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Strategic socioeconomic planning to address ecological footprints in an uncertain economic landscape 在不确定的经济环境中解决生态足迹问题的战略性社会经济规划
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102048

The flux of economic policy uncertainty casts a long shadow over the ecological footprint, amplifying the risk and the urgency for strategic planning that harmonizes economic stability with environmental stewardship. This complex interplay necessitates a reassessment of how economic strategies can be sculpted to mitigate environmental risks and foster sustainability. This research evaluates the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on the ecological footprints in the top 10 polluted nations (China, USA, India, Russia, Japan, Brazil, Germany, Indonesia, France, and Mexico) from 2001 to 2022. Prior studies relied on panel data methods without accounting for the unique features of individual economies. Conversely, the present investigation implements the Quantile-on-Quantile methodology to delve into the interconnection between the variables within each country. This sophisticated methodology enriches the exactness of our evaluation, providing a thorough worldwide standpoint and uncovering precise insights tailored to the distinctive attributes of each particular country. The outcomes disclose that economic policy uncertainties reduce ecological footprints across diverse quantiles in the selected economies. Additionally, the findings underscore multiple behaviors in these correlations across several quantiles. These results highlight the need for policymakers to take extensive measures to address the deviating impacts of economic policy uncertainty on ecological sustainability.

经济政策的不确定性给生态足迹蒙上了一层长长的阴影,加大了战略规划的风险和紧迫性,使经济稳定与环境管理相协调。这种复杂的相互作用要求我们重新评估如何制定经济战略,以降低环境风险并促进可持续发展。本研究评估了 2001 年至 2022 年经济政策不确定性对十大污染国家(中国、美国、印度、俄罗斯、日本、巴西、德国、印度尼西亚、法国和墨西哥)生态足迹的非对称影响。之前的研究依赖于面板数据方法,没有考虑各个经济体的独特性。与此相反,本研究采用了 "量化对量化 "方法来深入研究各国内部变量之间的相互联系。这一复杂的方法丰富了我们评估的精确性,提供了一个全面的全球视角,并针对每个特定国家的独特属性揭示了精确的见解。结果表明,经济政策的不确定性减少了选定经济体中不同数量级的生态足迹。此外,研究结果还强调了这些相关性在多个量级中的多种行为。这些结果突出表明,政策制定者需要采取广泛措施,应对经济政策不确定性对生态可持续性的偏差影响。
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引用次数: 0
Workload balancing for the nurse scheduling problem: A real-world case study from a French hospital 护士排班问题的工作量平衡:法国一家医院的实际案例研究
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102046

To improve the efficiency and viability of healthcare organizations, it is crucial to enhance both the quality of patient care and the well-being of healthcare staff, particularly nurses. They play a vital role as a key human resource in healthcare, and their well-being and job satisfaction are significantly influenced by effective scheduling. Improved scheduling practices not only enhance the quality of care provided but also contribute to better job satisfaction and overall well-being of the nursing staff. Despite the importance of this task, nurse scheduling is often conducted manually by head nurses, which is both challenging and time-consuming. This study proposes a mathematical model that addresses the nurse scheduling problem, with a specific application in a French hospital department. The objectives of the model are to accommodate a wide range of constraints flexibly, ensure balanced workloads and shifts, and align with the preferences of the nursing staff. A significant contribution of this research is the theoretical investigation and comparison of various workload balancing criteria tailored to the specific context of the problem. The study analyzes different workload balancing criteria to formulate an efficient scheduling solution. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through large experiments and practice feedback, confirming its potential to enhance both healthcare efficiency and nurses’ well-being.

为了提高医疗机构的效率和生存能力,提高病人护理质量和医护人员(尤其是护士)的福利至关重要。作为医疗保健领域的关键人力资源,他们发挥着至关重要的作用,而有效的排班对他们的幸福感和工作满意度有着重大影响。改进排班方法不仅能提高护理质量,还能提高护理人员的工作满意度和整体幸福感。尽管这项任务非常重要,但护士排班通常由护士长手工操作,既具有挑战性又耗费时间。本研究针对护士排班问题提出了一个数学模型,具体应用于法国一家医院的科室。该模型的目标是灵活地适应各种约束条件,确保工作量和班次的平衡,并符合护理人员的偏好。本研究的一个重要贡献是对各种工作量平衡标准进行了理论研究和比较,以适应问题的具体情况。该研究分析了不同的工作量平衡标准,以制定有效的排班解决方案。通过大型实验和实践反馈,证明了所提方法的有效性,证实了其在提高医疗效率和护士福利方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Matrix-based network data envelopment analysis: A common set of weights approach 基于矩阵的网络数据包络分析:共同权重集方法
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102044

Performance measurement of decision-making units (DMUs) with network structure is one of the main challenges in data envelopment analysis (DEA) field. The main purpose of this paper is to propose a novel network data envelopment analysis (NDEA) approach based on matrix of efficiency, common set of weights (CSW), multi-objective programming (MOP), and goal programming (GP) technique for performance measurement of peer DMUs in two-stage network structure. The advantages of the proposed NDEA approach can be summarized as follows: comparing all DMUs and sub-DMUs on the same base, considering all internal structures and relations and capability to extending this for all network structures, linearity of the proposed models, unique efficiency decomposing without any need to consider multiplicative, additive or leader-follower relations between overall and stages efficiency. To illustrate the usefulness and applicability of the proposed approach we applied it to a real application of non-life insurance companies in Taiwan.

对具有网络结构的决策单元(DMU)进行绩效衡量是数据包络分析(DEA)领域的主要挑战之一。本文的主要目的是提出一种基于效率矩阵、共同权重集(CSW)、多目标编程(MOP)和目标编程(GP)技术的新型网络数据包络分析(NDEA)方法,用于两级网络结构中同级 DMU 的绩效测量。所建议的 NDEA 方法的优点可归纳如下:在同一基础上比较所有 DMU 和子 DMU,考虑所有内部结构和关系,并能将其扩展到所有网络结构,所建议模型的线性,独特的效率分解,无需考虑整体效率和阶段效率之间的乘法、加法或领导者-追随者关系。为了说明所提方法的实用性和适用性,我们将其应用于台湾非寿险公司的实际应用中。
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引用次数: 0
Sample selection bias in non-traditional lending: A copula-based approach for imbalanced data 非传统贷款中的样本选择偏差:基于 copula 的不平衡数据处理方法
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102045

Credit scoring models for non-traditional lending channels, such as peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platforms, are usually estimated only on the sample of accepted applicants. This may lead to biased estimates of the risk drivers. This issue can be addressed using a reject inference technique that includes the characteristics of rejected applicants in the model. Due to the low numbers of accepted applicants and default records, credit scoring models usually face a class imbalance problem. However, previous literature on sample selection models for credit scoring does not address the class imbalance issue. To fill this gap, we extend the Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) regression model for binary data to the sample selection framework. We consider the quantile function of the GEV distribution as a link function in both the selection and outcome equations. We use the copula function to model the dependence structure between the two equations for its flexibility. This proposal is called the Sample Selection Generalised Extreme Value (SSGEV) model and it is implemented in the R package BivGEV. We apply this model to a comprehensive dataset provided by Lending Club, and we show that parameter estimates obtained only on accepted P2P applicants are biased and coherently with the literature. The SSGEV model achieves a higher predictive accuracy than those obtained using univariate approaches or a sample selection probit model. Our proposal also provides more conservative estimates of the Value-at-Risk and the Expected Shortfall.

针对非传统借贷渠道(如点对点(P2P)借贷平台)的信用评分模型通常只对已接受的申请人样本进行估算。这可能导致对风险驱动因素的估计存在偏差。使用拒绝推断技术可以解决这一问题,该技术将被拒绝的申请人的特征纳入模型中。由于被接受的申请人和违约记录的数量较少,信用评分模型通常会面临类别不平衡的问题。然而,以往关于信用评分样本选择模型的文献并没有解决类别不平衡问题。为了填补这一空白,我们将二元数据的广义极值回归模型(GEV)扩展到了样本选择框架。我们将 GEV 分布的量化函数视为选择方程和结果方程中的链接函数。我们使用 copula 函数对两个方程之间的依赖结构进行建模,以提高其灵活性。这一建议被称为样本选择广义极值(SSGEV)模型,并在 R 软件包 BivGEV 中实现。我们将该模型应用于 Lending Club 提供的综合数据集,结果表明,仅从被接受的 P2P 申请人身上获得的参数估计是有偏差的,且与文献一致。SSGEV 模型比使用单变量方法或样本选择概率模型获得的预测准确性更高。我们的建议还提供了更保守的风险价值和预期缺口估计值。
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引用次数: 0
WHO non-communicable diseases Global Monitoring Framework: Pandemic resilience in sub-Saharan Africa and Low-income Countries 世卫组织非传染性疾病全球监测框架:撒哈拉以南非洲和低收入国家抗击大流行病的能力
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102043
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引用次数: 0
Assessing tourism sustainability in European Union countries: A multi-directional benefit of the doubt composite indicator 评估欧盟国家旅游业的可持续性:多向疑点效益综合指标
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102042

We propose a composite indicator for the assessment of tourism sustainability in European Union (EU) countries relatively to years 2019 and 2021. Our proposal is a revisitation of the Travel & Tourism Development Index (TTDI), which is based on a uniform weighting scheme, by means of the Multi-Directional Benefit of the Doubt (MD-BoD) model, an innovative non-compensatory method able to derive a country-specific preference structure from the data. Thanks to the MD-BoD model, each pillar and elementary indicator receives a score that reflects the potential improvement of the country relatively to an empirical benchmark, therefore it is possible to objectively identify weak and strong dimensions of tourism sustainability before and after the Covid-19 pandemic. As such, our composite indicator represents a valuable support for the design of policies aimed at increasing the resilience of the European tourism ecosystem.

我们提出了一个综合指标,用于评估欧盟(EU)国家 2019 年和 2021 年旅游业的可持续性。我们的建议是通过 "多向疑点收益"(MD-BoD)模型,对基于统一加权方案的 "旅行与采样;旅游发展指数"(TTDI)进行重新审视。该模型是一种创新的非补偿性方法,能够从数据中得出特定国家的偏好结构。由于采用了 MD-BoD 模型,每个支柱和基本指标都会得到一个分数,该分数反映了该国相对于经验基准的潜在改善程度,因此可以客观地确定旅游业可持续性在 Covid-19 大流行前后的强弱维度。因此,我们的综合指标为制定旨在提高欧洲旅游生态系统复原力的政策提供了宝贵的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the nexus between ESG risk variations and investment preferences: Insights from sustainable ETFs during the COVID-19 era 探索环境、社会和公司治理风险变化与投资偏好之间的关系:从 COVID-19 时代的可持续 ETF 中获得的启示
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102039

This study analyzes the impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) risk metrics on the financial performance of ETFs in the US and Europe from January 2020 to December 2023, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. It explores the influence of ESG investment trends on ETF performance and investor preferences between equities and bonds in response to ESG risk profiles. Results show a positive correlation between higher ESG standards and financial performance, measured by the Sharpe ratio, with a marked preference for bonds amidst increased ESG risks. This highlights the critical role of ESG considerations in investment strategies and risk management, providing insights for sustainable finance.

本研究分析了 2020 年 1 月至 2023 年 12 月期间环境、社会和治理(ESG)风险指标对美国和欧洲 ETF 财务业绩的影响,尤其是在 COVID-19 大流行期间。该研究探讨了 ESG 投资趋势对 ETF 业绩的影响,以及投资者根据 ESG 风险状况对股票和债券的偏好。结果显示,较高的环境、社会和治理标准与以夏普比率衡量的财务业绩之间存在正相关关系,在环境、社会和治理风险增加的情况下,投资者明显偏好债券。这凸显了环境、社会和公司治理因素在投资战略和风险管理中的关键作用,为可持续金融提供了启示。
{"title":"Exploring the nexus between ESG risk variations and investment preferences: Insights from sustainable ETFs during the COVID-19 era","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102039","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.seps.2024.102039","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study analyzes the impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) risk metrics on the financial performance of ETFs in the US and Europe from January 2020 to December 2023, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. It explores the influence of ESG investment trends on ETF performance and investor preferences between equities and bonds in response to ESG risk profiles. Results show a positive correlation between higher ESG standards and financial performance, measured by the Sharpe ratio, with a marked preference for bonds amidst increased ESG risks. This highlights the critical role of ESG considerations in investment strategies and risk management, providing insights for sustainable finance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":22033,"journal":{"name":"Socio-economic Planning Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038012124002386/pdfft?md5=b501bdefa4bdb00ab15c833f896e3468&pid=1-s2.0-S0038012124002386-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142129915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The non-linear effect of income on the shadow economy 收入对影子经济的非线性影响
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102041

This paper aims to explore the correlation between individual income and tax evasion. We develop a novel theoretical model based on the argument that the level of public goods provision and the perceived fairness of public services significantly influence an individual's attitude towards taxation. The model reveals a concave pattern, indicating the presence of an income threshold. Initially, as an individual's income increases, tax evasion decreases due to the perceived fairness of their contributions relative to the benefits received from public services. However, beyond this threshold, the tax burden is perceived as unfair, leading to an increase in tax evasion as income levels rise. We also proof that this income threshold is influenced by the tax rate and enforcement system. We also conduct a panel data analysis on a sample of 35 OECD countries from 2007 to 2020 to support the theoretical findings. The empirical investigation confirms a U-shaped relationship between income and the underground economy. Our findings suggest that policymakers should introduce measures to improve the quality of public goods provision, considering the potential adverse effect of higher income on economic growth. This study is the first to theoretically investigate the non-linear relationship between income and tax evasion while also providing empirical evidence.

本文旨在探讨个人收入与逃税之间的相关性。我们建立了一个新颖的理论模型,该模型基于这样一个论点,即公共产品的提供水平和对公共服务公平性的感知会显著影响个人的纳税态度。该模型揭示了一个凹陷模式,表明存在一个收入门槛。起初,随着个人收入的增加,逃税现象会减少,因为相对于从公共服务中获得的利益而言,他们认为自己的贡献是公平的。然而,超过这个临界点,人们就会认为税收负担是不公平的,从而导致逃税行为随着收入水平的提高而增加。我们还证明,这一收入门槛受到税率和执法制度的影响。我们还对 2007 年至 2020 年的 35 个经合组织国家样本进行了面板数据分析,以支持理论结论。实证调查证实了收入与地下经济之间的 U 型关系。我们的研究结果表明,考虑到高收入对经济增长的潜在不利影响,政策制定者应采取措施提高公共产品提供的质量。本研究首次从理论上探讨了收入与逃税之间的非线性关系,同时也提供了经验证据。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiated health insurance policy for coordinating healthcare referral in hierarchical healthcare systems with an internet diagnosis platform 分级医疗体系中利用互联网诊断平台协调医疗转诊的差异化医疗保险政策
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102040

The integration of the Internet with traditional medical services is poised to transform health insurance policies. This study aims to explore the coordinating role of differentiated health insurance policies within the context of Internet healthcare. A four-stage sequential game decision-making model is developed within a queuing framework to address scenarios involving online patient referrals and misdiagnoses. The model begins by analyzing the equilibrium arrival strategy of patients, followed by the determination of optimal service capacity strategies for a nonprofit community health center (CHC) and optimal pricing strategies for a for-profit general hospital (GH). Additionally, the model describes an optimal differentiated subsidy strategy for the government aimed at minimizing total social costs. Analysis reveals that under certain conditions, an increase in the service price at GH relative to CHC can lead to a higher influx of online patients visiting GH in person. Furthermore, when the number of online patients exceeds a specific threshold, it not only prompts the government to increase the disparity in health insurance subsidies between the two hospital tiers but also encourages GH to reduce its service prices and offer free services to online patients. Numerical experiments explore the effects of government budgets, sharing ratios, and other variables on the system's equilibrium state, providing several managerial insights. Notably, when patients' misdiagnosis costs are partially covered, increasing GH's misdiagnosis cost-sharing ratio not only enhances the patient arrival rate but also enhances GH's profitability.

互联网与传统医疗服务的融合有望改变医疗保险政策。本研究旨在探讨互联网医疗背景下差异化医疗保险政策的协调作用。本研究在排队框架内建立了一个四阶段连续博弈决策模型,以应对涉及在线患者转诊和误诊的情景。该模型首先分析了患者的均衡到达策略,然后确定了非营利性社区医疗中心(CHC)的最优服务能力策略和营利性综合医院(GH)的最优定价策略。此外,该模型还描述了政府的最优差异化补贴策略,旨在最大限度地降低社会总成本。分析表明,在某些条件下,相对于 CHC 而言,GH 服务价格的提高会导致更多的在线患者亲自前往 GH 就诊。此外,当在线患者人数超过特定临界值时,不仅会促使政府加大两级医院的医保补贴差距,还会鼓励嘉禾医院降低服务价格,为在线患者提供免费服务。数值实验探讨了政府预算、分担比例和其他变量对系统均衡状态的影响,提供了一些管理启示。值得注意的是,当患者的误诊费用部分由政府承担时,提高 GH 的误诊费用分摊比例不仅能提高患者到达率,还能提高 GH 的盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
A new composite index to assess environmental consciousness using survey data and big data: Empirical evidence from European consumers 利用调查数据和大数据评估环境意识的新综合指数:来自欧洲消费者的经验证据
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102038

Environmental consciousness is a multi-dimensional construct that encompasses several dimensions related to pro-environmental attitudes, beliefs and behaviours. The academic literature has attempted to conceptualise and operationalise environmental consciousness over the last 20 years, resulting in a wide variety of measures.

However, the available measures are country-specific and with a predominant U.S. focus, based on convenience samples, and rather limited in terms of interpretability and external validity. To overcome these limitations, the present study develops an index of environmental consciousness at both the micro (consumer) and macro (country) levels, taking into account the four main dimensions of environmental consciousness: the affective, cognitive, active and dispositional dimensions. By analysing more than 27 000 “Eurobarometer 92.4” responses from consumers in the 28 EU Member States in 2019, this paper develops a comprehensive measure of consumer environmental consciousness that captures the heterogeneity across European countries. To assess the robustness of the index, the link between environmental consciousness and life satisfaction is also examined. The index is also compared with a big data-based index using Google Trends data on environmental search categories. The results show differences in environmental consciousness between European countries. The link between environmental consciousness and life satisfaction is also supported, in line with previous research in this area. Finally, the index appears to be strongly correlated with actual consumer search patterns on Google. The findings have implications for businesses willing to enter in new markets and policy makers on how to measure and assess environmental consciousness.

环境意识是一个多维度的概念,包括与亲环境态度、信念和行为相关的多个维度。在过去的 20 年里,学术文献一直在尝试将环境意识概念化和可操作化,并由此产生了各种各样的测量方法。然而,现有的测量方法都是针对特定国家的,以美国为主,以方便抽样为基础,在可解释性和外部有效性方面相当有限。为了克服这些局限性,本研究从微观(消费者)和宏观(国家)两个层面制定了环境意识指数,并考虑了环境意识的四个主要维度:情感维度、认知维度、主动维度和处置维度。通过分析欧盟 28 个成员国的消费者在 2019 年提供的 27 000 多份 "欧洲晴雨表 92.4 "答卷,本文制定了消费者环境意识的综合衡量标准,以捕捉欧洲各国的异质性。为了评估该指数的稳健性,本文还研究了环境意识与生活满意度之间的联系。本文还利用谷歌趋势(Google Trends)的环境搜索类别数据,将该指数与基于大数据的指数进行了比较。结果显示,欧洲各国的环保意识存在差异。环境意识与生活满意度之间的联系也得到了支持,这与该领域以往的研究结果一致。最后,该指数似乎与消费者在谷歌上的实际搜索模式密切相关。这些研究结果对于愿意进入新市场的企业和如何衡量和评估环保意识的政策制定者都有启发意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Socio-economic Planning Sciences
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