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The Effect of Central Grants on Local Tax and Non-Tax Revenue Mobilisation in a Conflict Setting: Evidence from Côte d’Ivoire 冲突环境下中央拨款对地方税和非税收入动员的影响:来自Côte d ' ivire的证据
Pub Date : 2016-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3120305
T. Sanogo, J. Brun
This analysis uses panel data from thirty-five departments over the period 2001-2011 to analyse the effect of grants from central government on local revenue mobilisation in CA´te d’Ivoire. The study considers the two components of local own revenue in CA´te d’Ivoire: tax revenue (LTR) and non-tax revenue (LNTR). To perform the investigation, the analysis is based on a carefully-constructed novel dataset, and very recent and appropriate econometric estimators (Grouped Fixed Effects (GFE)). The GFE method assumes that unobserved heterogeneity can be constant and/or varying over time among individual departments. We combine this method with Instrumental Variable (IV) regressions in a two-stage least squares procedure to control for endogeneity of grants. Overall, the results show a statistically significant and positive effect of central grants on local mobilisation of tax and non-tax revenue. Thus, the study finds that central grants to municipalities do not displace local revenue, but instead lead to higher revenue. However, the effect on tax revenue is more important than that on non-tax revenue. A 10 per cent increase in total grants to local government is associated with a 4.1 per cent increase in tax revenue mobilised by local administration, while increasing non-tax revenue by only 1.8 per cent. We also find that, although conflict has a negative impact on mobilisation of local revenue, this impact remains generally limited. The conflict is not significant at 5 per cent statistical significance.
本分析使用了2001-2011年期间来自35个部门的面板数据,分析了中央政府拨款对科特迪瓦地方收入调动的影响。该研究考虑了科特迪瓦地方自身收入的两个组成部分:税收收入(LTR)和非税收入(LTR)。为了进行调查,分析是基于一个精心构建的新数据集,以及最近和适当的计量经济学估计(分组固定效应(GFE))。GFE方法假设未观察到的异质性在各个部门之间可能是恒定的和/或随时间变化的。我们将该方法与工具变量(IV)回归相结合,采用两阶段最小二乘程序来控制拨款的内生性。总体而言,结果显示,中央拨款对地方调动税收和非税收收入具有统计上显著的积极影响。因此,该研究发现,中央对市政当局的拨款不会取代地方收入,反而会带来更高的收入。然而,对税收收入的影响比对非税收入的影响更重要。地方政府拨款总额每增加10%,地方政府调动的税收收入就会增加4.1%,而非税收入只会增加1.8%。我们还发现,尽管冲突对地方收入的调动有负面影响,但这种影响通常仍然有限。这种冲突不显著,统计显著性为5%。
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引用次数: 4
National Security, Narcissism, Voyeurism, and Kyllo: How Intelligence Programs and Social Norms are Affecting the Fourth Amendment 《国家安全、自恋、窥淫癖和凯洛:情报项目和社会规范如何影响第四修正案》
Pub Date : 2016-03-21 DOI: 10.37419/LR.V2.I4.6
A. R. Pearlman, Erick S. Lee
This article begins by tracing the development of Fourth Amendment jurisprudence in light of technological advancements from when the Supreme Court first addressed wiretapping in Olmstead in 1928, all the way through Kyllo, decided in 2001, mere months before the 9/11 terrorist attacks. We bifurcate that criminal law history from the national security law developments that led to the enactment of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, and the "wall" between law enforcement and intelligence organs of the federal government.Since the 9/11 attacks, however, traditional law enforcement and national security investigations (and investigatory methods) are more closely linked than when the key Supreme Court cases were decided. Further, surveillance and data collection capabilities are more widely reported and openly discussed than ever before. And, despite those two facts, the ways in which society has been employing technology in everyday use means the formerly private details of peoples' lives are more exposed and vulnerable than ever.We seek to qualify somewhat the growing consensus that, at least as it was known in the twentieth century, "privacy is dead." Although that sentiment seems empirically correct, we argue it is an oversimplification that fails to account for American values and legal policy. We recognize as a morally neutral proposition that privacy is a legal fiction, but argue that it is a fiction best maintained and protected to the extent possible, given the unambiguous willingness of people en masse to sacrifice their privacy for mere convenience and token benefits.
本文首先根据技术进步追溯第四修正案判例的发展,从1928年最高法院首次审理奥姆斯特德(Olmstead)一案的窃听案件,一直到2001年9/11恐怖袭击发生几个月前的Kyllo案。我们将刑法的历史与导致《外国情报监视法》(Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act)颁布的国家安全法的发展,以及联邦政府执法和情报机构之间的“墙”分开。然而,自9/11袭击以来,传统的执法和国家安全调查(以及调查方法)比最高法院的关键案件判决时更加紧密地联系在一起。此外,监测和数据收集能力比以往任何时候都得到了更广泛的报道和公开讨论。而且,尽管有这两个事实,社会在日常使用中使用技术的方式意味着人们生活中以前的隐私细节比以往任何时候都更加暴露和脆弱。我们试图在一定程度上为“隐私已死”这一日益增长的共识(至少在20世纪是这样)定性。尽管这种观点在经验上似乎是正确的,但我们认为这是一种过度简化,未能考虑到美国的价值观和法律政策。我们承认隐私是一种法律虚构,这是一种道德中立的主张,但我们认为,鉴于人们普遍愿意为了方便和象征性的利益而牺牲自己的隐私,这是一种尽可能得到最好维护和保护的虚构。
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引用次数: 3
Defense Offsets and Public Policy: Beyond Economic Efficiency 国防补偿和公共政策:超越经济效率
Pub Date : 2015-09-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2666754
D. Schoeni
Defense offsets are a form of countertrade whereby arms importing countries demand some form of compensation for the lost opportunity for domestic production. Both the United States and the European Union (EU) maintain that offsets are economically inefficient and trade distorting. Accordingly, free-trade advocates seek to prohibit offsets. Building on a previous article published in the Public Contract Law Journal – where he argued that offsets may be a “second-best” solution to the arms trade’s market failures – the author turns to a wider array of policy considerations. He concludes that closer analysis of the questions catalogued here is necessary before an outright ban should be pursued. He contends that the question is multifactorial and, thus, should not be decided on the basis of efficiency alone. Meanwhile, the author proposes both public and private measures for mitigating any harm that offsets may cause and for coming to a better understanding of their effects.
国防抵销是一种对销贸易,武器进口国要求对失去的国内生产机会给予某种形式的补偿。美国和欧盟(EU)都坚持认为,碳补偿在经济上效率低下,而且会扭曲贸易。因此,自由贸易倡导者寻求禁止补偿。在之前发表在《公共合同法杂志》(Public Contract Law Journal)上的一篇文章的基础上,作者转向了一系列更广泛的政策考虑。在那篇文章中,他认为抵消可能是武器贸易市场失灵的“次优”解决方案。他的结论是,在实行彻底禁令之前,有必要对这里列出的问题进行更深入的分析。他认为,这个问题是多方面的,因此不应仅根据效率来决定。同时,作者提出了公共和私人措施,以减轻抵消可能造成的任何伤害,并更好地了解其影响。
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引用次数: 0
Conflicting Results in the Russian Defence Sector 俄罗斯国防部门的矛盾结果
Pub Date : 2015-09-12 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2659473
V. Zatsepin
Departmental statistics of growth in production in the defense sector is highly distorted by liberalization of requirements to fulfi lment of the state defense order on the part of the Ministry of Defense and the Military Industrial Commission. Despite the international sanctions, in 2015 the goal of the state armament program has been attained ahead of time, while the program actually ceased to be relevant. Fulfi lment of the RF President’s requirements to create a transparent defense economy and sort things out both in management of the militaryindustrial complex and pricing still encounters serious obstacles.
国防部门生产增长的部门统计数据因国防部和军事工业委员会放宽国防订单履行要求而严重失真。尽管受到国际制裁,但2015年国家军备计划的目标已经提前实现,而该计划实际上已经失去了意义。实现RF总统的要求,建立透明的国防经济,并在军工综合体的管理和定价方面理清问题,仍然遇到严重障碍。
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引用次数: 0
The Korean War Termination Experience, 1951-1953: Strategy and Policy Lessons Learned 朝鲜战争结束的经验,1951-1953:战略和政策教训
Pub Date : 2015-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2604615
S. W. Bettwy
There is insufficient evidence to state definitively why the Chinese and North Koreans agreed to truce negotiations in the first place, why they prolonged the talks, and why they ultimately agreed to the Armistice. Such incomplete, circumstantial evidence makes varying theories possible. Regardless, there was cause for the United States to consider whether it had relied too much on violence and the threat of violence during negotiations. There was also cause to consider whether it should have invited greater input from U.N. coalition partners and whether it should have shown more patience toward the dismissive and disdainful demeanor of the Communist negotiators. There is also cause to consider whether it should have placed more emphasis on pressuring Soviet leader Joseph Stalin.
没有足够的证据明确说明为什么中国和朝鲜首先同意停战谈判,为什么他们延长了谈判,以及为什么他们最终同意停战。这种不完整的间接证据使各种理论成为可能。无论如何,美国有理由考虑它在谈判期间是否过于依赖暴力和暴力威胁。人们也有理由考虑,它是否应该邀请联合国联盟伙伴提供更多的意见,是否应该对共产党谈判代表的轻蔑和轻蔑表现出更大的耐心。我们也有理由考虑,美国是否应该更加强调向苏联领导人约瑟夫•斯大林(Joseph Stalin)施压。
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引用次数: 0
Networks in Conflict: Theory and Evidence from the Great War of Africa 冲突中的网络:来自非洲大战的理论和证据
Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2893884
Michael D. König, D. Rohner, Mathias Thoenig, Fabrizio Zilibotti
We study from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective how a network of military alliances and enmities affects the intensity of a conflict. The model combines elements from network theory and from the politico-economic theory of conflict. We postulate a Tullock contest success function augmented by an externality: each group’s strength is increased by the fighting effort of its allies, and weakened by the fighting effort of its rivals. We obtain a closed form characterization of the Nash equilibrium of the fighting game, and of how the network structure affects individual and total fighting efforts. We then perform an empirical analysis using data on the Second Congo War, a conflict that involves many groups in a complex network of informal alliances and rivalries. We estimate the fighting externalities, and use these to infer the extent to which the conflict intensity can be reduced through (i) removing individual groups involved in the conflict; (ii) pacification policies aimed at alleviating animosity among groups.
我们从理论和经验的角度研究军事联盟和敌人的网络如何影响冲突的强度。该模型结合了网络理论和政治经济冲突理论的元素。我们假设一个由外部性增强的图洛克竞赛成功函数:每个群体的力量都因其盟友的战斗努力而增加,并因其对手的战斗努力而削弱。我们获得了战斗博弈纳什均衡的封闭形式表征,以及网络结构如何影响个体和总体战斗努力。然后,我们使用第二次刚果战争的数据进行实证分析,这是一场涉及许多团体的冲突,这些团体处于非正式联盟和竞争的复杂网络中。我们估计了战斗的外部性,并利用这些外部性来推断通过以下方式可以减少冲突强度的程度:(i)消除冲突中涉及的个别群体;旨在减轻各群体之间敌意的绥靖政策。
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引用次数: 137
ФІНАНСОВО-ЕКОНОМІЧНІ ОСНОВИ СТАНОВЛЕННЯ МУНІЦИПАЛЬНОЇ МІЛІЦІЇЇ В УКРАЇНІ: ПРОБЛЕМИ ТЕОРІЇ ТА ПРАКТИКИ (Financial and Economic Bases of Formation of the Municipal Police in Ukraine: Problems of Theory and Practice)
Pub Date : 2014-12-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3357560
V. Orlov
Ukrainian Abstract: У статті розглядаються засади фінансової автономії територіальної громади, аналізуються фінансово-економічні основи становлення муніципальної міліції в Україні. Автором запропоновані найбільш оптимальні способи вирішення проблеми фінансування територіальною громадою підрозділів муніципальної міліції в умовах сьогодення.

English Abstract: In the article the basis of financial autonomy of the territorial community is considered. Financial and economic bases of formation of the municipal police in Ukraine are analyzed. The most optimum ways of solving the problem of funding the municipal police departments by the territorial community in present-day conditions are suggested by the author.
乌克兰语摘要:文章研究了地方社区财政自治的原则,分析了乌克兰组建城市警察的财政和经济基础。作者提出了在当前条件下解决地区社会资助市警察局问题的最佳途径。英文摘要:文章考虑了地区社会财政自治的基础。文章分析了乌克兰组建城市警察的财政和经济基础。作者提出了在当前条件下解决地区社会资助市警察局问题的最佳方法。
{"title":"ФІНАНСОВО-ЕКОНОМІЧНІ ОСНОВИ СТАНОВЛЕННЯ МУНІЦИПАЛЬНОЇ МІЛІЦІЇЇ В УКРАЇНІ: ПРОБЛЕМИ ТЕОРІЇ ТА ПРАКТИКИ (Financial and Economic Bases of Formation of the Municipal Police in Ukraine: Problems of Theory and Practice)","authors":"V. Orlov","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3357560","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3357560","url":null,"abstract":"<b>Ukrainian Abstract:</b> У статті розглядаються засади фінансової автономії територіальної громади, аналізуються фінансово-економічні основи становлення муніципальної міліції в Україні. Автором запропоновані найбільш оптимальні способи вирішення проблеми фінансування територіальною громадою підрозділів муніципальної міліції в умовах сьогодення. <br><br><b>English Abstract:</b> In the article the basis of financial autonomy of the territorial community is considered. Financial and economic bases of formation of the municipal police in Ukraine are analyzed. The most optimum ways of solving the problem of funding the municipal police departments by the territorial community in present-day conditions are suggested by the author.","PeriodicalId":224499,"journal":{"name":"ERN: National Security & War (Topic)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126443266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Structure of Disaster Resilience: A Framework for Simulations and Policy Recommendations 灾害恢复力的结构:模拟和政策建议的框架
Pub Date : 2014-09-08 DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-15-827-2015
John H. Y. Edwards
Abstract. In this era of rapid climate change there is an urgent need for interdisciplinary collaboration and understanding in the study of what determines resistance to disasters and recovery speed. This paper is an economist's contribution to that effort. It traces the entrance of the word "resilience" from ecology into the social science literature on disasters, provides a formal economic definition of resilience that can be used in mathematical modeling, incorporates this definition into a multilevel model that suggests appropriate policy roles and targets at each level, and draws on the recent empirical literature on the economics of disaster, searching for policy handles that can stimulate higher resilience. On the whole it provides a framework for simulations and for formulating disaster resilience policies.
摘要。在这个气候快速变化的时代,迫切需要跨学科的合作和理解,研究是什么决定了对灾害的抵抗力和恢复速度。本文是一位经济学家对这一努力的贡献。它追溯了“弹性”一词从生态学进入灾害社会科学文献的过程,提供了可用于数学建模的弹性的正式经济定义,将该定义纳入多层次模型,该模型建议每个级别的适当政策角色和目标,并借鉴了最近关于灾难经济学的实证文献,寻找可以刺激更高弹性的政策处理。总的来说,它为模拟和制定灾害恢复政策提供了一个框架。
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引用次数: 9
Oil Wars 石油战争
Pub Date : 2014-04-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2430960
Mamdouh G. Salameh
The 20th century was truly the century of oil whilst the 21st century would be the century of peak oil and the resulting oil wars. No other commodity has been so intimately intertwined with national strategies and global politics and power as oil. The close connection between oil and conflict derives from three essential features of oil: (1) its vital importance to the economy and military power of nations; (2) its irregular geographic distribution; and (3) peak oil. Conventional oil production peaked in 2006. As a result, the world could face an energy gap probably during the first two decades of the 21st century. This gap will have to be filled with unconventional and renewable energy sources. However, it is very doubtful as to whether these resources could bridge the energy gap in time as to be able to create a sustainable future energy supply. There is no doubt that oil is a leading cause of war. Oil fuels international conflict through four distinct mechanisms: (1) resource wars, in which states try to acquire oil reserves by force; (2) the externalization of civil wars in oil-producing nations (Libya as an example); (3) conflicts triggered by the prospect of oil-market domination such as the United States' war with Iraq over Kuwait in 1991; (4) clashes over control of oil transit routes such as shipping lanes and pipelines (closure of the Strait of Hormuz for example). Between 1941 and 2014, at least ten wars have been fought over oil, prominent among them the 21st century’s first oil war, the invasion of Iraq in 2003. At present, there are at least five major conflicts that could potentially flare up over oil and gas resources in the next three decades of the twenty-first century. The most dangerous among them are a war over Iran’s nuclear programme and a conflict between China and the United States that has the potential to escalate to war over dwindling oil resources or over Taiwan or over the disputed Islands in the South China Sea claimed by both China and Japan with the US coming to the defence of Japan. As in the 20th century, oil will continue in the 21st century to fuel the global struggles for political and economic primacy. Much blood will continue to be spilled in its name. The fierce and sometimes violent quest for oil and for the riches and power it represents will surely continue as long as oil holds a central place in the global economy.
20世纪是真正的石油世纪,而21世纪将是石油峰值和随之而来的石油战争的世纪。没有任何一种商品像石油一样,与国家战略、全球政治和权力如此紧密地交织在一起。石油与冲突之间的密切联系源于石油的三个基本特征:(1)它对国家的经济和军事力量至关重要;(二)地理分布不规律;(3)石油峰值。常规石油产量在2006年达到顶峰。因此,世界可能在21世纪头20年面临能源缺口。这一缺口必须用非常规能源和可再生能源来填补。然而,这些资源能否及时弥补能源缺口,从而创造可持续的未来能源供应,这是非常值得怀疑的。毫无疑问,石油是战争的主要原因。石油通过四种不同的机制引发国际冲突:(1)资源战争,各国试图通过武力获取石油储备;(2)石油生产国内战的外部化(以利比亚为例);(3)由石油市场主导前景引发的冲突,如1991年美国因科威特问题与伊拉克开战;(4)争夺石油运输路线(如航道和管道)控制权的冲突(如霍尔木兹海峡的关闭)。从1941年到2014年,至少发生了10场石油战争,其中最突出的是21世纪的第一次石油战争——2003年对伊拉克的入侵。目前,在21世纪的未来30年里,至少有五种主要的冲突可能会因石油和天然气资源而爆发。其中最危险的是一场围绕伊朗核计划的战争,以及中美之间的冲突,这种冲突有可能升级为围绕日益减少的石油资源、台湾或中国和日本都声称拥有主权的南中国海争议岛屿的战争,而美国将为日本辩护。与20世纪一样,石油将在21世纪继续推动全球政治和经济主导权的争夺。许多鲜血将继续以它的名义洒下。只要石油在全球经济中占据中心地位,对石油及其所代表的财富和权力的激烈、有时甚至是暴力的追求肯定会继续下去。
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引用次数: 24
Интегрированная система управления ресурсов обороны (ИСУРО)- основа финансового менеджмента (Integrated System of Defense Resource Management (ISDRM) - The Basis of Financial Management)
Pub Date : 2014-04-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3174892
S. I. Dimitrova, Venelin Terziev
Russian Abstract: Проявление финансового менеджмента ресурсов безопасности и обороны осуществляется посредством ИСУРО. Созданная на основе программно-целевого подхода управления, она по своей сути представляет индивидуальную и комплексную систему распределения и управления ресурсами безопасности и обороны, обеспечивая сбалансированность долгосрочных приоритетов с краткосрочными требованиями для постижения НОС. English Abstract: The manifestation of financial management of security and defense resources is carried out by means of ISDRM. Created on the basis of a program-targeted management approach, it essentially represents an individual and integrated system for the allocation and management of security and defense resources, ensuring the balance of long-term priorities with short-term requirements for the comprehension of FNL.
摘要:安全和防卫资源的财务管理通过 ISMS 系统体现。它建立在计划目标管理方法的基础上,实质上是安全和国防资源分配和管理的一个单独和综合的系统,兼顾长期优先事项和短期需求,以实现国家指挥系统。英文摘要:安全与防卫资源的财务管理是通过 ISDRM 来实现的。它是在计划目标管理方法的基础上创建的,本质上代表了安全和国防资源分配和管理的一个单独和综合的系统,确保了长期优先事项和短期需求之间的平衡,以实现国家安全目标。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
ERN: National Security & War (Topic)
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