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Usability of climate information: Toward a new scientific framework 气候信息的可用性:走向一个新的科学框架
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.833
J. Jebeile, J. Roussos
Climate science is expected to provide usable information to policy‐makers, to support the resolution of climate change. The complex, multiply connected nature of climate change as a social problem is reviewed and contrasted with current modular and discipline‐bounded approaches in climate science. We argue that climate science retains much of its initial “physics‐first” orientation, and that it adheres to a problematic notion of objectivity as freedom from value judgments. Together, these undermine its ability to provide usable information. We develop the notion of usability using work from the literature on adaptation, but our argument applies to all of climate science. We illustrate the tension between usability and the objective, physics‐first orientation of climate science with an example about model development practices in climate science. For solutions, we draw on two frameworks for science which responds to societal challenges: post‐normal science and mandated science. We generate five recommendations for adapting the practice of climate science, to produce more usable information and thereby respond more directly to the social challenge of climate change. These are: (1) integrated cross‐disciplinarity, (2) wider involvement of stakeholders throughout the lifecycle of a climate study, (3) a new framing of the role of values in climate science, (4) new approaches to uncertainty management, and (5) new approaches to uncertainty communication.
气候科学有望为政策制定者提供有用的信息,以支持解决气候变化问题。回顾了气候变化作为一个社会问题的复杂性和多重联系性,并将其与当前气候科学中的模块化和学科限制方法进行了对比。我们认为,气候科学在很大程度上保留了其最初的“物理学优先”取向,并坚持一个有问题的概念,即客观性是不受价值判断的自由。这些因素共同削弱了它提供可用信息的能力。我们利用适应文献中的工作发展了可用性的概念,但我们的论点适用于所有气候科学。我们以气候科学中的模型开发实践为例,说明了可用性与气候科学的客观、物理优先方向之间的紧张关系。对于解决方案,我们借鉴了两个应对社会挑战的科学框架:后常态科学和强制科学。我们提出了五项建议,以调整气候科学的实践,产生更有用的信息,从而更直接地应对气候变化的社会挑战。这些是:(1)综合的跨学科性,(2)利益相关者在气候研究的整个生命周期中更广泛的参与,(3)价值观在气候科学中的作用的新框架,(4)不确定性管理的新方法,以及(5)不确定性沟通的新方法。
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引用次数: 1
Learning and community building in support of collective action: Toward a new climate of communication at the COP 支持集体行动的学习和社区建设:在缔约方会议上营造新的交流氛围
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-03-05 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.832
Kathleen A. Mar, Niko Schäpke, Carolin Fraude, T. Bruhn, C. Wamsler, D. Stasiak, Heike Schroeder, Mark G. Lawrence
The international UN Climate Change conferences known as “Conferences of the Parties (COPs)” have an enormous convening power and are attended annually by tens of thousands of actors working on climate change topics from a wide range of perspectives. In the COP spaces outside of the formal negotiations, the communication culture is dominated by “side events,” a format that relies heavily on conventional presentations and panels that can be informative, but is generally not conducive to mutual engagement, reflection, or dialogue. There is an urgent need for new dialogue formats that can better foster learning and community‐building and thereby harness the enormous latent potential for climate action represented by the diverse stakeholders that gather at the COP. Against this backdrop, and drawing on our experience with the development and implementation of the Co‐Creative Reflection and Dialogue Spaces at COP25, COP26, and COP27, we make recommendations for further developing the communication culture of the COPs. At the level of individual sessions, we provide recommendations for designing participatory dialogues that can better support reflection, interconnection, and action orientation. In addition, we offer guidance for scaling up these practices, for instance through networks and communities of practice to support a shift of the overall communication culture of the COPs. Our recommendations focus on interactions and exchanges that unfold outside of the formal negotiation sessions, with a view toward enabling and accelerating transformative action by non‐state actors.
被称为“缔约方大会”的联合国气候变化国际会议具有巨大的召集力,每年都有数以万计的参与者从广泛的角度参与气候变化议题。在正式谈判之外的缔约方会议空间中,沟通文化以“会外活动”为主,这种形式严重依赖于传统的演讲和小组讨论,这些演讲和小组会议可以提供信息,但通常不利于相互参与、反思或对话。迫切需要新的对话形式,以更好地促进学习和社区建设,从而利用聚集在缔约方会议上的各种利益攸关方所代表的气候行动的巨大潜在潜力。在此背景下,我们借鉴我们在第25届、第26届和第27届联合国气候变化大会上开发和实施共同创意反思和对话空间的经验,为进一步发展联合国气候变暖大会的传播文化提出建议。在个别会议层面,我们为设计参与性对话提供了建议,这些对话可以更好地支持反思、相互联系和行动导向。此外,我们还为扩大这些做法提供指导,例如通过网络和实践社区来支持缔约方大会整体传播文化的转变。我们的建议侧重于在正式谈判会议之外展开的互动和交流,以期促进和加速非国家行为者的变革行动。
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引用次数: 2
Issue Information 问题信息
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.785
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引用次数: 0
Soviet and Russian perspectives on geoengineering and climate management 苏联和俄罗斯对地球工程和气候管理的看法
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-02-22 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.829
J. Oldfield, Marianna Poberezhskaya
Soviet science contributed significantly to our understanding of anthropogenic climate change and, as part of this, played a central role in the emerging science underpinning climate modification and geoengineering initiatives. A key focus of discussion was the use of stratospheric aerosols linked to the innovative ideas of Mikhail Budyko and colleagues. This work had its origins in what has been termed the theory of aerosol climatic catastrophe, which gained prominence in the Soviet context during the early 1970s. Following the breakup of the Soviet Union, the ideas of Budyko concerning the use of stratospheric aerosols were advanced by Yuri Izrael and his collaborators. The associated body of work gained traction during the 2000s and engendered a wider debate concerning the efficacy of geoengineering solutions amongst Russia's climate scientists. The legacies of this scientific discussion are also evident in recent high‐level international debates such as those linked to the activities of the IPCC. While significant geopolitical obstacles remain in the way of an international agreement linked to the possible deployment of geoengineering measures, interest continues to grow. The maturity of Russian science in the area of geoengineering and climate modification ensures that it remains an important voice within the broader scientific debate. At the same time, the progressive isolation of Russian science from the international scene due to wider geopolitical events risks deflecting attention away from contemporary popular and political debate in this area and alienating this rich scientific tradition at a critical juncture.
苏联科学对我们理解人为气候变化做出了重大贡献,作为其中的一部分,在支持气候变化和地球工程倡议的新兴科学中发挥了核心作用。讨论的一个关键焦点是与米哈伊尔·布迪科及其同事的创新想法有关的平流层气溶胶的使用。这项工作起源于所谓的气溶胶气候灾难理论,该理论在20世纪70年代初的苏联背景下获得了突出地位。苏联解体后,尤里·伊兹雷尔和他的合作者提出了布迪科关于平流层气溶胶使用的想法。相关工作在21世纪初获得了关注,并在俄罗斯气候科学家中引发了关于地球工程解决方案功效的更广泛辩论。这种科学讨论的遗产在最近的高级别国际辩论中也很明显,比如与气专委活动有关的辩论。尽管在达成与可能部署的地球工程措施有关的国际协议方面仍然存在重大的地缘政治障碍,但人们的兴趣仍在继续增长。俄罗斯科学在地球工程和气候变化领域的成熟确保了它在更广泛的科学辩论中仍然是一个重要的声音。与此同时,由于更广泛的地缘政治事件,俄罗斯科学逐渐与国际舞台隔绝,这可能会转移人们对该领域当代大众和政治辩论的注意力,并在关键时刻疏远这一丰富的科学传统。
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引用次数: 0
The ethics of climate activism 气候行动主义的伦理
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-02-16 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.831
Francisco Garcia‐Gibson
Climate activism, and ethical reflection on it, is expanding in line with increased awareness of global warming's destructive effects. The ethics of climate activism has focused on two main questions. First, is there a duty to engage in climate activism? Answers to this question differ regarding how the duty is grounded, how demanding it is, and whether people in certain social roles have special duties to engage in climate activism. The second question is whether certain forms of climate activism are morally permissible, given certain frequently voiced concerns. Prominently, concerns about climate activism being ineffective, uninclusive, undemocratic, and violent. The review ends by pointing to other issues that the ethics of climate activism is likely to address in the near future.
随着人们对全球变暖破坏性影响的认识不断提高,气候行动主义及其伦理反思正在扩大。气候行动主义的伦理关注两个主要问题。首先,参与气候行动主义有义务吗?这个问题的答案各不相同,包括这项义务的基础、要求有多高,以及担任某些社会角色的人是否有参与气候行动主义的特殊义务。第二个问题是,鉴于某些经常表达的担忧,某些形式的气候行动主义在道德上是否是允许的。最突出的是,对气候行动主义的担忧是无效的、不具包容性的、不民主的和暴力的。该评论最后指出了气候行动主义伦理可能在不久的将来解决的其他问题。
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引用次数: 1
Collective responsibility for climate change 应对气候变化的集体责任
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.830
Säde Hormio
Climate change can be construed as a question of collective responsibility from two different viewpoints: climate change being inherently a collective problem, or collective entities bearing responsibility for climate change. When discussing collective responsibility for climate change, “collective” can thus refer to the problem of climate change itself, or to the entity causing the harm and/or bearing responsibility for it. The first viewpoint focuses on how climate change is a harm that has been caused collectively. Collective action problem refers to an aggregation of individual actions which together produce an outcome that is not intended at the level of an individual action. It cannot be solved by any one agent acting unilaterally. Instead, climate change action must be enacted and supported by numerous agents. The second way to conceptualize climate change as a question of collective responsibility focuses on the collective entities that bear responsibility for climate change. As a global problem, climate change is linked to the realm of international politics, where states, governments, and intergovernmental organizations are the main collective entities. Other important agential collectives in terms of climate responsibility are corporations, including carbon majors who have produced the bulk of emissions. Climate change has also been theorized as a structural injustice, which combines elements from both the viewpoints on what is collective about responsibility for climate change.
气候变化可以从两个不同的角度解释为集体责任问题:气候变化本质上是一个集体问题,或者是对气候变化负有责任的集体实体。因此,在讨论气候变化的集体责任时,“集体”可以指气候变化问题本身,也可以指造成伤害和/或承担责任的实体。第一种观点侧重于气候变化是如何集体造成的伤害。集体行动问题是指个人行动的集合,这些行动共同产生了一个不打算在个人行动层面上产生的结果。任何一个代理人单方面行动都无法解决这一问题。相反,气候变化行动必须得到众多行动者的颁布和支持。将气候变化概念化为集体责任问题的第二种方法侧重于对气候变化负有责任的集体实体。作为一个全球性问题,气候变化与国际政治领域有关,在国际政治领域,国家、政府和政府间组织是主要的集体实体。在气候责任方面,其他重要的代理集体是企业,包括产生大部分排放的碳排放巨头。气候变化也被认为是一种结构性的不公正,它结合了两种观点中关于气候变化的集体责任的因素。
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引用次数: 3
Decision‐making factor interactions influencing climate migration: A systems‐based systematic review 影响气候迁移的决策因素相互作用:基于系统的系统综述
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.828
Emily C. Nabong, Lauren Hocking, A. Opdyke, J. Walters
Global migration and mobility dynamics are expected to shift in the coming decades as a result of climate change. However, the extent to which migration is caused by climate hazards, in contrast or addition to other intervening factors, is a point of debate in literature. In this study, we conducted a systematic literature review to identify and consolidate factors which directly and indirectly influence climate change migration. In our review of the literature, we found a total of 21 economic, environmental, demographic, political, social, and personal intervening decision‐making factors which affect climate migration. Causal interactions between these factors were identified using an axial qualitative coding technique called purposive text analysis. By combining causal links, a semi‐quantitative causal loop diagram was created that represented factor interaction and feedback within the “climate migration system.” Using this model, we highlight influential feedback loops and point to how intervention strategies may cause downstream effects. This research helps to address calls for a better understanding of the complex decision‐making dynamics in climate migration. In particular, results from our causal feedback loops show that intervention strategies targeted toward economic factors such as financial capital and livelihoods, as well as food security, would have the greatest impact in assisting climate‐affected communities. These results help inform climate migration policy and aid planners in the future to better understand the interconnected system of factors that lead to the emergent outcome of climate migration.
由于气候变化,预计未来几十年全球移民和流动动态将发生变化。然而,在何种程度上移民是由气候灾害引起的,与其他干预因素形成对比或增加,是文献中的一个争论点。在本研究中,我们进行了系统的文献综述,以识别和整合直接和间接影响气候变化移民的因素。在文献综述中,我们发现了21个影响气候移民的经济、环境、人口、政治、社会和个人干预决策因素。这些因素之间的因果相互作用被确定使用轴定性编码技术称为目的文本分析。通过结合因果关系,创建了一个半定量的因果循环图,表示“气候迁移系统”内的因素相互作用和反馈。使用该模型,我们强调了有影响力的反馈回路,并指出干预策略如何引起下游效应。这项研究有助于更好地理解气候迁移中复杂的决策动态。特别是,因果反馈回路的结果表明,针对金融资本、生计以及粮食安全等经济因素的干预策略,将对帮助受气候影响的社区产生最大的影响。这些结果有助于为气候移民政策提供信息,并帮助未来的规划者更好地了解导致气候移民紧急结果的相互关联的因素系统。
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引用次数: 7
Climate reparations: Why the polluter pays principle is neither unfair nor unreasonable 气候赔偿:为什么污染者付钱的原则既不公平也不合理
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.827
K. Tan
The polluter pays principle (PPP) has the form of a reparative principle. It holds that since some countries have historically contributed more to global warming than others, these countries have the follow‐up responsibility now to do more to address climate change. Yet in the climate justice debate, PPP is often rejected for two reasons. First, so the objection goes, it wrongly burdens present‐day individuals because the actions of their predecessors. This is the unfairness objection. The second objection is that early polluters were not aware of the harm that they were doing, and so ought not to be held culpable. This is the objection from excusable ignorance. In this commentary, I defend PPP against these two objections. The aim of this short reflection is not to provide a full justification of PPP, or to respond to all objections that have been made against it. My more limited but, I hope, important goal is to show that PPP is neither immediately unfair (in making innocent parties pay) nor immediately unreasonable (in making excusably ignorant parties pay) as is commonly noted, and is therefore worthy of further consideration as a principle of climate justice.
污染者付费原则(PPP)是一种补偿原则。它认为,由于一些国家在历史上对全球变暖的贡献大于其他国家,这些国家现在有后续责任采取更多措施应对气候变化。然而,在气候正义的辩论中,PPP常常因为两个原因而被拒绝。首先,反对意见认为,由于前人的行为,它错误地加重了现代人的负担。这就是不公平的反对。第二种反对意见是,早期的污染者并没有意识到他们所造成的危害,因此不应该被追究责任。这是可原谅的无知的反对意见。在这篇评论中,我为PPP辩护,反对这两个反对意见。这个简短反思的目的不是为PPP提供充分的理由,也不是回应所有反对它的反对意见。我的更有限但我希望更重要的目标是表明,PPP既不是立即不公平(让无辜的一方付出代价),也不是立即不合理(让可以原谅的无知的一方付出代价),正如人们普遍指出的那样,因此值得作为气候正义原则进一步考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Is carbon removal delaying emission reductions? 碳去除会延迟减排吗?
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-24 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.826
Wim Carton, Inge-Merete Hougaard, Nils Markusson, J. Lund
Carbon dioxide removal is rapidly becoming a key focus in climate research and politics. This is raising concerns of “moral hazard” or “mitigation deterrence,” that is, the risk that promises of and/or efforts to pursue carbon removal end up reducing or delaying near‐term mitigation efforts. Some, however, contest this risk, arguing that it is overstated or lacking evidence. In this review, we explore the reasons behind the disagreement in the literature. We unpack the different ways in which moral hazard/mitigation deterrence (MH/MD) is conceptualized and examine how these conceptualizations inform assessments of MH/MD risks. We find that MH/MD is a commonly recognized feature of modeled mitigation pathways but that conclusions as to the real‐world existence of MH/MD diverge on individualistic versus structural approaches to examining it. Individualistic approaches favor narrow conceptualizations of MH/MD, which tend to exclude the wider political‐economic contexts in which carbon removal emerges. This exclusion limits the value and relevance of such approaches. We argue for a broader understanding of what counts as evidence of delaying practices and propose a research agenda that complements theoretical accounts of MH/MD with empirical studies of the political‐economic structures that may drive mitigation deterrence dynamics.
去除二氧化碳正迅速成为气候研究和政治中的一个关键焦点。这引发了人们对“道德风险”或“缓解威慑”的担忧,即承诺和/或努力消除碳排放最终减少或推迟近期缓解努力的风险。然而,一些人对这种风险提出质疑,认为这种风险被夸大或缺乏证据。在这篇综述中,我们探讨了文献中分歧背后的原因。我们揭示了道德风险/缓解威慑(MH/MD)概念化的不同方式,并研究了这些概念化如何为MH/MD风险评估提供信息。我们发现,MH/MD是建模缓解途径的一个公认特征,但关于MH/MD在现实世界中存在的结论在个人主义和结构性的研究方法上存在分歧。个人主义的方法倾向于对MH/MD进行狭隘的概念化,这往往会排除碳去除出现的更广泛的政治经济背景。这种排斥限制了这种方法的价值和相关性。我们主张更广泛地理解什么是拖延做法的证据,并提出一个研究议程,用可能推动缓解威慑动态的政治经济结构的实证研究来补充MH/MD的理论描述。
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引用次数: 11
A scoping review of the green parenthood effect on environmental and climate engagement 绿色父母对环境和气候参与的影响范围审查
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.818
T. Shrum, Natalie S. Platt, E. Markowitz, Stylianos Syropoulos
We review the existing literature on the role of parenthood as a motivator of environmental engagement (the green parenthood effect), focusing particularly on climate change. We find that parenthood is severely understudied as a mechanism that may influence climate change‐relevant behavior. The literature on the role of parenthood in driving environmental engagement is mixed, due in part to the role of baseline individual and group characteristics that lead to different impacts of parenthood on environmental engagement as well as to the countervailing impact of intense time and budget constraints imposed by parenthood. Some studies suggest that parenthood increases pro‐environmental engagements, while others find no effects or negative effects. We theorize that potential mediators and moderators need to be taken into account to get a clearer picture of how parenthood influences pro‐environmental engagement. We highlight underlying proposed mechanisms that might be activated during the transition to parenthood (i.e., legacy motives, generativity, perceived responsibility), potential moderators of the green parenthood effect, and insights for public engagement.
我们回顾了现有的关于父母身份作为环境参与动力的作用(绿色父母身份效应)的文献,特别关注气候变化。我们发现,作为一种可能影响气候变化相关行为的机制,为人父母的研究严重不足。关于父母身份在推动环境参与方面的作用的文献喜忧参半,部分原因是基线个人和群体特征的作用导致了父母身份对环境参与的不同影响,以及父母身份所施加的强烈时间和预算限制的反制影响。一些研究表明,为人父母会增加环保活动,而另一些研究则没有发现任何影响或负面影响。我们的理论是,需要考虑潜在的中介和调节因素,以更清楚地了解为人父母如何影响环保参与。我们强调了在为人父母的过渡过程中可能激活的潜在拟议机制(即遗产动机、世代性、感知责任)、绿色为人父母效应的潜在调节因素,以及公众参与的见解。
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引用次数: 6
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Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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