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Exploring legitimacy in a municipal budget decision in Switzerland: empirical insights into citizens' perceptions. 探索瑞士市政预算决策的合法性:对公民看法的经验性洞察。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0098
Regula Hänggli Fricker, Thomas Wellings, Florin Zai, Joshua C Yang, Srijoni Majumdar, Laurent Bernhard, Leopold Weil, Carina I Hausladen, Evangelos Pournaras

This study examines legitimacy in municipal budgeting decisions, focusing on input, throughput and output dimensions. Using data from four Swiss studies, we explore how citizens assess these dimensions across traditional and innovative decision-making processes and investigate the impact of different voting methods on legitimacy perceptions. Our findings reveal that in routine processes using traditional voting, legitimacy dimensions are considered collectively. Conversely, in innovative participatory budgeting, dimensions are judged separately, involving more active evaluation. Throughput legitimacy (perceived fairness) emerges as crucial in both contexts, while input and output legitimacy's importance varies by process type. The Method of Equal Shares voting system shifts focus towards procedural fairness, increases representation and is perceived as fairer than the traditional Greedy method. However, even fair processes cannot fully compensate for outcome dissatisfaction, highlighting the complex interplay of legitimacy dimensions. This research contributes to understanding legitimacy construction in municipal decision-making, offering insights into the relationship between voting methods and legitimacy perceptions. The findings have implications for policy-makers seeking to enhance the effectiveness and acceptance of budgeting processes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

本研究探讨了市政预算决策中的合法性问题,重点关注投入、产出和产出三个方面。利用四项瑞士研究的数据,我们探讨了公民在传统和创新决策过程中如何评估这些维度,并调查了不同投票方法对合法性认知的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在采用传统投票方式的常规决策过程中,合法性维度是被集体考虑的。相反,在创新的参与式预算编制中,各维度被分开判断,涉及更积极的评估。在这两种情况下,产出合法性(公平感)都至关重要,而投入和产出合法性的重要性则因程序类型而异。均分法投票系统将重点转移到程序公平性上,增加了代表性,并被认为比传统的 "贪婪法 "更公平。然而,即使是公平的程序也无法完全弥补对结果的不满,这凸显了合法性各维度之间复杂的相互作用。本研究有助于理解市政决策中的合法性构建,为投票方法与合法性认知之间的关系提供了见解。研究结果对寻求提高预算编制过程的有效性和接受度的政策制定者具有启示意义。本文是 "共同创造未来:参与式城市与数字治理 "主题刊物的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Participatory design based on opinion pooling. 基于意见汇集的参与式设计。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0108
Michael Batty, Tianqu Shao, Fulvio D Lopane

We focus here on methods for locating future urban development, ranging from entire towns to site designs. These methods articulate the urban design problem in terms of a series of factors pertaining to different measures of land suitability that are represented as spatial surfaces or maps. In realistic problems, these factors inevitably conflict with one another, and we thus define various design methods that enable us to select optimal locations for development based on weighting these factors in different ways. We begin with methods for resolving conflicts between the suitability maps using simple averaging with equal weights and then introduce methods for representing the interactions between the factors as a hierarchy for how these factors can be related to each other following an order for their differential weighting. We then generalize this method to ways in which a variety of individual experts can pool their knowledge of the problem to achieve a consensus solution using a process of group dynamics. The implication is that these kinds of dynamics might be used to enable effective public participation where conflicts between opinions can be resolved collectively. We are currently exploring this through methods of geodesign where networks of stakeholders, planners and designers can be brought together to solve these problems both empirically as well as formally.This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

在此,我们重点讨论未来城市发展的定位方法,从整个城镇到地块设计,不一而足。这些方法通过一系列与土地适宜性的不同衡量标准相关的因素来阐述城市设计问题,这些因素以空间曲面或地图的形式表现出来。在现实问题中,这些因素不可避免地会相互冲突,因此我们定义了各种设计方法,使我们能够根据这些因素的不同权重选择最佳的开发位置。首先,我们使用权重相等的简单平均法来解决适宜性图之间的冲突,然后介绍将各因素之间的相互作用表示为一个层次结构的方法,即这些因素如何按照权重不同的顺序相互关联。然后,我们将这种方法推广到各种不同的专家个人,使他们能够汇集对问题的认识,从而利用群体动力学过程达成共识解决方案。这意味着,这些动态过程可用于实现有效的公众参与,集体解决意见冲突。我们目前正在通过地理设计的方法探索这一点,在地理设计中,利益相关者、规划师和设计师的网络可以汇聚在一起,以经验和形式解决这些问题。
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引用次数: 0
Addressing the urban congestion challenge based on traffic bottlenecks. 以交通瓶颈为基础,应对城市拥堵挑战。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0095
Efrat Blumenfeld Lieberthal, Nimrod Serok, Jinxiao Duan, Guanwen Zeng, Shlomo Havlin

Historically, urban congestion and street life quality depended on city network hierarchies, shaped by land use and street layout. Yet navigation apps have shifted focus to travel time as the key route selection factor, challenging traditional urban structures. We review the development of an innovative approach to urban traffic management that leverages real-time data for the identification and analysis of traffic bottlenecks. This approach, combined with urban planning, aims to improve traffic flow and tackle modern urban challenges. It includes real-time bottleneck detection and cost, congestion analysis and designing a decentralized traffic management system that can serve planners. Based on complex system principles, it promises dynamic traffic optimization, merging urban planning with digital advancements. The research demonstrates the potential of different applications of the proposed methodologies to predict significant congestion from early bottleneck formation, offering urban planners a powerful toolset for reasserting their role in shaping the urban experience. This article posits that a nuanced understanding of traffic dynamics, coupled with advanced traffic management technologies, can restore the influence of urban planning in the digital era, fostering more liveable, equitable and efficient urban environments. This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

从历史上看,城市拥堵和街道生活质量取决于由土地利用和街道布局形成的城市网络层次。然而,导航应用程序已将重点转向出行时间,将其作为选择路线的关键因素,这对传统的城市结构提出了挑战。我们回顾了利用实时数据识别和分析交通瓶颈的城市交通管理创新方法的发展历程。这种方法与城市规划相结合,旨在改善交通流量,应对现代城市挑战。它包括实时瓶颈检测和成本、拥堵分析以及设计一个可为规划者服务的分散式交通管理系统。基于复杂系统原理,该系统有望实现动态交通优化,将城市规划与数字技术进步融为一体。研究表明,所建议方法的不同应用具有从瓶颈形成初期预测严重拥堵的潜力,为城市规划者提供了一个强大的工具集,使他们能够在塑造城市体验方面重新发挥作用。本文认为,对交通动态的细致入微的理解,再加上先进的交通管理技术,可以在数字时代恢复城市规划的影响力,从而营造更加宜居、公平和高效的城市环境。本文是 "共创未来:参与式城市与数字治理 "主题刊物的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Artefact design and societal worldview. 人工制品设计与社会世界观。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0092
Elisabeth Stockinger, Michael Mandlmayr

Technological artefacts are created in accordance with the values and worldviews of their designers. In operation, they act as a medium, facilitating and constraining human interaction with, and perception of, the world. When used on a large scale, they may lastingly affect societal ethos. If institutional structures of domination allocate the resources necessary for artefact design and development to some population groups over others, the direction and extent of such an effect may lead to increased disparity and inequity. While the direct influence of technology on opinion is well-studied, the evaluation of non-epistemic values, assumptions and presuppositions is a hurdle in the way of a deeper understanding of the large-scale effects of asymmetries in worldviews embodied by artefacts. Here, we show that artefacts have a strong potential to bias societal worldviews when they are distributed unevenly across the value spectrum. They can affect the clustering behaviour of agents with regard to worldview, both aiding and hindering intra- and inter-cluster diversity, depending on their distribution and frequency. Our findings underline the distributional sensitivity of worldview dynamics to institutional structures of domination. We highlight the importance of procedural interventions such as participatory design, which explicitly acknowledges existing asymmetries and redistributes power accordingly.This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

技术产品是根据设计者的价值观和世界观创造出来的。在运行过程中,它们充当媒介,促进和限制人类与世界的互动和对世界的感知。在大规模使用时,它们可能会对社会风气产生持久的影响。如果支配性的体制结构将人工制品设计和开发所需的资源分配给某些群体,而不是其他群体,那么这种影响的方向和程度可能会导致差距和不公平的加剧。虽然技术对舆论的直接影响已经得到了充分的研究,但对非舆论价值、假设和预设的评估是深入了解人工制品所体现的世界观不对称的大规模影响的障碍。在这里,我们表明,当人工制品在价值范围内分布不均时,它们极有可能使社会世界观产生偏差。它们会影响行为主体在世界观方面的聚类行为,根据其分布和频率的不同,既会促进也会阻碍聚类内部和聚类之间的多样性。我们的研究结果强调了世界观动态的分布对制度支配结构的敏感性。我们强调了参与式设计等程序性干预措施的重要性,这些措施明确承认了现有的不对称现象,并相应地重新分配了权力。
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引用次数: 0
Cities beyond proximity. 超越距离的城市
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0097
Dan Hill, Matteo Bruno, Hygor P M Melo, Yuichiro Takeuchi, Vittorio Loreto

The concept of 'proximity-based cities' has gained attention as a new urban organizational model. Most prominently, the 15-minute city contends that cities can function more effectively, equitably and sustainably if essential, everyday services and key amenities are within a 15-minute walk or cycle. However, focusing solely on travel time risks overlooking disparities in service quality, as the proximity paradigm tends to emphasize the mere presence of an element in a location rather than bringing up more complex questions of identity, diversity, quality, value or relationships. Transitioning to value-based cities by considering more than just proximity can enhance local identity, resilience and urban democracy. Fostering bottom-up initiatives can create a culture of local care and value, while predominantly top-down governing strategies can lead to large inequalities. Balancing these approaches can maximize resilience, health and sustainability. This equilibrium has the potential to accompany sustainable growth, by encouraging the creation of innovative urban solutions and reducing inequalities.This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

作为一种新的城市组织模式,"就近型城市 "的概念备受关注。最突出的是,"15 分钟城市 "认为,如果步行或骑自行车 15 分钟之内就能到达必要的日常服务设施和主要便利设施,那么城市就能更有效、更公平、更可持续地运转。然而,仅仅关注出行时间有可能会忽略服务质量方面的差异,因为就近模式往往只强调某个地点存在某种要素,而不是提出身份、多样性、质量、价值或关系等更复杂的问题。向以价值为基础的城市过渡,不仅仅考虑邻近性,还能增强地方认同感、复原力和城市民主。促进自下而上的倡议可以创造一种地方关怀和价值文化,而以自上而下为主的治理战略则可能导致巨大的不平等。平衡这些方法可以最大限度地提高复原力、健康和可持续性。通过鼓励创造创新的城市解决方案和减少不平等现象,这种平衡有可能伴随着可持续增长。
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引用次数: 0
Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance. 共同创造未来:参与式城市和数字治理。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0113
Dirk Helbing, Sachit Mahajan, Dino Carpentras, Monica Menendez, Evangelos Pournaras, Stefan Thurner, Trivik Verma, Elsa Arcaute, Michael Batty, Luis M A Bettencourt

The digital revolution, fuelled by advancements in social media, Big Data, the Internet of Things and Artificial Intelligence, is reshaping our urban landscapes into 'participatory cities'. These cities leverage digital technologies to foster citizen engagement, collaborative decision-making and community-driven urban development, thus unlocking new potentials while confronting emerging threats. Such technologies are empowering individuals and organizations in ways that were unimaginable just a few years ago. They do, however, introduce new risks and vulnerabilities that must be carefully managed. Hence, socio-technical innovation is urgently needed. In this connection, open-source technologies, participatory approaches and new forms of governance are becoming more popular and relevant. This theme issue looks into the tangible impacts of these technological advancements, with a focus on participatory cities. It aims to explain how digital tools are used in cities to tackle urban challenges, improve governance and promote sustainability. Through a collection of in-depth analyses, case studies and real-world examples, this issue seeks to offer a comprehensive understanding of the digital governance frameworks underpinning participatory cities. By offering a platform for multidisciplinary discourse, this theme issue endeavours to contribute to the broader narrative of shaping a more resilient, sustainable and democratic urban future in the digital age.This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

社交媒体、大数据、物联网和人工智能的发展推动了数字革命,正在将我们的城市景观重塑为 "参与型城市"。这些城市利用数字技术来促进公民参与、合作决策和社区驱动的城市发展,从而释放新的潜力,同时应对新出现的威胁。这些技术正在以几年前难以想象的方式增强个人和组织的能力。然而,它们也带来了新的风险和脆弱性,必须加以谨慎管理。因此,迫切需要社会技术创新。在这方面,开放源码技术、参与式方法和新的治理形式正变得越来越流行和相关。本期主题探讨了这些技术进步的实际影响,重点是参与式城市。它旨在解释城市如何利用数字工具应对城市挑战、改善治理和促进可持续性。通过收集深入分析、案例研究和现实世界中的实例,本期旨在提供对支撑参与式城市的数字治理框架的全面理解。通过提供一个多学科讨论的平台,本期主题刊物努力为在数字时代塑造一个更有韧性、更可持续和更民主的城市未来这一更广泛的叙事做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Fair voting outcomes with impact and novelty compromises? Unravelling biases in electing participatory budgeting winners. 影响和新颖性折衷的公平投票结果?揭示参与式预算编制获胜者选举中的偏差。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0096
Sajan Maharjan, Srijoni Majumdar, Evangelos Pournaras

Participatory budgeting, as a paradigm for democratic innovations, engages citizens in the distribution of a public budget to projects, which they propose and vote for implementation. So far, voting algorithms have been proposed and studied in social choice literature to elect projects that are popular, while others prioritize a proportional representation of voters' preferences, for instance, the rule of equal shares. However, the anticipated impact and novelty in the broader society by the winning projects, as selected by different algorithms, remains totally under-explored, lacking both a universal theory of impact for voting and a rigorous unifying framework for impact and novelty assessments. This article tackles this grand challenge towards new axiomatic foundations for designing effective and fair voting methods. This is through new and striking insights derived from a large-scale analysis of biases over 345 real-world voting outcomes, characterized for the first time by a novel portfolio of impact and novelty metrics. We find strong causal evidence that equal shares comes with impact loss in several infrastructural projects of different cost levels that have been so far over-represented. However, it also comes with a novel, yet over-represented, impact gain in welfare, education and culture. We discuss the broader implications of these results and how impact loss can be mitigated at the stage of campaign design and project ideation.This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

参与式预算编制是民主创新的一种范式,它让公民参与公共预算项目的分配,由他们提出建议并投票决定项目的实施。迄今为止,社会选择文献中已经提出并研究了投票算法,以选出受欢迎的项目,而其他算法则优先考虑按比例代表选民的偏好,例如均分规则。然而,不同算法选出的获胜项目在更广泛社会中的预期影响和新颖性仍未得到充分探讨,既缺乏投票影响的通用理论,也缺乏影响和新颖性评估的严格统一框架。本文旨在应对这一巨大挑战,为设计有效、公平的投票方法奠定新的公理基础。本文通过对 345 个真实世界投票结果的偏差进行大规模分析,得出了令人震惊的新见解。我们发现了强有力的因果关系证据,证明在迄今为止代表比例过高的几个不同成本水平的基础设施项目中,均摊会带来影响损失。然而,在福利、教育和文化领域,均摊也会带来新的影响增益,但这种影响增益的比例过高。我们将讨论这些结果的广泛影响,以及如何在活动设计和项目构思阶段减少影响损失。
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引用次数: 0
Large language models (LLMs) as agents for augmented democracy. 大型语言模型(LLM)作为增强民主的代理。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0100
Jairo F Gudiño, Umberto Grandi, César Hidalgo

We explore an augmented democracy system built on off-the-shelf large language models (LLMs) fine-tuned to augment data on citizens' preferences elicited over policies extracted from the government programmes of the two main candidates of Brazil's 2022 presidential election. We use a train-test cross-validation set-up to estimate the accuracy with which the LLMs predict both: a subject's individual political choices and the aggregate preferences of the full sample of participants. At the individual level, we find that LLMs predict out of sample preferences more accurately than a 'bundle rule', which would assume that citizens always vote for the proposals of the candidate aligned with their self-reported political orientation. At the population level, we show that a probabilistic sample augmented by an LLM provides a more accurate estimate of the aggregate preferences of a population than the non-augmented probabilistic sample alone. Together, these results indicate that policy preference data augmented using LLMs can capture nuances that transcend party lines and represents a promising avenue of research for data augmentation. This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

我们探索了一种增强民主系统,该系统建立在现成的大型语言模型(LLMs)基础上,对其进行了微调,以增强从巴西 2022 年总统大选两位主要候选人的政府计划中提取的公民政策偏好数据。我们使用训练-测试交叉验证设置来估算 LLM 预测以下两方面的准确性:受试者的个人政治选择和所有参与者样本的总体偏好。在个人层面,我们发现 LLM 预测样本外偏好的准确度高于 "捆绑规则",后者假定公民总是投票支持与其自我报告的政治倾向一致的候选人的提案。在人口层面,我们表明,与单独的非增量概率样本相比,使用 LLM 的增量概率样本能更准确地估计人口的总体偏好。总之,这些结果表明,使用 LLM 增强的政策偏好数据可以捕捉到超越党派界限的细微差别,是数据增强的一个有前途的研究方向。本文是 "共创未来:参与式城市与数字治理 "主题期刊的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Co-designing transport models as a heuristic planning tool. 共同设计运输模型,作为启发式规划工具。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0110
Tanvi Maheshwari, Pieter Fourie

Recently the transportation sector has witnessed several new technologically driven disruptions that have amplified the complexity of city planning and policymaking. Traditional well-established processes of decision-making in urban planning and transportation are proving insufficient to deal with this degree of complexity and uncertainty. This paper proposes an alternative approach, combining qualitative and normative urban design, with quantitative and predictive transport modelling. This requires urban designers and transport modellers to co-create goal-driven and agile transport models that act as a heuristic tool to guide planning decisions in early design stages. Heuristic modelling is informed by design optioning and vice versa in an iterative loop. A case study is presented to demonstrate how this approach is operationalized to study the impacts of automated vehicles on urban planning. Design workshops are used as a method to elicit responses from stakeholders, which are used to co-create the simulation models. This collaborative process grounds the research in real-world practice and enhances the communication of design proposals and research findings across disciplines. By integrating design thinking methods with agent-based transport simulations, this approach provides a better understanding of emergent effects in complex urban systems and improves stakeholder engagement in the planning process.This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

最近,交通领域出现了几种新的技术驱动的干扰因素,这些干扰因素增加了城市规划和决策的复杂性。事实证明,城市规划和交通领域传统的既定决策过程不足以应对这种复杂性和不确定性。本文提出了一种替代方法,将定性和规范性城市设计与定量和预测性交通建模相结合。这就要求城市设计师和交通建模人员共同创建目标驱动的敏捷交通模型,作为启发式工具,在早期设计阶段指导规划决策。在迭代循环中,启发式建模以设计方案为依据,反之亦然。本报告介绍了一个案例研究,以展示如何运用这种方法来研究自动驾驶汽车对城市规划的影响。设计研讨会被用作一种从利益相关者那里获得回应的方法,这些回应被用于共同创建模拟模型。这种合作过程使研究立足于现实世界的实践,并加强了设计建议和研究成果的跨学科交流。通过将设计思维方法与基于代理的交通模拟相结合,这种方法可以更好地理解复杂城市系统中的突发效应,并提高利益相关者在规划过程中的参与度。
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引用次数: 0
Empowering minorities and everyone in participatory budgeting: an agent-based modelling perspective. 在参与式预算编制中增强少数群体和每个人的权能:基于代理建模的视角。
IF 4.3 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-16 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0090
Dino Carpentras, Regula Hänggli Fricker, Dirk Helbing

Currently, there are increasing attempts to better involve citizens in political decision processes. A successful approach in that regard has been participatory budgeting (PB), which allows citizens to propose projects and then decide how to distribute a given budget over them. Meanwhile, the literature on collective intelligence (CI) has also shown the ability of groups to solve complex problems. Thus, by combining CI and PB, it should be possible for citizens to identify problems and create their own solutions. In this article, we study this possibility by using agent-based models. Specifically, we first show that a system combining CI and PB produces solutions that strongly penalize minorities if the solution quality depends on group size. Then, we introduce an approach that can overcome this issue. Indeed, by using a common knowledge base for the storage of partial solutions, the quality of solutions of minorities can benefit from the work of the majority, thereby promoting fairness. Interestingly, this approach also benefits majorities, as the quality of their solutions is further improved by the work of the minorities, thus reaching better solutions for everyone. This stresses the potential and importance of an open innovation approach, which is committed to information sharing.This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

目前,人们越来越多地尝试让公民更好地参与政治决策过程。参与式预算编制(PB)就是这方面的一个成功方法,它允许公民提出项目建议,然后决定如何将给定的预算分配给这些项目。同时,有关集体智慧(CI)的文献也显示了群体解决复杂问题的能力。因此,将集体智慧(CI)和项目预算(PB)结合起来,公民就有可能发现问题并创造自己的解决方案。在本文中,我们将利用基于代理的模型来研究这种可能性。具体来说,我们首先表明,如果解决方案的质量取决于群体规模,那么结合了公民参与和决策制定的系统所产生的解决方案会对少数群体造成严重影响。然后,我们介绍了一种可以克服这一问题的方法。事实上,通过使用共同的知识库来存储部分解决方案,少数群体的解决方案质量可以从多数群体的工作中获益,从而促进公平。有趣的是,这种方法还能让多数人受益,因为少数人的工作能进一步提高他们解决方案的质量,从而为每个人提供更好的解决方案。本文是 "共同创造未来:参与式城市与数字治理 "专题的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
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