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Hybrid model for evaluating the transformation of China’s resource-based cities 评估中国资源型城市转型的混合模型
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101947
Song Pu , Chang Xia

This paper constructs a new and proposes a novel hybrid model combining multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) model and variability for multi-periods as well as the approaches to select the best specific hybrid model. A case study based on 17 RBCs in three provinces of southwest of China for 2012–2020 indicates that the transformation efficiency of most RBCs is between 0.400 and 0.600. More specifically, 12 out of 17 RBCs have a positive variability direction with the biggest variability value less than 0.039. Sichuan has an obvious downward trend with a decreased rate of 9.13%, while Yunnan and Guizhou increase by 10.50% and 6.43%, respectively. The transformation efficiency of mature cities is the worst, while the only recession city is the best. The transformation efficiency of RBCs has the highest correlation with the freight volume, other indicators including unemployment rate, ratio of GDP growth, fiscal revenue, average annual population and unemployment rate are high correlation with the transformation efficiency.

本文构建了一种新的多标准决策(MCDM)模型与多期可变性相结合的混合模型,并提出了选择最佳特定混合模型的方法。基于 2012-2020 年中国西南三省 17 个区域商业中心的案例研究表明,大多数区域商业中心的转化效率在 0.400 到 0.600 之间。更具体地说,17 个区域气候中心中有 12 个的变率方向为正,最大变率值小于 0.039。四川下降趋势明显,降幅为 9.13%,云南和贵州分别上升了 10.50%和 6.43%。成熟城市的转型效率最差,唯一衰退城市的转型效率最好。区域中心城市的转型效率与货运量的相关性最高,其他指标包括失业率、GDP 增长率、财政收入、年均人口和失业率与转型效率的相关性也较高。
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引用次数: 0
Does pro-environmental consumption contribute to subjective well-being? Empirical evidence from Italy 亲环境消费是否有助于主观幸福感?来自意大利的经验证据
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101969
Rashad Mammadli , Chiara Gigliarano

This paper examines the association between pro-environmental consumption and subjective well-being and tests whether this type of decision could be explained as a utility-maximizing choice under welfare economics, or it is subject to systematic deviations from rational choice. The literature provides evidence for positive and significant effects of pro-environmental consumption on subjective well-being; however, studies describing this relationship and drawing comparisons based on specific dimensions are limited. Here we try to fill the gap by proposing two composite indicators, representing preferences for pro-environmental behaviour in different dimensions. The indicator “proactive behaviour” encompasses the consumption of products with better environmental efficiency, while the indicator “avoidance behaviour” pertains to sustainable choices that involve avoiding – or less frequently engaging in – consumption decisions with negative ecological externalities. The findings, based on data from the Aspects of Daily Life survey conducted in Italy by ISTAT, provide that the former has a stronger effect on subjective well-being compared to the latter. Furthermore, the analysis reveals that environmental satisfaction negatively moderates the relationship between sustainable consumption and life satisfaction.

本文探讨了亲环境消费与主观幸福感之间的关系,并检验了此类决策是否可以解释为福利经济学下的效用最大化选择,或者是否存在系统性的理性选择偏差。文献提供的证据表明,环保消费对主观幸福感有积极而显著的影响;然而,描述这种关系并基于特定维度进行比较的研究却很有限。在此,我们试图通过提出两个综合指标来填补这一空白,这两个指标代表了不同维度的亲环境行为偏好。主动行为 "指标包括消费具有更好环境效益的产品,而 "避免行为 "指标则涉及可持续选择,即避免或较少参与具有负面生态外部性的消费决策。根据意大利国家统计局在意大利进行的 "日常生活方面 "调查数据得出的结果显示,与后者相比,前者对主观幸福感的影响更大。此外,分析还显示,环境满意度对可持续消费和生活满意度之间的关系起着消极的调节作用。
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引用次数: 0
Regional differences, dynamic evolution, and obstacle factors of cultivated land ecological security in China 中国耕地生态安全的区域差异、动态演变与障碍因素
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101970
Chien-Chiang Lee , Anqi Qian

Under the influence of geopolitical conflicts, extreme weather, and other factors, global food security has been severely impacted. Cultivated land ecological security in China is vital for guaranteeing local food security and sustainable development. Therefore, using provincial data from 2003 to 2020, this research establishes an index system based on the pressure-state-response (PSR) model and assesses its cultivated land ecological security via the entropy weight method. A series of measurements such as Dagum's Gini coefficient and spatial Markov chain are then adopted to reveal changes in regional differences and spatial-temporal characteristics of cultivated land ecological security in China. The findings indicate that this ecological security has risen from insecure to critically secure, but the overall gap has gradually widened, mainly stemming from interregional differences. Cultivated land ecological security exhibits positive spatial clustering characteristics and the phenomenon of club convergence. The amount of water resources, the degree of soil erosion control, and the strength of local financial expenditure on agriculture are the main factors hindering its cultivated land ecological security, and the threats mainly come from the response criterion layer. Therefore, it is essential to strengthen measures for cropland ecological protection, to formulate targeted strategies by combining the regional characteristics, to narrow the intra-regional gap, and to bring into play the spatial radiation effect of high-level provinces.

受地缘政治冲突、极端天气等因素影响,全球粮食安全受到严重冲击。中国耕地生态安全对保障地方粮食安全和可持续发展至关重要。因此,本研究利用 2003 年至 2020 年的省级数据,建立了基于压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型的指标体系,并通过熵权法对其进行了耕地生态安全评估。然后采用达古姆基尼系数、空间马尔科夫链等一系列测度方法,揭示中国耕地生态安全的区域差异变化和时空特征。研究结果表明,耕地生态安全由不安全上升到基本安全,但总体差距逐渐扩大,主要源于区域间的差异。耕地生态安全呈现出积极的空间集聚特征和俱乐部趋同现象。水资源量、水土流失治理程度、地方财政农业支出力度是阻碍耕地生态安全的主要因素,威胁主要来自响应标准层。因此,必须强化耕地生态保护措施,结合区域特点制定有针对性的策略,缩小区域内差距,发挥高水平省份的空间辐射作用。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative clustering and visualization of socioeconomic and health indicators: A case of Kenya 社会经济和健康指标的比较聚类和可视化:肯尼亚案例
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101961
Evans Kiptoo Korir

In this study, we used principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of the data and used a hierarchical and K-means clustering technique to stratify counties in Kenya into five clusters. The grouped counties were then projected onto a geographic map to understand the relationship between their location and socioeconomic and health indicators. The results obtained may be useful to the county and state governments in future plans to promote inclusive and sustainable economic development.

在这项研究中,我们使用了主成分分析法(PCA)来降低数据的维度,并使用分层和 K 均值聚类技术将肯尼亚的县划分为五个群组。然后将分组后的县投影到地理图上,以了解其位置与社会经济和健康指标之间的关系。所获得的结果可能对县和州政府未来促进包容性和可持续经济发展的计划有所帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Does the clusters of high-speed railway network match the urban agglomerations? A case study in China 高速铁路网的集群是否与城市群相匹配?中国案例研究
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101968

High-speed railways play a crucial role in intercity transportation, shaping the spatial interactions within urban agglomerations. However, a mismatch between transportation clusters and the spatial structure of urban agglomerations hampers regional economic integration. To address this issue, this paper proposes a community classification model, employing the Louvain algorithm, to analyze the aggregation of high-speed railway networks (HSRN). It compares central cities in city clusters with HSRN communities in relevant areas, examining the influence of central cities on urban agglomerations. The model is applied to a case study of China's high-speed railway network. The community classifications of HSRN are then compared with planned or future urban agglomerations at the national, provincial, and civic levels. The findings reveal that HSRN in China exhibits distinct clusters that align with the distribution of urban agglomerations. The existing central cities within these agglomerations provide good service levels in the HSRN network. However, HSRN communities within each urban agglomeration are overly scattered and should be integrated to reduce accessibility inequalities. This study offers suggestions for the development planning of HSRN and contributes to the economic integration of urban agglomerations.

高速铁路在城际交通中发挥着至关重要的作用,影响着城市群内部的空间互动。然而,交通集群与城市群空间结构的不匹配阻碍了区域经济一体化。为解决这一问题,本文提出了一种采用卢万算法的群落分类模型,用于分析高速铁路网络(HSRN)的聚集情况。它将城市群中的中心城市与相关地区的高速铁路网络群落进行比较,研究中心城市对城市群的影响。该模型应用于中国高速铁路网的案例研究。然后,将高铁网的社区分类与国家、省和市规划或未来的城市群进行比较。研究结果表明,中国的高铁网络呈现出与城市群分布相一致的独特群落。这些城市群中现有的中心城市为 HSRN 网络提供了良好的服务水平。然而,各城市群内的高铁网络社区过于分散,应加以整合,以减少交通不平等。本研究为 HSRN 的发展规划提供了建议,有助于城市群的经济一体化。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated planning of emergency supply pre-positioning and victim evacuation 综合规划紧急供应品预置和受害者疏散
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101965
Wenjie Yang , Aakil M. Caunhye , Maolin Zhuo , Qingyi Wang

Natural disasters such as earthquakes, floods, and storms cause numerous human casualties and economic losses every year. Emergency supply pre-positioning and victim evacuation, as two important emergency relief operations, tend to be separately considered in the literature. However, there are intrinsic correlations between the two operations in reality, which calls for an integrated planning of emergency supply pre-positioning and victim evacuation. In this study, we propose a stochastic programming model to optimize, in an integrated way, the deployment of emergency facilities, pre-stocking and distribution of emergency supplies and management of self-evacuated victims under two planning goals, namely cost effectiveness and evacuation fairness. We also formulate four comparison models to highlight the benefits of our integrated planning model. With a case study on the development of an emergency preparedness and response plan in Sichuan Province, China, we not only demonstrate the effectiveness and benefits of our approach but also obtain key managerial insights and policy suggestions for better emergency management practice.

地震、洪水和风暴等自然灾害每年都会造成大量人员伤亡和经济损失。应急供应预置和灾民疏散作为两项重要的应急救援行动,在文献中往往被分开考虑。然而,在现实中,这两项行动之间存在着内在联系,这就需要对应急供应预置和灾民疏散进行综合规划。在本研究中,我们提出了一个随机编程模型,在成本效益和疏散公平性这两个规划目标下,综合优化应急设施的部署、应急物资的预先储备和分配以及自行疏散灾民的管理。我们还制定了四个比较模型,以突出综合规划模型的优势。通过对中国四川省制定应急准备和响应计划的案例研究,我们不仅证明了我们的方法的有效性和益处,还获得了关键的管理见解和政策建议,以更好地开展应急管理实践。
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引用次数: 0
Service area delineation to support on-demand mobility for the transport disadvantaged 划定服务区以支持交通弱势群体按需出行
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101967
Alan T. Murray , Khaled Shammout , Randall Farwell , Kayla Huetten , Taylor Cox

Given the significance of technology to enhance public transit services and its potential for improving access to and the delivery of transportation services, this paper addresses strategic neighborhood mobility improvements to aid the transportation-disadvantaged. A spatial optimization model is presented to identify underserved areas for which transit can be better tailored to meet their mobility needs. The introduction of mobility-on-demand in the Cincinnati metropolitan area to augment and complement existing fixed-route transit is reported. The use of spatial analytics to support targeted neighborhood system design is detailed. The study illustrates how new mobility-on-demand services will substantially enhance travel options for the transport disadvantaged. Further, the use of spatial analytics offers insights for transit service plan development and implementation by more precisely targeting mobility needs in service area delineation and operationalization.

鉴于技术对提升公共交通服务的重要意义,以及技术在改善交通服务的可及性和交付方面的潜力,本文探讨了改善邻里流动性的战略,以帮助交通弱势群体。本文提出了一个空间优化模型,以确定服务不足的地区,为这些地区量身定制公交服务,更好地满足其交通需求。报告还介绍了在辛辛那提大都会区引入按需移动服务以增强和补充现有固定路线公交的情况。详细介绍了如何利用空间分析来支持有针对性的街区系统设计。该研究说明了新的按需移动服务将如何大大增加交通弱势群体的出行选择。此外,空间分析技术的使用还为公交服务计划的制定和实施提供了见解,在服务区域的划分和运营中更精确地瞄准了流动性需求。
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引用次数: 0
Unravelling the influence of formal and informal institutions on the duration of public concessions 揭示正式和非正式机构对公共特许权期限的影响
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101966
Jorge Fleta-Asín , Fernando Muñoz , Carlos Sáenz-Royo

The growing prominence of public–private partnerships featuring concessions has become a focal point in the management realm. Concession agreements, often spanning numerous years, imbue projects with continuity and stability. Through the theory of neo-institutionalism, we analyse the influence of formal and informal institutions on the duration of these projects across diverse countries, showing the pivotal role played by the institutional environment and consensus mechanisms in ensuring the success of such collaborative endeavours. The findings furnish valuable insights for practitioners and policymakers by facilitating the identification of optimal conditions to establish enduring and highly effective concession agreements.

以特许权为特征的公私合作伙伴关系日益突出,已成为管理领域的一个焦点。特许权协议通常持续多年,使项目具有连续性和稳定性。通过新制度主义理论,我们分析了正式和非正式制度对这些项目在不同国家的持续时间的影响,显示了制度环境和共识机制在确保此类合作努力取得成功方面发挥的关键作用。研究结果为从业人员和政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解,有助于确定建立持久、高效的特许权协议的最佳条件。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the critical success factors of entrepreneurship to promote Chinese agriculture systems: A multi-criteria decision-making approach 重新审视创业的关键成功因素,促进中国农业系统的发展:多标准决策方法
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101951
Yongming Tao , Farhan Muhammad Muneeb , Peter Fernandes Wanke , Yong Tan , Amir Karbassi Yazdi

In recent times, as markets undergo rapid evolution, agriculture systems encounter multifaceted challenges and require vibrant critical success factors (CSFs) to enhance productivity, efficiency, and performance. This study aims to examine entrepreneurship-based CSFs and uncover how they impact on Chinese agriculture systems. We identified and prioritized 12 CSFs among a pool of 18 CSFs using the Delphi method. Drawing on a comprehensive review of the state-of-the-art literature and validated by expert opinions, we collected six Chinese-listed agriculture firms sample. Subsequently to analyze our data, we employed multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM), step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA), and additive ratio assessment (ARAS), utilizing Lingo V.18 and MATLAB. Results suggest that entrepreneurial mindset (coefficient weight >0.97), farmer entrepreneurial awareness (coefficient weight >0.87), and entrepreneurial technology transfer (coefficient weight >0.84) are symbiotic and significantly impact the growth and development of Chinese agriculture system. Moreover, this study provides timely policy recommendations by unveiling the identified CSFs, offering new strategies poised to foster socio-economic growth and development in Chinese rural regions.

近年来,随着市场的快速发展,农业系统遇到了多方面的挑战,需要充满活力的关键成功要素(CSFs)来提高生产力、效率和绩效。本研究旨在探讨基于创业精神的 CSFs,并揭示它们对中国农业系统的影响。我们采用德尔菲法从 18 个 CSFs 中确定了 12 个 CSFs,并对其进行了优先排序。通过对最新文献的全面回顾和专家意见的验证,我们收集了 6 家中国上市农业企业样本。随后,我们利用 Lingo V.18 和 MATLAB 对数据进行了多标准决策(MCDM)、步进权重评估比率分析(SWARA)和加法比率评估(ARAS)分析。结果表明,创业心态(系数权重为 0.97)、农民创业意识(系数权重为 0.87)和创业技术转移(系数权重为 0.84)是共生的,对中国农业系统的成长和发展有显著影响。此外,本研究通过揭示所识别的 CSFs,及时提出了政策建议,为促进中国农村地区的社会经济增长和发展提供了新的战略。
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引用次数: 0
Simultaneous inference for proportions in multivariate stratified random sampling without replacement for service quality control using multiple choice questions 使用多选题进行服务质量控制的多变量无替换分层随机抽样中的比例同步推论
IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2024.101956
Paolo Carmelo Cozzucoli

Determining the asymptotic distribution of the estimator for parameters of interest when employing complex sampling designs is a methodological issue of extreme importance. This paper addresses the problem of determining the asymptotic distribution of the vector of sample proportions when the survey questionnaire employs multiple-choice questions, as often done in service quality evaluations. Specifically, we consider a stratified sampling design where units within each stratum are selected without replacement, and the multivariate random variable from which the sample is drawn follows a multivariate Bernoulli distribution. The main goal is to obtain a valid asymptotic result under the specific conditions imposed by this design, so as to make statistical inference about the vector of specific parameters of interest, such as the proportion of responses assigned to each subdimension considered in the survey questionnaire.

在采用复杂的抽样设计时,确定相关参数估计值的渐近分布是一个极其重要的方法问题。本文探讨的问题是,当调查问卷采用多选题时,如何确定样本比例向量的渐近分布,这在服务质量评估中经常使用。具体来说,我们考虑了一种分层抽样设计,其中每个层内的单位都是在不替换的情况下抽取的,抽取样本的多变量随机变量遵循多变量伯努利分布。我们的主要目标是在这一设计所施加的特定条件下获得有效的渐近结果,从而对相关特定参数的向量进行统计推断,例如调查问卷中每个子维度的回答比例。
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引用次数: 0
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Socio-economic Planning Sciences
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