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Empirically exploring the veracity of the new stakeholder perspective in strategy: Documenting workforce rents 实证探索战略中新利益相关者视角的真实性:记录劳动力租金
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3612
Jeroen Neckebrouck, David Kryscynski
Without compelling empirical proxies for economic profits, we may need to reconsider the decades of empirical research purporting to inform our theories of competitive advantage. The new stakeholder perspective suggests that stakeholders may capture significant shares of the firm's economic profits that should be incorporated into these proxies. In this article, we propose a novel empirical approach to measuring stakeholder rents and then apply our approach to measure workforce rents across the population of all Belgian firms employing workers from 2008 to 2016. Our results demonstrate substantial variance in workforce rents among firms, with some firms allowing most of the economic profits they generate to flow to the workforce. We discuss the implications of our findings in detail and lay out a pathway for future research.This article examines the extent to which companies pay their workforces above (below) what the labor market demands as a way of exploring how much of the company's economic profits go to stakeholders other than shareholders. We demonstrate a wide range of over (under) payments to workforces in a large sample of Belgian firms from 2008 to 2016. One of the important contributions of our paper is developing a method to determine over (under) payments for the workforce, but our method can also be applied to other stakeholders. We hope our work provides an empirical approach for others to explore how stakeholders capture portions of the economic profits that companies create.
如果没有令人信服的经济利润经验代用指标,我们可能需要重新考虑数十年来旨在为我们的竞争优势理论提供依据的经验研究。新的利益相关者视角表明,利益相关者可能从公司的经济利润中获取重要份额,这些份额应被纳入这些代用指标。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的实证方法来衡量利益相关者租金,然后运用我们的方法来衡量 2008 年至 2016 年期间比利时所有雇佣工人的企业的劳动力租金。我们的结果表明,企业之间的劳动力租金存在很大差异,有些企业允许其产生的大部分经济利润流向劳动力。我们详细讨论了研究结果的影响,并为今后的研究指明了方向。本文研究了企业向劳动力支付高于(低于)劳动力市场需求的薪酬的程度,以此来探讨企业的经济利润有多少流向了股东以外的利益相关者。我们在 2008 年至 2016 年期间的大量比利时企业样本中发现,企业向员工支付的薪酬在很大程度上存在过高(过低)的情况。我们论文的重要贡献之一是开发了一种方法来确定对劳动力的超额(不足)支付,但我们的方法也可应用于其他利益相关者。我们希望我们的工作能为其他人提供一种实证方法,以探索利益相关者如何获取公司创造的部分经济利润。
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引用次数: 0
Do corporations benefit from divesting to private equity acquirers? An empirical investigation 企业从向私募股权收购者剥离资产中获益吗?实证调查
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3611
P. Nary
From the perspective of the divesting firm, do divestitures to private equity (PE) acquirers perform differently from divestitures to corporate acquirers? If so, why? This question‐based, empirical study shows that on average, divestitures to PE acquirers correlate with lower divesting firms' shareholder returns than divestitures to corporate acquirers. The study explores whether these lower returns when divesting to PE acquirers are explained by the differences in PE acquirers' distinct value creation strategies when it comes to target selection, ownership, or transaction timing. The results reveal that divesting firms' lower shareholder returns when divesting to PE acquirers are more likely correlated with differences in value creation by PE acquirers due to their distinct ownership and transaction timing strategies, but not their selection strategies.Private equity (PE) firms are prominent buyers of corporate divestitures, and PE firms' strategies for creating value when acquiring divested businesses tend to differ from those of corporate buyers. Yet the performance implications, from the perspective of the divesting firm, of divesting a business to a PE acquirer versus a corporate acquirer are not clear. In this study, I explore the differences in returns to firms divesting to PE acquirers versus those divesting to corporate acquirers. First, on average, divesting firms' returns are lower when divesting to PE acquirers. Second, these lower returns are more likely to occur when the PE acquirer may be expecting to create less value, or when firms choose to divest at a suboptimal time.
从资产剥离公司的角度来看,向私募股权(PE)收购方进行的资产剥离与向公司收购方进行的资产剥离表现是否不同?如果是,为什么?这项以问题为基础的实证研究表明,平均而言,与剥离给公司收购方相比,剥离给私募股权收购方的资产与剥离公司股东回报率较低相关。本研究探讨了向私募股权收购者剥离资产时,股东回报率较低的原因是否在于私募股权收购者在目标选择、所有权或交易时机方面采取了不同的价值创造策略。研究结果表明,剥离企业在剥离给 PE 收购者时较低的股东回报率更有可能与 PE 收购者在价值创造方面的差异有关,原因在于其不同的所有权和交易时机策略,而非其选择策略。私募股权(PE)公司是企业剥离资产的主要买家,而 PE 公司在收购剥离企业时的价值创造策略往往与企业买家不同。然而,从剥离企业的角度来看,将企业剥离给私募股权收购方与企业收购方对企业绩效的影响并不明确。在本研究中,笔者探讨了企业剥离给私募股权收购方与剥离给企业收购方的收益差异。首先,平均而言,剥离给 PE 收购者的企业收益较低。其次,当私募股权收购者预期创造的价值较低时,或当企业选择在次优时机剥离时,这些较低的回报率更有可能发生。
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引用次数: 0
Making the most of AI and machine learning in organizations and strategy research: Supervised machine learning, causal inference, and matching models 在组织和战略研究中充分利用人工智能和机器学习:监督机器学习、因果推理和匹配模型
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3604
Jason M. Rathje, R. Katila, Philipp Reineke
We spotlight the use of machine learning in two‐stage matching models to deal with sample selection bias. Recent advances in machine learning have unlocked new empirical possibilities for inductive theorizing. In contrast, the opportunities to use machine learning in regression studies involving large‐scale data with many covariates and a causal claim are still less well understood. Our core contribution is to guide researchers in the use of machine learning approaches to choosing matching variables for enhanced causal inference in propensity score matching models. We use an analysis of real‐world technology invention data of public–private relationships to demonstrate the method and find that machine learning can provide an alternative approach to ad hoc matching. However, as with any method, it is also important to understand its limitations.This article explores the use of machine learning to enhance decision‐making, particularly in addressing sample selection bias in large‐scale datasets. The rapid development of AI and machine learning offers new, powerful tools especially for digital ecosystems where complex data and causal relationships are complex to analyze. We offer managers and stakeholders insight into the effective integration of machine learning for selecting critical variables in propensity score matching models. Through a detailed examination of real‐world data on technology inventions within public–private relationships, we demonstrate the effectiveness of machine learning as a robust alternative to traditional matching methods.
我们重点介绍了机器学习在两阶段匹配模型中的应用,以解决样本选择偏差问题。机器学习的最新进展为归纳理论化提供了新的经验可能性。相比之下,在涉及具有许多协变量和因果主张的大规模数据的回归研究中使用机器学习的机会还不太为人所知。我们的核心贡献是指导研究人员使用机器学习方法选择匹配变量,以增强倾向得分匹配模型中的因果推断。我们利用对真实世界中公私关系技术发明数据的分析来演示该方法,并发现机器学习可以提供一种替代临时匹配的方法。然而,与任何方法一样,了解其局限性也很重要。本文探讨了如何利用机器学习提高决策水平,尤其是解决大规模数据集中的样本选择偏差问题。人工智能和机器学习的快速发展为数字生态系统提供了新的强大工具,尤其是在复杂数据和因果关系难以分析的情况下。我们为管理者和利益相关者提供了有效整合机器学习的见解,以便在倾向得分匹配模型中选择关键变量。通过对公私关系中技术发明的真实数据进行详细研究,我们证明了机器学习作为传统匹配方法的有力替代品的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Setting the tone to get their way: An attention‐based approach to how narcissistic CEOs influence the board of directors to take more risk 设定基调,以达到自己的目的:自恋型首席执行官如何以注意力为基础影响董事会承担更多风险
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3610
Christopher S. Tuggle, Cameron J. Borgholthaus, Peter D. Harms, Jonathan P. O'Brien
Research SummaryUpper echelons research has generated insights into the organizational consequences of CEO narcissism. However, fewer studies have empirically attended to the mechanisms through which these consequences occur. Using the attention‐based view, we introduce a process model examining how CEO narcissism is linked to corporate risk‐taking through the board of director discussion tone of risk‐taking during board meetings. We further note that narcissistic CEOs have an increased ability to do so when they are appointed to be board chair. We find strong support for each of our hypotheses by utilizing a unique data set of corporate board meeting transcripts encompassing 88 public firms and 197 CEOs over 20 years. Our results suggest that narcissistic CEOs are adept at controlling the attentional foci of boards of directors to get their way.Managerial SummaryOur study offers an explanation as to how CEO narcissism influences firm risk‐taking behavior. Specifically, we demonstrate that narcissistic CEOs are prone to drive board discussions about risk‐taking to hold a positive tone—especially when they also serve as board chair—thereby enabling them to allocate increased resources toward risk‐taking strategies. Through an extensive analysis of board meeting transcripts spanning two decades across 88 companies, we illustrate how narcissistic CEOs wield substantial influence in molding board conversations to mirror their own pro‐risk inclinations. This insight further considers the importance of understanding CEO behavior in guiding risk management strategies in the future.
研究摘要上层社会的研究对首席执行官自恋的组织后果产生了深刻的见解。然而,对这些后果的发生机制进行实证关注的研究较少。利用基于注意力的观点,我们引入了一个过程模型,研究首席执行官的自恋如何通过董事会会议期间关于风险承担的讨论基调与公司的风险承担相联系。我们进一步指出,自恋型首席执行官在被任命为董事会主席后,其承担风险的能力会增强。我们利用一个独特的公司董事会会议记录数据集,涵盖了 20 年间 88 家上市公司和 197 位首席执行官,发现我们的每一个假设都得到了强有力的支持。我们的研究结果表明,自恋型首席执行官善于控制董事会的注意力焦点,以达到自己的目的。管理总结我们的研究为首席执行官的自恋如何影响公司的冒险行为提供了解释。具体来说,我们证明了自恋型首席执行官很容易促使董事会在讨论风险承担时保持积极的基调--尤其是当他们同时担任董事会主席时--从而使他们能够为风险承担战略分配更多的资源。通过对 88 家公司长达 20 年的董事会会议记录进行广泛分析,我们说明了自恋型首席执行官是如何发挥巨大影响力,使董事会的讨论反映出他们自己的亲风险倾向的。这一见解进一步说明了了解首席执行官的行为对指导未来风险管理战略的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Giving up learning from failures? An examination of learning from one's own failures in the context of heart surgeons 放弃从失败中学习?从心脏外科医生的失败中汲取教训的研究
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3609
Sunkee Lee, Jisoo Park
We reassess existing theories on individual failure learning and propose an inverted-U-shaped relationship between an individual's accumulated failures and learning, based on a theoretical framework that jointly considers the opportunity, motivation, and perceived ability to learn. Using data on 307 California-based cardiothoracic surgeons who performed coronary artery bypass graft surgeries in 133 hospitals between 2003 and 2018, we find compelling evidence that individuals reach a threshold at which they discontinue learning from their own failures. We also find that this threshold is higher for surgeons who had higher perceived ability to learn. This article aims to shed new light on the relationship between individuals' failure experience and their learning, and advance our understanding of the microfoundations of organizational learning, an important basis of firm performance.
我们重新评估了关于个体失败学习的现有理论,并基于共同考虑学习机会、动机和感知能力的理论框架,提出了个体累积失败与学习之间的倒 U 型关系。通过对 2003 年至 2018 年间在 133 家医院进行冠状动脉旁路移植手术的 307 名加利福尼亚心胸外科医生的数据进行分析,我们发现了令人信服的证据,即个体达到一个阈值时,就会停止从自己的失败中学习。我们还发现,对于那些感知学习能力较高的外科医生来说,这一阈值更高。本文旨在揭示个人失败经历与学习之间的新关系,并推进我们对组织学习这一企业绩效重要基础的微观基础的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Multimarket contact between partners and strategic alliance survival 合作伙伴之间的多市场接触与战略联盟的生存
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3607
Tadhg Ryan‐Charleton, Robert J. Galavan
Research SummaryThe impact of multimarket contact (MMC) between partners on strategic alliance survival is unclear, even though recent studies have suggested that MMC increases the likelihood of alliance formation. Our study investigates this issue by integrating two mechanisms occurring between multimarket firms: mutual forbearance and technological resource imitation. We argue that MMC between partners deters opportunism in alliances via mutual forbearance, resulting in a positive effect on the likelihood of strategic alliance survival. We also suggest that the positive effect is weakened in two settings with higher risks of technological resource imitation: technological overlap between partners and the presence of R&D activities in an alliance. Evidence from strategic alliances in the global semiconductor industry supports these conclusions.Managerial SummaryRecent research has shown that firms encountering each other in multiple markets are more likely to form strategic alliances, but it is unclear whether these firms are likely to stick together. Our theory suggests that the threat of broad retaliation limits opportunism and increases the likelihood of alliance survival when partners encounter each other in multiple markets. Nonetheless, in settings where partners have similar technologies, or in alliances involving R&D activities, their ability and incentives to copy each other's technological resources offsets the positive effect of multimarket contact on alliance survival. We study strategic alliances in the global semiconductor industry and find evidence consistent with these arguments.
研究摘要尽管最近的研究表明多市场接触会增加联盟形成的可能性,但合作伙伴之间的多市场接触(MMC)对战略联盟生存的影响尚不清楚。我们的研究通过整合多市场企业间的两种机制:相互忍让和技术资源模仿来研究这一问题。我们认为,合作伙伴之间的多市场机制通过相互忍让阻止了联盟中的机会主义,从而对战略联盟存续的可能性产生了积极影响。我们还认为,在技术资源模仿风险较高的两种情况下,这种积极效应会被削弱:合作伙伴之间的技术重叠以及联盟中存在研发活动。来自全球半导体行业战略联盟的证据支持了这些结论。管理总结近期的研究表明,在多个市场中相互遭遇的企业更有可能结成战略联盟,但这些企业是否有可能团结一致尚不清楚。我们的理论表明,当合作伙伴在多个市场上相遇时,广泛报复的威胁会限制机会主义,增加联盟存续的可能性。然而,在合作伙伴拥有相似技术的情况下,或者在涉及研发活动的联盟中,它们相互复制对方技术资源的能力和动机抵消了多市场接触对联盟生存的积极影响。我们研究了全球半导体行业的战略联盟,发现了与上述论点一致的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Pipeline hiring's effects on the human capital and performance of new recruits 管道招聘对新聘人员人力资本和绩效的影响
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3605
R. Brymer, J. Paraskevas, Matthew A. Josefy, Lisa Ellram
Pipeline hiring, repeatedly hiring individuals from the same external source organization, is a common recruiting practice. Yet, whether this pipeline approach improves incoming human capital quality or performance has limited empirical evidence. We argue that, in cooperative source‐hiring organization contexts, pipelines reduce the information asymmetries present in labor markets in a way that both attracts individuals with higher pre‐entry human capital and predicts postentry performance that surpasses pre‐entry expectations. In the context of particularly intense recruiting competition—American college football—we test and find support for these hypotheses. We also probe key boundary conditions, specifically discontinuity, geographic proximity, and factor market competition that highlight the limits of when the informational advantage is more or less salient.Organizations often recruit through pipelines ‐ repeatedly hiring new workers from the same sources, such as universities or supply partners. Despite how common pipeline hiring is, we have little evidence to suggest if this practice helps hire more capable workers. Using rich data from American college football, we find that players who are successfully recruited through a pipeline tend to be rated as higher potential before joining their college team and perform better, holding their potential constant, in their collegiate career than players who joined from a standalone source. We argue that these benefits come from information flows between recruiting organizations, alumni, and prospective workers. When conditions make these information flows less exclusive, more interrupted, or redundant, we find evidence that the typical pipeline recruiting benefits diminish.
管道招聘(Pipeline hiring),即反复从同一外部来源组织招聘人员,是一种常见的招聘做法。然而,这种管道式方法是否能提高流入人力资本的质量或绩效,经验证据却很有限。我们认为,在合作来源-招聘组织的背景下,管道减少了劳动力市场中的信息不对称,从而既吸引了入职前人力资本较高的个人,又预测了入职后的绩效会超过入职前的预期。在招聘竞争尤为激烈的美国大学橄榄球赛中,我们对这些假设进行了检验并发现了支持。我们还探究了关键的边界条件,特别是不连续性、地理邻近性和要素市场竞争,这些条件凸显了信息优势何时更突出或更不突出的局限性。企业经常通过管道招聘--从大学或供应合作伙伴等相同来源重复招聘新员工。尽管管道招聘非常普遍,但我们几乎没有证据表明这种做法是否有助于招聘到更有能力的员工。通过使用来自美国大学橄榄球队的丰富数据,我们发现,通过管道招聘成功的球员在加入大学球队之前往往被评为潜力较高的球员,而且在潜力不变的情况下,他们在大学生涯中的表现要好于通过独立渠道加入的球员。我们认为,这些优势来自于招聘组织、校友和潜在员工之间的信息流。当条件使得这些信息流的排他性降低、中断或冗余时,我们发现有证据表明,典型的渠道招募效益会降低。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic decision‐making at platform transitions: The case of Nokia (2010–2011) 平台转型期的战略决策:诺基亚案例(2010-2011 年)
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3608
Timo O. Vuori, M. Tushman
We develop new theory on incumbent firms' strategic decision‐making and the associated emotional dynamics at platform transitions. Based on in‐depth interviews with Nokia's senior leaders about their decision to adopt the Windows platform in 2011, we suggest that highly capable platform companies' entry into the established phone industry invalidated senior leaders' long‐held core assumptions about the industry, triggering existential anxiety and stunting self‐regulation. Distinct mechanisms then influenced senior leaders' emotions toward external platform options—myopic appraisals of firm competitiveness inside a platform (vs. platform competitiveness against other platforms), appraisals of changing firm boundaries, and emotional resonance of potential partners. These emotions contributed to emotional drift, with top managers ultimately favoring the emotionally attractive option. Our theorizing extends theory on platforms, strategy, and emotion.This research provides fresh insights into how emotions play a crucial role in incumbent firms' strategic choices, especially in the context of evolving technology platforms and major industry shifts. Our research focused on Nokia's 2011 decision to adopt the Windows platform. We discovered that when new players, like platform companies, enter a market, they can unsettle longstanding beliefs, causing anxiety and decision‐making challenges among top management. Specifically, we found that executives often focus too narrowly on their firm's ability to compete within a new platform rather than the platform's overall competitiveness. Additionally, changes in company boundaries and the emotional appeal of potential partners significantly influence these decisions. Executives' analyses emotionally drift such that they start favoring the emotionally attractive options.
我们就在位企业的战略决策以及平台过渡时期的相关情感动态提出了新的理论。基于对诺基亚高层领导在 2011 年决定采用 Windows 平台的深入访谈,我们认为,高能力平台公司进入成熟的手机行业使高层领导长期以来对该行业的核心假设失效,引发了生存焦虑并阻碍了自我调节。随后,不同的机制影响了高层领导对外部平台选择的情绪--对公司在平台内部竞争力(相对于平台对其他平台的竞争力)的近视评价、对公司边界变化的评价以及对潜在合作伙伴的情感共鸣。这些情感因素导致了情感漂移,高层管理者最终倾向于具有情感吸引力的选择。我们的理论研究扩展了有关平台、战略和情感的理论。这项研究为我们提供了新的视角,让我们了解情感是如何在现有企业的战略选择中发挥关键作用的,尤其是在不断发展的技术平台和重大行业变革的背景下。我们的研究侧重于诺基亚 2011 年采用 Windows 平台的决策。我们发现,当平台公司等新参与者进入市场时,他们可能会打破长期以来的观念,从而引起高层管理者的焦虑和决策挑战。具体来说,我们发现高管们往往过于狭隘地关注公司在新平台中的竞争能力,而不是平台的整体竞争力。此外,公司边界的变化和潜在合作伙伴的情感吸引力也会对这些决策产生重大影响。高管们的分析在情感上会发生偏移,从而开始倾向于具有情感吸引力的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Escaping the patent trolls: The impact of non‐practicing entity litigation on firm innovation strategies 逃离专利巨魔:非执业实体诉讼对企业创新战略的影响
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3606
Kenneth G. Huang, Mei‐Xuan Li, Carl Hsin‐Han Shen, Yanzhi Wang
Research SummaryNon‐practicing entities (NPEs) are firms that accumulate and acquire patents but do not further develop or implement the patented inventions (known as patent trolling). NPEs seek to receive royalties or profits through out‐of‐court settlements in patent infringement cases. We examine how firms targeted by NPEs in NPE‐initiated litigations (i.e., target firms) shift their innovation strategies and trajectories in response to heightened litigation risks. We theorize and show that after the initial lawsuit, target firms draw more upon their in‐house technologies to reduce the legal ground for further lawsuits. Furthermore, nontarget firms in related technology areas shift their innovation activities away from those of target firms under high NPE litigation risks. These effects are more pronounced with higher innovation costs and under more competitive product markets.Managerial SummaryNon‐practicing entities (NPEs) are known as patent trolls that accumulate and acquire patents but do not further develop or implement these patented inventions. These patent trolls aim to obtain royalties or profits through out‐of‐court settlements in patent infringement cases. We investigate how firms targeted by patent trolls in litigations (i.e., target firms) change their innovation strategies and trajectories to deal with increased NPE litigation risks. After the initial lawsuit, we find that these target firms use their in‐house technologies more to reduce the legal ground for future lawsuits. Moreover, nontarget firms in related technology areas move their innovation activities away from those of target firms under high litigation risks. These effects are stronger when innovation costs are higher and under more competitive product markets.
研究摘要非执业实体(NPEs)是指积累和获得专利,但不进一步开发或实施专利发明的公司(称为专利拖网)。非专利实体试图通过专利侵权案件的庭外和解获得专利使用费或利润。我们研究了在 NPE 发起的诉讼中被 NPE 盯上的公司(即目标公司)如何转变其创新战略和轨迹,以应对日益加剧的诉讼风险。我们从理论上推断并证明,在最初的诉讼之后,目标企业会更多地利用内部技术来减少进一步诉讼的法律依据。此外,相关技术领域的非目标企业也会在 NPE 诉讼风险较高的情况下将其创新活动从目标企业的创新活动中转移出来。在创新成本较高和产品市场竞争较激烈的情况下,这些效应会更加明显。管理总结非执业实体(NPE)被称为专利巨头,他们积累并获取专利,但并不进一步开发或实施这些专利发明。这些专利流氓旨在通过专利侵权案件的庭外和解获取专利使用费或利润。我们研究了在诉讼中被专利巨头盯上的企业(即目标企业)如何改变其创新战略和轨迹,以应对日益增加的非专利权人诉讼风险。我们发现,在最初的诉讼之后,这些目标公司会更多地使用内部技术,以减少未来诉讼的法律依据。此外,在高诉讼风险下,相关技术领域的非目标企业会将其创新活动转移到目标企业之外。在创新成本较高和产品市场竞争更激烈的情况下,这些效应会更强。
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引用次数: 0
Accentuate the positive? Strategic negativity amid the hazard of high expectations 强调积极?在高期望值的危害中采取战略性消极态度
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3603
Owen N. Parker, Cole E. Short, Varkey K. Titus, Ke Gong, Peter Inho Nahm
Research SummaryWhile previous organizational impression mnagement (OIM) research focuses on highlighting firms in a favorable light, we explore CEOs' use of “strategic negativity” to manage expectations. We draw on OIM's psychological roots to predict that despite pressure to “be positive,” when CEOs perceive stakeholders are motivated to raise their expectations and have an opportunity to do so, CEOs strategically use negativity to counteract this anticipated expectation increase. We test our predictions on 7330 quarterly earnings calls from 370 publicly traded firms (2008–2019), examining how the “motive” of a positive material earnings surprise and “opportunity” of a new fiscal year jointly increase CEO negativity in prepared remarks. We elaborate the wide applicability of strategic negativity, the “other side” of the OIM phenomenon.Managerial SummaryIn contrast to the prevailing view that CEOs usually “positively spin” the firm's situation to stakeholders, we investigate how CEOs strategically use negativity to counteract stakeholder optimism, provided CEOs perceive expectations are likely to rocket upward. We argue that positive news represents a “motive” and a chance to reflect represents an “opportunity,” and that together they risk raising expectations. Analyzing 7330 quarterly earnings calls of 370 companies (2008–2019), we specifically examined how both (1) a positive earnings surprise and (2) a new fiscal year force CEOs out of their positivity comfort zone and encourage them to be strategically negative in earnings call remarks, to try to lower stakeholder expectations. Our results support this view and pave the way for future research.
研究摘要以往的组织印象管理(OIM)研究侧重于突出公司的正面形象,而我们则探讨了首席执行官使用 "战略性消极 "来管理期望的情况。我们从组织印象管理的心理学根源出发,预测尽管存在 "积极 "的压力,但当首席执行官认为利益相关者有动机提高他们的期望值并有机会这样做时,首席执行官会战略性地使用消极性来抵消预期期望值的提高。我们在 370 家上市公司(2008-2019 年)的 7330 次季度收益电话会议上检验了我们的预测,研究了积极的重大盈利惊喜的 "动机 "和新财年的 "机会 "如何共同提高首席执行官在准备好的发言中的消极性。我们阐述了战略消极性的广泛适用性,即 OIM 现象的 "另一面"。管理学摘要与首席执行官通常向利益相关者 "积极转述 "公司情况的普遍观点不同,我们研究了首席执行官如何战略性地利用消极性来抵消利益相关者的乐观情绪,前提是首席执行官认为预期可能会急剧上升。我们认为,正面消息代表着一种 "动机",反思机会代表着一种 "机遇",两者结合在一起就有可能抬高预期。通过分析 370 家公司的 7330 次季度财报电话会议(2008-2019 年),我们特别研究了(1)积极的盈利惊喜和(2)新的财政年度如何迫使首席执行官们走出积极的舒适区,并鼓励他们在财报电话会议上发表战略性的消极言论,以试图降低利益相关者的预期。我们的研究结果支持这一观点,并为今后的研究铺平了道路。
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Strategic Management Journal
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