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2008 First International Conference on Infrastructure Systems and Services: Building Networks for a Brighter Future (INFRA)最新文献

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Distributed control applied to combined electricity and natural gas infrastructures 分布式控制在电力和天然气联合基础设施中的应用
M. Arnold, R. Negenborn, G. Andersson, B. Schutter
The optimization of combined electricity and natural gas systems is addressed in this paper. The two networks are connected via energy hubs. Using the energy hub concept, the interactions between the different infrastructures can be analyzed. A system consisting of several interconnected hubs forms a distributed power generation structure where each hub is controlled by its respective control agent. Recently, a distributed control method has been applied to such a system. The overall optimization problem including the entire system is decomposed into subproblems according to the control agents. In this paper, a parallel and serial version of that method is discussed. Simulation results are obtained through experiments on a three-hub benchmark system.
本文研究了电、气联合系统的优化问题。这两个网络通过能源枢纽连接起来。利用能源枢纽的概念,可以分析不同基础设施之间的相互作用。由若干互连集线器组成的系统形成分布式发电结构,其中每个集线器由其各自的控制代理控制。最近,一种分布式控制方法被应用于这种系统。将包括整个系统在内的整体优化问题根据控制主体分解为子问题。本文讨论了该方法的并行和串行版本。通过在三轮毂基准系统上的实验,得到了仿真结果。
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引用次数: 31
Advanced trust negotiation in critical infrastructures 关键基础设施中的高级信任协商
S. Braghin, I. N. Fovino, Alberto Trombetta
The modern critical infrastructures (Power grids, Power plants, gas and oil pipelines etc.) are nowadays strongly interconnected at national and international level. The failure of one of them can originate cascading effects which might have serious and disastrous impact on others, even geographically far, infrastructures. The exchange of information about vulnerabilities, threats, countermeasures among the different actors of such interleaved systems assumes a not negligible role in the prevention of continental disasters. Due to their intrinsic nature, such information has to be considered strongly confidential and sensitive. Cope with the two needs of ¿share information¿ preserving the ¿confidentiality¿ according to some criteria, is the big obstacle in the creation of effective critical infrastructure information sharing networks. In this paper we present an extension of the well known Trust-X negotiation framework, which allows to address the confidentiality problem in the context of information sharing for critical infrastructures.
现代关键基础设施(电网、发电厂、天然气和石油管道等)如今在国家和国际层面上紧密相连。其中一个基础设施的故障可能引发连锁效应,对其他基础设施,甚至地理位置遥远的基础设施产生严重和灾难性的影响。在这种交错系统的不同行动者之间交换关于脆弱性、威胁和对策的信息,在预防大陆灾害方面起着不可忽视的作用。由于其内在性质,这些信息必须被认为是高度机密和敏感的。同时满足“信息共享”和“保密”的双重需求,是建立有效的关键基础设施信息共享网络的一大障碍。在本文中,我们提出了一个众所周知的Trust-X协商框架的扩展,它可以解决关键基础设施信息共享背景下的机密性问题。
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引用次数: 7
Issues and opportunities for agent-based modeling in air transportation 航空运输中基于主体的建模的问题与机遇
Jia Zhao, D. DeLaurentis
Characterizing the envelope of most probable future air transportation architectures requires a system-of-systems approach. Such an approach is intended to produce both tactical and strategic level decisions and do so in consideration of technological, policy, and socio-economic aspects. Agent-based modeling has found productive use in this domain by providing flexible tool for analysis of large-scale interacting systems. Following from the system-of-systems nature of air transportation, existing models can be readily categorized by their level of abstraction. Four existing agent-based models and one model under development are reviewed in this paper, identifying and generalizing four major methodological issues in their application of ABM. Subsequently, implications from these applications on augmentations such as game theory, agent-based optimization, intelligent agents, and treatment of uncertainty are presented. All these issues exist even beyond the scope of air transportation and could be of value for common application of ABM.
表征未来最有可能的航空运输架构的包络需要系统的系统方法。这种方法旨在产生战术和战略两级的决定,并考虑到技术、政策和社会经济方面。基于代理的建模通过为大规模交互系统的分析提供灵活的工具,已经在这个领域找到了富有成效的用途。根据航空运输的“系统的系统”性质,现有的模型可以很容易地按其抽象级别进行分类。本文综述了现有的四种基于主体的模型和一种正在开发的模型,确定并概括了ABM应用中的四个主要方法问题。随后,介绍了这些应用在博弈论、基于代理的优化、智能代理和不确定性处理等增强方面的含义。这些问题甚至超出了航空运输的范畴,对反弹道导弹的普遍应用具有一定的参考价值。
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引用次数: 2
The governance of large socio-technical system in history 历史上大型社会技术系统的治理
J. Auger
Since the mid-eighteenth century, several infrastructures have been laid in Europe and North America. How have they been governed up until the present period? This problem leads to the identification the broad patters of coevolution between technology and institutions. In this essay, I discuss the changes in institutional arrangements, the phases of large socio-technical systems and the broad historical periods. This discussion aims at setting the stage for the production of a synthetical view of the history of infrastructures.
自18世纪中期以来,欧洲和北美已经铺设了一些基础设施。到目前为止,他们是如何被治理的?这个问题导致了技术与制度之间共同进化的广泛模式的识别。在这篇文章中,我讨论了制度安排的变化,大型社会技术系统的阶段和广泛的历史时期。本讨论旨在为基础设施历史的综合观点的产生奠定基础。
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引用次数: 0
Digging through the heart of reunified Berlin: Unbundling the story of the Tiergarten-tunnel mega-project 挖掘重新统一的柏林的心脏:解开蒂尔加滕隧道大型项目的故事
Deike Peters
The Berlin Tiergarten tunnel project consisted of a joint planning approval procedure for one road and several rail tunnels (inter-city, metro rail and city subway). The tunnels lead through the heart of re-unified Berlin, starting at the site of the new Central Railway Station, cutting underneath the River Spree and the new Federal government quarter, as well the Tiergarten park and the new entertainment complexes at Potsdamer Platz. This paper traces the decision-making processes for this crucial post-Berlin Wall mega-project, and raises important questions regarding optimistic forecasting, the estimation of risk, cost overruns, the role of prestige in large infrastructure projects, and the limits of public review procedures. More importantly, it provides particular insights into a complex, highly consequential case where multiple urban transport mega-projects were bundled together for joint approval and implementation.
柏林蒂尔加滕隧道项目包括一条公路和几条铁路隧道(城际、地铁和城市地铁)的联合规划审批程序。隧道穿过重新统一的柏林市中心,从新的中央火车站开始,穿过施普雷河和新的联邦政府区,以及蒂尔加滕公园和波茨坦广场的新娱乐中心。本文追溯了后柏林墙时代这一重要大型项目的决策过程,并提出了一些重要问题,包括乐观预测、风险估计、成本超支、大型基础设施项目中声望的作用以及公共审查程序的局限性。更重要的是,它提供了对一个复杂的、影响重大的案例的特殊见解,在这个案例中,多个城市交通大型项目被捆绑在一起,共同审批和实施。
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引用次数: 3
Agent-based modeling of energy infrastructure transitions 基于主体的能源基础设施转型建模
É. Chappin, G. Dijkema
Transitions emerge over time as fundamental change of large-scale socio-technical systems such as energy infrastructures that are the backbone of society. To date, however, the body-of-knowledge on energy infrastructure transitions is largely descriptive. Transition management, however, does have a prescriptive character - not only can we understand transitions, we can also shape them. This implies technical system design is augmented with policy, regulation, R&D strategies: some coherent all-inclusive set of transition instruments or transition assemblage. We conjecture a transition management strategy may equate to collaborative design of such a transition assemblage. Using foundations of complex systems theory, agent-based modeling, engineering and policy design scenario analysis, design of experiments and statistical data analysis, a modeling framework has been developed that enables ex-ante assessment of alternative transition assemblage design-alternatives.
随着时间的推移,作为社会支柱的能源基础设施等大规模社会技术系统发生根本性变化,转型也随之出现。然而,迄今为止,关于能源基础设施转型的知识体系在很大程度上是描述性的。然而,产品化管理确实具有规定性——我们不仅可以理解产品化,还可以塑造它们。这意味着技术系统设计要辅以政策、法规、研发战略:一些连贯的、包罗万象的过渡工具或过渡组合。我们推测一个过渡管理策略可能等同于这样一个过渡组合的协作设计。利用复杂系统理论、基于主体的建模、工程和政策设计方案分析、实验设计和统计数据分析的基础,开发了一个建模框架,可以对备选过渡组合设计方案进行事前评估。
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引用次数: 69
Governmental information management during major emergencies in China: A paradox of control 中国重大突发事件中的政府信息管理:控制悖论
M. van Eeten, Ming-Gang Wan
This article explores changes in emergency management in China, most notably the management of information during crises. We present five case studies: the 2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome epidemic, the 2005 Songhua water pollution crisis, the 2008 snow storms and the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake. In the earlier cases, governmental organizations withheld information in an attempt to retain control over the disaster and how citizens responded to it. The control over information eroded citizens' trust in the government's ability to deal with the crisis. This led to behavior on the part of the citizens' that in some cases actually exacerbated the emergency. These experiences have led to dramatic changes in information disclosure during emergency management, changes that went directly against the dominant practices with the Chinese state apparatus.
本文探讨了中国应急管理的变化,尤其是危机期间的信息管理。我们介绍了五个案例:2003年的严重急性呼吸系统综合征(sars)疫情、2005年的松花市水污染危机、2008年的雪灾和2008年的汶川地震。在早期的案例中,政府组织隐瞒信息是为了保持对灾难的控制以及公民对灾难的反应。对信息的控制削弱了公民对政府处理危机能力的信任。这导致公民的一些行为,在某些情况下实际上加剧了紧急情况。这些经验导致了应急管理过程中信息披露的巨大变化,这些变化直接违背了中国国家机器的主导做法。
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引用次数: 0
China's high technology policy and its national technological innovation system 中国的高技术政策与国家技术创新体系
Mi Jianing
In the modern history of China, the government's scientific and technological policy and its technology innovation policy are logically connected. The Chinese government's high technology policy has been shaped by complicated political and economic circumstances both domestically and internationally; both the past and the present have influenced this dynamic between policy decisions and external conditions. The national technological innovation strategy plays an important role in creating a system that coordinates the interaction between China's high technology policy and its development strategy. All of these structured relationships constitute an important part of public policy in China. At the present, as the process of globalization speeds ahead, the national competitiveness of any country in the world strategically depends on both its research on high technology and its high technology industry. The government of any country has to confront this reality as a matter of public policy because to develop high technology requires a huge basic investment. The high technology policy and the high technology development strategy of a country will ideally feature institutional arrangements that adapt to these trends.
在中国近代史上,政府的科技政策与技术创新政策是有逻辑联系的。中国政府的高技术政策受到国内外复杂政治经济环境的影响;过去和现在都影响了政策决定和外部条件之间的这种动态关系。国家技术创新战略在构建中国高技术政策与发展战略互动协调体系方面发挥着重要作用。所有这些结构化的关系构成了中国公共政策的重要组成部分。在全球化进程不断加快的今天,世界上任何一个国家的国家竞争力在战略上都取决于其高技术研究和高技术产业。作为一项公共政策,任何国家的政府都必须面对这一现实,因为发展高科技需要巨大的基础投资。一个国家的高技术政策和高技术发展战略的理想特征是适应这些趋势的制度安排。
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引用次数: 1
Information security assurance in critical infrastructures: Smart metering case 关键基础设施的信息安全保障:智能计量案例
L. AlAbdulkarim, Z. Lukszo
In recent years the operations of critical infrastructures have witnessed rapid developments in the way these services are being implemented and delivered to consumers. One of the major transformations in these infrastructures is the adaptation of the latest developments in the information and communication technologies, an example of this is Smart Metering in the energy sector. However, to ensure a successful operation of smart metering service, a number of factors must be taken into consideration, one of which is the assurance of metering-related information security. Our goal is this paper is to explore in what ways the information security assurance can be incorporated in the design, operation and maintenance processes of the smart metering infrastructure, and how security policies and models can be shaped to define the roles and information access privileges of the different actors.
近年来,关键基础设施的运营见证了这些服务实施和交付给消费者的方式的快速发展。这些基础设施的主要转变之一是适应信息和通信技术的最新发展,这方面的一个例子是能源部门的智能计量。然而,为了确保智能计量服务的成功运行,必须考虑许多因素,其中之一是确保与计量相关的信息安全。本文的目标是探讨如何将信息安全保障纳入智能计量基础设施的设计、操作和维护过程中,以及如何制定安全策略和模型来定义不同参与者的角色和信息访问权限。
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引用次数: 6
Real Options applied to infrastructure projects: A new approach to value and manage risk and flexibility 应用于基础设施项目的实物期权:一种评估和管理风险和灵活性的新方法
C. van Rhee, M. Pieters, M.P. van de Voort
Infrastructure projects are subject to internal and external uncertainties. Being able to anticipate to uncertainties within a project and manage them adds value to the business case. Although it is commonly used to evaluate projects, the Net Present Value (NPV) method is unable to determine the added value of managing risk and flexibility. Real Options (RO), a method originating from financial markets, gives management a tool to value flexibility and risk in infrastructure projects. Literature provides several examples on how to value options or execute a Real Options analysis. However, the majority of these examples fails to incorporate all opportunities offered by RO to include options and/or ways to reduce uncertainty. This paper presents twelve opportunities that should be considered to minimise the risk of a project and increase the flexibility of the project during its lifetime. This checklist is based on practical experience with project evaluations and could be used as a starting point to list alternatives that should be evaluated. Including a wider set of alternatives in an evaluation has substantial benefits and may lead to different decisions.
基础设施项目受到内部和外部不确定性的影响。能够预测项目中的不确定性并对其进行管理可以为业务案例增加价值。净现值法(NPV)通常用于评估项目,但它无法确定管理风险和灵活性的附加价值。实物期权(Real Options, RO)是一种起源于金融市场的方法,为基础设施项目的管理提供了一种评估灵活性和风险的工具。文献提供了几个关于如何评估期权或执行实物期权分析的例子。然而,这些例子中的大多数没有纳入RO提供的所有机会,包括减少不确定性的选择和/或方法。本文提出了12个应该考虑的机会,以尽量减少项目的风险,并增加项目在其生命周期内的灵活性。这份清单是基于项目评估的实际经验,可以作为一个起点,列出应该评估的备选方案。在评估中纳入更广泛的备选方案具有实质性的好处,并可能导致不同的决策。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
2008 First International Conference on Infrastructure Systems and Services: Building Networks for a Brighter Future (INFRA)
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