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Research on Supply Chain Demand Prediction Model Based on LSTM 基于 LSTM 的供应链需求预测模型研究
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.09.039
Na Na
The supply chain regards suppliers, producers, and consumers as an organic whole, unifying and coordinating the information flow, logistics, and capital flow of all members, and achieving the goal of win-win for all members in the overall operation of cross organization. Demand forecasting is an important factor driving the entire supply chain, and low error rates in forecasting are a common goal pursued by the industry. In order to improve the quality of demand forecasting, enhance the efficiency of supply chain operations, and leverage the important role of machine learning in the era of artificial intelligence, this paper conducts research based on LSTM. Firstly, this paper determines the objective function and constraints for supply chain demand forecasting; Then, this paper constructs a supply chain demand prediction model, based on the LSTM network structure, determine the network training method and model construction process; Finally, this paper conducts simulation experiments and result analysis, configure LSTM parameters, determine model performance evaluation indicators, and compare and analyze actual values with predicted values. The results indicate that the supply chain demand prediction model constructed in this article has very good performance and has promotional value in practice.
供应链将供应商、生产商和消费者视为一个有机整体,统一协调各成员的信息流、物流和资金流,在跨组织的整体运作中实现各成员共赢的目标。需求预测是驱动整个供应链的重要因素,预测误差率低是业界共同追求的目标。为了提高需求预测的质量,提升供应链运作的效率,发挥机器学习在人工智能时代的重要作用,本文基于 LSTM 进行了研究。首先,本文确定了供应链需求预测的目标函数和约束条件;然后,本文构建了供应链需求预测模型,基于 LSTM 网络结构,确定了网络训练方法和模型构建过程;最后,本文进行了仿真实验和结果分析,配置 LSTM 参数,确定模型性能评价指标,并将实际值与预测值进行对比分析。结果表明,本文构建的供应链需求预测模型具有很好的性能,在实践中具有推广价值。
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引用次数: 0
A Comparative Study on System Modeling Notations 系统建模符号比较研究
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.06.142
Shuichiro Yamamoto

There are several system modeling notations based on system thinking. So far, these notations have not been compared. In this paper, we propose the GPDAC (Goal, Process, Data, Actor, Control) as a framework for creating new systems engineering knowledge by recombining knowledge from different academic fields. Moreover, a comparative study reveals the relationship among system modeling notations such as Systemigram, OPM (Object Process Methodology), and ArchiMate.

目前有几种基于系统思维的系统建模符号。迄今为止,还没有对这些符号进行过比较。在本文中,我们提出了 GPDAC(目标、过程、数据、角色、控制)作为一个框架,通过重新组合不同学术领域的知识来创建新的系统工程知识。此外,比较研究揭示了 Systemigram、OPM(对象过程方法论)和 ArchiMate 等系统建模符号之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of a Blockchain-Based Prescription System and Data Source for National Research and Development 评估基于区块链的处方系统和国家研发数据源
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.06.227
Sean Chan, Aedin Clay, Lance Tan, Christian Pulmano

In the Philippines, healthcare providers, government agencies, and research institutions use data from patient prescriptions to generate reports for health planning and decision-making. However, current e-prescription systems have vulnerabilities, including erroneous information, hacking attempts, a single point of failure, and medical fraud. In addition to affecting the quality of data reporting, these issues violate a patient’s rights to data privacy. One promising solution is a blockchain-based prescription system. Blockchain’s immutable ledger accurately traces medical fraud and erroneous information, while its decentralized nature reduces the impact of failures. Performance is an important consideration, as healthcare systems need to be scalable and time-sensitive. This study aims to understand the performance and security of blockchain-based prescription systems. It focuses on evaluating system performance and scalability when using different encryption algorithms. The study found that using the most secure technology had only a small performance impact for all prototype features except key generation and report viewing. In addition, the results suggest that the proposed system’s scalability is sufficient to service the entire Philippines. This knowledge will help improve prescription systems to protect patients’ rights and improve report reliability.

在菲律宾,医疗服务提供者、政府机构和研究机构利用患者处方中的数据生成报告,用于健康规划和决策。然而,目前的电子处方系统存在漏洞,包括信息错误、黑客攻击、单点故障和医疗欺诈。除了影响数据报告的质量,这些问题还侵犯了患者的数据隐私权。一个很有前景的解决方案是基于区块链的处方系统。区块链不可更改的分类账可准确追踪医疗欺诈和错误信息,而其去中心化的特性则可减少故障的影响。性能是一个重要的考虑因素,因为医疗保健系统需要具有可扩展性和时效性。本研究旨在了解基于区块链的处方系统的性能和安全性。研究重点是评估使用不同加密算法时的系统性能和可扩展性。研究发现,除了密钥生成和报告查看外,使用最安全的技术对所有原型功能的性能影响都很小。此外,研究结果表明,拟议系统的可扩展性足以为整个菲律宾提供服务。这些知识将有助于改进处方系统,以保护患者的权利并提高报告的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Application of a machine learning model to maximize the success rate in day trade operations on the American Stock Exchange 应用机器学习模型最大限度地提高美国证券交易所日间交易业务的成功率
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.08.235
Wagner A. Carvalho , Marcelo Henrique C. Cerqueira , Luana de Azevedo de Oliveira , Carlos Francisco Santos Simões , Luiz Paulo Fávero , Marcos dos Santos

Daytrading has been showing a growing popularity in the world due to easy access via technology, the possibility of additional earnings and a large increase in courses and several mentors available on social networks. This scenario causes many people to be unprepared to enter this market that has a high risk and that end up causing many people to lose their savings. Considering this situation, this study proposes the analysis of the data of a daytrade strategy, applying a machine learning model to help the investor make better decisions. Data from November 2020 to July 2023 was used within the US market based on the company [AMD]. The method used was the supervised machine learning technique known as the decision tree model, which seeks to identify the probability of event and non-event within the scenarios proposed in this work. The results were analyzed using the confusion matrix, gauging the accuracy in the training and test base, applying several decision tree models in order to find the best model and accuracy in the test base. In this sense, an improvement in the assertiveness rate was observed with the application of the supervised machine learning model based on a decision tree.

日间交易在世界上越来越受欢迎,原因在于技术的便捷性、获得额外收益的可能性、课程的大量增加以及社交网络上的几位导师。这种情况导致许多人在毫无准备的情况下进入这个具有高风险的市场,并最终导致许多人失去积蓄。考虑到这种情况,本研究建议对日间交易策略的数据进行分析,应用机器学习模型帮助投资者做出更好的决策。本研究使用了基于 AMD 公司的美国市场 2020 年 11 月至 2023 年 7 月的数据。所使用的方法是被称为决策树模型的监督机器学习技术,该模型旨在识别本作品提出的情景中事件和非事件的概率。使用混淆矩阵对结果进行分析,衡量训练和测试基础的准确性,应用多个决策树模型,以便在测试基础中找到最佳模型和准确性。从这个意义上说,应用基于决策树的监督机器学习模型后,可以观察到断言率有所提高。
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引用次数: 0
Energy policy to overcome energy efficiency barriers: A Literature Review 克服能效障碍的能源政策:文献综述
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.08.043
Mouhcine Rhouiri , Mohamed Habiboullah Meyabe , Sara Benmoussa , Mehdi Bensouda

This paper examines the pervasive barriers hindering the widespread adoption of energy efficiency measures across various sectors. It categorizes these barriers into economic barriers, high upfront costs, organizational challenges, such as technical expertise and behavioral barriers, namely risk aversion and framing. To address these barriers, a comprehensive review of energy efficiency policies is conducted. These policies include incentives, coercive instruments, award systems, university industry collaboration, and technical support. To review energy efficiency barriers and policies, a methodological approach integrating non-structured snowball sampling with targeted literature review techniques was devised. Finally, the paper underlines that the success of these policies is contingent upon the active involvement, the collaboration, and the feedback of businesses, ensuring the feasibility of these policies. Their proactive engagement is indispensable in tackling energy efficiency barriers and driving the implementation of energy-efficient technologies, thus paving the way for a more sustainable and competitive businesses.

本文探讨了阻碍各行业广泛采用节能措施的普遍障碍。本文将这些障碍分为经济障碍、高昂的前期成本、组织挑战(如专业技术知识)和行为障碍(即风险规避和框架)。为解决这些障碍,对能效政策进行了全面审查。这些政策包括激励措施、强制手段、奖励制度、大学行业合作和技术支持。为了审查能效障碍和政策,我们设计了一种方法,将非结构化滚雪球抽样与有针对性的文献审查技术相结合。最后,本文强调,这些政策的成功取决于企业的积极参与、合作和反馈,以确保这些政策的可行性。他们的主动参与对于解决能效障碍和推动节能技术的实施是不可或缺的,从而为更具可持续性和竞争力的企业铺平道路。
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引用次数: 0
Survey of Cybersecurity in Smart Grids Protocols and Datasets 智能电网网络安全协议和数据集调查
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.08.049
Mamdouh Muhammad, Abdullah S. Alshra‘a, Reinhard German

Smart grids are two-way communications grids that converge Information Technology (IT) and Operational Technology (OT) to transfer energy-related information between different industry components within the grid. Smart grids have changed the energy sector by increasing sustainability, efficiency and integrating renewable energy sources. However, smart grids are vulnerable to IT-related attacks because they rely on Information and Communication Technology (ICT). By surveying relevant papers and evaluating accessible statistics, this study explores cybersecurity in smart grids by examining current communication protocols and standards. We carefully compile various datasets with general information about four of the most smart grid-related datasets. Our study and conclusions address the key components of a smart grid and offer information that can help create cybersecurity plans specifically for smart grids. This research contributes to the discourse on smart grid security, which is important for preserving the stability of contemporary energy systems.

智能电网是一种双向通信电网,它融合了信息技术(IT)和操作技术(OT),可在电网内不同行业组件之间传输与能源相关的信息。智能电网通过提高可持续性、效率和整合可再生能源,改变了能源行业。然而,由于智能电网依赖于信息和通信技术(ICT),因此很容易受到与 IT 相关的攻击。本研究通过调查相关论文和评估可获得的统计数据,研究当前的通信协议和标准,从而探讨智能电网的网络安全问题。我们仔细汇编了各种数据集,其中包括四个与智能电网最相关的数据集的一般信息。我们的研究和结论涉及智能电网的关键组成部分,提供的信息有助于制定专门针对智能电网的网络安全计划。这项研究为有关智能电网安全的讨论做出了贡献,而智能电网安全对于维护当代能源系统的稳定性非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Marketing and social networks. External strategic analysis of a company providing digital advertising services 营销与社交网络。对一家提供数字广告服务的公司进行外部战略分析
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.08.048
Ana Cecilia Chumaceiro Hernández , Arianna Carolina Puello , Judith J. Hernández G

Strategic management is a systemic, logical, and objective process that provides a guiding framework for all plans and actions of a company. The beginning of this logical process is in the external analysis of the organization. This dissertation analyzes the external situation faced by a micro-company providing digital advertising services in Barranquilla. The method used for the case study included technological development, innovation, and projective research with documentary and field observation. The results show the speed with which information technologies advance and, with them, societies' technological and environmental demands and interests. It is concluded that the commercial practices developed must be responsible for the environment and the direct impact generated on its customers. It will probably achieve sustainability over time by aligning these elements to its raison d'être.

战略管理是一个系统、逻辑和客观的过程,为公司的所有计划和行动提供指导框架。这一逻辑过程的起点是对组织进行外部分析。本论文分析了巴兰基亚一家提供数字广告服务的微型公司所面临的外部形势。案例研究采用的方法包括技术开发、创新以及通过文献和实地观察进行项目研究。研究结果表明,信息技术发展迅速,随之而来的是社会对技术和环境的需求和兴趣。结论是,开发的商业实践必须对环境负责,并对客户产生直接影响。随着时间的推移,通过将这些因素与其存在的理由结合起来,可能会实现可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Cloud-Based Framework for Data Exchange to Enhance Global Healthcare 基于云的数据交换框架提升全球医疗保健水平
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.08.082
Ammerha Naz , Muhammad Ali , Sehrish Munawar Cheema , Ivan Miguel Pires

Healthcare is a global pillar, with a surge in the adoption of information technology, particularly in hospital information systems (HIS). However, global protocols are needed to meet the growing demand for data interchange, practical implementations for sharing healthcare data among facilities, and a pressing need for processing and storage infrastructure to handle the escalating volume of healthcare data. This study proposes a solution for efficient data transmission using electronic health records (EHR) and Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) to leverage cloud computing resources. This framework's architecture boasts robustness and adaptability, providing all registered software programs access to data interchange services. Through a comprehensive examination of the framework's structure, the essay also explores the most effective data-sharing methods. It identifies the healthcare system's optimal EHR data model. According to multiple healthcare experts, the operational building of this framework is expected to catalyze the growth of healthcare institutions both nationally and within specific industries.

医疗保健是全球的支柱产业,随着信息技术的采用,特别是医院信息系统(HIS)的采用,医疗保健技术的发展突飞猛进。然而,需要制定全球性协议来满足日益增长的数据交换需求、在各机构之间共享医疗保健数据的实际实施,以及处理和存储基础设施的迫切需要,以处理不断增加的医疗保健数据量。本研究提出了一种利用电子健康记录(EHR)和平台即服务(PaaS)的高效数据传输解决方案,以充分利用云计算资源。该框架的架构具有稳健性和适应性,可让所有注册软件程序访问数据交换服务。通过对框架结构的全面研究,文章还探讨了最有效的数据共享方法。它确定了医疗系统的最佳电子病历数据模型。多位医疗专家认为,该框架的运行建设有望促进全国和特定行业医疗机构的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Biomedical Natural Language Inference on Clinical trials using the BERT-based Models 使用基于 BERT 的模型对临床试验进行生物医学自然语言推理
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.08.083
Ayesha Seerat , Sarah Nasir , Muhammad Wasim , Nuno M. Garcia

Clinical trials are crucial in experimental medicine as they assess the safety and efficiency of new treatments. Due to its unstructured and plain language nature, clinical text data often presents challenges in understanding the relationships between various elements like disease, symptoms, diagnosis, and treatment. This task is challenging as the Multi-evidence Natural Language Inference for Clinical Trial Data (NLI4CT) requires intricate reasoning involving textual and numerical elements. It involves integrating information from one or two Clinical Trial Reports (CTRs) to validate hypotheses, demanding a multi-faceted approach. To address these problems, we use BERT-base models’ ability to predict entailment or contradiction labels and compare the use of transformer-based feature extraction and pre-trained models. We utilize seven pre-trained models, including six BERT-based and one T5-based model: BERT-base uncased, BioBERT-base-cased-v1.1-mnli, DeBERTa-v3-base-mnli-fever-anli, DeBERTa-v3-base-mnli-fever-docnli-ling-2c, DeBERTa-large-mnli, BioLinkBERT-base, and Flan-T5-base. We achieve an F1-score of 61% on both DeBERTa-v3-base-mnli-fever-anli and DeBERTa-large-mnli models and 95% faithfulness on the BioLinkBERT-base model.

临床试验在实验医学中至关重要,因为它们可以评估新疗法的安全性和有效性。由于临床文本数据具有非结构化和纯语言的特点,因此在理解疾病、症状、诊断和治疗等各种要素之间的关系时往往面临挑战。由于临床试验数据的多证据自然语言推理(NLI4CT)需要涉及文本和数字元素的复杂推理,因此这项任务极具挑战性。它需要整合来自一份或两份临床试验报告(CTR)的信息来验证假设,这就要求采用多方面的方法。为了解决这些问题,我们利用 BERT 基础模型预测包含或矛盾标签的能力,并比较了基于转换器的特征提取和预训练模型的使用情况。我们使用了七个预训练模型,包括六个基于 BERT 的模型和一个基于 T5 的模型:这些模型包括:BERT-base uncased、BioBERT-base-cased-v1.1-mnli、DeBERTa-v3-base-mnli-fever-anli、DeBERTa-v3-base-mnli-fever-docnli-ling-2c、DeBERTa-large-mnli、BioLinkBERT-base 和 Flan-T5-base。我们在 DeBERTa-v3-base-mnli-fever-anli 和 DeBERTa-large-mnli 模型上取得了 61% 的 F1 分数,在 BioLinkBERT-base 模型上取得了 95% 的忠实度。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling Neural Networks for Personalized Diet Recommendations 揭开个性化饮食推荐神经网络的神秘面纱
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2024.08.088
Carlos Cunha , João Rebelo , Rui Duarte

The growing prevalence of poor nutrition is a major public health concern, as it fuels the rise of various diseases. Obesity, a silent and rapidly growing threat linked to unhealthy eating, is a prime example. Despite the abundance of information on diets and recipes, finding a personalized approach to healthy eating can be a challenge. Recommendation systems can filter from a food logging dataset the information that best suits the nutrition profile of a given user. A powerful tool to use in food recommendation systems is neural networks. However, the user's available data are often limited, which compromises the performance of neural-based food recommendation models. To enhance user trust in food recommendations, this paper proposes a method using a secondary model to predict the errors of the primary neural network, especially when dealing with limited data.

营养不良日益普遍是一个重大的公共卫生问题,因为它助长了各种疾病的增加。肥胖症就是一个典型的例子,它是一种与不健康饮食有关的无声且快速增长的威胁。尽管有关饮食和食谱的信息非常丰富,但要找到个性化的健康饮食方法仍是一项挑战。推荐系统可以从食物记录数据集中筛选出最适合特定用户营养状况的信息。神经网络是食品推荐系统的一个强大工具。然而,用户的可用数据往往有限,这影响了基于神经网络的食物推荐模型的性能。为了提高用户对食品推荐的信任度,本文提出了一种使用二级模型预测一级神经网络误差的方法,尤其是在处理有限数据时。
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引用次数: 0
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Procedia Computer Science
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