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Testing Unified Growth Theory: Technological Progress and the Child Quantity–Quality Trade-off 检验统一成长理论:技术进步与儿童数量-质量权衡
Pub Date : 2020-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3591147
J. Madsen, H. Strulik
A core mechanism of unified growth theory is that accelerating technological progress induces mass education and, through interaction with child quantity‐quality substitution, a decline in fertility. Using unique new data for 21 OECD countries over the period 1750–2000, we test, for the first time, the validity of this core mechanism of unified growth theory. We measure a country's technological progress as patents per capita, R&D intensity, and investment in machinery, equipment, and intellectual property products. While controlling for confounders, such as income growth, mortality, and the gender wage gap, we establish (1) a significant impact of technological progress on education (positive) and fertility (negative); (2) that accelerating technological progress stimulated the fertility transition; and (3) that the baseline results are supported in 2SLS regressions using genetic‐distance weighted foreign patent‐intensity, compulsory schooling years, and minimum working age as instruments.
统一增长理论的一个核心机制是,加速技术进步导致大众教育,并通过与儿童数量-质量替代的相互作用,导致生育率下降。利用1750-2000年间21个经合组织国家的独特新数据,我们首次检验了统一增长理论这一核心机制的有效性。我们用人均专利数、研发强度、机械设备和知识产权产品投资来衡量一个国家的技术进步。在控制混杂因素(如收入增长、死亡率和性别工资差距)的情况下,我们确定了(1)技术进步对教育(正)和生育率(负)的显著影响;(2)技术进步的加速促进了生育率的转变;(3)使用遗传距离加权的国外专利强度、义务教育年限和最低工作年龄作为工具的2SLS回归支持基线结果。
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引用次数: 6
Why Does the U.S. Have the Best Research Universities? Incentives, Resources, and Virtuous Circles 为什么美国有最好的研究型大学?激励、资源和良性循环
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3589536
W. Macleod, M. Urquiola
Around 1870 the U.S. had no research universities of note, while today it accounts for the largest number in the world. Many accounts attribute this transformation to events surrounding World War II. In contrast, this paper traces its origins to reforms that began in the 1870s. We first explain the origins of the American system's weakness at research. We then present an agency theory framework that highlights ingredients necessary for enhanced research performance. These include specialization and meaningful performance metrics. We then discuss reforms that put these ingredients in place. For example: the introduction of specialized and advanced teaching and the ensuing rise of disciplines/departments; the creation of academic journals; the introduction of selective admissions. Throughout, we emphasize the role played by the U.S. university system's free market orientation.
1870年左右,美国还没有著名的研究型大学,而今天,美国的研究型大学数量居世界之首。许多报道将这种转变归因于二战前后发生的事件。相比之下,本文将其起源追溯到19世纪70年代开始的改革。我们首先解释美国制度在研究方面薄弱的根源。然后,我们提出了一个代理理论框架,强调了提高研究绩效所必需的成分。这包括专业化和有意义的性能指标。然后我们讨论将这些要素落实到位的改革。例如:引进专业和先进的教学以及随之而来的学科/部门的兴起;学术期刊的创刊;择优录取的引入。自始至终,我们都强调美国大学系统的自由市场导向所起的作用。
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引用次数: 2
2001년 이후 한국의 노동생산성 성장과 인적자본: 교육의 질적 개선 효과를 중심으로 The Role of Human Capital in Explaining Labor Productivity Growth in Korea Since 2001 2001年以后,以韩国劳动生产率的增长和人力资本:教育质量的改善效果为中心,促进人力资本的扩张Labor Productivity Growth in Korea Since 2001
Pub Date : 2020-04-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3586156
Hye Mi You
Korean Abstract: 본 연구에서는 2001년부터 2018년까지 한국의 노동생산성 증가율을 자본 심화, 인적자본 증가, 그리고 총요소생산성 향상으로 분해하였다. 특히 인적자본 증가는 교육수준의 확대에 따른 노동 구성의 변화와 교육비 지출 증가에 따른 교육의 질적 향상으로 구분하여 측정하였다. 분석 결과 2001년부터 2018년까지 한국의 인적자본은 연평균 1.07% 증가하였으며 이 중 0.46%는 노동구성의 변화, 0.61%는 교육의 질적 향상에 기인한 것으로 나타났다. 이런 인적자본의 증가는 동기간 중 노동생산성 증가율의 30%를 설명한다. 2001년 이후 노동생산성 증가율은 하락 추세를 보였는데 이는 자본 심화의 축소와 총요소생산성 증가율 하락에 주로 기인하며 동 기간 중 꾸준한 성장세를 보인 인적자본과는 무관한 것으로 나타났다.


English Abstract: This paper explores the role of human capital in explaining labor productivity growth in Korea between 2001 and 2018. To this aim, a Ben-Porath type human capital production function is estimated where human capital accumulates through both time spent in school and spending on educational goods. The estimation result shows that human capital in Korea increased by 1.07% per year over the sample period, 0.61%p of which is attributable to the increased educational expenditures. This human capital growth explains about 30% of the labor productivity growth. The result also implies that the downward trend in Korea’s labor productivity growth since 2001 is mainly due to a decline in both capital deepening and TFP growth rather than a stagnation in human capital growth.
Korean Abstract:本研究将2001年至2018年韩国劳动生产率增加率分解为资本深化、人力资本增加和总要素生产率提高。特别是人力资本的增加分为随着教育水平的扩大劳动构成的变化和教育费支出的增加教育质量的提高来测定。分析结果显示,从2001年到2018年,韩国的人力资本年均增加1.07%,其中0.46%源于劳动结构的变化,0.61%源于教育质量的提高。人力资本的这种增加说明了同期劳动生产率增加率的30%。据调查,自2001年以后,劳动生产性增加率显示出了下滑趋势,这主要源于资本深化的缩小和总要素生产性增加率的下滑,与同期内显示出持续增长趋势的人力资本无关。English Abstract: This paper explores the role of human capital in explaining labor productivity growth in Korea between 2001 and 2018。To this aim, a Ben-Porath type human capital production function is estimated where human capital accumulates through both time spent in school and spending on educational goods。The estimation result shows that human capital in Korea increased by 1.07% per year over The sample period, 0.61%p of which is attributable to The increased educational expenditures。This human capital growth explains about 30% of the labor productivity growth。The result also implies that The downward trend in Korea ' s labor productivity growth since 2001 is mainly due to a decline in both capital deepening and TFP growth rather than a stagnation in humancapital growth。
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引用次数: 0
Older and Wiser? Relative Age and Success in High School and College 更老更聪明?高中和大学的相对年龄与成功
Pub Date : 2020-04-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3586772
P. Routon, Jay K. Walker
Slightly missing a school starting age cutoff date, and more generally a student's relative age in their cohort, has been shown in recent research to have important effects. A student's relative age appears to influence their academic success in elementary and middle school, and there is mixed evidence some of these disparities continue into adult labor markets. The time in between, especially one's collegiate years, have been less studied. How far into life relative age effects consistently persist therefore remains an open question. We use a nationwide sample of students from 619 institutions to examine if relative age is related to success in high school and college. Results show the oldest students within a cohort earn slightly better average grades in high school and college and are significantly less likely to fail college courses. We also find mixed evidence that relative age is related to college entrance exam performance.
最近的研究表明,稍微错过入学年龄的截止日期,或者更普遍地说,学生在其同龄人中的相对年龄,会产生重要影响。学生的相对年龄似乎会影响他们在小学和中学的学业成绩,而且有各种各样的证据表明,这些差异中的一些会持续到成人劳动力市场。两者之间的时间,尤其是大学时期,研究较少。因此,相对年龄的影响在生命中持续多久仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。我们使用了来自全国619所院校的学生样本来检验相对年龄是否与高中和大学的成功有关。结果显示,同龄学生中年龄最大的学生在高中和大学的平均成绩略好,大学课程不及格的可能性也要小得多。我们也发现了不同的证据表明相对年龄与高考成绩有关。
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引用次数: 0
'Getting to Denmark': The Role of Elites for Development “走向丹麦”:精英在发展中的作用
Pub Date : 2020-04-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3578366
Nina Boberg-Fazlić, P. Jensen, M. Lampe, P. Sharp, C. Skovsgaard
We explore the role of elites for development and in particular for the spread of cooperative creameries in Denmark in the 1880s, which was a major factor behind that country’s rapid economic catch-up. We demonstrate empirically that the location of early proto-modern dairies, so-called hollænderier, introduced onto traditional landed estates by landowning elites from the Duchies of Schleswig and Holstein in the eighteenth century, can explain the location of cooperative creameries in 1890, more than a century later. We interpret this as evidence that areas close to estates which adopted the Holstein System witnessed a gradual spread of modern ideas from the estates to the peasantry. Moreover, we identify a causal relationship by utilizing the nature of the spread of the Holstein System around Denmark, and the distance to the first estate to introduce it, Sofiendal. Finally, we demonstrate that areas with cooperatives also enjoyed higher levels of income.
我们探讨了精英在发展中的作用,特别是19世纪80年代丹麦合作乳品业的传播,这是该国快速经济追赶背后的主要因素。我们的经验证明,18世纪石勒苏益格(Schleswig)和荷尔斯泰因(Holstein)公国的地主精英将早期的原始现代奶牛场(即所谓的hollænderier)引入传统地产,其位置可以解释一个多世纪后的1890年合作乳品场的位置。我们将此解释为采用荷尔斯泰因制度的庄园附近地区见证了现代思想从庄园逐渐传播到农民的证据。此外,我们通过利用荷尔斯泰因体系在丹麦周围传播的性质,以及到引入它的第一个庄园(Sofiendal)的距离,确定了因果关系。最后,我们证明有合作社的地区也享有更高的收入水平。
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引用次数: 17
Role of Entrepreneurship in Indian Economy 企业家精神在印度经济中的作用
Pub Date : 2020-04-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3784046
Mani Kumari
Using the secondary bastions of Entrepreneurship in India this papers aims to record the changes in GDP per Capita and the employment and the Employment level in India caused by Entrepreneurship. Using empirical data for a particular period, this paper aims to establish the existence of a positive relationship relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth measured as GDP per Capita and Employment. A simple multivariate regression has been used for the analysis. Affirming the hypothesis, it was found that entrepreneurship affected the GDP per Capita with a positive relationship. However, there is significant evidence to show positive relationship between Entrepreneurship and Employment.
本文利用印度企业家精神的二级堡垒,记录企业家精神对印度人均GDP、就业和就业水平的影响。本文利用特定时期的经验数据,旨在建立企业家精神与以人均GDP和就业衡量的经济增长之间存在正相关关系。一个简单的多元回归已被用于分析。验证假设,发现企业家精神对人均GDP的影响呈正相关关系。然而,有大量证据表明创业与就业之间存在正相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
What Do 50 Years of Census Records and Household Survey Data Tell Us about Human Opportunities and Welfare in Latin America? 50年的人口普查记录和住户调查数据告诉我们关于拉丁美洲人类机会和福利的什么?
Pub Date : 2020-04-07 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-9205
Oscar Calvo�?González, G. Caruso, R. A. Castaneda Aguilar, Eduardo Alonso Malasquez Carbonel
To comprehend how development really happens, it is necessary to understand the evolution of its drivers and their relationship with individuals' income. This paper analyzes the expansion of access to education and basic services in Latin America and its association with the evolution of incomes in the region. The paper focuses on the importance of access to opportunities as one of the drivers of development and highlights the role of policy making. The findings suggest that access to education and basic public services early in life are positively correlated with incomes in adulthood. The analysis also suggests that countries follow a dissimilar path to increase access to education and basic services. The paper undertakes a comprehensive analysis of historic census records to add granularity to the assessment of the development of countries, matched with detailed individual-level information from household surveys of several countries in the region. The paper widens an ongoing area of research on the long-run relationship between access to opportunities during childhood and incomes in adulthood.
要理解发展究竟是如何发生的,有必要了解其驱动因素的演变及其与个人收入的关系。本文分析了拉丁美洲获得教育和基本服务机会的扩大及其与该地区收入演变的关系。该文件侧重于获得机会作为发展动力之一的重要性,并强调了政策制定的作用。研究结果表明,早期接受教育和基本公共服务的机会与成年后的收入呈正相关。分析还表明,各国在增加获得教育和基本服务的机会方面走的是不同的道路。本文对历史人口普查记录进行了全面分析,以增加对各国发展的评估粒度,并与该地区几个国家的住户调查提供的详细个人层面信息相匹配。这篇论文拓宽了一个正在进行的研究领域,即儿童时期获得机会与成年后收入之间的长期关系。
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引用次数: 0
Privatization of Higher Education: A Study on Students’ Perspective 高等教育私有化:基于学生视角的研究
Pub Date : 2020-04-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3569511
Prof. Mahrukh Mirza, Z. Nisa
Education is globally considered as an important investment in building human capital. Human capital is the means of all technical innovation and economic growth. Providing education to all is considered as primary duty of the government. But the government has diverted its focus from higher education to primary education and welcomed private sector to enter the higher education sector, which is termed as privatization of higher education. There is a wave of privatization of education in our country. The need of higher education system has been increasing rapidly in India. The government of India realized that public budgets cannot adequately fund higher education need of vast population. So, the government has taken measures such as, hike in student fees, student loans and privatization; in justification of availability and mobilization of resources to expand higher education. These measures have made higher education a lucrative business for industrialists. A large number of private institutions are encouraged to enter in education sector. On the one hand privatization of higher education made education assessable to the masses; on the other hand it brings fee hike, poor quality, exploitation of professionals etc. There are views for and against privatization of higher education in India. Though some have been criticizing the concept even before it has come to be defined and taken off the ground, others consider it very useful and need of the hour. As students are the most important stakeholders of education system. The present study is an attempt to analyse the attitude of college students towards privatization of higher education.
在全球范围内,教育被认为是建设人力资本的重要投资。人力资本是一切技术创新和经济增长的手段。普及教育被认为是政府的首要职责。但是,政府已经把重点从高等教育转移到初等教育,并欢迎私营部门进入高等教育领域,这被称为高等教育私有化。我国出现了一股教育私有化的浪潮。印度对高等教育系统的需求一直在迅速增长。印度政府意识到公共预算无法充分满足广大人口的高等教育需求。因此,政府采取了提高学费、学生贷款、民营化等措施;为扩大高等教育提供和调动资源的理由。这些措施使高等教育成为实业家们有利可图的生意。鼓励大量民办机构进入教育领域。一方面,高等教育私有化使教育对大众具有可评估性;另一方面,它带来了费用上涨、质量差、对专业人员的剥削等。印度高等教育私有化有赞成的也有反对的。尽管有些人甚至在这个概念被定义并付诸实践之前就对它提出了批评,但其他人认为它非常有用,并且需要时效性。因为学生是教育系统最重要的利益相关者。本研究试图分析大学生对高等教育私有化的态度。
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引用次数: 1
Regional Technological Capacity and Entrepreneurship: Heterogeneous Agents and Occupational Choice in a Directed Search Market 区域技术能力与企业家精神:定向搜索市场中的异质代理人与职业选择
Pub Date : 2020-04-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3567694
Despoina Balouktsi
The paper presents and analyses a general equilibrium occupational choice model with labour market frictions and heterogeneous agents. The main theoretical contribution of this model is that, unlike previous directed search models, it allows agents to self-select not only into different sectors but also into an entrepreneurial/managerial career or a regular employment career. Making use of a stochastic output and of positive assortative matching, the model gives rise to possible equilibria where the highest ability agents become either workers or entrepreneurs/managers in the technologically intensive sector. Considering the equilibrium where workers are drawn from the middle of the ability distribution, I find that, consistent with stylized facts, an increased regional technological development increases both top income inequality and the entrepreneurship rate in the technologically intensive sector.
本文提出并分析了一个具有劳动力市场摩擦和异质性主体的一般均衡职业选择模型。该模型的主要理论贡献在于,与以往的定向搜索模型不同,它不仅允许代理人自我选择进入不同的行业,而且还允许代理人选择创业/管理职业或常规就业职业。利用随机输出和正分类匹配,该模型产生了可能的均衡,其中最高能力的代理人成为技术密集型部门的工人或企业家/经理。考虑到工人来自能力分布的中间的均衡,我发现,与程式化的事实一致,区域技术发展的增加增加了最高收入不平等和技术密集型部门的创业率。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme Wages, Performance and Superstars in a Market for Footballers 足球市场中的极端工资、表现和超级明星
Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3577114
R. Scarfe, Carl Singleton, Paul Telemo
We study the determinants of superstar wage effects, asking whether productivity or popularity-based explanations are more appropriate. We use longitudinal wage and performance data for workers (players) and firms (teams) from a particular market for sports talent: Major League Soccer (MLS) in the United States. We find evidence that the top earners, whose annual salaries are mostly not accounted for by their past MLS performances, when compared alongside other footballers, are paid more because they attract significantly higher stadium attendances and thus revenues. There is no evidence that higher residual salary spending by the teams affects their relative performance in football terms, or that the amounts the teams spend on actual talent affect attendances. Taken together, these results suggest that a popularity-based explanation of superstar wage effects is appropriate among the top earners in this labour market.
我们研究了超级明星工资效应的决定因素,询问基于生产率或受欢迎程度的解释哪个更合适。我们使用来自特定体育人才市场的工人(球员)和公司(球队)的纵向工资和绩效数据:美国职业足球大联盟(MLS)。我们发现有证据表明,与其他足球运动员相比,高收入者的年薪大多不包括他们过去在美国职业足球大联盟的表现,他们的收入更高,因为他们吸引了更多的体育场上座率,从而带来了更高的收入。没有证据表明球队较高的剩余工资支出会影响他们在足球方面的相对表现,也没有证据表明球队在实际人才上的支出会影响上座率。综上所述,这些结果表明,基于人气的超级明星工资效应解释适用于劳动力市场中收入最高的人群。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Labor: Human Capital eJournal
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