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Association of standardized serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D with falls in post-menopausal women. 标准血清 25- 羟维生素 D 与绝经后妇女跌倒的关系。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-25 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07310-2
Neil Binkley, Christopher T Sempos, Gretta Borchardt, Jennifer Larsen, Mark L Stacey, Samuel Mosiman, Joan M Lappe

Vitamin D status has long been related to falls risk. In this planned secondary analysis of a vitamin supplementation trial in postmenopausal women, standardized 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration up to 60 ng/mL was not associated with increased falls. Women with 25(OH)D ≥ 60 ng/mL had higher odds of ≥ 2 falls.

Purpose: Falls are common and cause fractures. High circulating 25(OH)D may increase falls risk; thus, recent guidance recommends 25(OH)D not exceed 50 ng/mL. Prior falls studies have not reported standardized 25(OH)D (s25D) data. The purpose of this planned secondary analysis of a 4-year calcium/vitamin D supplementation trial was to evaluate the association of s25D with falls.

Methods: This study recruited 2,303 postmenopausal women. The analytic dataset consisted of pooled concatenated data from years 2-4 (NTotal = 5,732). Serum 25(OH)D was measured annually and subsequently retrospectively standardized using Vitamin D Standardization Program methods. Falls were recorded by diary. Incidence for ≥ 1 fall and ≥ 2 falls was assessed by s25D group (≤ 20, 20- < 30, 30- < 40, 40- < 50, 50- < 60 and ≥ 60 ng/mL) using multivariable logistic regression.

Results: Mean (SD) baseline s25D was 32.6 ng/mL (8.3) with no difference between supplement and placebo groups. s25D increased to 41.3 ng/mL at year 2 in the supplement group then remained stable. By s25D group, incidence for ≥ 1 fall varied from 22-32% (p = 0.19). For ≥ 2 falls incidence varied (p = 0.03) from 6% (< 20 ng/mL) to 17% (≥ 60 ng/mL.) There was no significant association between s25D and ≥ 1 fall. Those with s25D ≥ 60 ng/mL had a higher adjusted odds of ≥ 2 falls (OR = 1.99 ± 1.2-3.3) compared to women with s25D of 30- < 40 ng/mL.

Conclusion: s25D up to 60 ng/mL was not associated with greater risk for ≥ 1 or ≥ 2 falls. Women with a s25D ≥ 60 ng/mL were at higher odds for ≥ 2 falls, however this group included only ~ 2% of study observations; therefore, confirmation in other cohorts is necessary.

长期以来,维生素 D 状态一直与跌倒风险有关。在这项针对绝经后妇女的维生素补充试验的二次分析中,标准 25- 羟维生素 D 浓度达到 60 纳克/毫升与跌倒风险增加无关。25(OH)D≥60纳克/毫升的女性发生≥2次跌倒的几率更高:目的:跌倒是常见的骨折原因。高循环 25(OH)D 可能会增加跌倒风险;因此,最近的指南建议 25(OH)D 不要超过 50 纳克/毫升。之前的跌倒研究并未报告标准化的 25(OH)D(s25D)数据。本研究计划对一项为期 4 年的钙/维生素 D 补充试验进行二次分析,目的是评估 s25D 与跌倒的关系:这项研究招募了 2,303 名绝经后妇女。分析数据集包括第 2-4 年的合并数据(NTotal = 5732)。血清25(OH)D每年测量一次,随后采用维生素D标准化计划方法进行回顾性标准化。跌倒情况以日记形式记录。≥1次跌倒和≥2次跌倒的发生率按s25D组进行评估(≤20,20- 结果:补充剂组和安慰剂组的 s25D 平均值(标清)为 32.6 纳克/毫升(8.3),没有差异。按 s25D 组别划分,≥ 1 次下降的发生率为 22-32%(p = 0.19)。结论:s25D 高达 60 毫微克/毫升与≥1 次或≥2 次跌倒的更大风险无关。s25D≥ 60 ng/mL的女性发生≥2次跌倒的几率较高,但该组仅占研究观察结果的2%;因此,有必要在其他队列中进行确认。
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引用次数: 0
Osteoporosis testing and treatment remain low in both Traditional Medicare and Medicare Advantage. 在传统医疗保险和医疗保险优势计划中,骨质疏松症检测和治疗的比例仍然很低。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07318-8
Tej D Azad, Rachel J Wu, Kelly E Anderson, Michael Darden, Amit Jain

Little is known regarding osteoporosis management between Traditional Medicare (TM) and Medicare Advantage (MA). MA beneficiaries had higher rates of osteoporosis testing and higher rates of osteoporosis drug treatment initiation rates. Following an osteoporotic fragility fracture, MA beneficiaries were more likely to be prescribed osteoporosis treatment. While osteoporosis testing and treatment initiation rates are low in both TM and MA, rates tended to be higher in MA.

Purpose: Osteoporosis represents a substantial clinical challenge in the United States, particularly for older women, and requires effective care coordination. Medicare Advantage (MA) plans have financial incentives in the form of star ratings to improve osteoporosis testing and treatment. The objective of this study was to compare osteoporosis management practices between Traditional Medicare (TM) beneficiaries and MA female enrollees.

Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study using a nationally representative 20% sample of 2017-2019 TM claims and MA encounter records. We identified 2,994,203 female TM beneficiaries and 1,924,132 MA enrollees. The exposure was enrollment in MA. The primary outcomes were the rates of guideline-recommended bone mineral density (BMD) testing and osteoporosis drug initiation following a new osteoporosis diagnosis and after a new osteoporotic fragility fracture.

Results: MA beneficiaries had higher unadjusted (22.0% vs. 19.8% in TM; P < 0.001) and adjusted rates (0.8 percentage points [p.p.] higher; P < 0.001) of BMD testing. Osteoporosis drug treatment initiation rates were higher in the MA cohort, both unadjusted (24.9% vs. 20.3% in TM; P < 0.001) and adjusted (4.0 p.p. higher; P < 0.001). Following an osteoporotic fragility fracture, MA beneficiaries were more likely to be prescribed pharmacologic treatment (28.7% vs. 21.1% in TM; P < 0.001), with an adjusted increase of 5.9 p.p (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: Overall osteoporosis testing and treatment initiation rates in both TM and MA enrollees were low, with improved rates in MA compared to TM.

人们对传统医疗保险(TM)和医疗保险优势(MA)之间的骨质疏松症管理知之甚少。MA受益人接受骨质疏松症检测的比例较高,开始接受骨质疏松症药物治疗的比例也较高。发生骨质疏松性脆性骨折后,MA 受益人更有可能接受骨质疏松症治疗。目的:骨质疏松症在美国是一项重大的临床挑战,尤其是对老年妇女而言,需要有效的护理协调。医疗保险优势计划(MA)以星级评定的形式对改善骨质疏松症检测和治疗提供经济激励。本研究旨在比较传统医疗保险(TM)受益人和医疗保险女性参保者的骨质疏松症管理方法:我们使用具有全国代表性的 20% 2017-2019 年 TM 索赔样本和 MA 遇险记录进行了一项横断面研究。我们确定了 2,994,203 名女性 TM 受益人和 1,924,132 名 MA 投保人。接触对象为 MA 注册者。主要结果是在新的骨质疏松症诊断后和新的骨质疏松性脆性骨折后进行指南推荐的骨质密度(BMD)检测和开始服用骨质疏松症药物的比率:结果:医疗保险受益人的未调整率较高(22.0%对19.8%;P 结论:医疗保险受益人的未调整率较低(22.0%对19.8%;P 结论:医疗保险受益人的未调整率较高):在 TM 和 MA 参保者中,骨质疏松症检测和治疗的总体启动率都很低,与 TM 相比,MA 的启动率有所提高。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence insights into osteoporosis: comment. 人工智能对骨质疏松症的启示:评论。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07102-8
Hinpetch Daungsupawong, Viroj Wiwanitkit
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the impact of the 5 Nations Consensus Paper on IV Zolendronate administration post-hip fracture in older patients: experience from a UK teaching hospital. 评估五国共识文件对老年患者髋部骨折后静脉注射唑仑膦酸钠的影响:英国一家教学医院的经验。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07303-1
J Soopramanien, A Wakefield, L Marshall, J Nightingale, O Sahota
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引用次数: 0
The diagnostic value of MRI-based vertebral bone quality score for osteoporosis or osteopenia in patients undergoing lumbar surgery: a meta-analysis. 基于磁共振成像的脊椎骨质量评分对腰椎手术患者骨质疏松症或骨质增生的诊断价值:一项荟萃分析。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07190-6
Fangke Hu, Xiaopeng Li, Dong Zhao, Chao Chen, Gang Liu, Qiang Yang

The importance of osteoporosis assessment before lumbar surgery is well recognized. The MRI-based Vertebral Bone Quality (VBQ) score is introduced to evaluate bone quality; however, its diagnostic value has not been well documented. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to summarize the diagnostic value of the VBQ score for osteoporosis or osteopenia in patients undergoing lumbar surgery. We comprehensively searched electronic databases for studies exploring the diagnostic accuracy of the VBQ score for osteoporosis/osteopenia in patients with lumbar disease following the PRISMA guidelines. The quality of the included studies was assessed. The VBQ scores were compared between the groups, and the pooled sensitivity, specificity, and summary receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were calculated. Publication bias was assessed, and meta-regression was conducted. We included 17 studies with a total of 2815 patients, with a mean age of 66.4 years and a percentage of females of 72.5%. According to the QUADAS-2 tool, the quality of the included studies was relatively high. The results showed a significantly higher VBQ score in the osteoporosis/osteopenia group compared with the control group. According to the mean VBQ cutoff value of 3.02 ± 0.38 for the diagnosis of osteoporosis, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.76 and 0.74, respectively, and the AUC was 0.81. According to the mean VBQ cutoff value of 2.31 ± 0.18 for the diagnosis of osteopenia, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.78 and 0.58, respectively, and the AUC was 0.76. The MRI-based VBQ score could provide useful information for identifying patients with low bone mass who need further evaluation. Future prospective studies are still needed to evaluate the complementary role of the VBQ score.

腰椎手术前进行骨质疏松症评估的重要性已得到广泛认可。基于核磁共振成像的椎骨质量(VBQ)评分被引入到骨质评估中,但其诊断价值尚未得到充分证实。本荟萃分析旨在总结 VBQ 评分对腰椎手术患者骨质疏松症或骨质疏松的诊断价值。我们按照 PRISMA 指南全面检索了电子数据库中探讨 VBQ 评分对腰椎疾病患者骨质疏松症/骨质疏松诊断准确性的研究。我们对纳入研究的质量进行了评估。比较了各组间的 VBQ 评分,并计算了汇总的敏感性、特异性和接收者操作特征(ROC)。评估了发表偏倚,并进行了元回归。我们纳入了 17 项研究,共 2815 名患者,平均年龄为 66.4 岁,女性比例为 72.5%。根据 QUADAS-2 工具,纳入研究的质量相对较高。结果显示,骨质疏松症/骨质疏松组的 VBQ 得分明显高于对照组。诊断骨质疏松症的平均 VBQ 临界值为 3.02 ± 0.38,汇总灵敏度和特异度分别为 0.76 和 0.74,AUC 为 0.81。根据平均 VBQ 临界值 2.31 ± 0.18 诊断骨质疏松症,汇总的敏感性和特异性分别为 0.78 和 0.58,AUC 为 0.76。基于磁共振成像的 VBQ 评分可为识别需要进一步评估的低骨量患者提供有用信息。未来仍需进行前瞻性研究,以评估 VBQ 评分的补充作用。
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence of low vitamin D levels among older US Asian and Pacific Islander adults. 美国亚裔和太平洋岛民中老年人维生素 D 含量低的患病率。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07197-z
Wei Yang, Malini Chandra, Nancy P Gordon, Jeanne A Darbinian, Julia C Drees, Jennifer Park-Sigal, Catherine Lee, Joan C Lo

While US Asian and Pacific Islander adults have lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels than White adults, ethnic subgroup data remain limited. In a large California population, the adjusted prevalence of 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) was 1.5- to 2.7-fold higher for Asian/Pacific Islander compared to White adults, with substantial variation by ethnicity.

Purpose: US Asian and Pacific Islander (PI) adults generally have lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels than non-Hispanic White (NHW) adults, but subgroup data remain limited. We compared sex- and ethnicity-specific prevalence of low 25(OH)D among older Asian/PI and NHW adults.

Methods: Data from 102,556 Asian/PI and 381,724 NHW adults aged 50-89 years with measured 25(OH)D in 2012-2019 and body mass index (BMI, within ± 1 year) were examined in a California healthcare system. Low 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) was examined by race and ethnicity. Covariates included age, smoking, BMI, and season of measurement. Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (aPR), adjusting for covariates.

Results: Among 31,287 Asian/PI men and 71,269 Asian/PI women, the prevalence of low 25(OH)D was 22.6% and 14.7%, respectively, significantly higher than observed for 122,162 NHW men (12.3%) and 259,562 NHW women (9.9%). Within Asian/PI subgroups, low 25(OH)D prevalence ranged from 17 to 18% (Korean, Japanese, Filipino), 22 to 24% (Chinese, Vietnamese), 28% (South Asian), and 35% (Native Hawaiian/PI) among men and 11 to 14% (Japanese, Filipina, Chinese, Korean), 17 to 18% (South Asian, Vietnamese), and 26% (Native Hawaiian/PI) among women. The corresponding aPRs (NHW reference) for men and women were as follows: Native Hawaiian/PI, 2.70 and 2.34; South Asian, 2.56 and 2.07; Vietnamese, 2.17 and 2.31; Chinese, 2.04 and 1.89; Korean, 1.60 and 1.85; Filipino, 1.58 and 1.52; and Japanese, 1.58 and 1.49 (p < 0.001).

Conclusion: In a large US healthcare population of older Asian/PI adults, low 25(OH)D prevalence was 1.5- to 2.7-fold higher for Asian/PI compared to NHW adults, with substantial variation by sex and ethnicity.

尽管美国亚裔和太平洋岛民成年人的 25- 羟基维生素 D(25(OH)D)水平低于白人成年人,但种族亚群数据仍然有限。在加利福尼亚州的一个大型人群中,25(OH)D 的调整患病率 目的:美国亚裔和太平洋岛民(PI)成年人的 25- 羟维生素 D [25(OH)D] 水平普遍低于非西班牙裔白人(NHW)成年人,但亚组数据仍然有限。我们比较了亚裔/白种人和非西班牙裔白种人中25(OH)D偏低的性别和种族患病率:我们研究了加利福尼亚州医疗保健系统中 102,556 名亚裔/PI 和 381,724 名 50-89 岁 NHW 成年人的数据,他们在 2012-2019 年测量了 25(OH)D 和体重指数(BMI,± 1 年内)。低 25(OH)D 结果:在 31,287 名亚裔/菲律宾裔男性和 71,269 名亚裔/菲律宾裔女性中,25(OH)D 偏低的发生率分别为 22.6% 和 14.7%,明显高于在 122,162 名非正常体重男性(12.3%)和 259,562 名非正常体重女性(9.9%)中观察到的结果。在亚洲/太平洋岛屿族裔亚群中,男性 25(OH)D 低流行率为 17%至 18%(韩国人、日本人、菲律宾人)、22%至 24%(中国人、越南人)、28%(南亚人)和 35%(夏威夷原住民/太平洋岛屿族裔),女性为 11%至 14%(日本人、菲律宾人、中国人、韩国人)、17%至 18%(南亚人、越南人)和 26%(夏威夷原住民/太平洋岛屿族裔)。男性和女性的相应 aPRs(NHW 参考值)如下:夏威夷原住民/印地安人,2.70 和 2.34;南亚人,2.56 和 2.07;越南人,2.17 和 2.31;中国人,2.04 和 1.89;韩国人,1.60 和 1.85;菲律宾人,1.58 和 1.52;日本人,1.58 和 1.49(P 结论:在美国大量的医疗保健人群中,男性和女性的 aPRs(NHW 参考值)分别为 2.70 和 2.34,2.56 和 2.07,2.17 和 2.31:在美国庞大的亚裔/太平洋岛屿族裔老年人医疗保健人群中,亚裔/太平洋岛屿族裔的 25(OH)D 低患病率是白血病患病率的 1.5 至 2.7 倍,不同性别和族裔的患病率差异很大。
{"title":"Prevalence of low vitamin D levels among older US Asian and Pacific Islander adults.","authors":"Wei Yang, Malini Chandra, Nancy P Gordon, Jeanne A Darbinian, Julia C Drees, Jennifer Park-Sigal, Catherine Lee, Joan C Lo","doi":"10.1007/s00198-024-07197-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00198-024-07197-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While US Asian and Pacific Islander adults have lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels than White adults, ethnic subgroup data remain limited. In a large California population, the adjusted prevalence of 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) was 1.5- to 2.7-fold higher for Asian/Pacific Islander compared to White adults, with substantial variation by ethnicity.</p><p><strong>Purpose: </strong>US Asian and Pacific Islander (PI) adults generally have lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels than non-Hispanic White (NHW) adults, but subgroup data remain limited. We compared sex- and ethnicity-specific prevalence of low 25(OH)D among older Asian/PI and NHW adults.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from 102,556 Asian/PI and 381,724 NHW adults aged 50-89 years with measured 25(OH)D in 2012-2019 and body mass index (BMI, within ± 1 year) were examined in a California healthcare system. Low 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL (50 nmol/L) was examined by race and ethnicity. Covariates included age, smoking, BMI, and season of measurement. Modified Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (aPR), adjusting for covariates.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 31,287 Asian/PI men and 71,269 Asian/PI women, the prevalence of low 25(OH)D was 22.6% and 14.7%, respectively, significantly higher than observed for 122,162 NHW men (12.3%) and 259,562 NHW women (9.9%). Within Asian/PI subgroups, low 25(OH)D prevalence ranged from 17 to 18% (Korean, Japanese, Filipino), 22 to 24% (Chinese, Vietnamese), 28% (South Asian), and 35% (Native Hawaiian/PI) among men and 11 to 14% (Japanese, Filipina, Chinese, Korean), 17 to 18% (South Asian, Vietnamese), and 26% (Native Hawaiian/PI) among women. The corresponding aPRs (NHW reference) for men and women were as follows: Native Hawaiian/PI, 2.70 and 2.34; South Asian, 2.56 and 2.07; Vietnamese, 2.17 and 2.31; Chinese, 2.04 and 1.89; Korean, 1.60 and 1.85; Filipino, 1.58 and 1.52; and Japanese, 1.58 and 1.49 (p < 0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In a large US healthcare population of older Asian/PI adults, low 25(OH)D prevalence was 1.5- to 2.7-fold higher for Asian/PI compared to NHW adults, with substantial variation by sex and ethnicity.</p>","PeriodicalId":19638,"journal":{"name":"Osteoporosis International","volume":" ","pages":"2017-2024"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142110506","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fracture risk assessment in the presence of competing risk of death. 在存在死亡竞争风险的情况下进行骨折风险评估。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07224-z
Thach S Tran, Dana Bliuc, Robert D Blank, Jacqueline R Center, Tuan V Nguyen

Purpose: To identify the optimal statistical approach for predicting the risk of fragility fractures in the presence of competing event of death.

Methods: We used real-world data from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study that has monitored 3035 elderly participants for bone health and mortality. Fragility fractures were ascertained radiologically. Mortality was confirmed by the State Registry. We considered four statistical models for predicting fracture risk: (i) conventional Cox's proportional hazard model, (ii) cause-specific model, (iii) Fine-Gray sub-distribution model, and (iv) multistate model. These models were fitted and validated in the development (60% of the original sample) and validation (40%) subsets, respectively. The model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration analyses.

Results: During a median follow-up of 11.3 years (IQR: 7.2, 16.2), 628 individuals (34.5%) in the development cohort fractured, and 630 (34.6%) died without a fracture. Neither the discrimination nor the 5-year prediction performance was significantly different among the models, though the conventional model tended to overestimate fracture risk (calibration-in-the-large index =  - 0.24; 95% CI: - 0.43, - 0.06). For 10-year risk prediction, the multistate model (calibration-in-the-large index =  - 0.05; 95% CI: - 0.20, 0.10) outperformed the cause-specific (- 0.23; - 0.30, - 0.08), Fine-Gray (- 0.31; - 0.46, - 0.16), and conventional model (- 0.54; - 0.70, - 0.39) which significantly overestimated fracture risk.

Conclusion: Adjustment for competing risk of death has minimum impact on the short-term prediction of fracture. However, the multistate model yields the most accurate prediction of long-term fracture risk and should be considered for predictive research in the elderly, who are also at high mortality risk. Fracture risk assessment might be compromised by the competing event of death. This study, using real-world data found a multistate model was superior to the current competing risk methods in fracture risk assessment. A multistate model is considered an optimal statistical method for predictive research in the elderly.

目的:确定在存在死亡竞争事件的情况下预测脆性骨折风险的最佳统计方法:我们使用了杜博骨质疏松症流行病学研究(Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study)的真实数据,该研究对 3035 名老年参与者的骨骼健康和死亡率进行了监测。脆性骨折是通过放射学检查确定的。死亡率由国家登记处确认。我们考虑了四种预测骨折风险的统计模型:(i) 传统的 Cox 比例危险模型,(ii) 特定原因模型,(iii) Fine-Gray 子分布模型,以及 (iv) 多州模型。这些模型分别在开发子集(原始样本的 60%)和验证子集(40%)中进行了拟合和验证。通过辨别和校准分析评估了模型的性能:在中位数为 11.3 年(IQR:7.2,16.2)的随访期间,开发组群中有 628 人(34.5%)发生骨折,630 人(34.6%)在未发生骨折的情况下死亡。尽管传统模型倾向于高估骨折风险(校准大样本指数 = - 0.24; 95% CI: - 0.43, - 0.06),但各模型的区分度和 5 年预测性能均无明显差异。在10年风险预测方面,多州模型(大样本校准指数=- 0.05;95% CI:- 0.20,0.10)优于特异性病因模型(- 0.23;- 0.30,- 0.08)、Fine-Gray模型(- 0.31;- 0.46,- 0.16)和传统模型(- 0.54;- 0.70,- 0.39),后者明显高估了骨折风险:结论:调整死亡竞争风险对骨折的短期预测影响最小。然而,多态模型对长期骨折风险的预测最为准确,因此在对同样面临高死亡风险的老年人进行预测研究时应加以考虑。骨折风险评估可能会受到死亡这一竞争事件的影响。本研究利用真实世界的数据发现,在骨折风险评估中,多态模型优于目前的竞争风险方法。多态模型被认为是老年人预测研究的最佳统计方法。
{"title":"Fracture risk assessment in the presence of competing risk of death.","authors":"Thach S Tran, Dana Bliuc, Robert D Blank, Jacqueline R Center, Tuan V Nguyen","doi":"10.1007/s00198-024-07224-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s00198-024-07224-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>To identify the optimal statistical approach for predicting the risk of fragility fractures in the presence of competing event of death.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used real-world data from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study that has monitored 3035 elderly participants for bone health and mortality. Fragility fractures were ascertained radiologically. Mortality was confirmed by the State Registry. We considered four statistical models for predicting fracture risk: (i) conventional Cox's proportional hazard model, (ii) cause-specific model, (iii) Fine-Gray sub-distribution model, and (iv) multistate model. These models were fitted and validated in the development (60% of the original sample) and validation (40%) subsets, respectively. The model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration analyses.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During a median follow-up of 11.3 years (IQR: 7.2, 16.2), 628 individuals (34.5%) in the development cohort fractured, and 630 (34.6%) died without a fracture. Neither the discrimination nor the 5-year prediction performance was significantly different among the models, though the conventional model tended to overestimate fracture risk (calibration-in-the-large index =  - 0.24; 95% CI: - 0.43, - 0.06). For 10-year risk prediction, the multistate model (calibration-in-the-large index =  - 0.05; 95% CI: - 0.20, 0.10) outperformed the cause-specific (- 0.23; - 0.30, - 0.08), Fine-Gray (- 0.31; - 0.46, - 0.16), and conventional model (- 0.54; - 0.70, - 0.39) which significantly overestimated fracture risk.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Adjustment for competing risk of death has minimum impact on the short-term prediction of fracture. However, the multistate model yields the most accurate prediction of long-term fracture risk and should be considered for predictive research in the elderly, who are also at high mortality risk. Fracture risk assessment might be compromised by the competing event of death. This study, using real-world data found a multistate model was superior to the current competing risk methods in fracture risk assessment. A multistate model is considered an optimal statistical method for predictive research in the elderly.</p>","PeriodicalId":19638,"journal":{"name":"Osteoporosis International","volume":" ","pages":"1989-1998"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11499430/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141982897","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Commentary on the Broader Perspectives of Hip Fractures in Primary Aldosteronism: From Medical to Social. 原发性醛固酮增多症髋部骨折的广阔前景》评论:从医学到社会。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07186-2
Qinxin Zhou, Jixin Chen
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the relationship between sagittal spinal curvature and fall incidence and fall risk among elderly nursing home residents. 调查矢状脊柱弯曲度与养老院老人跌倒发生率和跌倒风险之间的关系。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07232-z
Samaneh Osanlou, Hadi Miri, Jeanne F Nichols, Mahdi Hosseinzadeh

Designing appropriate diagnostic and treatment methods to reduce fall risk and improve quality of life, as well as reduce the cost of care in elderlies. Our findings have potential for early diagnosis of those with a high probability of falling based on fairly simple clinical measures of hyperkyphosis, forward head, and lordosis.

Introduction: Poor balance is an underlying cause of falling in the elderly, for which a change in the natural curvature of the spine plays a major role. Little is known about the relationship between spinal curvatures and fall incidence in this population. We primarily aimed to investigate the relationship between sagittal plane spinal curvatures and fall incidence over 1 year among nursing facility residents. Secondarily, we aim to determine associations of sagittal plane spinal curvatures with participants' perception of fall risk and balance capability.

Methods: Participants (100 residents mean age 70.17 ± 6.01 years) underwent standing measures of sagittal plane spinal curvatures (flexible ruler technique) and forward displacement of the head relative to the cervical spine. The Tinetti Performance Oriented Mobility Assessment (POMA) and Fall Efficacy Scale assessed participants' perception of balance and fear of falling. Incident falls were self-reported monthly and tracked across 1 year. Spearman's correlations and logistic regression evaluated associations between fall incidence and spinal curvature. Predictive performance of spinal curvature and fall risk was determined by the corresponding ROC for defining a cut-off for variables of spinal curvature and fall risk indicators.

Results: Predictive performance of spinal curvature and fall risk factors indicated 84% and 77% of participants were correctly classified using models of kyphosis and head angle, respectively.

Conclusions: Our study adds new data on spinal curvatures and incident falls among nursing facility residents. Efforts are needed to intervene to counter progression of spinal curvatures and improve fall prevention practices.

设计适当的诊断和治疗方法,以降低跌倒风险、改善生活质量并降低老年人的护理成本。我们的研究结果有可能根据相当简单的脊柱后凸、头前倾和前倾的临床测量方法,早期诊断出那些极有可能跌倒的人:平衡能力差是导致老年人跌倒的一个根本原因,而脊柱自然弯曲的变化在其中起着重要作用。人们对老年人脊柱弯曲与跌倒发生率之间的关系知之甚少。我们的主要目的是调查矢状面脊柱弯曲度与护理机构居民一年内跌倒发生率之间的关系。其次,我们还旨在确定脊柱矢状面弯曲与参与者对跌倒风险和平衡能力的认知之间的关系:参与者(100 名居民,平均年龄为 70.17 ± 6.01 岁)接受矢状面脊柱弯曲度(软尺技术)和头部相对于颈椎前移的站立测量。蒂内蒂运动能力评估(POMA)和跌倒效能量表评估参与者的平衡感和跌倒恐惧感。参与者每月自行报告跌倒事件,并在一年内进行跟踪。斯皮尔曼相关性和逻辑回归评估了跌倒发生率与脊柱弯曲度之间的关联。脊柱弯曲度和跌倒风险的预测性能由相应的ROC决定,ROC用于定义脊柱弯曲度变量和跌倒风险指标的临界值:脊柱弯曲度和跌倒风险因素的预测结果表明,使用脊柱后凸和头部角度模型,分别有84%和77%的参与者被正确分类:我们的研究为护理机构居民的脊柱弯曲和跌倒事故增加了新的数据。我们需要努力采取干预措施,阻止脊柱弯曲的发展,并改进跌倒预防措施。
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引用次数: 0
The Healing and therapeutic effects of perioperative bisphosphonate use in patients with fragility fractures: meta-analysis of 19 clinical trials. 脆性骨折患者围手术期使用双膦酸盐的愈合和治疗效果:19 项临床试验的荟萃分析。
IF 4.2 2区 医学 Q1 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07191-5
Yuhong Zeng, Yuan Yang, Jue Wang, Guolin Meng

Objectives: Previous evidence suggests that bisphosphonates (BPs) may lower the risk of recurrent fractures and enhance functional recovery in patients with fractures. However, there has been controversy regarding the optimal timing of treatment initiation for patients with fragility fractures. We conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the available evidence on the use of BPs during the perioperative period and compared it to both non-perioperative periods and non-usage.

Methods: Electronic searches were performed using PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library published before February 2023, without any language restrictions. The primary outcomes included fracture healing rate, healing time, and new fractures. We also examined a wide range of secondary outcomes. Random effects meta-analysis was used.

Results: A total of 19 clinical trials involving 2543 patients were included in this meta-analysis. When comparing patients with non-perioperative BPs use in 4-6 weeks and approximately 10-12 weeks post-surgically, the overall risk ratios (RRs) of perioperative BPs use for healing rate were 1.06 (95% CI: 0.81, 1.38, p=0.69) and 1.02 (95% CI: 0.94, 1.11, p=0.65), respectively, suggesting no difference in healing rate between perioperative and non-perioperative BP initiation. For healing time, the overall mean difference between perioperative and non-perioperative periods was -0.19 week (95% CI: -1.03, 0.64, p=0.65) at approximately 10-12 weeks, indicating no significant impact of perioperative BP initiation on healing time. In terms of new fractures, the overall RR with BP use was 0.35 (95% CI: 0.17-0.73, p=0.005), when compared to patients without BPs use. This suggests a protective impact of BP use against new fractures compared to patients without BP use. Perioperative BP use was associated with a markedly higher likelihood of having adverse experiences, including fever (RR: 23.78, 95% CI: 8.29, 68.21, p< 0.001), arthralgia (RR: 10.20, 95% CI: 2.41, 43.16, p=0.002), and myalgia (RR: 9.42, 95% CI: 2.54, 34.87, p< 0.001), compared with non-BPs use.

Conclusions: Treatment with BP during the perioperative period does not affect the healing process and has positive effects on therapy for patients with fragility fractures. These compelling findings underscore the potential efficacy of BP use during the perioperative period as a viable treatment option for patients with fragility fractures.

目的:以往的证据表明,双膦酸盐(BPs)可降低骨折患者复发骨折的风险并促进其功能恢复。然而,关于脆性骨折患者开始治疗的最佳时机一直存在争议。我们进行了一项荟萃分析,评估在围手术期使用保压药的现有证据,并将其与非围手术期和不使用保压药进行比较:使用 PubMed、EMBASE、Web of Science 和 Cochrane Library 对 2023 年 2 月之前发表的文章进行电子检索,没有任何语言限制。主要结果包括骨折愈合率、愈合时间和新骨折。我们还研究了一系列次要结果。我们采用了随机效应荟萃分析法:本次荟萃分析共纳入了 19 项临床试验,涉及 2543 名患者。在比较术后4-6周和术后约10-12周使用非围手术期保压药物的患者时,围手术期使用保压药物对愈合率的总体风险比(RRs)分别为1.06(95% CI:0.81,1.38,p=0.69)和1.02(95% CI:0.94,1.11,p=0.65),表明围手术期和非围手术期开始使用保压药物在愈合率方面没有差异。在愈合时间方面,围手术期与非围手术期的总体平均差异为-0.19周(95% CI:-1.03,0.64,P=0.65),约为10-12周,表明围手术期开始使用血压计对愈合时间没有显著影响。就新骨折而言,与未使用降压药的患者相比,使用降压药的总RR为0.35(95% CI:0.17-0.73,P=0.005)。这表明,与未使用降压药的患者相比,使用降压药对新发骨折具有保护作用。与未使用血压计的患者相比,围手术期使用血压计的患者出现发热(RR:23.78,95% CI:8.29,68.21,p< 0.001)、关节痛(RR:10.20,95% CI:2.41,43.16,p=0.002)和肌痛(RR:9.42,95% CI:2.54,34.87,p< 0.001)等不良反应的可能性明显增加:结论:围手术期使用 BP 不会影响愈合过程,对脆性骨折患者的治疗有积极作用。这些令人信服的研究结果表明,在围手术期使用血压计作为治疗脆性骨折患者的一种可行方法具有潜在的疗效。
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Osteoporosis International
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