Nicholas J. DeCesare, Collin J. Peterson, Jesse R. Newby
<p>Effective wildlife management relies upon understanding a hierarchy of demographic characteristics of wildlife populations, including population growth rate, age structure, component vital rates, and factors influencing those vital rates. Moose (<i>Alces alces</i>) occupy a circumboreal range spanning North America and Eurasia, across which their ecology and demography vary substantially. Given uncertainties regarding the status of moose in Montana, USA, and factors limiting their population growth, we studied moose population dynamics during 2013–2023 and focused on 3 study areas. We estimated population growth rates as a function of population age structure and several key vital rates, including adult female survival, adult female fecundity (the product of pregnancy and litter size rates), and calf survival. We also evaluated relationships amongst a suite of environmental conditions (weather metrics of temperature and snow conditions, seasonal forage quality, parasite effects including winter ticks (<i>Dermacentor albipictus</i>) and arterial worms (<i>Elaeophora schneideri</i>), and relative predator abundances) and vital rates, with the ultimate goals of determining the status of moose populations in Montana and the relative importance among factors affecting them. We studied adult female survival for 615 moose-years of monitoring across 186 individual moose, fecundity with pregnancy testing across 779 moose-years and litter size for 491 observed litters post-parturition, and calf survival using calf-at-heel monitoring of 619 pregnancies and 541 calves throughout their first year of life. We used previously reported results to monitor ambient temperature, snow, arterial worms, and winter ticks in these study areas and present new results concerning diet, forage quality, and relative predator abundance in these study areas. All vital rates (adult female survival, fecundity, and calf survival) showed significant effects of maternal age, which, in combination with differences in age distribution among study areas, had important effects on population growth rates. Adult female survival was 0.88–0.92 across study areas, and causes of mortality for adult females were predominantly health-related (annual cumulative incidence function [CIF] = 0.075) but also included effects of predation (CIF = 0.017) and humans (CIF = 0.014). Arterial worm infection intensities were associated with roughly 1–3% of annual mortality due to health-related causes. Health-related mortality was also higher for animals in poor nutritional condition, those who failed to recruit a calf the previous year, and in animal-years with more snow. Wolves (<i>Canis lupus</i>) were responsible for the highest proportion of predation-caused adult mortality, followed by grizzly bears (<i>Ursus arctos</i>) and mountain lions (<i>Puma concolor</i>). In addition, relative predator densities within seasonal spatial polygons were predictive of predation-caused mortality across individual
{"title":"Nutrition, predation, and parasitism as drivers of moose population dynamics in Montana\u0000 Nutrición, depredación, y parasitismo como factores determinantes de la dinámica poblacional del alce en Montana","authors":"Nicholas J. DeCesare, Collin J. Peterson, Jesse R. Newby","doi":"10.1002/wmon.70008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/wmon.70008","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Effective wildlife management relies upon understanding a hierarchy of demographic characteristics of wildlife populations, including population growth rate, age structure, component vital rates, and factors influencing those vital rates. Moose (<i>Alces alces</i>) occupy a circumboreal range spanning North America and Eurasia, across which their ecology and demography vary substantially. Given uncertainties regarding the status of moose in Montana, USA, and factors limiting their population growth, we studied moose population dynamics during 2013–2023 and focused on 3 study areas. We estimated population growth rates as a function of population age structure and several key vital rates, including adult female survival, adult female fecundity (the product of pregnancy and litter size rates), and calf survival. We also evaluated relationships amongst a suite of environmental conditions (weather metrics of temperature and snow conditions, seasonal forage quality, parasite effects including winter ticks (<i>Dermacentor albipictus</i>) and arterial worms (<i>Elaeophora schneideri</i>), and relative predator abundances) and vital rates, with the ultimate goals of determining the status of moose populations in Montana and the relative importance among factors affecting them. We studied adult female survival for 615 moose-years of monitoring across 186 individual moose, fecundity with pregnancy testing across 779 moose-years and litter size for 491 observed litters post-parturition, and calf survival using calf-at-heel monitoring of 619 pregnancies and 541 calves throughout their first year of life. We used previously reported results to monitor ambient temperature, snow, arterial worms, and winter ticks in these study areas and present new results concerning diet, forage quality, and relative predator abundance in these study areas. All vital rates (adult female survival, fecundity, and calf survival) showed significant effects of maternal age, which, in combination with differences in age distribution among study areas, had important effects on population growth rates. Adult female survival was 0.88–0.92 across study areas, and causes of mortality for adult females were predominantly health-related (annual cumulative incidence function [CIF] = 0.075) but also included effects of predation (CIF = 0.017) and humans (CIF = 0.014). Arterial worm infection intensities were associated with roughly 1–3% of annual mortality due to health-related causes. Health-related mortality was also higher for animals in poor nutritional condition, those who failed to recruit a calf the previous year, and in animal-years with more snow. Wolves (<i>Canis lupus</i>) were responsible for the highest proportion of predation-caused adult mortality, followed by grizzly bears (<i>Ursus arctos</i>) and mountain lions (<i>Puma concolor</i>). In addition, relative predator densities within seasonal spatial polygons were predictive of predation-caused mortality across individual ","PeriodicalId":235,"journal":{"name":"Wildlife Monographs","volume":"221 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146122834","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}