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Contraceptive Adoption and Changes in Empowerment in Kenya, Nigeria, and Senegal. 肯尼亚、尼日利亚和塞内加尔的避孕药具采用情况和赋权变化。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-02 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12250
Michelle L O'Brien, Marita Zimmermann, Linnea Eitmann, Dennis L Chao, Joshua L Proctor

Women's empowerment and contraceptive use are critical to achieving gender equality. The positive association between more empowered women and higher rates of contraceptive use has been well-established by cross-sectional research. However, there remains a gap in understanding the longitudinal relationship between contraceptive adoption and changes to women's empowerment. This study represents a novel approach to understanding the relationship between contraceptive adoption and women's empowerment longitudinally, at the individual level. To the authors' knowledge, this is the first attempt to measure the relationship between contraceptive adoption and women's empowerment using more than one wave of panel data. We leverage the longitudinal design of the Urban Reproductive Health Initiative data to code empowerment items by change over time (e.g., more empowered, no change, less empowered). We use sparse principal component analysis to establish empowerment change domains and calculate individual scores standardized by country-level averages. We estimate mixed effects models on these change domains, to investigate the link between contraceptive adoption and empowerment. We find common themes in empowerment across contexts-but contraceptive adoption has both positive and negative effects on those domains, and this varies across context. We discuss the need for cohort studies to examine this relationship.

妇女赋权和避孕药具的使用对于实现性别平等至关重要。横向研究已充分证实,妇女赋权越多,避孕药具使用率越高,两者之间存在正相关关系。然而,在了解避孕药具的采用与妇女赋权变化之间的纵向关系方面仍存在差距。本研究采用了一种新颖的方法,从个人层面纵向了解采用避孕药具和妇女赋权之间的关系。据作者所知,这是首次尝试使用不止一次的面板数据来衡量避孕措施的采用与妇女赋权之间的关系。我们利用城市生殖健康倡议数据的纵向设计,按照随时间的变化(如更有权力、无变化、较少权力)对权力项目进行编码。我们使用稀疏主成分分析来建立赋权变化域,并以国家级平均值为标准计算个人得分。我们对这些变化领域进行了混合效应模型估算,以研究避孕药具采用与赋权之间的联系。我们发现了不同情况下增强权能的共同主题--但采用避孕药具对这些领域既有积极影响,也有消极影响,而且不同情况下的影响也不尽相同。我们讨论了开展队列研究来研究这种关系的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Contraceptive Intentions and Use throughout the Extended Postpartum Period: A Panel Study in Ethiopia. 延长产后期间的避孕意图和使用:埃塞俄比亚的一项小组研究。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12252
Sophia Magalona, Celia Karp, Solomon Shiferaw, Assefa Seme, Birikty Lulu, Mahari Yihdego, Linnea Zimmerman

The postpartum period is an ideal time for women to access contraception, but the prevalence of postpartum contraceptive use remains low in sub-Saharan Africa. To better understand the gap between women's desires to space or limit births and their contraceptive behaviors, intention to use contraception has been proposed as a person-centered measure of contraceptive demand. Using data from a panel study of Ethiopian women aged 15-49 who were interviewed at six weeks, six months, and one year postpartum, we examined the dynamics of contraceptive intention in the first year postpartum and its relationship with contraceptive use. Contraceptive intention fluctuated considerably in the year after childbirth. At six weeks, 60.9 percent of women intended to use a contraceptive method in the next year; 23.2% did not. By one year, less than half (43.5 percent) were using a method, and those who had no intention to use doubled (44.5 percent). Women who developed or sustained their intention to use a method in the postpartum period were more likely to adopt a method by one year than those who did not, showing that contraceptive intention is a strong predictor of use and has the potential to inform person-centered reproductive health programming in the extended postpartum period.

产后是妇女获得避孕药具的理想时间,但在撒哈拉以南非洲,产后避孕药具使用率仍然很低。为了更好地理解女性生育空间或限制生育的愿望与避孕行为之间的差距,人们提出将避孕意图作为以人为中心的避孕需求衡量标准。利用一项针对15-49岁埃塞俄比亚妇女的小组研究数据,我们在产后六周、六个月和一年时对她们进行了访谈,研究了产后第一年避孕意愿的动态及其与避孕药具使用的关系。避孕意愿在产后一年中波动很大。六周时,60.9%的女性打算在下一年使用避孕方法;23.2%没有。到一年时,只有不到一半(43.5%)的人在使用这种方法,而那些无意使用的人则翻了一番(44.5%)。在产后形成或持续使用某种方法的女性比没有形成或持续的女性更有可能在一年前采用这种方法,这表明避孕意图是使用的有力预测因素,并有可能在延长的产后期间为以人为中心的生殖健康规划提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Access to Higher Education and Adolescent Fertility in Chile. 智利接受高等教育的机会与青少年生育率。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12254
Viviana Salinas, Valentina Jorquera-Samter, Pilar Wiegand-Cruz

This study investigates gender differences in the association between adolescent fertility and the likelihood of initiating higher education among young Chilean men and women. We adopt an entropy balancing strategy to estimate the association between adolescent fertility and the likelihood of starting higher education while accounting for potential selection into early childbearing due to socioeconomic status and prior academic achievement. We use data from official national registers that cover a cohort of Chilean students who attended publicly funded schools and who successfully completed secondary schooling between 2011 and 2022. Our results indicate that adolescent mothers are 15 percentage points less likely to initiate higher education than their peers who did not give birth during adolescence. In comparison, teenage fathers are 20 percentage points less likely to do so than their childless counterparts. Our findings stand in contrast to previously identified disadvantage patterns for secondary school completion, whereby adolescent fertility more significantly hinders schooling completion for women relative to men. We contend that this reversal may be related to traditional gender-role expectations in Chile, which encourage young fathers to act as providers and, therefore, may be prevented from continuing on their education path into tertiary studies.

本研究调查了智利青年男女青春期生育率与接受高等教育可能性之间的性别差异。我们采用熵平衡策略来估算青少年生育率与开始接受高等教育的可能性之间的关联,同时考虑到社会经济地位和先前学业成绩可能导致的早育选择。我们使用的数据来自国家官方登记册,涵盖了 2011 年至 2022 年期间就读于公立学校并顺利完成中学学业的智利学生群体。我们的研究结果表明,与青春期未生育的同龄人相比,青春期母亲接受高等教育的可能性要低 15 个百分点。相比之下,未成年父亲接受高等教育的可能性比没有生育的同龄人低 20 个百分点。我们的研究结果与之前发现的中学毕业的不利模式形成了鲜明对比,即青春期生育对女性完成学业的阻碍比男性更大。我们认为,这种逆转可能与智利传统的性别角色期望有关,这种期望鼓励年轻父亲充当供养者,因此可能会阻碍他们在教育道路上继续深造。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Contraception and Pregnancy in Malawi: A Thanzi La Onse Mathematical Modeling Study. 马拉维避孕与怀孕模型:Thanzi La Onse 数学建模研究。
IF 1.9 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12255
Tim Colbourn, Eva Janoušková, Ines Li Lin, Joseph Collins, Emilia Connolly, Matt Graham, Britta Jewel, Fannie Kachale, Tara Mangal, Gerald Manthalu, Joseph Mfutso-Bengo, Emmanuel Mnjowe, Sakshi Mohan, Margherita Molaro, Wingston Ng'ambi, Dominic Nkhoma, Paul Revill, Bingling She, Robert Manning Smith, Pakwanja Twea, Asif Tamuri, Andrew Phillips, Timothy B Hallett

Malawi has high unmet need for contraception with a costed national plan to increase contraception use. Estimating how such investments might impact future population size in Malawi can help policymakers understand effects and value of policies to increase contraception uptake. We developed a new model of contraception and pregnancy using individual-level data capturing complexities of contraception initiation, switching, discontinuation, and failure by contraception method, accounting for differences by individual characteristics. We modeled contraception scale-up via a population campaign to increase initiation of contraception (Pop) and a postpartum family planning intervention (PPFP). We calibrated the model without new interventions to the UN World Population Prospects 2019 medium variant projection of births for Malawi. Without interventions Malawi's population passes 60 million in 2084; with Pop and PPFP interventions. it peaks below 35 million by 2100. We compare contraception coverage and costs, by method, with and without interventions, from 2023 to 2050. We estimate investments in contraception scale-up correspond to only 0.9 percent of total health expenditure per capita though could result in dramatic reductions of current pressures of very rapid population growth on health services, schools, land, and society, helping Malawi achieve national and global health and development goals.

马拉维未得到满足的避孕需求很高,该国已制定了一项已计算成本的国家计划,以提高避孕药具的使用率。估算这些投资对马拉维未来人口数量的影响有助于政策制定者了解提高避孕率政策的效果和价值。我们利用个人层面的数据建立了一个新的避孕和怀孕模型,该模型捕捉到了避孕方法的启动、转换、中断和失败的复杂性,并考虑到了个人特征的差异。我们通过一项旨在提高开始避孕率的人口活动(Pop)和一项产后计划生育干预措施(PPFP)来模拟避孕规模的扩大。在没有新干预措施的情况下,我们根据联合国《世界人口展望》2019 年对马拉维出生人数的中位变量预测对模型进行了校准。在不采取干预措施的情况下,马拉维人口在 2084 年超过 6000 万;在采取 Pop 和 PPFP 干预措施的情况下,马拉维人口在 2100 年达到峰值,低于 3500 万。我们比较了 2023 年至 2050 年采取和不采取干预措施的避孕覆盖率和成本。我们估计,对扩大避孕措施的投资仅占人均医疗卫生总支出的 0.9%,但却能显著减轻当前人口快速增长对医疗卫生服务、学校、土地和社会造成的压力,帮助马拉维实现国家和全球的健康与发展目标。
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引用次数: 0
Erratum. 勘误表。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-26 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12253
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Multiple Measures of Pregnancy Preferences and Their Relationship with Postpartum Contraceptive Uptake Using Longitudinal Data from PMA Ethiopia. 利用埃塞俄比亚PMA的纵向数据探讨妊娠偏好的多种测量方法及其与产后避孕药具摄入的关系。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12251
Linnea A Zimmerman, Celia Karp, Sophia Magalona, Solomon Shiferaw, Assefa Seme, Saifuddin Ahmed

There are significant gaps in our understanding of how the experience of an unintended pregnancy affects subsequent contraceptive behavior. Our objective was to explore how three measures of pregnancy preferences-measuring timing-based intentions, emotional orientation, and planning status-were related to the uptake of postpartum family planning within one year after birth. Additionally, we tested whether the relationship between each measure and postpartum family planning uptake differs by parity, a key determinant of fertility preference. Adjusted hazards regression results show that the timing-based measure, specifically having a mistimed pregnancy, and the emotional response measure, specifically being unhappy, were associated with contraceptive uptake in the extended postpartum period, while those related to pregnancy planning, as measured by an adapted London Measure of Unplanned Pregnancy, were not. This effect differed by parity; high parity women were consistently the least likely to use contraception in the postpartum period, but the effect of experiencing an unwanted pregnancy or having a mixed reaction to a pregnancy was significantly stronger among high parity compared to low parity women. Greater attention to the entirety of women's responses to unanticipated pregnancies is needed to fully understand the influence of unintended pregnancy on health behaviors and outcomes for women and their children.

我们对意外怀孕的经历如何影响后续避孕行为的理解存在重大差距。我们的目的是探讨三种衡量怀孕偏好的指标——基于时间的意图、情绪取向和计划状态——如何与产后一年内接受产后计划生育有关。此外,我们还测试了每项指标与产后计划生育率之间的关系是否因生育偏好的关键决定因素而不同。调整后的风险回归结果表明,基于时间的测量,特别是不合时宜的怀孕,以及情绪反应测量,特别不开心,与延长产后的避孕措施摄入有关,而与怀孕计划有关的测量,通过调整后的伦敦计划外怀孕测量,则与此无关。这种影响因平等而不同;高产次妇女在产后一直是最不可能避孕的,但与低产次妇女相比,高产次的妇女经历意外怀孕或对怀孕有混合反应的影响明显更强。需要更多地关注妇女对意外怀孕的整体反应,以充分了解意外怀孕对妇女及其子女健康行为和结果的影响。
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引用次数: 0
More than Measurement Error: Discrepant Reporting of Contraceptive Use and the Role of Wives' and Husbands' Educational Attainment. 不仅仅是测量误差:避孕药具使用和妻子和丈夫教育程度的作用的差异报告。
IF 1.9 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-22 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12249
Elyse A Jennings, Rachael S Pierotti

This paper describes discrepancies in spouses' reports of the use of female-controlled, nonvisible contraceptive methods using data from rural Nepal that were collected monthly from both spouses of 822 couples between 2008 and 2016. We find that spouses in about half of couples provided discrepant reports during the period of observation, and these discrepancies occurred in 14 percent of the months of observation. We then investigate these discrepant reports as possible indicators of incomplete transparency regarding reproductive choices and examine whether they are associated with wives' education and spouses' relative education levels. We find, first, that wife's educational attainment was negatively associated with discrepant reports of contraceptive use, independent of spouses' relative educational attainment. At the same time, these models suggest that educational differences between husbands and wives were associated with discrepant reports. Couples in which wives had more education than their husbands faced greater odds of discrepant reports of contraceptive use, relative to couples in which spouses had similar education. Among couples in which husbands had more education than wives odds of wife-only reporting were lower, relative to couples with similar levels of education. These findings offer important new insights into spousal dynamics that may influence transparency regarding contraceptive use.

本文利用2008年至2016年间每月从822对夫妇的配偶双方收集的尼泊尔农村数据,描述了配偶使用女性控制的非可视避孕方法的报告中的差异。我们发现,大约一半的夫妇在观察期间提供了不一致的报告,这些差异发生在14%的观察月份。然后,我们将这些不一致的报告作为生育选择不完全透明的可能指标进行调查,并检查它们是否与妻子的教育程度和配偶的相对教育水平有关。我们发现,首先,妻子的教育程度与避孕药具使用的不一致报告呈负相关,与配偶的相对教育程度无关。同时,这些模型表明,丈夫和妻子之间的教育差异与不一致的报告有关。与配偶受教育程度相似的夫妇相比,妻子受教育程度高于丈夫的夫妇在避孕药具使用报告方面存在差异的几率更大。在丈夫受教育程度高于妻子的夫妇中,与受教育程度相似的夫妇相比,只报告妻子的几率更低。这些发现为可能影响避孕药具使用透明度的配偶动态提供了重要的新见解。
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引用次数: 0
Early Childbearing and Child Marriage: An Update. 早期生育与童婚:最新情况。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-05 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12243
Joseph Molitoris, Vladimíra Kantorová, Sehar Ezdi, Giulia Gonnella

Eliminating child marriage is seen by policy makers and advocates as a path toward reducing births to girls below age 18, as most early births have been previously found to occur within marriage. There has been little recent evidence, however, of the marital context in which early childbearing occurs or how this relationship varies across space and levels of development. Using survey and vital registration data covering approximately 95 percent of the world's births to mothers younger than 18 years, we estimated the share of first births that occur within marriage at the global, regional and national levels. We found that more than half of births to mothers below age 18 worldwide take place in sub-Saharan Africa, and this share will continue to grow. Globally, 76 percent of first births to mothers below age 18 occur within marriage and there are large regional differences. Over the past two decades, the share of first births to mothers below age 18 occurring within marriage declined in most countries with data available, but there are important exceptions. Although most first births to women below age 18 occur following seven months of marriage, the sequencing of child marriage and early childbearing varies widely across countries.

政策制定者和倡导者认为,消除童婚是减少18岁以下女孩生育的一条途径,因为以前发现大多数早产都发生在婚姻内。然而,最近几乎没有证据表明早育发生的婚姻背景,也没有证据表明这种关系在不同的空间和发展水平上是如何变化的。利用涵盖全球约95%的18岁以下母亲分娩的调查和生命登记数据,我们估计了全球、区域和国家各级婚内首次分娩的比例。我们发现,全世界18岁以下母亲的分娩中,有一半以上发生在撒哈拉以南非洲,而且这一比例还会继续增长。在全球范围内,18岁以下母亲的第一胎有76%发生在婚姻内,而且存在很大的地区差异。在过去的二十年里,在有数据可查的大多数国家,18岁以下母亲在婚姻内首次生育的比例都有所下降,但也有重要的例外。尽管大多数18岁以下妇女的第一胎是在结婚7个月后出生的,但各国的童婚和早育顺序差异很大。
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引用次数: 0
Feasibility and Acceptability of LNG 1.5 mg as an On-Demand Pericoital Contraceptive in Ghana. 1.5 mg液化天然气作为一种按需性交避孕药在加纳的可行性和可接受性。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12248
Brent McCann, Tina Liang, Saumya Ramarao, Emmanuel Kuffour, Augustine Ankomah, Jessica Vandermark, Henry Bruce, Pius Essandoh, Angela Boateng

Globally, there is a need for more family planning method options as currently, available options do not adequately meet the needs of women, specifically those who have infrequent sex. Levonorgestrel (LNG) 1.5 mg is widely available as emergency contraception pills (ECP), and recent research has shown that certain women take it as their main form of contraception. Furthermore, limited studies have found repeat, on-demand use safe and efficacious. This 12-month prospective, single-arm, interventional study in Ghana tested whether a single LNG 1.5 mg on-demand or pericoital ("around the time of sex") dose contraceptive was acceptable to women who have infrequent sex and if pharmacy provision was feasible. The study sample (1,890) comprised women of reproductive age recruited from urban areas, having infrequent sex (i.e., coital frequency ≤ 6× per month), and not using any other modern methods except condoms or ECP at the time of study inclusion. Results indicated that there is demand and acceptability for a pericoital pill and that pharmacy provision is feasible. Furthermore, precoital use of the pill had high levels of satisfaction and was popular with new users. Adding LNG 1.5 mg for pericoital use to the family planning method mix has the potential to address an important segment of the population currently underserved, decrease unwanted pregnancies, and increase modern contraceptive prevalence rates.

在全球范围内,需要更多的计划生育方法选择,因为目前可用的选择不足以满足妇女的需求,特别是那些性生活不频繁的妇女的需求。1.5毫克左炔诺孕酮(LNG)作为紧急避孕药(ECP)被广泛使用,最近的研究表明,某些女性将其作为主要避孕方式。此外,有限的研究发现重复、按需使用是安全有效的。这项在加纳进行的为期12个月的前瞻性单臂干预研究测试了一次性1.5 mg液化天然气按需或性交前后(“在性交前后”)剂量的避孕药具是否可以接受,以及是否可以提供药物。研究样本(1890)包括从城市地区招募的育龄妇女,她们很少发生性行为(即性交频率≤每月6次),在纳入研究时除了避孕套或ECP外,没有使用任何其他现代方法。结果表明,对产膜周围药丸有需求和可接受性,并且提供药物是可行的。此外,该药丸在住院前的使用具有很高的满意度,并受到新用户的欢迎。在计划生育方法组合中添加1.5 mg液化天然气用于围产期,有可能解决目前服务不足的重要人群,减少意外怀孕,并提高现代避孕普及率。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Clustering in Temporal Trends of Female Genital Mutilation Risk: Leveraging Sparse Data in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia. 女性生殖器切割风险时间趋势的空间聚类:利用埃塞俄比亚、肯尼亚和索马里的稀疏数据。
IF 2.1 3区 医学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/sifp.12242
Kathrin Weny, Romesh Silva, Nafissatou Diop, Rachel Snow

Female genital mutilation (FGM) is a harmful practice rooted in gender inequality. Its elimination is part of national and international agendas including the Sustainable Development Goals of the United Nations. Understanding its geographical evolution is crucial for targeted programming. However, due to sparse data, it is challenging to establish international comparability and statistical reliability. Data on FGM is observed at different points in time and periodicity across countries and in contexts with varying age-risk patterns, all of which can be a source of inaccurate and biased estimates. We perform an exemplary analysis, drawing on survival and complex survey analysis in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia. This novel approach addresses measurement challenges specific to FGM data and produces an internationally comparable indicator-the probability of not experiencing FGM by age 20. We pinpoint the onset of statistically significant FGM decline at the subnational level from cohorts born in the 1970s until the 1990s. In the same period, we observe no decline in FGM risk across regions clustered around international borders and increasing subnational inequalities within countries. Our methods thus provide crucial insights into the geographical pattern of temporal trends in FGM risk.

切割女性生殖器官是一种植根于性别不平等的有害做法。消除它是包括联合国可持续发展目标在内的国家和国际议程的一部分。了解其地理演变对于制定有针对性的方案至关重要。然而,由于数据稀少,建立国际可比性和统计可靠性具有挑战性。关于女性生殖器切割的数据是在不同的时间点和周期,在不同年龄风险模式的背景下观察到的,所有这些都可能是不准确和有偏见的估计的来源。我们利用埃塞俄比亚、肯尼亚和索马里的生存和复杂调查分析进行了示例性分析。这种新方法解决了女性生殖器切割数据特有的测量挑战,并产生了一个国际可比的指标,即20岁之前未经历女性生殖器切割的概率。我们指出,从20世纪70年代到90年代出生的人群中,国家以下一级的女性生殖器切割开始出现统计上显著的下降。在同一时期,我们观察到,聚集在国际边界周围的地区的女性生殖器切割风险没有下降,国家内部的不平等现象也在加剧。因此,我们的方法为女性生殖器切割风险的时间趋势的地理模式提供了重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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Studies in Family Planning
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