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A Comparative Study between Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Models for COVID-19 Forecasting 单变量与多变量时间序列模型预测COVID-19的比较研究
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752079
K. Sreehari, M. Adham, Tom D Cheriya, Reshma Sheik
COVID-19, a disease produced by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, has had and continues to have a major influence on humankind. This pandemic has wreaked havoc on the global economy, pushing governments to take drastic steps to control its spread. Forecasting the growth of COVID-19 can assist healthcare providers, policymakers, manufacturers, and merchants predict the pandemic’s recurrence and the general public to have faith in the decisions made by them. Various existing findings showed that time-series techniques could learn and scale to properly anticipate how many people would be harmed by Covid-19 in the future. In this research, we did a comparative analysis of univariate time series models and multivariate time series models for confirming a better model at the end. As a result, we aim to bring out a time series model that is more suitable for forecasting the progression of pandemics worldwide, thus being a more reliable model. The research results showed that multivariate time series forecasting produced much better results for long-range than univariate time series models, which showed better results when expecting shorter periods.
COVID-19是由SARS-CoV-2病毒引起的疾病,已经并将继续对人类产生重大影响。这场大流行给全球经济造成了严重破坏,迫使各国政府采取严厉措施控制其传播。预测COVID-19的增长可以帮助医疗保健提供者、政策制定者、制造商和商人预测大流行的复发,并使公众对他们做出的决定有信心。现有的各种研究结果表明,时间序列技术可以学习和扩展,以正确预测未来有多少人会受到Covid-19的伤害。在本研究中,我们对单变量时间序列模型和多变量时间序列模型进行了比较分析,最终确定了一个更好的模型。因此,我们的目标是提出一个更适合预测全球流行病进展的时间序列模型,从而成为一个更可靠的模型。研究结果表明,多元时间序列模型对长期预测的效果明显优于单变量时间序列模型,单变量时间序列模型对短期预测的效果更好。
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引用次数: 1
Audio to Sign Language Translator Web Application 音频到手语翻译Web应用程序
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9751857
Anju Yadav, Rahul Saxena, B. Saini, V. K. Verma, Vibhav Srivastava
Sign language is an effective mode of conversation for persons who have difficulty speaking or hearing. There are numerous media accessible for translation or for identifying sign languages and converting those to text format, However, methods for converting text to sign language have been few and even not web-based software, owing to the scarcity of resources. The proposed web application seeks to develop a translating mechanism or automation that includes a parser element that converts the incoming speech data or English text to a phrase structure grammar representation, which is then used by another module that contains Indi Sign language grammatical format. This is accomplished through the means of removing stop-words from the reordered input format. Because Indian sign language does not provide word inflections, stemming and lemmatization are used to turn words into their root form. Following sentence filtration, all words are tested against the words in the database, which is represented as a dictionary comprising video representations of each word. If the words are missing from the database, the algorithm will then look for its related synonym and replace it with that term.In many ways, the proposed system is more innovative and efficient than existing systems, because Existing methods can only convert words directly into Indi sign language, and they were not as efficient as this system, whereas this in the actual world, the system tries to translate these phrases into Indian sign language grammatical order. Because this is a web-based programmed, it is straightforward to access and use. This technology is platform agnostic and more versatile to use, and it transforms phrases to sign language in real time.
手语对于说话或听力有困难的人来说是一种有效的交谈方式。有许多媒体可用于翻译或识别手语并将其转换为文本格式,然而,由于资源稀缺,将文本转换为手语的方法很少,甚至没有基于网络的软件。建议的web应用程序寻求开发一种翻译机制或自动化,其中包括一个解析器元素,该解析器元素将传入的语音数据或英语文本转换为短语结构语法表示,然后由包含印度手语语法格式的另一个模块使用。这是通过从重新排序的输入格式中删除停止词来实现的。因为印度手语没有词形变化,词干化和词形化是用来把单词变成词根形式的。在句子过滤之后,所有单词都将根据数据库中的单词进行测试,该数据库表示为包含每个单词的视频表示的字典。如果数据库中缺少单词,算法将查找相关的同义词并用该术语替换它。在许多方面,我们提出的系统比现有的系统更具创新性和效率,因为现有的方法只能将单词直接转换成印度手语,它们没有这个系统那么高效,而在现实世界中,这个系统试图将这些短语翻译成印度手语的语法顺序。因为这是一个基于网络的程序,它是直接访问和使用。这项技术是平台无关的,使用起来更通用,它可以实时将短语转换为手语。
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引用次数: 5
Analysis of Temperature and Rainfall Trends for Jaipur district of Rajasthan, India 印度拉贾斯坦邦斋浦尔地区的温度和降雨趋势分析
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752376
S. Sharma, Durga Prasad Sharma, M. K. Sharma, K. Gaur, Pratibha Manohar
Climate change is a crucial challenge in this century. Temperature and rainfall are two essential determinants of climate. The present study is conducted to explore changes in rainfall and temperature using time series data of Jaipur districts over a period of last 37 years. Data on minimum temperature, maximum temperature and rainfall were collected from the Agrometeorology laboratory of Sri Karan Narendra Agriculture University, Jobner (Jaipur). Trend lines were fitted for minimum temperature, maximum temperature and rainfall and their significance is tested making use of the Mann-Kendall test. The increasing but non-significant trend was observed in minimum temperature whereas maximum temperature showed a significant increase over time which was confirmed by Mann-Kendall trend test. Rainfall showed non-significant decreasing trend for the given period.
气候变化是本世纪的重大挑战。温度和降雨是气候的两个基本决定因素。本研究利用斋浦尔地区过去37年的时间序列数据,探讨了降雨和温度的变化。最低温度、最高温度和降雨量的数据收集自斋浦尔斯里卡兰纳伦德拉农业大学农业气象实验室。拟合了最低气温、最高气温和降雨量的趋势线,并用Mann-Kendall检验了它们的显著性。Mann-Kendall趋势检验证实,随着时间的推移,最低气温呈上升趋势,但不显著,最高气温呈显著上升趋势。降雨在一定时期内呈不显著的减少趋势。
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引用次数: 0
iSIMP with Integrity Validation using MD5 Hash 使用MD5哈希进行完整性验证的iSIMP
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752433
Shiv Kumar Verma, Naved Anjum, Aryansh Sharma, Anubhav Mishra
Communication through Internet is common now a days. Type of communication, where one need to transfer any file became vulnerable due to penetration of unknown person in network to steal the important information, it was always challenging for researchers to send or received exact information on the network and also maintain the speed of transferring file. Preventing attackers from manipulating data and integrity validity is main objectives of this research paper. In first experiments SHA-256 were used to implements for quick and secure transfer of information, later in experiments it was found that MD5 Cryptographic hash function is more secure and faster. The main objective of this paper is to measure the performance of both algorithm and fusion of algorithm give better result and accuracy level also satisfactory as compare to other algorithms. Performance of the algorithms measured on the running time and complexity of MD5 and SHA-256. The complexity of the Algorithms MD5 and SHA-256 is that the same, i.e., θ(N), however the speed is of MD5 is better than SHA-256.
如今,通过互联网进行交流是很常见的。在这种通信类型中,需要传输的任何文件都会因网络中未知人员的渗透而变得脆弱,从而窃取重要信息,因此在网络上发送或接收准确的信息并保持传输文件的速度一直是研究人员面临的挑战。防止攻击者操纵数据和完整性有效性是本文研究的主要目标。在最初的实验中使用SHA-256来实现快速安全的信息传输,后来的实验发现MD5加密哈希函数更安全,更快。本文的主要目的是衡量算法和算法融合的性能,与其他算法相比,得到更好的结果和令人满意的精度水平。通过MD5和SHA-256的运行时间和复杂度来衡量算法的性能。MD5算法和SHA-256算法的复杂度相同,即θ(N),但MD5算法的速度优于SHA-256算法。
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引用次数: 3
Power Quality Issues of Grid Integration of Distributed Generation: A Review 分布式发电并网的电能质量问题综述
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752170
V. Swapna, M. Gayatri
In recent years, Distributed Generation (DG) has created a great impact on the development of small-scale generation and green energy production. To meet the up-surging energy demand, renewable energy sources (RES) has integrated with the grid which helps in increasing generation capacity. The integration with the grid merely may not solve all the problems at all times. However, it will be effective only when the losses are minimized, uninterrupted and a reliable supply of power is present. On the other hand, Power quality (PQ) issues like harmonic distortion, voltage fluctuations, voltage flickering, power transients, etc., rise during integration. Monitoring and mitigating these power quality problems while integrating RES with the grid is the scope of research. This paper presents a comprehensive review of various power quality issues associated with the integration of DG units and their mitigation methods using different algorithms, control techniques, and devices.
近年来,分布式发电对小规模发电和绿色能源生产的发展产生了巨大的影响。为了满足不断增长的能源需求,可再生能源(RES)已与电网相结合,有助于提高发电能力。与电网的整合可能无法在任何时候解决所有问题。然而,只有当损耗最小,不间断和可靠的电力供应存在时,它才会有效。另一方面,电能质量(PQ)问题,如谐波失真、电压波动、电压闪变、电力瞬变等,在集成过程中上升。在将可再生能源与电网集成的同时监测和缓解这些电能质量问题是研究的范围。本文全面回顾了与DG单元集成相关的各种电能质量问题及其使用不同算法、控制技术和设备的缓解方法。
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引用次数: 4
Reliability of Kinovea software in measuring spatial parameters associated with perturbation training Kinovea软件测量与扰动训练相关的空间参数的可靠性
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752118
Jaison Jacob Mathunny, V. Karthik, Ashokkumar Devaraj, S Hari Krishnan
Kinovea is a low-cost 2D motion analysis software. The main objective of this study is to examine the performance of Kinovea to compute spatial parameters related to perturbation training as it is not yet studied, allowing a less computational cost analysis of reactive stepping made possible. Thirty-eight healthy young adults performed the Lean and release perturbation technique to produce spatial parameters such as the Step length (SL), Step width (SW), and Leg angle (LA). The Intra-class Correlation Coefficient (ICC(3,1)) quantified the intra- and inter-rater reliability. The Standard Error of Measurement (SEM), SEM% and Minimal Detectable Change (MDC95) for the 95% confidence interval is estimated to find the absolute reliability. The Bland-Altman plot of intra-rater reliability is computed to find the limit of agreement. The results suggest that the Kinovea software is a reliable tool that can produce original values with acceptable error while repeating the analysis. Kinovea software’s excellent ICC(3,1) value, absolute reliability, and low MDC95 value suggests that the software may be a valuable tool to analyze and provide a reliable output related to perturbation training.
Kinovea是一款低成本的2D运动分析软件。本研究的主要目的是检查Kinovea在计算与扰动训练相关的空间参数方面的性能,因为它尚未被研究,从而可以减少反应步进的计算成本分析。38名健康的年轻人采用精益和释放摄动技术产生空间参数,如步长(SL)、步宽(SW)和腿角(LA)。类内相关系数(ICC(3,1))量化了类内和类间的信度。估计95%置信区间的测量标准误差(SEM), SEM%和最小可检测变化(MDC95),以找到绝对信度。计算了内部信度的Bland-Altman图,找到了一致性的极限。结果表明,Kinovea软件是一种可靠的工具,可以在重复分析时产生可接受误差的原始值。Kinovea软件出色的ICC(3,1)值、绝对可靠性和较低的MDC95值表明,该软件可能是一种有价值的工具,可以分析并提供与扰动训练相关的可靠输出。
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引用次数: 4
Comparative Study on Detection of COVID-19 using different Convolution Layers 不同卷积层检测COVID-19的比较研究
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752416
J. D. Louis Lovenia Karunya, D. Darling Jemima, R. Raghhul, Eugene Kingsley
The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a highly infectious disease caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome. The disease was first instigated in December 2019 in the place called Wuhan which is the capital of a province in China named Hubei and meanwhile, it has spread universally throughout the world. The impact is greatly influenced so that World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the ongoing pandemic of COVID-19 a Public Health Emergency. Artificial intelligence renders its support to analyze chest X-ray (CXR) images for COVID-19 diagnosis. This proposed system is aimed to automatically detect COVID-19 patients using digital chest x- ray images while increasing the accuracy of the model tried with different convolution layers. The dataset was created as a mixture of publicly available X-ray images from patients with confirmed COVID-19 disease and healthy folks. To alleviate the small number of samples, we have inculcated many data augmentation techniques that further enhance the accuracy of the model with different convolution layers. The research aims to design a Deep Learning based model for Covid 19 prediction through X-Ray images. The parameters chosen are applied over 3 different models designed by varying Convolution Layers and proved that accuracy enhances when number of layers increases.
2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)是由严重急性呼吸系统综合征引起的高度传染性疾病。该疾病于2019年12月首次在中国湖北省省会武汉爆发,同时已在世界各地蔓延。其影响非常大,因此世界卫生组织(WHO)宣布正在进行的COVID-19大流行为突发公共卫生事件。人工智能(ai)为新冠肺炎诊断提供了胸部x光影像分析支持。该系统旨在利用数字胸部x线图像自动检测COVID-19患者,同时提高使用不同卷积层尝试的模型的准确性。该数据集是由COVID-19确诊患者和健康人群的公开x射线图像混合而成的。为了缓解样本数量少的问题,我们引入了许多数据增强技术,通过不同的卷积层进一步提高模型的准确性。该研究旨在通过x射线图像设计基于深度学习的新冠肺炎预测模型。将所选择的参数应用于不同卷积层设计的3种不同模型上,证明了随着层数的增加,准确率提高。
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引用次数: 0
An Efficient and Anonymous Authentication Key Agreement Protocol for Smart Transportation System 一种高效、匿名的智能交通系统认证密钥协议
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9751950
Jagriti Jagriti, D. K. Lobiyal
Vehicular Adhoc Networks (VANET) is the fundamental unit for intelligent transportation systems (ITS) controlling and real-time monitoring the Vehicle to Vehicle (V2V) and Vehicle to Infrastructure (V2I) communication. Due to wireless communication channels, vehicles and Roadside Units (RSU) are susceptible to various network attacks, especially security and privacy. Many existing schemes focused on message authentication but did not respond quickly, hence inefficient. There is a great demand to develop an efficient and anonymous authentication protocol to ensure secure communication between different vehicles without revealing their identities. To address these issues, this article presents a lightweight anonymous authentication key agreement scheme between vehicles and RSUs using smart cards and biometrics only. In addition, authentication involves only two entities, at a time, without involving the Registration Centre. The proposed scheme bypasses costly operations like bilinear pairing and multiplication on an elliptic curve instead uses lightweight operations hash function and exclusive-OR operations to ensure the scheme is computationally efficient. Along with all the known attacks, the proposed scheme attains forward secrecy, detects unauthorized login quickly, and revokes smart cards.
车辆自组织网络(VANET)是智能交通系统(ITS)控制和实时监控车对车(V2V)和车对基础设施(V2I)通信的基本单元。由于无线通信渠道,车辆和路边单位(RSU)容易受到各种网络攻击,特别是安全和隐私。许多现有的方案都侧重于消息身份验证,但不能快速响应,因此效率低下。为了确保不同车辆之间的安全通信而不暴露其身份,迫切需要开发一种高效、匿名的认证协议。为了解决这些问题,本文提出了仅使用智能卡和生物识别技术的车辆和rsu之间的轻量级匿名身份验证密钥协议方案。此外,核证一次只涉及两个实体,不涉及登记中心。所提出的方案绕过了椭圆曲线上的双线性配对和乘法等昂贵的操作,而是使用轻量级操作哈希函数和异或操作来确保方案的计算效率。与所有已知的攻击一起,该方案实现了前向保密,快速检测未经授权的登录,并撤销智能卡。
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引用次数: 3
Hydrodynamic Analysis of Extra-Terrestrial Submarine in Lakes of Titan using CFD 基于CFD的土卫六湖地外潜艇水动力分析
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752005
Naga Praveen Babu Mannam, Basa Sidvik, P. Rajalakshmi
Extra-terrestrial space exploration projects have been a matter of interest with many space agencies given the possibility of non – Earth life forms, life-nurturing environments, or the presence of valuable minerals within our solar system. The present study conducts an aerodynamic analysis on a submarine body capable of examining the extra-terrestrial seas of Titan, which is expected to harbor life forms using CFD. Computational Fluid Dynamics or CFD is used to analyze the aerodynamic properties of the submarine. The present case is set up by enabling the liquid properties like that of Titan's seas with submarine deeply submerged inside the lake moving at a velocity of 1 – 3 m/s. The average drag coefficient observed for the L/D ratios 10.8, 12.5, and 14.4 is 0.059, 0.067, and 0.072, respectively, for the assumed geometry when the submarine is submerged deep inside the seas.
鉴于太阳系内可能存在非地球生命形式、孕育生命的环境或有价值的矿物,地外空间探索项目一直是许多太空机构感兴趣的问题。目前的研究对一个潜艇体进行了空气动力学分析,该潜艇体能够检查土卫六的地外海洋,预计使用CFD可以容纳生命形式。计算流体动力学(CFD)用于潜艇的气动特性分析。目前的情况是通过使土卫六的海洋具有液体性质而建立的,潜艇深埋在湖中,以1 - 3米/秒的速度移动。当潜艇沉入深海时,在L/D比为10.8、12.5和14.4的假设几何形状下,观察到的平均阻力系数分别为0.059、0.067和0.072。
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引用次数: 0
IoT enabled Intelligent Fault Diagnosis System for Two-level Voltage Source Converter 基于物联网的双电平电压源变换器智能故障诊断系统
Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1109/ComPE53109.2021.9752210
Swapnil Banerjee, R. Manikandan, R. R. Singh, Harshit Mohan
Power electronic converters are essential in the conditioning of electrical energy in a wide range of applications. To enhance the reliability of these power converters, different condition monitoring approaches are adapted that can analyze the health condition of power converters in real-time. The Intelligent Health Surveillance and IoT fault diagnosis system has recently gained attention due to its readiness and operational flexibility. This article proposes an intelligent fault diagnostic algorithm for an IoT-integrated three-phase two-level voltage converter. The proposed fault diagnosis scheme detects single and double open circuit switch faults using simple Park’s vector-based technique. The normalized mean value and the absolute average value of phase currents are used as fault indicators in the proposed scheme. Obtained real-time fault data is further processed in cloud platforms for long-term storage and analysis. An application is developed for the acquisition and visualization of fault data, as well as to receive an alert message in their registered e-mail account.
电力电子变换器在广泛的应用中对电能的调节是必不可少的。为了提高变流器的可靠性,采用了不同的状态监测方法来实时分析变流器的健康状况。智能健康监测和物联网故障诊断系统因其就绪性和操作灵活性而受到关注。提出了一种物联网集成三相双电平电压变换器的智能故障诊断算法。提出的故障诊断方案利用简单的帕克矢量技术检测单路和双路开路开关故障。采用相电流的归一化平均值和绝对平均值作为故障指标。获取的实时故障数据在云平台上进一步处理,进行长期存储和分析。开发了一个应用程序,用于获取和可视化故障数据,以及在注册的电子邮件帐户中接收警报消息。
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引用次数: 0
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2021 International Conference on Computational Performance Evaluation (ComPE)
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