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Spatial correlation network and influencing factors analysis of supply efficiency of basic public service (SEBPS) in rust belt regions of China: An empirical study from Northeast China 中国锈带地区基本公共服务供给效率(SEBPS)的空间关联网络及影响因素分析:东北地区的实证研究
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102058

Equalizing basic public service is crucial for achieving social fairness and justice. Promoting the improvement of public service can be achieved through the improvement of supply efficiency and cross-regional coordinated development. We employed the Super-SBM model, modified gravity model, and social network analysis method to empirically study the spatial correlation network characteristics of supply efficiency of basic public service (SEBPS) based on the data of 34 prefecture-level cities in the three provinces of Northeastern China from 2011 to 2020. The results revealed the overall efficiency of SEBPS in the study area is relatively low, and the supply efficiency is polarized. There is significant non-equilibrium between regions, and the regional difference moment gradually expands over time. There exists a strong spatial correlation between SEBPS in each city, and the overall correlation effect is weak but the network stability has improved. Each city had different roles and statuses in the spatial correlation network, creating a hierarchical structure. The level of geospatial proximity had a positive impact on the spatial correlation and spillover of the network. The level of economic development and infrastructure configuration hurt the network, and there is obvious heterogeneity between cities. The differences in industrial structure, opening up level, urbanization level, population density, the level of fiscal decentralization and technological innovation and personal income level among cities affected the SEBPS network. This study not only provides a new network research perspective and theoretical foundation for public service policies in China's rust belt region but also serves as a reference for urban development in similar regions.

基本公共服务均等化是实现社会公平正义的关键。促进公共服务水平的提高可以通过提高供给效率和跨区域协调发展来实现。我们运用超级-SBM 模型、修正引力模型和社会网络分析方法,基于 2011-2020 年东北三省 34 个地级市的数据,实证研究了基本公共服务供给效率(SEBPS)的空间关联网络特征。结果表明,研究区域内基本公共服务供给效率总体较低,供给效率呈现两极分化。区域间存在明显的非均衡,区域差异矩随时间推移逐渐扩大。各城市 SEBPS 之间存在较强的空间相关性,整体相关效应较弱,但网络稳定性有所提高。各城市在空间关联网络中的作用和地位不同,形成了层次结构。地理空间邻近程度对网络的空间相关性和溢出效应有积极影响。经济发展水平和基础设施配置对网络造成伤害,城市之间存在明显的异质性。城市间产业结构、开放水平、城市化水平、人口密度、财政分权和技术创新水平、个人收入水平等方面的差异影响了 SEBPS 网络。本研究不仅为中国锈带地区的公共服务政策提供了新的网络研究视角和理论基础,也为类似地区的城市发展提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
From resources to capital: Investigating the efficiency of forest ecosystem products value realization in China 从资源到资本:中国森林生态系统产品价值实现效率调查
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102052

Forest resources provide a good ecological environment for human beings and offer economic well-being and benefits. Value realization of ecosystem products reflects the process from resources to capital. This study investigates the two-stage value realization efficiency of China's forest ecosystem products from 2011 to 2021. A parallel nested network Data Envelopment Analysis model is applied to assess product supply and value transformation stages. In addition, the evolution of the spatial pattern is depicted by a multilayer Standard Deviational Ellipse. The results reveal that (1) the overall value realization trend of China's forest ecosystem products shows a fluctuating growth trend, with an average annual efficiency value of 0.86. (2) The efficiency level of the value transformation stage is lower than that of the product supply stage. (3) Regional disparities persist. The efficiency values in East China and South China are higher than that in other regions. (4) The value realization capacity of China's forest ecosystem products may be closely related to national development strategies and policy orientations.

森林资源为人类提供了良好的生态环境,并带来了经济福祉和效益。生态系统产品的价值实现反映了从资源到资本的过程。本研究探讨了 2011-2021 年中国森林生态系统产品的两阶段价值实现效率。采用并行嵌套网络数据包络分析模型评估产品供应和价值转化阶段。此外,还通过多层标准偏差椭圆描述了空间格局的演变。结果表明:(1)中国森林生态系统产品价值实现总体呈波动增长趋势,年均效率值为 0.86。(2)价值转化阶段的效率水平低于产品供给阶段的效率水平。(3) 地区差异依然存在。华东和华南地区的效率值高于其他地区。(4) 中国森林生态系统产品的价值实现能力可能与国家发展战略和政策导向密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
A mathematical framework of SMS reminder campaigns for pre- and post-diagnosis check-ups using socio-demographics: An in-silco investigation into breast cancer 利用社会人口统计学对诊断前和诊断后检查的短信提醒活动进行数学框架分析:一项针对乳腺癌的调查
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102047

Timely pre- and post-diagnosis check-ups are critical for various diseases, in general, and for cancer , in particular, as these often lead to better outcomes. Several socio-demographic properties have been identified as strongly connected with both clinical dynamics and (indirectly) with different individual check-up behaviors. Unfortunately, existing check-up policies typically consider only the former association explicitly. In this work, we propose a novel computational framework, accompanied by a high-resolution computer simulation, to investigate and optimize socio-demographic-based Short Messaging Service (SMS) reminder campaigns for check-ups. We demonstrate our computational framework using extensive real-world data from the United States (US) population, focusing on breast cancer. Our results indicate that optimizing an SMS reminder campaign based solely on simple socio-demographic features can bring about a statistically significant reduction in mortality rate compared to alternative campaigns. These results indicate SMS reminder campaigns for pre- and post-diagnosis check-ups can be instrumental in improving healthcare outcomes. However, additional research is needed to bring about applicative tools.

及时的诊前和诊后检查对各种疾病,尤其是癌症至关重要,因为这些检查往往能带来更好的治疗效果。目前已发现一些社会人口特性与临床动态和(间接地)个人不同的体检行为密切相关。遗憾的是,现有的体检政策通常只明确考虑前者。在这项工作中,我们提出了一个新颖的计算框架,并辅以高分辨率计算机模拟,以研究和优化基于社会人口学的短信服务(SMS)体检提醒活动。我们利用来自美国人口的大量真实数据演示了我们的计算框架,重点关注乳腺癌。我们的研究结果表明,仅根据简单的社会人口特征优化短信提醒活动,与其他活动相比,能在统计学上显著降低死亡率。这些结果表明,针对诊断前和诊断后检查的短信提醒活动有助于改善医疗效果。不过,还需要进行更多的研究,以开发出适用的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Circular economy convergence across European Union: Evidence on the role policy diffusion and domestic mechanisms 欧盟各国的循环经济趋同:关于政策传播和国内机制作用的证据
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102051

Promoting transition towards new business modes has become a cornerstone of contemporary policymaking. The circular economy approach has provided a novel and interesting paradigm for businesses and decision-makers aiming to boost the sustainability of production and consumption processes. The European Union (EU) has provided a wide legislative framework to guide Member States towards implementing a common set of circular economy (CE) measures and achieving harmonised progress. However, several differences exist among national norms and rules, risking reducing the effective and homogeneous achievement of EU-wide common goals. Based on these premises, following an assessment of convergence processes among Member States, the present research aims to identify factors affecting this process. More in detail, we distinguish between two mechanisms, i.e., convergence driven by international factors or, rather, a consequence of each Member State's decision-making. To do so, we applied a dyadic rare event logit model to a set of 27 EU Member States between 2008 and 2020. Our results show that both channels are in force within the EU when the economic and political consequences of CE policies are considered. Differently, the convergence process is fostered by the identification of “stories of success”, meant as good performance of CE-specific policies implemented in other countries.

促进向新商业模式转型已成为当代决策的基石。循环经济方法为旨在提高生产和消费过程可持续性的企业和决策者提供了一个新颖而有趣的范例。欧洲联盟(欧盟)提供了一个广泛的立法框架,以指导成员国实施一套共同的循环经济(CE)措施,并取得协调的进展。然而,各国的规范和规则之间存在一些差异,有可能降低欧盟范围内共同目标的有效和统一实现。基于这些前提,在对成员国之间的趋同进程进行评估之后,本研究旨在确定影响这一进程的因素。更详细地说,我们区分了两种机制,即由国际因素驱动的趋同,还是各成员国决策的结果。为此,我们对 2008 年至 2020 年间的 27 个欧盟成员国采用了二元稀有事件 logit 模型。我们的研究结果表明,在考虑行政长官政策的经济和政治后果时,这两种渠道在欧盟内部都是有效的。与此不同的是,"成功故事 "的发现促进了趋同进程,"成功故事 "指的是其他国家实施的针对消费经济的政策的良好表现。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring sustainable performance of OECD countries considering CO2 emissions: A new optimistic-pessimistic distance friction Minimization Model 从二氧化碳排放角度衡量经合组织国家的可持续绩效:一种新的乐观-悲观距离摩擦最小化模型
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102055

In today's competitive business environment, evaluating the performance of decision-making units (DMUs) such as countries and institutions is paramount. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is widely used for this purpose. One prevalent model, the Distance Friction Minimization (DFM) method, is effective in devising improvement strategies for low-efficiency DMUs. However, it has limitations as it only assesses the distance of DMUs to the efficient frontier, neglecting the inefficient frontier and providing an overly optimistic assessment. Hence, there is a growing need for methods that consider both frontiers to overcome this issue.

In this study, we introduce an enhanced DFM model that integrates both optimistic and pessimistic distance analyses. The research methodology is as follows: IDMU-based CCR and ADMU-based CCR models are designed and implemented to calculate the optimistic and pessimistic efficiency of DMUs, respectively. Then, additive models based on virtual IDMU and ADMU units are designed and implemented. Subsequently, DMUs in both approaches are categorized, and DMUs of the third category of each approach are entered into the respective DFM model. After calculating the distance of each DMU from both efficient and inefficient frontiers, the relative closeness (RC) index is employed to aggregate the distances of DMUs from the efficient and inefficient frontiers. Finally, the DMUs are ranked based on the RC index. To demonstrate the practicality of the model, we evaluate the sustainable performance of OECD countries concerning CO2 emissions. Our findings illustrate that the model can measure DMUs' distances to both efficient and inefficient frontiers, providing policymakers dealing with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) a more nuanced understanding of the situation.

In summary, the DFM model proposed in this study bridges the gap by considering optimistic and pessimistic perspectives, offering a more comprehensive view of DMU performance.

在当今竞争激烈的商业环境中,评估国家和机构等决策单位(DMUs)的绩效至关重要。为此,数据包络分析法(DEA)得到了广泛应用。一种流行的模型,即距离摩擦最小化(DFM)方法,可以有效地为低效率的 DMU 制定改进战略。然而,它也有局限性,因为它只评估了 DMU 与有效边界的距离,忽略了无效率边界,提供了过于乐观的评估。因此,越来越需要同时考虑两个前沿的方法来克服这一问题。在本研究中,我们引入了一个增强的 DFM 模型,该模型综合了乐观和悲观的距离分析。研究方法如下:设计并实施基于 IDMU 的 CCR 模型和基于 ADMU 的 CCR 模型,分别计算 DMU 的乐观效率和悲观效率。然后,设计并实施基于虚拟 IDMU 和 ADMU 单元的加法模型。随后,对两种方法中的 DMU 进行分类,并将每种方法中第三类的 DMU 输入各自的 DFM 模型。在计算每个 DMU 与有效前沿和无效率前沿的距离后,采用相对接近度(RC)指数汇总 DMU 与有效前沿和无效率前沿的距离。最后,根据 RC 指数对 DMU 进行排序。为了证明该模型的实用性,我们评估了经合组织国家在二氧化碳排放方面的可持续绩效。我们的研究结果表明,该模型可以衡量 DMU 与高效和低效前沿的距离,从而为处理可持续发展目标(SDGs)的政策制定者提供对情况更细致入微的了解。总之,本研究中提出的 DFM 模型通过考虑乐观和悲观的观点弥合了差距,为 DMU 的绩效提供了更全面的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Stage stochastic incremental data envelopment analysis models and applications 阶段随机增量数据包络分析模型及应用
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102056

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a mathematical programming method that can evaluate the relative efficiency of multiple inputs and multiple outputs of a decision-making unit (DMU). The classical DEA model assumes that inputs and outputs are determined. However, there are some applications where the inputs–outputs are stochastic. In practice, it is important to evaluate stage performance. It is essential to eliminate the effect of preceding stage inputs (outputs) on stage performance in order to accurately assess stage performance. In this paper, we propose stage stochastic incremental DEA models that integrate two different kinds of inputs and outputs. The first kind of model takes into account the assessment of stage efficiency when determinate incremental inputs and stochastic incremental outputs are applied at the beginning and end of the stage. The second kind of model uses stochastic incremental inputs–outputs to evaluate stage efficiency. To verify the efficacy of the suggested models, the first kind of model is applied to assess the stage financing efficiency of 15 energy-saving and environmental protection clean enterprises (ESEPCEs). The second kind of model is applied in assessing the stage investment efficiency of 15 ESEPCEs. The empirical results show that the proposed models not only eliminate the effect of prior performance but also more accurately assess stage efficiency in a stochastic environment.

数据包络分析(DEA)是一种数学编程方法,可以评估决策单元(DMU)的多投入和多产出的相对效率。经典的 DEA 模型假定投入和产出是确定的。然而,在某些应用中,投入产出是随机的。在实践中,评估阶段绩效非常重要。为了准确评估阶段绩效,必须消除前阶段投入(产出)对阶段绩效的影响。本文提出的阶段随机增量 DEA 模型整合了两种不同的投入和产出。第一种模型考虑了在阶段开始和结束时采用确定增量投入和随机增量产出时的阶段效率评估。第二种模型使用随机增量投入产出来评估阶段效率。为了验证所建议模型的有效性,第一种模型被用于评估 15 家节能环保清洁企业(ESEPCE)的阶段融资效率。第二种模型用于评估 15 家节能环保清洁企业的阶段投资效率。实证结果表明,所提出的模型不仅消除了先前绩效的影响,而且能更准确地评估随机环境下的阶段效率。
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引用次数: 0
Scenario analysis of livestock-related PM2.5 pollution based on a new heteroskedastic spatiotemporal model 基于新型异方差时空模型的畜牧业 PM2.5 污染情景分析
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102053

The air in the Lombardy Plain, Italy, is one of the most polluted in Europe due to limited atmosphere circulation and high emission levels. There is broad scientific consensus that ammonia (NH3) emissions have a primary impact on air quality, and in Lombardy, the agricultural sector and livestock activities are widely recognised as being responsible for approximately 97% of regional ammonia emissions due to the high density of livestock.

In this paper, we quantify the relationship between ammonia emissions and PM2.5 concentrations in the Lombardy Plain and evaluate PM2.5 changes due to the reduction of ammonia emissions through a ‘what-if’ scenario analysis. The information in the data is exploited using a spatiotemporal statistical model capable of handling spatial and temporal correlation as well as missing data. To do this, we propose a new heteroskedastic extension of the well-established Hidden Dynamic Geostatistical Model. Maximum likelihood parameter estimates are obtained by the expectation–maximisation algorithm and implemented in a new version of the D-STEM software.

Considering the years between 2016 and 2020, the scenario analysis is carried out on high-resolution PM2.5 maps of the Lombardy Plain. As a result, it is shown that a 26% reduction in NH3 emissions in the wintertime could reduce the PM2.5 average by 1.44 μg/m3 while a 50% reduction could reduce the PM2.5 average by 2.76 μg/m3 which corresponds to a reduction close to 3.6% and 7% respectively. Finally, results are detailed by province and land type.

意大利伦巴第平原的空气是欧洲污染最严重的地区之一,原因是大气环流有限和排放水平较高。科学界普遍认为,氨气(NH3)排放对空气质量有主要影响,而在伦巴第大区,由于牲畜密度高,农业部门和畜牧业活动被广泛认为造成了约 97% 的区域氨气排放。在本文中,我们量化了伦巴第平原氨气排放与 PM2.5 浓度之间的关系,并通过 "假设 "情景分析评估了减少氨气排放对 PM2.5 的影响。数据中的信息通过时空统计模型加以利用,该模型能够处理时空相关性和数据缺失问题。为此,我们对成熟的隐藏动态地理统计模型提出了一种新的异方差扩展。通过期望最大化算法获得最大似然参数估计,并在新版 D-STEM 软件中实施。结果表明,冬季减少 26% 的 NH3 排放可使 PM2.5 平均值降低 1.44 μg/m3 ,而减少 50%可使 PM2.5 平均值降低 2.76 μg/m3,分别相当于降低了接近 3.6% 和 7%。最后,结果按省份和土地类型进行了详细说明。
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引用次数: 0
An innovative patient clustering method using data envelopment Analysis–Discriminant analysis and artificial neural networks: A case study in healthcare systems 使用数据包络分析-判别分析和人工神经网络的创新病人聚类方法:医疗系统案例研究
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102054

A major lesson healthcare managers learned from the COVID-19 outbreak is the need for more effective patient classification and medical resource allocation for future pandemics. In their view, hospitalization mortality could be greatly reduced if more effective systems for patient classification were in place before the outbreak to evaluate and assign treatment facilities. This study presents a scalable patient clustering approach using a Self-Organizing Map (SOM) of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to cluster patients for appropriate treatment allocation. The patients’ membership is forecasted using Data Envelopment Analysis–Discriminant Analysis (DEA-DA). The objectives of this research are to develop a flexible framework that healthcare systems can adopt to cluster patients based on specific testing criteria from medical records and to assign them to suitable medical centers with appropriate treatment resources. This method aims to enhance healthcare system efficiency by ensuring patients with severe illnesses receive care at well-equipped centers, while those with milder symptoms are directed to other suitable facilities. The approach is scalable and adaptable to any type of widespread illness and aims to increase recovery rates and decrease mortality rates, as confirmed by the case study results.

医疗管理人员从 COVID-19 爆发中学到的一个重要经验是,需要为未来的大流行病进行更有效的病人分类和医疗资源分配。他们认为,如果在疫情爆发前就建立起更有效的病人分类系统来评估和分配治疗设施,那么住院死亡率就会大大降低。本研究提出了一种可扩展的病人聚类方法,利用人工神经网络(ANN)的自组织图(SOM)对病人进行聚类,以分配适当的治疗。使用数据包络分析-判别分析(DEA-DA)对患者的成员资格进行预测。本研究的目标是开发一个灵活的框架,供医疗系统根据医疗记录中的特定测试标准对患者进行聚类,并将他们分配到拥有适当治疗资源的合适医疗中心。这种方法旨在提高医疗系统的效率,确保重症患者在设备齐全的中心接受治疗,而症状较轻的患者则被引导到其他合适的机构。正如案例研究结果所证实的那样,该方法具有可扩展性,适用于任何类型的广泛疾病,旨在提高康复率和降低死亡率。
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引用次数: 0
An ellipse-based locating method for flexible deployment of emergency UAVs 用于灵活部署应急无人机的基于椭圆的定位方法
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102049

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs), or drones, are gaining attention in emergency response for their rapid mobility in dynamic scenarios. Constrained by limited endurance and payload, UAVs typically operate in a ”depot-customer-depot” paradigm. Thus, optimally locating multiple depots is critical to achieving operational efficiency and flexibility. Traditional location models, which rely on circular coverage, fail to capture the actual reachable area for UAV round-trips between multiple depots within a given endurance range. This drawback restricts deployment flexibility or results in excessive redundancy, even making it impractical. To address this limitation, we introduce an ellipse-based locating method for flexible UAV deployment, inspired by UAV reachability and process flexibility in manufacturing. This approach attempts to optimize the redundancy of multi-depot coverage for demand points to achieve a better balance between deployment flexibility and resource requirements. To tackle the model’s computational challenge, we present an improved Benders decomposition algorithm that speeds up the solution process by analytically addressing subproblems and implementing dominance rules to manage the master problem’s size. Simulations show that the proposed model greatly improves the ability to handle uncertainties by incorporating slight redundancy in emergency resources, and the fulfillment rate of demand fluctuations is increased by 5%–20%, which shows the superiority of enhancing the mobility and flexibility of UAV deployment.

无人驾驶飞行器(UAV)或无人机因其在动态场景中的快速机动性,在应急响应中日益受到关注。受限于有限的续航时间和有效载荷,无人机通常以 "仓库-客户-仓库 "的模式运行。因此,对多个仓库进行优化定位对于实现运营效率和灵活性至关重要。传统的定位模型依赖于圆形覆盖范围,无法捕捉到无人机在给定续航时间范围内往返多个仓库的实际可达区域。这一缺点限制了部署的灵活性,或导致过多的冗余,甚至使部署变得不切实际。为了解决这一局限性,我们从无人机的可达性和制造过程的灵活性中汲取灵感,为无人机的灵活部署引入了一种基于椭圆的定位方法。这种方法试图优化需求点的多点覆盖冗余度,从而在部署灵活性和资源需求之间实现更好的平衡。为了解决该模型的计算难题,我们提出了一种改进的本德斯分解算法,通过分析处理子问题和实施支配规则来管理主问题的规模,从而加快求解过程。仿真结果表明,所提出的模型通过在应急资源中加入轻微冗余,极大地提高了处理不确定性的能力,需求波动的满足率提高了 5%-20%,显示了增强无人机部署的机动性和灵活性的优越性。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency analysis of the innovation-driven sustainable logistics industry 创新驱动型可持续物流业的效率分析
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.102050

The logistics industry is at the heart of socio-economic development. Disruption in the logistics and supply chain industry grounded many sectors to a halt at the height of COVID-19 with economic and environmental implications. This study examines the efficiency and interconnections among innovation, energy, infrastructure, and logistics performance as the logistics industry strives to attain a green supply chain while maintaining economic growth and environmental sustainability. To capture these relationships, a network data envelopment analysis model is designed for efficiency analysis. 36 % of the evaluated countries had below-average efficiency. Results also indicate innovation and energy sustainability as drivers of efficiency and sustainability in the logistics industry. This implies the need for innovation in logistics energy infrastructure by decarbonizing the logistics industry. Regional and national partnerships in the technological development of green energy to power the logistics industry are recommended.

物流业是社会经济发展的核心。在 COVID-19 高峰期,物流和供应链行业的混乱导致许多行业停滞不前,对经济和环境造成了影响。本研究探讨了创新、能源、基础设施和物流绩效之间的效率和相互联系,因为物流业正努力实现绿色供应链,同时保持经济增长和环境的可持续发展。为了捕捉这些关系,设计了一个网络数据包络分析模型来进行效率分析。36% 的受评估国家的效率低于平均水平。结果还表明,创新和能源可持续性是物流业效率和可持续性的驱动力。这意味着需要通过物流业的去碳化来实现物流能源基础设施的创新。建议在绿色能源技术发展方面建立区域和国家伙伴关系,为物流业提供动力。
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引用次数: 0
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Socio-economic Planning Sciences
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