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River Lan discharge: current state and forecast 澜江流量现状及预测
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54668/2789-6323-2021-101-2-6-22
A. Volchek
The results of the study of the water regime of the Lan River, a typical small river of the Belarusian Polesye, are presented. The Lan River is represented by three monitoring sites (Lognovichi, Loktyshi and Mokrovo) with drainage areas A = 480 km2, A = 909 km2 and A = 2550 km2, respectively, with different observation periods and the degree of anthropogenic impact. In addition to large-scale reclamation in the river basin, carried out in the middle of the last century, in 1977, a reservoir was built in the river bed for fish farming and agricultural use. Using the method of analogies, the series of observations of annual, maximum, minimum summer-autumn and winter water discharges are reduced to a single calculated period of 68 years from 1948 to 2015. Assessment of the influence of anthropogenic impacts and natural factors on the runoff, the initial time series, the averaging intervals were analyzed: from 1948 to 2015. (the entire observation period length is 68 years); from 1948 to 1977 (29 years period before the commissioning of the Loktyshi reservoir); from 1978 to 2015 (38 years of reservoir operation period); from 1978 to 1987 (10 years period of the reservoir functioning before the beginning of the modern climate warming,); from 1988 to 2015 (27 years period of the reservoir functioning under the current climate warming). Statistical heterogeneity was found as a result of intensive economic activity, which significantly disrupts the natural hydrological regime. It was revealed that for the average annual runoff there is a decrease along the Lognovichi site and an increase along the Loktyshi site; for the maximum runoff, a decrease is observed along all the stations under consideration; for the minimum summer-autumn discharge, an increase is observed along the Loktyshi site; for the minimum winter runoff, an increase is observed along all stations. Based on the hydrological and climatic hypothesis, predictive estimates of the average discharge values for the period of 2050 are given, which are expressed in a certain decrease in it and a shift in the peak of spring flood to earlier dates.
本文介绍了兰河的水情研究结果,兰河是白俄罗斯波勒泽河的一条典型小河。兰河有3个监测点(Lognovichi、Loktyshi和Mokrovo),流域面积分别为A = 480 km2、A = 909 km2和A = 2550 km2,观测周期和人为影响程度不同。除了上世纪中叶在流域内进行的大规模围垦外,1977年还在河床上修建了一个水库,用于养鱼和农业用途。利用类比法,将1948 - 2015年的年、最大值、最小值夏秋和冬季的一系列观测值简化为一个68 a的计算周期。分析了1948 ~ 2015年人为影响和自然因素对径流的影响、初始时间序列和平均区间。(整个观察期长度为68年);1948年至1977年(Loktyshi水库投产前29年);1978 - 2015年(水库运行期38年);1978 - 1987年(现代气候变暖开始前水库运行10年);1988 - 2015年(当前气候变暖条件下水库27年运行周期)由于密集的经济活动严重破坏了自然水文制度,因此发现了统计异质性。结果表明,年平均径流量沿Lognovichi场址减少,沿Loktyshi场址增加;对于最大径流,在所考虑的所有站点都观察到减少;对于夏秋两季的最小流量,沿Loktyshi站点观察到增加;对于冬季最小径流量,所有站点都观测到增加。在水文和气候假设的基础上,给出了2050年平均流量的预测值,表现为流量有一定的减少,春洪峰值提前。
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引用次数: 1
GEOMORPHOLOGICAL SCHEMATIZATION OF THE DRAINAGE OF THE SHARYN RIVER BASIN 沙林河流域水系地貌示意图
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.54668/2789-6323-2021-102-3-6-16
Z. Mustafaev, A.R. Zhansykpaev
On the basis of the geosystem approach, using the laws of geographic vertical zoning, the energy resources of river basins and groundwaters, the natural and climatic potential of natural systems that characterize the heat and moisture supply of natural landscapes were determined, which made it possible to carry out a geomorphological schematization of the catchment area of the class of landscapes (eluvial facies), foothill subclass of landscapes (transeluvial facies), foothill lowland subclass of landscapes (transaccumulative facies) and plain class of landscapes (superaquial and subaquial facies) and the natural function of the river basin, that is, nature improvement.
在地质系统方法的基础上,利用地理垂直分区的规律,河流流域和地下水的能源资源,确定了自然系统的自然和气候潜力,这些自然系统表征了自然景观的热量和水分供应,这使得有可能对景观类(淋积相)的集水区进行地貌示意图,山麓亚类景观(淋积相),山麓低地亚类景观(跨积相)和平原类景观(浅水相和水下相)与河流流域的自然功能,即自然改善。
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引用次数: 0
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Hydrometeorology and ecology
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