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Nature-Based Solutions for Conservation and Food Sovereignty in Indigenous Communities of Oaxaca 瓦哈卡土著社区基于自然的保护和粮食主权解决方案
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188151
Marco Aurelio Acevedo-Ortiz, Gema Lugo-Espinosa, Yolanda Donají Ortiz-Hernández, Rafael Pérez-Pacheco, Fernando Elí Ortiz-Hernández, Sabino Honorio Martínez-Tomás, María Elena Tavera-Cortés
The increasing demand for food and the overexploitation of natural resources rapidly deplete the planet’s ecosystems, highlighting the urgent need for sustainable alternatives. Nature-based solutions effectively promote agricultural sustainability and environmental conservation but require continuous financial and political support to overcome existing barriers. This research examines these solutions’ effectiveness in Santa María Jacatepec, a biocultural region of Indigenous peoples in the Papaloapan Basin, Oaxaca, Mexico. A mixed-methods approach combining quantitative and qualitative analyses uses National Institute of Statistics and Geography data to evaluate socioeconomic and environmental indicators. The results indicate that despite pressures to develop cattle ranching, communities have maintained rain-fed agriculture, especially the milpa system, ensuring food sovereignty and preserving agricultural biodiversity. Additionally, implementation of Voluntarily Conserved Areas has facilitated access to payments for environmental services, incentivizing ecosystem protection. However, financial and structural challenges persist, limiting the expansion of these solutions. Santa María Jacatepec exemplifies how Indigenous communities can apply nature-based solutions to strengthen agricultural sustainability and environmental conservation. Integrating traditional knowledge and strengthening conservation policies can enhance community resilience and ensure sustainable development amid increasing pressure on natural ecosystems.
对粮食日益增长的需求和对自然资源的过度开发迅速耗尽了地球的生态系统,凸显了对可持续替代品的迫切需求。基于自然的解决方案能有效促进农业可持续发展和环境保护,但需要持续的财政和政治支持来克服现有障碍。本研究考察了这些解决方案在墨西哥瓦哈卡州 Papaloapan 盆地的原住民生物文化区 Santa María Jacatepec 的有效性。采用定量和定性分析相结合的混合方法,利用国家统计和地理研究所的数据来评估社会经济和环境指标。结果表明,尽管面临发展畜牧业的压力,社区仍保持了雨水灌溉农业,尤其是密帕系统,从而确保了粮食主权并保护了农业生物多样性。此外,"自愿保护区 "的实施促进了环境服务付费的获得,激励了生态系统保护。然而,资金和结构方面的挑战依然存在,限制了这些解决方案的推广。圣玛丽亚-雅卡特佩克(Santa María Jacatepec)是土著社区如何运用基于自然的解决方案来加强农业可持续性和环境保护的典范。在自然生态系统面临越来越大压力的情况下,整合传统知识和加强保护政策可以增强社区的复原力,确保可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon Sequestration Capacity after Ecological Restoration of Open-Pit Mines: A Case Study in Yangtze River Basin, Jurong City, Jiangsu Province 露天矿生态恢复后的碳封存能力:江苏省句容市长江流域案例研究
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188149
Shenli Zhou, Xiaokai Li, Pengcheng Zhang, Gang Lu, Xiaolong Zhang, Huaqing Zhang, Faming Zhang
Open-pit mining seriously damages the original vegetation community and soil layer and disturbs the carbon cycle of vegetation and soil, causing instability in the mining ecosystem and decrease in the carbon sequestration capacity of the mining area. With the deepening of environmental awareness and the influence of related policies, the ecological restoration of open-pit mines has been promoted. The mining ecosystem is distinct owing to the disperse distribution of mines and small scale of single mines. However, the carbon sequestration capability of mines after ecological restoration has not been clearly evaluated. Therefore, this study evaluated the carbon sequestration capacity of restoration mines, taking the mines of the Yangtze River Basin in Jurong City, Jiangsu Province as the research objects. Firstly, the visual effects of the vegetation and soil in their current status were determined through field investigation, the methods for sampling and data collection for the vegetation and soil were selected, and the specific laboratory tests such as the vegetation carbon content and soil organic carbon were clarified. Meanwhile, the evaluation system consisting of three aspects and nine evaluation indexes was established by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE). The process of evaluation included the following: the establishment of the judgment matrix, calculation of the index weight, determination of the membership function, and establishment of the fuzzy membership matrix. Finally, the evaluation results of the restoration mines were determined with the ‘excellent, good, normal and poor’ grade classification according to the evaluation standards for each index proposed considering the data of the field investigation and laboratory tests. The results indicated that (1) the evaluation results of the mines’ carbon sequestration capacity were of excellent and good grade at a proportion of 62.5% and 37.5%, which was in line with the field investigation results and demonstrated the carbon sequestration capacity of all the restored mines was effectively improved; and (2) the weights of the criterion layer were ranked as system stability > vegetation > soil with the largest value of 0.547, indicating the stability of the system is the main factor in the carbon sequestration capacity of the mines and the sustainability of the vegetation community and the stability of soil fixation on the slope. The proposed evaluation system effectively evaluates the short-term carbon sequestration capability of the restoration mining system according to the visual effects and the laboratory testing results, objectively reflecting the carbon sequestration capacity via qualitative assessment and quantitative analysis. The evaluation method is relatively applicable and reliable for restoration mines and can provide a reference for similar ecological restoration engineering.
露天开采严重破坏了原有植被群落和土层,扰乱了植被和土壤的碳循环,造成矿区生态系统不稳定,矿区固碳能力下降。随着环保意识的深入和相关政策的影响,露天矿的生态修复得到了推动。由于矿山分布分散,单个矿山规模较小,矿山生态系统各具特色。然而,生态修复后矿山的固碳能力尚未得到明确评价。因此,本研究以江苏省句容市长江流域矿山为研究对象,对修复后矿山的固碳能力进行了评价。首先,通过实地调查确定了现状植被和土壤的直观效果,选择了植被和土壤的取样和数据采集方法,明确了植被碳含量和土壤有机碳等具体的实验室测试方法。同时,利用层次分析法(AHP)和模糊综合评价法(FCE)建立了由三个方面和九个评价指标组成的评价体系。评价过程包括:建立判断矩阵、计算指标权重、确定成员函数、建立模糊成员矩阵。最后,根据提出的各项指标评价标准,结合实地调查和实验室测试数据,确定了修复矿山的 "优、良、一般、差 "等级分类评价结果。结果表明:(1)矿区固碳能力评价结果为优、良,比例分别为 62.5%和 37.5%,与实地调查结果一致,表明所有修复矿区的固碳能力都得到了有效提高;(2)标准层权重排序为系统稳定性>植被>土壤,最大值为 0.547,表明系统稳定性是影响矿山固碳能力、植被群落可持续性和坡面土壤固定稳定性的主要因素。所提出的评价体系根据直观效果和实验室测试结果,有效评价了恢复采矿系统的短期固碳能力,通过定性评估和定量分析客观反映了固碳能力。该评价方法对恢复采矿具有较强的适用性和可靠性,可为类似的生态恢复工程提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
The Use of Energy Simulations in Residential Design: A Systematic Literature Review 在住宅设计中使用能源模拟:系统文献综述
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188138
Mert Sercan Sağdıçoğlu, M. Serhat Yenice, M. Zübeyr Tel
The Industrial Revolution and technological advancements have led to the densification and expansion of cities. In urban environments, residential buildings are common, and optimizing energy use in these structures is achieved by focusing on key parameters during the early design phases. These parameters can be tested through simulations. This study aims to define the scope of energy simulations in residential design to contribute to design optimization and reduce energy consumption. A systematic literature review and qualitative analysis were employed, using the PRISMA protocol for data collection and Vosviewer and Bibliometrix tools for bibliometric analysis. The keywords obtained were subjected to qualitative analysis. The research revealed the absence of a standardized approach in simulation studies. To address this, a nine-step framework has been proposed. A discrepancy between the objectives of certain studies and the keywords used was identified. Themes were created based on the studies’ objectives, and keywords were recommended accordingly. Several studies have determined the energy potential of buildings during the occupancy phase. Simulations should be integrated into the early design phase to facilitate pre-design optimization. A framework for residential simulation methodology was developed, believed to enhance the validity of studies and facilitate result comparisons. Minimizing energy consumption is a primary objective in residential buildings. The recommendations developed align with the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goal 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities.
工业革命和技术进步导致了城市的密集化和扩张。在城市环境中,住宅建筑非常普遍,而优化这些建筑的能源使用则需要在早期设计阶段关注关键参数。这些参数可以通过模拟进行测试。本研究旨在确定住宅设计中能源模拟的范围,以促进设计优化和降低能耗。研究采用了系统的文献综述和定性分析方法,使用 PRISMA 协议进行数据收集,使用 Vosviewer 和 Bibliometrix 工具进行文献计量分析。对获得的关键词进行了定性分析。研究表明,模拟研究缺乏标准化方法。为此,提出了一个九步框架。某些研究的目标与所使用的关键词之间存在差异。根据研究目标创建了主题,并据此推荐了关键词。多项研究确定了建筑物在使用阶段的能源潜力。模拟应纳入早期设计阶段,以促进设计前的优化。我们制定了住宅模拟方法框架,相信该框架将提高研究的有效性,并促进结果比较。尽量减少能源消耗是住宅建筑的首要目标。提出的建议符合联合国可持续发展目标 11:可持续城市和社区。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Households’ Future Orientation and Values on Their Willingness to Install Solar Photovoltaic Systems 家庭的未来取向和价值观对其安装太阳能光伏系统意愿的影响
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188143
Ridmi Gajanayake, Lester Johnson, Hassan Kalantari Daronkola, Chamila Perera
Solar energy is increasing in popularity as a renewable energy source, which reduces greenhouse gas emissions. Even though many governments promote solar energy by giving various incentives, its adoption rate in households is slow. Psychological factors have been relatively overlooked in solar adoption, despite the importance of social and economic factors. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to investigate how psychological determinants impact households’ willingness to install solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This study focusses on the future orientation and personal values (biospheric, altruistic, and egoistic values) of households’ and their willingness to install solar PV systems. The research draws from three environmental psychology theories: values orientation theory, value beliefs and norms theory, and the theory of planned behaviour to construct an integrative theoretical model. A survey involving 179 respondents in Australia was conducted and analysed applying the PLS-SEM technique. Findings revealed that future orientation and values are significant predictors of household willingness to install solar PV systems. Further, findings showed that attitude and perceived behavioural control play a significant role in installing solar. The findings will assist policymakers and solar companies in developing lucrative policies and marketing strategies to promote solar PV systems among households.
太阳能作为一种可减少温室气体排放的可再生能源,越来越受到人们的欢迎。尽管许多国家的政府通过各种激励措施推广太阳能,但太阳能在家庭中的应用率却很低。尽管社会和经济因素非常重要,但心理因素在太阳能应用中却相对被忽视。因此,本研究旨在探讨心理决定因素如何影响家庭安装太阳能光伏(PV)系统的意愿。本研究重点关注家庭的未来取向和个人价值观(生物圈价值观、利他价值观和利己价值观)及其安装太阳能光伏系统的意愿。研究借鉴了三种环境心理学理论:价值取向理论、价值信念和规范理论以及计划行为理论,构建了一个综合理论模型。在澳大利亚进行了一项涉及 179 名受访者的调查,并采用 PLS-SEM 技术进行了分析。调查结果显示,未来取向和价值观是家庭安装太阳能光伏系统意愿的重要预测因素。此外,研究结果表明,态度和感知行为控制在安装太阳能系统中起着重要作用。研究结果将有助于政策制定者和太阳能公司制定有利可图的政策和营销策略,在家庭中推广太阳能光伏系统。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Performance and Genetic Characteristics of Cultural Landscapes in Traditional Villages along the Jinzhong Section of the Wanli Tea Road from a Landscape Gene Information Chain Perspective: A Case Study of Xiamen Village 从景观基因信息链角度分析万里茶道晋中段沿线传统村落文化景观的表现与遗传特征:厦门乡村个案研究
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188131
Wei Wang, Qianfei Shi, Guoyu Wang
The traditional villages along the Wanli Tea Road carry rich historical and cultural heritage, holding significant humanistic and scientific value. However, with the rapid pace of urbanization and modernization, the inheritance and protection of the cultural landscapes in these traditional villages face numerous challenges. Based on this, this study focuses on Xiamen Village, a traditional village along the Jinzhong section of the Wanli Tea Road, utilizing the perspective of the landscape gene information chain to reveal the performance and genetic characteristics of its unique and regionally distinctive cultural landscape genes. The study provides theoretical support for the protection and inheritance of cultural landscapes in traditional villages along the Wanli Tea Road. The results show that: (1) The overall cultural landscape of Xiamen Village has been well preserved, with notable characteristics in environment, layout, architecture, and culture, demonstrating its rich historical and cultural accumulation, and offering high research and conservation value; (2) The landscape gene information chain of Xiamen Village plays a critical role in integrating the village’s cultural landscape. The landscape gene information elements and points express the village’s unique historical inheritance through regional culture and material forms. The “branch-like” structure of the landscape gene information corridors effectively connects the various landscape gene information points, while the landscape gene information network reflects the interaction between tradition and modernity; (3) The landscape gene information chain of Xiamen Village shows a relationship of coexistence between inheritance and change in its genetic characteristics. Although some landscape genes face challenges from modernization, their core traits have not been lost. The inheritance of the landscape genes is not static but adjusts and reconstructs within an evolving social and cultural context, reflecting adaptability and flexibility in response to modern demands.
万里茶道沿线的传统村落承载着丰富的历史文化遗产,具有重要的人文和科学价值。然而,随着城市化和现代化进程的加快,这些传统村落的文化景观的传承与保护面临着诸多挑战。基于此,本研究以万里茶道晋中段沿线的传统村落厦门村为研究对象,利用景观基因信息链的视角,揭示其独具地域特色的文化景观基因的表现与遗传特征。该研究为万里茶道沿线传统村落文化景观的保护与传承提供了理论支撑。研究结果表明(1)厦门村整体文化景观保存完好,在环境、布局、建筑、文化等方面具有显著特色,展现了丰富的历史文化积淀,具有较高的研究和保护价值;(2)厦门村的景观基因信息链在整合村落文化景观中发挥了关键作用。景观基因信息要素和点通过地域文化和物质形态表达了厦门村独特的历史传承。景观基因信息廊道的 "枝状 "结构有效地连接了各个景观基因信息点,景观基因信息网络体现了传统与现代的互动;(3)厦门村景观基因信息链的基因特征呈现出传承与变迁并存的关系。虽然一些景观基因面临现代化的挑战,但其核心性状并没有丧失。景观基因的传承不是一成不变的,而是在不断发展的社会文化背景下进行调整和重构,体现了对现代需求的适应性和灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a Predictive Model Based on the Alignment Tool in the Early Stages of Projects: The Case of Saudi Arabia Infrastructure Projects 在项目早期阶段开发基于对齐工具的预测模型:沙特阿拉伯基础设施项目案例
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188122
Abdulrahman Bin Mahmoud, Abdullah Alrashdi, Salman Akhtar, Ayman Altuwaim, Abdulmohsen Almohsen
The construction industry plays a substantial role in shaping the economies of many countries. Construction management faces various challenges that can lead to project failures, particularly in infrastructure projects struggling to meet cost and time requirements. Inadequate project planning and the intricate nature of construction projects can cause participants’ project goals to not align. It is crucial to address these challenges early in the planning stages to ensure project success. This research involved investigating previous studies to understand current practices for improving infrastructure project planning and selecting the best pre-project planning tool. Infrastructure projects in the Saudi construction industry are used as a case study. A questionnaire was prepared based on essential alignment issues affecting team alignment during pre-project planning. Participants rated the level of agreement with alignment issues and the overall success of a project they worked on. The study utilized descriptive and inferential analysis techniques to assess infrastructure project success rates and develop a predictive model driven by the alignment tool. Multiple linear regression techniques were used during the model’s development, and validation and reliability outputs were obtained. By evaluating all relevant stakeholders, the model generates a score to facilitate the pre-project planning process, increasing the likelihood of project success. The study found that the model’s predictive accuracy was 94%. This research is significant in creating a predictive model applicable to infrastructure projects, enhancing project management practices by enabling project teams to evaluate project progress, identify projects in need of corrective action, and ultimately improve project performance, leading to cost and time savings.
建筑业在许多国家的经济发展中发挥着重要作用。建筑管理面临着可能导致项目失败的各种挑战,尤其是在努力满足成本和时间要求的基础设施项目中。项目规划不足和建筑项目错综复杂的性质会导致参与者的项目目标不一致。为确保项目成功,在规划阶段尽早应对这些挑战至关重要。本研究涉及对以往研究的调查,以了解当前改善基础设施项目规划和选择最佳项目前期规划工具的做法。沙特建筑业的基础设施项目被用作案例研究。根据影响项目前期规划期间团队协调的基本协调问题编制了一份调查问卷。参与者对他们所参与的项目的一致性问题和整体成功程度进行了评分。研究采用了描述性和推论性分析技术来评估基础设施项目的成功率,并开发了一个由协调工具驱动的预测模型。在模型开发过程中使用了多元线性回归技术,并获得了验证和可靠性输出。通过对所有相关利益方进行评估,该模型生成了一个分数,以促进项目前期规划过程,提高项目成功的可能性。研究发现,该模型的预测准确率为 94%。这项研究的重要意义在于创建了一个适用于基础设施项目的预测模型,使项目团队能够评估项目进度,识别需要采取纠正措施的项目,并最终提高项目绩效,从而节约成本和时间,加强项目管理实践。
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引用次数: 0
Finding the “Secret Sauce” for Organizational Sustainability: Towards Successful Completion of IT Implementation Projects 寻找组织可持续性的 "秘诀":成功完成 IT 实施项目
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188154
Elad Harison, Yael Lahav
This paper identifies the major aspects that affect the sustainability of organizations in terms of success and failure of IT implementation projects. A significant relationship between the deployment of internal project teams and sustainable results of IT implementation projects compared to professionals employed via outsourcing was found. Moreover, involving professional managers with hands-on experience and knowledge of the organization in decision-making processes positively affects the project outcomes and the sustainability of the organization. Employee workload concerns are the least impactful on project overrun, while other concerns are less sustainable. Finally, a methodology that enhances the likelihood of sustainable results in IT implementation projects by involving professional managers and forming in-house teams is presented.
本文从信息技术实施项目的成败角度,指出了影响组织可持续性的主要方面。研究发现,与通过外包聘用的专业人员相比,部署内部项目团队与信息技术实施项目的可持续结果之间存在重要关系。此外,让具有实践经验和组织知识的专业管理人员参与决策过程,会对项目成果和组织的可持续性产生积极影响。员工工作量问题对项目超支的影响最小,而其他问题的可持续性则较差。最后,介绍了一种通过让专业管理人员参与和组建内部团队来提高信息技术实施项目可持续结果可能性的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Blue in Food and Beverages—A Review of Socio-Cultural, Economic, and Environmental Implications 食品和饮料中的蓝色--社会文化、经济和环境影响综述
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188142
Agnieszka Szmagara
The presented review concerns the cross-disciplinary approaches to the subject of blue food and blue colourants, the socio-cultural aspects of blue food and beverage consumption, human health effects, environmental impact, and economic aspects. Blue colour in relation to food is not only about improving visual appeal, to which the addition of food colouring is usually limited when the food is coloured in some way that does not encourage eating. It is also the rich and complex sociological side related to food, that is, not only the food itself but also the background, dishware, and light, depending on whether we want to encourage—to increase consumption—or discourage—to, for example, reduce the amount of food eaten for dietary purposes. The negative side of consuming and disposing of synthetic dyes and the health-promoting aspects of natural dyes are also mentioned, with the economic and environmental aspects of sourcing natural dyes being discussed. The food industry uses blue dyes not only for consumption, but also for food quality control, taking advantage of the pH-dependent colour change properties of the compound.
本综述涉及蓝色食品和蓝色着色剂、蓝色食品和饮料消费的社会文化方面、对人类健康的影响、对环境的影响以及经济方面的跨学科方法。与食品有关的蓝色不仅是为了提高视觉吸引力,当食品的颜色不鼓励进食时,添加的食用色素通常是有限的。这也是与食物有关的丰富而复杂的社会学方面,即不仅是食物本身,还包括背景、餐具和光线,这取决于我们是想鼓励--增加消费,还是不鼓励--例如,为了饮食目的而减少食物的食用量。此外,还提到了消费和处理合成染料的负面影响以及天然染料对健康的促进作用,并讨论了采购天然染料的经济和环境问题。食品工业使用蓝色染料不仅是为了消费,也是为了控制食品质量,利用这种化合物随 pH 值变化而变色的特性。
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引用次数: 0
Interdecadal Variations in Agricultural Drought Monitoring Using Land Surface Temperature and Vegetation Indices: A Case of the Amahlathi Local Municipality in South Africa 利用地表温度和植被指数监测农业干旱的年代际变化:南非 Amahlathi 地方市政当局的案例
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188125
Phumelelani Mbuqwa, Hezekiel Bheki Magagula, Ahmed Mukalazi Kalumba, Gbenga Abayomi Afuye
Agricultural droughts in South Africa, particularly in the Amahlathi Local Municipality (ALM), significantly impact socioeconomic activities, sustainable livelihoods, and ecosystem services, necessitating urgent attention to improved resilience and food security. The study assessed the interdecadal drought severity and duration in Amahlathi’s agricultural potential zone from 1989 to 2019 using various vegetation indicators. Landsat time series data were used to analyse the land surface temperature (LST), soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and standardized precipitation index (SPI). The study utilised GIS-based weighted overlay, multiple linear regression models, and Pearson’s correlation analysis to assess the correlations between LST, NDVI, SAVI, and SPI in response to the agricultural drought extent. The results reveal a consistent negative correlation between LST and NDVI in the ALM, with an increase in vegetation (R2 = 0.9889) and surface temperature. LST accuracy in dry areas increased to 55.8% in 2019, despite dense vegetation and a high average temperature of 40.12 °C, impacting water availability, agricultural land, and local ecosystems. The regression analysis shows a consistent negative correlation between LST and NDVI in the ALM from 1989 to 2019, with the correlation between vegetation and surface temperature increasing since 2019. The SAVI indicates a slight improvement in overall average vegetation health from 0.18 in 1989 to 0.25 in 2009, but a slight decrease to 0.21 in 2019. The SPI at 12 and 24 months indicates that drought severely impacted vegetation cover from 2014 to 2019, with notable recovery during improved wet periods in 1993, 2000, 2003, 2006, 2008, and 2013, possibly due to temporary drought relief. The findings can guide provincial drought monitoring and early warning programs, enhancing drought resilience, productivity, and sustainable livelihoods, especially in farming communities.
南非的农业干旱,尤其是阿马拉蒂地方市政当局(ALM)的农业干旱,严重影响了社会经济活动、可持续生计和生态系统服务,因此迫切需要关注提高抗灾能力和粮食安全。该研究利用各种植被指标评估了 1989 年至 2019 年期间阿马拉蒂农业潜力区的十年间干旱严重程度和持续时间。研究利用陆地卫星时间序列数据分析了地表温度(LST)、土壤调整植被指数(SAVI)、归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)和标准化降水指数(SPI)。研究利用基于地理信息系统的加权叠加、多元线性回归模型和皮尔逊相关性分析,评估了地表温度、植被指数、归一化差异植被指数和标准化降水指数之间的相关性,以及它们对农业干旱程度的响应。结果表明,随着植被(R2 = 0.9889)和地表温度的增加,ALM 地区的 LST 和 NDVI 之间始终保持负相关。尽管植被茂密,平均气温高达 40.12 °C,但 2019 年干旱地区的 LST 准确率仍上升至 55.8%,对水源、农田和当地生态系统造成了影响。回归分析表明,从 1989 年到 2019 年,ALM 的 LST 与 NDVI 之间始终呈负相关,而植被与地表温度之间的相关性自 2019 年以来有所增加。SAVI 表明整体平均植被健康状况略有改善,从 1989 年的 0.18 升至 2009 年的 0.25,但在 2019 年又略有下降,降至 0.21。12 个月和 24 个月的 SPI 表明,从 2014 年到 2019 年,干旱严重影响了植被覆盖度,在 1993 年、2000 年、2003 年、2006 年、2008 年和 2013 年的湿润期,植被覆盖度显著恢复,这可能是由于干旱暂时缓解所致。研究结果可指导省级干旱监测和预警计划,提高抗旱能力、生产力和可持续生计,尤其是在农业社区。
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引用次数: 0
Improvement of Spatio-Temporal Inconsistency of Time Series Land Cover Products 改善时间序列土地覆被产品的时空不一致性
IF 3.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/su16188127
Ling Zhu, Jun Liu, Shuyuan Jiang, Jingyi Zhang
In recent years, time series land cover products have been developed rapidly. However, the traditional classification strategy rarely considers time continuity and spatial consistency, which leads to the existence of unreasonable changes among the multi-period products. In order to solve the existing problems, this paper proposes a matrix decomposition model and an optimized hidden Markov model (HMM) to improve the consistency of the time series land cover maps. It also compares the results with the spatio-temporal window filtering model. The spatial weight information is introduced into the singular value decomposition (SVD) model, and the regression model is constructed by combining the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the image to predict the unreasonable variable pixels and complete the construction of the matrix decomposition model. To solve the two problems of reliance on expert experience and lack of spatial relationships, this paper optimizes the model and proposes the HMM Land Cover Transition (HMM_LCT) model. The overall accuracy of the matrix decomposition model and the HMM_LCT model is 90.74% and 89.87%, respectively. It is found that the matrix decomposition model has a better effect on consistency adjustment than the HMM_LCT model. The matrix decomposition model can also adjust the land cover trajectory to better express the changing trend of surface objects. After consistent adjustment by the matrix decomposition model, the cumulative proportion of the first 15 types of land cover trajectories reached 99.47%, of which 83.01% were stable land classes that had not changed for three years.
近年来,时间序列土地覆被产品发展迅速。然而,传统的分类策略很少考虑时间的连续性和空间的一致性,导致多期产品之间存在不合理的变化。针对存在的问题,本文提出了矩阵分解模型和优化的隐马尔可夫模型(HMM)来提高时间序列土地覆被图的一致性。本文还将结果与时空窗口滤波模型进行了比较。在奇异值分解(SVD)模型中引入空间权重信息,结合图像的特征值和特征向量构建回归模型,预测不合理的变量像素,完成矩阵分解模型的构建。为了解决依赖专家经验和缺乏空间关系这两个问题,本文对模型进行了优化,提出了 HMM 土地覆被转换(HMM_LCT)模型。矩阵分解模型和 HMM_LCT 模型的总体准确率分别为 90.74% 和 89.87%。研究发现,矩阵分解模型的一致性调整效果优于 HMM_LCT 模型。矩阵分解模型还可以调整土地覆被轨迹,更好地表达地表物体的变化趋势。经过矩阵分解模型的一致性调整后,前 15 类土地覆被轨迹的累计比例达到 99.47%,其中 83.01%为三年未发生变化的稳定地类。
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