理的产量。所提出的估计量在统计上是一致的,可以用数学程序表示。为了避免精确解决估计问题的计算挑战,我们将其近似为一个整数程序,我们通过使用假设检验选择变量的列生成算法来解决这个整数程序。我们表明,我们的近似方案和求解技术都保持了估计量的一致性,并结合起来显着减少了获得可靠估计所需的计算时间。为了证明我们的方法,我们在一个众包平台(Amazon Mechanical Turk)上进行了一个实验,在一群完成相同任务的工人中随机分配了不同工资率的激励合同。我们给出了数值结果,说明我们的估计器与实验相结合如何揭示基于绩效的激励的有效性。这篇论文被Chung Piaw Teo接受,优化。
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引用次数: 3
Capability Building in Sluggish Organizations 迟缓组织中的能力建设
Pub Date : 2022-07-07 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4445
K. Eliaz, R. Spiegler
In order to thrive, organizations need to build and maintain an ability to meet unexpected external challenges. Yet many organizations are sluggish: their capabilities can only undergo incremental changes over time. What are the stochastic processes governing “routinely occurring” challenges that best prepare a sluggish organization for unexpected challenges? We address this question with a stylized principal-agent model. The “agent” represents a sluggish organization that can only change its capability by one unit at a time, and the “principal” represents the organization’s head or its competitive environment. The principal commits ex ante to a Markov process over challenge levels. We characterize the process that maximizes long-run capability for both myopic and arbitrarily patient agents. We show how stochastic, time-varying challenges dramatically improve a sluggish organization’s preparedness for sudden challenges. This paper was accepted by Joshua Gans, business strategy.
为了茁壮成长,组织需要建立并保持一种能力,以应对意想不到的外部挑战。然而,许多组织行动迟缓:随着时间的推移,它们的能力只能经历渐进式的变化。什么是控制“常规发生”挑战的随机过程,能够最好地为一个迟缓的组织应对意外挑战做好准备?我们用一个程式化的委托代理模型来解决这个问题。“代理人”代表一个缓慢的组织,一次只能改变一个单位的能力,而“委托人”代表组织的负责人或其竞争环境。委托人事先在挑战级别上承诺一个马尔可夫过程。我们描述了使近视和任意患者代理的长期能力最大化的过程。我们展示了随机的、时变的挑战如何极大地改善了一个迟缓的组织对突然挑战的准备。这篇论文被Joshua Gans接受,商业策略。
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引用次数: 0
Not Ready for Prime Time: Financial Reporting Quality After SPAC Mergers 尚未为黄金时间做好准备:SPAC合并后的财务报告质量
Pub Date : 2022-06-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4079131
Jaewoo Kim, Seyoung Park, Kyle Peterson, WilsonRyan
We examine the financial reporting quality of special purpose acquisition corporations (SPACs) following a successful merger. We compare a sample of SPACs with completed mergers from 2006 to 2020 to initial public offering (IPO) firms in the same industry covering the same period. Compared with similar IPO firms, SPACs are more likely to restate their financial statements and have internal control weaknesses. We also find that SPACs are more likely to file untimely financial statements, amend previously issued filings, and have comment letters that go more rounds with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This lower reporting quality also results in less informative earnings to investors. Our evidence corroborates concerns from the media, accounting firms, and regulators that SPACs exhibit low financial reporting quality in comparison with IPOs. This paper was accepted by Suraj Srinivasan, accounting.
我们研究了特殊目的收购公司(spac)在成功合并后的财务报告质量。我们将2006年至2020年完成并购的SPACs样本与同一时期同一行业的首次公开募股(IPO)公司进行了比较。与同类IPO公司相比,SPACs更有可能重述其财务报表,并存在内部控制弱点。我们还发现,SPACs更有可能提交不合时宜的财务报表,修改先前发布的文件,并与证券交易委员会进行更多回合的评论信。这种较低的报告质量也导致投资者获得的收益信息较少。我们的证据证实了媒体、会计师事务所和监管机构的担忧,即与ipo相比,spac的财务报告质量较低。这篇论文被会计Suraj Srinivasan接受。
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引用次数: 3
Supplier Audit Information Sharing and Responsible Sourcing 供应商审核信息共享和负责任的采购
Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.4358
Albert Y. Ha, Weixin Shang, Yunjie Wang
We develop a game-theoretic model to study the incentive for competing manufacturers to share supplier audit information. Based on the audit information, each manufacturer decides whether to source from a common supplier who has uncertain responsibility violation risk or to switch to a backup supplier who has no responsibility violation risk but charges a higher price. When supplier responsibility violation occurs, some consumers boycott the manufacturers involved. Audit information allows a manufacturer to reduce the uncertainty about the risk of the common supplier. We show that audit information sharing may make the manufacturers’ sourcing strategies more or less differentiated. As a result, the information-sharing decision is not monotone in the model parameters. We fully characterize the manufacturers’ equilibrium audit information-sharing and sourcing decisions and establish conditions under which audit information sharing induces the manufacturers to adopt more or less responsible sourcing strategies. We also show that a manufacturer could be better off when the cost premium of sourcing from the backup supplier or the risk of the common supplier becomes higher or the audit information becomes less accurate. We consider several extensions of the base model and demonstrate that the main insights remain mostly valid. This paper was accepted by Charles Corbett, operations management.
本文建立了一个博弈论模型来研究竞争厂商共享供应商审计信息的动机。根据审计信息,每个制造商决定是从一个责任违规风险不确定的共同供应商处采购,还是转向一个没有责任违规风险但价格更高的备用供应商。当供应商责任违反发生时,一些消费者抵制涉及的制造商。审核信息允许制造商减少对共同供应商风险的不确定性。我们发现审计信息共享可能会使制造商的采购策略产生或多或少的差异。因此,信息共享决策在模型参数中不是单调的。充分刻画了制造商审计信息共享与采购决策的均衡特征,并建立了审计信息共享诱导制造商采取或多或少负责任采购策略的条件。我们还表明,当从备用供应商采购的成本溢价或普通供应商的风险变得更高或审计信息变得不那么准确时,制造商可能会获得更好的收益。我们考虑了基本模型的几个扩展,并证明了主要的见解仍然是有效的。这篇论文被运营管理的Charles Corbett接受。
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引用次数: 12
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