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IF 4.3 1区 生物学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1084
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引用次数: 0
Associations between a feral equid and the Sonoran Desert ecosystem Asociaciones Entre un Equino Salvaje y el Ecosistema del Desierto Sonorense 野马与索诺拉沙漠生态系统之间的关联 Asociaciones Entre un Equino Salvaje y el Ecosistema del Desierto Sonorense
IF 4.3 1区 生物学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1083
Esther S. Rubin, Dave Conrad, Larisa E. Harding, Brianna M. Russo

The effect of non-native herbivores on ecosystems and diversity has become a global concern in conservation. Management challenges associated with non-native free-roaming equids have existed for decades in a wide range of ecosystems yet have been difficult to resolve. Although much of the challenge is associated with non-biological considerations, empirical ecological research is crucial for guiding sound management decisions. We conducted a field study on the associations between feral burros (Equus asinus) and elements of the Sonoran Desert ecosystem in Arizona, USA, during 2017–2019. We identified areas with and without established burro herds, and collected data on vegetation, ungulate sign, small mammals, birds, and herpetofauna at multiple, randomly selected grids within these areas, while accounting for vegetation community and distance to water. We predicted that burros would be associated with differences in vegetation metrics such as lower ground cover, smaller perennial plant size, and lower plant density, foliage density, recruitment, and species richness among perennial native plants susceptible to burro foraging or trampling. We further predicted that these differences would be accompanied by lower density or relative abundance and lower species richness of small mammals, birds, and herpetofauna. Finally, because burro distribution has been documented to be associated with water in this arid landscape, we predicted that effects would be most pronounced near water. The results of our study did not consistently support our predictions, perhaps because of small sample sizes or, in several cases, inherent complexities associated with seasonal burro habitat use and plant phenology patterns. However, our study documented that the presence of this feral equid is associated with a number of key differences that may be ecologically important and have the potential to alter community structure in this sensitive arid ecosystem. In areas with established burro herds, we documented lower ground cover, plant density, foliage density, or smaller plant size in several species, and changes were often influenced by distance from water. For example, density of Engelmann's prickly pear cactus (Opuntia engelmannii) was 94% lower and Anderson wolfberry (Lycium andersonii) plants were 49% smaller in areas with established burro herds. In areas with burros, we also recorded lower density of white bursage (Ambrosia dumosa) in areas distant from water. Of notable concern was that our metric of recruitment indicated 63% lower recruitment in saguaro cactus (Carnegiea gigantea) and that foliage densities of yellow paloverde (Parkinsonia microphylla) and desert ironwood (Olneya tesota) were lower in areas with established burro herds. Data on some plant species did not support our predictions. For example, white bursage and Anderson wolfberry plants were found at similar densities in areas with and without esta

非本地食草动物对生态系统和多样性的影响已成为全球保护领域的一个关注点。几十年来,在各种生态系统中都存在着与非本地自由漫步马科动物相关的管理挑战,但一直难以解决。尽管大部分挑战与非生物学因素有关,但经验性生态研究对于指导合理的管理决策至关重要。我们在 2017-2019 年期间对美国亚利桑那州野驴(Equus asinus)与索诺兰沙漠生态系统要素之间的关联进行了实地研究。我们确定了有野驴群和没有野驴群的区域,并在这些区域内随机选取多个网格收集植被、有蹄类动物标志、小型哺乳动物、鸟类和爬行动物的数据,同时考虑到植被群落和与水的距离。我们预测,毛驴将与植被指标的差异有关,如较低的地面覆盖率、较小的多年生植物大小、较低的植物密度、叶片密度、新植率以及易受毛驴觅食或践踏的多年生本地植物的物种丰富度。我们进一步预测,这些差异将伴随着小型哺乳动物、鸟类和爬行动物密度或相对丰度的降低以及物种丰富度的降低。最后,由于有记录表明毛驴的分布与这一干旱地貌中的水有关,因此我们预测水附近的影响将最为明显。我们的研究结果并没有始终如一地支持我们的预测,这可能是因为样本量较小,或者在某些情况下,与毛驴栖息地的季节性使用和植物物候模式相关的固有复杂性。不过,我们的研究表明,这种野生马科动物的存在与一些关键差异有关,这些差异可能具有重要的生态意义,并有可能改变这一敏感干旱生态系统的群落结构。在有野驴群的地区,我们记录到一些物种的地面覆盖率、植物密度、叶片密度较低,或植物体型较小,而这些变化往往受到距离水源远近的影响。例如,在有驴群的地区,恩格尔曼刺梨仙人掌(Opuntia engelmannii)的密度降低了 94%,安德森枸杞(Lycium andersonii)的植株变小了 49%。在有毛驴的地区,我们还记录到远离水源的地区白刺(Ambrosia dumosa)密度较低。值得注意的是,我们的繁殖指标显示,在有毛驴群的地区,萨瓜罗仙人掌(Carnegiea gigantea)的繁殖率降低了 63%,而黄桷树(Parkinsonia microphylla)和沙漠铁树(Olneya tesota)的叶片密度也较低。一些植物物种的数据并不支持我们的预测。例如,在水边有驴群和没有驴群的地区,白刺和安德森枸杞的密度相似,但在远离水边有驴群的地区,白刺和安德森枸杞的密度较低。我们的数据显示,在评估的 7 种小型哺乳动物中,有 4 种(贝利袋鼠[Chaetodipus baileyi]、沙漠袋鼠[C. penicillatus]、鹿鼠[Peromyscus spp.]和梅里亚姆袋鼠[Dipodomys merriami])的密度与毛驴和水域距离之间的相互作用有关,在毛驴区域靠近水域的密度较低。与预测相反,其中 3 个物种(贝利袖珍鼠、沙漠袖珍鼠和鹿小鼠)在离水较远的网格中,毛驴区的密度高于非毛驴区。第五个物种(亚利桑那林鼠[Neotoma devia])在毛驴区的密度比非毛驴区低 68%,有两个物种的密度与毛驴无关。在对不同物种的鸟类群体密度进行分析时,我们没有发现一致的模式,有些物种表现出与毛驴相关的负面影响,有些则表现出正面影响。当我们按照假设的筑巢和觅食脆弱性(低、中、高)对鸟类进行分类时,脆弱性水平并不能预测驴子的影响。然而,与我们的预期相反,所有类别的鸟类在远离水域的地方都表现出毛驴的负面影响,而在靠近水域的地方则没有。普通侧斑蜥蜴(Uta stansburiana)的相对丰度在有驴子的地区降低了 26%,但其他爬行动物物种的数据并不支持我们的预测,有些物种在有驴子的地区表现出更高的相对丰度。我们的数据并未显示驴子与鸟类、小型哺乳动物或爬行动物物种丰富度之间的关系,但在靠近水域的驴子区域,本地多年生植物的物种丰富度较高。
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引用次数: 0
Issue Information - Cover 发行信息 - 封面
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-25 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1082
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引用次数: 0
Less is more: vegetation changes coincide with white-tailed deer suppression over thirty years 少即是多:植被变化与三十年来对白尾鹿的抑制相吻合
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1081
Joshua K. Pickering, Michael S. W. Bradstreet, D. Ryan Norris

Although ecological impacts of overabundant white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) are well documented in eastern North America, few studies have evaluated the long-term effects of adaptive deer population suppression after a period of overabundance. We examined vegetation community changes over a period of 30 years (1992–2021) on the Long Point Peninsula, Ontario, Canada following a >85% reduction of a previously overabundant white-tailed deer population. We documented a significant increase in species diversity and shifts in the species composition of understory plants and woody vegetation. We then evaluated several hypotheses to explain these patterns. Our results provide support for the all-you-can-browse hypothesis, in which the abundance of woody stems above the browse layer did not increase within the first 3 years of sampling but, consistent within an expected period of recruitment, increased by >1,500% from 1995–2021. We also found support for both the lawn maintenance hypothesis, with a significant decline in the proportional abundance of non-preferred species relative to preferred species, and for the seed bank hypothesis, with native species accounting for nearly 80% of new species observed over the sampling period. We conclude that the effective, long-term management and continued suppression of an previously overabundant white-tailed deer population can lead to increased vegetation community heterogeneity and diversity, which is likely one of the most important steps for the regeneration of woody stems and native vegetation communities.

尽管在北美东部,白尾鹿(Odocoileus virginianus)数量过多对生态造成的影响已被充分记录,但很少有研究评估过量繁殖后适应性抑制白尾鹿数量的长期影响。我们考察了加拿大安大略省长角半岛在之前过度繁殖的白尾鹿种群减少 85% 之后 30 年(1992-2021 年)的植被群落变化。我们记录了物种多样性的显著增加以及林下植物和木本植被物种组成的变化。然后,我们对解释这些模式的几种假设进行了评估。我们的研究结果支持 "任你浏览 "假说,即在采样的头 3 年中,浏览层以上的木质茎的丰度并没有增加,但与预期的招募期一致,从 1995 年到 2021 年增加了 1500%。我们还发现,草坪维护假说和种子库假说都得到了支持,草坪维护假说认为,相对于偏好物种,非偏好物种的丰度比例显著下降;种子库假说认为,在采样期间观察到的新物种中,本地物种占了近 80%。我们的结论是,长期有效地管理和持续抑制以前过剩的白尾鹿种群,可以提高植被群落的异质性和多样性,这可能是木质茎干和本地植被群落再生的最重要步骤之一。
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引用次数: 0
Issue Information - Cover 发行信息-封面
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-04 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1079
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引用次数: 0
Berries and bullets: influence of food and mortality risk on grizzly bears in British Columbia Bayas y balas: influencia de la alimentación y el riesgo de mortalidad en los osos grizzly en la Columbia Británica Des baies et des balles: influence de l'alimentation et risques de mortalité chez les ours grizzlys de la Colombie-Britannique 浆果和子弹:食物和死亡率风险对不列颠哥伦比亚省灰熊的影响
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1078
Michael F. Proctor, Clayton. T. Lamb, John Boulanger, A. Grant MacHutchon, Wayne F. Kasworm, David Paetkau, Cori L. Lausen, Eric C. Palm, Mark S. Boyce, Christopher Servheen

The influence of bottom-up food resources and top-down mortality risk underlies the demographic trajectory of wildlife populations. For species of conservation concern, understanding the factors driving population dynamics is crucial to effective management and, ultimately, conservation. In southeastern British Columbia, Canada, populations of the mostly omnivorous grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) are fragmented into a mosaic of small isolated or larger partially connected sub-populations. They obtain most of their energy from vegetative resources that are also influenced by human activities. Roads and associated motorized human access shape availability of food resources but also displace bears and facilitate human-caused mortality. Effective grizzly bear management requires an understanding of the relationship between habitat quality and mortality risk. We integrated analyses of bottom-up and top-down demographic parameters to understand and inform a comprehensive and efficient management paradigm across the region. Black huckleberry (Vaccinium membranaceum) is the key high-energy food for grizzly bears in much of southeastern British Columbia. Little is known about where and why huckleberries grow into patches that are useful for grizzly bears (i.e., densely clustered fruiting shrubs that provide efficient access to high energy food) and how forage supply and mortality risk influence population vital rates. By following 43 grizzly bears tracked with global positioning system (GPS) collars (57 bear years) in a 14,236-km2 focal area spanning the Selkirk and Purcell mountain ranges, we developed a model to identify huckleberry patches from grizzly bear use data. Over 2 years we visited 512 sites used by bears, identifying more than 300 huckleberry patches. We used boosted regression tree modeling associating geophysical, ecological, soil, climate, and topographical variables with huckleberry patches. We integrated this modeled food layer depicting an important pre-hibernation resource, into broader bottom-up and top-down analyses. In addition to berries, we examined bottom-up variables indexing vegetative productivity that were previously found to be predictive of bear use (e.g., alpine, canopy cover, greenness, riparian). We also examined top-down variables including road presence, road density, distance-to-road, secure habitat (defined as 500 m away from a road open to vehicular access), highways, human development, and terrain ruggedness. We evaluated the relationship of these variables to female habitat selection, fitness, and population density, testing the predictability and interrelatedness of covariates relative to bottom-up and top-down influences. We estimated resource selection functions with 20,293 GPS telemetry locations collected over 10 years from 20 female grizzly bears. We modeled fitness using logistic regression of spatially explicit reproductive data derived from genetically identified family pedigrees c

自下而上的食物资源和自上而下的死亡风险的影响是野生动物种群人口轨迹的基础。对于受保护的物种来说,了解驱动种群动态的因素对于有效管理以及最终的保护至关重要。在加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省东南部,以杂食性为主的灰熊(Ursus arctos)种群被分割成一个由小的孤立或较大的部分连接的亚种群组成的马赛克。它们的大部分能量来自植物资源,这些资源也受到人类活动的影响。道路和相关的机动人类通道影响了食物资源的可用性,但也使熊流离失所,并助长了人为死亡。有效的灰熊管理需要了解栖息地质量和死亡风险之间的关系。我们整合了自下而上和自上而下的人口统计参数分析,以了解并为整个地区的全面高效管理模式提供信息。黑越橘(膜越橘)是不列颠哥伦比亚省东南部大部分地区灰熊的主要高能食物。关于越橘在哪里以及为什么会长成对灰熊有用的斑块(即密集的结果灌木,可以有效地获得高能量食物),以及饲料供应和死亡风险如何影响种群生命率,人们知之甚少。通过在塞尔柯克山脉和珀塞尔山脉14236-km2的焦点区域跟踪43只使用全球定位系统(GPS)项圈追踪的灰熊(57熊年),我们开发了一个模型,从灰熊的使用数据中识别huckleberry斑块。在两年多的时间里,我们访问了512个熊使用的地点,确定了300多个杨梅斑块。我们使用了增强回归树模型,将地球物理、生态、土壤、气候和地形变量与杨梅斑块联系起来。我们将描绘冬眠前重要资源的建模食物层整合到更广泛的自下而上和自上而下的分析中。除了浆果,我们还研究了自下而上的变量,这些变量索引了以前被发现可以预测熊使用的营养生产力(例如,高山、树冠覆盖、绿色、河岸)。我们还研究了自上而下的变量,包括道路存在、道路密度、到道路的距离、安全栖息地(定义为500 m距离一条可供车辆通行的道路)、高速公路、人类发展和地形崎岖。我们评估了这些变量与雌性栖息地选择、适合度和种群密度的关系,测试了协变量相对于自下而上和自上而下影响的可预测性和相关性。我们用10年来从20只雌性灰熊身上收集的20293个GPS遥测位置估计了资源选择功能。我们使用从由母亲、父亲和后代组成的基因鉴定的家庭谱系中获得的空间显性生殖数据的逻辑回归来建模适合度。数据包括33名母亲和72名子女(每名女性生育1-8名子女)。我们通过对126只灰熊的空间捕获-再捕获分析来估计密度,这些灰熊在1998年至2005年间进行了287次毛发DNA采样。在所有3项分析(栖息地选择、适宜性和密度)中,越橘斑块是最具影响力的自下而上的因素,安全栖息地是最一致的自上而下的变量(道路密度也具有类似的预测性)。除雄性密度模型外,所有支持最好的模型都包含自下而上和自上而下的变量,该模型只包含自上而下的变量(安全栖息地)。这些结果表明,自下而上和自上而下的力量推动了该地区灰熊的几个种群过程,尤其是雌性灰熊。我们发现38%的杨梅斑块(235 km2)位于非安全栖息地,并且与安全栖息地相比,这些斑块的适应度和密度较低。灰熊的密度是栖息地的2.6倍,道路密度&lt;0.6 公里/平方公里,支持使用该道路密度目标进行管理。模型预测,对有杨梅斑块的偏远地区实施机动出入控制,将使整个地区的灰熊数量平均增加23%,在研究区密度最低的地区(Yahk)将增加125%。管理自下而上和自上而下的影响对于最好地减轻不断扩大的人类足迹是必要的,人类足迹正在影响世界各地的许多食肉动物物种。我们提供的证据表明,自下而上的力量对雌性栖息地的选择、适应性和密度的影响比自上而下的影响更大。我们还发现了自上而下和自下而上对行为(栖息地选择)和人口(种群密度和适应度)反应的影响程度的关键模式。 我们发现,与自下而上的影响相比,自上而下的影响对栖息地选择和适宜性的相对影响相对较弱,而自上而下的压力对种群密度施加了更强的限制力。仅围绕行为反应制定保护决策可能会误导行动,对种群的益处有限。这一见解可以促进灰熊保护的更有效决策。我们的研究结果强调了考虑自下而上和自上而下影响的重要性,建议对任何物种的栖息地选择模型进行谨慎的解释。为了有效管理,可能需要对人口水平指标进行全面检查,如密度、生命率和健康状况。
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引用次数: 0
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IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-14 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1077
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引用次数: 0
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IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1076
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引用次数: 0
Response of greater sage-grouse to sagebrush reduction treatments in Wyoming big sagebrush Respuesta del urogallo mayor a los tratamientos de control de la artemisa de Wyoming 怀俄明州大鼠松鸡对山艾草减少治疗的反应大鼠松鸡对怀俄明州艾草控制治疗的反应大鼠松鸡
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1075
Kurt T. Smith, Jason R. Levan, Anna D. Chalfoun, Thomas J. Christiansen, Stanley R. Harter, Sue Oberlie, Jeffrey L. Beck

Vegetation treatments have been widely implemented in efforts to enhance conditions for wildlife populations. Yet the effectiveness of such efforts often lack rigorous evaluations to determine whether these practices are effective for targeted species. This is particularly important when manipulating wildlife habitats in ecosystems that are faced with multiple stressors. The sagebrush (Artemisia spp.) ecosystem has been altered extensively over the last century leading to declines of many associated species. Wyoming big sagebrush (A. tridentata wyomingensis) is the most widely distributed subspecies, providing important habitats for sagebrush-obligate and associated wildlife. Sagebrush often has been treated with chemicals, mechanical treatments, and prescribed burning to increase herbaceous forage species released from competition with sagebrush overstory. Despite many studies documenting negative effects of sagebrush control on greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus) habitat, treatments are still proposed as a means of improving habitat for sage-grouse and other sagebrush-dependent species. Furthermore, most studies have focused on vegetation response and none have rigorously evaluated the direct influence of these treatments on sage-grouse. We initiated a 9-year (2011–2019) experimental study in central Wyoming, USA, to better understand how greater sage-grouse respond to sagebrush reduction treatments in Wyoming big sagebrush communities. We evaluated the influence of 2 common sagebrush treatments on greater sage-grouse demography and resource selection. We implemented mowing and tebuthiuron application in winter and spring 2014 and evaluated the pre- (2011–2013) and post-treatment (2014–2019) responses of sage-grouse relative to these management actions. We evaluated responses to treatments using demographic and behavioral data collected from 620 radio-marked female greater sage-grouse. Our specific objectives were to evaluate how treatments influenced 1) sage-grouse reproductive success and female survival; 2) sage-grouse nesting, brood-rearing, and female resource selection; 3) vegetation responses; and 4) forbs and invertebrates. Our results generally suggested neutral demographic responses and slight avoidance by greater sage-grouse in response to Wyoming big sagebrush treated by mowing and tebuthiuron. Neither mowing nor tebuthiuron treatments influenced nest survival, brood survival, or female survival. Selection for nest and brood-rearing sites did not differ before and after treatments. Females selected habitats near treatments before and after they were implemented; however, the strength of selection was lower after treatments compared with pre-treatment periods, which may be explained by a lack of response in vegetation and invertebrates following treatments. Perennial grass cover and height varied temporally yet did not vary systematically between treatment and control plots. Forb cover and species

植被处理已被广泛用于改善野生动物种群的生存条件。然而,这些努力的有效性往往缺乏严格的评估,以确定这些做法是否对目标物种有效。当在面临多重压力的生态系统中操纵野生动物栖息地时,这一点尤为重要。在过去的一个世纪里,蒿属植物(Artemisia spp.)的生态系统发生了广泛的变化,导致许多相关物种的减少。怀俄明大山艾属(A. tridentata wyomingensis)是分布最广的亚种,为山艾属及伴生野生动物提供了重要的栖息地。山艾树通常采用化学处理、机械处理和规定的焚烧来增加从与山艾树覆盖层竞争中释放的草本饲料种类。尽管许多研究记录了艾草控制对大艾草松鸡(Centrocercus urophasianus)栖息地的负面影响,但仍然提出了改善艾草松鸡和其他艾草依赖物种栖息地的方法。此外,大多数研究都集中在植被的响应上,没有一个研究严格评估这些处理对鼠尾草的直接影响。我们在美国怀俄明州中部发起了一项为期9年(2011-2019)的实验研究,以更好地了解怀俄明州大鼠尾草群落中大鼠尾草对减少鼠尾草治疗的反应。我们评估了2种常见艾草处理对大艾松鸡种群数量和资源选择的影响。我们在2014年冬季和春季实施了割草和施用丁硫脲,并评估了鼠尾草在处理前(2011-2013年)和处理后(2014 - 2019年)对这些管理措施的响应。我们使用620只放射性标记雌性大鼠尾草收集的人口统计学和行为数据来评估对治疗的反应。我们的具体目标是评估治疗如何影响鼠尾草的繁殖成功率和雌性存活率;2)艾草松鸡筑巢、育雏及雌性资源选择;3)植被响应;4)植物和无脊椎动物。我们的研究结果表明,大鼠尾草对刈割和特布硫脲处理的怀俄明州大鼠尾草有中性的人口反应和轻微的回避。刈割和特布硫脲处理均不影响巢存活、幼鸟存活或雌鸟存活。处理前后对筑巢和哺育地点的选择没有差异。雌性在实施治疗前后选择靠近治疗的栖息地;然而,与处理前相比,处理后的选择强度较低,这可能是由于处理后植被和无脊椎动物缺乏响应。多年生牧草盖度和高度在处理地和对照地之间存在时间差异,但无系统差异。植被盖度和物种丰富度每年都有变化,但与两种处理类型无关。经过2年或6年休牧处理的草地多年生牧草盖度、牧草高度、牧草盖度和牧草物种丰富度与不休牧处理的草地相比均没有增加。最后,在处理后的任何年份,刈割或丁硫脲场地的处理地块与对照地块之间的牧草和无脊椎动物干质量没有差异。我们的研究结果增加了大量的证据,表明使用怀俄明州大山艾草植被群落的艾草松鸡对山艾草操纵处理没有积极的反应。专注于维护大片未受干扰的艾草丛的管理实践将最有利于艾草松鸡种群和其他依赖艾草丛草原的物种的持续存在。
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引用次数: 1
Waterfowl distribution and productivity in the Prairie Pothole Region of Canada: tools for conservation planning Distribution et productivité de la sauvagine dans la Région des Fondrières des Prairies au Canada: Outils pour la planification de la conservation 加拿大草原水禽的分布和生产力:保护规划工具加拿大草原水禽的分布和生产力:保护规划工具
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-02 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1074
James H. Devries, Llwellyn M. Armstrong, David W. Howerter, Robert B. Emery

Species conservation requires an understanding of the factors and interactions affecting species distribution and behavior, habitat availability and use, and corresponding vital rates at multiple temporal and spatial scales. Opportunities to investigate these relationships across broad geographic regions are rare. We combined long-term waterfowl population surveys, and studies of habitat use and breeding success, to develop models that identify and incorporate these interactions for upland-nesting waterfowl in the Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of Canada. Specifically, we used data from the annual Waterfowl Breeding Population and Habitat Survey (1961–2009) at the survey segment level and associated habitat covariates to model and map the long-term average duck density across the Canadian PPR. We analyzed nest location and fate data from approximately 25,000 duck nests found during 3 multi-year nesting studies (1994–2011) to model factors associated with nest survival and habitat selection through the nesting season for the 5 most common upland nesting duck species: mallard (Anas platyrhynchos), gadwall (Mareca strepera), blue-winged teal (Spatula discors), northern shoveler (Spatula clypeata), and northern pintail (Anas acuta). Duck density was highly variable across the Canadian PPR, reflecting positive responses to local wetland area and count, and amounts of cropland and grassland, a regional positive response to latitude, and a negative response to local amounts of tree cover. Nest survival was affected by temporal and spatial variables at multiple scales. Specifically, nest survival demonstrated interactive effects among species, nest initiation date, and nesting cover type and was influenced by relative annual wetness, population density, and surrounding landscape composition at landscape scales, and broad geographic gradients (east-west and north-south). Likewise, species-specific probability of nest habitat selection was influenced by timing of nest initiation, population density, relative annual wetness, herbaceous cover, and tree cover in the surrounding landscape, and location within the Canadian PPR. We combined these models, with estimates of breeding effort (nesting, renesting, and nest attempts) from existing literature, in a stochastic conservation planning model that estimates nest distribution and success given spatiotemporal variation in duck density, habitat availability, and influential covariates. We demonstrate the use of this model by examining various conservation planning scenarios. These models allow estimation of local, landscape, and regional influence of conservation investments and other landscape changes on the productivity of breeding duck populations across the PPR of Canada. These models lay the groundwork for the incorporation of conservation delivery costs for full return-on-investment analyses and scenario analyses of climate, habitat, and land use change in regional and c

物种保护需要了解影响物种分布和行为的因素和相互作用,栖息地的可用性和利用,以及在多个时空尺度上相应的生命率。跨越广泛地理区域调查这些关系的机会很少。我们结合长期的水禽种群调查、栖息地利用和繁殖成功的研究,开发了识别和整合这些相互作用的模型,用于加拿大草原坑穴地区(PPR)的高地筑巢水禽。具体来说,我们使用年度水禽繁殖种群和栖息地调查(1961-2009)的数据和相关的栖息地协变量来模拟和绘制加拿大PPR的长期平均鸭密度。我们分析了1994-2011年3次多年筑巢研究中发现的约25,000个鸭巢的位置和命运数据,以模拟5种最常见的高地筑巢鸭(绿头鸭(Anas platyrhynchos))、绿头鸭(Mareca strepera)、蓝翅鸭(Spatula disors)、北方铲鸭(Spatula clypeata)和北方尖尾鸭(Anas acuta))在筑巢季节的筑巢生存和栖息地选择相关因素。鸭密度在加拿大PPR中变化很大,反映了当地湿地面积和数量,农田和草地数量的正响应,区域纬度的正响应,以及当地树木覆盖数量的负响应。在多个尺度上,巢生存受时空变量的影响。具体而言,巢生存表现出物种、筑巢日期和筑巢覆盖类型之间的交互作用,并受景观尺度上的年相对湿度、种群密度和周围景观组成以及广泛的地理梯度(东西和南北)的影响。同样,巢生境选择的物种特异性概率也受到巢形成时间、种群密度、相对年湿度、周围景观的草本覆盖和树木覆盖以及加拿大小反刍兽群内位置的影响。我们将这些模型与现有文献中对繁殖努力(筑巢、阻巢和尝试筑巢)的估计结合起来,建立了一个随机保护规划模型,该模型在给定鸭密度、栖息地可用性和有影响的协变量的时空变化下,估计了鸟巢的分布和成功。我们通过研究不同的自然保育规划方案来演示该模型的使用。这些模型可以估计保护投资和其他景观变化对加拿大小反反制地区种鸭种群生产力的地方、景观和区域影响。这些模型为在区域和大陆人口模型中纳入全面投资回报分析和气候、生境和土地利用变化情景分析的保护交付成本奠定了基础。
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Wildlife Monographs
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