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Myanmar in 2018: New Democracy Hangs in the Balance 2018年的缅甸:新民主悬而未决
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-016
M. Pedersen
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引用次数: 4
Vietnam and Mekong Cooperative Mechanisms 越南与湄公河合作机制
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-025
To Minh Thu, Le Dinh Tinh
Regional cooperation in the Mekong Basin has become increasingly dynamic in recent years with the emergence of new mechanisms and the reshuffling of existing ones. During the 1990s, Mekong cooperative efforts were primarily confined to the riparian countries. However, over the past ten years, as a result of its strategic location and growth potential, the Mekong Basin region has attracted the attention of major powers and developmental partners, including the United States, China, Japan, India and the European Union. The cooperative mechanisms both among riparian countries and with external partners have provided platforms for discussion of regional issues, especially water resource management, economic development and integration into the regional and global markets, regional connectivity, and addressing common challenges. In 2018, a series of summits related to the Mekong region took place. In January, Cambodia hosted the 2nd Mekong-Lancang Cooperation (MLC) Summit. In March, Vietnam held the 6th Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Summit and the 10th Cambodia-Laos-Vietnam (CLV) Development Triangle Area Summit. In April, the 3rd Mekong River Commission Summit took place in Cambodia. This was followed by the 8th Ayeyawady–Chao Phraya–Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS) Summit in Thailand in June and the 10th Mekong-Japan Summit in October. In addition, a number of Ministerial-level meetings were held,
近年来,湄公河流域区域合作日益活跃,新机制不断涌现,既有机制不断洗牌。在20世纪90年代,湄公河合作的努力主要局限于沿岸国家。然而,在过去十年中,由于其战略位置和增长潜力,湄公河流域地区吸引了包括美国、中国、日本、印度和欧盟在内的主要大国和发展伙伴的关注。沿江国家之间以及与外部伙伴的合作机制为讨论地区问题,特别是水资源管理、经济发展与融入地区和全球市场、区域互联互通、应对共同挑战等提供了平台。2018年,与湄公河地区有关的一系列峰会举行。今年1月,柬埔寨主办第二届澜沧江—湄公河合作峰会。今年3月,越南举行了第六次大湄公河次区域领导人会议和第十次柬老越发展三角区领导人会议。今年4月,第三届湄公河委员会峰会在柬埔寨举行。6月在泰国举行第八次“伊洛瓦底江-湄南河-湄公河经济合作战略”峰会,10月在泰国举行第10次“湄公河-日本”峰会。此外,还举行了一些部长级会议,
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引用次数: 3
Malaysia in 2018: The Year of Voting Dangerously 2018年的马来西亚:危险的选举之年
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-014
Geoffrey K. Pakiam
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引用次数: 1
Competing Logics: Between Thai Sovereignty and the China Model in 2018 竞争逻辑:2018年泰国主权与中国模式之争
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-022
Gregory V. Raymond
In September 2018 a quarrel between a Thai border guard and a tourist from the People’s Republic of China at Bangkok’s Don Mueang Airport turned violent. The argument took place after the Chinese visitor was denied entry on the grounds that he could not produce evidence that he would return to China after his trip to Thailand. The incident should be worrying for Thailand, given the country’s increasing reliance on the growing numbers of Chinese tourists since the coup of 2014. Yet this incident is also symbolic of the internal pressure generated within the Thai state as a result of having to manage China’s encroachments on Thai sovereignty. In 2018 the Thai military government struggled to maintain a balance between two opposing policy logics. On the one hand, China has become not just a critical economic partner but also a potential model of governance; on the other, Thailand’s resilient strategic culture and national identity each emphasize sovereignty and independence, requiring judicious diplomacy with the great powers as the primary tool to achieve these ends. Clearly, there is a tension here: while Thailand may find the stability of authoritarian capitalism attractive, it no more wants coercion from China than it does from the United States. In this chapter I assess the extent to which 2018 may have seen the highwater mark of Thailand’s embrace of China and its adoption of the China
2018年9月,一名泰国边防警卫和一名来自中华人民共和国的游客在曼谷廊曼机场发生争吵,最终演变成暴力冲突。这名中国游客被拒绝入境,理由是他无法提供证据证明自己在泰国之行结束后会返回中国。鉴于泰国自2014年政变以来越来越依赖数量不断增长的中国游客,这起事件应该引起泰国的担忧。然而,这一事件也象征着,由于不得不应对中国对泰国主权的侵犯,泰国政府内部产生了压力。2018年,泰国军政府努力在两种对立的政策逻辑之间保持平衡。一方面,中国不仅成为一个重要的经济伙伴,而且成为一个潜在的治理模式;另一方面,泰国富有弹性的战略文化和国家认同都强调主权和独立,需要明智的外交与大国作为实现这些目标的主要工具。显然,这里存在一种紧张关系:虽然泰国可能会发现威权资本主义的稳定很有吸引力,但它并不希望来自中国的胁迫,就像它不希望来自美国的胁迫一样。在本章中,我评估了2018年泰国拥抱中国和采用中国的高潮程度
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引用次数: 4
Ethnicity, Citizenship and Identity in Post-2016 Myanmar 2016年后缅甸的种族、公民身份和身份
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-017
M. Thuzar, D. Cheong
Myanmar has been experiencing less peaks than troughs in its transformation after Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy (NLD), which won a landslide victory in the November 2015 polls, took office in 2016. The NLD inherited deep-seated legacies and prejudices, as well as a unique blend of political identity entrenched over seventy years of civil war. From 2016’s promise of being an annus mirabilis under a democratically elected government, Myanmar’s fledgling democracy experienced several challenges, particularly in getting the economy back on track amidst ongoing negotiations on powerand resource-sharing with ethnic armed organizations (EAOs), with whom the NLD’s predecessor administration had engaged in a nationwide ceasefire process. The years 2017 and 2018 were something of anni horribiles for the country. Foremost among the litany of disappointments decried by critics has been the NLD government’s — and particularly Daw Suu’s — reluctance to explicitly condemn violence against the Rohingya in the wake of a disproportionate response by Myanmar’s armed forces, the Tatmadaw, to an armed insurgency in August 2017. The Tatmadaw’s operations in the northern part of Myanmar’s Rakhine State bordering Bangladesh were reported to have included rape, torture, and burning of villages, causing the largest exodus to date of some 700,000 Rohingya residing in Myanmar across the border to Bangladesh. Domestic support for Daw Suu
自昂山素季领导的全国民主联盟(NLD)在2015年11月的选举中获得压倒性胜利,并于2016年上台以来,缅甸在转型过程中经历的高峰比低谷要少。全国民主联盟继承了根深蒂固的遗产和偏见,以及在70年的内战中形成的独特的政治认同。自2016年承诺成为民主选举政府下的奇迹之年以来,缅甸初生的民主经历了几次挑战,特别是在与民族武装组织(eao)就权力和资源共享进行的谈判中,经济回到了正轨。全国民主联盟的前任政府与eao进行了全国停火进程。2017年和2018年对这个国家来说是非常可怕的一年。在批评者谴责的一连串令人失望的事情中,最重要的是全国民主联盟政府——尤其是昂山素季——在缅甸武装部队(Tatmadaw)对2017年8月的武装叛乱做出过度反应后,不愿明确谴责针对罗兴亚人的暴力行为。据报道,武装部队在与孟加拉国接壤的缅甸若开邦北部的行动包括强奸、酷刑和烧毁村庄,导致居住在缅甸的约70万罗兴亚人越过边境逃往孟加拉国,这是迄今为止规模最大的一次逃亡。国内对昂山素季的支持
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引用次数: 1
An Australian Vision of the Indo-Pacific and What it Means for Southeast Asia 澳大利亚对印太地区的看法及其对东南亚的意义
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-005
R. Medcalf
Professor rory Medcalf is Head of the National Security College at the Australian National University. His career has spanned diplomacy, intelligence analysis, think tanks, academia and journalism. He is internationally recognized as a thought leader on the emerging concept of the Indo-Pacific. His forthcoming book on the Indo-Pacific concept will be published by Black Inc. (Melbourne). AN AUSTRALIAN VISION OF THE INDO-PACIFIC AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR SOUTHEAST ASIA
罗里·梅德卡夫教授是澳大利亚国立大学国家安全学院院长。他的职业生涯横跨外交、情报分析、智库、学术界和新闻业。他是国际上公认的新兴印度太平洋概念的思想领袖。他即将出版的关于印太概念的书将由Black Inc.(墨尔本)出版。澳大利亚对印太地区的看法及其对东南亚的意义
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引用次数: 4
Indonesia in 2018: The Calm before the Election Storm 2018年的印尼:选举风暴前的平静
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-010
Natalie Sambhi
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引用次数: 2
The Trump Administration's Free and Open Indo-Pacific Approach 特朗普政府的自由开放印太政策
Pub Date : 2019-04-29 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-006
B. Harding
After nearly two years, the Trump administration’s approach to the Indo-Pacific region has finally taken shape. Its objectives are a “Free and Open Indo-Pacific”, in line with decades of U.S. policy in the region, but in a new context of outright strategic competition with China. Its means include familiar tools of U.S. engagement, with some modest improvements for the times. But in Donald Trump’s America, actions often do not support stated goals and, in the case of policy in the Indo-Pacific, President Trump’s personal instincts, in particular his dogmatic approach to trade, have undermined his administration’s best efforts in the region.
经过近两年的时间,特朗普政府对印太地区的策略终于成型。它的目标是“自由开放的印度太平洋”,与美国几十年来在该地区的政策一致,但处于与中国直接战略竞争的新背景下。它的手段包括熟悉的美国参与工具,并对时代进行了一些适度的改进。但在唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)领导下的美国,行动往往不支持既定目标,就印太政策而言,特朗普总统的个人本能,尤其是他对贸易的教条主义态度,破坏了他的政府在该地区的最大努力。
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引用次数: 6
Toxic Democracy? The Philippines in 2018 有毒的民主吗?2018年的菲律宾
Pub Date : 2019-04-10 DOI: 10.1355/9789814843164-018
Nicole Curato
Toxic is the Oxford English Dictionary's word of the year for 2018. It is a word that captures the mood of our time, evidenced by the 45 per cent spike in frequency of people who looked up the term. Used in tandem with the word masculinity , toxic has served as descriptor to emphasize the physical harm, emotional damage and lethal effects of patriarchal power. The same word can summarize the year 2018 for the Philippines. Beyond President Rodrigo Duterte's overt displays of toxic masculinity is a discernible pattern of his administration's aggressive attacks against the integrity of democratic institutions. From attempting to jail opposition figures to forging controversial deals with China that place the Philippines’ sovereignty at risk, the regime has demonstrated the extent to which it is willing to breach the boundaries of state power while evading accountability. This chapter analyses the Philippines in 2018 around the three themes of toxic politics, toxic policies and toxic deals. Each of these themes focuses on specific issues that will draw attention to broader patterns of Duterte's rule, which, as this chapter argues, has assumed a toxic quality for democratic life. Toxic politics focuses on issues of press freedom and the ouster of the Supreme Court chief justice Maria Lourdes Sereno. Toxic policies examines how Duterte's iron-fisted approach to governance shaped the conduct of the Boracay island shutdown and Marawi rehabilitation. Finally, toxic deals focuses on Chinese investment and new tax laws. By identifying these issues, this chapter does not intend to portray a bleak future for Philippine democracy. The final part of the chapter demonstrates how the public has responded to this political trajectory, and prompts reflection on where the nation may be headed. Democracy's Autoimmune Disease There has always been a danger that the populist President Duterte would have a toxic effect on Philippine democracy. Populism, as political theorist Simon Tormey puts it, is a pharmakon , “a powerful substance intended to make someone better, but which might end up killing him or her”. There is no way to know the outcome in advance, he argues, for the toxicity of populism “depends on the dosage and receptivity of the body”.
Toxic是《牛津英语词典》2018年度词汇。这个词抓住了我们这个时代的情绪,人们查找这个词的频率上升了45%。toxic与masculinity(男子气概)一词连用,用来强调男权的身体伤害、情感伤害和致命影响。这个词可以概括2018年菲律宾的情况。在罗德里戈·杜特尔特(Rodrigo Duterte)总统公开展示有毒的男子气概之外,还有一种明显的模式,即b他的政府对民主制度的完整性进行侵略性攻击。从试图监禁反对派人士,到与中国达成危及菲律宾主权的有争议交易,该政权已经表明,它愿意在逃避问责的同时,在多大程度上突破国家权力的界限。本章围绕有毒政治、有毒政策和有毒交易这三个主题来分析2018年的菲律宾。这些主题中的每一个都集中在具体问题上,这些问题将引起人们对杜特尔特统治的更广泛模式的关注,正如本章所述,杜特尔特统治对民主生活具有有毒的品质。有毒政治集中在新闻自由和最高法院首席大法官玛丽亚·卢尔德·塞里诺的下台问题上。《有毒政策》考察了杜特尔特的铁腕治理方式如何影响了长滩岛关闭和马拉维重建的行为。最后,有毒交易集中在中国投资和新税法上。通过确定这些问题,本章并不打算描绘菲律宾民主的黯淡未来。本章的最后一部分展示了公众对这一政治轨迹的反应,并引发了对国家可能走向何方的思考。民粹主义总统杜特尔特对菲律宾民主产生有毒影响的危险一直存在。正如政治理论家西蒙•托米(Simon Tormey)所说,民粹主义是一种药,“一种强大的物质,旨在让某人变得更好,但最终可能会杀死他或她”。他认为,没有办法提前知道结果,因为民粹主义的毒性“取决于身体的剂量和接受程度”。
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引用次数: 1
Singapore–China Relations: Building Substantive Ties amidst Challenges 新中关系:在挑战中建立实质性关系
Pub Date : 2018-05-03 DOI: 10.1355/9789814786843-020
Lye Liang Fook
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Southeast Asian Affairs
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