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Integrated Carnivore-Ungulate Management: A Case Study in West-Central Montana Gestion Intégrée des Carnivores et des Cervidés: Une Étude de Cas dans le Centre-Ouest du Montana 综合食肉动物-有蹄动物管理:蒙大拿州中西部的案例研究食肉动物和鹿的综合管理:蒙大拿州中西部的案例研究
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2020-10-21 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1056
Kelly M. Proffitt, Robert Garrott, Justin A. Gude, Mark Hebblewhite, Benjamin Jimenez, J. Terrill Paterson, Jay Rotella

Understanding the effectiveness of harvest regulations to manipulate population abundances is a priority for wildlife managers, and reliable methods are needed to monitor populations. This is particularly true in controversial situations such as integrated carnivore-ungulate management. We used an observational before-after-control-treatment approach to evaluate a case study in west-central Montana, USA, that applied conservative ungulate harvest together with liberalized carnivore harvest to achieve short-term decreases in carnivore abundance and increases in ungulate recruitment. Our study areas included the Bitterroot treatment area and the Clark Fork control area, where mountain lion populations (Felis concolor) were managed for a 30% reduction and for stability, respectively. The goals of the mountain lion harvest were to provide a short-term reduction of mountain lion predation on elk (Cervus canadensis) calves and an increase in elk recruitment, elk population growth rate, and ultimately elk abundance. We estimated mountain lion population abundance in the Bitterroot treatment and Clark Fork control areas before and 4 years after implementation of the 2012 harvest treatment. We developed a multi-strata spatial capture-recapture model that integrated recapture and telemetry data to evaluate mountain lion population responses to harvest changes. Mountain lion abundance declined with increasing harvest in the Bitterroot treatment area from 161 (90% credible interval [CrI] = 104, 233) to 115 (CrI = 69, 173). The proportion of males changed from 0.50 (CrI = 0.33, 0.67) to 0.28 (CrI = 0.17, 0.40), which translated into a decline in the abundance of males, and similar abundances of females (before: males = 80 [CrI = 52, 116], females = 81 [CrI = 52, 117]; after: males = 33 [CrI = 20, 49], females = 82 [CrI = 49, 124]). In the Clark Fork control area, an area twice as large as the Bitterroot treatment area, we found no evidence of changes in overall abundance or proportion of males in the population. The proportion of males changed from 0.42 (CrI = 0.26, 0.58) to 0.39 (CrI = 0.25, 0.54), which translated into similar abundances of males and females (before: males = 24 [CrI = 16, 36], females = 33 [CrI = 21, 39]; after: males = 28 [CrI = 18, 41], females = 44 [CrI = 29, 64]). To evaluate if elk recruitment and population growth rate increased following treatment, we developed an integrated elk population model. We compared recruitment and population growth rate during the 5 years prior to and 5 years following implementation of the mountain lion harvest treatment for 2 elk populations within the Bitterroot treatment area and 2 elk populations within the Clark Fork control area. We found strong evidence that temporal trends differed between the 2 areas. In the Bitterroot treatment area, per capita elk recruitment was stable around an estimated median value of 0.23 (CrI = 0.17, 0.36) in the pre-treatme

野生动物管理者的首要任务是了解收获法规对操纵种群丰度的有效性,并需要可靠的方法来监测种群。这在有争议的情况下尤其如此,例如食肉动物和有蹄类动物的综合管理。在美国蒙大拿州中西部的一个案例研究中,我们采用了控制前-控制后的观察方法,将保守的有蹄类动物收获与开放的食肉动物收获结合起来,实现了食肉动物丰度的短期下降和有蹄类动物招募的增加。我们的研究区域包括比特根处理区和克拉克福克控制区,在那里,美洲狮的数量(Felis concolor)分别减少了30%和稳定。美洲狮收获的目标是短期内减少美洲狮对麋鹿(Cervus canada)幼鹿的捕食,增加麋鹿的招募,增加麋鹿的种群增长率,最终增加麋鹿的丰度。我们估计了2012年采收处理前后和4年后,比特根处理区和克拉克福克控制区的美洲狮种群丰度。我们开发了一个多层空间捕获-再捕获模型,该模型综合了再捕获和遥测数据,以评估美洲狮种群对收获变化的响应。随着采收的增加,苦根处理区的美洲狮丰度从161(90%可信区间[CrI] = 104、233)下降到115 (CrI = 69、173)。雄性的比例从0.50 (CrI = 0.33, 0.67)变化到0.28 (CrI = 0.17, 0.40),这意味着雄性丰度下降,雌性丰度相似(之前:雄性= 80 [CrI = 52,116],雌性= 81 [CrI = 52,117];后:男性= 33 (CrI = 20, 49),雌性= 82 (CrI = 49岁,124))。在克拉克福克控制区,面积是苦根处理区的两倍,我们发现种群中雄性的总体丰度或比例没有变化的证据。雄性的比例从0.42 (CrI = 0.26, 0.58)变化到0.39 (CrI = 0.25, 0.54),这意味着雄性和雌性的丰度相似(之前:雄性= 24 [CrI = 16, 36],雌性= 33 [CrI = 21, 39];后:男性= 28 (CrI = 18, 41),雌性= 44 [CrI = 29, 64])。为了评估治疗后麋鹿的招募和种群增长率是否增加,我们开发了一个麋鹿种群综合模型。我们比较了在实施美洲狮收获处理前和实施后的5年里,苦根处理区内的2个麋鹿种群和克拉克福克控制区内的2个麋鹿种群的招募和种群增长率。我们发现了强有力的证据,表明这两个地区的时间趋势不同。在苦根处理区,处理前(2007-2011年)的人均麋鹿数量稳定在0.23 (CrI = 0.17, 0.36)左右,处理后(2013年)立即增加到0.42 (CrI = 0.29, 0.56),然后在2017年下降到0.21 (CrI = 0.11, 0.32)。相比之下,克拉克福克控制区的人均麋鹿招募估计值在治疗前(2007-2011年:0.30,CrI = 0.2, 0.35)和治疗后(2013-2017年:0.31,CrI = 0.26, 0.36)具有相似的中位数。这些增收的变化与麋鹿种群增长率的类似变化相对应,尽管种群增长率也受到麋鹿收获变化的影响。在苦参处理区,2007-2011年处理前种群增长率稳定至略有下降,估计中位数为0.92 (CrI = 0.88, 1.07)。处理后种群增长率在处理后立即上升(2012年:1.17,CrI = 1.14, 1.20), 2016年下降至1.06 (CrI = 1.04, 1.09)。2007 - 2011年处理前(1.01,CrI = 0.86, 1.09)和2013 - 2017年处理后(1.00,CrI = 0.83, 1.15)克拉克福克对照区种群增长率中位数基本相等。总之,这些结果表明,收获处理实现了处理区域内美洲狮种群丰度的适度减少(即29%),与麋鹿招募和种群增长的短期增加相对应。麋鹿种群的人口统计数据表明,在美洲狮收获处理后,收获处理的效果立即最强,随着收获处理的减少而减弱。这表明,短期收获处理导致了麋鹿种群的短期人口统计学响应,而更持续的收获处理将需要实现长期的麋鹿种群人口统计学响应。 我们建议野生动物管理者寻求平衡食肉动物和有蹄类动物的种群目标,设计严格的食肉动物和有蹄类动物种群监测计划,以评估收获管理计划的效果。评估和理解食肉动物收获管理计划的影响将有助于对管理计划对食肉动物和有蹄类动物种群的影响设定现实的期望,并允许管理者更好地设计计划,以满足期望的食肉动物和有蹄类动物种群目标。
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引用次数: 10
Issue Information - Cover 发行资料-封面
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1025
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引用次数: 0
The Catastrophic Decline of Tortoises at a Fenced Natural Area 自然保护区陆龟数量的灾难性下降
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1052
Kristin H. Berry, Julie L. Yee, Timothy A. Shields, Laura Stockton

Agassiz’s desert tortoise (Gopherus agassizii), a threatened species of the southwestern United States, has severely declined to the point where 76% of populations in critical habitat (Tortoise Conservation Areas) are below viability. The potential for rapid recovery of wild populations is low because females require 12–20 years to reach reproductive maturity and produce few eggs annually. We report on a 34-year mark-recapture study of tortoises initiated in 1979 at the Desert Tortoise Research Natural Area in the western Mojave Desert, California, USA, and provide substantive data on challenges faced by the species. In 1980, the United States Congress designated the Research Natural Area and protected the land from recreational vehicles, livestock grazing, and mining with a wildlife-permeable fence. The 7.77-km2 study area, centered on interpretive facilities, included land both within the Natural Area and outside the fence. We expected greater benefits to accrue to the tortoises and habitat inside compared to outside. Our objectives were to conduct a demographic study, analyze and model changes in the tortoise population and habitat, and compare the effectiveness of fencing to protect populations and habitat inside the fence versus outside, where populations and habitat were unprotected. We conducted surveys in spring in each of 7 survey years from 1979, when the fence was under construction, through 2012. We compared populations inside to those outside the fence by survey year for changes in distribution, structure by size and relative age, sex ratios, death rates of adults, and causes of death for all sizes of tortoises. We used a Bayesian implementation of a Jolly Seber model for mark-recapture data. We modeled detection, density, growth and transition of tortoises to larger size-age classes, movements from inside the protective fence to outside and vice versa, and survival. After the second and subsequent survey years, we added surveys to monitor vegetation and habitat changes, conduct health assessments, and collect data on counts of predators and predator sign. At the beginning of the study, counts and densities for all sizes of tortoises were high, but densities were approximately 24% higher inside the fence than outside. By 2002, the low point in densities, densities had declined 90% inside the fence and 95% outside. Between 2002 and 2012, the population inside the fence showed signs of improving with a 54% increase in density. Outside the fence, densities remained low. At the end of the study, when we considered the initial differences in location, densities inside the fence were roughly 2.5 times higher than outside. The pattern of densities was similar for male and female adults. When evaluating survival by blocks of years, survivorship was higher in 1979–1989 than in 1989–2002 (the low point) and highest from 2002 to 2012. Recruitment and survival of adult females into the population was important for growing th

阿加西沙漠龟(Gopherus agassizii)是美国西南部的一种濒危物种,其数量已经严重下降到76%的关键栖息地(陆龟保护区)低于生存能力的程度。野生种群快速恢复的可能性很低,因为雌性需要12-20年才能达到生殖成熟,每年产卵很少。本文报道了1979年在美国加利福尼亚州西部莫哈韦沙漠沙漠陆龟研究自然区开始的一项为期34年的陆龟标记再捕获研究,并提供了该物种面临的挑战的实质性数据。1980年,美国国会指定了研究自然区,并用可渗透野生动物的栅栏保护这片土地,不让娱乐车辆、牲畜放牧和采矿。7.77平方公里的研究区域以解说设施为中心,包括自然区内和围栏外的土地。我们预计,与外部相比,内部的陆龟和栖息地将获得更大的利益。我们的目的是进行人口统计学研究,分析和模拟乌龟种群和栖息地的变化,并比较围栏内和围栏外保护乌龟种群和栖息地的有效性。从1979年,围栏正在建设中,到2012年,我们在每年的春季进行了调查。我们通过调查年份比较了围栏内和围栏外的种群分布、大小结构、相对年龄、性别比例、成年龟死亡率和各种大小龟的死亡原因的变化。我们使用Jolly Seber模型的贝叶斯实现来处理标记-重新捕获数据。我们模拟了乌龟的检测、密度、生长和向更大尺寸年龄类的过渡、从保护围栏内到外面的运动以及反之亦然,以及生存。在第二年和随后的调查年之后,我们增加了调查,以监测植被和栖息地的变化,进行健康评估,并收集捕食者数量和捕食者标志的数据。在研究开始时,各种大小的龟的数量和密度都很高,但围栏内的密度比围栏外的密度高约24%。到2002年,密度的最低点,围栏内的密度下降了90%围栏外的密度下降了95%。2002年至2012年间,围栏内的人口密度增加了54%,出现了改善的迹象。在围栏外,密度仍然很低。在研究结束时,当我们考虑到最初的位置差异时,围栏内的密度大约是外面的2.5倍。雄性和雌性成虫的密度模式相似。以年为单位评估生存率时,1979-1989年生存率高于1989-2002年(最低点),2002 - 2012年生存率最高。成年雌性的招募和生存对于种群的增长是重要的,但包括幼崽在内的各种大小的生存也是至关重要的。导致围栏内外数量下降的主要事件和活动包括非法采集、上呼吸道疾病和普通乌鸦(Corvus corax)对幼龟的过度捕食。其他死亡原因包括枪击、车辆和被哺乳动物捕食。在围栏之外,栖息地的破碎和退化是一个关键的驱动因素。在第一次和最后一次调查之间,正在进行两种不同的生态系统过程:围栏内的植被和土壤从放牧和车辆中恢复,围栏外的持续恶化。篱外生境的灌木逐渐被剥落,被道路和小径分割,生境碎片增加了50倍。篱外非本地一年生植物生物量较高,灌木盖度较低,反映出持续的退化。这些变化和栖息地的丧失导致了灌木覆盖和洞穴的丧失,首选食物植物的减少,以及更大程度地暴露于捕食者和极端温度之下。总体而言,围栏内的乌龟数量和栖息地似乎受益于保护,并在研究结束时显示出恢复的迹象。在1994年的第一个恢复计划中,为关键生境建议了几项管理行动,其中包括围篱、控制车辆进出和取消放牧牲畜。在研究结束时,自然区域仍然是该地理范围内的两个围栏保护区中的一个。我们将围栏归因于围栏内的成人密度持续高于围栏外,并且有希望恢复的迹象。在地理范围内的17个龟类保护区(关键生境单位)中,有16个保护区的成虫密度是前者的2.3至5.5倍。©2020作者。 Wiley期刊有限责任公司代表野生动物协会出版的野生动物专著。
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引用次数: 16
Issue Information - Cover 发行资料-封面
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1050
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引用次数: 0
Issue Information - Editorial Board 发行信息-编辑委员会
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1049
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IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1045
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Maternal Penning to Improve Calf Survival in the Chisana Caribou Herd Évaluation des Enclos de Maternité pour Améliorer la Survie des Faons du Troupeau de Caribous Chisana 对奇萨纳驯鹿群中母性圈养以提高小牛存活率的评价对奇萨纳驯鹿群中母性圈养以提高小牛存活率的评价
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1044
Layne G. Adams, Richard Farnell, Michelle P. Oakley, Thomas S. Jung, Lorne L. Larocque, Grant M. Lortie, Jamie Mclelland, Mason E. Reid, Gretchen H. Roffler, Don E. Russell

Predation is a major limiting factor for most small sedentary caribou (Rangifer tarandus) populations, particularly those that are threatened or endangered across the southern extent of the species’ range. Thus, reducing predation impacts is often a management goal for improving the status of small caribou populations, and lethal predator removal is the primary approach that has been applied. Given that predator control programs are often contentious, other management options that can garner broader public acceptance need to be considered.

Substantial calf losses to predation in the few weeks following birth are common for these small caribou populations. Therefore, we employed a novel experimental approach of maternal penning with the goal of reducing early calf mortality in the Chisana Caribou Herd, a declining population in southwest Yukon and adjacent Alaska thought to number around 300 individuals. Maternal penning entailed temporarily holding pregnant females on their native range in a large pen secure from predators from late March through the initial weeks of calf rearing to mid-June. During 2003–2006, we conducted 4 annual penning trials with 17–50 pregnant females each year (n = 146 total), assessed survival of calves born in the pens, and evaluated survival and nutritional effects of penning for females that were held. We also investigated the herd's population dynamics during 2003–2008 to determine effects of maternal penning on calf recruitment and population growth. In addition to information gained during maternal penning, we determined natality and survival patterns via radiotelemetry, conducted autumn age-sex composition surveys each year, and censused the population in mid-October 2003, 2005, and 2007. Based on our penning trials and demographic investigations, we used simulation models to evaluate the effects of maternal penning relative to a population's inherent growth rate (finite rate of increase [λ] without maternal penning) and penning effort (proportion of calves born in penning) to provide perspective on utility of this approach for improving the status of small imperiled caribou populations.

Pregnant females held in maternal penning tolerated captivity well in that they exhibited positive nutritional responses to ad libitum feed we provided and higher survival than free-ranging females (0.993 and 0.951 for penned and free-ranging females, respectively). Survival of pen calves from birth to mid-June was substantially higher than that of free-ranging calves ( = 0.950 and 0.376, respectively). This initial period accounted for 76% of the annual calf mortality in the free-ranging population. Pen-born calves maintained their survival advantage over wild-born calves to the end of their first year ( = 0.575 and 0.192, respectively) during years penning occurred.

Females in the Chisana Herd were highly productive with 57% producing their first offspring at 2 years of age, and annual na

捕食是大多数小型定居驯鹿(Rangifer tarandus)种群的主要限制因素,特别是那些在该物种分布范围的南部地区受到威胁或濒临灭绝的驯鹿。因此,减少捕食者的影响通常是改善小型驯鹿种群状况的管理目标,而消除致命的捕食者是已应用的主要方法。鉴于食肉动物控制项目经常引起争议,需要考虑其他能够获得更广泛公众接受的管理方案。对于这些小驯鹿群来说,在出生后的几周内,大量的小鹿因捕食而死亡是很常见的。因此,我们采用了一种新颖的实验方法,目的是降低奇萨纳驯鹿群的早期幼崽死亡率。奇萨纳驯鹿群位于育空地区西南部和邻近的阿拉斯加,种群数量正在下降,据估计约有300只。从3月下旬到6月中旬,母性圈养需要暂时把怀孕的母鲸关在一个大围栏里,以保护它们免受捕食者的侵害。在2003-2006年期间,我们每年对17-50只怀孕雌性进行4次圈养试验(n = 146),评估在围栏中出生的小牛的存活率,并评估圈养雌性的存活率和营养效果。我们还调查了2003-2008年间鹿群的种群动态,以确定母围栏对小牛招募和种群增长的影响。除了在母体发育期间获得的信息外,我们还通过无线电遥测确定了出生和生存模式,每年进行秋季年龄-性别组成调查,并在2003年、2005年和2007年10月中旬进行人口普查。基于我们的圈养试验和人口统计调查,我们使用模拟模型来评估母鹿圈养相对于种群固有增长率(没有母鹿圈养的有限增长率[λ])和圈养努力(在圈养中出生的小牛比例)的影响,以提供这种方法在改善小型濒危驯鹿种群状况方面的效用视角。母鼠圈养的怀孕雌鼠对自由放养的饲料表现出积极的营养反应,其存活率高于自由放养的雌鼠(分别为0.993和0.951)。圈养犊牛从出生到6月中旬的成活率显著高于散养犊牛(分别= 0.950和0.376)。这一初始阶段占自由放养种群每年小牛死亡率的76%。在圈养期间,圈养犊牛与野生犊牛的生存优势一直保持到第一年结束(分别= 0.575和0.192)。在Chisana牧群中,有57%的母象在2岁时产下第一个后代,年平均出生率为0.842头/头≥2岁的母象。4 - 9岁年龄组的死亡率超过0.900,到19岁时出现衰老下降,为0.467。在所有研究年份中,自由放养的成年雌性和小牛的年平均存活率分别为0.892和0.184;由于冬季生存能力差,两者在2004年都有所减少。我们注意到那年冬末驯鹿的营养状况有所下降,因为我们捕获的雌性驯鹿比往年更轻,产下的小牛也更轻。我们怀疑2004年冬季的存活率下降和观察到的营养特征是由于不利的雪况和前一个夏天经历的极端干旱的影响。成年雌鼠的年龄特异性生存率≥0.900,10岁后随年龄增长而下降。2003年10月中旬,奇萨纳鹿群的驯鹿数量为720头,是开始母圈之前估计数量的两倍多,到2007年10月中旬增加到766头。根据我们的计算,圈养增加了54.2只一岁的幼崽,占圈养释放的幼崽的40%。根据母鹿围圈的结果和种群的生命率,我们确定在2003-2007年期间,驯鹿群在没有母鹿围圈的情况下稳定在713头左右;因此,我们观察到的畜群规模的增加是由于母鼠围栏造成的,相当于估计的额外的一岁新兵。由于种群规模大于预期,以及由此导致的圈养努力较低(约11%的小牛在圈养中出生),母体圈养引起的种群趋势改善受到限制。我们的模拟证实,即使在较低的圈养努力下,对于固有稳定的种群,母体圈养也会通过提供额外的新兵数量来增加种群规模。由于固有增长率降至λ = 1 000以下,需要更多的圈养人员来抵消人口下降的惯性,因此需要增加圈养工作以达到稳定。 对于λ &lt下降的种群;0.890,考虑到我们模型中的关键速率,稳定性无法以100%的笔划努力实现。迄今为止,母围栏在其有限的应用中已被证明是广泛流行的,作为一种非致命的管理行动,旨在减少小驯鹿种群中被捕食的初始小牛死亡率。然而,根据Chisana计划和其他地方随后的努力,人口趋势的改善充其量是适度的,而且需要付出高昂的财政代价。考虑到最大限度地提高围护力度的必要性,母围护可能在解决一些稳定或缓慢下降的小型驯鹿种群的保护挑战方面发挥作用,但其应用应主要基于对改善种群趋势可能性的客观评估,而不是相对于其他管理方案的受欢迎程度。
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引用次数: 7
Photo page 照片页
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-12 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1048
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引用次数: 0
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IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2019-07-23 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1043
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics, Persistence, and Genetic Management of the Endangered Florida Panther Population Dinámicas, Persistencia y Manejo Genético de la Población en Peligro de Extinción de Pantera de Florida 濒危佛罗里达黑豹种群的动态、持久性和遗传管理佛罗里达黑豹种群的动态、持久性和遗传管理
IF 4.4 1区 生物学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2019-07-23 DOI: 10.1002/wmon.1041
Madelon van de Kerk, David P. Onorato, Jeffrey A. Hostetler, Benjamin M. Bolker, Madan K. Oli

Abundant evidence supports the benefits accrued to the Florida panther (Puma concolor coryi) population via the genetic introgression project implemented in South Florida, USA, in 1995. Since then, genetic diversity has improved, the frequency of morphological and biomedical correlates of inbreeding depression have declined, and the population size has increased. Nevertheless, the panther population remains small and isolated and faces substantial challenges due to deterministic and stochastic forces. Our goals were 1) to comprehensively assess the demographics of the Florida panther population using long-term (1981–2015) field data and modeling to gauge the persistence of benefits accrued via genetic introgression and 2) to evaluate the effectiveness of various potential genetic management strategies. Translocation and introduction of female pumas (Puma concolor stanleyana) from Texas, USA, substantially improved genetic diversity. The average individual heterozygosity of canonical (non-introgressed) panthers was 0.386 ± 0.012 (SE); for admixed panthers, it was 0.615 ± 0.007. Survival rates were strongly age-dependent (kittens had the lowest survival rates), were positively affected by individual heterozygosity, and decreased with increasing population abundance. Overall annual kitten survival was 0.32 ± 0.09; sex did not have a clear effect on kitten survival. Annual survival of subadult and adult panthers differed by sex; regardless of age, females exhibited higher survival than males. Annual survival rates of subadult, prime adult, and old adult females were 0.97 ± 0.02, 0.86 ± 0.03, and 0.78 ± 0.09, respectively. Survival rates of subadult, prime adult, and old adult males were 0.66 ± 0.06, 0.77 ± 0.05, and 0.65 ± 0.10, respectively. For panthers of all ages, genetic ancestry strongly affected survival rate, where first filial generation (F1) admixed panthers of all ages exhibited the highest rates and canonical (mostly pre-introgression panthers and their post-introgression descendants) individuals exhibited the lowest rates. The most frequently observed causes of death of radio-collared panthers were intraspecific aggression and vehicle collision. Cause-specific mortality analyses revealed that mortality rates from vehicle collision, intraspecific aggression, other causes, and unknown causes were generally similar for males and females, although males were more likely to die from intraspecific aggression than females. The probability of reproduction and the annual number of kittens produced varied by age; evidence that ancestry or abundance influenced these parameters was weak. Predicted annual probabilities of reproduction were 0.35 ± 0.08, 0.50 ± 0.05, and 0.25 ± 0.06 for subadult, prime adult, and old adult females, respectively. The number of kittens predicted to be produced annually by subadult, prime adult, and old adult females were 2.80 ± 0.75, 2.67 ± 0.43, and 2.28 ± 0.83, respectively. The stochastic annual popul

大量证据支持1995年在美国南佛罗里达实施的遗传渗入项目给佛罗里达黑豹(Puma concolor coryi)种群带来的益处。从那时起,遗传多样性得到了改善,近交抑郁的形态学和生物医学相关频率有所下降,种群规模有所增加。然而,由于确定性和随机力量的影响,黑豹的数量仍然很小,并且孤立存在,面临着巨大的挑战。我们的目标是:1)利用长期(1981-2015年)的野外数据和建模来全面评估佛罗里达黑豹种群的人口统计数据,以衡量通过遗传渗入积累的利益的持久性;2)评估各种潜在遗传管理策略的有效性。美国德克萨斯州雌性美洲狮(Puma concolor stanleyana)的易位和引进,极大地提高了遗传多样性。典型黑豹(非渐渗)个体平均杂合度为0.386±0.012 (SE);混合黑豹为0.615±0.007。存活率强烈依赖于年龄(小猫的存活率最低),受个体杂合度的积极影响,并随着种群丰度的增加而下降。小猫年总体存活率为0.32±0.09;性别对小猫的存活率没有明显的影响。亚成体和成体黑豹的年存活率存在性别差异;不论年龄大小,雌性的存活率都高于雄性。亚成虫、壮年成虫和老年成虫的年存活率分别为0.97±0.02、0.86±0.03和0.78±0.09。亚成虫、壮年成虫和老年成虫的存活率分别为0.66±0.06、0.77±0.05和0.65±0.10。对于所有年龄段的黑豹来说,遗传祖先都强烈影响其存活率,其中所有年龄段的第一代(F1)混合黑豹的存活率最高,而典型个体(主要是前渗入黑豹及其后渗入后代)的存活率最低。无线电项圈黑豹最常见的死亡原因是种内攻击和车辆碰撞。原因特异性死亡率分析显示,男性和女性因车辆碰撞、种内攻击、其他原因和未知原因导致的死亡率大致相似,尽管男性比女性更容易死于种内攻击。繁殖概率和年产仔数因年龄而异;祖先或丰度影响这些参数的证据很弱。亚成虫、壮年成虫和老年成虫的年繁殖概率分别为0.35±0.08、0.50±0.05和0.25±0.06。亚成年母猫、初级成年母猫和老年成年母猫预计年产仔数分别为2.80±0.75、2.67±0.43和2.28±0.83。使用矩阵种群模型估计的随机年种群增长率为1.04 (95% CI = 0.72-1.41)。基于个体的种群模型预测,如果忽略遗传侵蚀的不利影响,100年内种群数量下降到10只以下(准灭绝)的概率为1.4%(0-0.8%)。而考虑遗传侵蚀的影响,100年内的准灭绝概率增加到17%(0 ~ 100%)。考虑遗传侵蚀的影响,以100年内准灭绝为条件的准灭绝平均时间为22(0 ~ 75)年。敏感性分析表明,准灭绝概率和准灭绝预期时间对小猫生存参数的变化最为敏感。如果没有基因管理干预,佛罗里达黑豹种群将面临更大的准灭绝风险。因此,问题不在于是否需要对佛罗里达黑豹种群进行遗传管理,而在于何时以及如何实施。因此,我们利用基于个体的模拟模型评估了替代遗传渗入策略的遗传和种群后果,以确定最佳管理行动。每20年释放5只美洲狮的成本(100年20万美元)要比每10年释放15只美洲狮的成本(100年120万美元)少得多,但却能降低类似灭绝的风险(44-59%对40-58%)。一般来说,每次基因渗入尝试释放更多的雌性几乎没有额外的好处。遗传渗入工程的积极影响在黑豹种群中持续了20年。我们建议管理者考虑通过每20-40年从其他美洲狮种群中释放5-10只来重复基因渗入。我们还建议管理人员继续收集数据,以便对小猫、成虫和亚成虫的存活率进行估计和监测。 我们通过敏感性分析确定了这些参数,因为它们对准灭绝的概率和预期时间的影响最为关键。继续进行长期监测应能在收集已证明对评估人口的遗传和人口健康至关重要的数据的同时,酌情调整遗传管理战略。遵循这些指导方针,黑豹的恢复前景肯定会得到改善。©2019作者。Wiley期刊公司代表野生动物协会出版的野生动物专著。
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引用次数: 37
期刊
Wildlife Monographs
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