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2008 First International Conference on Infrastructure Systems and Services: Building Networks for a Brighter Future (INFRA)最新文献

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Pathways for sustainability transitions in the electricity sector: Multi-level analysis and empirical illustration 电力部门可持续转型的路径:多层次分析和实证说明
G. Verbong, F. Geels
This paper analyses sustainability transitions in the electricity sector. Using a Multi Level Perspective on transitions, three transition pathways are briefly elaborated and indications for the consequences for the infrastructure are given. The transformation pathway is characterised by a further hybridisation of the infrastructure; in the reconfiguration pathway, internationalisation and scale increase in renewable generation can lead to the emergence of a Supergrid. The de-alignment and re-alignment pathway is dominated by distributed generation and a focus on more local infrastructures. This pathway involves a major restrcuturing of the electricity system, but our conclusion is that this pathway is less likely than the other two. The de-alignment and re-alignment pathway is therefore more dependent on external developments and/or strong policy interventions. However, in all pathways major investments in infrastructure and innovative technologies are needed.
本文分析了电力部门的可持续性转型。使用多层次的视角,简要阐述了三种过渡途径,并给出了对基础设施的后果的指示。转型路径的特点是基础设施的进一步混合;在重构路径中,可再生能源发电的国际化和规模扩大可能导致超级电网的出现。去对齐和重新对齐路径以分布式发电为主,并关注更多的本地基础设施。这一途径涉及电力系统的重大重组,但我们的结论是,与其他两种途径相比,这一途径的可能性较小。因此,调整和重新调整路径更多地依赖于外部发展和/或强有力的政策干预。然而,在所有途径中,都需要对基础设施和创新技术进行重大投资。
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引用次数: 13
The importance of alternative routes for the robustness of a road network 替代路线对道路网络稳健性的重要性
M. Snelder, B. Immers, H. V. van Zuylen
In this paper the importance of alternative routes for the robustness of a road network is examined. A case study for the area of Rotterdam in the Netherlands showed that if nobody is informed about an incident on the motorways and/or nobody has the opportunity to change their routes, delays of more than one hour can easily occur. Furthermore, it was demonstrated that it is beneficial to have at least 1 route alternative, but that multiple route alternatives are not strictly.
本文研究了可选路线对路网鲁棒性的重要性。荷兰鹿特丹地区的一个案例研究表明,如果没有人被告知高速公路上发生的事故,或者没有人有机会改变他们的路线,那么很容易发生超过一个小时的延误。进一步论证了至少有1个备选路线是有利的,但多条备选路线并不严格。
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引用次数: 4
Telecom and the Internet: Assessing the necessary degree of coherence between technology and institutions 电信和互联网:评估技术和制度之间必要的一致性程度
W. Lemstra
From research into the co-evolution of technology and institutions in the electricity sector system functions and coordination mechanisms have been identified as essential for the overall system integrity. When intervention in the autonomous development of the sector is being considered, e.g., through liberalization, their execution needs to be assured through institutional and/or technological means. Hence, a certain degree of coherence between technological and institutional arrangements needs to be safeguarded. In this contribution we report in summary form on the applicability of the coherence hypothesis for the electronic communications sector. We explore the co-evolution of the voice network (PSTN) and the data network (Internet), and assess the implications of the Telecom Reform as an deliberate intervention in the development process. We conclude that for the sector the coherence hypothesis can neither be accepted, nor rejected. What appears to distinguish the sectors are the attributes of the products/services provided, and the characteristics of the design regime applied. Identifiers are categorized as being coordination critical.
从研究到电力部门的技术和制度的共同演变,系统功能和协调机制已被确定为整个系统完整性的必要条件。当考虑通过自由化干预该部门的自主发展时,需要通过体制和(或)技术手段确保其执行。因此,需要保障技术安排和体制安排之间的某种程度的一致性。在这篇文章中,我们以摘要的形式报告了相干假设对电子通信部门的适用性。我们探讨了语音网络(PSTN)和数据网络(互联网)的共同演变,并评估了电信改革在发展过程中有意干预的影响。我们的结论是,对于部门的连贯性假设既不能接受,也不能拒绝。区分这些部门的似乎是所提供的产品/服务的属性,以及所应用的设计制度的特征。标识符被归类为协调关键的。
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引用次数: 2
Assessment of large transport infrastructure projects: The CBA-DK model 大型交通基础设施项目评估:CBA-DK模型
K. B. Salling, D. Banister
The scope of this paper is to present a newly developed decision support model to assess transport infrastructure projects: CBA-DK. The model makes use of conventional cost-benefit analysis resulting in aggregated single point estimates and quantitative risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation resulting in interval results. The embedded uncertainties within traditional CBA such as ex-ante based investment costs and travel time savings are of particular concern. The methodological approach has been to apply suitable probability distribution functions on the uncertain parameters, thus resulting in feasibility risk assessment moving from point to interval results. Decision support as illustrated in this paper aims to provide assistance in the development and ultimately the choice of action while accounting for the uncertainties surrounding transport appraisal schemes. The modeling framework is illustrated by the use of a case study appraising airport and runway alternatives in the capital of Greenland - Nuuk. This study has been conducted in corporation with the Home Rule Authorities of Greenland.
本文的范围是提出一个新开发的决策支持模型来评估交通基础设施项目:CBA-DK。该模型利用传统的成本效益分析,得出汇总的单点估计,并利用蒙特卡罗模拟进行定量风险分析,得出区间结果。传统CBA中隐含的不确定性,如事前投资成本和旅行时间节省,尤其令人担忧。方法方法是在不确定参数上应用合适的概率分布函数,从而使可行性风险评估结果从点向区间移动。本文所述的决策支持旨在为制定和最终选择行动提供援助,同时考虑到运输评估方案的不确定性。建模框架是通过使用一个案例研究评估机场和跑道备选方案在格陵兰岛的首都努克说明。这项研究是与格陵兰地方自治当局合作进行的。
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引用次数: 86
A distributed model predictive control approach for the control of irrigation canals 灌渠控制的分布式模型预测控制方法
R. Negenborn, B. de Schutter
Water networks are large-scale systems, consisting of many interacting components. They are currently typically operated by local decentralized controllers which receive setpoints from human operators. We discuss how communication among the local controllers can be included and in particular propose the use of distributed model predictive control for enabling the local controllers to determine setpoints autonomously using communication and coordination. We consider the control of a particular class of water networks, viz. irrigation canals. A simulation study on a 7-reach irrigation canal illustrates the potential of the proposed approach.
水网络是由许多相互作用的组成部分组成的大型系统。目前,它们通常由本地分散的控制器操作,控制器从人工操作员那里接收设定值。我们讨论了如何包括本地控制器之间的通信,并特别提出使用分布式模型预测控制,使本地控制器能够使用通信和协调自主地确定设定值。我们考虑控制一类特殊的水网,即灌溉渠。对一个七段式灌溉渠的模拟研究表明了该方法的潜力。
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引用次数: 12
Understanding ambiguously structured traffic control practices at ProRail 了解proorail结构模糊的交通控制实践
J. van den Top, B. Steenhuisen
Managers as well as researchers meet the same ambiguity in the traffic control practices inside ProRail. The rail system shows a high number of dynamic interdependencies. Operators respond to it with low structured and sometimes contradictory practices. In the meanwhile, myriads of tradeoffs occur for critical values among which safety and reliability. Current practices do not show a clear model that explains how operators cooperate. The efforts to manage, regulate and innovate traffic control practices should be found on a thorough understanding of the actual practices and problems. These problems, however, tend to be paradoxical. We reflect on `how to improve' after empirically making sense of the ambiguously structured practices at ProRail.
管理人员和研究人员在ProRail内部的交通控制实践中遇到了同样的模糊性。铁路系统显示出大量动态的相互依赖关系。运营商对此的反应是结构松散,有时甚至是相互矛盾的做法。与此同时,在安全性和可靠性等关键问题上,需要进行无数的权衡。目前的实践并没有一个清晰的模式来解释运营商如何合作。管理、规范和创新交通管制的做法应该建立在对实际做法和问题的深入了解的基础上。然而,这些问题往往是自相矛盾的。在经验上理解了proorail结构模糊的实践之后,我们反思了“如何改进”。
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引用次数: 0
InSAW-Industrial Security Assessment Workbench insaw -工业安全评估工作台
I. N. Fovino, M. Masera
Industry, in parallel with a pervasive use of information and communication technologies, has begun in the last years to take into consideration the use of public information infrastructures (including the Internet) for remotely monitoring, managing and maintaining their technical systems. Concurrently, private and public networks are used for interconnecting technical and business information systems. As a result, industry is increasingly exposed to internal and external cyber-threats, and the security of the ICT infrastructures assumes a predominant relevance. A security assessment methodology, tailored for ICT industrial systems, has been recently developed in order to address such problem. In this paper we present InSAW, a software tool we have developed to implement such methodology in order to help the analysts in modeling and analyze under a security perspective, complex critical systems.
在普遍使用信息和通信技术的同时,工业界在过去几年中已开始考虑使用公共信息基础设施(包括因特网)来远程监测、管理和维持其技术系统。同时,私有和公共网络用于连接技术和商业信息系统。因此,行业越来越多地暴露于内部和外部网络威胁,信息通信技术基础设施的安全性具有重要意义。为了解决这一问题,最近开发了一种为信息通信技术工业系统量身定制的安全评估方法。在本文中,我们介绍了InSAW,这是我们开发的一种软件工具,用于实现这种方法,以帮助分析人员在安全角度下对复杂的关键系统进行建模和分析。
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引用次数: 7
Integrated uncertainty analysis for dealing with uncertainties in sustainability-led energy infrastructure transitions 处理可持续性能源基础设施转型不确定性的综合不确定性分析
E. Pruyt, W. Thissen, I. Meijer
In this paper, a conceptual framework for integrated uncertainty analysis is developed. The goal of the framework is to help identify all sorts of uncertainties in an integrated way and to assist the development of strategies to deal with major uncertainties, acknowledging that a significant part of the uncertainties cannot easily be eliminated and that policy and management strategies need to be developed to explicitly take this into account. The framework is applied to the energy system in order to identify uncertainties related to the future development of the energy infrastructure system, and to analyse and assess the possible impact and importance of the various uncertainties, and to find strategies to deal with them.
本文提出了一个综合不确定性分析的概念框架。该框架的目标是帮助以综合的方式确定各种不确定因素,并协助制定处理主要不确定因素的战略,同时承认不确定因素的很大一部分不容易消除,需要制定政策和管理战略以明确考虑到这一点。将该框架应用于能源系统,以识别与能源基础设施系统未来发展相关的不确定性,并分析和评估各种不确定性可能产生的影响和重要性,并找到应对这些不确定性的策略。
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引用次数: 0
How to deal with risk and uncertainty in the decision-making process on broadband roll out 如何应对宽带部署决策过程中的风险和不确定性
M. Fijnvandraat
In the process of upgrading of broadband networks, operators are confronted with several risks and uncertainties. In this paper, we will map risks and uncertainties in broadband decision-making and classify the risks and uncertainties to nature, level, and source. Classification into nature and level are measured by means of quantitative research, comprising an international survey among 87 experts, originating from fourteen countries worldwide. To manage these risk and uncertainties several methods can be applied. The preference of operators for risk and uncertainty decreasing methods are also investigated in our research.
在宽带网络升级的过程中,运营商面临着一些风险和不确定性。在本文中,我们将绘制宽带决策中的风险和不确定性,并对风险和不确定性进行性质、水平和来源分类。对性质和水平的分类是通过定量研究来衡量的,包括对来自全球14个国家的87名专家的国际调查。要管理这些风险和不确定性,可以采用几种方法。本文还研究了经营者对降低风险和不确定性方法的偏好。
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引用次数: 3
The role of infrastructures on public transport service reliability 基础设施对公共交通服务可靠性的影响
S. Tahmasseby, N. V. Oort, R. Nes
This research deals with a public transport network design methodology that accounts for reliability and robustness of urban public transport service networks by considering impacts of stochastic events on networks. The study shows the role of infrastructures such as bypasses to improve public transport network robustness. This methodology is applied in a case study: the tram network in city of The Hague. Results show a sensible improvement in network connectivity reliability as well as travel costs.
本文研究了一种公共交通网络设计方法,该方法通过考虑随机事件对网络的影响来考虑城市公共交通服务网络的可靠性和鲁棒性。该研究显示了旁路等基础设施在改善公共交通网络稳健性方面的作用。该方法应用于一个案例研究:海牙市的有轨电车网络。结果表明,在网络连接可靠性和差旅成本方面有了明显的改善。
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引用次数: 14
期刊
2008 First International Conference on Infrastructure Systems and Services: Building Networks for a Brighter Future (INFRA)
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