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A Retrospective Study of Pediatric Patients With Low- or Intermediate-Risk Acute Myeloid Leukemia Who Underwent Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for the AML-05 Study Conducted by the Japanese Pediatric Leukemia/Lymphoma Study Group. 日本儿科白血病/淋巴瘤研究小组开展的 AML-05 研究中,对接受异基因造血细胞移植的低危或中危急性髓性白血病儿科患者进行的回顾性研究。
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.08.011
Yoshiko Hashii, Koji Kawaguchi, Hiroyuki Kurakami, Katsutsugu Umeda, Daiichiro Hasegawa, Tomohiko Taki, Nobuyuki Hyakuna, Hiroyuki Ishida, Yoshiyuki Takahashi, Masayuki Nagasawa, Hiromasa Yabe, Michihiro Yano, Yozo Nakazawa, Hiroyuki Fujisaki, Kimikazu Matsumoto, Masakatsu Yanagimachi, Nao Yoshida, Harumi Kakuda, Atsushi Satou, Ken Tabuchi, Daisuke Tomizawa, Takashi Taga, Souichi Adachi, Katsuyoshi Koh, Koji Kato

The AML-05 study aimed to examine the efficacy and safety of a therapeutic strategy based on risk stratification for low-, intermediate-, or high-risk acute myeloid leukemia (AML) pediatric patients. Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) was not indicated for low- or intermediate-risk AML patients in first complete remission. The present retrospective study for the AML-05 study aimed to identify prognostic factors for survival and to determine optimal allo-HCT according to multivariate analysis on overall survival (OS), event-free survival (EFS), cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR), and cumulative incidence of nonrelapse mortality for and between low- and intermediate-risk AML group patients in the AML-05 study who had undergone allo-HCT after its completion and relapse. The unique patient numbers (UPNs) of the AML-05 study were matched with the Transplant Registry Unified Management Program (TRUMP)-registered numbers, and the tied data on the AML-05 study's UPNs and the TRUMP-registered numbers were analyzed. The primary endpoint was 3-yr OS. Among 443 AML patients in the AML-05 study, 79 (32 low-risk AML and 47 intermediate-risk AML) were analyzed. The following statistically favorable prognostic factors were identified by multivariate analysis on the low- and intermediate-risk AML groups, respectively: UCB (OS-hazard ratio [HR], 0.105; 95% CI, 0.011 to 0.941; P = .004 and EFS-HR, 0.065, 95% CI, 0.007 to 0.577, P = .014) and late relapse (OS-HR, 0.212; 95% CI, 0.072 to 0.626; P = .005 and EFS-HR, 0.236; 95% CI, 0.088 to 0.630; P = .004). Three-year OS, 3-yr EFS, and 3-yr CIR were significantly different between the low- and intermediate-risk AML groups. UCB may be a safe and beneficial donor source for low-risk AML patients, while late relapse was a favorable prognostic factor for intermediate-risk AML patients. Intermediate-risk AML patients with late relapse and low-risk AML patients may benefit from allo-HCT after relapse.

AML-05研究旨在考察基于风险分层的治疗策略对低危、中危或高危急性髓性白血病(AML)儿科患者的疗效和安全性。同种异体造血细胞移植(allo-HCT)不适用于首次完全缓解(CR1)的低危或中危急性髓性白血病患者。本项AML-05研究的回顾性研究旨在确定生存预后因素,并根据对AML-05研究中低危和中危AML组患者完成异基因造血干细胞移植后复发的总生存期(OS)、无事件生存期(EFS)、累计复发率(CIR)和非复发死亡率(NRM)的多变量分析,确定最佳的异基因造血干细胞移植。AML-05研究的唯一患者编号(UPN)与移植登记处统一管理计划(TRUMP)登记的编号进行了匹配,并对AML-05研究的UPN和TRUMP登记编号的绑定数据进行了分析。主要终点是3年的OS。在AML-05研究的443名急性髓细胞性白血病患者中,有79人(32名低危急性髓细胞性白血病患者和47名中危急性髓细胞性白血病患者)接受了分析。通过对低风险 AML 组和中风险 AML 组进行多变量分析,分别发现了以下统计学上有利的预后因素:UCB(OS-危险比[HR],0.105;95% CI,0.011 至 0.941;P = .004;EFS-HR,0.065,95% CI,0.007 至 0.577,P = .014)和晚期复发(OS-HR,0.212;95% CI,0.072 至 0.626;P = .005;EFS-HR,0.236;95% CI,0.088 至 0.630;P = .004)。低危和中危急性髓细胞性白血病组的三年 OS、三年 EFS 和三年 CIR 有显著差异。对于低风险急性髓细胞白血病患者来说,UCB可能是一种安全、有益的供体来源,而对于中度风险急性髓细胞白血病患者来说,晚期复发是一个有利的预后因素。晚期复发的中危急性髓细胞性白血病患者和低危急性髓细胞性白血病患者可能会在复发后从异体血细胞移植中获益。
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引用次数: 0
Profile of a Pioneer: George W. Santos 先锋人物简介乔治-桑托斯
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.08.001
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引用次数: 0
Myeloma CAR T-cell therapy toxicity timing: What is the right amount of post-treatment monitoring for our patients? 骨髓瘤 CAR T 细胞疗法毒性时机:对我们的患者来说,治疗后的监测量应该是多少?
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.08.002
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引用次数: 0
Masthead (Purpose and Scope) 刊头(宗旨和范围)
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/S2666-6367(24)00564-5
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引用次数: 0
Officers and Directors of ASTCT ASTCT 的官员和董事
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/S2666-6367(24)00566-9
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引用次数: 0
No Role for Tandem Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation in Modern Treatment Paradigms for Transplant Eligible Multiple Myeloma 串联自体干细胞移植在符合移植条件的多发性骨髓瘤的现代治疗范例中没有作用
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.08.003
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引用次数: 0
Outcomes of Haplo-Cord Versus Dual Cord Transplants: A Single-Center Retrospective Analysis. 单体脐带移植与双脐带移植的结果:单中心回顾性分析。
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.07.021
Andrew Kent, Kellen B Gil, Michael K Jones, Brooke Linden, Enkhee Purev, Bradley Haverkos, Marc Schwartz, Christine McMahon, Maria Amaya, Clayton A Smith, Grace Bosma, Diana Abbott, Rachel Rabinovitch, Sarah A Milgrom, Daniel A Pollyea, Jonathan A Gutman

Despite the concurrent use of haploidentical cord (HCT) and dual cord (DCT) stem cell transplant approaches for over a decade, there have been few comparisons of their outcomes. Our objective in this study is to assess for differences in the outcomes and adverse effects associated with HCTs versus DCTs. Here we report a retrospective analysis of HCTs and DCTs at our institution. From October 2012 to October 2022, 70 HCT and 133 DCT transplants were performed following 50 mg/kg of IV cyclophosphamide, 150 mg/m2 of IV fludarabine, 10 mg/kg of IV thiotepa, and 4 Gy total body irradiation conditioning. With a median follow-up of 3.6 years among survivors, there was no difference in overall survival (OS) (3 years OS 65% DCT versus 63% HCT, P = 1) or relapse-free survival (3 years RFS 62% DCT versus 64% HCT, P = .97) for all patients. Time to neutrophil recovery was faster in HCT recipients (median 17 versus 22 days, P = .021), with no difference in platelet recovery to 20,000/μL (P = .12). Median hospitalization for HCT recipients was 20 days versus 24 days for DCT recipients (P < .0001). Engraftment syndrome treated with steroids occurred in 47/133 (35%) DCT recipients versus 42/70 (60%) HCT recipients (odds ratios 0.37, P value=.001). There was a significant increase in grade 3 to 4 acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) in haplo-cord recipients (P = .007), but no difference in grade 2 to 4 aGVHD (P = .11), all chronic GVHD (cGVHD) (P = .9), or moderate-severe cGVHD (P = .3). Our outcomes demonstrate faster engraftment and shorter hospitalization in HCTs relative to DCTs, but more engraftment syndrome and higher grade 3 to 4 aGVHD. When both are options, these factors should guide the choice between HCTs and DCTs.

背景:尽管单倍体脐带干细胞移植(HCT)和双脐带干细胞移植(DCT)同时使用已有十多年,但很少对它们的结果进行比较:本研究的目的是评估HCT与DCT在结果和不良反应方面的差异:研究设计:我们在此报告了本机构对HCT和DCT的回顾性分析。从2012年10月到2022年10月,在50毫克/千克静脉注射环磷酰胺、150毫克/平方米静脉注射氟达拉滨、10毫克/千克静脉注射硫替派和4Gy全身照射调理后,进行了70例HCT和133例DCT移植:幸存者的中位随访时间为 3.6 年,所有患者的总生存率(3 年 OS 65% DCT vs 63% HCT,P=1)和无复发生存率(3 年 RFS 62% DCT vs 64% HCT,P=0.97)均无差异。HCT受者的中性粒细胞恢复时间更快(中位17天 vs 22天,p=0.021),血小板恢复到20000/μL没有差异(p=0.12)。HCT受者的中位住院时间为20天,而DCT受者为24天(P结论:我们的研究结果表明,与 DCT 相比,HCT 的移植速度更快,住院时间更短,但移植综合征更多,3-4 级 aGVHD 也更高。当两者都可选择时,应根据这些因素在 HCT 和 DCT 之间做出选择。
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引用次数: 0
Surrogates of Endothelial Injury Predict Survival After Post-transplant Cyclophosphamide. 内皮损伤的替代物可预测移植后环磷酰胺的存活率。
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.08.009
Anmol Baranwal, Kimberly J Langer, Mohamed A Kharfan-Dabaja, Ernesto Ayala, James Foran, Hemant Murthy, Vivek Roy, Madiha Iqbal, Jeanne Palmer, Lisa Z Sproat, Saurabh Chhabra, Nandita Khera, Urshila Durani, Mehrdad Hefazi, Abhishek Mangaonkar, Mithun V Shah, Mark R Litzow, William J Hogan, Hassan B Alkhateeb

Post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PT-Cy) is becoming the standard of care for preventing graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) following allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHCT). Cyclophosphamide is associated with endothelial injury. We hypothesized that the endothelial activation and stress index (EASIX) score, being a marker of endothelial dysfunction, will predict non-relapse mortality (NRM) in alloHCT patients receiving PT-Cy for GVHD prophylaxis. We evaluate the prognostic ability of the hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index (HCT-CI) and EASIX scores, and report other factors influencing survival, in patients with hematologic malignancies undergoing alloHCT and receiving PT-Cy-based GVHD prophylaxis. Adult patients with hematologic malignancies who underwent alloHCT and received PT-Cy for GVHD prophylaxis at the three Mayo Clinic locations were included in this study. We retrospectively reviewed the Mayo Clinic database and the available electronic medical records to determine the patient, disease, and transplant characteristics. An HCT-CI score of ≥3 was considered high. The EASIX score was calculated from labs available between day -28 (of alloHCT) to the day of starting conditioning and analyzed on log2 transformed values. A log2-EASIX score ≥2.32 was considered high. The cumulative incidence of NRM was determined using competing risk analysis, with relapse considered as competing risk. Overall survival (OS) from transplant was determined using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank methods. Cox-proportional hazard method was used to evaluate factors impacting survival. A total of 199 patients were evaluated. Patients with a high log2-EASIX score had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of NRM at 1 year after alloHCT (34.5% versus 12.3%, P = .003). Competing risk analysis showed that a high log2-EASIX score (HR 2.92, 95% CI 1.38 to 6.17, P = .005) and pre-alloHCT hypertension (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.06 to 4.36, P = .034) were independently predictive of 1 year-NRM. Accordingly, we combined the two factors to develop a composite risk model stratifying patients in low, intermediate, and high-risk groups: 111 (55.8%) patients were considered low-risk, 76 (38.2%) were intermediate and 12 (6%) were high-risk. Compared to patients in the low-risk group, the intermediate (HR 2.38, 95% CI 1.31 to 4.33, P = .005) and high-risk (HR 5.77, 95% CI 2.31 to 14.39, P < .001) groups were associated with a significantly inferior 1-year OS. Multiorgan failure (MOF) was among the common causes of NRM (14/32, 43.8%) particularly among patients with prior pulmonary comorbidities [7 (50%) patients]. Our study shows that EASIX score is predictive of survival after PT-Cy. The novel EASIX-HTN composite risk model may stratify patients prior to transplant. MOF is a common cause of NRM in patients receiving PT-Cy, particularly among patients with pulmonary comorbidities.

背景:移植后环磷酰胺(PT-Cy)正成为异基因造血干细胞移植(alloHCT)后预防移植物抗宿主疾病(GVHD)的标准疗法。环磷酰胺与内皮损伤有关。我们假设,内皮活化和应激指数(EASIX)评分作为内皮功能障碍的标志,将预测接受PT-Cy预防GVHD的异体干细胞移植患者的非复发死亡率(NRM):我们评估了HCT-CI和EASIX评分的预后能力,并报告了影响接受异体HCT并接受PT-Cy预防GVHD的血液恶性肿瘤患者生存的其他因素:本研究纳入了在梅奥诊所三处接受alloHCT并接受PT-Cy预防GVHD的成年血液恶性肿瘤患者。我们回顾性地查看了梅奥诊所的数据库和现有的电子病历,以确定患者、疾病和移植的特征。HCT-CI评分≥3分为高分。EASIX评分是根据第-28天(同种异体血细胞移植)至开始调理当天的化验结果计算得出的,并按对数2转换值进行分析。log2-EASIX 评分≥ 2.32 为高分。采用竞争风险分析法确定NRM的累积发生率,复发被视为竞争风险。采用 Kaplan-Meier 和对数秩方法确定移植后的总生存期(OS)。Cox比例危险法用于评估影响存活率的因素:共评估了 199 名患者。对数2-EASIX评分高的患者在异体器官移植后1年的NRM累积发生率明显更高(34.5% vs. 12.3%,P = 0.003)。竞争风险分析表明,高 log2-EASIX 评分(HR 2.92,95% CI 1.38 - 6.17,P = 0.005)和异体HCT 前高血压(HR 2.15,95% CI 1.06 - 4.36,P = 0.034)可独立预测 1 年的 NRM。因此,我们将这两个因素结合起来,建立了一个复合风险模型,将患者分为低、中、高风险组:111 例(55.8%)患者被视为低风险,76 例(38.2%)为中度风险,12 例(6%)为高度风险。与低风险组患者相比,中度风险组(HR 2.38,95% CI 1.31 - 4.33,P = 0.005)和高度风险组(HR 5.77,95% CI 2.31 - 14.39,P < 0.001)的1年OS明显较低。多器官功能衰竭(MOF)是NRM的常见原因之一(14/32,43.8%),尤其是在既往有肺部合并症的患者中(7例(50%)):我们的研究表明,EASIX 评分可预测 PT-Cy 治疗后的生存率。结论:我们的研究表明,EASIX评分可预测PT-Cy后的生存率,新型EASIX-HTN复合风险模型可在移植前对患者进行分层。在接受 PT-Cy 的患者中,MOF 是导致 NRM 的常见原因,尤其是在有肺部合并症的患者中。
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引用次数: 0
A Tool for the Assessment of HLA-DQ Heterodimer Variation in Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation. 评估造血细胞移植中 HLA-DQ 异源二聚体变异的工具:HLA-DQ 异源二聚体工具。
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.08.006
Ray W Sajulga, Yung-Tsi Bolon, Martin J Maiers, Effie W Petersdorf
<p><p>When optimizing transplants, clinical decision-makers consider HLA-A, -B, -C, -DRB1 (8 matched alleles out of 8), and sometimes HLA-DQB1 (10 out of 10) matching between the patient and donor. HLA-DQ is a heterodimer formed by the β chain product of HLA-DQB1 and an α chain product of HLA-DQA1. In addition to molecules defined by the parentally inherited cis haplotypes, α-β trans-dimerization is possible between certain alleles, leading to unique molecules and a potential source of mismatched molecules. Recently, researchers uncovered that clinical outcome after HLA-DQB1-mismatched unrelated donor HCT depends on the total number of HLA-DQ molecule mismatches and the specific α-β heterodimer mismatch. Our objective in this study is to develop an automated tool for analyzing HLA-DQ heterodimer data and validating it through numerous datasets and analyses. By doing so, we provide an HLA-DQ heterodimer tool for DQα-DQβ trans-heterodimer evaluation, HLA-DQ imputation, and HLA-DQ-featured source selection to the transplant field. In our study, we leverage 352,148 high-confidence, statistically phased (via a modified expectation-maximization algorithm) HLA-DRB1∼DQA1∼DQB1 haplotypes, 1,052 pedigree-phased HLA-DQA1∼DQB1 haplotypes, and 13,663 historical transplants to characterize HLA-DQ heterodimers data. Using our developed QLASSy (HLA-DQA1 and HLA-DQB1 Heterodimers Assessment) tool, we first assessed the data quality of HLA-DQ heterodimers in our data for trans-dimers, missing HLA-DQA1 typing, and unexpected HLA-DQA1 and HLA-DQB1 combinations. Since trans-dimers enable up to four unique HLA-DQ molecules in individuals, we provide in-silico validations for 99.7% of 275 unique trans-dimers generated by 176,074 U.S. donors with HLA-DQA1 and HLA-DQB1 data. Many individuals lack HLA-DQA1 typing, so we developed and validated high-confidence HLA-DQ annotation imputation via HLA-DRB1 with >99% correct predictions in 23,698 individuals. A select few individuals displayed unexpected HLA-DQ combinations. We revisited the typing of 61 donors with unexpected HLA-DQ combinations based on their HLA-DQA1 and HLA-DQB1 typing and corrected 22 out of 61 (36%) cases of donors through data review or retyping and used imputation to resolve unexpected combinations. After verifying the data quality of our datasets, we analyzed our datasets further: we explored the frequencies of observed HLA-DQ combinations to compare HLA-DQ across populations (for instance, we found more high-risk molecules in Asian/Pacific Islander and Black/African American populations), demonstrated the effect of HLA-DQA1 and HLA-DQB1 mismatching on HLA-DQ molecular mismatches, and highlighted where donor selections could be improved at the time of search for historical transplants with this new HLA-DQ information (where 51.9% of G2-mismatched transplants had lower-risk, G2-matched alternatives). We encapsulated our findings into a tool that imputes missing HLA-DQA1 as needed, annotates HLA-DQ (mis)m
背景:在优化移植时,临床决策者会考虑患者和供体之间的 HLA-A、-B、-C、-DRB1(8 个等位基因中有 8 个匹配),有时也会考虑 HLA-DQB1 (10 个等位基因中有 10 个匹配)。HLA-DQ 是由 HLA-DQB1 的 β 链产物和 HLA-DQA1 的 α 链产物组成的异源二聚体。除了由父母遗传的顺式单倍型确定的分子外,某些等位基因之间也可能发生α-β反式二聚化,从而产生独特的分子和潜在的不匹配分子。最近,研究人员发现,HLA-DQB1 不匹配的非亲缘供体 HCT 后的临床结果取决于 HLA-DQ 分子错配的总数和特定的 α-β 异源二聚体错配:本研究的目的是开发一种自动工具,用于分析 HLA-DQ 异源二聚体数据,并通过大量数据集和分析进行验证。通过这样做,我们为移植领域提供了一种用于 DQα-DQβ 反式异源二聚体评估、HLA-DQ 估算和 HLA-DQ 特征源选择的 HLA-DQ 异源二聚体工具:在我们的研究中,我们利用了 352,148 个高置信度、统计分期(通过改进的期望最大化算法)的 HLA-DRB1∼DQA1∼DQB1 单倍型,1,052 个血统分期的 HLA-DQA1∼DQB1 单倍型,以及 13,663 例历史移植来描述 HLA-DQ 异源二聚体数据:利用我们开发的QLASSy(HLA-DQA1和HLA-DQB1异二聚体评估)工具,我们首先评估了数据中HLA-DQ异二聚体的数据质量,包括反式二聚体、HLA-DQA1分型缺失以及意外的HLA-DQA1和HLA-DQB1组合。由于反式二聚体能在个体中产生多达四种独特的 HLA-DQ 分子,我们为 176,074 名美国供体产生的 275 个独特反式二聚体中 99.7% 的 HLA-DQA1 和 HLA-DQB1 数据提供了校内验证。许多个体缺乏 HLA-DQA1 分型,因此我们开发并验证了通过 HLA-DRB1 进行的高可信度 HLA-DQ 注释归约,在 23,698 个个体中预测的正确率大于 99%。少数个体显示了意外的 HLA-DQ 组合。我们根据供体的 HLA-DQA1 和 HLA-DQB1 分型,重新对 61 例具有意外 HLA-DQ 组合的供体进行了分型,并通过数据审查或重新分型纠正了 61 例供体中的 22 例(36%),并使用归因法解决了意外组合的问题。在验证了数据集的数据质量后,我们对数据集进行了进一步分析:我们探究了观察到的 HLA-DQ 组合的频率,以比较不同人群的 HLA-DQ(例如,我们在亚洲/太平洋岛民和黑人/非洲裔美国人中发现了更多的高风险分子),证明了 HLA-DQA1 和 HLA-DQB1 错配对 HLA-DQ 分子错配的影响,并强调了在利用这些新的 HLA-DQ 信息搜索历史移植时,可以改进供体选择的地方(其中 51.结论:我们将研究结果汇总到一个工具中,该工具可根据需要计算缺失的 HLA-DQA1,注释 HLA-DQ(错误)匹配,并强调当前和未来需要考虑的其他重要 HLA-DQ 数据。总之,这些有价值的数据集、分析和最终工具都是可操作的资源,可用于加强供体选择和改善患者预后。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Relapse Prediction by Peripheral Blood WT1mRNA after Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Myeloid Neoplasms. 通过外周血 WT1mRNA 预测骨髓肿瘤异基因造血细胞移植后的动态复发。
IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 HEMATOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtct.2024.08.008
Soichiro Nakako, Hiroshi Okamura, Isao Yokota, Yukari Umemoto, Mirei Horiuchi, Kazuki Sakatoku, Kentaro Ido, Yosuke Makuuchi, Masatomo Kuno, Teruhito Takakuwa, Mitsutaka Nishimoto, Asao Hirose, Mika Nakamae, Yasuhiro Nakashima, Hideo Koh, Masayuki Hino, Hirohisa Nakamae

Although various relapse prediction models based on pretransplant information have been reported, they cannot update the predictive probability considering post-transplant patient status. Therefore, these models are not appropriate for deciding on treatment adjustment and preemptive intervention during post-transplant follow-up. A dynamic prediction model can update the predictive probability by considering the information obtained during follow-up. This study aimed to develop and assess a dynamic relapse prediction model after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) using peripheral blood Wilms' tumor 1 messenger RNA (WT1mRNA). We retrospectively analyzed patients with AML or MDS who underwent allo-HCT at our institution. To develop dynamic models, we employed the landmarking supermodel approach, using age, refined disease risk index, conditioning intensity, and number of transplantations as pretransplant covariates and both pre- and post-transplant peripheral blood WT1mRNA levels as time-dependent covariates. Finally, we compared the predictive performances of the conventional and dynamic models by area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves. A total of 238 allo-HCT cases were included in this study. The dynamic model that considered all pretransplant WT1mRNA levels and their kinetics showed superior predictive performance compared to models that considered only pretransplant covariates or factored in both pretransplant covariates and post-transplant WT1mRNA levels without their kinetics; their time-dependent areas under the curve were 0.89, 0.73, and 0.87, respectively. The predictive probability of relapse increased gradually from approximately 90 days before relapse. Furthermore, we developed a web application to make our model user-friendly. This model facilitates real-time, highly accurate, and personalized relapse prediction at any time point after allo-HCT. This will aid decision-making during post-transplant follow-up by offering objective relapse forecasts for physicians.

背景:尽管有报道称各种基于移植前信息的复发预测模型,但这些模型无法根据移植后患者的状况更新预测概率。因此,这些模型不适合在移植后随访期间决定治疗调整和预先干预。动态预测模型可通过考虑随访期间获得的信息更新预测概率:本研究旨在利用外周血Wilms' tumor 1信使RNA(WT1mRNA),开发并评估急性髓性白血病(AML)和骨髓增生异常综合征(MDS)异基因造血细胞移植(allo-HCT)后的动态复发预测模型:我们回顾性地分析了在本院接受allo-HCT的AML或MDS患者。为了建立动态模型,我们采用了地标超模型方法,将年龄、精细疾病风险指数、调理强度和移植次数作为移植前协变量,将移植前和移植后外周血 WT1mRNA 水平作为时间依赖性协变量。最后,我们通过时间依赖性接收者操作特征曲线下面积比较了传统模型和动态模型的预测性能:本研究共纳入 238 例异体肝移植病例。与只考虑移植前协变量或同时考虑移植前协变量和移植后 WT1mRNA 水平但不考虑其动力学的模型相比,考虑移植前所有 WT1mRNA 水平及其动力学的动态模型显示出更优越的预测性能;其时间依赖性曲线下面积分别为 0.89、0.73 和 0.87。复发的预测概率从复发前约 90 天开始逐渐增加。此外,我们还开发了一个网络应用程序,使我们的模型便于用户使用:该模型有助于在异体肝移植后的任何时间点进行实时、高度准确和个性化的复发预测。通过为医生提供客观的复发预测,这将有助于移植后随访期间的决策。
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Transplantation and Cellular Therapy
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