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Value Added Tax and Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of China Perspective 增值税与经济增长:中国视角的实证研究
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.10155
Zeraibi Ayoub, S. Mukherjee
This study investigates the role of Value-Added Tax (VAT) on the economic growth in China. The data used for the study is a time series of the period from 1985-2016. These researches use the gross domestic product (GDP) as a dependent variable. For the independent variables, this research using the total population, employed persons, consumer price index, and value-added tax. The current findings add to a growing body of literature on identifying the properties of VAT in China and identifying the tax system reform from 1993 to 2012 and the mechanism of transfer application of the business tax in the services sector to Value-Added Tax. The test result indicated to have a positive relationship between the GDP and independent variables value-added tax in both in the long and short-run
本研究探讨了增值税在中国经济增长中的作用。该研究使用的数据是1985年至2016年期间的时间序列。这些研究使用国内生产总值(GDP)作为因变量。对于自变量,本研究使用总人口、就业人数、消费物价指数和增值税。目前的研究结果增加了越来越多的关于中国增值税属性的文献,并确定了1993年至2012年的税制改革以及服务业营业税向增值税转移应用的机制。检验结果表明,GDP与自变量增值税在长期和短期内都存在正相关关系
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引用次数: 6
Macroeconomic Variables, Demographic Factors and Current Account Balance in Nigeria: A Causal Relationship 宏观经济变量、人口因素与尼日利亚经常账户平衡:因果关系
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.11391
S. B. Adegboyega, O. Maku, K. Agbatogun
This paper examines the effect of macroeconomic variables, demographic factors toward current account balance in Nigeria. It analyzed the connection between each of domestic savings and investment on current account balance by examining the role and direction of the selected demographic variables. The Toda-Yamamoto approach to causality was used to analyze the study. The result shows that the direction of causality was from both domestic saving and investment to current account balance. However, there is no reverse causation from the current account balance to domestic saving and investment. Thus, the selected demographic variables had no significant causation towards current account balance, investment, and domestic saving. The government needs to finance the desired investment through increased domestic saving without undue reliance on foreign resources
本文考察了宏观经济变量、人口因素对尼日利亚经常账户余额的影响。通过考察选定的人口变量的作用和方向,分析了国内储蓄和投资对经常项目余额的相互关系。本研究采用Toda-Yamamoto因果关系分析方法。结果表明,国内储蓄和投资对经常项目收支的影响均为因果关系。然而,经常项目余额与国内储蓄和投资之间不存在反向因果关系。因此,所选的人口变量对经常账户余额、投资和国内储蓄没有显著的因果关系。政府需要在不过度依赖外国资源的情况下,通过增加国内储蓄为所需的投资提供资金
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引用次数: 1
Export Diversification and Economic Growth in Nigeria 尼日利亚出口多样化与经济增长
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.9861
P. Nwosa, Fasina Oluwadamilola Tosin, Ogbuagu Matthew Ikechukwu
The issue of export diversification has been contentious in Nigeria due to the country’s unstable growth pattern which is majorly associated with instability in the international oil market and the poor performance of other sectors of the economy. Therefore, this study examines the link between export diversification and economic growth in Nigeria from 1962 to 2016. The study utilizes the Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique. The result of this study shows that export diversification has a positive but insignificant influence on economic growth in Nigeria. The above result implies that the oil sector still dominates the Nigerian economy while the diversification drive of the government has not been significant in other sectors of the economy. Thus, the study recommends the need for conscious economic policies that would promote the diversification of the entire non-oil sector of the economy. The study concludes that export diversification is an insignificant determinant of economic growth in Nigeria.
出口多样化问题在尼日利亚一直存在争议,因为该国的增长模式不稳定,这主要与国际石油市场的不稳定和其他经济部门的不佳表现有关。因此,本研究考察了1962年至2016年尼日利亚出口多样化与经济增长之间的联系。本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)技术。本研究结果表明,出口多元化对尼日利亚经济增长有正向但不显著的影响。上述结果表明,石油部门仍然在尼日利亚经济中占主导地位,而政府在其他经济部门的多元化驱动并不显著。因此,研究报告建议有必要制订有意识的经济政策,促进整个非石油经济部门的多样化。该研究得出结论,出口多样化是尼日利亚经济增长的一个无关紧要的决定因素。
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引用次数: 20
Political Dynasties and the Moderating Role of Good Public Governance 政治朝代与良好公共治理的调节作用
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.11636
Dyah Setyaningrum, Hidayah Asfaro Saragih
The purpose of this study is to investigate the phenomena of political dynasties in Indonesia and its effect on local government performance. Moreover, this study also examines the moderating role of good public governance on the relationship between political dynasties and local government performance. Political dynasties define as the condition where local government head/vice head has a family connection with the head/vice head from the previous period or in other local government or with the legislative member. We use paired matched sample from local government in Indonesia during 2010-2015. The result shows that political dynasties negatively affect local government performance. Good public governance is proven to weaken the negative effect of political dynasties on the local government performance. Indonesia's central government need to regulate the practice of political dynasty as it is proved to decrease local government performance and encourage implementation of good public governance to reduce the adverse effects of political dynasties.
本研究的目的是探讨印尼政治王朝现象及其对地方政府绩效的影响。此外,本研究亦检视良好公共治理对政治朝代与地方政府绩效关系的调节作用。政治王朝定义为地方政府正副首脑与前任正副首脑或其他地方政府正副首脑或立法议员有亲属关系的情况。我们使用了2010-2015年印度尼西亚地方政府的配对样本。结果表明,政治王朝对地方政府绩效有负向影响。良好的公共治理被证明可以削弱政治王朝对地方政府绩效的负面影响。印尼中央政府需要规范政治王朝的做法,因为事实证明,政治王朝会降低地方政府绩效,并鼓励实施良好的公共治理,以减少政治王朝的不利影响。
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引用次数: 6
The Determinant of Regional Unemployment in Indonesia: The Spatial Durbin Models 印度尼西亚区域失业的决定因素:空间Durbin模型
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.10124
Eka Khaerandy Oktafianto, N. Achsani, T. Irawan
Unemployment is a problem that occurs in many countries and often gets special attention both from policymakers and academics. This fact is because if not addressed, it will cause socio-economic problems in the country. Therefore it is necessary to formulate the causes of unemployment by involving spatial aspects to avoid biased and inefficient estimates. This study aims to find the determinants of unemployment rates in Indonesia, including calculating the direct and indirect effect of using the spatial Durbin models (SDM) in the period 2000-2017. The results of this study indicate that the overall independent variables used significantly influence the unemployment rate in Indonesia. Besides, it turns out that the higher education variable completed by the population of a region has the most significant impact both in decreasing unemployment in a region and neighboring regions. Therefore, the policy taken should pay attention to this.
失业是一个在许多国家都存在的问题,经常受到政策制定者和学术界的特别关注。这是因为如果不加以解决,它将在该国造成社会经济问题。因此,有必要通过涉及空间方面来制定失业的原因,以避免有偏见和低效的估计。本研究旨在寻找印度尼西亚失业率的决定因素,包括计算2000-2017年期间使用空间Durbin模型(SDM)的直接和间接影响。本研究的结果表明,总体自变量使用显著影响失业率在印度尼西亚。此外,研究发现,一个地区人口完成的高等教育变量对该地区和邻近地区的失业率下降都有最显著的影响。因此,所采取的政策应注意这一点。
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引用次数: 6
The Determinants of Biodiesel Export in Indonesia 印尼生物柴油出口的决定因素
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.10961
A. Pambudi, Eka Puspitawati, Nursechafia Nursechafia
This study investigates the competitiveness of Indonesian biodiesel export among the top seven of biodiesel trader countries in the world, as well as the factors that determine export for Indonesian biodiesel. Applying Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) analysis, the results show that Indonesia has good competitiveness of biodiesel in the world. Using secondary data, the results of the gravity model indicate that distance of trade destination countries harms the Indonesian biodiesel export. Meanwhile, price, exchange rate, and GDP have a positive effect on the export. Based on the results of this study, the government of Indonesia should focus on the development of the biodiesel industry, since the increasing importance of biodiesel as alternative energy in the world
本研究考察了印尼生物柴油在世界前七大生物柴油贸易国中的出口竞争力,以及决定印尼生物柴油出口的因素。应用显示比较优势(RCA)分析结果表明,印尼生物柴油在国际上具有较好的竞争力。利用二手数据,重力模型的结果表明,贸易目的国的距离损害了印尼生物柴油的出口。同时,价格、汇率和GDP对出口有正向影响。基于本研究的结果,印尼政府应该重点发展生物柴油产业,因为生物柴油作为替代能源在世界上的重要性日益增加
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引用次数: 6
Agglomeration and Urban Manufacture Labor Productivity in Indonesia 集聚与印尼城市制造业劳动生产率
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.9316
Y. Wibowo, Toshihiro Kudo
Agglomeration, the spatial concentration of industries in a specific location, has been argued to improve productivity since it could provide positive externalities such as knowledge spillover, input sharing, and labor pooling. This paper examines the effect of large and medium manufacturing industry (LMI) agglomeration on labor productivity. Measuring the output and labor density as agglomeration effect by using 2009-2014 panel data from 44 cities and regions across the metropolitan areas of Indonesia, this study shows that in terms of output share, agglomeration positively contributes to labor productivity. On the other hand, in terms of labor density, agglomeration results in a negative impact on productivity. These findings suggest the government should expand industrial clusters in less densely populated areas, especially outside the island of Java, by providing necessary infrastructures such as electricity, ports, and roads, so that this development creates favorable economic conditions for investment and industrial development in such areas.
集聚,即产业在特定地点的空间集中,被认为可以提高生产率,因为它可以提供正外部性,如知识溢出、投入共享和劳动力汇集。本文研究了大中型制造业集聚对劳动生产率的影响。本文利用2009-2014年印尼44个城市和地区的面板数据,以产出和劳动密度作为集聚效应进行测度,结果表明,在产出份额方面,集聚对劳动生产率有正向贡献。另一方面,就劳动密度而言,集聚对生产率的影响为负。这些发现表明,政府应该通过提供必要的基础设施,如电力、港口和道路,在人口密度较低的地区扩大产业集群,特别是在爪哇岛以外,这样的发展就为这些地区的投资和工业发展创造了有利的经济条件。
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引用次数: 2
Macroeconomic Variables and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Turkey 宏观经济变量与土耳其的外国直接投资流入
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.10560
Saliha Meftah, Abdelkader Nassour
Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an essential factor in the development of a country. This study aims to examine what factors influence foreign direct investment. By using the vector error correction model, the research shows that there is a long-term causality relationship between exchange rates and inflation with FDI. However, in the short term, there are no variables that affect FDI. Besides, the Granger causality test shows causality in the direction of GDP and FDI, while other variables do not have causality. This research has implications for policymakers to pay attention to macroeconomic variables in increasing the flow of foreign direct investment.
外国直接投资(FDI)是一个国家发展的重要因素。本研究旨在探讨影响外商直接投资的因素。通过向量误差修正模型,研究表明汇率、通货膨胀与FDI之间存在长期的因果关系。但是,在短期内,没有影响外国直接投资的变量。此外,格兰杰因果检验显示GDP和FDI方向上存在因果关系,而其他变量不存在因果关系。本研究对政策制定者在增加外国直接投资流动时注意宏观经济变量具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 1
Islamic Bank Financing and Its Effects on Economic Growth: A Cross Province Analysis 伊斯兰银行融资及其对经济增长的影响:跨省分析
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I2.10977
M. A. Afandi, Muhammad Amin
Islamic banking industry shows a reasonably good development, one of which is marked by an increase in service coverage in almost all provinces in Indonesia. However, the question is how far Islamic banking capable of contributing to the improvement of Indonesia's economic growth? The purpose of this research is to examine the role of Islamic banking in promoting inclusive economic growth with a sample of 33 provinces in Indonesia. The method used in this research is panel data regression using the fixed effects model. The results show that Islamic bank financing does not have an impact on Indonesia's economic growth. In other words, the results of the research provide information that the existence of Islamic banking in Indonesia has not yet give a significant impact on the welfare of Indonesian society
伊斯兰银行业表现出相当良好的发展,其中一个特点是印度尼西亚几乎所有省份的服务覆盖率都有所增加。然而,问题是伊斯兰银行能够在多大程度上促进印尼的经济增长?本研究以印尼33个省份为样本,考察伊斯兰银行在促进包容性经济增长中的作用。本研究采用的方法是采用固定效应模型的面板数据回归。结果表明,伊斯兰银行融资对印尼经济增长没有影响。换句话说,研究结果提供的信息表明,印度尼西亚伊斯兰银行的存在尚未对印度尼西亚社会的福利产生重大影响
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引用次数: 8
Indonesian Life Expectancy: Role of Health Infrastructure and Socio-Economic Status 印度尼西亚人的预期寿命:卫生基础设施和社会经济地位的作用
Pub Date : 2019-07-06 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V8I1.9579
Endri Kristanto, A. Daerobi, B. Samudro
The purpose of this study is to analyze the role of health infrastructure and public socio-economic status on life expectancy in Indonesia. Health infrastructure indicators are health personnel, health facilities, and health insurance. Meanwhile, socio-economics indicators are dependency ratio, income inequality, and poverty. The models are estimated using a panel data set for 34 provinces in Indonesia from 2010 to 2016. This research is using a fixed-effect panel data approach. Empirical results show that health personnel and health insurance have a positive relationship with life expectancy. Dependency ratios and poverty also show a negative relationship with life expectancy. On the other hand, the availability of health facilities and income inequality have a weak relationship with life expectancy. This empirical examination result will help Indonesian governments to improve several aspects in order to increase life expectancy in Indonesia
本研究的目的是分析印度尼西亚卫生基础设施和公共社会经济地位对预期寿命的作用。卫生基础设施指标是卫生人员、卫生设施和健康保险。与此同时,社会经济指标是抚养比、收入不平等和贫困。这些模型是使用2010年至2016年印度尼西亚34个省的面板数据集进行估计的。本研究采用固定效应面板数据方法。实证结果表明,卫生人员和医疗保险与预期寿命呈正相关。抚养比和贫困也与预期寿命呈负相关。另一方面,保健设施的可用性和收入不平等与预期寿命的关系很弱。这一实证检验结果将有助于印尼政府改善几个方面,以提高印尼的预期寿命
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
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