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2019 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)最新文献

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Algorithm-Based Handling of Complaints Data from the Usage Phase 基于算法处理使用阶段的投诉数据
H. Marius, Schlueter Nadine, Ansari Amirbabak
Digitalization provides us with more and more data about smart systems we develop and sell. While using feedback from the customer, gained in the use phase of a smart product, is a basic idea of quality improvement, a systematic and continuous handling of complaints information is still very rare. This paper describes a procedure on how to implement a workflow to use complaint information for improving the failure management of smart products. It points out what kind of an algorithm and which analysis steps are basically needed to manage complaint management and continuous improvement in production and products.
数字化为我们开发和销售的智能系统提供了越来越多的数据。虽然利用在智能产品使用阶段获得的客户反馈是质量改进的基本思路,但对投诉信息进行系统和持续的处理仍然非常罕见。本文描述了如何实现一个工作流,利用投诉信息来改进智能产品的故障管理。指出了在生产和产品的投诉管理和持续改进中,基本需要什么样的算法和哪些分析步骤。
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引用次数: 4
Fatigue Life Prediction of a Turbine Disc with Stress Gradient 具有应力梯度的涡轮盘疲劳寿命预测
Zhi-qiang Lv, G. Jiao, Z. Tao, M.-L. Zhu, Ying-Hui Hua
In this paper, a three-dimensional turbine disc model is established. By using the FEM (finite element method), the critical stress and strain concentration regions are determined according to the static structural analysis results of the turbine disc. Besides, the stress gradient distributions of the assembly holes, the gear teeth region, and the hub region are identified. Then by introducing an improved SWT (Smith-Watson-Topper) parameter model which can take the stress gradient effect into consideration, the fatigue life of the hub region, the gear teeth region, and the assembly holes is obtained. Comparing the life prediction results of the critical regions, finally we get the turbine disc’s fatigue life.
本文建立了涡轮盘的三维模型。根据涡轮盘的静力结构分析结果,采用有限元法确定了临界应力和应变集中区域。此外,还识别了装配孔、齿轮齿区和轮毂区的应力梯度分布。然后引入考虑应力梯度效应的改进SWT (Smith-Watson-Topper)参数模型,得到轮毂区域、齿轮齿区域和装配孔的疲劳寿命。通过对临界区域寿命预测结果的比较,得出了涡轮盘的疲劳寿命。
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引用次数: 0
Failure Rate Prediction and Reliability Assessment of RV Reducer RV减速器故障率预测与可靠性评估
B. Bai, Ze Li, Junyi Zhang
Based on fuzzy mathematics thought, a methodology combining the expert evaluation and multilevel hierarchy analysis (EE-MHA) is proposed, meanwhile, the non-electronic product reliability data, NPRD) of non-key parts is used to predict the reliability of RV reducer in six-axis industrial robots. First, the proportion of every component of RV reducer in the reliability prediction was calculated via expert scoring. Then the failures rates of main parts and RV reducer are obtained by the non-key part. Based on this, the reliability assessment is investigated. This method can quantify the cognition of engineers on RV reducer under the condition of processing and production, besides, the failure rate of RV reducer can be calculated, which provide theoretical basis for requirements of spare parts for manufacturers of industrial robots who is using RV reducer.
基于模糊数学思想,提出了专家评价与多层层次分析法相结合的方法,同时利用非关键零部件的非电子产品可靠性数据(NPRD)对六轴工业机器人RV减速器进行可靠性预测。首先,通过专家评分法计算RV减速器各部件在可靠性预测中的比例;然后通过对非关键部件的分析,得到了主要部件和RV减速器的故障率。在此基础上,对其可靠性评估进行了研究。该方法可以量化工程师在加工生产条件下对RV减速器的认知,并可以计算出RV减速器的故障率,为使用RV减速器的工业机器人制造商提供备件需求的理论依据。
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引用次数: 1
An Overview of Failure Analysis Expert System Based on Machine Learning 基于机器学习的故障分析专家系统综述
Hongjian Wang, Liyuan Liu, Youliang Wang, Zeya Peng
Machine learning is nowadays one of the most efficient and popular tool and theory which has influenced many of the engineering fields. The traditional failure analysis is also based on statistical learning and reliability data, these methods can be used to assess characteristics over the design life, predict reliability, assess the exchange effect, product life prognosis and help to failure analysis. These two subjects have the natural connection, so this paper presents a very general overview on reliability and machine learning, which will demonstrate how the machine learning tools used for classical reliability system and failure analysis. We especially state some algorithms such as Bayesian networks and its’ method to reliability area. Then we can see how a typical engineering area can benefit from the machine learning.
机器学习是当今最有效、最流行的工具和理论之一,影响了许多工程领域。传统的失效分析也是基于统计学习和可靠性数据,这些方法可以用于评估设计寿命期间的特性、预测可靠性、评估交换效应、产品寿命预测和帮助进行失效分析。这两个主题有着天然的联系,因此本文对可靠性和机器学习进行了非常全面的概述,并将演示如何将机器学习工具用于经典可靠性系统和故障分析。重点介绍了贝叶斯网络及其方法等可靠性方面的一些算法。然后我们可以看到一个典型的工程领域是如何从机器学习中受益的。
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引用次数: 1
An Approach for Process FMEA Based on Blackboard Structure and Semantics 基于黑板结构和语义的过程FMEA方法
Jize Chen, Dezhen Yang, Yun Xie, Lei Lin
Nowadays, the mainstream researches of FMEA (Failure Mode Effect Analysis) are mostly about products, the few process FMEA researches often ignore the influences of single process failure on the whole manufacture process, or are just failure modes arranging without considering the further influence of process failure. So, in this article, we firstly build a process mode and process failure mode knowledge database using ontology in order to deal with the complicated production process knowledge. Secondly, we build a blackboard structure, which can use our ontology database and semantics to execute process FMEA automatically. Being exemplified by the analysis of a aircraft skin, the present study demonstrates that all approaches are feasible, efficient, and could be applied in real engineering scenarios.
目前,FMEA (Failure Mode Effect Analysis,失效模式影响分析)的主流研究多是针对产品,少数过程FMEA研究往往忽略了单个过程失效对整个制造过程的影响,或者只是安排失效模式而没有考虑过程失效的进一步影响。为此,本文首先利用本体技术建立了过程模式和过程失效模式知识库,以处理复杂的生产过程知识。其次,我们建立了一个黑板结构,该结构可以利用我们的本体数据库和语义自动执行过程FMEA。通过对飞机蒙皮的分析,本研究证明了所有方法都是可行的、有效的,并且可以应用于实际工程场景。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Automatic Knowledge Acquisition Technology for Software Fault Diagnosis 面向软件故障诊断的自动知识获取技术研究
Ran Yan, Yang Jian, L. Hao, Xinyu Han, Longli Tang
The traditional way of knowledge acquisition is that the knowledge engineer obtains the knowledge acquired from the knowledge source into the knowledge base through software. After the knowledge base is established, it is mainly updated by the deletion method and the completion method. Not only does it take time and effort, but it is not guaranteed for correctness and is inefficient for troubleshooting. Here is another way to gain knowledge - automatic knowledge acquisition. Establish an automated process of knowledge acquisition based on machine learning, realize the automatic acquisition process of software fault diagnosis knowledge, improve the human-computer interaction process of knowledge acquisition process, and realize the accuracy and reusability of knowledge.
传统的知识获取方式是知识工程师通过软件将从知识源获取的知识输入到知识库中。知识库建立后,主要通过删除法和补全法对知识库进行更新。它不仅需要花费时间和精力,而且不能保证正确性,而且对于故障排除来说效率低下。这里还有另一种获取知识的方法——自动知识获取。建立基于机器学习的知识获取自动化流程,实现软件故障诊断知识的自动获取流程,改进知识获取过程的人机交互流程,实现知识的准确性和可重用性。
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引用次数: 1
Reliability Analysis of Fuzzy Bayesian Networks Based on Uncertain Ordered Weighted Operators 基于不确定有序加权算子的模糊贝叶斯网络可靠性分析
Chunwei Li, Honghua Sun, Qing-yang Li, Xudong Chen
After analyzing the shortcomings of traditional fault tree analysis methods, a fuzzy Bayesian network reliability analysis method based on fault tree is proposed. This method of modeling uses the Bayesian method, the event polymorphism of complex systems is described by the node polymorphism expression feature of Bayesian network theory, and the uncertain logical relationship between events is described by the conditional probability table of Bayesian network. Based on the Bayesian model, the fuzzy set theory is introduced, and the experts fuzzy evaluation of event probability is described by triangular fuzzy numbers. In the evaluation information of the experts with uncertain weights, the expert evaluation information of the uncertain weights is calculated by using the uncertainty-ordered weighted average operator to calculate the expert weights, and finally the exact value of the occurrence probability of different states is obtained. Substituting it into the Bayesian network to calculate the probability of occurrence of different states of the leaf nodes, and then calculating the posterior probability of each root node and its importance.
在分析传统故障树分析方法不足的基础上,提出了一种基于故障树的模糊贝叶斯网络可靠性分析方法。该建模方法采用贝叶斯方法,用贝叶斯网络理论的节点多态性表达特征来描述复杂系统的事件多态性,用贝叶斯网络的条件概率表来描述事件之间的不确定逻辑关系。在贝叶斯模型的基础上,引入模糊集理论,用三角模糊数描述专家对事件概率的模糊评价。在权值不确定的专家评价信息中,利用不确定性排序加权平均算子计算专家权值,计算出不确定权值的专家评价信息,最终得到不同状态发生概率的准确值。将其代入贝叶斯网络,计算叶节点不同状态出现的概率,然后计算每个根节点的后验概率及其重要性。
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引用次数: 1
Man-Machine Interaction Reliability Modeling Method Based on Markov Model 基于马尔科夫模型的人机交互可靠性建模方法
Qidong You, S. Zeng, Jianbin Guo, Honghong Lv
The development of man-machine system poses a challenge to human’s information processing ability. Therefore, the human cognitive characteristics and the dynamic man-machine interaction (MMI) become the focus of the MMI research. This study takes the MMI process of complex system as the research object. According to multi-task and time-pressure scenarios, two kinds of MMI fault modes such as cognitive overload and cognitive confusion are proposed. In addition, this paper studies their failure mechanism and the uncertainty of MMI logic. And then a modeling method of the two faults based on Markov model are proposed. The corresponding quantitative calculation methods to complete the modeling and prediction of MMI reliability are introduced. At last, a case application proves the rationality and feasibility of the method.
人机系统的发展对人的信息处理能力提出了挑战。因此,人的认知特征和动态人机交互(MMI)成为人机交互研究的重点。本研究以复杂系统的MMI过程为研究对象。针对多任务和时间压力场景,提出了认知过载和认知混淆两种MMI故障模式。此外,本文还研究了它们的失效机制和MMI逻辑的不确定性。然后提出了一种基于马尔可夫模型的两种故障建模方法。介绍了完成MMI可靠性建模和预测的定量计算方法。最后,通过实例验证了该方法的合理性和可行性。
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引用次数: 2
Comparative Analysis of TQM and CMMI TQM与CMMI的比较分析
Baiqiao Huang, Guodong Qin, Peng Zhang
It is the consensus of people that improving product quality by improving management, but the management standards adopted in different fields are not the same, which is easy to be confused. As to the current status of different quality management standards and methods used in different business areas, this paper analyzes the development history of the general quality management system in the production field and the core concept of total quality management(TQM), compares it with the CMMI standard of quality management in the system development field, analyzes each other’s strengths and weaknesses, and proposes suggestions for improving the deficiencies of CMMI. Finally, the relationship between TQM, CMMI and system engineering (SE) is analyzed, and concludes that the integration with model-based system engineering(MBSE) will be the new direction of CMMI’s future development.
通过提高管理来提高产品质量是人们的共识,但不同领域采用的管理标准不尽相同,容易造成混淆。针对不同业务领域采用的不同质量管理标准和方法的现状,本文分析了生产领域通用质量管理体系的发展历史和全面质量管理(TQM)的核心概念,并将其与体系开发领域的质量管理CMMI标准进行了比较,分析了各自的优缺点,提出了改进CMMI不足的建议。最后,分析了全面质量管理、CMMI和系统工程(SE)之间的关系,认为与基于模型的系统工程(MBSE)的融合将是CMMI未来发展的新方向。
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引用次数: 1
Multi-Prior Integration Method for System Reliability Analysis Based on Bayesian Network and Bayesian Melding Method 基于贝叶斯网络和贝叶斯融合的系统可靠性分析多先验集成方法
Yingchun Xu, Wen Yao, Xiaohu Zheng, Xiaoqian Chen
In recent years, there often exist multiple priors from experienced experts or historical experiments with the rapid development of system structure in engineering fields. Bayesian Melding Method is commonly used for integrating multiple priors, which is based on the deterministic system structure. However, if the system model cannot be described by an explicit expression, the traditional Bayesian Melding Method is not feasible for system reliability analysis anymore. In order to describe the structure relationship clearly, Bayesian Network is applied in this paper to construct the complex system structure model and the system reliability is calculated by node probability tables rather than explicit expressions. Combining the advantages of the Bayesian Melding Method and Bayesian Network, a multi-prior integration and updating algorithm is developed for the system reliability analysis of complex system structures. Finally, a satellite attitude control system is used to demonstrate the proposed method. The system is established by the Bayesian Network and the comparison between natural prior and updated prior is discussed at length.
近年来,随着系统结构在工程领域的迅速发展,往往存在着经验丰富的专家或历史实验的多重先验。贝叶斯融合法是一种基于确定性系统结构的多先验融合方法。然而,当系统模型不能用显式表达式描述时,传统的贝叶斯融合法就不再适用于系统可靠性分析。为了清晰地描述结构关系,本文采用贝叶斯网络构建复杂的系统结构模型,采用节点概率表而不是显式表达式来计算系统的可靠度。结合贝叶斯融合法和贝叶斯网络的优点,提出了一种用于复杂系统结构可靠性分析的多先验集成与更新算法。最后,以卫星姿态控制系统为例进行了验证。采用贝叶斯网络建立了该系统,并详细讨论了自然先验和更新先验的比较。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2019 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)
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