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2019 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)最新文献

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Comparative Study on Simulation of Life and Degradation Tests Based on Wiener Degradation Failure Products 基于维纳退化失效产品的寿命模拟与退化试验对比研究
Xinyu Ma, G. Jin
Based on the reliability modeling of Wiener Degradation failure products, the efficiency of life test and degradation test are compared by estimating accuracy of drift parameter and diffusion parameter. In the both cases of no measurement error and measurement error in the degradation test, to examine the influence of the experimental design variables, including the test sample size, the censored time, the degradation test interval, etc., on the parameter estimation variance, simulation is adopted in the degradation test and the timing censored life test. The results show that the degradation test efficiency is much higher than the life test whether measurement error exists or not. This paper provides a basis for the design of long-life product reliability test under small sample size conditions.
在建立维纳退化失效产品可靠性模型的基础上,通过估算漂移参数和扩散参数的精度,比较了寿命试验和退化试验的效率。在退化试验中无测量误差和有测量误差两种情况下,为了检验试验样本量、截尾时间、退化试验间隔等实验设计变量对参数估计方差的影响,在退化试验和定时截尾寿命试验中采用仿真方法。结果表明,无论是否存在测量误差,降解试验效率都远高于寿命试验。为设计小样本条件下的长寿命产品可靠性试验提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
Approximation of Weight Numbers for Weibull Least Squares Parameter Estimation 威布尔最小二乘参数估计的权值逼近
Peter Ypma, R. Ross
The failure behavior of component batches is often characterized by its statistical distribution. For many failure processes the Weibu11-2 distribution is adequate. The relevant parameters can be estimated by the Weighted Least Squares (WLS) method. This method requires a calculation of weights that is inconvenient to implement in spreadsheets and light-calculating devices such as mobile phones and tablets. The present paper presents a procedure to accurately estimate these weights which enables convenient WLS parameter estimation even with standard office software. The procedure is to be built into Incident Management freeware for timely evaluation even after a very few failures within a larger component population.
部件批次的失效行为通常以其统计分布为特征。对于许多失效过程,Weibu11-2分布是足够的。利用加权最小二乘法(WLS)对相关参数进行估计。这种方法需要计算权重,在电子表格和手机、平板电脑等轻计算设备中不方便实现。本文提出了一种准确估计这些权重的方法,即使使用标准的办公软件也可以方便地估计WLS参数。该过程将被内置到事件管理免费软件中,以便即使在较大的组件群中出现很少的故障后也能及时进行评估。
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引用次数: 0
Attenuating Reliability Test and Assessment for Soft Landing of Chang’E-4 Probe “嫦娥四号”探测器软着陆衰减可靠性试验与评估
Qiong Wu, Jianzhong Yang, Wang Zhu, Jianfeng Man, Min Luo
Attenuating reliability is extremely crucial for Chang’E-4 Probe, which softly landed on the far side of the Moon for the first time of all mankind on January 3, 2019. In the paper the failure mode and effects during attenuating process in the soft landing are investigated, from which the critical failure mode and the corresponding reliability characteristic parameter are both identified. Accordingly, ground test method for attenuating reliability to simulate the actual attenuating on the Moon is given. Then the attenuating reliability assessment method is accordingly proposed, from which the confidence limit of the reliability can be acquired. Finally, attenuating reliability test of Chang’E-4 Probe is conducted, and the confidence limit of attenuating reliability is provided. The assessment results indicate that the attenuating reliability of the probe possesses is very high as verified by the perfect soft land on the Moon.
2019年1月3日,嫦娥四号探测器首次在月球背面软着陆,衰减可靠性对于嫦娥四号探测器来说至关重要。本文研究了软着陆中衰减过程的失效模式和影响,由此确定了软着陆的临界失效模式和相应的可靠性特征参数。据此,给出了模拟月球实际衰减的地面衰减可靠性试验方法。在此基础上,提出了衰减可靠性评估方法,并由此获得了可靠性的置信限。最后,对“嫦娥四号”探测器进行了衰减可靠性试验,给出了衰减可靠性置信限。评估结果表明,该探测器具有很高的衰减可靠性,并得到了月球完美软着陆的验证。
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引用次数: 0
Frequency Reliability Sensitivity Analysis of Aircraft Tension Joints 飞机张力接头频率可靠性灵敏度分析
C. Su, Jia-Jing Jin
For the commonly used aircraft tensile joints, the finite element method is used to obtain the natural frequencies of the tensile joints. According to the failure criterion that the absolute value of the difference between the natural frequency and the excitation frequency should be less than the specified value, define the vibration limit state equation of the aircraft tensile joint and calculate the resonance failure probability of the aircraft tensile joint in multiple failure modes. This article use the Monte Carlo method random sampling, then we can obtain the mean and standard deviation of the natural frequencies of the aircraft’s tensile joints. We also calculate the reliability of the statistical properties of the random parameters to the natural frequencies of the system at each excitation frequency and study the influence of the statistical characteristics of the parameters on the probability of resonance of the aircraft tensile joints.
对于常用的飞机拉伸节点,采用有限元法获得了拉伸节点的固有频率。根据固有频率与激励频率之差绝对值应小于规定值的失效准则,定义了飞机拉伸节的振动极限状态方程,计算了飞机拉伸节在多种失效模式下的共振失效概率。本文采用蒙特卡罗方法随机抽样,得到了飞机拉伸节点的固有频率的均值和标准差。计算了各激励频率下随机参数统计特性对系统固有频率的可靠度,研究了随机参数统计特性对飞机拉伸接头共振概率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Structure Parameter optimization Design Based on Surrogate Model and NSGA-II for the Overhead Weapon Stations 基于代理模型和NSGA-II的高架武器站结构参数优化设计
Rui Zhu, Baoquan Mao, Yongliang Wu, Zhiqian Wang, Ming Li
The firing accuracy of overhead weapon station mostly influenced by its structure parameters. The rigid flexible coupling dynamic model of overhead weapon station was developed. And sensitivity of some structure parameters were analyzed which affected to the muzzle vibration. According to the analysis results, parameters’ variances for reduced the muzzle vibration were chosen to be the objective functions. Combined with the engineering feasibility, the key structure parameters were filtrated. Then the Latin hypercube method was used to test the variable space to reconstruct the design space and optimized the structure parameter based on Surrogate Model and NSGAII. The results show that the muzzle vibration variance of optimized one has greatly reduce. And it is also can take a reference for the design and optimization to overhead weapon stations.
高架武器站的射击精度主要受其结构参数的影响。建立了高架武器站刚柔耦合动力学模型。分析了一些结构参数对炮口振动的敏感性。根据分析结果,选取降低炮口振动的参数方差作为目标函数。结合工程可行性,对关键结构参数进行了筛选。然后采用拉丁超立方体方法对变量空间进行测试,重构设计空间,并基于代理模型和NSGAII对结构参数进行优化。结果表明,优化后的炮口振动方差大大减小。为高架武器站的设计与优化提供参考。
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引用次数: 1
Importance Measure of Error Sources in Function Generation Mechanism based on Expected Taguchi Quality Loss 基于预期田口质量损失的函数生成机制中误差源的重要性度量
Zhongchao Sun, T. Yu, W. Cui
A method to measure the relative contribution of the error sources to the output error of function generation mechanism is proposed in this paper, which is called error importance measure (EIM). The error sources and the resultant output error are inevitable in function generation mechanisms. In order to obtain optimum output accuracy, we should concentrate the limited resources on the most responsible error sources. Thus, a method to measure the importance of the error sources is desired. Firstly, the total quality loss of function generation mechanism across the whole motion process is derived based on quadratic Taguchi quality loss function. Then, by means of Taylor series expansion, we decompose the quality loss into a finite number of fractions, indicating the individual and interaction contributions of the error sources. Thirdly, the improved EIM indices are defined and the properties of the proposed method are discussed. At last, we offer an application case to demonstrate the effectiveness of the developed EIM method.
提出了一种测量误差源对函数生成机构输出误差的相对贡献的方法,即误差重要性测度(EIM)。在函数生成机制中,误差源和由此产生的输出误差是不可避免的。为了获得最佳的输出精度,我们应该将有限的资源集中在最负责任的误差源上。因此,需要一种测量误差源重要性的方法。首先,基于二次田口质量损失函数,推导了函数生成机构在整个运动过程中的总质量损失;然后,通过泰勒级数展开,将质量损失分解为有限个分数,表明误差源的单独和相互作用贡献。第三,定义了改进的EIM指标,并讨论了该方法的性质。最后,给出了一个应用实例来验证所开发的EIM方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Research on No-Failure Data Evaluation Method Based on Imported Failure Information 基于导入故障信息的无故障数据评估方法研究
Y. Qian, Chao Jiang
For the case of no-failure data under the weibull distribution, when the prior distribution is Beta distribution, the ranges of super-parameters a and b are determined by the characteristics of probability density function. After introducing failure information, the method of the multi-level bayes estimation is modified. The robustness and feasibility of the method are verified by comparing the error of failure probability and the reliability calculated.
对于weibull分布下的无失效数据,当先验分布为Beta分布时,超参数a和b的取值范围由概率密度函数的特征决定。在引入故障信息后,对多级贝叶斯估计方法进行了改进。通过对失效概率误差和可靠性计算结果的比较,验证了该方法的鲁棒性和可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Muti-Obiective optimization and Reliability Analysis of Electrostatic Powder Spraying Machine Base 静电粉末喷涂机座的多目标优化及可靠性分析
Z. Cui, Shuaidan Li, Tao Yang, Yi Zheng, Jiang Liu, Haiying Cheng
The electrostatic powder spraying machine with excellent performance can effectively promote the application of electrostatic powder spraying production, which has the characteristics of low pollution, energy saving, economy and high film performance. In order to reasonably optimize structural parameters and ensure the reliability of the movable base of an electrostatic powder spraying machine, multi-objective optimization design and reliability analysis were carried out. Firstly, a parametric geometric model and numerical simulation model for the movable base were established according to the working principle and production conditions of the electrostatic powder spraying machine. Secondly, the static and dynamic characteristics of the movable base were analyzed using ANSYS Workbench software, and the distributions of stress, deformation and natural frequency were obtained. Thirdly, the mathematical model for optimum design of the movable base was established. Taking the thickness of the upper support plate, the spacing between the upper and lower support plates, the width of the angle steel edge and the thickness of the angle steel edge as design variables, and taking the mass, natural frequency and maximum deformation as objective parameters, the response surface method were used to analyze the sensitivity of design variables and to optimize the sizes of the movable base. Finally, taking the optimized sizes with high sensitivity as random input variables, the reliability analysis of the structure was carried out by using Monte Carlo method based on Latin hypercube sampling. The results show that the optimal design results satisfying reliability are effective and reliable.
性能优异的静电粉末喷涂机可以有效地促进静电粉末喷涂生产的应用,具有低污染、节能、经济、高成膜性能的特点。为了合理优化静电粉末喷涂机活动底座的结构参数,保证其可靠性,对其进行了多目标优化设计和可靠性分析。首先,根据静电粉末喷涂机的工作原理和生产条件,建立了活动底座的参数化几何模型和数值模拟模型;其次,利用ANSYS Workbench软件对活动基座的静、动特性进行分析,得到其应力、变形和固有频率的分布;第三,建立了活动底座优化设计的数学模型。以上支撑板厚度、上下支撑板间距、角钢边宽度和角钢边厚度为设计变量,以质量、固有频率和最大变形为目标参数,采用响应面法分析设计变量的敏感性,对活动底座的尺寸进行优化。最后,以灵敏度较高的优化尺寸作为随机输入变量,采用基于拉丁超立方体抽样的蒙特卡罗方法对结构进行可靠性分析。结果表明,满足可靠性要求的优化设计结果是有效可靠的。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability Redundancy optimization for Vital Parts of Electromechanical Systems 机电系统关键部件可靠性冗余优化
Zhong Han, B. Zhang, Chuanyi Fu, J. Xing, Yuan Li, G. Tang
At present, electromechanical systems are becoming more and more complex, and the quality of their key components plays a vital role in the reliability of the whole system. Considering the economy, redundant configuration has become an important reliability assurance method for electromechanical systems. However, there is no good method to determine the redundant configuration level of the system reliability, which results in over-design or under-configuration. For this reason, the reliability redundancy optimization method for vital parts of electromechanical systems is proposed, which provides a theoretical basis for reliability design of redundant system. In this paper, the following aspects are studied. The concept of reliability entropy is defined and the optimal value of reliability redundancy allocation is found through the analysis of reliability entropy. The reliability solution function of redundant system is established, the solution function is deduced and analyzed, the variation law of reliability function is found, and the reliability redundancy optimization is carried out on this basis. Finally, the simulation calculation of reliability entropy is studied to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that the proposed method can meet the requirements of reliability index of redundant system.
目前,机电系统正变得越来越复杂,关键部件的质量对整个系统的可靠性起着至关重要的作用。考虑到经济性,冗余配置已成为机电系统可靠性保证的重要手段。然而,目前还没有很好的方法来确定系统可靠性的冗余配置级别,从而导致设计过度或配置不足。为此,提出了机电系统关键部件可靠性冗余优化方法,为冗余系统的可靠性设计提供了理论依据。本文主要从以下几个方面进行研究。定义了可靠性熵的概念,通过对可靠性熵的分析,找到了可靠性冗余分配的最优值。建立了冗余系统的可靠性解函数,对解函数进行了推导和分析,发现了可靠性函数的变化规律,并在此基础上进行了可靠性冗余优化。最后进行了可靠性熵的仿真计算,验证了所提方法的有效性。结果表明,该方法能够满足冗余系统可靠性指标的要求。
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引用次数: 0
A Condition-Based Maintenance Policy for a Serial Flow Line with Multiple Intermediate Buffers 具有多个中间缓冲区的串行流水线的状态维护策略
Chao Yuan, Yifan Zhou, Lin Ma
This paper investigates the maintenance policies of serial flow lines with three workstations and two intermediate buffers, in which workstation processing times, transition times, and repair times are all assumed to be exponentially distributed with different mean values. The exact steady state analysis method based on the Markovian properties of the system state is employed to appraise the performance of the proposed maintenance policy. An algorithm is developed to generate transition matrix for the system state space that consists of the state space of workstations and inventory of buffers. Different from existing maintenance policies, the policy developed in this paper considers current workstation state and adjacent buffer inventory levels simultaneously. In the numerical study, the performance of different maintenance strategy structures is investigated.
本文研究了具有三个工作站和两个中间缓冲区的串行流水线的维修策略,其中工作站的加工时间、过渡时间和维修时间均假定为不同均值的指数分布。采用基于系统状态马尔可夫特性的精确稳态分析方法对所提维护策略的性能进行评价。提出了一种由工作站状态空间和缓冲区库存组成的系统状态空间的转移矩阵生成算法。与现有的维护策略不同,本文开发的策略同时考虑了当前工作站状态和相邻缓冲区库存水平。在数值研究中,研究了不同维修策略结构的性能。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2019 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)
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