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A Parsimonious Risk Model to Assist Managers in Deciding When to Close and Reopen Business Premises Based on the Probability of Viral Infection 一个基于病毒感染概率帮助管理者决定何时关闭和重新开放营业场所的简约风险模型
Pub Date : 2020-04-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3595948
Stephen Duchesne, Kingsley Jones
The human, business and economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has been unprecedented Here it is argued that basic probability theory, combined with simple scenario planning, can be of value in the management of business risk alongside human resources planning Specifically, we develop guidance on when to close and later reopen group-work office spaces based on the group size and estimated probability that one or more persons within a given group may have contracted the virus Examples are included from the live scenario planning exercise conducted by the authors in managing their own businesses
2019冠状病毒病大流行对人类、商业和经济的影响是前所未有的。本文认为,基本概率论与简单的情景规划相结合,可以在人力资源规划和商业风险管理中发挥重要作用。我们根据小组规模和特定小组中一人或多人可能感染病毒的估计概率,制定关于何时关闭和随后重新开放小组工作办公空间的指导方针,包括作者在管理自己的业务时进行的现场情景规划练习中的示例
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引用次数: 0
Earnings Inequality and Working Hours Mismatch 收入不平等和工作时间不匹配
Pub Date : 2020-04-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3584328
Mattis Beckmannshagen, Carsten Schroeder
Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we show that changes in working hours, not changes in wages, are the major driver of rising earnings inequalities in Germany since the early 1990s. Next, we analyze whether changes in working hours are in line with employee preferences by comparing mismatches between desired and actual hours. We find that underemployment among low-wage earners increased, pointing at involuntary part-time work as a source of earnings inequality. In addition, for females, the presence of children in the household is associated with underemployment. Simultaneously, the desire for a reduction of working hours is more pronounced at the upper part of the hourly wage distribution. A counterfactual earnings distribution based on desired working hours and actual hourly wages exhibits significantly less inequality than the actual earnings distribution.
我们使用德国社会经济小组的数据表明,自20世纪90年代初以来,德国收入不平等加剧的主要驱动因素是工作时间的变化,而不是工资的变化。接下来,我们通过比较期望工作时间与实际工作时间的不匹配来分析工作时间的变化是否符合员工的偏好。我们发现,低收入者的就业不足现象有所增加,这表明非自愿的兼职工作是收入不平等的一个根源。此外,对女性来说,家里有孩子与就业不足有关。与此同时,要求减少工作时间的愿望在小时工资分布的上层更为明显。基于期望工作时间和实际小时工资的反事实收入分配比实际收入分配的不平等程度要小得多。
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引用次数: 5
Shift Management in Oil and Gas Field Workers 油气田工人轮班管理
Pub Date : 2020-04-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3567909
Mohammad Hassaan Khan
This research is based on the lives of Oil and Gas field workers working in shifts and how the continuous shift-based job affects their lives. The procedure of proper shift management is very important for the welfare of the workforce and the overall impact on Oil and Gas industry will be more than others as the shifts for Oil and Gas workers is the same worldwide however to execute them in a proper manner is what makes the difference. This research will go through the shift procedures within one of the biggest oilfields, the North Sea Oil field and then look into the strategical shift related stress audit. This research will also look at the lives of field workers working in the Pasaki field located in the Sindh province of Pakistan and evaluate the impact of shifts.
这项研究是基于油气田工人轮班工作的生活,以及持续轮班工作如何影响他们的生活。适当的轮班管理程序对于员工的福利非常重要,对油气行业的整体影响将比其他程序更大,因为油气工人的轮班在世界范围内是相同的,但以适当的方式执行轮班是造成差异的关键。本研究将通过最大的油田之一北海油田的转移程序,然后研究与战略转移相关的压力审计。这项研究还将研究在巴基斯坦信德省帕萨基油田工作的现场工作人员的生活,并评估轮班的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Quitting in Protest: Presidential Policymaking and Civil Service Response 辞职抗议:总统的决策和公务员的反应
Pub Date : 2020-03-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3563897
C. Cameron, J. de Figueiredo
We formally model the impact of presidential policymaking on the willingness of bureaucrats to exert effort and stay in the government. In the model, centralized policy initiative by the president demotivates policy-oriented bureaucrats and can impel them to quit rather than implicate themselves in presidentially imposed policies they dislike. Those most likely to quit are a range of moderate bureaucrats. More extreme bureaucrats may be willing to wait out an incumbent president in the hope of shaping future policy. As control of the White House alternates between ideologically opposed extreme presidents, policy-minded moderates depart from bureaucratic agencies leaving only policy extremists or poorly performing "slackers." The consequences for policy making are substantial. Despite these adverse consequences, presidents have strong incentives to engage in centralized policymaking.
我们正式建立了总统决策对官僚努力并留在政府的意愿的影响模型。在该模型中,总统的集中政策主动性会使政策导向的官僚失去动力,并可能促使他们辞职,而不是卷入他们不喜欢的总统强加的政策。那些最有可能辞职的是一些温和的官僚。更极端的官僚可能愿意等待现任总统下台,希望能塑造未来的政策。随着白宫的控制权在意识形态对立的极端总统之间交替,注重政策的温和派离开官僚机构,只留下政策极端主义者或表现不佳的“懒汉”。这对政策制定的影响是巨大的。尽管有这些不利后果,总统仍有强烈的动机参与集中决策。
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引用次数: 11
Firm Efforts to Improve Employee Quality and Corporate Investment Efficiency 努力提高员工素质和企业投资效率
Pub Date : 2020-03-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3563037
Seraina C. Anagnostopoulou, Argyro Avgoustaki, Beatriz García Osma
We examine the effect of firm efforts to improve employee quality via human resource practices on investment efficiency. Employees at all levels of an organization, and executives, play a significant role for efficient corporate investment. Thus, human resource practices that improve employee quality should be associated with efficient corporate investment. However, the outcome of such practices can be controversial, as they are often ineffective, costly, have dis-synergies and deprive other types of investments of funding, which could lead to deviations from optimal investment. Using US firms for the period 2002-2016, our findings reveal that human resource practices are negatively associated with investment efficiency, inducing both over- and under-investment. Results are driven mainly by practices with a more direct cash cost, and are more pronounced with respect to investments in R&D and acquisitions. Overall, our findings are consistent with HR practices targeted at improving employee quality not aligning employees’ and shareholders’ interests, with consequences for investment efficiency.
我们考察了企业通过人力资源实践提高员工素质对投资效率的影响。一个组织的各级员工和管理人员在有效的企业投资中扮演着重要的角色。因此,提高员工素质的人力资源实践应该与有效的企业投资相关联。然而,这种做法的结果可能是有争议的,因为它们往往是无效的,昂贵的,具有不协同作用,并剥夺了其他类型的投资的资金,这可能导致偏离最佳投资。利用2002年至2016年期间的美国公司,我们的研究结果表明,人力资源实践与投资效率呈负相关,导致投资过度和投资不足。结果主要由具有更直接的现金成本的实践驱动,并且在研发和收购方面的投资更加明显。总体而言,我们的研究结果与人力资源实践一致,这些实践旨在提高员工素质,而不是使员工和股东的利益保持一致,从而影响投资效率。
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引用次数: 0
Labor Skill and Income Smoothing 劳动技能和收入平滑
Pub Date : 2020-03-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3563926
Boochun Jung, Tae Wook Kim, Minyoung Noh, Y. Park
We examine whether, when, and to what extent the skilled labor required by firms affects managers’ income smoothing activities. Consistent with our hypothesis that managers smooth earnings to signal their diminished risk and improve long-term relationships with high-skill employees, we show that the level of labor skills required by firms is positively associated with managers’ income smoothing activities. We address endogeneity concerns by exploiting subsamples of firms with similar firms and industry characteristics and a quasi-experimental shock to labor markets led by Hurricane Katrina. The effect of labor skills on income smoothing is weaker for firms granting employee stock options and notably stronger for firms operating in competitive product markets. Finally, we document that future employment volatility decreases as a consequence of income smoothing, suggesting that managers’ income smoothing activities reduce the turnover of skilled employees and help to maintain their employment at a stable level.
我们考察了企业所需的熟练劳动力是否、何时以及在多大程度上影响了管理者的收入平滑活动。与我们的假设一致,即管理者平滑收入以表明其风险降低并改善与高技能员工的长期关系,我们表明,企业所需的劳动技能水平与管理者的收入平滑活动呈正相关。我们通过利用具有相似公司和行业特征的公司的子样本以及卡特里娜飓风对劳动力市场的准实验性冲击来解决内生性问题。对于授予员工股票期权的企业,劳动技能对收入平滑的影响较弱,而对于在竞争性产品市场中运营的企业,劳动技能对收入平滑的影响明显较强。最后,我们证明未来的就业波动性会随着收入平滑而下降,这表明管理者的收入平滑活动减少了熟练员工的流动率,并有助于将他们的就业保持在稳定的水平。
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引用次数: 1
Investigating Teachers’ Perceptions of the Influence of Professional Development on Teachers’ Performance and Career Progression 调查教师对专业发展对教师绩效和职业发展影响的认知
Pub Date : 2020-03-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3582306
Nesrin Tantawy
Understanding a process is the key to maximizing the outcomes of such a process; teachers’ professional development (PD) can be further facilitated through fully apprehending the process by which they grow professionally and the factors that contribute to such growth. In this study, the author intends to explore the relationship between a school environment and teachers’ readiness for PD as well as how they perceive of the impact of PD on their professional and personal qualities, students’ performance, teachers’ career progression, and commitment to the job and workplace. The author administered semi-structured interviews with three English as a Second Language (ESL) teachers who are in their mid-career stage and work for private, American curriculum-based schools in Dubai. The results show that all three interviewees admit the positive influence of PD on their professional performance, personal qualities, students’ outcomes, career progression and commitment to the profession. How a progressive school culture would impact teachers’ inclination towards PD has also been brought to attention by the interviewees as a critical aspect. As potential areas of research on PD, it is recommended that students’ academic performance is to be looked into closely through examining their assessment results in order to muster tangible evidence on the significance of teachers’ PD. Also, a conversation analysis of classroom discourse following a number of classroom observations of teachers in different career stages would be another informative research method to investigate the impact of PD on teachers’ performance and on classroom dynamics.
理解一个过程是最大化这个过程的结果的关键;通过充分理解教师专业成长的过程和促进教师专业成长的因素,可以进一步促进教师的专业发展。在本研究中,作者试图探讨学校环境与教师PD准备之间的关系,以及他们如何看待PD对他们的专业和个人素质,学生表现,教师职业发展以及对工作和工作场所的承诺的影响。作者对三名英语作为第二语言(ESL)教师进行了半结构化采访,他们都是职业生涯的中期,在迪拜的私立美国课程学校工作。结果显示,三位受访者均承认PD对他们的专业表现、个人素质、学生成果、职业发展和专业投入有积极影响。进步的学校文化如何影响教师对PD的倾向也被受访者作为一个关键方面引起了关注。作为PD的潜在研究领域,我们建议通过检查学生的评估结果来密切关注学生的学业表现,以收集关于教师PD重要性的切实证据。此外,通过对不同职业阶段教师的课堂观察,对课堂话语进行对话分析,将是另一种研究PD对教师绩效和课堂动态影响的有益研究方法。
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引用次数: 6
Effective Human Resources Practice and Employee Engagement: The Mediating Roles of Organizational Support 有效人力资源实践与员工敬业:组织支持的中介作用
Pub Date : 2020-03-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3551058
R. Saragih, A. Prasetio
Objective - Telecommunication companies need their people to engage in their activities to achieve organizational goals. So, employee engagement became a crucial aspect of a company that struggles to win the competition. Some literature shows that human resource practice affects employee engagement. The present study examines the impact of perceived organizational support as a mediator on the relationship.Methodology/Technique - Data were collected from a branch office of the biggest telecommunication company in Bandung during May 2019. The questionnaires were distributed through the human resources department for four weeks. We analyze 112 valid responses by using SPSS and Macro Process.Findings - By conducting regression with bootstrapping we found that perceived organizational support mediates the relationship between effective human resources practice and employee engagement. The result suggests that a telecommunication company should practice good human resources practice including proper recruitment, training & development, reward, career advancement, and employee relation so that the employees can perceive its support and increase their engagement.Novelty – This finding provides the implication that good management of human resources practice and perceived organizational support can increase employee engagement.Type of Paper - EmpiricalKeywords: Employee Engagement, Human Resource Practice, Perceived Organizational Support.JEL Classification: M12, M19
目标-电信公司需要他们的员工参与他们的活动来实现组织目标。因此,员工敬业度成为一个公司努力赢得竞争的关键方面。一些文献表明,人力资源实践影响员工敬业度。本研究考察了组织支持感作为中介对这一关系的影响。方法/技术-数据于2019年5月从万隆最大的电信公司的分公司收集。调查问卷通过人力资源部分发,为期四周。采用SPSS和Macro Process对112份有效问卷进行分析。研究结果-通过引导回归,我们发现感知到的组织支持在有效的人力资源实践和员工敬业度之间起到中介作用。研究结果表明,电信企业应实施良好的人力资源实践,包括招聘、培训与发展、薪酬、职业发展和员工关系,以使员工感受到企业的支持,提高员工的敬业度。新颖性-这一发现暗示了良好的人力资源管理实践和感知组织支持可以提高员工敬业度。论文类型-实证关键词:员工敬业度,人力资源实践,感知组织支持。JEL分类:M12, M19
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引用次数: 3
Mandated Sick Pay: Coverage, Utilization, and Welfare Effects 强制性病假工资:覆盖范围、使用和福利效果
Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26832
C. MacLean, Stefan Pichler, Nicolas R. Ziebarth
This paper evaluates the labor market effects of sick pay mandates in the United States. Using the National Compensation Survey and difference-in-differences models, we estimate their impact on coverage rates, sick leave use, labor costs, and non-mandated fringe benefits. Sick pay mandates increase coverage significantly by 13 percentage points from a baseline level of 66%. Newly covered employees take two additional sick days per year. We find little evidence that mandating sick pay crowds-out other non-mandated fringe benefits. We then develop a model of optimal sick pay provision along with a welfare analysis. Mandating sick pay likely increases welfare.
本文评估了美国病假工资法令对劳动力市场的影响。利用国家薪酬调查和差异中的差异模型,我们估计了它们对覆盖率、病假使用、劳动力成本和非强制性附加福利的影响。病假工资法令使医保覆盖率从66%的基线水平显著提高了13个百分点。新加入保险的员工每年可多休两天病假。我们发现几乎没有证据表明强制性病假工资挤占了其他非强制性附加福利。然后,我们开发了一个最优病假工资提供模型以及福利分析。强制支付病假工资可能会增加福利。
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引用次数: 21
Incentive Pay and Firm Productivity: Evidence from China 激励性薪酬与企业生产率:来自中国的证据
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3544466
Zhangfeng Jin, Shiyuan Pan
This study examines the causes and consequences of incentive pay adoption among Chinese manufacturing firms. First, we find that a higher degree of labor scarcity encourages firms to adopt more incentive pay. Second, using an instrumental variables approach, we find that a 10 percentage point increase in the intensity of incentive pay results in 38% higher firm productivity. Third, the average productivity differences between SOEs and non-SOEs decrease by about 65% after controlling differences in incentive pay adoption. Therefore, facilitating incentive pay adoption among firms with better labor endowments (e.g. SOEs) increases productivity while reduces resource misallocation in developing countries.
本研究考察了中国制造业企业采用激励性薪酬的原因和后果。首先,我们发现较高程度的劳动力稀缺会促使企业采取更多的激励性薪酬。其次,使用工具变量方法,我们发现激励薪酬强度每增加10个百分点,企业生产率就会提高38%。第三,在控制了激励薪酬采用的差异后,国有企业与非国有企业的平均生产率差异降低了约65%。因此,促进具有较好劳动力禀赋的企业(如国有企业)采用激励性薪酬可以提高生产率,同时减少发展中国家的资源错配。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Labor: Personnel Economics eJournal
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