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Investigation of the 2011 Yingjiang, Yunnan, China Ms. 5.8 Earthquake Sequence: Seismic Migration, Seismogenic Mechanism, and Hazard Implication 2011 年中国云南盈江 5.8 级地震序列调查:地震迁移、成震机理和危害影响
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230507
Ke Du , Hongyi Li , Yanzhen Li , Zeyu Ma , Jianshe Lei , Jinzhong Jiang , Zigang Sun

On March 10, 2011, an Ms. 5.8 earthquake struck Yingjiang City, western Yunnan, China, causing destructive damage. Due to the very sparse distribution of seismic stations on the southwestern border of China, its seismogenic structure and mechanism remain controversial. In this study, with the aid of machine-learning-based detection and location workflow and template matching technique, we detect 10,356 events ranging from December 1, 2010, to April 30, 2011. The high-precision earthquake catalog shows that the foreshocks initiated in the extensional stepover connecting the northeast and middle segments of the Dayingjiang fault and then bilaterally extended northeast and southwest, with migration fronts that can be simulated by fluid diffusion model with diffusivities of 0.8 m2/s and 0.19 m2/s, respectively. The mainshock occurred at the southwest end of the foreshock sequence and then probably activated the northwest-trending blind fault. In addition, we determine the full moment tensor solutions for the mainshock, six large foreshocks, and one aftershock, with magnitudes ranging from 3.03 to 5.80, in which the mainshock was characterized by an obvious negative isotropic (ISO) component. The static Coulomb failure stress change caused by five Mw ≥ 4.0 foreshocks on the mainshock fault plane is ∼24 kPa, reaching the typical static triggering threshold. Therefore, we suggest that both the fluid diffusion and stress perturbation contribute to triggering the mainshock. This study advances our understanding of the spatiotemporal evolution, seismogenic mechanism, and hazard implication for the Yingjiang Ms. 5.8 earthquake and provides additional evidence of natural fluid-triggered seismicity in western Yunnan.

2011 年 3 月 10 日,中国云南西部盈江市发生 5.8 级地震,造成毁灭性破坏。由于中国西南边境地震台站分布非常稀疏,其震源结构和机制仍存在争议。本研究借助基于机器学习的检测定位工作流程和模板匹配技术,检测到 2010 年 12 月 1 日至 2011 年 4 月 30 日的 10356 次地震。高精度地震目录显示,前震起始于连接大盈江断层东北段和中段的延伸阶地,然后向东北和西南方向双向延伸,其迁移锋面可通过流体扩散模型模拟,扩散率分别为 0.8 m2/s 和 0.19 m2/s。主震发生在前震序列的西南端,随后可能激活了西北走向的盲断层。此外,我们还确定了主震、六次大型前震和一次余震的全力矩张量解,震级从 3.03 到 5.80 不等,其中主震具有明显的负各向同性(ISO)成分。在主震断层面上,5次Mw≥4.0的前震引起的静态库仑破坏应力变化为24 kPa,达到了典型的静态触发阈值。因此,我们认为流体扩散和应力扰动都有助于触发主震。本研究加深了我们对盈江5.8级地震时空演化、成震机制和灾害影响的认识,为滇西地区天然流体触发地震提供了更多证据。
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引用次数: 0
Crustal structure of the Bushveld complex, South Africa from 1D shear wave velocity models: Evidence for complex-wide crustal modification 从一维剪切波速度模型看南非布什维尔德复合地壳结构:整个复合地壳变化的证据
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230496
Kaelie Contreras , Andrew Nyblade , Raymond Durrheim , Susan Webb , Musa Manzi , Islam Fadel

Thirty-nine 1D shear wave velocity profiles, obtained by jointly inverting receiver functions and Rayleigh wave group velocities, are used to investigate the crustal structure of the Bushveld Complex in northern South Africa. Data from teleseismic earthquakes recorded on broadband seismic stations between 1997 and 1999 and 2015–2020 were used to compute P-wave receiver functions. Rayleigh wave group velocities between 5 and 30 s period were obtained from an ambient noise tomography and combined with group velocities between 30 and 60 s period from a published continental-scale surface wave tomography model. Moho depths of 45–47.5 km are found under the center of the complex compared to 40 km thick crust, on average, surrounding the complex, indicating ∼5–7 of crustal thickening. The bottom ∼10 km or more of the lower crust across much of the Bushveld Complex has a Vs ≥ 4.0 km/s, consistent with a mafic composition, whereas in most areas around the margins of the complex the thickness of the mafic lower crust is much less than 10 km. In the upper crust higher velocity structure (Vs > 3.6 km/s) above 15 km depth underlain by lower velocity structure is seen in many locations, suggesting the presence of mafic/ultramafic layering. These results favor the continuous-sheet model for the structure of the Bushveld Complex because the ensemble of 1D models is characterized by three diagnostic features consistent with that model: (1) thicker crust under the center of the complex than away from the complex; (2) a greater thickness of high-velocity (i.e., mafic) layering in the lower crust under the complex compared to away from the complex; (3) high-velocity (i.e., mafic/ultramafic) layering in the upper crust beneath much of the complex. The lack of upper crustal mafic/ultramafic layering beneath some parts of the complex is consistent with the post-emplacement tectonic and magmatic history of the complex.

通过联合反演接收函数和瑞利波群速度获得了 39 个一维剪切波速度剖面,用于研究南非北部布什维尔德复合体的地壳结构。宽带地震台站在 1997 至 1999 年以及 2015 至 2020 年期间记录的远震数据被用于计算 P 波接收函数。从环境噪声层析模型中获得了 5 至 30 秒周期的瑞利波群速,并将其与从已公布的大陆尺度表面波层析模型中获得的 30 至 60 秒周期的群速相结合。复合体中心下方的莫霍深度为 45-47.5 千米,而复合体周围的地壳平均厚度为 40 千米,表明地壳增厚了 5-7 千米。在布什维尔德岩群的大部分地区,下地壳底部∼10 千米或更厚的Vs ≥ 4.0 千米/秒,与岩浆成分一致,而在岩群边缘的大部分地区,岩浆下地壳的厚度远小于10 千米。在上地壳 15 千米深度以上的较高速度结构(Vs > 3.6 千米/秒)中,许多地方被较低的速度结构所覆盖,这表明存在黑云母/超黑云母分层。这些结果有利于布什维尔德复合体结构的连续片状模型,因为一维模型集合具有与该模型一致的三个诊断特征:(1)复合体中心下方的地壳比远离复合体的地壳厚;(2)复合体下方的下地壳中高速(即黑云母)分层的厚度比远离复合体的下地壳中高速(即黑云母/超黑云母)分层的厚度大;(3)复合体大部分地区下方的上地壳中高速(即黑云母/超黑云母)分层。建筑群某些部分下的上地壳缺乏黑云母/超黑云母层理,这与建筑群置换后的构造和岩浆历史是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Cascade processes of induced and triggered earthquakes-Case study in the Weiyuan shale gas development area in Sichuan Basin, China 诱发和触发地震的级联过程--中国四川盆地威远页岩气开发区案例研究
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230495
Guanshen Liu , Renqi Lu , Dengfa He , Wei Tao , Xing Huang , Peng Su , Fang Xu , Weikang Zhang

Identifying accurate seismogenic faults is critical for studying the mechanisms of induced earthquakes. On February 24th and 25th, 2019, three moderate earthquakes with magnitudes of MS 4.7, MS 4.3, and MS 4.9 occurred successively in the shale gas development area of Weiyuan, China. We utilized high-resolution three-dimensional (3D) seismic data to identify two pre-existing faults (F1 and F2) that were responsible for the three moderate earthquakes. InSAR data were used to validate the rationality of the two seismogenic faults. Furthermore, we analyzed the impact of fluid diffusion on fault F1 near the fracturing well and calculated the Coulomb failure stress (CFS) generated on fault F2 by the MS 4.7 and MS 4.3 earthquakes to analyze the interactions between these events. The results indicated that fluid diffusion caused by hydrofracturing induced the MS 4.3 and MS 4.7 earthquakes on F1. The static Coulomb stress changes from these two earthquakes subsequently triggered the larger MS 4.9 earthquake on F2. This study provides a case of a cascading process in which induced earthquake events triggered a more distant and higher-magnitude earthquake. This triggering scenario reminds us that earthquake-to-earthquake interactions may be more hazardous than a “typical” inducing mechanism and challenges current risk management practices.

准确识别发震断层对于研究诱发地震的机制至关重要。2019 年 2 月 24 日和 25 日,中国威远页岩气开发区相继发生了三次中度地震,震级分别为 MS4.7、MS4.3 和 MS4.9。我们利用高分辨率三维(3D)地震数据确定了导致这三次中度地震的两个原存断层(F1 和 F2)。我们利用 InSAR 数据验证了这两条地震断层的合理性。此外,我们分析了流体扩散对压裂井附近断层 F1 的影响,并计算了 MS 4.7 和 MS 4.3 地震对断层 F2 产生的库仑破坏应力(CFS),以分析这些事件之间的相互作用。结果表明,水力压裂引起的流体扩散诱发了 F1 上的 MS 4.3 和 MS 4.7 地震。这两次地震引起的静态库仑应力变化随后引发了 F2 上更大的 MS 4.9 地震。这项研究提供了一个级联过程的案例,在这个过程中,诱发地震的事件引发了距离更远、震级更高的地震。这种触发情景提醒我们,地震与地震之间的相互作用可能比 "典型的 "诱发机制更加危险,并对当前的风险管理实践提出了挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Rate-and-state friction of epidote gouge under hydrothermal conditions and implications for the stability of subducting faults under greenschist metamorphic conditions 热液条件下的表土刨蚀作用的速率和状态摩擦及其对绿泥石变质条件下俯冲断层稳定性的影响
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230497
Mengke An , Zhen-Yu Yin , Fengshou Zhang , Rui Huang , Derek Elsworth

Epidote is a common hydrous mineral present in subduction zones subject to greenschist metamorphic conditions – and potentially an important control on the fault stability-instability transition observed under greenschist facies. We explore controls on this transition through shear experiments on simulated epidote gouge at temperatures of 100–500 °C, effective normal stresses of 100–300 MPa and pore fluid pressures of 30–75 MPa. We use rate-and-state friction to define these controls of temperature, effective stress and pore fluid pressure on gouge stability. Experimental results indicate that the epidote gouge is frictionally strong (μ ∼ 0.73) and the frictional strength is insensitive to variations in temperature or pressure. With increasing temperature, the epidote gouge exhibits a first transition from velocity-strengthening to velocity-weakening at sub-greenschist conditions (T < 100 °C) before transitioning to velocity-strengthening under greenschist metamorphic conditions (T > 300 °C). Elevating the pore fluid pressure or decreasing the effective stress promotes unstable sliding. The transition in gouge rheology at varied temperatures and pressures is explained by the competition between granular flow-induced gouge dilation and pressure solution-induced gouge compaction. Our results demonstrate that the rate-and-state frictional stability of epidote gouges support the potential for a fault stability-instability-stability transition for subduction under greenschist metamorphic conditions.

表土是受绿泥石变质条件影响的俯冲带中常见的含水矿物--可能是绿泥石面下观察到的断层稳定性-不稳定性转变的重要控制因素。我们通过在温度为 100-500 °C、有效法向应力为 100-300 兆帕和孔隙流体压力为 30-75 兆帕的条件下对模拟的表土冲沟进行剪切实验,来探索这种转变的控制因素。我们利用速率与状态摩擦来确定温度、有效应力和孔隙流体压力对缺口稳定性的控制。实验结果表明,辉绿岩气刨的摩擦强度很高(μ ∼ 0.73),而且摩擦强度对温度或压力的变化不敏感。随着温度的升高,在亚绿泥石条件下(T < 100 °C),表石质水门槽沟表现出速度增强到速度减弱的过渡,然后在绿泥石变质条件下(T > 300 °C)过渡到速度增强。提高孔隙流体压力或降低有效应力会促进不稳定滑动。在不同的温度和压力下,冲沟流变学的转变是由粒状流引起的冲沟扩张和压力溶液引起的冲沟压实之间的竞争造成的。我们的研究结果表明,在绿泥石变质条件下,表土沟的速率-状态摩擦稳定性支持了断层稳定性-不稳定性-稳定性过渡的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
High-resolution 3-D lithospheric structure beneath the Qinling-Dabie orogenic belt from joint inversion of receiver functions and ambient noise 接收器函数和环境噪声联合反演得出的秦岭-大别造山带下的高分辨率三维岩石圈结构
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230494
Wei Liu , Yongshun John Chen , Shunping Pei , Zhen Guo , Hanlin Liu , Xiaotian Xue , Jiawei Li , Qian Hua , Lei Li

Resulting from the convergence of the Yangtze and North China Cratons, the Qinling-Dabie orogenic zone (QD) represents an important element in the central China orogenic system. To fully comprehend the craton evolution and lower crustal flow from the Tibetan Plateau, it is important to understand the crust and mantle structure of the QD. We reconstructed the three-dimensional lithospheric structure beneath the QD with high resolution using the joint inversion of receiver functions and ambient noise. Observations reveal that a high-velocity anomaly in the middle to lower crust beneath the western Qinling (WQL) orogen obstructs the eastward extension of a crustal low-velocity anomaly originating from the Tibetan Plateau. This finding provides unambiguous evidence that the WQL orogen is not crossed by eastward lower crustal flow from the Tibetan Plateau. The lithospheric mantle beneath the Weihe Rift and East Qinling orogen exhibits low-velocity characteristics, indicating that eastward asthenospheric flow from the Tibetan Plateau has caused substantial thermal-chemical erosion in the uppermost mantle beneath these regions. The results additionally indicate that the uppermost mantle high-velocity anomalies beneath the Dabie orogen is confined in a limited area and extends only to a depth of 70 km. We propose that during the Triassic, deeply subducted continental lithosphere returned into the uppermost mantle, forming the high-velocity anomalies beneath the Dabie orogen.

秦岭-大别造山带(Qinling-Dabie orogenic zone,QD)由长江和华北两大环形山汇聚而成,是华中造山系统的重要组成部分。要全面理解青藏高原的克拉通演化和下地壳流动,就必须了解秦岭-大别造山带的地壳和地幔结构。我们利用接收函数和环境噪声的联合反演,高分辨率地重建了青藏高原下的三维岩石圈结构。观测结果表明,秦岭西部造山带下地壳中下部的高速异常阻碍了源于青藏高原的地壳低速异常向东延伸。这一发现提供了明确的证据,证明西秦岭造山带没有来自青藏高原的下地壳东流穿过。渭河断裂和东秦岭造山带下的岩石圈地幔表现出低速特征,表明来自青藏高原的东向星体流对这些地区下的最上层地幔造成了巨大的热化学侵蚀。研究结果还表明,大别造山带下的最上层地幔高速异常局限在有限的区域内,深度仅为70千米。我们提出,在三叠纪期间,深俯冲的大陆岩石圈返回到最上层地幔,形成了大别造山带下的高速异常。
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引用次数: 0
Complex fault system associated with the Molucca Sea Divergent double subduction zone revealed by the 2019 Mw 6.9 and Mw 7.1 Earthquakes 2019 年 6.9 级和 7.1 级地震揭示的与摩鹿加海发散型双俯冲带有关的复杂断层系统
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230493
Endra Gunawan , Adriano Gualandi , Nicholas Rawlinson , Sri Widiyantoro , Munawar Kholil , Pepen Supendi , Gatot Haryo Pramono , Sidik Tri Wibowo

GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) data in northern Sulawesi and western Halmahera reveals a pattern of coseismic displacement that was caused by the 7 July 2019 (Mw 6.9) and 14 November 2019 (Mw 7.1) Molucca Sea earthquakes. The coseismic slip of these earthquakes are obtained via inversion on rectangular fault planes of surface GNSS coseismic deformation offsets. The 7 July 2019 earthquake ruptured on an east-dipping fault with a maximum slip of ∼35 cm located at ∼4 km depth and ∼ 100 km north-west of the epicenter. The 14 November 2019 earthquake also ruptured on an east-dipping fault, which has a maximum slip of ∼64 cm located at ∼22 km depth and ∼ 20 km south-west of the epicenter. The coseismic slip distribution of the 14 November earthquake is spatially aligned to that of an earthquake of similar magnitude that took place on 15 November 2014 in the same region. This observation points to the possibility of synchronization, thus raising the prospect of a future earthquake exceeding magnitude 7. If the stress was completely released during the 2014 event, it would have been necessary to reload that portion of the fault at a rate significantly larger than the observed convergence rate of ∼5.8 cm/yr. This suggests that partial ruptures are likely controlling the recurrence time of large earthquakes in the region.

苏拉威西岛北部和哈尔马海拉岛西部的全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)数据揭示了由 2019 年 7 月 7 日(Mw 6.9)和 2019 年 11 月 14 日(Mw 7.1)摩鹿加海地震引起的共震位移模式。这些地震的共震滑移是通过对地表 GNSS 共震变形偏移的矩形断层平面进行反演获得的。2019 年 7 月 7 日地震发生在一条东倾断层上,最大滑移量为 35 厘米,位于震中西北方向 100 公里处,震源深度为 4 公里。2019 年 11 月 14 日地震也发生在一条东倾断层上,该断层的最大滑移量为∼64 厘米,位于震源深度∼22 公里处,震中西南方向∼20 公里处。11 月 14 日地震的共震滑移分布与 2014 年 11 月 15 日在同一地区发生的类似震级地震的滑移分布在空间上是一致的。这一观察结果表明了同步的可能性,从而提高了未来发生超过 7 级地震的可能性。如果应力在 2014 年的地震中被完全释放,那么该部分断层的重载速度将远远大于观测到的 5.8 厘米/年的收敛速度。这表明,部分断裂很可能控制着该地区大地震的复发时间。
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引用次数: 0
Present-day stress stratification in the lower Palaeozoic shale sequence of the Baltic Basin, northern Poland, inferred from borehole data 根据钻孔数据推断波兰北部波罗的海盆地下古生代页岩序列的现今应力分层情况
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230484
Marek Jarosiński , Kinga Bobek , Michał Wojtowicz , Radomir Pachytel , Maciej Trzeciak , Alicja Piłacik

We performed an analysis of present-day stress profiles for four wells penetrating the Lower Palaeozoic shale sequence of the Baltic Basin (northern Poland). Breakouts, hydraulic fracturing and leak-off tests were used to calibrate stress models based on anisotropic elastic shale properties. Initial stress models, balancing the lengths of the modelled and observed breakouts, indicated a degradation of the mechanical properties reconstructed from the density and dipole acoustic tool logs. Taking this adverse effect into account, final stress models were calculated which showed a stratification of the stress regime consistent with the lithostratigraphic shale units. A clear dominance of the horizontal stress-generating gravity factor over the horizontal tectonic strain was demonstrated. The obtained values of tectonic strain in the shale sequence compared to the previously determined strain in the crystalline basement of the same study area suggest a significant role of viscoelastic relaxation of the shale sequence.

我们对穿透波罗的海盆地(波兰北部)下古生界页岩序列的四口油井的现今应力剖面进行了分析。根据各向异性的弹性页岩特性,我们利用破裂、水力压裂和渗漏测试来校准应力模型。初始应力模型平衡了模拟和观测到的破裂长度,表明从密度和偶极声学工具测井中重建的力学性能有所下降。考虑到这一不利影响,计算出的最终应力模型显示,应力体系的分层与岩层页岩单位一致。结果表明,产生水平应力的重力因子明显高于水平构造应变。页岩层的构造应变值与之前在同一研究区域的结晶基底中测定的应变值相比,表明页岩层的粘弹性松弛起了重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Crustal-scale architecture and origin of the Haiyuan Arcuate Tectonic Belt, NE Tibet 西藏东北部海原弧形构造带的地壳尺度结构与起源
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230485
Zizhao Yuan , Yanqi Lin , Xiao Xu , Huilin Li , Xiaoyu Guo , Chunsen Li , Xiaofei Tong

The Haiyuan Arcuate Tectonic Belt (HATB) in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau features the interactions of three intersecting blocks: the eastern Qilian Shan, the Alxa Block, and the Ordos Block. While the HATB has displayed active responses to the ongoing collision between the Indian and Eurasian plates, the exact process behind the formation of this arcuate belt remains unclear. In pursuit of further insights into this topic and a deeper comprehension of the tectonic responses in NE Tibet, we conducted receiver function calculations using teleseismic waveforms recorded by two seismic short-period dense arrays spanning the western and eastern HATB, respectively, extending into the Alxa and Ordos Blocks. The CCP results in the HATB show major structural features that are different from those of adjacent blocks, mainly characterized by structural discontinuities in the crust due to severe deformation, including bending and uplifting in the lower crust. Together with previous geological studies, the bending interfaces in the lower crust of the HATB illuminate the existence of a crustal-scale tectonic accretionary wedge within the HATB, which originated in the Early Paleozoic. Furthermore, a decoupled deformation is seen within the HATB, with the lower crust undergoing shortening and the upper crust experiencing sequential stepwise thrusting towards the north. These scenarios, coupled with the resistance from the rigid Alxa and Ordos Blocks, lead to the conclusion that the arcuate shape of this belt is influenced by the weak crust of the HATB, which primarily orients the northeast, where the weak lithosphere of the Helan tectonic belt is situated between the Alxa and Ordos Blocks. Meanwhile, the progression of a series of thrusting faults in the upper crust within the HATB extends outward, involving adjacent blocks in plateau's growth.

青藏高原东北部的海原弧形构造带(HATB)由三个相交的地块相互作用而成:祁连山东部地块、阿拉善地块和鄂尔多斯地块。虽然HATB对印度板块和欧亚板块之间正在发生的碰撞表现出积极的反应,但这一弧形带形成背后的确切过程仍不清楚。为了进一步了解这一问题,更深入地理解西藏东北部的构造响应,我们利用两个地震短周期密集阵列记录的远震波形进行了接收函数计算,这两个地震短周期密集阵列分别横跨哈达弧带的西部和东部,并延伸至阿拉善和鄂尔多斯地块。HATB 的 CCP 结果显示了与邻近区块不同的主要构造特征,主要特征是由于严重变形造成的地壳构造不连续,包括下地壳的弯曲和隆起。结合以往的地质研究,HATB 下部地壳的弯曲界面表明,HATB 内部存在一个地壳尺度的构造增生楔,该构造增生楔起源于早古生代。此外,在 HATB 内还可以看到一种脱钩变形,下部地壳发生缩短,而上部地壳则向北发生连续的阶梯式推移。这些情况,加上来自坚硬的阿拉善和鄂尔多斯地块的阻力,导致该构造带的弧形形状受到 HATB 软弱地壳的影响,主要向东北方向倾斜,贺兰构造带的软弱岩石圈位于阿拉善和鄂尔多斯地块之间。同时,贺兰构造带内上地壳的一系列推断断层向外延伸,使邻近地块参与高原的生长。
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引用次数: 0
Inference of the Gutenberg-Richter b-value: New insights and results 古腾堡-里希特 b 值的推断:新的见解和结果
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230486
Eulogio Pardo-Igúzquiza , Peter A. Dowd

The size-frequency distribution of many geological and geophysical variables, in relation to fractures, faulting and seismicity, is well described by a statistical distribution of the power law type which is characterized by its exponent. For earthquake magnitudes, the exponent is the well-known b-parameter of the Gutenberg-Richter scaling law. In this paper we:

  • provide a strict statistical derivation of the distribution law of earthquake magnitudes,

  • show that the maximum likelihood estimator of the b-parameter is unbiased,

  • demonstrate that the maximum likelihood estimator is invariant to the value chosen as the minimum magnitude threshold in so far as it is larger than the magnitude of completeness of the earthquake catalogue, and

  • provide a new estimator based on the minimization of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic and provide a strategy for detecting and mapping the spatio-temporal variation of the b-parameter in seismic swarms.

The findings are illustrated with simulated data and a case study with real data.

与断裂、断层和地震有关的许多地质和地球物理变量的大小-频率分布,都可以用幂律类型的统计分布来很好地描述。对于地震震级而言,指数就是著名的古腾堡-里克特缩放定律的 b 参数。在本文中,我们-提供地震震级分布规律的严格统计推导,证明 b 参数的最大似然估计值是无偏的,证明最大似然估计值与所选的最小震级临界值无关,只要该值大于地震目录的完整震级、提供一种基于科尔莫哥洛夫-斯米尔诺夫统计量最小化的新估计器,并提供一种检测和绘制地震群中 b 参数时空变化图的策略。研究结果通过模拟数据和真实数据案例研究进行了说明。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of stress field in the head area of the Three Gorges Reservoir based on coupled fluid-solid theory 基于流固耦合理论的三峡库区水头区应力场分析
IF 2.7 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2024.230482
Yiming Dai , Lili Zhang , Yaowen Zhang , Yunsheng Yao , Renlong Wang

The Three Gorges Reservoir, one of the largest water conservation system in the world, has been of keen interest to scientists globally since its impoundment. After construction of the dam, there has been a significant increase in seismic activity in the head area of the reservoir. It is generally accepted that earthquakes in this region are predominantly caused by the Jiuwanxi and Xiannvshan faults. This study focused on the stress changes occurring in the research area. A three-dimensional finite element model of the reservoir area was constructed using the geological structure and digital ground elevation data of the reservoir area. The fluid-solid coupling theory was applied to calculate the dynamic spatial changes in pore pressure and Coulomb stress in the faults and surrounding rocks during reservoir impoundment. The findings indicated that the added head pore water pressure at the bottom of the reservoir had a maximum impact range of approximately −2800 m on the surrounding rock, whereas the Xiannvshan and Jiuwanxi faults had a maximum diffusion range of approximately −4300 m. Rock permeability also played a significant role in the water storage process. During the 1 56 m water impoundment stage, owing to rapid water storage activity, stress could not be transmitted to both sides in a timely manner, resulting in the formation of an extreme stress change zone at −4000 m inside the fault. This may have been the reason for the frequent earthquakes during this stage. The 17 5 m cycle water storage stage also exhibited a significant degree of seismicity, potentially attributable to the long-term infiltration of reservoir water and accumulation of stress in the previous stage. The stress in the study area at the four stages are in a process of accumulation-release-accumulation-release.

三峡水库是世界上最大的水利系统之一,自蓄水以来一直受到全球科学家的密切关注。大坝建成后,库首地区的地震活动明显增加。一般认为,该地区的地震主要是由九畹溪断层和仙女山断层引起的。本研究的重点是研究该地区发生的应力变化。利用库区的地质构造和数字地面高程数据,构建了库区的三维有限元模型。应用流固耦合理论计算了水库蓄水过程中断层和围岩中孔隙压力和库仑应力的动态空间变化。研究结果表明,水库底部增加的水头孔隙水压力对围岩的最大影响范围约为-2800 m,而仙女山断层和九畹溪断层的最大扩散范围约为-4300 m。在 1 56 m 的蓄水阶段,由于蓄水活动迅速,应力不能及时向两侧传递,导致断层内-4000 m 处形成极应力变化带。这可能是这一阶段频繁发生地震的原因。17 5 米循环蓄水阶段也出现了明显的地震,这可能是由于水库水的长期渗透和前一阶段应力的积累。研究区四个阶段的应力处于积累-释放-积累-释放的过程中。
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Tectonophysics
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