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Information disclosure with endogenous channel structure 具有内生渠道结构的信息披露
Pub Date : 2022-09-14 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22080
Yuan Jiang, X. Guan, Yiwen Bian, Song Huang
This article investigates the firms' optimal quality information disclosure strategies in a supply chain, wherein the supplier may encroach into the retail channel to sell products directly to end consumers. We consider two disclosure formats, namely, retailer disclosure (R‐C) and supplier disclosure (S‐C), and examine the optimal disclosure format from each firm's perspective. We show that either firm prefers to delegate the disclosure option to its partner when the supplier cannot encroach. However, the threat of supplier encroachment dramatically alters the firm's preference of disclosure. The supplier may prefer the S‐C format to the R‐C format when the entry cost is low and the disclosure cost is high to achieve a higher quality information transparency. Meanwhile, the retailer may prefer the R‐C format to the S‐C format when the entry cost is intermediate to deter the possible encroachment of the supplier. In this sense, the firms' preferences of disclosure format can be aligned due to the threat of supplier encroachment. The consumer surplus is always higher under the S‐C format while either disclosure format can lead to a higher social welfare. We also consider an alternative scenario under which the supplier encroaches after the product quality information is disclosed. An interesting observation appears that the supplier may encroach when the product quality is low but foregoes encroachment when the product quality gets higher.
本文研究了供应链中供应商进入零售渠道直接向终端消费者销售产品的最优质量信息披露策略。我们考虑了两种披露格式,即零售商披露(R‐C)和供应商披露(S‐C),并从每个公司的角度考察了最优披露格式。我们表明,当供应商无法入侵时,任何一家公司都倾向于将披露选择权委托给其合作伙伴。然而,供应商入侵的威胁极大地改变了企业的信息披露偏好。当进入成本较低而披露成本较高时,供应商可能会选择S - C格式而不是R - C格式,以获得更高质量的信息透明度。同时,当进入成本处于中等水平时,零售商可能更倾向于R - C模式而不是S - C模式,以阻止供应商可能的入侵。从这个意义上说,由于供应商入侵的威胁,企业对披露格式的偏好可以对齐。在S - C形式下,消费者剩余总是更高的,而任何一种披露形式都可以带来更高的社会福利。我们还考虑了另一种情况,即供应商在产品质量信息披露后侵犯产品质量。一个有趣的现象是,当产品质量较低时,供应商可能会入侵,但当产品质量较高时,供应商会放弃入侵。
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引用次数: 5
A cash‐strapped creator's reward‐based crowdfunding strategies with spot sales 一个现金短缺的创作者基于奖励的众筹策略与现货销售
Pub Date : 2022-09-06 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22077
Xiaolong Guo, Qian Gao, Tao Li, Yugang Yu
Reward‐based crowdfunding with the all‐or‐nothing mechanism helps cash‐strapped creators raise funds from potential consumers to develop new products. However, this mechanism may hurt the creator in the long run because possible buying frenzies of strategic consumers will cannibalize the demand for spot sales if the project succeeds with overfunding. Through a two‐period model incorporating a crowdfunding period and a spot sales period, we find that strategic consumers' purchasing decisions depend on the probability that they will like the product in spot sales. Moreover, we show that crowdfunding cannot be used to finance when the setup cost that a creator needs to pay for the production is sufficiently high. In addition, for creators who can use crowdfunding to finance, contrary to the intuition that they should not take risks when the market uncertainty is high, we find the opposite results when we take the joint effect of the setup cost and market uncertainty into consideration. To be specific, when the market uncertainty is high and the setup cost is higher than a threshold, the creator can optimally choose the risky strategy. Furthermore, the creator may benefit from market uncertainty when a high setup cost is required to launch the product.
基于奖励的众筹采用全有或全无的机制,帮助资金紧张的创作者从潜在消费者那里筹集资金来开发新产品。然而,从长远来看,这种机制可能会伤害创造者,因为如果项目获得超额融资,可能出现的战略消费者购买狂潮会蚕食对现货销售的需求。通过一个包含众筹期和现货销售期的两期模型,我们发现战略消费者的购买决策取决于他们在现货销售中喜欢产品的概率。此外,我们还表明,当创造者需要为制作支付的设置成本足够高时,众筹就不能用于融资。此外,对于那些可以利用众筹进行融资的创作者来说,在市场不确定性较大的情况下,他们不应该冒险,而当我们考虑到设置成本和市场不确定性的共同作用时,我们发现了相反的结果。具体地说,当市场不确定性较高且设置成本高于阈值时,创造者可以最优地选择风险策略。此外,当发布产品需要高设置成本时,创建者可能会从市场不确定性中受益。
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引用次数: 0
An exact quadratic programming approach based on convex reformulation for seru scheduling problems 基于凸重构的精确二次规划方法求解血清调度问题
Pub Date : 2022-09-02 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22078
Zhe Zhang, Xiaoling Song, Xue Gong, Yong Yin, Benjamin Lev, Xiaoyang Zhou
Motivated by a practical production scheduling problem at a factory, this article studies scheduling problems in seru production system (SPS). Seru is a relatively new‐type production mode originating in Japan and has brought inspiring benefits to production practice. Following the just‐in‐time philosophy of SPS, the objective of seru scheduling problem is to minimize the sum of earliness and tardiness penalties. Two common due date types of job are considered, and the seru scheduling problem is formulated as a 0–1 quadratic programming model with linear constraints that is then reformulated using convex reformulation methods to ensure convexity. Computational experiments are implemented. Experimental results indicate that the proposed exact solution method can obtain approximate optimal solutions efficiently and effectively for seru scheduling problems.
本文以某工厂的实际生产调度问题为背景,研究了服务型生产系统(SPS)中的调度问题。Seru是一种相对较新的生产模式,起源于日本,并为生产实践带来了鼓舞人心的效益。遵循SPS的准时化思想,servu调度问题的目标是最小化提前和延迟惩罚的总和。考虑了两种常见的作业到期日类型,并将该问题形式化为具有线性约束的0-1二次规划模型,然后使用凸重新形式化方法对其进行重新形式化以保证其凸性。进行了计算实验。实验结果表明,所提出的精确解方法能够有效地求解多任务调度问题的近似最优解。
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引用次数: 11
Maximizing total early work in a distributed two‐machine flow‐shop 最大限度地提高分布式双机流程车间的早期总工作量
Pub Date : 2022-08-23 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22076
A. Dolgui, M. Kovalyov, B. Lin
The problem of maximizing total early work in a two‐machine flow‐shop, in which n jobs are to be scheduled subject to a common due date d, has been recently studied in the scheduling literature. An O(n2d4) time dynamic programming algorithm was presented first for the weighted case, and then for the unweighted case another O(n2d2) running time dynamic programming algorithm was proposed and converted into an On4ε2$$ Oleft(frac{n^4}{varepsilon^2}right) $$ time fully polynomial time approximation scheme (FPTAS). By establishing new problem properties, we present an O(nd2) time dynamic programming algorithm and an On3ε2$$ Oleft(frac{n^3}{varepsilon^2}right) $$ time FPTAS for the unweighted problem. We generalize the problem to a distributed setting of m parallel two‐machine flow‐shops, develop an O(nd3m) time dynamic programming algorithm, an On3m+1ε3m$$ Oleft(frac{n^{3m+1}}{varepsilon^{3m}}right) $$ time FPTAS, and three integer linear programming (ILP) formulations for it. Computational experiments are conducted to appraise the proposed ILP models.
最近在调度文献中研究了双机流程车间中最大限度地提高总提前工作的问题,其中n个作业被调度到一个共同的截止日期d。首先对加权情况提出了一种O(n2d2)时间动态规划算法,然后对未加权情况提出了另一种O(n2d2)时间动态规划算法,并将其转化为On4ε2 $$ Oleft(frac{n^4}{varepsilon^2}right) $$时间全多项式时间逼近格式(FPTAS)。通过建立新的问题性质,我们提出了一个O(nd2)时间动态规划算法和一个On3ε2 $$ Oleft(frac{n^3}{varepsilon^2}right) $$时间FPTAS。我们将问题推广到m个并行双机流车间的分布式设置,开发了一个O(nd3m)时间动态规划算法,一个On3m+1ε3m $$ Oleft(frac{n^{3m+1}}{varepsilon^{3m}}right) $$时间FPTAS,以及三个整数线性规划(ILP)公式。计算实验对所提出的ILP模型进行了评价。
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引用次数: 1
Technical note—Constructing confidence intervals for nested simulation 技术笔记-构造嵌套模拟的置信区间
Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22075
Hong-Fa Cheng, Xiaoyu Liu, Kun Zhang
Nested simulation is typically used to estimate the functional of a conditional expectation. Considerable research has been performed on point estimation for various functionals. However, the quantification of the statistical uncertainty in the point estimator, for instance, using confidence intervals (CIs), has not been extensively investigated. In this article, we establish central limit theorems with the asymptotically optimal convergence rate of Γ−1/3$$ {Gamma}^{-1/3} $$ for nested simulation with different forms of functionals, where Γ$$ Gamma $$ denotes the total computational effort. Based on these theorems, we develop a unified CI framework that can ensure that both the mean squared error of the point estimator and CI width attain the optimal convergence rate. Numerical examples are presented, and the results are found to be consistent with the theoretical results. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed framework outperforms the existing methods for CI construction in terms of the CI widths and convergence rates.
嵌套模拟通常用于估计条件期望的函数。对各种函数的点估计进行了大量的研究。然而,点估计器中统计不确定性的量化,例如,使用置信区间(ci),尚未得到广泛的研究。在本文中,我们建立了具有不同形式泛函嵌套模拟的渐近最优收敛率为Γ−1/3 $$ {Gamma}^{-1/3} $$的中心极限定理,其中Γ $$ Gamma $$表示总计算量。基于这些定理,我们开发了一个统一的CI框架,可以确保点估计器的均方误差和CI宽度都达到最优收敛速率。给出了数值算例,结果与理论计算结果一致。实验结果表明,该框架在CI宽度和收敛速度方面优于现有的CI构建方法。
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引用次数: 2
Defense and security planning under resource uncertainty and multi‐period commitments 资源不确定性和多时期承诺下的国防和安全规划
Pub Date : 2022-08-08 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22071
William N. Caballero, David Banks, Kerui Wu
The public sector is characterized by hierarchical and interdependent organizations. For defense and security applications in particular, a higher authority is generally responsible for allocating resources among subordinate organizations. These subordinate organizations conduct long‐term planning based on both uncertain resources and an uncertain operating environment. This article develops a modeling framework and multiple solution methodologies for subordinate organizations to use under such conditions. We extend the adversarial risk analysis approach to a stochastic game via a decomposition into a Markov decision process. This allows the subordinate organization to encode its beliefs in a Bayesian manner such that long‐term policies can be built to maximize its expected utility. The modeling framework we develop is illustrated in a realistic counter‐terrorism use case, and the efficacy of our solutions are evaluated via comparisons to alternatively constructed policies.
公共部门的特点是等级制度和相互依存的组织。特别是对于国防和安全应用程序,更高的权限通常负责在下属组织之间分配资源。这些下属组织根据不确定的资源和不确定的操作环境进行长期规划。本文开发了一个建模框架和多个解决方案方法,供下属组织在这种情况下使用。通过将对抗风险分析方法分解为马尔可夫决策过程,将其扩展到随机博弈。这允许下属组织以贝叶斯方式编码其信念,以便建立长期政策以最大化其预期效用。我们开发的建模框架在一个现实的反恐用例中进行了说明,我们的解决方案的有效性通过与可选择构建的策略进行比较来评估。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing partial flexibility to improve emergency department flow: Theory and implementation 利用部分灵活性改善急诊科流程:理论与实施
Pub Date : 2022-08-05 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22073
Carri W. Chan, Vahid Sarhangian, Prem M. Talwai, K. Gogia
Emergency departments (EDs) typically have multiple areas where patients of different acuity levels receive treatments. In practice, different areas often operate with fixed nurse staffing levels. When there are substantial imbalances in congestion among different areas, it could be beneficial to deviate from the original assignment and reassign nurses. However, reassignments typically are only feasible at the beginning of 8–12‐h shifts, providing partial flexibility in adjusting staffing levels. In this work, we propose a stochastic queueing network model of patient flow in the ED and study an associated fluid control problem to guide the reassignment decision for two types of nursing staff. We propose a heuristic solution approach and investigate its performance both analytically and using simulation. Analytical results and simulation experiments suggest a significant reduction of waiting times in parameter regimes relevant to the ED setting. We further implement the staffing approach at a large ED. This pilot study highlights several challenges of implementing operational interventions in the ED, including the difficulty of establishing a clean statistical environment in such setting. Despite these challenges, we find that guiding reassignment decisions using our approach is associated with significant improvements to patient flow including a reduction in average total ED length‐of‐stay of 1.7 h.
急诊科(ed)通常有多个区域,不同视力水平的患者可以在这里接受治疗。在实践中,不同的地区通常采用固定的护士配备水平。当不同地区之间存在严重的拥堵不平衡时,偏离原来的分配,重新分配护士可能是有益的。然而,重新分配通常只在8-12小时轮班开始时可行,这在调整人员编制方面提供了部分灵活性。在这项工作中,我们提出了急诊科患者流量的随机排队网络模型,并研究了相关的流体控制问题,以指导两类护理人员的重新分配决策。我们提出了一种启发式解决方法,并对其性能进行了分析和仿真研究。分析结果和模拟实验表明,在与ED设置相关的参数制度中,等待时间显着减少。我们进一步在大型急诊科推行人手安排方法。这项试点研究突显了在急诊科推行运作干预措施的几个挑战,包括在这种情况下建立一个干净的统计环境的困难。尽管存在这些挑战,我们发现使用我们的方法指导重新分配决策与患者流量的显着改善有关,包括平均ED总住院时间减少1.7小时。
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引用次数: 4
Statistical quality control using image intelligence: A sparse learning approach 使用图像智能的统计质量控制:一种稀疏学习方法
Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22069
Yicheng Kang
Advances in image acquisition technology have made it convenient and economic to collect large amounts of image data. In manufacturing and service industries, images are increasingly used for quality control purposes because of their ability to quickly provide information about product geometry, surface defects, and nonconforming patterns. In production line monitoring, image data often take the form of image streams in the sense that images from the process are being collected over time. In such applications, a fundamental task is to properly analyze image data streams. This image monitoring problem is challenging for several reasons. First, images often have complicated structures such as edges and singularities, which render many traditional smoothing methods inapplicable. Second, a typical grayscale image contains tens of thousands of pixels, so the data is high‐dimensional. It has been shown in the statistical process control (SPC) literature that conventional multivariate control charts have limited power of detecting process shifts when the data dimension is high. In this article, we propose to transform images using a two‐dimensional wavelet basis and monitor the wavelet coefficients by sparse learning‐based multivariate control charts. By adapting the sparse learning algorithm to our quality control problem, the proposed method is able to detect shifts in the wavelet coefficients in a timely fashion and simultaneously identify those shifted coefficients. Combining this feature with the localization property of the wavelet basis, our method also enables accurate diagnosis of faulty image regions. In addition, the proposed charting statistics have explicit formulas, so they are easy to compute. Theoretical justifications and numerical comparisons with an existing method show that our method works well in applications.
图像采集技术的进步使采集大量图像数据变得方便、经济。在制造业和服务业中,图像越来越多地用于质量控制目的,因为它们能够快速提供有关产品几何形状、表面缺陷和不符合模式的信息。在生产线监控中,图像数据通常采用图像流的形式,这意味着来自过程的图像是随着时间的推移而收集的。在这些应用程序中,一个基本任务是正确分析图像数据流。由于几个原因,这个映像监视问题具有挑战性。首先,图像通常具有复杂的结构,如边缘和奇异点,这使得许多传统的平滑方法不适用。其次,典型的灰度图像包含数万个像素,因此数据是高维的。统计过程控制(SPC)文献表明,当数据维数较高时,传统的多元控制图检测过程位移的能力有限。在本文中,我们提出使用二维小波基变换图像,并通过基于稀疏学习的多元控制图监测小波系数。通过将稀疏学习算法应用于我们的质量控制问题,该方法能够及时检测小波系数的偏移,并同时识别这些偏移的系数。将此特征与小波基的定位特性相结合,我们的方法还可以准确地诊断出故障图像区域。此外,所提出的图表统计具有明确的公式,因此易于计算。理论论证和与现有方法的数值比较表明,该方法具有良好的应用效果。
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引用次数: 4
A 0–1 mixed‐integer program‐based group‐and‐release strategy for solving the integrated runway scheduling and taxiway routing problem 一种基于0-1混合整数规划的组合释放策略,用于解决综合跑道调度和滑行道路由问题
Pub Date : 2022-08-04 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22072
J. Desai, S. Srivathsan, Chuhang Yu, Dong Zhang
With growing air traffic demand and the required airport infrastructure lagging behind by at least a decade, it has become imperative for air traffic controllers to efficiently squeeze the available capacity at an airport in order to minimize aircraft delays. It has been well documented that the two major bottlenecks affecting the smooth functioning of air traffic operations at an airport are runways and taxiways. The key problem involving these resources includes the scheduling of flights on the runway, and the determination of the taxiway paths to be traversed by flights from their assigned gates to the runway. We address this problem by modeling an integrated runway scheduling and taxiway routing problem as a 0–1 mixed‐integer program (MIP) in a free‐path setting where any feasible taxiway route can potentially be assigned to a flight. As a direct application of this MIP model is not suitable for solving large‐scale instances, we develop a three‐step group‐and‐release strategy that first segregates the flights based on their allocated gates and associated ramps, and then solves the MIP model for each ramp to determine the taxiway path for each flight. In the final step, the path for each flight is fixed, and a sequencing problem over all flights is solved to determine high quality, feasible solutions. The performance of the proposed methodology is benchmarked against three algorithms, namely: (i) constraint‐generation; (ii) sequential two‐stage algorithm; and (iii) FCFS algorithm. Our numerical experiments, based on actual flight data from Changi airport (Singapore), show that, on average, the optimality gap as well as the computational time is considerably reduced for our strategy as compared to existing methods, thereby highlighting the efficacy of the proposed approach in solving realistic instances.
随着空中交通需求的增长和所需的机场基础设施落后至少十年,空中交通管制员必须有效地挤压机场的可用容量,以尽量减少飞机延误。有大量资料表明,影响机场空中交通运作顺利进行的两个主要瓶颈是跑道和滑行道。涉及这些资源的关键问题包括跑道上航班的调度,以及确定从指定登机口到跑道的航班要经过的滑行道路径。我们将一个综合的跑道调度和滑行道路线问题建模为自由路径设置中的0-1混合整数规划(MIP),其中任何可行的滑行道路线都可以分配给航班。由于该MIP模型的直接应用不适合解决大规模实例,我们开发了一个三步分组和释放策略,首先根据分配的登机口和相关坡道隔离航班,然后求解每个坡道的MIP模型,以确定每个航班的滑行道路径。在最后一步中,每个航班的路径是固定的,并解决所有航班的排序问题,以确定高质量,可行的解决方案。所提出的方法的性能是针对三种算法进行基准测试的,即:(i)约束生成;(ii)顺序两阶段算法;(iii) FCFS算法。我们基于新加坡樟宜机场的实际飞行数据进行的数值实验表明,与现有方法相比,我们的策略的平均最优性差距和计算时间大大减少,从而突出了所提出方法在解决实际实例方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
An approximate dynamic programming approach for production‐delivery scheduling under non‐stationary demand 非平稳需求下生产-交货调度的近似动态规划方法
Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22037
Haitao Liu, Yuan Wang, L. Lee, E. P. Chew
We consider an integrated production and delivery scheduling problem with non‐stationary demand in a two‐stage supply chain, where orders arrive dynamically and the demand is time‐varying. Orders should be first processed on identical machines and then delivered to a single next‐stage destination by the transporters with fixed departure times. The objective is to minimize the order waiting time via production‐delivery scheduling. We formulate the problem into a Markov decision process model and develop an approximate dynamic programming (ADP) method. To shrink action (decision) space, we propose the shorter processing time first and first completion first delivery (SPTm/FCFD) principle to determine order processing sequences and order delivery, and then we establish two constraints to eliminate a fraction of inferior actions. Based on the SPTm/FCFD principle, we propose the SPT/FCFD rule, and show its optimality for two scenarios. In addition, we deploy five basis functions to approximate the value function. The superior performance of ADP policy is validated via numerical experiments, compared with four benchmark policies. We also empirically study the impact of demand features on the waiting time, and results show that these features significantly affect the performances of all polices. In practice, it is suggested to postpone the peak demand, when total demand exceeds the available production capacity.
我们考虑了一个具有非平稳需求的两阶段供应链中的集成生产和交付调度问题,其中订单是动态到达的,需求是时变的。订单应首先在相同的机器上处理,然后由固定出发时间的运输商将其运送到下一阶段的单一目的地。我们的目标是通过生产-交货调度来最小化订单等待时间。将该问题转化为马尔可夫决策过程模型,并提出了近似动态规划方法。为了缩小动作(决策)空间,我们提出了更短的加工时间优先和先完成先交货(SPTm/FCFD)原则来确定订单处理顺序和订单交付,然后我们建立了两个约束来消除一部分劣等动作。基于SPTm/FCFD原理,提出了SPT/FCFD规则,并对两种场景进行了优化。此外,我们部署了五个基函数来近似值函数。通过数值实验验证了ADP策略的优越性能,并与四种基准策略进行了比较。我们还实证研究了需求特征对等待时间的影响,结果表明这些特征显著影响所有政策的绩效。在实践中,当总需求超过可用的生产能力时,建议推迟峰值需求。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Naval Research Logistics (NRL)
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