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The Support Vector Regression Model: A new Improvement for some Data Reduction Methods with Application 支持向量回归模型:对某些数据约简方法的新改进及应用
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.4049
Moustafa Salem, Mohamed G. Khalil
Support Vector Regression (SVR) formulates is an optimization problem to learn a regression function that maps from input predictor variables to output observed response values. The SVR is useful because it balances model complexity and prediction error, and it has good performance for handling high-dimensional data. In this paper, we use the SVR model to improve the principal component analysis and the factor analysis methods. Simulation experiments are performed to assessment the new method. Some useful applications to real data sets are presented for comparing the competitive SVR models. It is noted that with increasing sample size, the -SVR type under the principal component analysis is the best model. However, under the small sample sizes the SVR type under the factor analysis provided adequate results.
支持向量回归(SVR)公式化是一个优化问题,用于学习从输入预测变量映射到输出观测响应值的回归函数。SVR非常有用,因为它平衡了模型复杂性和预测误差,并且在处理高维数据时具有良好的性能。在本文中,我们使用SVR模型来改进主成分分析和因子分析方法。通过仿真实验对新方法进行了评价。给出了一些实际数据集的有用应用,用于比较竞争性SVR模型。值得注意的是,随着样本量的增加,主成分分析下的-SVR型是最佳模型。然而,在小样本量下,因子分析下的SVR类型提供了足够的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial-temporal factors affecting monthly rainfall in some Central Asian countries assuming a Weibull regression model 基于威布尔回归模型的影响中亚一些国家月降雨量的时空因素
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.3976
E. Barili, J. Achcar, R. P. Oliveira
Climate change has been observed worldwide in the last years. Among the different effects of climate change, rain precipitation is one of the effects that most challenge the population of all countries in the world. The main goal of this study is to introduce a data analysis of monthly rainfall data related to five countries in Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tadjikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan) for a long period of time to discover the behavior of rain precipitation in these countries in the last decades and possible link with climate change. Since climate data are positive real values, Weibull regression models are used in the data analysis in presence of some spatial factors  as latitude and longitude of the climate stations in each country, temporal factors (linear year effects), altitude of the climate station and categorical factors (countries).The obtained results show that some factors have different effects in the monthly rainfall of the assumed countries during the follow-up assumed period, possibly linked to the climate change observed in the last decades worldwide.
在过去的几年里,全世界都观察到了气候变化。在气候变化的不同影响中,降雨是世界上对所有国家人口最具挑战性的影响之一。本研究的主要目标是对中亚五个国家(哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、塔吉克斯坦、土库曼斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦)长期的月度降雨量数据进行数据分析,以发现这些国家过去几十年的降雨行为以及与气候变化的可能联系。由于气候数据是正的真实值,因此在存在一些空间因素的情况下,在数据分析中使用威布尔回归模型,如每个国家气候站的纬度和经度、时间因素(线性年效应)、,结果表明,在后续假设期内,一些因素对假设国家的月降雨量有不同的影响,可能与过去几十年全球观测到的气候变化有关。
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引用次数: 0
A New Flexible Probability Model: Theory, Estimation and Modeling Bimodal Left Skewed Data 一种新的柔性概率模型:双峰左偏数据的理论、估计和建模
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.3938
Mohamed Aboraya, M. M. Ali, Haitham M. Yousof, Mohamed ibrahim Mohamed
In this work, we introduced a new three-parameter Nadarajah-Haghighi model. We derived explicit expressions for some of it statistical properties. The Farlie Gumbel Morgenstern, modified Farlie Gumbel Morgenstern, Clayton, Renyi and Ali-Mikhail-Haq copulas are used for deriving some bivariate type extensions. We consider maximum likelihood, Cramér-von-Mises, ordinary least squares, whighted least squares, Anderson Darling, right tail Anderson Darling and left tail Anderson Darling estimation procedures to estimate the unknown model parameters. Simulation study for comparing estimation methods is performed. An application for comparing methods as also presented. The maximum likelihood estimation method is the best method. However, the other methods performed well. Another application for comparing the competitive models is investigated.
在这项工作中,我们引入了一个新的三参数Nadarajah-Haghighi模型。我们导出了它的一些统计性质的显式表达式。利用Farlie Gumbel Morgenstern、改进的Farlie Gumbel Morgenstern、Clayton、Renyi和Ali-Mikhail-Haq copuln推导了一些二元类型扩展。我们考虑了极大似然、cram -von- mises、普通最小二乘、加权最小二乘、安德森达林、右尾安德森达林和左尾安德森达林估计程序来估计未知模型参数。进行了仿真研究,比较了各种估计方法。并给出了一种比较方法的应用。最大似然估计法是最好的方法。然而,其他方法表现良好。研究了比较竞争模型的另一种应用。
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引用次数: 5
Huber M-estimator for Cumulative Odds Model with Application to the Measurement of Students' Final Exam Grades 累积优势模型的Huber m估计量及其在学生期末考试成绩测量中的应用
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.2996
Faiz Bin Zulkifli, Zulkifley Bin Mohmed, N. Azmee
The Huber M-estimator is proposed in this study as a robust method for estimating the parameters of the cumulative odds model, which includes a logistic link function and polytomous explanatory variables. With the help of an intensive Monte Carlo simulation study carried out using the statistical software R, this study evaluates the performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and the robust technique developed. Bias, RMSE, and the Lipsitz Statistic are used to measure comparisons. When conducting the simulation study, different sample sizes, contamination proportions, and error standard deviations are considered. Preliminary findings indicate that the M-estimator with Huber weight estimates produces the best results for parameter estimation and overall model fitting compared to the MLE. As an illustration, the procedure is applied to real-world data of students' final exam grades as measured by two different estimators.
本研究提出Huber m -估计量作为累积机率模型参数估计的鲁棒方法,该模型包含一个逻辑连结函数和多个解释变量。在使用统计软件R进行的密集蒙特卡罗模拟研究的帮助下,本研究评估了最大似然估计器(MLE)的性能和开发的鲁棒技术。偏倚、均方根误差和利普西统计量被用来衡量比较。在进行模拟研究时,考虑了不同的样本量、污染比例和误差标准偏差。初步结果表明,与MLE相比,带有Huber权值估计的m估计器在参数估计和整体模型拟合方面产生了最好的结果。作为一个例子,该过程应用于学生期末考试成绩的真实数据,由两个不同的估计器测量。
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引用次数: 0
The Exponentiated Generalized Alpha Power Family of Distribution: Properties and Applications 分布的指数广义Alpha幂族:性质与应用
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.3515
E. Elsherpieny, E. Almetwally
In this paper, we introduce the exponentiated generalized alpha power family of distributions to extend the several other distributions. We used the new family to discuss the exponentiated generalized alpha power exponential (EGAPEx) distribution. Some statistical properties of the EGAPEx distribution are obtained. The model parameters are obtained by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), maximum product spacing (MPS) and Bayesian estimation methods. A Monte Carlo Simulation is performed to compare between different methods. We illustrate the performance of the proposed new family of distributions by means of two real data sets and the data sets show the new family of distributions is more appropriate as compared to the exponentiated generalized exponential, alpha power generalized exponential, alpha power exponential, generalized exponential and exponential distributions.
在本文中,我们引入了指数广义α幂分布族来扩展其他几种分布。我们使用新的族来讨论指数化的广义α幂指数(EGAPEx)分布。得到了EGAPEx分布的一些统计性质。通过最大似然估计(MLE)、最大乘积间距(MPS)和贝叶斯估计方法获得模型参数。进行蒙特卡罗模拟以比较不同方法。我们通过两个真实数据集说明了所提出的新分布族的性能,数据集表明,与指数广义指数、α幂广义指数、a幂指数、广义指数和指数分布相比,新分布族更合适。
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引用次数: 10
The Effect Of International Aid On Per Capita Income: A Panel Data Analysis 国际援助对人均收入的影响:面板数据分析
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.4042
F. Gündüz, Özlem Akay
Poverty, a problem that has existed throughout the history of humanity and sought a solution, is a phenomenon that is struggled under the joint responsibility of world states, national and international organizations. As a result of the positive and economic developments after the World War II, with the implementation of social spending programs, a transition to a systematic structure has been achieved in the struggle against poverty. In this study, a panel data set covering the period 2004-2018 for 23 countries was constructed to examine the impact of international aid on per capita income. The study results show a positive relationship between the international aid, population, and human development index and per capita gross domestic product at the 5% significance level, a negative relationship between the unemployment rate and the Gini coefficient and per capita income at the 5% significance level. If the international aid increases by 1%, the per capita income increases by 0.08%, if the population increases by 1%, the per capita income increases by 1.45%,  if the value of human development increases by 1%, the per capita income increases by 1.60%. If the unemployment rate increases by 1%, per capita income decreases by 0.15%; if the Gini coefficient increases by 1%, the per capita income decreases by 0.63%.
贫困是人类历史上一直存在并寻求解决的问题,是世界各国、各民族组织和国际组织共同努力解决的问题。由于第二次世界大战后积极的经济发展,随着社会支出计划的实施,在与贫困的斗争中实现了向系统结构的过渡。在本研究中,构建了涵盖2004-2018年的23个国家的面板数据集,以检验国际援助对人均收入的影响。研究结果表明,国际援助、人口和人类发展指数与人均国内生产总值在5%的显著水平上呈正相关,失业率与基尼系数和人均收入在5%的显著水平上呈负相关。如果国际援助增加1%,人均收入增加0.08%;如果人口增加1%,人均收入增加1.45%;如果人类发展价值增加1%,人均收入增加1.60%。失业率每增加1%,人均收入就减少0.15%;基尼系数每增加1%,人均收入就减少0.63%。
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引用次数: 0
New Exponential Ratio Estimator in Ranked Set Sampling 排序集抽样中一种新的指数比率估计
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.3921
Rather Khalid, E. Koçyiğit, Ceren Ünal
In this study, we adapted the families of estimators from Ünal and Kadilar (2021)  using the exponential function for the population mean in case of non-response for simple random sampling for the estimation of the mean of the population with the RSS (ranked set sampling) method. The equations for the MSE and the bias of the adapted estimators are obtained for RSS and it in theory shows that the proposed estimator is additional efficient than the present RSS mean estimators in the literature. In addition, we support these theoretical results with real COVID-19 real data and conjointly the simulation studies with different distributions and parameters. As a result of the study, it was observed that the efficiency of the proposed estimator was better than the other estimators.
在本研究中,我们采用了Ünal和Kadilar(2021)的估计器族,在简单随机抽样无响应的情况下,使用指数函数来估计总体均值,并使用RSS(排名集抽样)方法估计总体均值。得到了相应估计量的均方误差和偏置方程,并从理论上证明了所提估计量比现有文献中的平均估计量更有效。此外,我们用真实的COVID-19真实数据以及不同分布和参数的模拟研究来支持这些理论结果。研究结果表明,该估计器的效率优于其他估计器。
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引用次数: 2
Mathematical Modeling of Age-Specific Fertility Rates of Nepali Mothers 尼泊尔母亲特定年龄生育率的数学模型
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.3319
A. Gaire, G. B. Thapa, S. K. C.
In this paper, polynomial models have been formulated to describe the distribution pattern of age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and forward-cumulative ASFRs of Nepali mothers. The former follows the bi-quadratic polynomial and the latter follows the quadratic one. Velocity and elasticity equations of the fitted models have been formulated. The areas covered by the curves of the fitted models have been evaluated, and the area covered by the curve of ASFRs is equivalent to the total fertility rate (TFR). Furthermore, the mode of the fitted ASFRs has been estimated. To test the stability and validity of fitted models, cross validity prediction power, shrinkage of the model, F-test statistics and the coefficient of determination have been applied.
本文建立了多项式模型来描述尼泊尔母亲年龄特异性生育率(ASFRs)和前向累积ASFRs的分布模式。前者遵循双二次多项式,后者遵循二次多项式。建立了拟合模型的速度方程和弹性方程。对拟合模型曲线所覆盖的面积进行了评估,ASFRs曲线所覆盖的面积相当于总生育率(TFR)。此外,对拟合的ASFRs进行了模态估计。为了检验拟合模型的稳定性和有效性,采用了交叉效度预测力、模型收缩率、f检验统计量和决定系数。
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引用次数: 0
Paradox in The d-Dimensional Fixed Charge Transportation Problem and Algorithm for Finding The Paradox d维固定电荷运输问题中的悖论及其求解算法
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.2807
B. P. Silalahi, E. Sulistyono, F. Bukhari
The d-dimensional fixed charge transportation problem is a generalization of fixed charge transportation. This problem has d-type of constraints so that can be applied to more complex problem. In transportation problem, sometimes there is a cases when increase the product in shipping, the number of costs incurred is less than before the increase of product. This problem is called the transportation paradox. In this research, it will be explained about the model of d-dimensional fixed charge transportation problem and sufficient condition for the occurrence of the paradox. Furthermore an algorithm is given in finding the paradox in the d-dimensional fixed charge transportation problem with example to support the theory presented.
d维固定电荷运输问题是固定电荷运输的一个推广。这个问题具有d型约束,因此可以应用于更复杂的问题。在运输问题上,有时会出现在运输中增加产品时,所产生的成本比增加产品前要少的情况。这个问题被称为运输悖论。在本研究中,将解释d维固定电荷传输问题的模型以及悖论发生的充分条件。此外,文中还给出了d维固定电荷输运问题中悖论的求解算法,并给出了一个实例来支持这一理论。
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引用次数: 0
A New Transmuted Weibull Distribution: Properties and Application 一种新的变形威布尔分布:性质及应用
IF 1.5 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.18187/pjsor.v18i2.2728
A. S. Malik, S. Ahmad
This paper proposes a new three parameter Weibull distribution obtained using a new Transmutation technique namely New Transmuted Weibull distribution. A comprehensive account of some of the mathematical properties of new model are derived. Entropy estimation and parameter estimation is also carried out using different methods. Finally, it will be shown that the analytical results are applicable to model real data.
本文提出了利用一种新的嬗变技术得到的新的三参数威布尔分布,即新嬗变威布尔分布。对新模型的一些数学性质作了全面的说明。熵估计和参数估计也采用不同的方法进行。最后,将表明分析结果适用于模拟实际数据。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research
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