The whale shark (Rhincodon typus, Hiu Paus), the world's largest type of fish/mammal presents in Indonesia, in Botubarani, Gorontalo province, among others. This province is actively developing geoparks which are currently still aspiring geopark status, as well as tourism, and making whale sharks its icon. Our paper studies the development of whale sharks as a marker of the area's biodiversity, to promote it as a more common activity in Indonesia where whale sharks can be found. We support strategic ideas for the development of whale sharks and formulate several recommendations for geotourism activities where whale sharks are icons.
{"title":"Whale Shark in The Development of Geopark and Sustainable Tourism in Gorontalo, Indonesia","authors":"Umar Adisubroto, T. Pardede","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i3.232","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i3.232","url":null,"abstract":"The whale shark (Rhincodon typus, Hiu Paus), the world's largest type of fish/mammal presents in Indonesia, in Botubarani, Gorontalo province, among others. This province is actively developing geoparks which are currently still aspiring geopark status, as well as tourism, and making whale sharks its icon. Our paper studies the development of whale sharks as a marker of the area's biodiversity, to promote it as a more common activity in Indonesia where whale sharks can be found. We support strategic ideas for the development of whale sharks and formulate several recommendations for geotourism activities where whale sharks are icons.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129582577","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A legal identity document is the right of every citizen because it is a prerequisite in accessing public services. This study aims to assess the implementation of Presidential Regulation Number 62 of 2019 on the National Strategy of Strengthening Civil Registration and Vital Statistics (Stranas Percepatan AKPSH), which focuses on regulatory synchronization and services at a local level. A qualitative analysis approach was used, consisting of a literature study and in-depth interview methods. The research sample includes ministries/agencies at the central level, also several local governments, i.e., Palu City, Bantul Regency, Muaro Jambi Regency, East Sumba Regency, DKI Jakarta Province, and Surabaya City. The study shows that the central government has made policies to facilitate vulnerable groups in CRVS access. Local governments have policies that make it easier for vulnerable groups to get CRVS access; innovate administrative services; carry out socialization, advocacy, and education efforts involving third parties; and increase cooperation between regional government organizations (OPD) in implementing integrated civil registration services. However, there are still vulnerable groups that are not accommodated. Implementation at the regional level still has infrastructure readiness, human resources, and required special data collection team availability. Therefore, the determination of the vulnerability category becomes essential. This study recommends that it is necessary to create an additional classification of vulnerable groups in CRVS. In addition, it is essential to strengthening outreach to vulnerable groups in CRVS, especially at the regional level.
{"title":"The Civil Registration: Is It a Right for Vulnerable Groups?","authors":"Hariyadi Sabar, Cipta Althaf Ronaza, Myranda Zahrah Putri","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i3.229","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i3.229","url":null,"abstract":"A legal identity document is the right of every citizen because it is a prerequisite in accessing public services. This study aims to assess the implementation of Presidential Regulation Number 62 of 2019 on the National Strategy of Strengthening Civil Registration and Vital Statistics (Stranas Percepatan AKPSH), which focuses on regulatory synchronization and services at a local level. A qualitative analysis approach was used, consisting of a literature study and in-depth interview methods. The research sample includes ministries/agencies at the central level, also several local governments, i.e., Palu City, Bantul Regency, Muaro Jambi Regency, East Sumba Regency, DKI Jakarta Province, and Surabaya City. The study shows that the central government has made policies to facilitate vulnerable groups in CRVS access. Local governments have policies that make it easier for vulnerable groups to get CRVS access; innovate administrative services; carry out socialization, advocacy, and education efforts involving third parties; and increase cooperation between regional government organizations (OPD) in implementing integrated civil registration services. However, there are still vulnerable groups that are not accommodated. Implementation at the regional level still has infrastructure readiness, human resources, and required special data collection team availability. Therefore, the determination of the vulnerability category becomes essential. This study recommends that it is necessary to create an additional classification of vulnerable groups in CRVS. In addition, it is essential to strengthening outreach to vulnerable groups in CRVS, especially at the regional level.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123266531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
School entry regulations in Indonesia have a specific cutoff date for enrolment and it requires children to start school at the age of seven. In practice, there were schools that allowed children to start elementary school before reaching seven years old. This might create age differences between children in the same grade at school. Some literature has been shown that older students outperform younger students in the school outcomes. For instance, higher education attainment, reduce grade repetition, and excellent academic performances. However, limited evidence exists about the school starting age and academic performances in Indonesia. In order to determine whether the school starting age rule in Indonesia affects children’s academic performance, this study utilizes the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS wave) 5 and regression discontinuity design. This study found that older entrance might get lower score compared to the children who start school at early age. Based on the results, entering school earlier might increase the average of total score by 2.687 grade points higher than older entrance.
{"title":"School Starting Age and Academic Performance: An Empirical Study in Indonesia","authors":"Fawina Aulia Guswandi","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i3.218","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i3.218","url":null,"abstract":"School entry regulations in Indonesia have a specific cutoff date for enrolment and it requires children to start school at the age of seven. In practice, there were schools that allowed children to start elementary school before reaching seven years old. This might create age differences between children in the same grade at school. Some literature has been shown that older students outperform younger students in the school outcomes. For instance, higher education attainment, reduce grade repetition, and excellent academic performances. However, limited evidence exists about the school starting age and academic performances in Indonesia. In order to determine whether the school starting age rule in Indonesia affects children’s academic performance, this study utilizes the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS wave) 5 and regression discontinuity design. This study found that older entrance might get lower score compared to the children who start school at early age. Based on the results, entering school earlier might increase the average of total score by 2.687 grade points higher than older entrance.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129682606","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study investigates the relationship of a country's sophisticated products and institutional indicators on income inequality. Cross-country OLS and fixed-effects estimate regression analysis show that countries with productive economic structures have less inequality. Meanwhile, three government indicators in accountability, political stability, and the rule of law show mixed results. Using the system generalized method of moments (GMM) to control endogeneity, we find evidence of a causal link from economic complexity to income inequality in the short run. Meanwhile, the government's political stability is not a significant predictor.
{"title":"Do Economic Complexity and Strong Institutions Affect Income Inequality","authors":"Rudy Hendra Prasetiya","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i3.213","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i3.213","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the relationship of a country's sophisticated products and institutional indicators on income inequality. Cross-country OLS and fixed-effects estimate regression analysis show that countries with productive economic structures have less inequality. Meanwhile, three government indicators in accountability, political stability, and the rule of law show mixed results. Using the system generalized method of moments (GMM) to control endogeneity, we find evidence of a causal link from economic complexity to income inequality in the short run. Meanwhile, the government's political stability is not a significant predictor.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130435245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study investigates the interregional district-level inequalities and the spatial associations of household access to sustainable water and sanitation in Indonesia between 2004 and 2018. The findings show that although the gap of household access to water and sanitation declined over years, the disparities among districts in Indonesia kept persisting. Related to proliferation, the access in the districts that never separated is higher than in others. Furthermore, this study also confirms the presence of spatial cluster/outlier of accesses, although it remains very weak. The majority of districts with high access are clustered in the western part of Indonesia, especially in Java island. At the same time, in the mountainous areas of Papua island and some districts in Sumatera island where forest land has been degraded into plantation and mining areas have relatively low access for years. These left-behind districts need government attention and support in order to provide more equitable access to water and sanitation for the people.
{"title":"Interregional Disparity and Spatial Autocorrelation of Access to Water and Sanitation in Indonesia","authors":"Keisha Disa Putirama","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i3.233","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i3.233","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the interregional district-level inequalities and the spatial associations of household access to sustainable water and sanitation in Indonesia between 2004 and 2018. The findings show that although the gap of household access to water and sanitation declined over years, the disparities among districts in Indonesia kept persisting. Related to proliferation, the access in the districts that never separated is higher than in others. Furthermore, this study also confirms the presence of spatial cluster/outlier of accesses, although it remains very weak. The majority of districts with high access are clustered in the western part of Indonesia, especially in Java island. At the same time, in the mountainous areas of Papua island and some districts in Sumatera island where forest land has been degraded into plantation and mining areas have relatively low access for years. These left-behind districts need government attention and support in order to provide more equitable access to water and sanitation for the people.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114002212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Urbanization patterns in developing Asian countries may or may not follow commonly known urbanization patterns and models set forth by lessons from the developed world. A unique phenomenon described as desakota is well known as a unique artifact of Asian urbanization, in which new urban areas arise semi-independently from otherwise rural regions in proximity to the edges of continuous urbanized areas.. We intend to identify the interaction between the urban fringe and surrounding rural areas while taking unique socioeconomic and morphological characteristics of the Desakota into account. We utilize a combination of K - Means Clustering, factor analysis and spatiotemporal analysis to identify patterns of urbanization in Metropolitan Cirebon Raya, an industrializing metropolitan statistical region where agriculture is still a douse, around Cirebon City, using statistical socioeconomic and demographic data from Badan Pusat Statistik in addition to land use data obtained from Landsat. Between 2010 – 2020, we identified substantial desakota type growth, in which new urbanized land development occurred organically from a formerly rural area, weakly linked to the supposed ‘center’ of the specified metropolitan region (Metropolitan Cirebon Raya). Based on the results obtained, we were able to corroborate desakota theory through quantitative methods, by taking socioeconomic and demographic data into account as a supplement to land use data. For delineation of metropolitan regions in Southeast Asia in which desakota patterns of development are presumed, we recommend utilizing the methodology we have developed, integrating both socioeconomic and demographic data to better identify desakota regions in peri-urban regions.
亚洲发展中国家的城市化模式可能遵循也可能不遵循众所周知的城市化模式和发达世界的经验教训所确立的模式。一种被称为沙漠地带的独特现象是众所周知的亚洲城市化的独特产物，在这种现象中，新的城市地区在靠近连续城市化地区边缘的农村地区半独立地出现。我们打算确定城市边缘和周边农村地区之间的相互作用，同时考虑到Desakota独特的社会经济和形态特征。本研究采用K均值聚类、因子分析和时空分析相结合的方法，利用巴丹普萨特统计中心的社会经济和人口统计数据以及Landsat获得的土地利用数据，确定了Cirebon Raya都市圈的城市化模式，该都市圈是一个工业化的都市统计区，农业仍然是一个支柱。在2010年至2020年期间，我们发现了大量的荒漠类型增长，其中新的城市化土地开发从以前的农村地区有机地发生，与特定大都市区(metropolitan Cirebon Raya)的所谓“中心”有微弱的联系。基于所获得的结果，我们能够通过定量方法，通过考虑社会经济和人口数据作为土地利用数据的补充，来证实荒漠理论。对于东南亚大都市区域的划分，我们建议使用我们开发的方法，整合社会经济和人口数据，以更好地识别城郊地区的荒漠地带。
{"title":"Spatial Urban – Rural Interaction Patterns in Metropolitan Cirebon Raya using Remote Sensing and Socioeconomic Data","authors":"Zahrul Atharinafi, N. Wijaya","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i3.227","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i3.227","url":null,"abstract":"Urbanization patterns in developing Asian countries may or may not follow commonly known urbanization patterns and models set forth by lessons from the developed world. A unique phenomenon described as desakota is well known as a unique artifact of Asian urbanization, in which new urban areas arise semi-independently from otherwise rural regions in proximity to the edges of continuous urbanized areas.. We intend to identify the interaction between the urban fringe and surrounding rural areas while taking unique socioeconomic and morphological characteristics of the Desakota into account. We utilize a combination of K - Means Clustering, factor analysis and spatiotemporal analysis to identify patterns of urbanization in Metropolitan Cirebon Raya, an industrializing metropolitan statistical region where agriculture is still a douse, around Cirebon City, using statistical socioeconomic and demographic data from Badan Pusat Statistik in addition to land use data obtained from Landsat. Between 2010 – 2020, we identified substantial desakota type growth, in which new urbanized land development occurred organically from a formerly rural area, weakly linked to the supposed ‘center’ of the specified metropolitan region (Metropolitan Cirebon Raya). Based on the results obtained, we were able to corroborate desakota theory through quantitative methods, by taking socioeconomic and demographic data into account as a supplement to land use data. For delineation of metropolitan regions in Southeast Asia in which desakota patterns of development are presumed, we recommend utilizing the methodology we have developed, integrating both socioeconomic and demographic data to better identify desakota regions in peri-urban regions.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132617280","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Public open spaces are the core component of sustainable urban development which can provide multiple advantages. There has been growing interest from policy-makers to implement car-free day (CFD) either in big cities or small cities to promote economic activity, public mental health, and wellbeing. Here, we conducted an exploratory study to describe the characteristic of CFD as an open space allocation and its characteristic as well as explores the perspective of urban residences regarding the utilization of road space as open space viewed from physical, social, and economical functions. Results indicate that circulation lines, public facilities as well as street furniture are well organized although there is a small issue regarding pedestrian space that was minimum. Respondents believe that public open spaces should consider prioritizing the comfort and active engagement support while they do not aware of the discovery aspect. The vast majority of respondents (32%) purposes are to have an exercise at CFD.
{"title":"Public Perspective toward Car-free Day Program as a Public Open Space: A Case Study in Klaten, Central Java","authors":"Muhammad Aziz Proklamalatu, N. Hidayati","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i3.219","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i3.219","url":null,"abstract":"Public open spaces are the core component of sustainable urban development which can provide multiple advantages. There has been growing interest from policy-makers to implement car-free day (CFD) either in big cities or small cities to promote economic activity, public mental health, and wellbeing. Here, we conducted an exploratory study to describe the characteristic of CFD as an open space allocation and its characteristic as well as explores the perspective of urban residences regarding the utilization of road space as open space viewed from physical, social, and economical functions. Results indicate that circulation lines, public facilities as well as street furniture are well organized although there is a small issue regarding pedestrian space that was minimum. Respondents believe that public open spaces should consider prioritizing the comfort and active engagement support while they do not aware of the discovery aspect. The vast majority of respondents (32%) purposes are to have an exercise at CFD.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132009490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study develops a fraudulence risk in the legal metrology model, gaining insight into urban spatial characteristics as contextual variables that may cause a risk of fraud. The model uses Geographically Weighted Regression on the Metrological Consumer Index data of Bandung, West Java, Indonesia. The findings indicate a wide distribution of recorded fraudulence risk in legal metrology across Bandung, with a spatially clustered pattern based on spatial and context of varying neighbourhood attributes. The results also show an increase in the fraudulence risk in legal metrology in the central business district of Bandung. Such phenomena could be attributed to the residents who trade and are involved in the measurement practice. The findings also suggested that the areas with more senior residents were more likely to have a high fraudulence risk in legal metrology. On the other hand, areas with a high proportion of poor and lesser-educated people exhibit low risk.These findings are helpful for legal metrology authorities seeking to establish appropriate strategies to mitigate adverse impacts of fraudulence risk in legal metrology practice on communities. It can also help identify high fraudulence risk in legal metrology areas to geo-target when and where to disseminate information to increase awareness of the dangers.
{"title":"The Spatial Pattern of Fraudulence Risk in Legal Metrology and Its Socio-Economic Drivers","authors":"R. Ardianto, Y. Yulianti","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i2.209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i2.209","url":null,"abstract":"This study develops a fraudulence risk in the legal metrology model, gaining insight into urban spatial characteristics as contextual variables that may cause a risk of fraud. The model uses Geographically Weighted Regression on the Metrological Consumer Index data of Bandung, West Java, Indonesia. The findings indicate a wide distribution of recorded fraudulence risk in legal metrology across Bandung, with a spatially clustered pattern based on spatial and context of varying neighbourhood attributes. The results also show an increase in the fraudulence risk in legal metrology in the central business district of Bandung. Such phenomena could be attributed to the residents who trade and are involved in the measurement practice. The findings also suggested that the areas with more senior residents were more likely to have a high fraudulence risk in legal metrology. On the other hand, areas with a high proportion of poor and lesser-educated people exhibit low risk.These findings are helpful for legal metrology authorities seeking to establish appropriate strategies to mitigate adverse impacts of fraudulence risk in legal metrology practice on communities. It can also help identify high fraudulence risk in legal metrology areas to geo-target when and where to disseminate information to increase awareness of the dangers.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127138709","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The Covid-19 pandemic not only has an impact on the health aspect of the community, but also has an impact on the declining level of the economy and community welfare. Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Pasuruan City, since the arrival of the Covid-19 pandemic, poverty in Pasuruan City has increased by 0.20 percentage points. The purpose of this study is to analyze how the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economy of the community in Pasuruan City, as well as solutions or policies that can be implemented by the Pasuruan City Government. The method used in this research is normative legal research using the approach of applying the law, conceptual, and case. The results of the study show that the Covid-19 pandemic has had a tremendous impact on various sectors, one of which is the economy of the people of Pasuruan City. So that the situation and conditions need responsive efforts from the Regional Government of Pasuruan City in where the steps from the demand side themselves, could be in the form of (1) tax incentives, loan interest subsidies, and credit restructuring to the firms (including micro, small, and medium enterprises) to jumpstart their activities; (2) employment and income provision for the furloughed (unpaid leave) workers to make sure that the workers have a decent livelihood and to prevent them from falling into poverty; and (3) inclusive protection for the workers, both in terms of social protection and employment agreement. As for the supply side, efforts can be made by (1) increasing access to secondary and tertiary education; (2) enhance the quality of education; and (3) provide training and education for workers and everyone over the lifecycle. So that through this idea it is hoped that it can be a solution for the economic recovery of the community in Pasuruan City due to the Covid-19 Pandemic.
{"title":"Reconstruction the Major’s Policy in Order to Economic and Poverty Recovery in Pandemic at Pasuruan City East Java, Indonesia","authors":"Ana Fauzia","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i2.196","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i2.196","url":null,"abstract":"The Covid-19 pandemic not only has an impact on the health aspect of the community, but also has an impact on the declining level of the economy and community welfare. Based on data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Pasuruan City, since the arrival of the Covid-19 pandemic, poverty in Pasuruan City has increased by 0.20 percentage points. The purpose of this study is to analyze how the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economy of the community in Pasuruan City, as well as solutions or policies that can be implemented by the Pasuruan City Government. The method used in this research is normative legal research using the approach of applying the law, conceptual, and case. The results of the study show that the Covid-19 pandemic has had a tremendous impact on various sectors, one of which is the economy of the people of Pasuruan City. So that the situation and conditions need responsive efforts from the Regional Government of Pasuruan City in where the steps from the demand side themselves, could be in the form of (1) tax incentives, loan interest subsidies, and credit restructuring to the firms (including micro, small, and medium enterprises) to jumpstart their activities; (2) employment and income provision for the furloughed (unpaid leave) workers to make sure that the workers have a decent livelihood and to prevent them from falling into poverty; and (3) inclusive protection for the workers, both in terms of social protection and employment agreement. As for the supply side, efforts can be made by (1) increasing access to secondary and tertiary education; (2) enhance the quality of education; and (3) provide training and education for workers and everyone over the lifecycle. So that through this idea it is hoped that it can be a solution for the economic recovery of the community in Pasuruan City due to the Covid-19 Pandemic.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124316798","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study predicts the factors that influence life expectancy in East Java, Indonesia. In particular, this study compares the prediction results between the linear regression model and the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA). The study used a 2015 data set from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of the province of East Java.The results of data exploration show that the life expectancy in East Java is 70.68 years, the Bondowoso regency is the region with the lowest life expectancy at 65.73 years and the city of Surabaya is the area with the highest life expectancy value in East Java, which is 73.85 years.The results of the inference study indicate that the factors that are expected to affect life expectancy in East Java are the infant mortality rate and the illiteracy rate of the population aged 10 and over.The results of the comparison between the BMA and the regression show that the BMA is a better model for predicting the factors that affect life expectancy in East Java than the regression model because the BMA model can estimate the parameters more efficiently by estimating the model parameters based on the standard error value.
{"title":"Factors Affecting Life Expectancy in East Java: Predictions with A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach","authors":"Harun Al Azies, V. M. Dewi","doi":"10.36574/jpp.v5i2.214","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v5i2.214","url":null,"abstract":"This study predicts the factors that influence life expectancy in East Java, Indonesia. In particular, this study compares the prediction results between the linear regression model and the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA). The study used a 2015 data set from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of the province of East Java.The results of data exploration show that the life expectancy in East Java is 70.68 years, the Bondowoso regency is the region with the lowest life expectancy at 65.73 years and the city of Surabaya is the area with the highest life expectancy value in East Java, which is 73.85 years.The results of the inference study indicate that the factors that are expected to affect life expectancy in East Java are the infant mortality rate and the illiteracy rate of the population aged 10 and over.The results of the comparison between the BMA and the regression show that the BMA is a better model for predicting the factors that affect life expectancy in East Java than the regression model because the BMA model can estimate the parameters more efficiently by estimating the model parameters based on the standard error value.","PeriodicalId":209567,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125036564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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