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2016 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)最新文献

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Risk-based penalty price determination procedure for transmission constraint relaxations 基于风险的输电约束放松惩罚价格确定程序
A. Salloum, Yousef M. Al-Abdullah, K. Hedman, V. Vittal
The electric power system is one of the most complex engineered systems. It is, thus, a challenge to design a market that is efficient, transparent, and provides the proper incentives to market participants. Existing market models employ constraint relaxations, which enable various constraints to be relaxed (violated) for a high penalty price. This paper examines the practice of allowing transmission assets to be overloaded in market models. While most overloads are corrected by dispatch operators before the actual operational state, some overloads are realized. Existing constraint relaxation practices specify the same penalty price regardless as to the line's voltage, anticipated current flow, probability of a contingency, or overall impact on operational security. This paper proposes a straightforward way to modify existing practices to assign higher penalty prices to lines that receive a higher risk index. The approach is tested on a real-world, large-scale system, the PJM Interconnection.
电力系统是最复杂的工程系统之一。因此,设计一个高效、透明并为市场参与者提供适当激励的市场是一项挑战。现有的市场模型采用了约束放宽,使得各种约束可以被放宽(违反)以获得较高的惩罚价格。本文探讨了在市场模型中允许输电资产过载的做法。虽然大多数重载在实际运行状态之前由调度操作符纠正,但也有一些重载是实现的。现有的限制放宽措施规定了相同的罚款价格,而不管线路的电压、预期的电流、突发事件的可能性或对运行安全的总体影响。本文提出了一种直接的方法来修改现有的做法,为获得更高风险指数的线路分配更高的罚款价格。该方法在一个真实的大规模系统PJM互连上进行了测试。
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引用次数: 2
Composite generation and transmission system reliability assessment using impact increment-based state enumeration method 基于冲击增量状态枚举法的发电与输电系统综合可靠性评估
K. Hou, H. Jia, Xiaodan Yu, Yawen Li, Chang Xie, Jianfeng Yan
An impact increment-based state enumeration (USE) method is designed to assess reliability of composite generation and transmission systems. The reliability index calculation formula of the traditional state enumeration technique is transformed into an impact increment-based formation. Based on the derived equation, the traditional state enumeration method is modified into an impact increment based one. With the proposed method, calculation of state probability are effectively simplified, and reliability indices of high accuracy can be obtained with only low order contingency states. When it is applied to composite systems, load fluctuation can also be considered by replacing impact increments with their expectations under various load levels. Case studies are performed on the RBTS system and the RTS-79 system. Results indicate that annual reliability indices can be efficiently obtained with the USE method. Comparing with traditional state enumeration and Monte Carlo simulation methods, the proposed method is more precise and efficient.
设计了一种基于影响增量的状态枚举(USE)方法来评估发电和输电系统的可靠性。将传统状态枚举法的可靠性指标计算公式转化为基于影响增量的形式。在导出方程的基础上,将传统的状态枚举方法改进为基于冲击增量的状态枚举方法。该方法有效地简化了状态概率的计算,只需低阶的偶然性状态即可获得高精度的可靠性指标。当将其应用于复合系统时,也可以考虑负荷波动,将影响增量替换为不同负荷水平下的期望。对RBTS系统和RTS-79系统进行了案例研究。结果表明,使用USE方法可以有效地获得年度可靠度指标。与传统的状态枚举和蒙特卡罗仿真方法相比,该方法具有更高的精度和效率。
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引用次数: 8
Stochastic generator availability modeling on very large transmission network systems 超大输电网系统随机发电机可用性建模
Brandon Heath, John Lawhorn
This paper examines the possibility of performing nodal level loss of load analyses using a full stochastic optimization Monte Carlo modeling tool on a transmission network the size of MISO system.
本文研究了在MISO系统大小的传输网络上使用完全随机优化蒙特卡罗建模工具执行节点级负载损失分析的可能性。
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引用次数: 1
House events matrix for shutdown probabilistic safety assessment 用于关机概率安全评估的房屋事件矩阵
M. Čepin
Probabilistic safety assessment is one of the standardized ways of assessing safety of nuclear power plants. The objective of the method is to present an extension of the fault tree in order to reduce the size of the shutdown probabilistic safety assessment model. The shutdown probabilistic safety assessment method is developed. The modelling for all plant operating states include consideration of 15 states, which were determined as appropriate representations of much more plant configurations in addition to the plant full power operation. For dealing with the complexity of the models and manageable size of the models for the sensitivity studies it is essential that the models optimizations are performed. House events matrix plays an important role as it reduces the number of the fault trees significantly. The results include the time dependent representation of the core damage frequency contributions weighted for their plant operating state durations over total duration of the shutdown timely through the whole shutdown. The risk of the plant during shutdown is smaller in general than in full power operation, however for certain specific plants and their specific plant operating states the risk for a short duration of time may increase beyond the risk of full steady state power operation.
概率安全评价是核电厂安全评价的标准化方法之一。该方法的目的是提出故障树的扩展,以减小停机概率安全评估模型的大小。提出了停堆概率安全评估方法。所有电厂运行状态的建模包括考虑15种状态,这些状态被确定为除了电厂满负荷运行之外更多电厂配置的适当表示。为了处理模型的复杂性和敏感性研究模型的可管理规模,进行模型优化是必不可少的。由于屋事件矩阵能显著减少故障树的数量,因此在故障树分析中起着重要的作用。结果包括堆芯损坏频率贡献的时间依赖表示,其加权的堆芯运行状态持续时间超过整个停堆期间的总持续时间。一般来说,停堆期间的风险比全功率运行时要小,但对于某些特定的电厂及其特定的电厂运行状态,短时间内的风险可能会增加,超过全稳态运行时的风险。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of network topology optimization on power system reliability 网络拓扑优化对电力系统可靠性的影响
Yingmeng Xiang, Lingfeng Wang, Ruosong Xiao, K. Xie
Due to the increasing power demand and the aging equipment, the electric power grid is faced with pressing challenges for maintaining its power supply reliability in an efficient and economical manner. Network topology optimization (NTO) is a promising, cost-effective method to improve the operational flexibility and the overall reliability of power systems. In this study, NTO is incorporated into the conventional reliability evaluation framework, and case studies are conducted based on a representative reliability test system. The simulation results demonstrate that the overall power system reliability could be improved assuming NTO is incorporated into the power system operation procedure. This study could offer some insights into improving power supply reliability by more fully utilizing the existing assets in a power system.
由于电力需求的不断增长和设备的老化,电网如何高效、经济地保持供电可靠性面临着迫切的挑战。网络拓扑优化(NTO)是提高电力系统运行灵活性和整体可靠性的一种有前途的、经济有效的方法。本研究将NTO纳入传统的可靠性评估框架,并基于一个具有代表性的可靠性测试系统进行了案例研究。仿真结果表明,在电力系统运行过程中引入NTO可以提高整个电力系统的可靠性。本研究可为更充分地利用电力系统现有资产来提高供电可靠性提供一些见解。
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引用次数: 6
Reliability evaluation in power distribution system planning studies 配电系统规划中的可靠性评估研究
Saeed Heidari, M. Fotuhi‐Firuzabad
In distribution system planning studies, reliability evaluation is performed during optimization procedure to calculate the interruption cost, DISCO's income and to check the viability of constraints related to reliability indices. In each iteration of the optimization algorithm a special plan is evaluated that is different from other plans. So the configuration and specification of the network which is one of the input information for reliability evaluation is changing continuously that makes difficulties for this evaluation. To solve these difficulties, this paper presents a systematic method for reliability evaluation in distribution planning studies. The proposed approach can be implemented as a subprogram in comprehensive software of distribution system planning and design.
在配电系统规划研究中,可靠性评估是在优化过程中进行的,用于计算中断成本、DISCO收益和检查与可靠性指标相关的约束的可行性。在优化算法的每次迭代中,都会评估一个不同于其他方案的特殊方案。因此,作为可靠性评估输入信息之一的网络结构和规格是不断变化的,这给可靠性评估带来了困难。为了解决这些问题,本文提出了一种系统的配电规划可靠性评估方法。该方法可作为配电系统规划设计综合软件的子程序实现。
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引用次数: 12
Applying high performance computing to probabilistic convex optimal power flow 应用高性能计算求解概率凸最优潮流
Zhao Yuan, M. Hesamzadeh, Yue Cui, Lina Bertling Tjernberg
The issue of applying high performance computing (HPC) techniques to computation-intensive probabilistic optimal power flow has not been well discussed in literature. In this paper, the probabilistic convex AC OPF based on second order cone programming (P-SOCPF) is formulated. The application of P-SOCPF is demonstrated by accounting uncertainties of loads. To estimate the distributions of nodal prices calculated from P-SOCPF, two point estimation method (2PEM) is deployed. By comparing with Monte Carlo (MC) method, the accuracy of 2PEM is proved numerically. The computation efficiency of 2PEM outperforms MC significantly. In the context of large scale estimation, we propose to apply high performance computing (HPC) to P-SOCPF. The HPC accelerated P-SOCPF is implemented in GAMS grid computing environment. A flexible parallel management algorithm is designed to assign execution threads to different CPUs and then collect completed solutions. Numerical results from IEEE 118-bus and modified 1354pegase case network demonstrate that grid computing is effective means to speed up large scale P-SOCPF computation. The speed up of P-SOCPF computation is approximately equal to the number of cores in the computation node.
将高性能计算(HPC)技术应用于计算密集型概率最优潮流的问题在文献中尚未得到很好的讨论。本文给出了基于二阶锥规划的概率凸AC OPF (P-SOCPF)。通过考虑荷载的不确定性,说明了P-SOCPF的应用。为了估计由P-SOCPF计算的节点价格的分布,采用两点估计方法(2PEM)。通过与蒙特卡罗(MC)方法的比较,数值验证了2PEM方法的准确性。2PEM的计算效率明显优于MC。在大规模估计的背景下,我们提出将高性能计算(HPC)应用于P-SOCPF。在GAMS网格计算环境下实现了HPC加速P-SOCPF。设计了一种灵活的并行管理算法,将执行线程分配到不同的cpu,然后收集完整的解决方案。基于IEEE 118总线和改进的1354pegase case网络的数值结果表明,网格计算是提高大规模P-SOCPF计算速度的有效手段。P-SOCPF的计算速度近似等于计算节点的核数。
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引用次数: 5
Synchrophasor data availability analyzer 同步相量数据可用性分析仪
Phanuwat Phunkasem, W. Wangdee, Bo Sriraphanth, B. Tanboonjit
Wide-area monitoring system (WAMS) is emerging technologies that utilize phasor measurement units (PMUs) combined with highly accurate time synchronization to deliver the time-synchronized phasor data known as “synchrophasor”. To enable more extensive applications from WAMS, an excellent synchrophasor data availability level is a must-have. In this paper, a developed software application tool for analyzing data availability and classifying causes of unavailable data is presented. The developed software tool demonstration has been done by using the actual synchrophasor data retrieved from WAMS currently installed for Thailand power grid. The synchrophasor data analysis results based on one-month and daily availability statistics are shown using visualization charts. The results indicate that the current data availability from WAMS, on average, may not yet reach the excellent level that is adequately suitable for real-time control and protection applications. The data analysis results obtained from the developed software tool can provide insightful information to guide what the data problems might be, so that appropriate corrective actions can be implemented to improve the data availability.
广域监测系统(WAMS)是一种新兴技术,它利用相量测量单元(pmu)结合高精度的时间同步来提供时间同步的相量数据,称为“同步相量”。为了从WAMS中实现更广泛的应用,必须具有出色的同步量数据可用性级别。本文介绍了一种用于数据可用性分析和数据不可用原因分类的软件应用工具。开发的软件工具已通过使用从目前安装在泰国电网的WAMS中检索到的实际同步量数据进行了演示。基于一个月和每日可用性统计的同步量数据分析结果使用可视化图表显示。结果表明,平均而言,目前WAMS的数据可用性可能尚未达到足以适用于实时控制和保护应用的优秀水平。从开发的软件工具中获得的数据分析结果可以提供有洞察力的信息,以指导数据问题可能是什么,从而可以实施适当的纠正措施,以提高数据可用性。
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引用次数: 1
Time-of-use pricing in retail electricity market: Step tariff vs. usage-based schemes 零售电力市场的分时电价:阶梯电价与基于使用的电价方案
Yanglin Zhou, Feng Gao, S. Ci, Yang Yang, Yuemei Xu
With the advances of Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), it is possible for power customer and utility company to adjust their consumption behaviors or schemes in order to achieve higher profits in retail electricity market. Recently, relevant research emerges from demand side management (DSM) view. Time dependent pricing has been proposed as a DSM method to influence user demands. Initial investigations have shown its advantages over the conventional time independent pricing. Nevertheless, much is unknown in how a practical and effective time dependent pricing scheme can be designed. In this paper, we combine game-theoretic approach and probabilistic analysis methods to explore the design space of time dependent pricing. In particularly, we focus on usage-based and step tariff schemes. Our findings include: step tariff scheme improves capacity utilization during high demand period and can earn higher users' surplus than that in usage-based scheme all the time.
随着先进计量基础设施(AMI)的发展,电力用户和公用事业公司可以调整其消费行为或方案,以在零售电力市场中获得更高的利润。近年来,从需求侧管理(DSM)的角度进行了相关研究。时间相关定价已被提出作为一种影响用户需求的需求侧管理方法。初步调查表明,它比传统的时间无关定价有优势。然而,如何设计一种实际有效的随时间变化的定价方案尚不清楚。本文将博弈论方法与概率分析方法相结合,探讨时变定价的设计空间。我们特别关注基于使用量的分级收费方案。研究结果表明:分级电价方案提高了高需求期的产能利用率,在任何时候都能获得比基于使用量方案更高的用户剩余。
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引用次数: 5
Data completing of missing wind power data based on adaptive BP neural network 基于自适应BP神经网络的风电数据缺失补全
Y. Mao, Ma Jian
The integrity of wind power output data is of great significance for the accurate prediction of wind power and the utilization of wind energy. In this paper, it is found that the power output affected by many factors, through the analysis of the mathematical model of wind turbine, and the solution of the specific expressions of the relationship with the traditional mathematical methods is hard to find. Based on the measured data of wind field, such as fan current, rotor speed, wind direction, and so on, a kind of model based on adaptive BP neural network is proposed to fill the missing wind power data. The simulation experiment shows that the accuracy rate and the average relative error of complete data get better results, besides the quality of completed data is improved effectively.
风电输出数据的完整性对于风电的准确预测和风能的利用具有重要意义。本文通过对风力发电机组数学模型的分析,发现其输出功率受诸多因素的影响,并且用传统的数学方法很难找到其具体表达式的求解关系。基于风机电流、转子转速、风向等风场实测数据,提出了一种基于自适应BP神经网络的模型来填补风电数据缺失。仿真实验表明,该方法不仅提高了完整数据的准确率和平均相对误差,而且有效地提高了完整数据的质量。
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引用次数: 10
期刊
2016 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
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