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Skilled-Unskilled Wage Gap Versus Evolving Trade and Labour Market Structures in the EU 熟练工人与非熟练工人的工资差距与欧盟不断变化的贸易和劳动力市场结构
Pub Date : 2012-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2172296
Aleksandra Parteka
This paper proposes an alternative approach to the empirical study of wage gap between workers with different educational levels in the enlarged EU. The analysis is based on sectoral database, linking labor market statistics and trade data at the level of 12 manufacturing sectors in a group of 20 European countries: selected New Member States (NMS-5) and former EU-15 economies, in the period 1995-2005. The results of the empirical model suggest that wage inequality between workers with academic education and lower is associated mainly with domestic (and not foreign) labor market conditions and, to a lower extent, to trade forces. Degree of trade penetration affects skilled-unskilled wage gaps but we do not find significant wage effects of imports from less developed EU countries. The same result is confirmed when we consider trade in intermediates and outsourcing practices in Europe.
本文提出了一种替代方法来实证研究扩大后欧盟不同教育水平工人之间的工资差距。该分析基于部门数据库,将1995-2005年期间20个欧洲国家(选定的新成员国(NMS-5)和前欧盟15国经济体)的12个制造业部门的劳动力市场统计数据和贸易数据联系起来。实证模型的结果表明,学历和学历更低的工人之间的工资不平等主要与国内(而不是国外)劳动力市场状况有关,在较低程度上与贸易力量有关。贸易渗透程度影响熟练工人与非熟练工人的工资差距,但我们没有发现来自欠发达欧盟国家的进口对工资的显著影响。当我们考虑欧洲的中间体贸易和外包实践时,同样的结果也得到了证实。
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引用次数: 6
IDPC Advocacy Note - Recommendations for the African Union Plan of Action on Drug Control (2013-2017) IDPC宣传说明-对非洲联盟药物管制行动计划的建议(2013-2017)
Pub Date : 2012-10-08 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2185967
J. Bridge
In January 2008 the African Union (AU) launched a Plan of Action on Drug Control and Crime Prevention (2007-2012). The Plan acknowledged the “need for a comprehensive approach”, and aimed to “reverse the current trends of drug abuse and trafficking, organised crime, corruption, terrorism and related challenges to socio-economic development and human security”. To date most African governments have focused their drug policies and programmes on the criminalisation of drug possession and use, and on operations to arrest dealers and intercept drug shipments. UNODC has acknowledged the damaging “unintended consequences” of this approach: not least the “huge criminal black market that now thrives”, the vast amount being spent, the displacement of markets and problems to new countries, and unsustainably high numbers of individuals in prison or pre-trial detention. In October 2012, the AU Conference of Ministers of Drug Control will review the progress made, and is expected to adopt a new AU Plan of Action on Drug Control (2013 - 2017). This is a crucial time for drug policies in the region. This IDPC Advocacy Note offers a set of recommendations based on global evidence to guide policy makers in adopting the new AU Plan of Action on Drug Control.
2008年1月,非洲联盟(非盟)启动了《毒品管制和预防犯罪行动计划(2007-2012年)》。该计划承认“需要采取综合办法”,旨在“扭转目前滥用和贩运毒品、有组织犯罪、腐败、恐怖主义以及社会经济发展和人类安全面临的相关挑战的趋势”。迄今为止,大多数非洲政府的毒品政策和方案的重点是将拥有和使用毒品定为刑事犯罪,以及逮捕毒贩和拦截毒品运输的行动。毒品和犯罪问题办公室承认这种做法具有破坏性的“意想不到的后果”:尤其是“现在蓬勃发展的巨大犯罪黑市”,花费的数额巨大,市场和问题转移到新的国家,以及监狱或审前拘留的人数高得不可持续。2012年10月,非盟药物管制部长会议将审查取得的进展,预计将通过一项新的非盟药物管制行动计划(2013 - 2017年)。这是该区域毒品政策的关键时刻。这份国际药物管制规划署宣传说明提供了一套基于全球证据的建议,以指导决策者通过新的非盟药物管制行动计划。
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引用次数: 0
Market Access Provisions on Trade in Goods in Regional Trade Agreements 区域贸易协定货物贸易的市场准入规定
Pub Date : 2012-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2174330
J. Crawford
This paper assembles detailed information on the market access provisions in trade in goods contained in 192 active regional trade agreements (RTAs) notified to the WTO as of November 2010. Although market access provisions in trade in goods in RTAs have been addressed in a number of studies, much of this work has been limited to subsets of RTAs, particularly plurilateral RTAs involving three or more parties. The goal of the current study is to expand beyond the more commonly studied RTAs and to include all RTAs notified to the WTO for which data are available. This task has been facilitated by the recent Transparency Mechanism for RTAs (TM), adopted in 2006, that provides the basis for the systematic provision of detailed tariff and trade data by WTO Members engaged in RTAs. This information has been supplemented by other public sources of data, where available. A number of trends are evident. While a majority of RTAs result in a reasonably high degree of liberalization overall (with developing countries often liberalizing as much or more than developed countries), liberalization is not uniform across products or RTA parties. In some RTAs the degree of liberalization appears to be a negotiated outcome, depending on the RTA partner. Agricultural goods continue to be subject to lower levels of liberalization, frequent product exclusions and systematic protection in some RTAs, regardless of the RTA partner's comparative advantage. Nonetheless, a lower level of ambition in some RTAs is tempered by a commitment to negotiate further concessions or expand upon the RTA's scope at some future point: more than half the RTAs analysed contain such a commitment. Much has been written about the potential for the multilateralization of commitments undertaken in RTAs. While there may be scope for positive externalities in terms of regulatory convergence particularly with regard to services liberalization undertaken in RTAs, there is less evidence in this study to suggest that increased market access in merchandise goods leads to a more favourable trading environment for third parties. Continuing constructive engagement by WTO Members in the Transparency Mechanism through the provision of data, timely notifications, and submission of implementation reports will increase the availability of tariff and trade liberalization data, thus facilitating further examination of the topics highlighted in the study as worthy of future research.
本文收集了截至2010年11月向WTO通报的192个有效区域贸易协定(rta)中货物贸易市场准入条款的详细信息。虽然一些研究已经讨论了区域贸易协定中货物贸易的市场准入规定,但这方面的工作大多局限于区域贸易协定的子集,特别是涉及三个或更多缔约方的诸边区域贸易协定。目前研究的目标是将研究范围扩大到比较普遍的区域贸易协定之外,并包括向世贸组织通报的所有有数据的区域贸易协定。最近于2006年通过的区域贸易协定透明度机制(TM)促进了这一任务,该机制为参与区域贸易协定的WTO成员系统地提供详细的关税和贸易数据提供了基础。这一资料已得到其他公共数据来源(如有)的补充。一些趋势是显而易见的。虽然大多数区域贸易协定总体上实现了相当高的自由化程度(发展中国家的自由化程度通常与发达国家一样多或更多),但不同产品或区域贸易协定缔约方之间的自由化程度并不统一。在一些区域贸易协定中,自由化程度似乎是谈判的结果,取决于区域贸易协定的伙伴。在一些区域贸易协定中,农产品继续受到较低程度的自由化、频繁的产品排除和系统保护,而不顾区域贸易协定伙伴的比较优势。尽管如此,在一些区域贸易协定中,较低的雄心水平被承诺在未来的某个时刻谈判进一步让步或扩大区域贸易协定的范围所缓和:所分析的区域贸易协定中有一半以上包含这样的承诺。关于区域贸易协定中所作承诺多边化的潜力,已经写了很多文章。虽然在管制趋同方面,特别是在区域贸易协定中实行的服务自由化方面,可能存在积极的外部性,但本研究中没有多少证据表明,商品市场准入的增加会给第三方带来更有利的贸易环境。世贸组织成员通过提供数据、及时通知和提交实施报告,继续建设性地参与透明度机制,将增加关税和贸易自由化数据的可获得性,从而促进对报告中强调的值得未来研究的主题的进一步审查。
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引用次数: 11
The Arduous Process of Climate Change Negotiations: How Science Can Facilitate the Desired Outcome 气候变化谈判的艰巨过程:科学如何促进预期结果
Pub Date : 2012-09-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2148004
Kateryna Holzer, Joelle de Sepibus
Effective interaction between climate science and policy is important for moving climate negotiations forward to reach an ambitious global climate change deal. Lack of progress in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) negotiations during recent years is a good reason for taking a closer look at the process of climate science–policy interaction to identify and eliminate existing shortcomings hindering climate policymaking. This paper examines the current state of climate science–policy interaction and suggests ways to integrate scientific input into the UNFCCC process more effectively. Suggestions relate to improvement in institutional structures, processes and procedures of the UNFCCC and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), quality of scientific input, credibility of scientific message and public awareness of climate change.
气候科学与政策之间的有效互动对于推动气候谈判以达成雄心勃勃的全球气候变化协议至关重要。近年来,联合国气候变化框架公约(UNFCCC)的谈判缺乏进展,这是一个很好的理由,让我们更仔细地研究气候科学与政策相互作用的过程,以确定和消除阻碍气候政策制定的现有缺陷。本文考察了气候科学与政策相互作用的现状,并提出了将科学投入更有效地纳入UNFCCC进程的方法。建议涉及改进《联合国气候变化框架公约》和政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的体制结构、流程和程序、科学投入的质量、科学信息的可信度和公众对气候变化的认识。
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引用次数: 1
A New Governance for the European Union and the Euro: Democracy and Justice 欧盟和欧元的新治理:民主与正义
Pub Date : 2012-08-30 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2180248
M. Maduro
The report provides a democratic explanation for the crisis and the EU’s failure in successfully addressing it so far. It argues that the solution to the crisis and the future of EU governance must depart from a renewed justification of the project of European integration which must be founded on its democratic and justice enhancing potential. It criticizes two mainstream models of governance for the Euro area and explains the advantages and political viability of an alternative model based on a new EU budget, new EU policies, more EU politics and a more effective political authority. The financial solidarity necessary for any successful model of governance of the EU must be detached from transfers between states and related, instead, to the wealth generated by the process of Economic integration.
这份报告为这场危机以及欧盟迄今未能成功解决危机提供了一个民主的解释。它认为,危机的解决方案和欧盟治理的未来必须脱离对欧洲一体化项目的重新论证,而欧洲一体化必须建立在其民主和正义增强的潜力之上。它批评了欧元区的两种主流治理模式,并解释了基于新的欧盟预算、新的欧盟政策、更多的欧盟政治和更有效的政治权威的另一种模式的优势和政治可行性。任何成功的欧盟治理模式所必需的财政团结,都必须脱离国家间的转移,而与经济一体化进程所产生的财富相关。
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引用次数: 65
Political Risk and Realpolitik: The Politics of Compensation for Expropriation 政治风险与现实政治:征用补偿的政治
Pub Date : 2012-08-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2134577
Noel Johnston
How do powerful countries protect their investors abroad? Protecting investment across borders is problematic without an international enforcer, but like other phenomena that occur in a state of anarchy, order is still possible. For decades, scholars have developed theories to explain why governments expropriate. Seldom is it pointed out however that in the majority of cases, governments give back, often in large amounts. This paper will be the first to offer a general theory of the politics and economics of why governments pay compensation for expropriation. It argues that the role of state power in protecting international property rights is revealed if we look at the architecture surrounding compensation. The paper aims to convince scholars in political economy that a political and economic analysis of international property rights cannot be achieved by simply looking at the occurrence of contract breaches - it must also account for attempts to compensate for those breaches. Bridging insights from international law, political science and economics, the project contributes the following: attention to an understudied research vein in the political risk literature; an explanation about why states compensate; hypotheses tested with novel data from the political risk insurance industry; and a game theoretic model of international investment which includes different mechanisms for compliance, and expands the decision to expropriate to include the prospect of compensation.
强国如何保护其海外投资者?在没有国际执法机构的情况下,保护跨境投资是有问题的,但就像在无政府状态下发生的其他现象一样,秩序仍然是可能的。几十年来,学者们发展了理论来解释政府征用的原因。然而,很少有人指出,在大多数情况下,政府会回馈,而且往往是大量回馈。这篇论文将是第一个提供一个关于政府为什么为征用支付补偿的政治和经济学的一般理论。它认为,如果我们看看围绕补偿的架构,就会发现国家权力在保护国际产权方面的作用。这篇论文旨在说服政治经济学的学者,对国际产权的政治和经济分析不能仅仅通过观察合同违约的发生来实现——它还必须考虑到对这些违约行为的补偿。该项目将国际法、政治学和经济学的见解结合起来,贡献如下:关注政治风险文献中未被充分研究的研究脉络;解释国家为什么要赔偿;用政治风险保险行业的新数据检验假设;国际投资的博弈论模型包括不同的合规机制,并将征收决策扩展到包括补偿的前景。
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引用次数: 5
The Quest for the Liberal Peace: Toward a Measure of Interstate Cooperation 对自由和平的追求:走向州际合作的一种措施
Pub Date : 2012-08-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2125221
Michael O. Slobodchikoff, J. Willerton
Building on the Kantian tripod of peace in liberal peace theory, we test theories of state intergovernmental organization (IGO) membership and levels of state cooperation. We examine the measurement for IGO joint membership and find that it is inadequate to measure the level of cooperation among states. Using network analysis, we propose a new dyadic measure for the level of bilateral cooperation. We argue that states craft intergovernmental agreements, purposely nested within bilateral treaty networks, to further consolidate and bolster such agreements’ efficacy. States both express and safeguard their power interests via negotiated treaties, and while costs of violating individual treaties are small, violating treaties nested within broader treaty networks are more costly as this significantly inhibits future cooperation with all states in a region. By creating networks of treaties, states bolster compliance, enhance the prospects for cooperative foreign policy behavior, and strengthen the conditions for peace. We argue that the strength of a bilateral treaty network is a better measure than joint IGO membership for liberal peace theory. We test this measure in the post-Soviet space, where many scholars expect dyadic conflict due to Russia’s regional economic and military dominance. Using militarized interstate disputes (MID’s) as the dependent variable in our model, we find that dyads that have stronger treaty networks are significantly less likely to experience a MID than dyads without a strong treaty network. We propose that the strength of treaty networks is a better measure for tapping cooperation among states, yielding analytical results more compatible with liberal peace theory.
在自由主义和平理论中康德的和平三脚架的基础上,我们检验了国家政府间组织(IGO)成员资格和国家合作水平的理论。我们考察了政府间组织联合成员的度量,发现它不足以衡量国家间的合作水平。利用网络分析方法,提出了一种新的双边合作水平二元测度方法。我们认为,各国有意在双边条约网络中制定政府间协议,以进一步巩固和加强此类协议的效力。各国都通过谈判条约来表达和维护自己的权力利益,虽然违反个别条约的成本很小,但违反嵌套在更广泛的条约网络中的条约的成本更高,因为这严重阻碍了未来与一个地区所有国家的合作。通过建立条约网络,各国加强了遵守条约的力度,加强了合作外交政策行为的前景,并加强了和平的条件。我们认为,对于自由和平理论而言,双边条约网络的强度是比联合政府间组织成员资格更好的衡量标准。我们在苏联解体后的空间中检验了这一衡量标准,许多学者预计,由于俄罗斯在该地区的经济和军事主导地位,会发生二元冲突。使用军事化州际争端(MID 's)作为我们模型中的因变量,我们发现拥有更强大条约网络的集团比没有强大条约网络的集团更不可能经历军事化州际争端。我们认为,条约网络的强度是利用国家间合作的更好衡量标准,其分析结果更符合自由主义和平理论。
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引用次数: 1
China and the Liberal International Order: Did China's Accession to WTO Shape Its Behavior? 中国与自由国际秩序:中国加入WTO对其行为有影响吗?
Pub Date : 2012-08-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2125559
Yeh-chung Lu
The rise of China in recent years has brought about more questions than answers as to whether and when China will take on the world, and number one — the United States. In line with this reasoning, many pundits as well as policy circles begin to suggest that a rinsing China, along with a declining America, would inevitably invite a change of the international order. Based upon the case of WTO, how do international institutions shape China’s behavior? After being a rule taker for 10 years and benefiting from WTO, will China become a rule taker in the near future? This paper aims to provide a preliminary answer to these questions.
近年来,中国的崛起带来了更多的问题,而不是答案,即中国是否以及何时将挑战世界,首当其冲的是美国。根据这一推理,许多专家和政策圈开始提出,一个崛起的中国,加上一个衰落的美国,将不可避免地引起国际秩序的变化。以WTO为例,国际制度如何塑造中国的行为?在做了10年的规则接受者并受益于WTO之后,中国会在不久的将来成为规则接受者吗?本文旨在为这些问题提供一个初步的答案。
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引用次数: 1
Decision-Making by Consensus in the WTO 世贸组织的协商一致决策
Pub Date : 2012-08-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2122948
Thanh-Tung Nguyen, Quynh-Dan Nguyen, P. Pham
Decision-making processes are among the most important methods of functioning against which the legitimacy of one institution may be rated. It is because they show how the organization treats its members and thereby fulfils the first and minimal level of accountability. Moreover, in the recent trend of international fora, especially the WTO, decision-making by consensus has become popular. This characteristic of the WTO makes it considerably and significantly different from other international institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB), where decisions are based on weighted voting. In the WTO, consensus based decision-making is popular, while voting is possible and/or mandatory only in some special cases. In voting process, each member state has one vote and therefore allowing equal status to all members irrespective of trade shares or general economic size. The principle of equality of voting status of member states is clearly seen in the formal structures of the WTO. The top body of the WTO is the Ministerial Conference, which meets every two years. The day-to-day workings of the WTO are carried out by the General Council. The General Council also meets in the guise of the Trade Policy Review Body and the Dispute Settlement Body (DSB). Below the General Council are the Councils for Goods, Services and Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), along with Committees that report directly to the General Council. Representation at all three levels is open to all members of the WTO. The provisions stipulate the use of consensus and voting in the WTO covered Agreements will be examined in the first section. The advantages and disadvantages of consensus are the core discussion in section 2. On the one hand, consensus in decision-making offers developing countries with equal voice with their developed partners irrespective of trade shares and economic sizes. On the other hand, from the viewpoint of developing countries, they have to face a lot of disadvantages deriving from the consensus based decision-making. Finally, in order to help WTO become the most democratic, efficient, transparent and legitimate organization in promoting international trade, some recommendations about the reform of the WTO in the field of decision-making are raised.
决策过程是衡量一个机构合法性的最重要的运作方式之一。这是因为它们表明了组织如何对待其成员,从而履行了第一个和最低限度的责任。此外,在最近的国际论坛,特别是世界贸易组织的趋势中,协商一致的决策已成为流行。世贸组织的这一特点使其与其他国际机构(如国际货币基金组织(IMF)和世界银行(WB))有很大的不同,后者的决策是基于加权投票。在世贸组织中,基于共识的决策是受欢迎的,而投票只有在一些特殊情况下才有可能和/或强制性。在投票过程中,每个成员国都有一票,因此无论贸易份额或总体经济规模如何,所有成员都享有平等地位。成员国投票地位平等的原则在世贸组织的正式结构中清晰可见。世贸组织的最高机构是部长级会议,每两年召开一次。世界贸易组织的日常工作由总理事会负责。总理事会还以贸易政策审议机构和争端解决机构(DSB)的名义举行会议。总理事会下设与货物、服务和贸易有关的知识产权理事会(TRIPS),以及直接向总理事会报告的委员会。所有三个级别的代表权对世贸组织的所有成员开放。规定在WTO适用协定中使用协商一致意见和表决的规定将在第一部分进行审查。共识的利弊是第2节的核心讨论。一方面,决策协商一致使发展中国家无论贸易份额和经济规模如何,都与发达伙伴享有平等的发言权。另一方面,从发展中国家的角度来看,他们不得不面对基于共识的决策所带来的许多不利因素。最后,为了使WTO成为促进国际贸易最民主、最高效、最透明、最合法的组织,对WTO在决策领域的改革提出了一些建议。
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引用次数: 1
A Global Law Perspective of the WTO WTO的全球法律视角
Pub Date : 2012-07-27 DOI: 10.1163/22112596-01702018
Panos Delimatsis
This note attempts to map the relevance of global law advocacy for the WTO. In this regard, it understands global law as an attempt to describe a growing decrease of the regulatory State and an ensuing increase of private rule-making. Global law intends to generate new thinking about global governance and its patterns of influence and power. Few instances of creeping global law are identified, whereas the note concludes with some thoughts on much-needed future research on a range of topics ranging from the role of NGOs to the struggle against intrinsic inequalities of the multilateral trading system.
本说明试图描绘全球法律倡导对世贸组织的相关性。在这方面,它将国际法理解为试图描述管制国家日益减少和随之而来的私人制定规则的增加。国际法旨在产生对全球治理及其影响和权力模式的新思考。报告中几乎没有提到国际法蔓延的例子,但在结语中,对从非政府组织的作用到反对多边贸易体系内在不平等的斗争等一系列主题的未来研究提出了一些想法。
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引用次数: 1
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Political Institutions: International Institutions eJournal
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