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An Untapped Instrument in the Fight Against Poverty: The Impacts of Financial Literacy on Poverty Worldwide 与贫困作斗争中尚未开发的工具:金融扫盲对全球贫困问题的影响
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03404-w
Ngoc Duc Lang, Ha Mai Tran, Giang Tra Nguyen, Duc Hong Vo

The World Bank assessed that meeting the goal of eradicating extreme poverty by 2030 appears to be challenging (or even impossible) for the world. This observation requires an urgent need for policymakers to explore potent instruments to combat poverty globally. Numerous studies have examined various determinants of poverty. However, financial literacy—a relatively new concept—remains underexplored, especially on a global scale. As such, this study is conducted to assess whether financial literacy can reduce the likelihood of falling into poverty using a unique dataset of 113 countries. We find that financial literacy has a significant and negative association with the likelihood of falling into poverty. Beyond association, the causal analysis shows that financial literacy exerts a negative effect on poverty. Our findings remain largely unchanged across different sub-samples based on socio-demographic factors, regions and country income levels, and robustness analyses.

世界银行评估认为,实现到 2030 年消除极端贫困的目标似乎对全世界都具有挑战性 (甚至是不可能的)。这就要求政策制定者迫切需要探索在全球范围内消除贫困的有效手段。许多研究都探讨了贫困的各种决定因素。然而,金融知识--一个相对较新的概念--仍未得到充分探索,尤其是在全球范围内。因此,本研究利用 113 个国家的独特数据集来评估金融扫盲是否能降低陷入贫困的可能性。我们发现,金融素养与陷入贫困的可能性有显著的负相关。除了相关性,因果分析表明,金融知识对贫困有负面影响。在基于社会人口因素、地区和国家收入水平以及稳健性分析的不同子样本中,我们的研究结果基本保持不变。
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引用次数: 0
Pyramid-Shaped Indicators: Evaluating the Robustness of Scheme Comparisons Under Weight Uncertainty 金字塔形指标:评估权重不确定情况下计划比较的稳健性
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03400-0
Li-zhu Yue, Jia-wei Zhang, Yue Lv

In the digital age, not only has the scope of indicator monitoring expanded but also the indicators themselves have become increasingly multilevel. Theoretically, the greater the number of levels, the more uncertainty there is in the indicators’ weights. This necessitates the evaluation of the robustness of scheme comparisons to reduce evaluation risks. By using partial order evaluation methods as analytical tools, this study aims to delineate the principles and methods of partial order representation for single-level indicators. Based on this delineation, it then aims to analyze the representation methods for multilevel indicators. The results reveal that for a two-level indicator system, it is only necessary to clarify the order of weights between the first- and second-level indicators. Through a partial order Hasse diagram, the schemes can be ranked and the robustness of the comparison can be analyzed. Furthermore, three- and four-level indicator systems can be decomposed into several two-level indicator systems to complete the partial order evaluation. A case analysis demonstrates that the partial order uncertainty analysis method can integrate decision-makers’ preferences. The Hasse diagram not only ranks the schemes but also achieves stratified clustering, which intuitively reflects the stability of the schemes.

在数字时代,不仅指标监测的范围扩大了,而且指标本身也变得越来越多层次。从理论上讲,层次越多,指标权重的不确定性就越大。这就需要对方案比较的稳健性进行评估,以降低评估风险。本研究以偏序评价方法为分析工具,旨在阐明单层次指标偏序表示的原理和方法。在此基础上,分析多层次指标的表示方法。研究结果表明,对于两级指标体系,只需明确一级指标和二级指标之间的权重顺序即可。通过偏序哈斯图,可以对方案进行排序,并分析比较的稳健性。此外,还可将三级和四级指标体系分解为多个二级指标体系,完成偏序评价。案例分析表明,偏序不确定性分析方法可以整合决策者的偏好。哈塞图不仅能对方案进行排序,还能实现分层聚类,直观地反映方案的稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial, Temporal, and Explanatory Analyses of Urban Crime 城市犯罪的空间、时间和解释性分析
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03408-6
Daniela Cueva, Pablo Cabrera-Barona

This study assessed the influence of socioeconomic and demographic indicators on different types of crime and explored the spatial and temporal dynamics of crime. Between 2014 and 2020, 174,365 criminal events registered in Quito, Ecuador, were collected and aggregated at an administrative area level. Time-series decompositions, spatial autocorrelations, and regression models were applied, considering different types of crime as dependent variables. A marked seasonal component of crime and crime hotspots in the center of the study area was identified. Crime events are likely to increase significantly by 2025. We also found that unemployment, schooling, unsatisfied basic needs, and especially the density of bars and night clubs are socioeconomic indicators influencing crime. Urban crimes present specific spatial and temporal patterns, and crime events can be explained by urban socioeconomic conditions.

本研究评估了社会经济和人口指标对不同类型犯罪的影响,并探讨了犯罪的时空动态。研究收集了 2014 年至 2020 年期间厄瓜多尔基多市登记在册的 174365 起犯罪事件,并在行政区域层面进行了汇总。将不同类型的犯罪视为因变量,应用了时间序列分解、空间自相关性和回归模型。研究发现,犯罪有明显的季节性,研究区域的中心有犯罪热点。到 2025 年,犯罪事件可能会大幅增加。我们还发现,失业、就学、基本需求得不到满足,尤其是酒吧和夜总会的密度,都是影响犯罪的社会经济指标。城市犯罪呈现出特定的空间和时间模式,犯罪事件可以用城市社会经济条件来解释。
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引用次数: 0
Rare Disease and Quality of Life: Questionnaire and Indicators on Epidermolysis Bullosa in Italy 罕见疾病与生活质量:意大利表皮松解症调查问卷和指标
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03405-9
Paolo Mariani, Andrea Marletta, Mariangela Zenga

The concept of Health-Related Quality of Life encompasses various factors that contribute to an individual’s overall quality of life in the context of health care. It is the perception of an individual or group regarding their physical and mental health over a period of time. At the individual level, Health-Related Quality of Life considers self-reported perceptions of health, such as energy levels and mood, as well as other factors such as risks and conditions, functional capacities, social support and socio-economic status. Health-related Quality of Life is determined through the administration of questionnaires that may be generic or disease-specific. These questionnaires have become an essential tool for public health surveillance, as they provide valuable indicators of unmet needs and intervention outcomes. The present work focuses on the development of a questionnaire for Epidermolysis Bullosa, which is a rare disease, and proposes an index that defines a patient-designed Quality of Life that correlates with an index of uneasiness based on the patient’s perspective on the disease.

与健康相关的生活质量这一概念包含了在医疗保健方面影响个人整体生活质量的各种因素。它是个人或群体在一段时间内对其身心健康的感知。在个人层面,与健康相关的生活质量考虑了自我报告的健康感知,如精力水平和情绪,以及其他因素,如风险和条件、功能能力、社会支持和社会经济地位。与健康相关的生活质量是通过发放调查问卷来确定的,这些问卷可能是通用的,也可能是针对特定疾病的。这些问卷已成为公共卫生监测的重要工具,因为它们提供了未满足需求和干预结果的宝贵指标。本研究的重点是为一种罕见疾病--大疱性表皮松解症编制调查问卷,并根据患者对疾病的看法,提出了一个定义患者设计的生活质量指数,该指数与不安指数相关。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of a Farm-Level Food Security Index: Case Study of Turkish Dairy Farms 构建农场一级的粮食安全指数:土耳其奶牛场案例研究
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03406-8
Gökçe Koç, Ayşe Uzmay

Food security continues to be a global concern and its importance has recently increased for many reasons. Composite food security indices have been widely used to calculate and monitor food security, but farm-level studies are limited. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to construct a Farm-level Food Security Index (FFSI) for dairy farms to assess their contribution to food security, identify potential areas for improvement and guide policy makers. Data were collected from 126 farms in the Thrace Region of Turkey through face-to-face interviews. The FFSI was constructed with four dimensions, briefly called economic, quality, social and natural resources, containing twenty-three variables. Principal component analysis was used for the determination of variable weights, data envelopment analysis for calculating technical efficiency, and the Tobit model for examining the factors influencing FFSI scores. To assess the robustness of the FFSI, Monte Carlo simulations-based uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, dimension extraction approach and Shapley effects sensitivity analysis were performed. With an average score of 56.8, the key result of the FFSI is that dairy farms are using almost half of their potential to fully contribute to food security. Moreover, according to the Tobit model, FFSI scores are significantly affected by the farmer’s age and education level, credit use, livestock unit, fodder crop area and milk marketing channel. The FFSI is robust to weights and sensitive to normalisation, and the social sustainability dimension can cause the largest shift in index scores. Based on these findings, numerous agricultural policy proposals have been developed in this study by identifying the priority areas that need to be addressed to guarantee food security.

粮食安全仍然是全球关注的问题,由于多种原因,其重要性近来有所增加。综合粮食安全指数已被广泛用于计算和监测粮食安全,但农场层面的研究却十分有限。因此,本研究的主要目的是为奶牛场构建农场级粮食安全指数(FFSI),以评估其对粮食安全的贡献,确定潜在的改进领域并为政策制定者提供指导。通过面对面访谈,从土耳其色雷斯地区的 126 个牧场收集了数据。FFSI 包含四个维度,分别为经济、质量、社会和自然资源,共包含 23 个变量。在确定变量权重时使用了主成分分析法,在计算技术效率时使用了数据包络分析法,在研究影响 FFSI 分数的因素时使用了 Tobit 模型。为评估 FFSI 的稳健性,进行了基于蒙特卡罗模拟的不确定性和敏感性分析、维度提取法和沙普利效应敏感性分析。FFSI 的平均得分为 56.8,其主要结果是,奶牛场几乎发挥了其一半的潜力,为粮食安全做出了充分的贡献。此外,根据 Tobit 模型,FFSI 分数受牧场主的年龄和教育水平、信贷使用情况、牲畜单位、饲料作物面积和牛奶销售渠道的影响很大。FFSI 对权重是稳健的,对归一化是敏感的,社会可持续性维度会导致指数得分的最大变化。基于这些发现,本研究通过确定保障粮食安全所需的优先领域,提出了许多农业政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Discretion and Obligation Across Volunteering and Caring: Shining Light on Non-Voluntary Carers in the Retiring Encore Segment 志愿服务和护理中的自由裁量权和义务:照亮退休安康群体中的非志愿照护者
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03398-5
John Rodwell, Dianne Johnson, Lara Thynne

This paper seeks to understand pathways into volunteering in the encore life stage and contribute to policy interventions. There is a need for more clarity regarding the delineation of formal volunteering from informal volunteering and from adult kin-caring. A sample of 4,464 respondents from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia survey was analysed using a set of logistic regressions, to explore three frames of volunteering —substitution (of former work time), complementary focus (gradual adjustment to less paid work or other change in personal circumstance), and obligation (compulsion to provide care or unpaid labour). Results indicate that formal volunteering was largely discretionary and a result of substitution, that informal volunteering, particularly caring for children, was complementary and partly obligatory, and the area of greatest potential policy intervention, adult kin caring was found to be largely obligatory.

本文旨在了解在安康生活阶段参与志愿服务的途径,并为政策干预做出贡献。有必要进一步明确正规志愿服务与非正规志愿服务以及成人亲属照顾之间的界限。我们利用一套逻辑回归分析了澳大利亚家庭、收入和劳动力动态调查中的 4464 个受访者样本,探讨了志愿服务的三个框架--替代(以前的工作时间)、补充重点(逐渐适应较少的有偿工作或个人情况的其他变化)和义务(被迫提供照顾或无偿劳动)。结果表明,正规志愿服务在很大程度上是自行决定的,是替代的结果;非正规志愿服务,特别是照顾儿童,是补充性的,部分是义务性的;而最有可能进行政策干预的领域--成人亲属照顾被认为在很大程度上是义务性的。
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引用次数: 0
Re-Examining the Direction of the Relationship Between Optimism and Subjective Well-Being 重新审视乐观主义与主观幸福感之间关系的方向
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03402-y
Mohsen Joshanloo

While optimism is often assumed to predict subjective well-being, few longitudinal studies have actually examined the directionality of this relationship over time. To address this gap, the current study examined within-person associations between optimism and facets of subjective well-being (i.e., negative affect, positive affect, life satisfaction) over time using data from the Health and Retirement Study. The sample consisted of American adults surveyed every four years between 2008 and 2020, with a mean age of approximately 62 years at baseline. Results of the random intercept cross-lagged panel model showed reciprocal within-person associations: Increases in life satisfaction and positive affect predicted future increases in optimism, and vice versa. Negative affect and optimism were also negatively and reciprocally related. Subjective well-being was a stronger predictor of future optimism than vice versa. This study challenges the common notion that subjective well-being is merely an outcome of optimism, showing instead that subjective well-being also predicts future optimism. The results also highlight the value of taking a within-person perspective to clarify directionality in the association between psychological constructs.

虽然乐观主义通常被认为可以预测主观幸福感,但很少有纵向研究真正考察了这种关系随着时间推移的方向性。为了填补这一空白,本研究利用健康与退休研究(Health and Retirement Study)的数据,考察了乐观情绪与主观幸福感(即消极情绪、积极情绪、生活满意度)之间的人际关系。样本由 2008 年至 2020 年间每四年接受一次调查的美国成年人组成,基线平均年龄约为 62 岁。随机截距交叉滞后面板模型的结果显示了人与人之间的相互关系:生活满意度和积极情绪的提高预示着未来乐观情绪的提高,反之亦然。消极情绪和乐观情绪也呈负相关,且互为因果。主观幸福感对未来乐观情绪的预测作用更强,反之亦然。这项研究对 "主观幸福感仅仅是乐观情绪的结果 "这一普遍观点提出了质疑,它表明主观幸福感也能预测未来的乐观情绪。研究结果还凸显了从人内视角来澄清心理结构之间关联的方向性的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Social Exclusion Among Older Adults: A Multilevel Analysis for 10 European Countries 老年人中的社会排斥:10 个欧洲国家的多层次分析
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-21 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03369-w
Fernanda Juma, Ana Fernández-Sainz

Demographic ageing has influenced the well-being of the population. Issues that need to be addressed in terms of generating vulnerability in older adults (aged 60+) include social exclusion. Using the longitudinal Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), this study proposes a measure of social exclusion among older adults represented by five underlying dimensions: exclusion from material resources, from social relationships, from basic services, from participation in civic activities and from neighbourhoods. This measure is then associated with individual and collective factors using a multilevel linear regression model, which captures differences between countries and individuals over three years. The main results indicate that being female, having a high level of education, and living in an urban area are significant factors in the risk of social exclusion. Additionally, trust in government has a negative association while the Gini coefficient variable and belonging to Southern and Eastern European countries have positive associations. These regions are characterised by a more family-based, dependent culture, but exclusion in old age is also reflected in different political, historical, and socio-cultural contexts over time, which makes older people less likely to be socially excluded today.

人口老龄化影响了人口的福祉。在造成老年人(60 岁以上)脆弱性方面需要解决的问题包括社会排斥。本研究利用 "欧洲健康、老龄化和退休纵向调查"(SHARE),提出了老年人社会排斥的衡量标准,包括五个基本维度:物质资源排斥、社会关系排斥、基本服务排斥、公民活动参与排斥和邻里排斥。然后,利用多层次线性回归模型将这一衡量标准与个人和集体因素联系起来,该模型捕捉了三年内国家和个人之间的差异。主要结果表明,女性、高教育水平和居住在城市地区是影响社会排斥风险的重要因素。此外,对政府的信任度呈负相关,而基尼系数变量和属于南欧和东欧国家则呈正相关。这些地区的特点是以家庭为基础、依赖性较强的文化,但随着时间的推移,不同的政治、历史和社会文化背景也会反映出老年人受排斥的情况,这使得老年人如今受社会排斥的可能性较小。
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引用次数: 0
Inequality Belief Systems: What They Look Like, How to Study Them, and Why They Matter 不平等信仰体系:它们是什么样子,如何研究它们,为什么它们很重要
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03352-5
Arturo Bertero, Gonzalo Franetovic, Jonathan J. B. Mijs

This paper purports to enrich the burgeoning field of research on the content of people’s beliefs about inequality by studying the structure of these beliefs. We develop a theoretical and methodological framework that combines Correlational Class Analysis and Exploratory Graph Analysis, and we test it empirically with original survey data collected in the United States and the Netherlands (n = 2,501 and 1,618). Using CCA, we identify groups of individuals who share construals of inequality, while EGA allows us to model these structures as inequality belief systems, which are networks of perceptions, explanations and attitudes about inequality. Results reveal the presence of two distinct belief systems in each country. These systems exhibit structural differences and are related to different sociodemographic factors in the U.S. and the Netherlands. Moreover, we show that inequality belief systems are more socially patterned in the former country. Finally, we demonstrate that belief systems, in both countries, are associated with different levels of support for redistribution. We discuss the significance of our findings for the politics of inequality and stress that overlooking attitudinal structures impedes a full understanding of people’s views on inequality and their support for redistribution.

本文旨在通过研究人们对不平等的信念的结构,丰富正在蓬勃发展的人们对不平等的信念内容的研究领域。我们建立了一个理论和方法框架,将相关类分析和探索性图表分析相结合,并利用在美国和荷兰收集的原始调查数据(n = 2,501 和 1,618)对其进行了实证检验。利用 CCA,我们识别出了对不平等有共同理解的个人群体,而 EGA 则使我们能够将这些结构建模为不平等信念系统,即对不平等的认知、解释和态度网络。结果显示,每个国家都存在两种不同的信念体系。在美国和荷兰,这些体系表现出结构上的差异,并与不同的社会人口因素相关。此外,我们还发现,美国和荷兰的不平等信念体系更具社会模式化。最后,我们证明,在这两个国家,信念体系与支持再分配的不同水平相关。我们讨论了我们的研究结果对不平等政治的意义,并强调忽视态度结构会妨碍全面了解人们对不平等的看法及其对再分配的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Model-Based Estimation of Small Area Dissimilarity Indexes: An Application to Sex Occupational Segregation in Spain 基于模型的小区域差异指数估算:西班牙性别职业隔离的应用
IF 3.1 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11205-024-03393-w
María Bugallo, Domingo Morales, María Dolores Esteban, Maria Chiara Pagliarella

This paper introduces a new statistical methodology for estimating Duncan dissimilarity indexes of occupational segregation by sex in administrative areas and time periods. Given that direct estimators of the proportion of men (or women) in the group of employed people for each occupational sector are not accurate enough in the considered estimation domains, we fit to them a three-fold Fay–Herriot model with random effects at three hierarchical levels. Based on the fitted area-level model, empirical best predictors of the cited proportions and Duncan segregation indexes are derived. A parametric bootstrap algorithm is implemented to estimate the mean squared error. Some simulation studies are included to show how the proposed predictors have a good balance between bias and mean squared error. Data from the Spanish Labour Force Survey are used to illustrate the performance of the new statistical methodology and to give some light about the current state of sex occupational segregation by province in Spain. Research claims that there is a sex gap that persists despite advances in the inclusion of women in the labour market in recent years and that is related to the unequal sharing of family responsabilities and the stigmas still present in modern societies.

本文介绍了一种新的统计方法,用于估算行政区域和时间段内按性别划分的职业隔离的邓肯差异指数。鉴于在所考虑的估算领域中,直接估算各职业部门就业人口中男性(或女性)的比例不够准确,我们在三个层次上拟合了一个带有随机效应的三重费-赫里奥特模型。根据拟合的地区级模型,得出了引用比例和邓肯隔离指数的经验最佳预测值。采用参数引导算法估算均方误差。其中还包括一些模拟研究,以说明所提出的预测指标如何在偏差和均方误差之间取得良好平衡。西班牙劳动力调查的数据被用来说明新统计方法的性能,并揭示西班牙各省性别职业隔离的现状。研究表明,尽管近年来在将妇女纳入劳动力市场方面取得了进展,但性别差距依然存在,这与家庭责任分担不平等以及现代社会依然存在的污名化现象有关。
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引用次数: 0
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Social Indicators Research
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