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Two Different Ways to Calculate Net Borrowing in FCFE Perpetuity 计算FCFE永续年金净借款的两种不同方法
Pub Date : 2020-01-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3516402
Ricardo Goulart Serra
When finance textbooks address net borrowing calculation in free cash flow to equity perpetuity, they predominantly do it as the proportion of firm net investment financed by debt (Alternative 1). This method does not apply to all scenarios and requires a peculiar debt ratio. Alternatively, one can calculate net borrowing by applying sustainable growth rate to existing debt (Alternative 2). This method is broader and of simpler implementation. Alternative 1 can lead students, instructors and practitioners to confusion and, therefore, to misapplication and/or misuse. I suggest that neglected Alternative 2 becomes the standard method.
当金融教科书将净借款计算为自由现金流与权益永续性时,它们主要将其作为由债务融资的企业净投资的比例(替代方案1)。这种方法并不适用于所有情况,需要一个特殊的负债率。或者,人们可以通过将可持续增长率应用于现有债务来计算净借款(替代方案2)。这种方法范围更广,实施起来也更简单。备选方案1可能导致学生、教师和从业者混淆,从而导致误用和/或误用。我建议被忽视的备选方案2成为标准方法。
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引用次数: 0
On the Corporate Governance (CG) of Model Validation (Mv): A Micro-CG Illustration of ROEg, Put-Call Parity (Pcp), and Yule-Simpson Paradox (Ysp) As Archetypal Models of Financial Risk Evaluation and Valuation Subject to Mv 模型验证(Mv)的公司治理(CG): ROEg、看跌期权平价(Pcp)和Yule-Simpson悖论(Ysp)作为Mv约束下金融风险评估和估值的原型模型的微观CG说明
Pub Date : 2019-12-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3511582
Henry Wurts
This paper builds on Wurts (2018a,b) in a variety of ways. It (1) introduces a Return-on-Equity variable g (ROEg) equation as an additional archetypal model, as an opinion-based analytical model, (2) introduces two additional bright-line tests (BLT) (to address Yule-Simpson Paradox (YSP) and ROEg as archetypes for empirical and opinion-based models, respectively, to complement the BLT for the Put-Call Parity (PCP) as an archetypal analytical model), (3) adds additional attention-direction tools (e.g., the Five Demonstrations (5D) and the Defining and Simplifying Story and Model (DSSM) frame, both to help resolve the broad validation issue) and a host of named analogies that can be applied more broadly to help identify biased persuasion within the rhetoric of models, (4) elaborates more on (4a) corporate governance (CG) issues regarding model validation (MV), (4b) requirements for theories of model validation (TMV), (4c) the archetypal CGMV story, and (4d) the NEP-WED frame. Specifically, (5) a DSSM frame is introduced to provide language to help understand how a model can fail in perhaps an abstract sense; namely, because it cannot answer the question of interest (QOI) provided by the Defining Story of the issue of concern (IOC), with perhaps (6) a cascade of deterioration with respect to the power of an argument as (6a) the Simplifying Story the model is intended to address has lost too much information (i.e., become too “degree negative”), (6b) leading to a Simplifying Model that cannot really answer the QOI (i.e., the Minimal Model Story is insufficient to even answer the IOC presented by the Simplifying Story), (6c) sometimes leading questionable modelers to add information that did not exist (i.e., hence, “degree positive”) in either the Defining or Simplifying Story, creating an accompanying Maximal Model Story laden with unsupportable “degree positive” assumptions that influence conclusions beyond sensible inference. Together, (7) the 5D and DSSM tools provide frames to both (7a) proactively identify inference concerns to avoid having a model blow-up a company and (7b) reactively identify, as forensic analysis, specifically how a model blew-up a company. Together, they address two directions of a common question: what question does the model actually answer, regardless of what advocates claim it can answer and is answering? Key conclusions are justified: (1) the ROEg model helps illustrate how accounting reporting measurements may be inadequate for measuring economic risks of corporate interest, (2) the PCP model helps identify that arbitrage forces may not be strong enough to justify the use of arbitrage-free pricing models in a corporate finance context, and (3) the YSP model illustrates that regression equation coefficient estimates are often inadequate as isolated performance measures of factor sensitivities. And yet, such conclusions can be generalized toward more-complex models.
本文以多种方式建立在Wurts (2018a,b)的基础上。它(1)引入了股本收益率变量g (ROEg)方程作为附加的原型模型,作为基于意见的分析模型;(2)引入了两个额外的明线测试(BLT)(分别解决Yule-Simpson悖论(YSP)和ROEg作为经验模型和基于意见的模型的原型,以补充BLT作为买卖权平价(PCP)的原型分析模型);(3)增加了额外的注意力方向工具(例如,五个示范(5D)和定义和简化故事和模型(DSSM)框架,都有助于解决广泛的验证问题)和一系列命名的类比,可以更广泛地应用于帮助识别模型修辞中的偏见说服,(4)详细阐述了(4a)公司治理(CG)关于模型验证(MV)的问题,(4b)模型验证理论(TMV)的要求,(4c)原型CGMV故事,(4d) NEP-WED框架。具体来说,(5)引入了DSSM框架,以提供语言来帮助理解模型如何在抽象意义上失败;也就是说,因为它不能回答由关注问题(IOC)的定义故事所提供的兴趣问题(QOI),可能(6)与论证的力量相关的一连串恶化(6a)模型打算解决的简化故事丢失了太多信息(即变得过于“程度消极”),(6b)导致简化模型无法真正回答QOI(即,最小模型故事甚至不足以回答由简化故事提出的IOC), (6c)有时会导致可疑的建模者在定义故事或简化故事中添加不存在的信息(即,因此,“积极程度”),从而创建伴随的最大模型故事,其中充满了不支持的“积极程度”假设,这些假设影响了超出合理推理的结论。总之,(7)5D和DSSM工具为(7a)主动识别推理问题以避免模型炸毁公司和(7b)作为法医分析,反应性地识别,特别是模型如何炸毁公司提供了框架。总之,他们解决了一个共同问题的两个方向:模型实际上回答了什么问题,不管倡导者声称它可以回答什么,正在回答什么?关键结论是合理的:(1)ROEg模型有助于说明会计报告计量如何不足以衡量企业利益的经济风险,(2)PCP模型有助于确定套利力量可能不够强大,不足以证明在企业财务背景下使用无套利定价模型是合理的,(3)YSP模型说明回归方程系数估计通常不足以作为因素敏感性的孤立绩效度量。然而,这样的结论可以推广到更复杂的模型。
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引用次数: 1
Financial Performance Analysis of Puma 彪马公司财务业绩分析
Pub Date : 2019-12-30 DOI: 10.34218/ijm.10.6.2019.023
Dr. V. Andal, Dr. S. Suganya, Dr. S. Vennilaa Shree
The financial statement of PUMA, a sports company has been selected for this research. The financial statement has been examined throughout this paper. The financial statement includes the Income statement, Balance sheet, and Cash flow statement. Horizontal analysis, Vertical analysis, Trend analysis and mainly Ratio Analysis has been used to examine the financial performance and to make suggestions to improve finance flow, improve dividend and to reduce liabilities of PUMA. The major analysis is based on the financial years 2017 and 2016 ending on the 31st of December in each and every year. The latest financial performance of the company is being compared with the company’s statements for the last five years starting 2013 for showing trends. On the basis of the analysis, suggestions have been made to improve the financial performance and market share of PUMA.
本研究选取了体育公司PUMA的财务报表。本文一直在研究财务报表。财务报表包括损益表、资产负债表和现金流量表。运用横向分析、纵向分析、趋势分析,主要是比率分析,对PUMA的财务绩效进行检验,并提出改善资金流动、提高股息和减少负债的建议。主要分析是基于每年12月31日结束的2017和2016财政年度。该公司最新的财务业绩将与该公司从2013年开始的过去五年的报表进行比较,以显示趋势。在此基础上,提出了改善PUMA财务绩效和市场占有率的建议。
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引用次数: 0
ABN AMRO’s Impact Statements – A Case Study on Making Societal Value Visible 荷兰银行的影响声明-使社会价值可见的案例研究
Pub Date : 2019-12-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3505873
Willem Schramade
Many companies talk about their social and environmental contributions, but very few make them visible. This is typically attributed to lack of methods and data. But ABN AMRO has taken the bold step to produce insightful impact statements, including an Integrated P&L, which show that it can be done. This case study analyses how ABN AMRO got to produce its Impact Report, what is in there, and what its impact could be. The main obstacles seem to be mindsets rather than data and methods.
许多公司都在谈论它们对社会和环境的贡献,但很少有公司把它们展现出来。这通常归因于缺乏方法和数据。但荷兰银行已经采取了大胆的步骤,制作了有洞察力的影响报表,包括一份综合损益表,这表明这是可以做到的。本案例分析了荷兰银行是如何产生其影响报告的,报告中有什么,以及影响可能是什么。主要的障碍似乎是心态,而不是数据和方法。
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引用次数: 2
The Determinants of Credit Risk in Tiong Nam Logistics Holdings Berhad 中南物流控股有限公司信用风险的决定因素
Pub Date : 2019-12-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3497306
Nur Anis Syazwani Ab. Bari
The study examined the impact of internal and external factors towards credit risk in Tiong Nam Logistics Holdings Berhad. Debt to Income was used as dependent variable represented the credit risk. Debt to Income was calculated by total liability divided by total income. This study obtained time series regression analysis of five years from 2014 to 2018. The findings resulted debt to equity is the most significant variable to debt to income which influenced credit risk of the company. Based on the result for Model 1, debt to equity recorded the moderate significant and positively influenced to debt to equity when only the internal factors were tested. Whereas, when external factors were examined in Model 2 there was no variable giving significant influenced to debt to income. Meanwhile, for Model 3, there was only debt to equity has statically significant and positively influenced to debt to income out of all variables when internal and external factors were tested together. Thus, debt to equity is the most significant variable to debt to income which will arise the credit risk in Tiong Nam Logistics Holdings Berhad.
研究考察了内部和外部因素对中南物流控股有限公司信用风险的影响。以债务收入比作为因变量,表示信用风险。债务收入比的计算方法是总负债除以总收入。本研究获得了2014 - 2018年5年的时间序列回归分析。研究结果表明,负债与权益比是影响公司信用风险的最显著变量,而负债与收入比是影响公司信用风险的最显著变量。从模型1的结果来看,仅对内部因素进行检验时,负债比股权对负债比股权的影响为中等显著和正向的。然而,当在模型2中检查外部因素时,没有变量给予债务对收入的显著影响。同时,对于Model 3,当内外部因素共同检验时,所有变量中只有负债与权益比对负债与收入比有显著的正影响。因此,债务权益比是债务收入比的最重要变量,这将产生中南物流控股有限公司的信用风险。
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引用次数: 0
Do Traders Become Rogues? or Do Rogues Become Traders? The Om of Jerome and The Karma of Kerviel… 交易员会变成流氓吗?流氓会成为交易者吗?Jerome的Om和Kerviel的Karma…
Pub Date : 2019-11-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3495356
R. Kashyap
We present a case study of Jerome Kerviel, a trader at Society Generale, and how he racked up positions far exceeding his authorized risk limits resulting in a spectacular loss and in the process becoming the perpetrator of the biggest rogue trading scandal, thus far, in recorded history. We focus on many aspects of the financial markets and attempt to provide an appropriate context to the proceedings by considering some historical matters and providing an alternate definition for a rogue trader. We look at the organization structure, trading profits, risk management, regulation and the many conflicts that arise therein with some focus on Kerviel and his immediate environment. We provides a simple guide for the budding rogue trader that could also be helpful for the aspiring control agent. We conclude by delving deeper into the ethical issues regarding rogue trading and provide possible ways to mitigate if not resolve the many moral dilemmas that arise in business, life and everywhere else.

Some of the topics we discuss are: A Joke at First and Also at Last; History: A Product Structured by Winners; Rogue One (Alone?) on Delta One; Depart-Mental Drill Down (?); Confessions of The Control Agents; A Slow Walk On A Tight Rope; The Glass Castle Called Basel; “e” for Everything, Everyone, Everywhere ... including Evolution, Education and Ethics; Sick Lesson from Nick Leeson; Rogue Trading Guide for Dummies; Mathematically Sophisticated Models or Merely Superior Morals?
我们以兴业银行(societe Generale)交易员杰罗姆•科维尔(Jerome Kerviel)为例,研究他如何累积头寸,远远超过授权的风险限制,导致巨额亏损,并在此过程中成为有史以来最大流氓交易丑闻的肇事者。我们关注金融市场的许多方面,并试图通过考虑一些历史事件和为流氓交易者提供另一种定义来为程序提供适当的背景。我们着眼于组织结构、交易利润、风险管理、监管以及其中出现的许多冲突,重点关注科维尔和他的直接环境。我们为崭露头角的流氓交易者提供了一个简单的指南,也可以帮助有抱负的控制代理。最后,我们将深入探讨与流氓交易有关的道德问题,并提供可能的方法来减轻(如果不能解决)在商业、生活和其他任何地方出现的许多道德困境。我们讨论的一些话题是:开始和最后的笑话;历史:一个由赢家构建的产品;侠盗一号(独自一人?)部门心理深入(?);管制人员的供词;在紧绳子上慢慢走;巴塞尔玻璃城堡;“e”代表Everything, Everyone, Everywhere…包括进化论、教育和伦理学;《尼克·李森的病课》;流氓交易指南傻瓜;数学上复杂的模型还是仅仅高尚的道德?
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引用次数: 1
Telekom Malaysia Berhad: A Study of Relationship Between Performance (ROA) And Internal and External Factors 马来西亚电信公司:绩效(ROA)与内外部因素的关系研究
Pub Date : 2019-11-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3496815
Nur Aisyah Mohd Shafarin
The study’s aim is an attempt to determine the altogether performance of Telekom Malaysia Berhad which involved two main factors of internal (firm-specific) and external (macroeconomics) factors of Telekom Malaysia. This data was interpreted and collected Telekom Malaysia annual reports of five year period from 2014 to 2018. There are four risks involved which are liquidity risk, credit risk, operational risk, and market risk. Measurement of current ratio, quick ratio, average-collection period, debt to income ratio, operational ratio, and operating margin are used to examine the overall five years performance of Telekom Malaysia. Hence, to determine the relationship of these risk factors to the company’s performance, this study used liquidity risk, credit risk, operational risk, market risk, gross domestic products (GDP), inflation, interest rate, exchange rate, BETA, and corporate governance index. SPSS system is used to do data analysis in which by implementing step-wise method which applies the descriptive statistics, correlation, and model summary. Based on the data analysis, we can conclude that operational risk is the most significant to ROA since it gives the highest impact on performance of the company. Nonetheless, the other variables give low impact on the ROA and there is no significant related with.
该研究的目的是试图确定马来西亚电信有限公司的总体表现,其中涉及马来西亚电信的内部(公司特定)和外部(宏观经济)因素的两个主要因素。这些数据是对马来西亚电信2014年至2018年五年期间的年度报告进行解释和收集的。有四种风险:流动性风险、信用风险、操作风险和市场风险。测量流动比率,速动比率,平均回收期,债务收入比,经营比率和经营利润率被用来检查马来西亚电信的整体五年业绩。因此,为了确定这些风险因素与公司绩效的关系,本研究使用了流动性风险、信用风险、操作风险、市场风险、国内生产总值(GDP)、通货膨胀、利率、汇率、BETA和公司治理指数。SPSS系统用于进行数据分析,其中通过实施应用描述性统计,相关性和模型总结的逐步方法。根据数据分析,我们可以得出结论,操作风险对ROA最重要,因为它对公司绩效的影响最大。然而,其他变量对资产收益率的影响较小,与资产收益率无显著相关。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Performance Trends of United States Hockey Inc: A Resource-Dependency Approach 美国曲棍球公司的财务绩效趋势:资源依赖方法
Pub Date : 2019-11-04 DOI: 10.1108/JEFAS-02-2018-0022
Peter Omondi-Ochieng
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the 2009 to 2016 financial performance of the US Hockey Inc., using financial effectiveness indicators and financial efficiency ratios.Design/methodology/approachWith the assistance of financial trend analysis, archival data were used to examine the financial performance (evaluated by net income), financial effectiveness (indicated by total assets and total revenues) and financial efficiency (examined by programme services ratios and return on assets) of US Hockey Inc.FindingsOn average, the financial performance of the organization was positive ($30,895 net income per year). Financial effectiveness was steady with increases in assets and revenues. Financial efficiency was poor with 79% of revenues spent on programme services and 1.45% average return on asset.Research limitations/implicationsThe results can be generalized to similar national non-profit sports federations but not corporate sports entities with dissimilar financial goals.Practical implicationsThe results revealed that national non-profit sports federations can boost their financial performance by maintaining a double strategically focus on both financial effectiveness and financial efficiency.Originality/valueThe study used both financial effectiveness and financial efficiency measures to evaluate the financial performances of a national non-profit sports federation – a neglected approach similar studies.
本文的目的是研究美国曲棍球公司2009年至2016年的财务业绩,使用财务有效性指标和财务效率比率。设计/方法/方法在财务趋势分析的帮助下,使用档案数据来检查美国曲棍球公司的财务绩效(以净收入评估),财务有效性(以总资产和总收入表示)和财务效率(以项目服务比率和资产回报率检查)。平均而言,该组织的财务绩效为正(每年净收入30,895美元)。随着资产和收入的增加,财务效益稳定。财政效率很低,79%的收入用于项目服务,平均资产回报率为1.45%。研究局限/启示研究结果可以推广到类似的国家非营利性体育联合会,但不适用于具有不同财务目标的企业体育实体。实践启示:结果表明,国家非营利性体育联合会可以通过保持对财务效益和财务效率的双重战略关注来提高其财务绩效。原创性/价值本研究采用财务有效性和财务效率两种方法来评估一个国家非营利性体育联合会的财务绩效——这是类似研究中被忽视的方法。
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引用次数: 12
Preguntas Y Respuestas Sobre Valoración (Questions and Answers on Valuation) Preguntas Y Respuestas Sobre Valoración(估价问答)
Pub Date : 2019-10-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3468163
Pablo Fernández
Spanish Abstract: Este documento contiene preguntas sobre valoración de empresas que me han formulado en los últimos años alumnos, antiguos alumnos y otras personas (jueces, árbitros, clientes,…). Se han recopilado para ayudar al lector a recordar, aclarar, reforzar, matizar y, en su caso, discutir, conceptos útiles en valoración. La mayoría de las preguntas tienen una respuesta clara, pero otras son matizables.

Las preguntas se agrupan en 6 apartados: flujos, endeudamiento, tasas de descuento, valoración, transacciones e intangibles. A todas las preguntas les sigue una respuesta breve.

English Abstract: This document has 205 questions from students, alumnae and other persons (judges, lawyers, clients, etc.). They are useful to clarify some useful concepts in valuation. Most of the questions have a clear answer. The document also has short answers to all questions.
西班牙语摘要:这份文件包含了近年来学生、校友和其他人(法官、仲裁员、客户……)问我的关于公司估值的问题。它们被汇编是为了帮助读者记住、澄清、加强、细微差别,并在适当的情况下讨论估值中有用的概念。大多数问题都有明确的答案,但也有一些是微妙的。问题分为6个部分:流量、债务、贴现率、估值、交易和无形资产。每个问题后面都有一个简短的回答。英文摘要:本文件包含205个来自学生、校友和其他人(法官、律师、客户等)的问题。它们有助于澄清估价中的一些有用概念。大多数问题都有明确的答案。该文件还对所有问题都有简短的回答。
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引用次数: 0
Option Pricing: Theory and Applications 期权定价:理论与应用
Pub Date : 2019-10-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3467551
D. Bloch
This is a textbook on Mathematical Finance for postgraduate students and bank practitioners. The course specifies on option pricing theory in addition to focussing on mathematical models as well as detailing some of their applications. Our aim is to make some of the most fundamental articles written throughout the evolution of mathematical finance more accessible to readers. We site the main results of these influential articles, while detailing the steps used to reach those conclusions and giving proof when necessary. We teach all the necessary mathematical tools concerning basic algebra, probabilities and stochastic calculus, lest the reader need to consult a probability-based textbook.
这是一本面向研究生和银行从业人员的数学金融教材。本课程除了着重于数学模型外,还详细介绍了期权定价理论以及它们的一些应用。我们的目标是使一些最基本的文章写在整个演变数学金融更容易接近的读者。我们列出了这些有影响力的文章的主要结果,同时详细介绍了得出这些结论的步骤,并在必要时提供了证据。我们教授所有必要的数学工具,包括基本代数、概率和随机微积分,以免读者需要查阅基于概率的教科书。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Finance Educator: Courses
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