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Surnames in Local Newspapers and Social Mobility 地方报纸上的姓氏与社会流动性
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03415-7
Massimo Baldini, Andrea Barigazzi

This study aims to investigate social mobility by introducing an innovative data source: surnames in newspapers. The core hypothesis posits that frequent mentions in newspapers are indicative of greater social relevance. Through the collection of local newspaper data in the municipality of Modena, Italy, from 1921 to 2011, we examine variations in the relative representation of surnames in newspapers with respect to their presence in registry data. The results suggest that surnames in newspapers are not a random sample of the population, supporting the assumption that they reflect social significance. Surnames belonging to privileged groups exhibit a higher representation compared to other social groups. This higher relative representation seems to be transmitted to future generations and converges over time toward the mean, with variations depending on the considered high-status group. This kind of analysis could contribute to identifying different mobility patterns at the local level and represents a useful alternative when established data sources, such as income, education, and occupational data, are not available.

本研究旨在通过引入创新数据源--报纸上的姓氏--来调查社会流动性。研究的核心假设是,在报纸上被频繁提及的姓氏表明其具有更大的社会相关性。通过收集意大利摩德纳市从 1921 年到 2011 年的地方报纸数据,我们研究了姓氏在报纸中的相对代表性与在登记数据中的相对代表性之间的差异。结果表明,报纸上的姓氏并非人口的随机样本,这支持了它们反映社会意义的假设。与其他社会群体相比,属于特权群体的姓氏具有更高的代表性。这种较高的相对代表性似乎会传给后代,并随着时间的推移向平均值靠拢,但也会因所考虑的高地位群体的不同而有所变化。这种分析有助于确定地方一级的不同流动模式,在没有收入、教育和职业数据等既定数据来源的情况下,是一种有用的替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
Social Determinants of Life Expectancy at Birth in the City of Madrid: A Pre-pandemic Analysis 马德里市出生时预期寿命的社会决定因素:大流行前分析
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03419-3
David González Casas, Ana Dorado Barbé, José Luis Gálvez Nieto

The purpose of this article was to analyze the relationship of socioeconomic and educational determinants on life expectancy at birth in the 21 districts of the city of Madrid in 2019. An ecological and cross-sectional study was conducted. The independent variables studied were economic situation, educational level and being a user of public social resources for family care in the city of Madrid. Mean comparison, correlation and multivariate linear regression analysis were performed with the aim of estimating the relationship between these variables and life expectancy at birth in the districts of Madrid. The results show evidence of how the social determinants analyzed by district obtained high levels of association and predictive capacity with respect to life expectancy at birth in Madrid. In this sense, the regression model was able to explain 80.2% of the variance of life expectancy at birth. The study shows that socioeconomic determinants are associated and linearly related to life expectancy in periods prior to the COVID-19 pandemic in the city of Madrid. These results indicate that health policy planning should address social determinants as a starting point to reduce health inequalities and, therefore, to achieve actions aimed at improving the health of all citizens.

本文旨在分析 2019 年马德里市 21 个区的社会经济和教育决定因素与出生时预期寿命的关系。该研究是一项生态学横断面研究。研究的自变量包括马德里市的经济状况、教育水平和家庭护理公共社会资源的使用者。对这些变量进行了均值比较、相关性分析和多元线性回归分析,以估计这些变量与马德里各区出生时预期寿命之间的关系。结果表明,按区分析的社会决定因素与马德里出生时预期寿命之间具有高度关联性和预测能力。从这个意义上说,回归模型能够解释 80.2%的出生时预期寿命变异。研究结果表明,在马德里市 COVID-19 大流行之前,社会经济决定因素与预期寿命相关且呈线性关系。这些结果表明,卫生政策规划应将社会决定因素作为起点,以减少卫生不平等,从而实现旨在改善所有公民健康的行动。
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引用次数: 0
Bases for the Construction of the Social Cohesion Index in the Indigenous Communities of Michoacán 构建米却肯州土著社区社会凝聚力指数的基础
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03407-7
Vicente González Hidalgo, Veronica Marlene Correa Flores, Mauricio González-Avilés, Viridiana Nativitas Montoya

This article analyzes the ties of solidarity that exist in the communities that are part of the Purhépecha indigenous region, in Michoacán, Mexico. Through various investigations, we seek to lay the foundations for the construction of an index that would allow the measurement of “social cohesion”, considering that this is generated socially and historically, and is not necessarily determined from a rational-economic vision, but that the bases of social cohesion can be “based on the existence of a collective conscience, c0omposed of a system of values, norms and feelings and ideas common among all the people who make up society” that they are based on the indigenous worldview itself.

本文分析了墨西哥米却肯州 Purhépecha 土著地区各社区中存在的团结纽带。考虑到 "社会凝聚力 "是由社会和历史产生的,并不一定是由理性经济观点决定的,但社会凝聚力的基础可以是 "集体良知的存在,由组成社会的所有人共同的价值观、规范、情感和思想体系构成",它们是以土著世界观本身为基础的。
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引用次数: 0
The GDL Vulnerability Index (GVI) GDL 脆弱性指数 (GVI)
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03399-4
Jeroen Smits, Janine Huisman

In this paper we present the GDL Vulnerability Index (GVI), a new composite index to monitor and analyse the human components of vulnerability to climate change, natural disasters, and other kinds of shocks, for societies and geographic areas across the globe. The GVI is a simple and flexible index designed for use by experts as well as non-experts in the climate field, including researchers, (local) politicians, NGO’s, journalists, advocacy groups and grassroot movements. The GVI is based on an additive formula that summarizes the essence of seven socioeconomic dimensions of vulnerability into a single number. This formula approach sets this index apart from other existing indices. Any person who knows the values of the underlying indicators can compute the vulnerability score of an area by filling in these values in the GVI formula. Validity tests show that the data-driven GVI measures the vulnerability dimensions coping capacity, adaptive capacity and susceptibility as well as major expert-based indices. This offers great prospects for use in situations where no other vulnerability information is available. Here we explain the construction of the GVI, test its validity and present GVI values for (almost) all countries of the world and for major global regions.

在本文中,我们介绍了 GDL 脆弱性指数(GVI),这是一个新的综合指数,用于监测和分析全球社会和地理区域在气候变化、自然灾害和其他冲击面前的脆弱性的人为因素。全球脆弱性指数是一个简单而灵活的指数,设计用于气候领域的专家和非专家,包括研究人员、(地方)政治家、非政府组织、记者、宣传团体和基层运动。全球脆弱性指数基于一个加法公式,将脆弱性的七个社会经济方面的本质概括为一个数字。这一公式方法使该指数有别于其他现有指数。任何人只要知道基本指标的数值,就可以在全球脆弱性指数公式中填入这些数值,计算出一个地区的脆弱性得分。有效性测试表明,数据驱动的全球脆弱性指数在脆弱性的应对能力、适应能力和易感性方面的测量结果与主要的专家指数相同。这为在没有其他脆弱性信息的情况下使用提供了广阔的前景。在此,我们将解释全球脆弱性指数的构造,测试其有效性,并提供全球(几乎)所有国家和全球主要地区的全球脆弱性指数值。
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引用次数: 0
Persistence of Overeducation Among Young Workers and Business Cycle 青年工人过度教育的持续性与商业周期
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03412-w
José M. Arranz, Carlos García-Serrano

The objective of the article is to analyse the degree of persistence of overeducation in the initial stages of the professional career of young workers and the relationship between both the incidence and the persistence of overeducation and the business cycle. We use longitudinal data from administrative records (the ‘Continuous Sample of Working Life’) on the work trajectories of young Spaniards (16–35 years old) who enter the labour market for the first time at various moments in time (2005, 2009 or 2014) and estimate univariate and recursive bivariate probit models. The main findings are that nearly one third of entrants are overeducated in their first job, that their permanence in overeducation five years later is high (above 50%) and that the persistence of overeducation of young entrants is countercyclical.

本文旨在分析青年工人职业生涯初始阶段过度教育的持续程度,以及过度教育的发生率和持续性与商业周期之间的关系。我们利用行政记录("工作生活连续样本")中的纵向数据,对西班牙青年(16-35 岁)在不同时间(2005 年、2009 年或 2014 年)首次进入劳动力市场的工作轨迹进行了估计,并建立了单变量和递归双变量概率模型。主要研究结果表明,近三分之一的初入职场者在第一份工作中接受了过高教育,他们在五年后接受过高教育的持久性很高(超过 50%),而且初入职场的年轻人接受过高教育的持久性是反周期的。
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引用次数: 0
An Untapped Instrument in the Fight Against Poverty: The Impacts of Financial Literacy on Poverty Worldwide 与贫困作斗争中尚未开发的工具:金融扫盲对全球贫困问题的影响
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03404-w
Ngoc Duc Lang, Ha Mai Tran, Giang Tra Nguyen, Duc Hong Vo

The World Bank assessed that meeting the goal of eradicating extreme poverty by 2030 appears to be challenging (or even impossible) for the world. This observation requires an urgent need for policymakers to explore potent instruments to combat poverty globally. Numerous studies have examined various determinants of poverty. However, financial literacy—a relatively new concept—remains underexplored, especially on a global scale. As such, this study is conducted to assess whether financial literacy can reduce the likelihood of falling into poverty using a unique dataset of 113 countries. We find that financial literacy has a significant and negative association with the likelihood of falling into poverty. Beyond association, the causal analysis shows that financial literacy exerts a negative effect on poverty. Our findings remain largely unchanged across different sub-samples based on socio-demographic factors, regions and country income levels, and robustness analyses.

世界银行评估认为,实现到 2030 年消除极端贫困的目标似乎对全世界都具有挑战性 (甚至是不可能的)。这就要求政策制定者迫切需要探索在全球范围内消除贫困的有效手段。许多研究都探讨了贫困的各种决定因素。然而,金融知识--一个相对较新的概念--仍未得到充分探索,尤其是在全球范围内。因此,本研究利用 113 个国家的独特数据集来评估金融扫盲是否能降低陷入贫困的可能性。我们发现,金融素养与陷入贫困的可能性有显著的负相关。除了相关性,因果分析表明,金融知识对贫困有负面影响。在基于社会人口因素、地区和国家收入水平以及稳健性分析的不同子样本中,我们的研究结果基本保持不变。
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引用次数: 0
Pyramid-Shaped Indicators: Evaluating the Robustness of Scheme Comparisons Under Weight Uncertainty 金字塔形指标:评估权重不确定情况下计划比较的稳健性
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03400-0
Li-zhu Yue, Jia-wei Zhang, Yue Lv

In the digital age, not only has the scope of indicator monitoring expanded but also the indicators themselves have become increasingly multilevel. Theoretically, the greater the number of levels, the more uncertainty there is in the indicators’ weights. This necessitates the evaluation of the robustness of scheme comparisons to reduce evaluation risks. By using partial order evaluation methods as analytical tools, this study aims to delineate the principles and methods of partial order representation for single-level indicators. Based on this delineation, it then aims to analyze the representation methods for multilevel indicators. The results reveal that for a two-level indicator system, it is only necessary to clarify the order of weights between the first- and second-level indicators. Through a partial order Hasse diagram, the schemes can be ranked and the robustness of the comparison can be analyzed. Furthermore, three- and four-level indicator systems can be decomposed into several two-level indicator systems to complete the partial order evaluation. A case analysis demonstrates that the partial order uncertainty analysis method can integrate decision-makers’ preferences. The Hasse diagram not only ranks the schemes but also achieves stratified clustering, which intuitively reflects the stability of the schemes.

在数字时代,不仅指标监测的范围扩大了,而且指标本身也变得越来越多层次。从理论上讲,层次越多,指标权重的不确定性就越大。这就需要对方案比较的稳健性进行评估,以降低评估风险。本研究以偏序评价方法为分析工具,旨在阐明单层次指标偏序表示的原理和方法。在此基础上,分析多层次指标的表示方法。研究结果表明,对于两级指标体系,只需明确一级指标和二级指标之间的权重顺序即可。通过偏序哈斯图,可以对方案进行排序,并分析比较的稳健性。此外,还可将三级和四级指标体系分解为多个二级指标体系,完成偏序评价。案例分析表明,偏序不确定性分析方法可以整合决策者的偏好。哈塞图不仅能对方案进行排序,还能实现分层聚类,直观地反映方案的稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial, Temporal, and Explanatory Analyses of Urban Crime 城市犯罪的空间、时间和解释性分析
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03408-6
Daniela Cueva, Pablo Cabrera-Barona

This study assessed the influence of socioeconomic and demographic indicators on different types of crime and explored the spatial and temporal dynamics of crime. Between 2014 and 2020, 174,365 criminal events registered in Quito, Ecuador, were collected and aggregated at an administrative area level. Time-series decompositions, spatial autocorrelations, and regression models were applied, considering different types of crime as dependent variables. A marked seasonal component of crime and crime hotspots in the center of the study area was identified. Crime events are likely to increase significantly by 2025. We also found that unemployment, schooling, unsatisfied basic needs, and especially the density of bars and night clubs are socioeconomic indicators influencing crime. Urban crimes present specific spatial and temporal patterns, and crime events can be explained by urban socioeconomic conditions.

本研究评估了社会经济和人口指标对不同类型犯罪的影响,并探讨了犯罪的时空动态。研究收集了 2014 年至 2020 年期间厄瓜多尔基多市登记在册的 174365 起犯罪事件,并在行政区域层面进行了汇总。将不同类型的犯罪视为因变量,应用了时间序列分解、空间自相关性和回归模型。研究发现,犯罪有明显的季节性,研究区域的中心有犯罪热点。到 2025 年,犯罪事件可能会大幅增加。我们还发现,失业、就学、基本需求得不到满足,尤其是酒吧和夜总会的密度,都是影响犯罪的社会经济指标。城市犯罪呈现出特定的空间和时间模式,犯罪事件可以用城市社会经济条件来解释。
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引用次数: 0
Rare Disease and Quality of Life: Questionnaire and Indicators on Epidermolysis Bullosa in Italy 罕见疾病与生活质量:意大利表皮松解症调查问卷和指标
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03405-9
Paolo Mariani, Andrea Marletta, Mariangela Zenga

The concept of Health-Related Quality of Life encompasses various factors that contribute to an individual’s overall quality of life in the context of health care. It is the perception of an individual or group regarding their physical and mental health over a period of time. At the individual level, Health-Related Quality of Life considers self-reported perceptions of health, such as energy levels and mood, as well as other factors such as risks and conditions, functional capacities, social support and socio-economic status. Health-related Quality of Life is determined through the administration of questionnaires that may be generic or disease-specific. These questionnaires have become an essential tool for public health surveillance, as they provide valuable indicators of unmet needs and intervention outcomes. The present work focuses on the development of a questionnaire for Epidermolysis Bullosa, which is a rare disease, and proposes an index that defines a patient-designed Quality of Life that correlates with an index of uneasiness based on the patient’s perspective on the disease.

与健康相关的生活质量这一概念包含了在医疗保健方面影响个人整体生活质量的各种因素。它是个人或群体在一段时间内对其身心健康的感知。在个人层面,与健康相关的生活质量考虑了自我报告的健康感知,如精力水平和情绪,以及其他因素,如风险和条件、功能能力、社会支持和社会经济地位。与健康相关的生活质量是通过发放调查问卷来确定的,这些问卷可能是通用的,也可能是针对特定疾病的。这些问卷已成为公共卫生监测的重要工具,因为它们提供了未满足需求和干预结果的宝贵指标。本研究的重点是为一种罕见疾病--大疱性表皮松解症编制调查问卷,并根据患者对疾病的看法,提出了一个定义患者设计的生活质量指数,该指数与不安指数相关。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of a Farm-Level Food Security Index: Case Study of Turkish Dairy Farms 构建农场一级的粮食安全指数:土耳其奶牛场案例研究
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03406-8
Gökçe Koç, Ayşe Uzmay

Food security continues to be a global concern and its importance has recently increased for many reasons. Composite food security indices have been widely used to calculate and monitor food security, but farm-level studies are limited. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to construct a Farm-level Food Security Index (FFSI) for dairy farms to assess their contribution to food security, identify potential areas for improvement and guide policy makers. Data were collected from 126 farms in the Thrace Region of Turkey through face-to-face interviews. The FFSI was constructed with four dimensions, briefly called economic, quality, social and natural resources, containing twenty-three variables. Principal component analysis was used for the determination of variable weights, data envelopment analysis for calculating technical efficiency, and the Tobit model for examining the factors influencing FFSI scores. To assess the robustness of the FFSI, Monte Carlo simulations-based uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, dimension extraction approach and Shapley effects sensitivity analysis were performed. With an average score of 56.8, the key result of the FFSI is that dairy farms are using almost half of their potential to fully contribute to food security. Moreover, according to the Tobit model, FFSI scores are significantly affected by the farmer’s age and education level, credit use, livestock unit, fodder crop area and milk marketing channel. The FFSI is robust to weights and sensitive to normalisation, and the social sustainability dimension can cause the largest shift in index scores. Based on these findings, numerous agricultural policy proposals have been developed in this study by identifying the priority areas that need to be addressed to guarantee food security.

粮食安全仍然是全球关注的问题,由于多种原因,其重要性近来有所增加。综合粮食安全指数已被广泛用于计算和监测粮食安全,但农场层面的研究却十分有限。因此,本研究的主要目的是为奶牛场构建农场级粮食安全指数(FFSI),以评估其对粮食安全的贡献,确定潜在的改进领域并为政策制定者提供指导。通过面对面访谈,从土耳其色雷斯地区的 126 个牧场收集了数据。FFSI 包含四个维度,分别为经济、质量、社会和自然资源,共包含 23 个变量。在确定变量权重时使用了主成分分析法,在计算技术效率时使用了数据包络分析法,在研究影响 FFSI 分数的因素时使用了 Tobit 模型。为评估 FFSI 的稳健性,进行了基于蒙特卡罗模拟的不确定性和敏感性分析、维度提取法和沙普利效应敏感性分析。FFSI 的平均得分为 56.8,其主要结果是,奶牛场几乎发挥了其一半的潜力,为粮食安全做出了充分的贡献。此外,根据 Tobit 模型,FFSI 分数受牧场主的年龄和教育水平、信贷使用情况、牲畜单位、饲料作物面积和牛奶销售渠道的影响很大。FFSI 对权重是稳健的,对归一化是敏感的,社会可持续性维度会导致指数得分的最大变化。基于这些发现,本研究通过确定保障粮食安全所需的优先领域,提出了许多农业政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
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Social Indicators Research
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