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Conditioning in classical probability: some conceptual aspects. 经典概率中的条件作用:一些概念方面。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0374
Luigi Accardi, Andreas Boukas

After briefly recalling some of the main theses of quantum probability concerning the foundational aspects of quantum mechanics and of probability theory, we describe the various categories of axioms in classical probability theory and focus our attention on the classical conditioning axioms. Four classical conditioning axioms are proposed, their probabilistic and model-independent meaning is discussed and it is proven that: (i) the only mathematical realization of these axioms is the classical Bayes rule (or equivalently the classical theorem of composite probabilities) and (ii) von Neumann's projection postulate, which can be considered one of the first examples of quantum conditioning axioms, violates two of these axioms. Finally, we construct an example showing that, even in classical probability, an uncritical application of Bayes' rule can lead to non-optimal predictions. This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 2)'.

在简要回顾量子概率论中有关量子力学和概率论基础方面的一些主要论点之后,我们描述了经典概率论中公理的各种类别,并将注意力集中在经典条件作用公理上。提出了四个经典条件公理,讨论了它们的概率和模型无关的意义,并证明了:(i)这些公理的唯一数学实现是经典贝叶斯规则(或等效的经典复合概率定理)和(ii)冯·诺伊曼的投影公设,它可以被认为是量子条件公理的第一个例子之一,违反了这些公理中的两个。最后,我们构造了一个例子,表明即使在经典概率中,不加批判地应用贝叶斯规则也会导致非最优预测。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第2部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Transitivity, contextuality and decision making. 及物性,情境性和决策。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0373
William H Sulis

In recent years there has been interest in the relationship between intransitivity and the presence of true (Type II) contextuality (contextuality with context independent marginals). The latter has been considered to be a sine qua non of quantum mechanics, although it has been observed in experiments on human decision making. Transitivity has long been viewed as essential to rational decision making although intransitivity appears to be ubiquitous in the natural world. An analogue of a preference graph is introduced for non-deterministic dynamical systems (of which decision making is an example) and used to identify several conditions which appear necessary for true contextuality to be present. Comparing the preference graph for the system against a reference preference graph formed from the marginals of the observables, one sees losses of options and intransitivity as necessary conditions.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

近年来,人们对不及物性和真正(类型II)语境性(具有语境独立边缘的语境性)之间的关系产生了兴趣。后者被认为是量子力学的必要条件,尽管它已经在人类决策的实验中被观察到。及物性长期以来被认为是理性决策的必要条件,尽管不可及性在自然界中似乎无处不在。对于非确定性动态系统(其中决策是一个例子),引入了偏好图的模拟,并用于识别真实情境存在所必需的几个条件。将系统的偏好图与由可观测值的边缘形成的参考偏好图进行比较,可以看到选项的损失和不可传递性是必要条件。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
From quantum cognition to conceptuality interpretation I: tracing the Brussels group's intellectual journey. 从量子认知到概念性解释I:追踪布鲁塞尔小组的智力之旅。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0382
Diederik Aerts, Massimiliano Sassoli de Bianchi, Sandro Sozzo

The conceptuality interpretation of quantum mechanics proposes that quantum entities have a conceptual nature, interacting with the material world through processes that are the physical counterpart of the meaning-based processes, which typically occur in human cognition. This interpretation emerged from the early developments in quantum cognition, a field that uses quantum mathematics to model human cognitive activity. It benefited from the specific approach taken by the Brussels research group, modelling concepts themselves as quantum entities and minds as measuring apparatus. The article sketches the essential steps of the intellectual journey, going from the first applications of quantum notions and formalisms to human cognition to the proposal of a potentially groundbreaking interpretation of quantum mechanics, offering profound explanations for major quantum phenomena. This was done by drawing numerous parallels with the human conceptual domain and suggesting the existence of a level of cognitive activity that would underlie our physical reality. This means that an increased cross-fertilization between the conceptuality interpretation and quantum cognition is to be expected in the future, both of which are synergistic in furthering our understanding of the nature of reality. This is the first part of a two-part article. In the second part, which can be read independently of the first, the successes of the interpretation will be described in a more systematic way, providing a brief overview of what has been achieved so far.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

量子力学的概念性解释提出,量子实体具有概念性质,通过与基于意义的过程(通常发生在人类认知中)的物理对应物过程与物质世界相互作用。这种解释来自量子认知的早期发展,量子认知是一个使用量子数学来模拟人类认知活动的领域。它受益于布鲁塞尔研究小组采取的具体方法,将概念本身建模为量子实体,将思维建模为测量仪器。本文概述了智力之旅的基本步骤,从量子概念和形式主义首次应用于人类认知,到提出潜在的开创性量子力学解释,为主要量子现象提供了深刻的解释。这是通过与人类概念领域的许多相似之处来完成的,并表明存在一定程度的认知活动,这将成为我们物理现实的基础。这意味着概念性解释和量子认知之间的相互作用将在未来得到加强,这两者在进一步加深我们对现实本质的理解方面是协同的。这是由两部分组成的文章的第一部分。在第二部分(可以独立于第一部分阅读)中,将以更系统的方式描述口译的成功,简要概述迄今为止所取得的成就。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
From quantum cognition to conceptuality interpretation II: unravelling the quantum mysteries. 从量子认知到概念性解释II:解开量子之谜。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0381
Diederik Aerts, Massimiliano Sassoli de Bianchi, Sandro Sozzo

An overview of the conceptuality interpretation of quantum mechanics is presented, along with an explanation of how it sheds light on key quantum and relativistic phenomena. In particular, we show how the interpretation clarifies Heisenberg's uncertainty principle, wave function-based and entanglement-based non-locality, interference effects resulting from the superposition principle, delayed choice experiments, quantum measurements, the mechanism of quantization, the reason why entities can establish entanglement bonds and the statistical behaviour of indistinguishable entities. We further argue that the interpretation can also elucidate relativistic effects, focusing on time dilation. Finally, we suggest that it can provide a novel and challenging perspective on evolution. This article is the second in a two-part series devoted to exploring this promising approach to reality. The first part, which serves as a companion to this discussion, outlines the intellectual trajectory leading from the first applications of quantum notions to human cognition to the bold rethinking suggested by the conceptuality interpretation.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

概述了量子力学的概念性解释,并解释了它如何揭示关键的量子和相对论现象。特别是,我们展示了这种解释如何澄清海森堡的不确定性原理、基于波函数和基于纠缠的非定域性、叠加原理产生的干涉效应、延迟选择实验、量子测量、量子化机制、实体可以建立纠缠键的原因以及不可区分实体的统计行为。我们进一步认为,这种解释也可以阐明相对论效应,重点是时间膨胀。最后,我们认为它可以为进化提供一个新颖而具有挑战性的视角。本文是两部分系列文章中的第二部分,该系列文章致力于探索这种有前途的现实方法。第一部分作为本讨论的补充,概述了从量子概念首次应用于人类认知到概念性解释所建议的大胆反思的智力轨迹。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Preface (Part I): quantum theory and topology in models of decision making. 前言(第一部分):决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0391
Jerome R Busemeyer, Graciela Chichilnisky, Peter Hammond, Emmanuel Haven
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引用次数: 0
Modelling the quantum-like dynamics of human reliability ratings in human-AI interactions by interaction-dependent Hamiltonians. 通过依赖交互的哈密顿量模拟人类与人工智能交互中人类可靠性评级的量子动态。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0536
Johan van der Meer, Pamela Hoyte, Luisa Roeder, Peter Bruza

We are rapidly moving to a future in which our information environment is saturated by artificial intelligence (AI), and humans and AI agents will routinely engage in shared decision making even in conditions of high uncertainty and risk (such as natural disasters or nuclear accidents). Trust is fundamental to the effectiveness of these interactions. A key challenge in modelling the dynamics of trust in human-AI interactions is to provide a means to integrate the diversity of human trust fluctuations found empirically. In this article, we explore the ability of quantum random walk (QRW) models to model this dynamism of trust found in empirical human-AI interactions. Specifically, we manipulate certain features of the QRW to explore its ability to provide the necessary agility and sensitivity to fluctuations in trust judgments. The goal is to incorporate the nature of the interaction itself into the evolution of the model, with the features stemming from empirically derived parameters. We found that using empirical parameters to inform the use of different Hamiltonians throughout the interaction markedly influences the modelled trust dynamics and can provide a promising means to model the evolution of trust in human-AI interactions.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

我们正在迅速走向一个信息环境被人工智能(AI)饱和的未来,即使在高度不确定性和风险的情况下(如自然灾害或核事故),人类和人工智能代理也将经常参与共同决策。信任是这些互动有效的基础。对人类与人工智能交互中的信任动态建模的一个关键挑战是提供一种方法来整合经验发现的人类信任波动的多样性。在本文中,我们探索了量子随机漫步(QRW)模型的能力,以模拟经验人类与人工智能交互中发现的这种信任动态。具体来说,我们操纵QRW的某些特征,以探索其对信任判断波动提供必要的敏捷性和敏感性的能力。目标是将交互本身的性质结合到模型的演化中,并使用源自经验推导参数的特征。我们发现,在整个交互过程中使用经验参数来告知不同哈密顿量的使用,显著影响了建模的信任动态,并且可以提供一种有希望的方法来模拟人类-人工智能交互中的信任演变。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Pythagoras' theory of everything: quantum mechanics from the natural numbers. 毕达哥拉斯的万物理论:自然数的量子力学。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0375
T R Robinson

The natural numbers play a key role in axiomatic set theory and hence in the foundations of mathematics. The natural numbers also have a major role in quantum mechanics. The idea is explored that von Neumann's construction (vNC) of the natural numbers, within the framework of Zermelo-Fraenkel (ZF) axiomatic set theory, can serve as a blueprint for deriving some key basic equations of quantum mechanics. This approach obviates any need for quantizing classical mechanics and provides further support for the view that quantum mechanics is perfectly applicable to fields beyond those in physics for which it was originally intended.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

自然数在公理集合论中起着关键的作用,因此在数学的基础中也起着关键的作用。自然数在量子力学中也起着重要作用。在Zermelo-Fraenkel (ZF)公理集理论的框架内,探讨了von Neumann的自然数构造(vNC)可以作为推导量子力学一些关键基本方程的蓝图。这种方法消除了对经典力学量子化的任何需要,并进一步支持了量子力学完全适用于超出其最初意图的物理领域的观点。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Ambiguity and free will: the topology of decision in quantum and quantum-like sciences. 模糊和自由意志:量子和类量子科学中的决策拓扑。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0379
Arkady Plotnitsky

This article considers the relationships between quantum theory (QT) and quantum-like theories (QLTs), theories using mathematical models based on the formalism of QT, from a reverse perspective, that of QLTs. The article argues that QT is no longer a theory of the behaviour, in particular motion, of physical objects, as was the case in classical physics and relativity. Instead, QT is a form of decision theory, involving a special 'topology' of decisions, using the term topology in part metaphorically, but only in part, because it applies in its proper mathematical sense to the formalism of QT. Part of this topology is the concept of free will, reconsidered through the concept of decision. This character of QT is grounded in a particular type of interpretations of QT, 'reality without realism' (RWR) interpretations. To address the affinities and differences between QT and QLTs, the article introduces two new principles: 'the unambiguity principle', equally applicable in QT and QLTs, or in mathematics and science in general, and 'the free will principle', only applicable in QLTs and not in QT. The article also reflects on the limits of quantum-like sciences (QLSs) and mathematical-experimental science in general in dealing with human thinking and decision making.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

本文考虑了量子理论(QT)和类量子理论(qlt)之间的关系,量子理论使用基于QT形式化的数学模型,从相反的角度来看,qlt。这篇文章认为QT不再像经典物理学和相对论那样是一种关于物理对象的行为,特别是运动的理论。相反,QT是决策理论的一种形式,涉及决策的特殊“拓扑”,使用术语拓扑部分是隐喻性的,但只是部分,因为它在适当的数学意义上适用于QT的形式化。这个拓扑的一部分是自由意志的概念,通过决策的概念重新考虑。QT的这个特点是基于QT的一种特殊类型的解释,“没有现实主义的现实”(RWR)的解释。为了解决QT和qqt之间的相似性和差异,文章引入了两个新的原则:“无歧义原则”,同样适用于QT和qqt,或者一般的数学和科学,以及“自由意志原则”,只适用于qqt而不适用于QT。文章还反映了量子科学(qls)和数学实验科学在处理人类思维和决策方面的局限性。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporating episodic memory into quantum models of judgement and decision. 将情景记忆纳入判断和决策的量子模型。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0387
Jerome R Busemeyer, Masanao Ozawa, Emmanuel Pothos, Nao Tsuchiya

An important challenge for quantum theories of cognition and decision concerns the incorporation of memory for recently made judgements and their effects on later judgements. First, we review a general approach to measurement based on system plus environment representations of states and measurement instruments. These more general measurement models provide ways to incorporate the effects of recent judgements on later judgements. Then we compare three different measurement models that are based on these more general measurement operations to account for a puzzling collection of question order effect findings.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

认知和决策的量子理论面临的一个重要挑战是将最近做出的判断的记忆及其对以后判断的影响结合起来。首先,我们回顾了基于状态和测量仪器的系统加环境表示的一般测量方法。这些更一般的度量模型提供了将最近的判断对以后的判断的影响结合起来的方法。然后,我们比较了基于这些更一般的测量操作的三种不同的测量模型,以解释令人困惑的问题顺序效应发现的集合。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Quantum cognition and projection bias. 量子认知与投射偏差。
IF 3.7 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0558
Raymond Hawkins, Evan Walsh

The innovative application of quantum mechanical concepts of probability to cognitive science has provided new, meaningful ways to more accurately model human decision making. Leveraging the dynamic geometric principles associated with the mathematics of quantum theory, we use the idea of probability interference to explain projection bias and its violations of the classical law of total probability and expected utility theory. In particular, Khrennikov's contextual probability model is successfully applied to the study by Read & van Leeuwen on hunger and projection bias. We conclude that probability interference provides an effective, accurate and meaningful way to model projection bias, thus broadening the reach of quantum cognition in economics.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.

量子力学概率论概念在认知科学中的创新应用为更准确地模拟人类决策提供了新的、有意义的方法。利用与量子理论数学相关的动态几何原理,我们使用概率干扰的思想来解释投影偏差及其对经典总概率定律和期望效用理论的违反。特别是,Khrennikov的情境概率模型被成功地应用到Read & van Leeuwen关于饥饿和投射偏差的研究中。我们认为,概率干扰为预测偏差建模提供了一种有效、准确和有意义的方法,从而拓宽了量子认知在经济学中的应用范围。本文是主题问题“决策模型中的量子理论和拓扑(第1部分)”的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
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