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Adopting the fuzzy approach to analyze food poverty in Italy: A study on vulnerable households using household budget survey data 采用模糊方法分析意大利的粮食贫困问题:利用家庭预算调查数据对弱势家庭进行研究
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102006
Ilaria Benedetti, Federico Crescenzi, Tiziana Laureti, Luca Secondi

Besides international efforts to address poverty and hunger, there are still many disparities among households, therefore innovative approaches and techniques are required to address the multiple facets of poverty, especially food poverty.

Given the complexity in defining this phenomenon, the fuzzy approach based on an expenditure-related metric is adopted as it provides valuable insights into the Italian food poverty situation thus improving the results generally provided using by the classical binary (or crisp) set theory.

By considering the equivalised household food expenditure obtained from the 2021 Italian Household Budget Survey data, the fuzzy set approach is used to measure food poverty paying particular attention to vulnerable households at a detailed territorial level. The results show that food poverty is lower in the Northern-Central regions than in Southern Italy and highlight the vulnerability of families with children and single-parent households.

除了国际社会为解决贫困和饥饿问题所做的努力之外,家庭之间仍然存在许多差异,因此需要创新的方法和技术来解决贫困的多个方面,尤其是食品贫困。鉴于定义这种现象的复杂性,我们采用了基于支出相关度量的模糊方法,因为这种方法为意大利的食品贫困状况提供了宝贵的见解,从而改进了通常使用经典二元(或清晰)集合理论所提供的结果。通过考虑从 2021 年意大利家庭预算调查数据中获得的等价家庭食品支出,采用模糊集方法来衡量食品贫困,并在详细的地区层面上特别关注弱势家庭。结果显示,意大利中北部地区的粮食贫困率低于南部地区,并突出了有子女家庭和单亲家庭的脆弱性。
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引用次数: 0
Relief item inventory planning under centralized and decentralized bilateral cooperation and uncertain transshipment quantities 在集中和分散双边合作以及转运数量不确定的情况下制定救济物品库存计划
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101991
Abdullah Coskun , F. Sibel Salman , Amirreza Pashapour

Pre-positioning relief inventory ensures timely delivery of in-kind aid after a catastrophe. Tragic disasters like major earthquakes are rare and unpredictable; therefore, stockpiled items may not be used. To avoid over-stocking and reduce shortage risk, the cooperation of two humanitarian agencies in supporting each other in case of shortages is suggested in the literature. In this study, we utilize newsvendor-based quantitative models to optimize the pre-disaster stocking decisions of agencies under centralized and decentralized cooperation mechanisms. In the former, both agencies jointly determine their inventory levels to maximize their combined benefits of relief operations, whereas, in the latter, each agency establishes its stocking level in isolation via a game theoretic approach. In both systems, the two agencies agree to transship their excessive items to the other party if needed. In this regard, we investigate the situation where only a portion of the transshipped items, denoted as the reliability factor, can be received and effectively utilized at the destination due to the chaotic nature of the disaster. Considering a deterministic reliability factor, we obtain the singular optimal inventory levels in the centralized system and identify the unique Nash Equilibrium in the decentralized system. Subsequently, we formulate a two-stage stochastic program, considering a random reliability factor for both cooperation systems. The study concludes by offering a range of managerial insights. Our analyses quantify the sub-optimality resulting from decentralized decision-making across diverse parameter settings using the concept of the price of anarchy. The findings highlight that centralized cooperation becomes particularly advisable when the average demand within either agency is high, the transshipment process is secure (i.e., the reliability factor is high), and transshipment costs remain low.

预先储备救灾物资可确保在灾难发生后及时提供实物援助。像大地震这样的悲剧性灾难是罕见的,也是不可预测的;因此,库存物品可能用不上。为了避免过度库存并降低短缺风险,文献中建议两个人道主义机构合作,在出现短缺时相互支持。在本研究中,我们利用基于新闻供应商的定量模型来优化各机构在集中式和分散式合作机制下的灾前储备决策。在前者中,两个机构共同决定其库存水平,以实现救灾行动的综合效益最大化;而在后者中,每个机构通过博弈论方法单独确定其库存水平。在这两个系统中,两个机构都同意在需要时将过量物品转运给对方。在这方面,我们研究了这样一种情况,即由于灾难的混乱性质,只有一部分转运物品(称为可靠性系数)能在目的地被接收和有效利用。考虑到确定性的可靠性因素,我们得到了集中式系统中的奇异最优库存水平,并确定了分散式系统中唯一的纳什均衡。随后,考虑到两个合作系统的随机可靠性因素,我们制定了一个两阶段随机程序。研究最后提出了一系列管理见解。我们的分析利用无政府状态的价格概念,量化了分散决策在不同参数设置下产生的次优性。研究结果突出表明,当两个机构的平均需求量都很高、转运过程安全(即可靠性系数很高)且转运成本较低时,集中式合作尤为可取。
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引用次数: 0
The formation of attendee loyalty at cultural festivals. What role for knowledge and authenticity? 文化节参与者忠诚度的形成。知识和真实性的作用是什么?
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102002
Francesca Rivetti , Carla Rossi , Antonio Lucadamo

Scholars have only recently been focusing on the study of knowledge in the formation of loyalty in cultural festivals and much remains to be understood regarding this. The present study adopts a managerial standpoint and develops a knowledge-based model of attendee loyalty in cultural festivals in which the role of authenticity is also evaluated. It considers two knowledge-based constructs, prior knowledge and acquired knowledge, referring to the cultures and the traditions evoked during the festival, and intercepts their role with respect to loyalty also in conjunction with authenticity. Based on data collected from 306 attendees at a cultural festival organized annually in South Italy, a co-variance-based SEM was performed. Results highlight that prior and acquired knowledge positively influence loyalty. Perceived authenticity acts as a mediator in these relationships. These findings provide theoretical and practical implications for researchers and festival organizers.

学者们最近才开始关注知识在文化节忠诚度形成过程中的作用,这方面还有很多问题有待了解。本研究从管理角度出发,建立了一个基于知识的文化节参与者忠诚度模型,并对真实性的作用进行了评估。研究考虑了两个以知识为基础的概念,即先验知识和后天知识(指文化节期间唤起的文化和传统),并结合真实性截取了它们在忠诚度方面的作用。根据从意大利南部每年举办的文化节的 306 名参与者那里收集到的数据,进行了基于共变的 SEM 分析。结果表明,先验知识和后天知识对忠诚度有积极影响。在这些关系中,感知到的真实性起着中介作用。这些发现为研究人员和文化节组织者提供了理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
An evolutionary game for analysis of implementation strategies in inter-regional diffusion of clean technology 分析清洁技术区域间推广实施战略的进化博弈
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102009
Yong-cong Yang , Hui-ting Liu , Li-bing Liu

Green transition driven by clean technology diffusion attaches importance to sustainable development. Therefore, choosing the optimal strategy in the inter-regional diffusion of clean technology has attracted the attention of local governments. In this regard, developed regions leading the R&D activities of clean technology can choose to fund or not fund diffusion, and developing regions can adopt absorption strategy or substitution strategy as well. An evolutionary game model was developed in this paper to analyze the stable strategies of local governments in the inter-regional diffusion of clean technology. In general, there are four possible stable equilibrium points. The result indicates that a collaboration relationship aiming at technology transfer among regions is likely to be established when developed regions and developing regions gain more from funding diffusion and subsidizing absorption, respectively. Especially, an increase of incentives from the central government, as well as an increase of cost performing independent clean R&D activities, improves the inter-regional diffusion network. This paper, therefore, provides a mathematical approach to examine the interaction of clean technology diffusion, and sheds light on actor behavior in games of inter-regional coordination.

以清洁技术推广为动力的绿色转型重视可持续发展。因此,在清洁技术的区域间扩散中选择最优战略已引起地方政府的重视。在这方面,主导清洁技术研发活动的发达地区可以选择资助或不资助扩散,发展中地区也可以采取吸收战略或替代战略。本文建立了一个演化博弈模型来分析地方政府在清洁技术区域间扩散中的稳定策略。一般来说,有四个可能的稳定均衡点。结果表明,当发达地区和发展中地区分别从资助扩散和补贴吸收中获得更多收益时,就有可能建立起以地区间技术转让为目标的合作关系。尤其是中央政府激励措施的增加,以及独立开展清洁研发活动成本的增加,都会改善区域间的扩散网络。因此,本文提供了一种数学方法来研究清洁技术推广的相互作用,并揭示了区域间协调博弈中的行为主体行为。
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引用次数: 0
Multidimensional statistical analysis of social inequalities in Italy 意大利社会不平等的多维统计分析
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102005
Paola Perchinunno , Samuela L'Abbate , Corrado Crocetta , Leonardo Salvatore Alaimo

The analysis of social inequalities is a topic of current interest and is studied as a factor in the evolution and measurement of the level of well-being. A fundamental prerequisite for a correct statistical analysis of this phenomenon is the need to share a univocal definition of the concept of social inequalities. This work starts from the need to identify territorial areas and/or population subgroups characterized by situations of hardship or strong social exclusion through the construction of indicators that can estimate situations of social inequalities in small areas. Scientific research options have been oriented towards the establishment of a multidimensional approach, sometimes renouncing dichotomous logic to go as far as fuzzy classifications in which each unit simultaneously belongs and does not belong to the selected category. Multidimensional statistical analysis methodologies (TFR method) and Density Based Spatial Clustering methods (DBSCAN) will therefore be used to aggregate adjacent spatial units with high intensity of social inequalities.

对社会不平等现象的分析是当前人们关注的一个话题,也是研究福祉水平演变和衡量的一个因素。对这一现象进行正确统计分析的一个基本前提是需要对社会不平等的概念有一个统一的定义。这项工作的出发点是,需要通过构建能够估计小地区社会不平等状况的指标,来确定以艰苦或严重社会排斥为特征的地区和/或人口亚群。科学研究选择的方向是建立多维方法,有时放弃二分法逻辑,而采用模糊分类法,其中每个单位同时属于和不属于选定的类别。因此,将采用多维统计分析方法(TFR 方法)和基于密度的空间聚类方法(DBSCAN)来聚合社会不平等程度较高的相邻空间单元。
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引用次数: 0
Vaccination equilibrium: Externality and efficiency 疫苗接种平衡:外部性与效率
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102001
Ching-to Albert Ma

I study individual consumers’ choices of getting vaccinated. A vaccine reduces the severity of an infectious illness, but may produce side-effects and other disutilities at the time of administration. Such private benefits and disutilities vary across consumers in the population. The infection probability depends negatively on the total mass of vaccinated consumers. This is an externality. One consumer’s vaccination choice has negligible contribution to the total mass of vaccinated consumers. Consumers do not internalize the externality. I characterize a unique Vaccination Equilibrium, the sustainable vaccination mass resulting from individual decisions. I show how vaccine improvements in benefits, side-effects, and infection likelihood change the Vaccination Equilibrium. The first-best or efficient vaccination mass takes into account the externality and consumers’ benefits and costs. The unique Vaccination Equilibrium is never first best. Taxes, subsidies, and mandates may change the Vaccination Equilibrium.

我研究的是个人消费者对接种疫苗的选择。疫苗可以降低传染病的严重程度,但在接种时可能会产生副作用和其他不利因素。这些私人利益和不利因素在人群中的不同消费者之间存在差异。感染概率与接种疫苗的消费者总人数呈负相关。这是一种外部性。一个消费者的疫苗接种选择对接种疫苗的消费者总数的影响微乎其微。消费者不会内化这种外部性。我描述了一个独特的疫苗接种均衡,即由个人决策产生的可持续疫苗接种量。我将展示疫苗在益处、副作用和感染可能性方面的改进是如何改变疫苗接种均衡的。第一最佳或有效疫苗接种量考虑了外部性以及消费者的收益和成本。唯一的疫苗接种平衡从来都不是第一最佳的。税收、补贴和强制措施可能会改变疫苗接种平衡。
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引用次数: 0
A new intuitionistic fuzzy scheme of data envelopment analysis for evaluating rural comprehensive health service centers 用于评价农村综合卫生服务中心的数据包络分析直觉模糊新方案
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102004
Ali Mahmoodirad , Dragan Pamucar , Sadegh Niroomand

In this study, the classical CCR-IO DEA model (an input-oriented form of the DEA model of Charnes, Cooper, and Rhodes (1978)) is extended to an intuitionistic fuzzy environment. For this aim, the trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy numbers are used to show the values of inputs and outputs. An intuitionistic fuzzy number is characterized by membership, non-membership, and hesitancy degrees. Therefore, such type of fuzzy numbers is more complete and contains more information to reflect a fuzzy type of uncertainty comparing to the conventional fuzzy values. In order to solve the proposed intuitionistic fuzzy CCR-IO model, for the first time a possibility-based approach is developed for the intuitionistic fuzzy DEA models. In this approach for the first time the measure of fuzzy events is extended to intuitionistic fuzzy DEA models, therefore, some new definitions and propositions are presented and clarified. This measure is more flexible and effective comparing to the other measures such as credibility, necessity, and possibility measures. A case study from the health care sector of Iran is considered to evaluate the proposed solution approach numerically. The case study is solved under different scenarios, a full sensitivity analysis is performed, and finally some useful managerial insights are presented. In addition, the results of the proposed intuitionistic CCR-IO model are compared to the classical models of the literature.

在本研究中,经典的 CCR-IO DEA 模型(Charnes、Cooper 和 Rhodes(1978 年)DEA 模型的一种以输入为导向的形式)被扩展到直觉模糊环境中。为此,我们使用梯形直观模糊数来表示输入和输出的值。直观模糊数的特征是成员度、非成员度和犹豫度。因此,与传统的模糊值相比,这类模糊数更完整,包含更多信息,能反映模糊类型的不确定性。为了解决所提出的直觉模糊 CCR-IO 模型,我们首次为直觉模糊 DEA 模型开发了一种基于可能性的方法。在这种方法中,模糊事件的度量首次扩展到了直观模糊 DEA 模型,因此提出并阐明了一些新的定义和命题。与可信度、必要性和可能性等其他度量方法相比,这种度量方法更加灵活有效。为了对所提出的解决方法进行数字评估,我们考虑了伊朗医疗保健行业的一个案例研究。该案例研究在不同情况下进行求解,并进行了全面的敏感性分析,最后提出了一些有用的管理见解。此外,还将所提出的直观 CCR-IO 模型的结果与文献中的经典模型进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
Reevaluating national innovation systems: An index based on dynamic-network data envelopment analysis 重新评估国家创新体系:基于动态网络数据包络分析的指数
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102003
Abdel Latef Anouze , May Mohamed Al Khalifa , Odeh Rashed Al-Jayyousi

The aim of this study is to propose a novel analytical framework to evaluate the national innovation system (NIS) based on dynamic-network data envelopment analysis. This framework is then applied to a sample of 23 countries involved in oil production, enabling a comparative analysis of their performance in relation to the top 10 innovative countries as determined by the Global Innovation Index (GII).

Unlike the GII, the proposed framework measures the efficiency score of each NIS, generates a new index based on these scores, suggests a set of target policies for countries aiming to improve their ranks, and conducts an in-depth longitudinal analysis to identify the underlying factors influencing efficiency dynamic over time.

The empirical results show that the efficiency of the selected countries remains relatively steady over the designated study period. Upon closer examination at the country level, it becomes evident that Korea and Sweden emerge as the frontrunners in terms of performance, thereby establishing themselves as leaders in the field of innovation. Germany and Ukraine are identified as leaders in knowledge development, whereas Romania and Singapore are recognized as leaders in knowledge commercialization.

To enhance the performance of the inefficient NIS, this study proposes targeted improvement policies, prioritizing underperforming countries to elevate their overall innovation system. These policy interventions aim to bridge the gap between the least efficient nations and global best practices, fostering a more competitive innovation landscape. Ultimately, the proposed analytical framework holds the potential to foster the performance of each country's national innovation system.

本研究旨在提出一种新的分析框架,以动态网络数据包络分析为基础评估国家创新体系(NIS)。与全球创新指数(GII)不同的是,所提出的框架测量了每个国家创新体系的效率得分,根据这些得分生成了一个新的指数,为旨在提高其排名的国家提出了一套目标政策,并进行了深入的纵向分析,以确定随着时间的推移影响效率动态的潜在因素。从国家层面仔细观察可以发现,韩国和瑞典在绩效方面遥遥领先,从而确立了自己在创新领域的领先地位。为了提高低效国家创新体系的绩效,本研究提出了有针对性的改进政策,优先考虑绩效不佳的国家,以提升其整体创新体系。这些政策干预措施旨在缩小效率最低的国家与全球最佳实践之间的差距,促进更具竞争力的创新格局。最终,建议的分析框架有可能提高各国国家创新体系的绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Cultural heritage and economic development: measuring sustainability over time 文化遗产与经济发展:衡量长期可持续性
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101998
Carla Galluccio, Francesca Giambona

This study investigates the role of museums and cultural heritage in local development, highlighting their ability to attract tourists, generate revenue, and promote inclusion and cultural diversity. According to traditional economic theory, cultural heritage provides positive externalities, enhancing employment and improving human and social capital, all while adhering to principles of sustainability. In this context, the Italian Survey on Museums and Other Cultural Institutions offers extensive data on heritage conservation, accessibility, and visitor services. Utilising this longitudinal data, we conduct a latent transition analysis to examine the evolution of the Italian museum sector with a focus on regional differences and museums’ dimension. Our findings classify Italian museums into three homogeneous sustainability states. Additionally, museum size positively affects both the initial and transition probabilities, while the macro-area significantly influences only the initial probability.

本研究调查了博物馆和文化遗产在地方发展中的作用,强调了它们吸引游客、创造收入、促进包容和文化多样性的能力。根据传统的经济理论,文化遗产可以提供积极的外部效应,提高就业率,改善人力和社会资本,同时遵循可持续发展的原则。在此背景下,意大利博物馆和其他文化机构调查提供了有关遗产保护、可访问性和游客服务的大量数据。利用这些纵向数据,我们进行了潜在转变分析,以地区差异和博物馆维度为重点,研究意大利博物馆行业的演变。我们的研究结果将意大利博物馆分为三种同质的可持续发展状态。此外,博物馆规模对初始概率和过渡概率都有积极影响,而宏观地区只对初始概率有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Between policy swings and financial shockwaves: Asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on financial stability in high-volatility nations 在政策波动与金融冲击波之间:经济政策不确定性对高波动国家金融稳定性的非对称影响
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102000
Jie Wu , Zeeshan Rasool , Sajid Ali , Raima Nazar

In today's rapidly changing global economy, economic policy uncertainty has become a significant determinant of financial stability. With the increasing complexity and interconnectedness of financial markets, any fluctuations or uncertainties in economic policy can have far-reaching consequences. Ongoing research analyzes the impact of economic policy uncertainty on financial stability in the ten selected nations distinguished by heightened economic policy uncertainty (Argentina, Turkey, Brazil, India, Russia, Pakistan, Colombia, Indonesia, South Africa, and the Philippines). Preceding research has utilized panel data techniques to scrutinize the tie between economic policy uncertainty and financial stability. However, these investigations often failed to account for the fact that not all countries exhibit the same level of connection in this regard. Conversely, this research employs a distinctive approach, ‘Quantile-on-Quantile', to dissect the relationship within individual countries. This approach grants an exhaustive worldwide standpoint and customized foresight specific to each nation. The results indicate that economic policy uncertainty reduces financial stability within distinct sections of the data distribution. In addition, the outcomes emphasize the diverse levels of asymmetry characterizing this relationship across various nations. These findings underscore the significance of policymakers' prudent consideration and meticulous handling of policies related to economic policy uncertainty and financial stability.

在当今瞬息万变的全球经济中,经济政策的不确定性已成为金融稳定的重要决定因素。随着金融市场的日益复杂和相互关联,经济政策的任何波动或不确定性都会产生深远的影响。正在进行的研究分析了经济政策不确定性对十个经济政策不确定性突出的国家(阿根廷、土耳其、巴西、印度、俄罗斯、巴基斯坦、哥伦比亚、印度尼西亚、南非和菲律宾)金融稳定性的影响。之前的研究利用面板数据技术来研究经济政策不确定性与金融稳定性之间的联系。然而,这些研究往往没有考虑到并非所有国家在这方面都表现出相同程度的联系。相反,本研究采用了一种独特的方法,即 "量化对量化",来剖析各个国家内部的关系。这种方法既能站在全球的角度进行详尽分析,又能针对每个国家的具体情况进行量身定制的前瞻性分析。研究结果表明,经济政策的不确定性会在数据分布的不同部分降低金融稳定性。此外,研究结果还强调了这种关系在不同国家的不同不对称程度。这些发现强调了政策制定者审慎考虑和细致处理与经济政策不确定性和金融稳定性相关的政策的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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Socio-economic Planning Sciences
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