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Finding a road less traveled: Combining analysis and intuition to develop novel problem formulations 寻找少有人走的路将分析与直觉相结合,开发新的问题公式
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3637
Chan Hyung Park
Novel formulations of strategic problems are key to innovation and exploration. Conventional wisdom suggests that intuitive thinking, rather than rational-analytic thinking, facilitates novel problem formulations. This article proposes that intuitive thinking is insufficient and that novel formulations instead depend on sequencing rational-analytic and intuitive thinking across two phases of the problem formulation task. Two experiments using samples of strategists in organizations support the importance of analysis followed by intuition when developing novel problem formulations. This article advances the “both-and” approach to managerial cognition by investigating how harnessing intuition and analysis in combination may lead to a desirable outcome for a managerial task. This approach moves beyond the typical, “either-or” approach to cognition in past studies, which pit analysis against intuition in achieving desirable outcomes.
战略问题的新颖提法是创新和探索的关键。传统观点认为,直觉思维而非理性分析思维有助于新问题的提出。本文提出,直觉思维是不够的,新颖的问题提炼反而取决于在问题提炼任务的两个阶段对理性分析思维和直觉思维进行排序。以组织中的战略家为样本进行的两项实验证明,在制定新颖的问题方案时,先分析后直觉非常重要。本文通过研究如何将直觉和分析结合起来,为管理任务带来理想的结果,推进了管理认知的 "双管齐下 "方法。这种方法超越了以往研究中典型的 "非此即彼 "的认知方法,即在实现理想结果的过程中将分析与直觉对立起来。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of media scrutiny on firms' strategic eschewal of lobbying 媒体监督对企业放弃游说战略的影响
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3633
Jinsil Kim, Miranda J. Welbourne Eleazar, Seung‐Hyun Lee
Research SummaryLobbying allows firms to influence the government to potentially limit firms' costs during product recall crises. However, such lobbying can elicit scrutiny from the media if the lobbying gives the impression that firms wish to save costs at the expense of safety, thereby appearing hypocritical. We theorize that when faced with negative media coverage of product recalls or recall‐related lobbying, firms strategically eschew lobbying to limit further media scrutiny and its associated negative consequences. We test our hypotheses using the US auto industry's lobbying from 2008 to 2022. We provide further depth to our examination of strategic eschewal through 15 supplemental interviews of lobbyists about how the media influences firms' lobbying decisions.Managerial SummaryCompanies may resort to lobbying in efforts to reduce costs related to product recall crises, but such controversial lobbying may also tarnish their image. When confronted with negative media coverage of product recalls, or recall‐related lobbying, companies are more likely to strategically refrain from lobbying to minimize additional, unwanted media spotlight and its associated negative repercussions. Managers should be mindful that even if lobbying may help limit the costs of recalls, it could also cause potential reputational harm. Thus, it is vitally important that managers pay attention to the reputational cues from the media, which can help them determine when lobbying may be problematic and allow them to preemptively refrain from such lobbying.
研究摘要游说使企业能够对政府施加影响,从而在产品召回危机中限制企业的成本。然而,如果游说给人留下企业希望以牺牲安全为代价来节约成本的印象,从而显得虚伪,那么这种游说就会引起媒体的审视。我们的理论是,当面临媒体对产品召回或召回相关游说的负面报道时,企业会战略性地回避游说,以限制媒体的进一步审查及其相关的负面影响。我们利用 2008 年至 2022 年美国汽车行业的游说活动来验证我们的假设。我们还就媒体如何影响企业的游说决策对游说者进行了 15 次补充访谈,从而进一步深化了我们对战略性回避的研究。当遇到媒体对产品召回的负面报道或与召回相关的游说时,企业更有可能战略性地放弃游说,以尽量减少额外的、不必要的媒体关注及其相关的负面影响。管理者应注意,即使游说可能有助于限制召回成本,但也可能造成潜在的声誉损害。因此,管理者必须关注来自媒体的声誉线索,这可以帮助他们判断游说何时可能会产生问题,并使他们能够先发制人地避免此类游说。
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引用次数: 0
Geopolitical volatility and subsidiary investments 地缘政治动荡与子公司投资
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-06-11 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3631
Gilbert Kofi Adarkwah, S. Dorobantu, C. Sabel, Flladina Zilja
We examine how geopolitical volatility—the instability of bilateral political affinity between countries—affects foreign subsidiary investments. Building on prior work that shows that the level of political affinity between countries facilitates foreign investments, we argue that the volatility of political affinity impedes firms' ability to form expectations about stakeholder behavior and reduces subsequent investments in subsidiaries. We further argue that the effect of volatility of political affinity on foreign subsidiary investments is less pronounced when the level of political affinity between countries is high and when the firm has strong political connections at home. Our analyses examine 1054 US firms and their subsidiary investments in 106 countries from 2000 to 2015.Geopolitical risk has emerged as an important factor in foreign investment decisions in recent years. The rise of geopolitical tensions worldwide and the fragmentation of relationships between countries have introduced new dimensions to foreign investment risks. We study the propensity for sudden and unpredictable shifts in the political relationship between countries—that is, volatility of political affinity in their bilateral political relations—and its effect on firms' foreign subsidiary investments. We show that volatility of political affinity negatively affects the number of subsidiaries, employees, and local sales in the host country because when bilateral relations change suddenly, it is more difficult for multinational firms to predict how stakeholder behavior will impact the performance of their investments.
我们研究了地缘政治的不稳定性--国家间双边政治亲和力的不稳定性--如何影响外国子公司的投资。此前的研究表明,国家间的政治亲和力水平有利于对外投资,在此基础上,我们认为政治亲和力的不稳定性会阻碍企业形成对利益相关者行为的预期,从而减少对子公司的后续投资。我们还认为,当国家间政治亲和力水平较高且企业在国内拥有强大的政治关系时,政治亲和力波动对外国子公司投资的影响就不那么明显。我们的分析研究了 2000 年至 2015 年间 1054 家美国公司及其在 106 个国家的子公司投资。近年来,地缘政治风险已成为外商投资决策的重要因素。全球地缘政治紧张局势的加剧和国家间关系的分化为外商投资风险带来了新的层面。我们研究了国家间政治关系突然发生不可预测变化的倾向性,即双边政治关系中政治亲和力的波动性及其对企业海外子公司投资的影响。我们的研究表明,政治亲和力的不稳定性会对在东道国的子公司数量、员工人数和当地销售额产生负面影响,因为当双边关系突然发生变化时,跨国公司更难预测利益相关者的行为会如何影响其投资业绩。
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引用次数: 0
Do tenure-based voting rights help mitigate the family firm control-growth dilemma? 基于任期的投票权是否有助于缓解家族企业控制权--增长的两难困境?
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3630
Claudia Imperatore, Peter F. Pope
Investment growth in family firms is constrained by family preferences to retain corporate control, which limits outside equity issuance and increases the expropriation risk perceived by external minority shareholders. Tenure-based voting rights (TVRs) weaken the link between voting rights and cash flow rights, facilitating new equity capital issuance without loss of control. We find that publicly listed family firms in Italy adopt TVRs to facilitate the continuation of investment growth while retaining family control. We also find that in family firms with fragile control, investment increases after TVR adoption. Our results indicate that control-enhancing mechanisms such as TVRs can help resolve the control–growth dilemma in family firms.
家族企业的投资增长受制于家族保留企业控制权的偏好,这限制了外部股票发行,增加了外部小股东认为的征用风险。基于任期的投票权(TVR)削弱了投票权与现金流权之间的联系,有利于在不丧失控制权的情况下发行新的股权资本。我们发现,在意大利上市的家族企业会采用任期投票权来促进投资的持续增长,同时保留家族的控制权。我们还发现,在控制权脆弱的家族企业中,采用 TVR 后投资会增加。我们的研究结果表明,TVR 等增强控制权的机制有助于解决家族企业控制权与增长之间的两难问题。
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引用次数: 0
Inventor CEO involvement and firm exploitative and exploratory innovation 发明人首席执行官的参与与企业的开拓性和探索性创新
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3628
Joseph S. Harrison, Steven Boivie, Ithai Stern, Joseph Porac
This study extends recent findings that inventor CEOs increase innovative output in large established firms by examining how their involvement in the innovative process influences the nature of innovations produced. Our theory suggests that inventor CEOs who take a hands‐on approach to innovation lead their firms to engage in more exploitative rather than exploratory innovation. We further posit that this effect is particularly strong for insider inventor CEOs, and especially founders, but weaker for outsiders and when the firm's board has broader industry experience. Using a sample of S&P 1500 firms from 1994 to 2010 and inventor CEOs' engagement in patenting as an indicator of hands‐on involvement, we find considerable support for our predictions.CEOs with hands‐on experience innovating can substantially increase innovative output in large established firms. Yet, we show that inventors who remain directly engaged in their firms' innovation activities as CEO can limit their scope to incremental innovations that exploit existing technologies as opposed to more radical innovations that result in novel product or service offerings. These tendencies are stronger for inventors who come to the CEO position from inside the firm, especially founders, but weaker when the firm's board has broader industry experience. Overall, our study reveals an important tradeoff for large firms of having an inventor as CEO, how hands‐on involvement by inventor CEOs may narrow their firms' innovative trajectories, and how or when these tendencies can be mitigated.
本研究通过考察发明人首席执行官在创新过程中的参与如何影响创新的性质,扩展了最近关于发明人首席执行官增加大型成熟企业创新产出的研究结果。我们的理论认为,对创新采取亲力亲为方式的发明家首席执行官会使其公司进行更多的开发性创新,而不是探索性创新。我们进一步假设,这种效应对于内部发明人首席执行官,尤其是创始人尤为明显,但对于外部人以及公司董事会拥有更广泛行业经验的人则较弱。我们以 1994 年至 2010 年的标准普尔 1500 指数公司为样本,以发明人首席执行官参与专利申请的情况作为亲身参与的指标,发现我们的预测得到了相当大的支持。然而,我们发现,那些作为首席执行官直接参与企业创新活动的发明人,其创新范围可能仅限于利用现有技术的渐进式创新,而不是带来新产品或服务的激进式创新。对于从公司内部升任首席执行官的发明人,尤其是创始人来说,这种倾向更强,但当公司董事会拥有更广泛的行业经验时,这种倾向就会减弱。总之,我们的研究揭示了由发明家担任首席执行官对大型企业的重要权衡、发明家首席执行官的亲身参与可能会如何缩小企业的创新轨迹,以及如何或何时可以缓解这些倾向。
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引用次数: 0
Resource redeployment as an entry advantage in resource-poor settings 在资源匮乏的环境中,资源重新调配是一项入门优势
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-26 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3627
Jasmina Chauvin, Carlos Inoue, Christopher Poliquin
Scarcity of productive factors poses a challenge for firms entering underdeveloped regions. We theorize that incumbent firms can overcome scarcity of skilled human capital in local labor markets by redeploying workers from existing units. We predict that redeployment is more valuable when factor markets exhibit large differences in resource scarcity. Redeployment is also more valuable when output is highly sensitive to worker skill and is responsive to complementarities between labor and other inputs. Important implications are that redeployment can endow firms with superior resources and enable them to enter more markets. Data on sugar mills in Brazil, where a sudden demand boom incentivized expansion, corroborate the predictions. Our research identifies a new mechanism of value-creation from resource redeployment across factor markets.
生产要素的稀缺给进入欠发达地区的企业带来了挑战。我们的理论是,现有企业可以通过从现有单位调配工人来克服当地劳动力市场中熟练人力资本的稀缺性。我们预测,当要素市场在资源稀缺性方面表现出巨大差异时,重新部署更有价值。当产出对工人技能高度敏感并对劳动力和其他投入之间的互补性做出反应时,重新部署也更有价值。重新部署的重要意义在于,重新部署可以赋予企业优势资源,使其能够进入更多市场。巴西糖厂的数据证实了这一预测,在巴西,需求的突然增长刺激了糖厂的扩张。我们的研究发现了跨要素市场资源重新配置创造价值的新机制。
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引用次数: 0
External representations in strategic decision‐making: Understanding strategy's reliance on visuals 战略决策中的外部表征:了解战略对视觉效果的依赖
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3613
Felipe A. Csaszar, Nicole Hinrichs, Mana Heshmati
Research SummaryExternal representations, particularly visuals, are important in strategic decision‐making. However, their pervasiveness and impact are not well understood in the strategy literature. Based on cognitive science research, we identify four cognitive functions crucial to strategic decision‐making that benefit from using external representations. We also propose a conceptual model and propositions that explain how the quality of strategic decision‐making depends on the interactions among task environment, external representations, and managers. We show that external representations influence in predictable ways the boundedly rational process of searching for new strategies. Key determinants include the manager's representational capability and the usability and malleability of the external representation. We discuss implications for users, designers, and teachers of external representations in strategy, as well as suggest avenues for future research.Managerial SummaryThis research points to the pivotal role of external representations, especially visuals, in strategic decision‐making. Drawing from cognitive science, this study identifies four critical cognitive functions that benefit from these external representations—working memory, long‐term memory, pattern recognition, and knowledge transfer. Further, the study highlights that external representations significantly influence the process of strategic decision‐making in predictable ways. Finally, we show that not all external representations are alike in their ease of use and a managers' ability to operate on an external representation, referred to as representational capability, greatly affects the decision‐making quality. The implications extend to users, designers, and educators of external representations, urging attention to the design and use of external representations for improved decision outcomes.
研究摘要外部表征,尤其是视觉效果,在战略决策中非常重要。然而,战略文献中对外部表征的普遍性和影响并不十分了解。基于认知科学研究,我们确定了对战略决策至关重要的四种认知功能,这些功能可从使用外部表征中获益。我们还提出了一个概念模型和命题,解释战略决策的质量如何取决于任务环境、外部表征和管理者之间的相互作用。我们表明,外部表征会以可预测的方式影响寻找新战略的有限理性过程。关键的决定因素包括管理者的表征能力以及外部表征的可用性和可塑性。我们讨论了外部表征对战略用户、设计者和教师的影响,并提出了未来的研究方向。管理总结这项研究指出了外部表征(尤其是视觉效果)在战略决策中的关键作用。本研究从认知科学的角度出发,确定了受益于这些外部表征的四种关键认知功能--工作记忆、长期记忆、模式识别和知识转移。此外,本研究还强调,外部表征会以可预测的方式对战略决策过程产生重大影响。最后,我们表明,并非所有外部表征在易用性方面都是一样的,管理者在外部表征上的操作能力(即表征能力)会极大地影响决策质量。这对外部表征的使用者、设计者和教育者都有影响,促使他们关注外部表征的设计和使用,以改善决策结果。
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引用次数: 0
Empirically exploring the veracity of the new stakeholder perspective in strategy: Documenting workforce rents 实证探索战略中新利益相关者视角的真实性:记录劳动力租金
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3612
Jeroen Neckebrouck, David Kryscynski
Without compelling empirical proxies for economic profits, we may need to reconsider the decades of empirical research purporting to inform our theories of competitive advantage. The new stakeholder perspective suggests that stakeholders may capture significant shares of the firm's economic profits that should be incorporated into these proxies. In this article, we propose a novel empirical approach to measuring stakeholder rents and then apply our approach to measure workforce rents across the population of all Belgian firms employing workers from 2008 to 2016. Our results demonstrate substantial variance in workforce rents among firms, with some firms allowing most of the economic profits they generate to flow to the workforce. We discuss the implications of our findings in detail and lay out a pathway for future research.This article examines the extent to which companies pay their workforces above (below) what the labor market demands as a way of exploring how much of the company's economic profits go to stakeholders other than shareholders. We demonstrate a wide range of over (under) payments to workforces in a large sample of Belgian firms from 2008 to 2016. One of the important contributions of our paper is developing a method to determine over (under) payments for the workforce, but our method can also be applied to other stakeholders. We hope our work provides an empirical approach for others to explore how stakeholders capture portions of the economic profits that companies create.
如果没有令人信服的经济利润经验代用指标,我们可能需要重新考虑数十年来旨在为我们的竞争优势理论提供依据的经验研究。新的利益相关者视角表明,利益相关者可能从公司的经济利润中获取重要份额,这些份额应被纳入这些代用指标。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的实证方法来衡量利益相关者租金,然后运用我们的方法来衡量 2008 年至 2016 年期间比利时所有雇佣工人的企业的劳动力租金。我们的结果表明,企业之间的劳动力租金存在很大差异,有些企业允许其产生的大部分经济利润流向劳动力。我们详细讨论了研究结果的影响,并为今后的研究指明了方向。本文研究了企业向劳动力支付高于(低于)劳动力市场需求的薪酬的程度,以此来探讨企业的经济利润有多少流向了股东以外的利益相关者。我们在 2008 年至 2016 年期间的大量比利时企业样本中发现,企业向员工支付的薪酬在很大程度上存在过高(过低)的情况。我们论文的重要贡献之一是开发了一种方法来确定对劳动力的超额(不足)支付,但我们的方法也可应用于其他利益相关者。我们希望我们的工作能为其他人提供一种实证方法,以探索利益相关者如何获取公司创造的部分经济利润。
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引用次数: 0
Do corporations benefit from divesting to private equity acquirers? An empirical investigation 企业从向私募股权收购者剥离资产中获益吗?实证调查
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3611
P. Nary
From the perspective of the divesting firm, do divestitures to private equity (PE) acquirers perform differently from divestitures to corporate acquirers? If so, why? This question‐based, empirical study shows that on average, divestitures to PE acquirers correlate with lower divesting firms' shareholder returns than divestitures to corporate acquirers. The study explores whether these lower returns when divesting to PE acquirers are explained by the differences in PE acquirers' distinct value creation strategies when it comes to target selection, ownership, or transaction timing. The results reveal that divesting firms' lower shareholder returns when divesting to PE acquirers are more likely correlated with differences in value creation by PE acquirers due to their distinct ownership and transaction timing strategies, but not their selection strategies.Private equity (PE) firms are prominent buyers of corporate divestitures, and PE firms' strategies for creating value when acquiring divested businesses tend to differ from those of corporate buyers. Yet the performance implications, from the perspective of the divesting firm, of divesting a business to a PE acquirer versus a corporate acquirer are not clear. In this study, I explore the differences in returns to firms divesting to PE acquirers versus those divesting to corporate acquirers. First, on average, divesting firms' returns are lower when divesting to PE acquirers. Second, these lower returns are more likely to occur when the PE acquirer may be expecting to create less value, or when firms choose to divest at a suboptimal time.
从资产剥离公司的角度来看,向私募股权(PE)收购方进行的资产剥离与向公司收购方进行的资产剥离表现是否不同?如果是,为什么?这项以问题为基础的实证研究表明,平均而言,与剥离给公司收购方相比,剥离给私募股权收购方的资产与剥离公司股东回报率较低相关。本研究探讨了向私募股权收购者剥离资产时,股东回报率较低的原因是否在于私募股权收购者在目标选择、所有权或交易时机方面采取了不同的价值创造策略。研究结果表明,剥离企业在剥离给 PE 收购者时较低的股东回报率更有可能与 PE 收购者在价值创造方面的差异有关,原因在于其不同的所有权和交易时机策略,而非其选择策略。私募股权(PE)公司是企业剥离资产的主要买家,而 PE 公司在收购剥离企业时的价值创造策略往往与企业买家不同。然而,从剥离企业的角度来看,将企业剥离给私募股权收购方与企业收购方对企业绩效的影响并不明确。在本研究中,笔者探讨了企业剥离给私募股权收购方与剥离给企业收购方的收益差异。首先,平均而言,剥离给 PE 收购者的企业收益较低。其次,当私募股权收购者预期创造的价值较低时,或当企业选择在次优时机剥离时,这些较低的回报率更有可能发生。
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引用次数: 0
Making the most of AI and machine learning in organizations and strategy research: Supervised machine learning, causal inference, and matching models 在组织和战略研究中充分利用人工智能和机器学习:监督机器学习、因果推理和匹配模型
IF 8.3 1区 管理学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1002/smj.3604
Jason M. Rathje, R. Katila, Philipp Reineke
We spotlight the use of machine learning in two‐stage matching models to deal with sample selection bias. Recent advances in machine learning have unlocked new empirical possibilities for inductive theorizing. In contrast, the opportunities to use machine learning in regression studies involving large‐scale data with many covariates and a causal claim are still less well understood. Our core contribution is to guide researchers in the use of machine learning approaches to choosing matching variables for enhanced causal inference in propensity score matching models. We use an analysis of real‐world technology invention data of public–private relationships to demonstrate the method and find that machine learning can provide an alternative approach to ad hoc matching. However, as with any method, it is also important to understand its limitations.This article explores the use of machine learning to enhance decision‐making, particularly in addressing sample selection bias in large‐scale datasets. The rapid development of AI and machine learning offers new, powerful tools especially for digital ecosystems where complex data and causal relationships are complex to analyze. We offer managers and stakeholders insight into the effective integration of machine learning for selecting critical variables in propensity score matching models. Through a detailed examination of real‐world data on technology inventions within public–private relationships, we demonstrate the effectiveness of machine learning as a robust alternative to traditional matching methods.
我们重点介绍了机器学习在两阶段匹配模型中的应用,以解决样本选择偏差问题。机器学习的最新进展为归纳理论化提供了新的经验可能性。相比之下,在涉及具有许多协变量和因果主张的大规模数据的回归研究中使用机器学习的机会还不太为人所知。我们的核心贡献是指导研究人员使用机器学习方法选择匹配变量,以增强倾向得分匹配模型中的因果推断。我们利用对真实世界中公私关系技术发明数据的分析来演示该方法,并发现机器学习可以提供一种替代临时匹配的方法。然而,与任何方法一样,了解其局限性也很重要。本文探讨了如何利用机器学习提高决策水平,尤其是解决大规模数据集中的样本选择偏差问题。人工智能和机器学习的快速发展为数字生态系统提供了新的强大工具,尤其是在复杂数据和因果关系难以分析的情况下。我们为管理者和利益相关者提供了有效整合机器学习的见解,以便在倾向得分匹配模型中选择关键变量。通过对公私关系中技术发明的真实数据进行详细研究,我们证明了机器学习作为传统匹配方法的有力替代品的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
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