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From regime‐building to implementation: Harnessing the UN climate conferences to drive climate action 从制度建设到实施:利用联合国气候会议推动气候行动
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-08-13 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.797
W. Obergassel, S. Bauer, L. Hermwille, Stefan C. Aykut, Idil Boran, Sander Chan, Carolin Fraude, Richard J. T. Klein, K. Mar, Heike Schroeder, K. Simeonova
The gap between the internationally agreed climate objectives and tangible emissions reductions looms large. We explore how the supreme decision‐making body of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the Conference of the Parties (COP), could develop to promote more effective climate policy. We argue that promoting implementation of climate action could benefit from focusing more on individual sectoral systems, particularly for mitigation. We consider five key governance functions of international institutions to discuss how the COP and the sessions it convenes could advance implementation of the Paris Agreement: guidance and signal, rules and standards, transparency and accountability, means of implementation, and knowledge and learning. In addition, we consider the role of the COP and its sessions as mega‐events of global climate policy. We identify opportunities for promoting sectoral climate action across all five governance functions and for both the COP as a formal body and the COP sessions as conducive events. Harnessing these opportunities would require stronger involvement of national ministries in addition to the ministries of foreign affairs and environment that traditionally run the COP process, as well as stronger involvement of non‐Party stakeholders within formal COP processes.
国际商定的气候目标与实际减排之间的差距越来越大。我们探讨了《联合国气候变化框架公约》(UNFCCC)的最高决策机构——缔约方会议(COP)如何发展以促进更有效的气候政策。我们认为,促进气候行动的实施可以从更多地关注个别部门系统中受益,特别是在减缓方面。我们考虑了国际机构的五项关键治理职能,以讨论缔约方会议及其召开的会议如何推进《巴黎协定》的实施:指导和信号、规则和标准、透明度和问责制、实施手段以及知识和学习。此外,我们认为缔约方会议及其会议的作用是全球气候政策的重大事件。我们确定了在所有五项治理职能中促进部门气候行动的机会,以及将缔约方会议作为正式机构和缔约方会议作为有益活动的机会。利用这些机会,除了传统上负责缔约方会议进程的外交部和环境部之外,还需要各国部委加强参与,并需要非缔约方利益攸关方加强参与正式的缔约方会议进程。
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引用次数: 4
What do we know about the employment impacts of climate policies? A review of the ex post literature 我们对气候政策对就业的影响了解多少?事后文献综述
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-08-11 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.794
C. Godinho
Concern around the employment impacts of climate mitigation policies can be a contentious and politized issue, with potentially limiting implications for climate action. It persists despite a significant ex ante literature that suggests that aggregate effects will most likely be limited and net positive. This review analyses 60 papers assessing the employment impacts of climate policies ex post, in 20 countries and 2 country groups. Eight broad mitigation policies are covered: (1) emissions trading, (2) carbon taxes, (3) feed‐in tariffs, renewable energy (4) procurement and (5) deployment, (6) green economy/jobs, (7) environmental regulation, and (8) other policies and regulations. The analysis confirms that employment impacts tend to be modest and net positive or neutral, but reveals that distributional outcomes can be uneven, disadvantaging certain groups and at times reinforcing existing inequalities. Additionally, lower quality jobs or weak labor market regulations may decrease the attractiveness of jobs created or increase job transition costs. These findings provide some justification for increased focus on how climate policies can ensure a “just transition of the workforce and the creation of decent work and quality jobs” stipulated in the Paris Agreement, but also suggest that climate action should not be delayed for fear of widespread negative employment impacts. Ex post assessments offer an important lens into the determinants of climate policy employment outcomes and should be advanced and harnessed in support of accelerated and just action.
对气候缓解政策对就业影响的担忧可能是一个有争议和政治化的问题,对气候行动的影响可能会受到限制。尽管有大量的事前文献表明,综合效应很可能是有限的和净积极的,但它仍然存在。这篇综述分析了20个国家和2个国家集团的60篇评估气候政策对就业影响的论文。涵盖八项广泛的缓解政策:(1)排放交易,(2)碳税,(3)上网电价,可再生能源,(4)采购和(5)部署,(6)绿色经济/就业,(7)环境监管,以及(8)其他政策和法规。该分析证实,就业影响往往是适度的、净积极的或中性的,但揭示了分配结果可能是不均衡的,对某些群体不利,有时还会加剧现有的不平等。此外,低质量的工作或薄弱的劳动力市场监管可能会降低所创造工作的吸引力或增加工作转换成本。这些发现为进一步关注气候政策如何确保《巴黎协定》规定的“劳动力的公正过渡以及创造体面工作和高质量工作”提供了一些理由,但也表明,不应因为担心广泛的负面就业影响而推迟气候行动。事后评估为了解气候政策就业结果的决定因素提供了一个重要视角,应该加以推进和利用,以支持加快和公正的行动。
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引用次数: 6
Allocation, allocation, allocation! The political economy of the development of the European Union Emissions Trading System 分配,分配,分配!欧盟碳排放交易体系发展的政治经济学
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.796
Misato Sato, Ryan Rafaty, Raphael Calel, M. Grubb
The European Union's pioneering carbon Emissions Trading System, the EU ETS, has inspired countries around the world to launch their own CO2 markets. This paper analyses the evolution of the EU ETS from a political economy perspective, emphasizing the interaction of economic principles and political interests at pivotal moments, and showing how each compromise changed the scope for future design choices. We focus on the allowance allocation issue, which provides a window into the complex tug‐of‐war between economic efficiency and the politics of distribution. Our account highlights the dynamic nature of CO2 market reform, and provides lessons that can help inform the design of more stable and effective CO2 markets in the future.
欧盟开创性的碳排放交易系统欧盟排放交易系统激励了世界各国推出自己的二氧化碳市场。本文从政治经济学的角度分析了欧盟ETS的演变,强调了经济原则和政治利益在关键时刻的相互作用,并展示了每一种妥协如何改变未来设计选择的范围。我们关注津贴分配问题,这为了解经济效率和分配政治之间的复杂拉锯战提供了一个窗口。我们的报告强调了二氧化碳市场改革的动态性质,并提供了有助于为未来设计更稳定、更有效的二氧化碳市场提供信息的经验教训。
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引用次数: 6
Rethinking governance in international climate finance: Structural change and alternative approaches 重新思考国际气候融资中的治理:结构变化和替代方法
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-07-31 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.795
K. Browne
International public finance plays an increasingly prominent role in global efforts to combat climate change and, as it grows, it faces a familiar challenge: governance. Global organizations not only disburse climate funding, but are also expected to ensure the “good governance” of climate programs in recipient countries. Many of these same organizations faced similar challenges in disbursing development finance. In what became known as the “institutionalist turn,” they sought to reform governance and build effective institutions in recipient countries. At first glance, the approach to governance in climate finance appears to be a continuation of these largely ineffective policies. I argue, however, that important structural differences between climate finance and development finance have been overlooked, and that these differences create space for alternatives approaches to governance. I first examine the literature on what led to the ineffectiveness of governance reforms tied to development finance, concluding that global organizations have been consistently unable to recognize and grapple with how power actually works in recipient countries, especially informal power. I then highlight three new principles underlying climate finance: (1) that it is restitution not aid, (2) that recipient countries should control resource allocation, and (3) that funding should support mitigation and adaptation. I demonstrate how each new principle has produced shifts in decision‐making authority away from contributors and toward recipient countries. I discuss how alternative approaches could emerge both from forums where recipient countries exercise newfound authority, and from experimentation on the part of multilateral organizations.
国际公共财政在全球应对气候变化的努力中发挥着越来越突出的作用,随着它的发展,它面临着一个熟悉的挑战:治理。全球组织不仅支付气候资金,而且还被期望确保受援国气候项目的“善治”。这些组织中有许多在支付发展资金方面面临类似的挑战。在后来被称为“制度主义转向”的过程中,他们寻求改革受援国的治理并建立有效的机构。乍一看,气候融资的治理方法似乎是这些基本上无效的政策的延续。然而,我认为,气候融资和发展融资之间的重要结构性差异被忽视了,而这些差异为替代治理方法创造了空间。我首先研究了导致与发展融资相关的治理改革无效的原因的文献,得出的结论是,全球组织一直无法认识和应对权力在受援国的实际运作方式,尤其是非正式权力。然后,我强调了气候融资的三个新原则:(1)是恢复而不是援助,(2)受援国应控制资源分配,(3)资金应支持减缓和适应。我展示了每一项新原则是如何使决策权从捐助国转移到受援国的。我讨论了如何从受援国行使新权力的论坛和多边组织的实验中出现替代方法。
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引用次数: 5
The triple differential vulnerability of female entrepreneurs to climate risk in sub‐Saharan Africa: Gendered barriers and enablers to private sector adaptation 撒哈拉以南非洲女性企业家面临气候风险的三重脆弱性:私营部门适应的性别障碍和推动者
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-15 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.793
K. Gannon, Elena Castellano, S. Eskander, Dorice Agol, M. Diop, D. Conway, Elizabeth Sprout
The ability of businesses to adapt effectively to climate change is highly influenced by the external business enabling environment. Constraints to adaptive capacity are experienced by small and medium enterprises (SMEs) across sub‐Saharan Africa, regardless of the gender of the business owner. However, gender is a critical social cleavage through which differences in adaptive capacity manifest and in Africa most entrepreneurs are women. We conduct a systematic review to synthesize existing knowledge on differential vulnerability of female entrepreneurs in Africa to climate risk, in relation to their sensitivity to extreme climate events and their adaptive capacity. We synthesize this literature using a vulnerability analysis approach that situates vulnerability and adaptive capacity within the context of the wider climate risk framework denoted in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. In doing so, we identify gendered barriers and enablers to private sector adaptation and suggest women entrepreneurs face a “triple differential vulnerability” to climate change, wherein they: (1) are often more sensitive to climate risk, as a result of their concentration in certain sectors and types of enterprises (e.g., micro SMEs in the agricultural sector in remote regions); (2) face additional barriers to adaptation in the business environment, including access to finance, technologies, (climate and adaptation) information and supportive policies; and (3) are also often concurrently on the frontline of managing climate risk at household levels. Since various forms of inequality often create compounding experiences of discrimination and vulnerability, we pay particular attention to how factors of differential vulnerability intersect, amplify, and reproduce.
企业有效适应气候变化的能力在很大程度上受到外部商业有利环境的影响。撒哈拉以南非洲的中小型企业(SME)无论企业主的性别如何,都会受到适应能力的限制。然而,性别是一个关键的社会鸿沟,适应能力的差异由此显现,在非洲,大多数企业家都是女性。我们进行了一次系统的审查,以综合现有知识,了解非洲女性企业家对气候风险的不同脆弱性,以及她们对极端气候事件的敏感性和适应能力。我们使用脆弱性分析方法综合了这些文献,该方法将脆弱性和适应能力置于气专委第五次评估报告中所述的更广泛的气候风险框架的背景下。在这样做的过程中,我们确定了私营部门适应的性别障碍和推动者,并建议女企业家面临气候变化的“三重差异脆弱性”,其中她们:(1)由于集中在某些部门和类型的企业(例如偏远地区农业部门的微型中小企业),往往对气候风险更敏感;(2) 在商业环境中面临更多的适应障碍,包括获得资金、技术、(气候和适应)信息和支持政策;和(3)也经常同时站在家庭层面管理气候风险的前线。由于各种形式的不平等往往会造成歧视和脆弱性的复合体验,我们特别关注差异脆弱性因素如何交叉、放大和再现。
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引用次数: 2
Non‐ and sub‐state climate action after Paris: From a facilitative regime to a contested governance landscape 巴黎会议后的非国家和次国家气候行动:从促进性制度到有争议的治理格局
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-15 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.791
Jens Marquardt, Cornelia Fast, Julia Grimm
The Paris Agreement marks a significant milestone in international climate politics. With its adoption, Parties call for non‐ and sub‐state actors to contribute to the global climate agenda and close the emissions gap left by states. Such a facilitative setting embraces non‐state climate action through joint efforts, synergies, and different modes of collaboration. At the same time, non‐state actors have always played a critical and confrontational role in international climate governance. Based on a systematic literature review, we identify and critically assess the role of non‐state climate action in a facilitative post‐Paris climate governance regime. We thereby highlight three constitutive themes, namely different state‐non‐state relations, competing level of ambition, and a variety of knowledge foundations. We substantiate these themes, derived from an inductive analysis of existing literature, with illustrative examples and propose three paradigmatic non‐state actor roles in post‐Paris climate governance on a continuum between compliance and critique. We thereby highlight four particular threats of a facilitative setting, namely substitution of state action, co‐optation, tokenism, and depoliticization. Future research should not limit itself to an effective integration of NSSAs into a facilitative climate regime, but also engage with the merits of contestation.
《巴黎协定》标志着国际气候政治的一个重要里程碑。通过该法案,缔约方呼吁非国家和次国家行为者为全球气候议程做出贡献,并缩小各国留下的排放差距。这种便利环境包括通过共同努力、协同作用和不同合作模式采取的非国家气候行动。与此同时,非国家行为者在国际气候治理中始终发挥着关键和对抗作用。基于系统的文献综述,我们确定并批判性地评估了非国家气候行动在促进后巴黎气候治理制度中的作用。因此,我们强调了三个组成主题,即不同的国家-非国家关系、竞争的雄心水平和各种知识基础。我们通过例证证实了这些主题,这些主题源于对现有文献的归纳分析,并在遵守和批评之间提出了后巴黎气候治理中三个典型的非国家行为者角色。因此,我们强调了便利环境的四个特殊威胁,即国家行动的替代、合作、象征主义和非政治化。未来的研究不应局限于将NSSA有效地纳入有利于气候变化的制度,还应考虑到争论的优点。
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引用次数: 3
Mangrove forests under climate change in a 2°C world 2°C世界气候变化下的红树林
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.792
D. Friess, M. Adame, J. Adams, C. Lovelock
The world's nations are committed to keeping global temperature rises to less than 2°C to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. Such a target is crucial for mangrove forests, because they are located primarily in tropical and subtropical regions that are expected to see large changes in climatic conditions; their intertidal location and sensitivity to changes in environmental conditions means that mangroves are expected to be on the front line of climate change impacts. We conceptualize what a 2°C world might look like for mangroves, and in particular the potential negative and positive responses of the mangrove ecosystem to anticipated changes in future atmospheric CO2 concentrations, temperature, sea level, cyclone activity, storminess and changes in the frequency, and magnitude of climatic oscillations. We also assess the spatial distribution of such stressors, their relative contributions to mangrove ecosystem dynamics, and discuss the challenges in attributing mangrove ecosystem dynamics to climate change versus other global change stressors. Such knowledge can help future‐proof conservation and restoration activities, improve the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's confidence level ascribed to climate change impacts on mangrove forests, and highlight the key temperature thresholds beyond which the future of the world's mangroves is less certain.
世界各国致力于将全球气温上升控制在2°C以下,以避免气候变化的最严重影响。这一目标对红树林至关重要,因为红树林主要位于热带和亚热带地区,预计气候条件会发生重大变化;红树林的潮间带位置和对环境条件变化的敏感性意味着红树林预计将处于气候变化影响的前线。我们概念化了红树林的2°C世界可能是什么样子,特别是红树林生态系统对未来大气二氧化碳浓度、温度、海平面、气旋活动、风暴以及气候振荡频率和幅度变化的潜在负面和积极反应。我们还评估了这些压力源的空间分布及其对红树林生态系统动力学的相对贡献,并讨论了将红树林生态系统动态归因于气候变化与其他全球变化压力源的挑战。这些知识可以帮助经得起未来考验的保护和恢复活动,提高政府间气候变化专门委员会对气候变化对红树林影响的信心水平,并突出世界红树林未来不太确定的关键温度阈值。
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引用次数: 14
Global soil organic carbon–climate interactions: Why scales matter 全球土壤有机碳-气候相互作用:为什么尺度很重要
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.780
H. Jungkunst, Jan Göpel, T. Horvath, Simone Ott, M. Brunn
Soil organic carbon (SOC) holds the largest terrestrial carbon stock because of soil conditions and processes that favor soil carbon persistence. Vulnerable to climate change, SOC may cross a tipping point toward liberating carbon‐based greenhouse gases, implying massive self‐amplifying SOC‐ climate interactions. Estimates of SOC persistence are challenging as we still lack broad mechanistic insights. Upscaling mechanistic details from small to larger scales is challenging because the driving factors are not available at the needed resolution. Downscaling is problematic as many modeling studies point to the highest uncertainties deriving from the SOC response to climate change, while models themselves have difficulties in replicating contemporary soil properties and dynamics. To bridge the problems of scaling, strict process orientation seems adequate. Holdridge Life Zones (HLZ) classification, as one example, is a climate classification framework at a mesoscale that provides a descriptive approach to facilitate the identification of potential hotspots and coldspots of SOC‐climate interaction. Establishing coordinated experiments across all HLZ, but also including multiple global change drivers, has the potential to advance our understanding of general principles regulating SOC‐climate interaction and SOC persistence. Therefore, regionally tailored solutions for both experiments and modeling are urgently needed and can lead to better management of soil and the ecosystem services provided. Improving “translations” from the scales relevant for process understanding to the scales of decision‐making is key to good management and to predict the fate of our largest terrestrial carbon stock.
土壤有机碳(SOC)拥有最大的陆地碳储量,因为土壤条件和过程有利于土壤碳的持久性。SOC易受气候变化的影响,可能会跨越释放基于碳的温室气体的临界点,这意味着SOC与气候的巨大自放大相互作用。SOC持续性的估计具有挑战性,因为我们仍然缺乏广泛的机制见解。将机械细节从小尺度放大到大尺度是具有挑战性的,因为驱动因素无法以所需的分辨率获得。缩小规模是有问题的,因为许多建模研究指出SOC对气候变化的反应具有最高的不确定性,而模型本身在复制当代土壤特性和动力学方面存在困难。为了解决缩放问题,严格的过程导向似乎足够了。例如,Holdridge生命区(HLZ)分类是一个中尺度的气候分类框架,它提供了一种描述性方法,有助于识别SOC-气候相互作用的潜在热点和冷点。在所有HLZ建立协调的实验,但也包括多种全球变化驱动因素,有可能促进我们对调节SOC-气候相互作用和SOC持久性的一般原则的理解。因此,迫切需要针对实验和建模的区域性解决方案,这些解决方案可以更好地管理土壤和提供的生态系统服务。改进从过程理解相关尺度到决策尺度的“转换”是良好管理和预测我们最大陆地碳储量命运的关键。
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引用次数: 9
Mind the gaps! Climate scientists should heed lessons in collaborative storytelling from William Shakespeare 小心缝隙!气候科学家应该从威廉·莎士比亚那里吸取合作讲故事的经验
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-05-19 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.783
L. Shenk, W. Gutowski
To co‐produce locally relevant climate knowledge, climate scientists are engaging in new collaborations—with stakeholders and with scholars in the humanities, arts, and social sciences. In our work as a Shakespeare scholar‐turned‐public‐humanist and a climate scientist, we have created a methodology that allows researchers and communities to co‐produce knowledge by co‐producing narratives. We combine principles from emerging climate “storylines” research with collaborative storytelling inspired by William Shakespeare's plays and theatrical practices. Shakespeare's plays spark collaborations and interpretations, in part, because of how Shakespeare leaves gaps in the narrative. These gaps allow others to enter as collaborators, creating a “cognitive ecology” that fosters knowledge and action among all engaged. Integrating these methods into climate storyline‐making offers a radical paradigm: it upends the scientist's role as the focal storyteller and expert, and fosters, instead, partnership, equity, and a co‐exploration of multiple uncertainties. It is time for researchers to cede control to a cognitive ecology of collaborative action.
为了共同生产与当地相关的气候知识,气候科学家正在与利益相关者以及人文、艺术和社会科学领域的学者进行新的合作。作为莎士比亚学者、公共人文主义者和气候科学家,在我们的工作中,我们创造了一种方法,允许研究人员和社区通过共同生产叙事来共同生产知识。我们将新兴气候“故事情节”研究的原则与受威廉·莎士比亚戏剧和戏剧实践启发的合作讲故事相结合。莎士比亚的戏剧激发了合作和诠释,部分原因是莎士比亚在叙事中留下了空白。这些空白允许其他人作为合作者进入,创造一种“认知生态”,促进所有参与者的知识和行动。将这些方法整合到气候故事情节制作中提供了一个激进的范例:它颠覆了科学家作为故事讲述者和专家的角色,相反,它促进了伙伴关系、公平和对多种不确定性的共同探索。研究人员是时候把控制权交给协作行动的认知生态了。
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引用次数: 4
The rebound effect and the challenge of moving beyond fossil fuels: A review of empirical and theoretical research 反弹效应和超越化石燃料的挑战:实证和理论研究综述
IF 9.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-05-09 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.782
Richard York, Lazarus Adua, Brett Clark
William Stanley Jevons identified what has come to be known as the Jevons paradox: the observation that improvements in energy efficiency are often connected with rising, not falling, energy consumption. This insight informs the subsequent economic concept of the “rebound effect” and the expansive research investigating this relationship. We provide an overview of key empirical research, which establishes that large rebounds in energy consumption connected with rising energy efficiency are common across various units of analysis, including the national, subnational (e.g., states/provinces/cities; power plants), and household levels. We then focus on the range of theoretical arguments that have been put forward to explain why rebounds occur in varying contexts, with particular consideration of implications for efforts to move away from fossil fuels. We emphasize the important distinction between direct effects, indirect effects, and economy‐wide effects in regard to rebounds, particularly those connected with macro‐structural forces, for understanding the causes and implications of the Jevons paradox.
William Stanley Jevons发现了被称为Jevons悖论的现象:能源效率的提高往往与能源消耗的上升而非下降有关。这一见解为随后的“反弹效应”经济学概念以及对这一关系的广泛研究提供了依据。我们提供了关键实证研究的概述,该研究表明,与能源效率提高相关的能源消耗大幅反弹在各个分析单元中都很常见,包括国家、国家以下(例如,州/省/市;发电厂)和家庭层面。然后,我们将重点放在一系列理论论点上,这些论点是为了解释为什么在不同的情况下会出现反弹,并特别考虑到对摆脱化石燃料的影响。我们强调直接效应、间接效应和整个经济的反弹效应之间的重要区别,特别是与宏观结构力有关的反弹效应,以理解杰文斯悖论的原因和含义。
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引用次数: 3
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Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
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