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Stochastic approximation for uncapacitated assortment optimization under the multinomial logit model 多项logit模型下无能力分类优化的随机逼近
Pub Date : 2022-05-23 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22068
Yannik Peeters, Arnoud V. den Boer
We consider dynamic assortment optimization with incomplete information under the uncapacitated multinomial logit choice model. We propose an anytime stochastic approximation policy and prove that the regret—the cumulative expected revenue loss caused by offering suboptimal assortments—after T$$ T $$ time periods is bounded by T$$ sqrt{T} $$ times a constant that is independent of the number of products. In addition, we prove a matching lower bound on the regret for any policy that is valid for arbitrary model parameters—slightly generalizing a recent regret lower bound derived for specific revenue parameters. Numerical illustrations suggest that our policy outperforms alternatives by a significant margin when T$$ T $$ and the number of products N$$ N $$ are not too small.
在无能力多项logit选择模型下,研究了具有不完全信息的动态分类优化问题。我们提出了一个随时随机逼近策略,并证明了T $$ T $$时间段后的遗憾-由提供次优分类引起的累积预期收入损失由T $$ sqrt{T} $$乘以一个与产品数量无关的常数所限制。此外,我们证明了对任意模型参数有效的任何策略的后悔下界的匹配下界-稍微推广了最近为特定收益参数导出的后悔下界。数值实例表明,当T $$ T $$和产品数量N $$ N $$不是太小时,我们的政策明显优于替代方案。
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引用次数: 1
Approximations for the distribution of perpetuities with small discount rates 具有小贴现率的永续年金分布的近似
Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22058
J. Blanchet, Peter W. Glynn
Perpetuities (i.e., random variables of the form D=∫0∞e−Γ(t−)dΛ(t)$$ D={int}_0^{infty }{e}^{-Gamma left(t-right)}dLambda (t) $$ play an important role in many application settings. We develop approximations for the distribution of D$$ D $$ when the “accumulated short rate process”, Γ$$ Gamma $$ , is small. We provide: (1) characterizations for the distribution of D$$ D $$ when Γ$$ Gamma $$ and Λ$$ Lambda $$ are driven by Markov processes; (2) general sufficient conditions under which weak convergence results can be derived for D$$ D $$ , and (3) Edgeworth expansions for the distribution of D$$ D $$ in the iid case and the case in which Λ$$ Lambda $$ is a Levy process and the interest rate is a function of an ergodic Markov process.
永续性(即D=∫0∞e−Γ(t−)dΛ(t) $$ D={int}_0^{infty }{e}^{-Gamma left(t-right)}dLambda (t) $$形式的随机变量)在许多应用设置中起重要作用。当“累积短期利率过程”Γ $$ Gamma $$很小时,我们对D $$ D $$的分布进行了近似。(1)给出了Γ $$ Gamma $$和Λ $$ Lambda $$受马尔可夫过程驱动时D $$ D $$的分布特征;(2)推导出D $$ D $$弱收敛结果的一般充分条件;(3)在iid情况和Λ $$ Lambda $$是Levy过程且利率是遍历马尔可夫过程的函数的情况下,D $$ D $$分布的Edgeworth展开式。
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引用次数: 2
The maintenance conversion scheduling problem: Models and insights 维护转换调度问题:模型和见解
Pub Date : 2022-05-12 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22059
M. R. Bowers, Bogdan C. Bichescu, Nana Bryan, G. Polak, K. Gilbert, D. Keene
The maintenance conversion scheduling problem (MCSP) is faced by organizations such as those in the airline, defense, heavy equipment, and transportation industries switching from an asset maintenance program with longer, less‐frequent service visits to one with shorter, more frequent visits. One example is the United States Air Force (USAF) High Velocity Maintenance program piloted at the Warner Robbins Air Logistics Center on the C‐130 aircraft line. The USAF MCSP is complex, as planners must schedule significantly more aircraft depot maintenance visits during the conversion period and must determine the timing and specific order in which each aircraft completes a repetitive sequence of maintenance visits. The conversion is expected to yield a stable long‐term maintenance schedule, while balancing annual depot workload and operating within reasonable flow times and work‐in‐process levels. While practically important, this problem has received little to no attention in the literature. Therefore, this research formalizes the general MCSP within an optimization framework, shows the MCSP is NP‐complete, proposes a computationally effective solution approach, and shows that a balanced long‐term schedule depends critically on the conversion period schedule. Our solutions are markedly better than USAF proposed schedules and underscore the value of leveraging synergies between asset availability and maintenance efficiency. Our approach moves the focus away from batch scheduling toward a smoother, more uniform, mixed‐model type schedule that yields more stable maintenance operations and a more consistent, predictable level of aircraft readiness. The manuscript concludes with a discussion of the main theoretical and practical implications of our work.
维护转换调度问题(MCSP)是航空、国防、重型设备和运输行业的组织所面临的问题,这些组织正在从一个具有较长、较不频繁服务访问的资产维护计划转向一个具有较短、较频繁服务访问的资产维护计划。一个例子是美国空军(USAF)在华纳罗宾斯航空物流中心C‐130飞机生产线上试行的高速维护项目。美国空军MCSP是复杂的,因为计划人员必须在转换期间安排更多的飞机仓库维护访问,并且必须确定每架飞机完成重复维护访问序列的时间和具体顺序。该转换预计将产生稳定的长期维护计划,同时平衡年度仓库工作量,并在合理的流程时间和在制品水平内运行。虽然这个问题在实践中很重要,但在文献中却很少或根本没有得到关注。因此,本研究在优化框架内形式化了通用MCSP,证明了MCSP是NP完全的,提出了一种计算有效的解决方法,并表明平衡的长期调度严重依赖于转换周期调度。我们的解决方案明显优于USAF提出的时间表,并强调了在资产可用性和维护效率之间利用协同作用的价值。我们的方法将焦点从批量调度转移到更顺畅、更统一、混合模型类型的调度,从而产生更稳定的维护操作和更一致、更可预测的飞机准备水平。手稿最后讨论了我们工作的主要理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Duopoly price competition with quality improvement spillover 双寡头价格竞争与质量提升溢出效应
Pub Date : 2022-04-26 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22057
Xin Geng, Zepeng Chen, Xiaomeng Guo, Guang Xiao
When competing firms embark and explore a new market, two salient features are often observed. On the one hand, the firms need to improve their quality by accumulating more experience and climbing up the learning curve. On the other hand, their quality may jointly expand the brand awareness of all competing products. In this article, we study a two‐period duopoly price competition where firms can improve their quality based on the accumulated demand (learn‐by‐doing effect) and their potential market size is positively affected by both firms' quality levels (quality spillover effect). In addition, we investigate two pricing schemes, namely, committed pricing and dynamic pricing, and their impact on the equilibrium outcomes. Assuming the two firms are symmetric in every aspect, our main findings include the following. First, we establish the existence and uniqueness of the pure Nash equilibrium for the dynamic game under either pricing scheme, and show that firms always set a low price in the first period to leverage quality improvement. As the quality spillover effect gets stronger, firms tend to raise their first‐period price, leading to a lower individual quality improvement and a non‐monotonic impact on firms' profit. Moreover, we find that committed pricing scheme benefits the duopoly when the spillover effect is strong, otherwise dynamic pricing scheme brings more profits. Finally, we examine two asymmetric cases where the firms are different in certain attributes pertaining to their learning speed and the quality spillover strength. Our analysis shows that the findings in the symmetric case still hold qualitatively. Useful managerial insights are derived from these studies.
当相互竞争的公司进入并探索一个新市场时,通常会观察到两个显著特征。一方面,公司需要通过积累更多的经验和提高学习曲线来提高自己的质量。另一方面,它们的质量可以共同扩大所有竞争产品的品牌知名度。在本文中,我们研究了两期双寡头价格竞争,其中企业可以根据累积需求提高质量(边做边学效应),其潜在市场规模受到双方企业质量水平的积极影响(质量溢出效应)。此外,我们研究了两种定价方案,即承诺定价和动态定价,以及它们对均衡结果的影响。假设两家公司在各个方面都是对称的,我们的主要发现包括以下几点。首先,我们建立了两种定价方案下的动态博弈纯纳什均衡的存在唯一性,并证明了企业在第一阶段总是设定一个较低的价格来利用质量改进。随着质量溢出效应的增强,企业倾向于提高其第一期价格,从而导致个体质量改进的降低和对企业利润的非单调影响。此外,我们发现当溢出效应较强时,承诺定价方案对双寡头有利,否则,动态定价方案带来更多的利润。最后,我们考察了两种不对称案例,其中企业在与学习速度和质量溢出强度相关的某些属性上存在差异。我们的分析表明,在对称情况下的发现仍然定性地成立。这些研究得出了有用的管理见解。
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引用次数: 1
Coordination of manufacturing and engineering activities during product transitions 在产品过渡期间协调制造和工程活动
Pub Date : 2022-04-09 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22056
Ankit Bansal, Osman Y. Özaltın, R. Uzsoy, K. Kempf
Product transitions involve the replacement of products currently being produced and distributed by a firm with new products throughout the firm's supply chain. In high technology industries effective management of product transitions is crucial to long‐term success, and involves the coordination of multiple product development units and a manufacturing unit by a product division serving a particular market. Since the different units are organizationally autonomous, and the product division does not have access to their detailed technological constraints and internal operating policies, a decentralized solution is required. We develop a price‐based coordination framework using the subadditive dual of a mixed‐integer linear program that seeks to maximize the number of units whose proposed plans are included in the final solution. The proposed approach yields superior solutions to a linear‐programming‐based branch‐and‐price approach within the same computing budget. We discuss the broader applicability of this integer column generation approach, and suggest directions for future work.
产品过渡是指企业在整个供应链中用新产品替换当前生产和分销的产品。在高科技产业中,产品转型的有效管理对于长期成功至关重要,这涉及到服务于特定市场的产品部门对多个产品开发单位和制造单位的协调。由于不同的单位在组织上是自治的,并且产品部门无法访问其详细的技术约束和内部操作策略,因此需要分散的解决方案。我们开发了一个基于价格的协调框架,使用混合整数线性规划的次加性对偶,寻求将其提议的计划包含在最终解决方案中的单元数量最大化。所提出的方法在相同的计算预算内产生了优于基于线性规划的分支和价格方法的解决方案。我们讨论了这种整数列生成方法的更广泛的适用性,并提出了未来工作的方向。
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引用次数: 0
A copula‐based approach on optimal allocation of hot standbys in series systems 基于copula的串联系统热备用优化分配方法
Pub Date : 2022-03-28 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22055
Jiandong Zhang, Yiying Zhang
In this paper, we propose a copula‐based approach to study the allocation problem of hot standbys in series systems composed of two heterogeneous and dependent components. By assuming that the lifetimes of components and spares are dependent and linked via a general survival copula, optimal allocation strategies are presented for the case of one and two redundancies at the component level. Further, redundancies allocation mechanisms are also compared between the allocations at the component level and the system level. For the case of one hot standby, we find that the performance of the redundant system at the component level is always worse than that at the system level. For the case of two hot standbys, the reversed allocation principle (i.e., Barlow–Proschan principle) is valid. Numerical examples and applications are also provided as illustrations. A real application on improving tensile strength of cables in high voltage electricity transmission network systems is presented for showing the applicability of our results.
本文提出了一种基于copula的方法来研究由两个异构和相关组件组成的串联系统的热备用分配问题。假设部件和备件的寿命是相互依赖的,并通过一个一般的生存联结关系联系起来,给出了部件一级冗余和二级冗余情况下的最优分配策略。此外,还比较了组件级和系统级的冗余分配机制。对于单热备的情况,我们发现冗余系统在组件级的性能总是比系统级的性能差。对于两个热备用的情况,反向分配原则(即Barlow-Proschan原则)是有效的。文中还给出了数值算例和应用实例。最后给出了在高压输电网系统中提高电缆抗拉强度的实际应用。
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引用次数: 3
On dynamic pricing under model uncertainty 模型不确定性下的动态定价研究
Pub Date : 2022-03-14 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22054
Xiao-hai Zhu, Xueqing Sun
We formulate and solve a robust dynamic pricing problem for an ambiguity‐averse agent who faces an uncertain probabilistic law governing the realized demand for a single product. Specifically, the pricing problem is framed as a stochastic game that involves a maximizing player (the “agent”) and a minimizing player (“nature”) who promotes robustness by distorting the agent's beliefs within prescribed limits. Our methodology builds on the commonly used entropic approach in the literature but can be utilized to generate a much more versatile class of uncertainty sets. We derive the optimal pricing strategy and the corresponding value function by applying stochastic dynamic programming and solving a version of the Bellman–Isaacs equation. The usefulness of our framework is illustrated by two special cases. Finally, a carefully designed numerical example exposes the value of model robustness.
我们提出并解决了一个不确定性规避代理的鲁棒动态定价问题,该代理面临控制单个产品实现需求的不确定概率律。具体来说,定价问题被框定为一个随机博弈,其中涉及一个最大化的参与者(“代理”)和一个最小化的参与者(“自然”),后者通过在规定的范围内扭曲代理的信念来提高鲁棒性。我们的方法建立在文献中常用的熵方法的基础上,但可以用来生成更通用的不确定性集。利用随机动态规划方法,通过求解Bellman-Isaacs方程,推导出最优定价策略和相应的价值函数。我们的框架的有用性通过两个特殊案例来说明。最后,通过一个精心设计的数值算例揭示了模型鲁棒性的价值。
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引用次数: 4
Truck and drone routing problem with synchronization on arcs 卡车和无人机在弧线上同步的路线问题
Pub Date : 2022-02-26 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22053
Hong-qi Li, Jun Chen, Feilong Wang, Yibin Zhao
Truck–drone technology that enables drones to launch from or land on a moving truck without the need for the truck to stop is the focus of this study. We define the truck and drone routing problem with synchronization on arcs (TDRP‐SA). The TDRP‐SA is characterized by synchronization on arcs, time windows, classified customers, direct delivery, multiple trucks, and multiple drones carried by each truck. The TDRP‐SA involves synchronization on arcs to permit trucks to dispatch and retrieve drones at suitable moving‐LRLs (drone launch/retrieval locations) on arcs of truck routes. A moving‐LRL is essentially a drone launch/retrieval location with a moving truck, and the drone launch/retrieval operations do not need special parking for the trucks. We develop a mixed integer nonlinear programming model to address the TDRP‐SA. We propose a mathematical analysis method to locate moving‐LRLs and to estimate the drone's arrival time at the customers. We develop boundary models through introducing linear piecewise functions to locate moving‐LRLs. We provide an adaptive large neighborhood search (ALNS) heuristic. Through computational experiments, the effectiveness of the boundary models, the TDRP‐SA model and ALNS‐based heuristic are evaluated.
卡车无人机技术使无人机能够从移动的卡车上发射或降落,而不需要卡车停下来,这是本研究的重点。我们定义了具有弧上同步的卡车和无人机路径问题(TDRP‐SA)。TDRP - SA的特点是弧线同步、时间窗、客户分类、直接交付、多辆卡车和每辆卡车搭载多架无人机。TDRP - SA涉及弧线上的同步,允许卡车在卡车路线弧线上合适的移动LRLs(无人机发射/取回地点)调度和取回无人机。移动LRL本质上是一个带有移动卡车的无人机发射/回收位置,无人机发射/回收操作不需要卡车的特殊停车位。我们开发了一个混合整数非线性规划模型来解决TDRP - SA问题。我们提出了一种数学分析方法来定位移动的LRLs,并估计无人机到达客户的时间。我们通过引入线性分段函数建立边界模型来定位移动的LRLs。提出了一种自适应大邻域搜索(ALNS)启发式算法。通过计算实验,对边界模型、TDRP - SA模型和基于ALNS的启发式算法的有效性进行了评价。
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引用次数: 9
Pareto‐scheduling with double‐weighted jobs to minimize the weighted number of tardy jobs and total weighted late work 采用双加权作业的帕累托调度,以最小化延迟作业的加权数量和延迟作业的加权总数
Pub Date : 2022-02-13 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22050
Shuen Guo, Lingfa Lu, Jinjiang Yuan, C. T. Ng, T. Cheng
We consider the single‐machine Pareto‐scheduling problem to minimize the weighted number of tardy jobs and total weighted late work simultaneously. The problem is to find the set of all the Pareto‐optimal points, that is, the Pareto frontier, and their corresponding Pareto‐optimal schedules. We consider the corresponding weighted‐sum scheduling problem and primary‐secondary scheduling problems, being subproblems of the general Pareto‐scheduling problem. The NP‐hardness of the general problem follows directly from the NP‐hardness of the two constituent single‐criterion problems. We present a pseudo‐polynomial algorithm and a fully polynomial‐time approximation scheme (FPTAS) running in weakly polynomial time to deal with the general problem. When all the jobs have a common due date, we further provide an FPTAS running in strongly polynomial time. We also study some special cases of the general problem where the jobs have equal processing times, a common due date, or a common weight, and analyze their computational complexity status.
考虑单机Pareto调度问题,以同时最小化延迟工作的加权数和延迟工作的加权总数。问题是找到所有帕累托最优点的集合,即帕累托边界,以及它们对应的帕累托最优调度。我们考虑了相应的加权和调度问题和主次调度问题,它们是一般Pareto调度问题的子问题。一般问题的NP困难直接来源于两个单准则问题的NP困难。我们提出了一个伪多项式算法和一个在弱多项式时间内运行的全多项式时间近似方案(FPTAS)来处理一般问题。当所有作业都有一个共同的到期日期时,我们进一步提供一个在强多项式时间内运行的FPTAS。我们还研究了一般问题的一些特殊情况,其中作业具有相同的处理时间、相同的到期日或相同的权重,并分析了它们的计算复杂性状态。
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引用次数: 4
Buyback and price postponement in a decentralized supply chain with additive and price‐dependent demand 具有附加需求和价格依赖需求的分散供应链中的回购和价格延迟
Pub Date : 2022-02-12 DOI: 10.1002/nav.22052
Kairen Zhang, Weixin Shang, Weihua Zhou
We examine buyback contracts in a dyadic supply chain where a retailer orders from a supplier before observing the random demand and sets a retail price after observing it (a.k.a. price postponement). We focus on the case with linear additive demand, which is well known to be less tractable than the case with linear multiplicative demand. With mild conditions on the distribution of demand uncertainty, we derive the supplier's optimal buyback contract and show the following results. The supplier strictly prefers buyback contracts to wholesale price‐only contracts if and only if the unit production cost is lower than a threshold that depends on the dispersion of demand uncertainty; the optimal buyback rate is decreasing in the unit production cost; the profit allocation within the supply chain and channel efficiency depend on the dispersion of demand uncertainty. These results are in stark contrast to those in the case with linear multiplicative demand. Nevertheless, the relation between the operational decisions under the optimal buyback contract and those under the optimal wholesale price‐only contract is consistent with the case of multiplicative demand. We further extend the analysis to two related scenarios. On one hand, our results continue to hold in a supply chain where one supplier sells to two competing retailers. On the other hand, when the retailer does not postpone retail pricing decisions, we establish three distinctive properties of the optimal buyback contract: the supplier strictly prefers buyback contracts to wholesale price‐only contracts if and only if the unit production cost is intermediate; the optimal buyback rate is increasing in the unit production cost in the region where the supplier strictly prefers buyback contracts to wholesale price‐only contracts; price postponement benefits both the retailer and the supply chain but does not always benefit the supplier. The above analysis shows that the supplier's preference between buyback and wholesale price‐only contracts can swing either way when the retailer starts to practice price postponement.
我们研究了二元供应链中的回购合同,其中零售商在观察随机需求之前从供应商处订购,并在观察随机需求之后设定零售价格(也称为价格延迟)。我们关注的是具有线性加性需求的情况,众所周知,它比具有线性乘法需求的情况更难处理。在需求不确定性分布的温和条件下,导出了供应商的最优回购契约,得到了如下结果:当且仅当单位生产成本低于需求不确定性分散的阈值时,供应商严格倾向于回购合同而不是批发价格合同;最优回购率随单位生产成本的增加而减小;供应链内部的利润分配和渠道效率取决于需求不确定性的分散。这些结果与线性乘法需求的结果形成鲜明对比。然而,最优回购合同下的操作决策与最优批发价格合同下的操作决策之间的关系与需求倍增的情况是一致的。我们进一步将分析扩展到两个相关的场景。一方面,在一个供应商向两个相互竞争的零售商销售的供应链中,我们的结果继续保持不变。另一方面,当零售商不推迟零售定价决策时,我们建立了最优回购契约的三个独特性质:当且仅当单位生产成本为中间时,供应商严格倾向于回购契约而不是批发价格契约;当供应商严格选择回购合同而非纯批发价格合同时,最优回购率随单位生产成本的增加而增加;价格延迟对零售商和供应链都有利,但并不总是对供应商有利。上述分析表明,当零售商开始实行价格延迟时,供应商在回购和批发价格合约之间的偏好会发生摆动。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Naval Research Logistics (NRL)
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