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A Discussion on Sustainable Development 关于可持续发展的讨论
Pub Date : 2015-08-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2653722
Antony Munene Kamakia
After many years in the experiences of world development, it has become obvious that proper development approaches have to be pursued. Capitalism as a dominant perspective has come with a mixture of successes but major setbacks. The setbacks include inequality and a widening gap between rich and poor. The result has been rampant increase not just in crime but radical and organised crime eg. terrorism. Youths are being radicalized and because they suffer from youth unemployment, become very willing to participate in crime. “We have nothing to loose” they say. The situation has been complicated further in that, educated unemployed youths have become very remorseful and feel that the world owes them a living. A concept of sustainable development must remedy social inequities and environmental damage, while maintaining a sound economic base. What is becoming clear is the fact that the rich will not enjoy their wealth in peace, not when others are crying for basic needs.These has forced the opinion drivers of the world especially the Bretton wood institutions and the United Nations (UN) to adopt other sustainable development approaches and with this, came the birth of sustainable development. This is development that considers that social upheavals will always distract economic achievements when the two are not in equilibrium. Furthermore, populations have also tended to turn back to the environment to fulfill basic social needs eg. illegal logging, poaching etc... Natural environment is finite and plays a major part in the equation too. The three systems of SOCIAL, ECONOMIC and ENVIRONMENT are interlinked and their solutions will always come from these relationship. The world agenda has shifted focus to sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) which hope to be achieved by the year 2030. Chief among them is the provision of social safety nets like youth employment. This has not been achieved under current development paradigms. It is only by balancing the delicate equations that the entire global development agenda will be achieved. The players do not have a choice, as time has proved that unwelcome consequences for say, civil unrests and crime, affect everybody and pose a risk to the globalized development economics. This paper discusses these various issues in brief and credits the concept of sustainable development as having potential to rally global development to a new phase in world history.
经过多年的世界发展经验,显然必须采取适当的发展办法。作为主导观点的资本主义既有成功,也有重大挫折。这些挫折包括不平等和贫富差距的扩大。其结果是不仅犯罪猖獗,而且激进和有组织犯罪猖獗。恐怖主义。年轻人正在变得激进,因为他们遭受青年失业的痛苦,变得非常愿意参与犯罪。“我们没有什么可失去的,”他们说。由于受过教育的失业青年感到懊悔,觉得世界欠他们一份人情,情况变得更加复杂。可持续发展的概念必须纠正社会不平等和环境破坏,同时保持健全的经济基础。越来越明显的事实是,富人不会平静地享受他们的财富,当其他人为基本需求而哭泣时。这迫使世界上的舆论驱动者,特别是布雷顿森林机构和联合国(UN)采取其他可持续发展方法,由此诞生了可持续发展。这种发展认为,当社会动荡和经济成就不平衡时,它们总是会分散注意力。此外,人们还倾向于回归环境以满足基本的社会需求。非法采伐、偷猎等…自然环境是有限的,在这个等式中也起着重要的作用。社会、经济和环境三个系统是相互联系的,它们的解决方案总是来自于这些关系。世界议程已将重点转向希望在2030年前实现的可持续发展目标(sdg)。其中最主要的是提供像青年就业这样的社会安全网。在目前的发展模式下还没有做到这一点。只有平衡这些微妙的等式,才能实现整个全球发展议程。参与者没有选择,因为时间已经证明,不受欢迎的后果,比如内乱和犯罪,会影响到每个人,并对全球化的发展经济构成风险。本文简要讨论了这些不同的问题,并认为可持续发展的概念具有将全球发展提升到世界历史新阶段的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
London: A Multi-Century Struggle for Sustainable Development in an Urban Environment 伦敦:城市环境中可持续发展的多世纪斗争
Pub Date : 2015-08-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2662111
W. Clark
In this paper I sketch key episodes in the two thousand year history of interactions between society and environment that have shaped the City of London and its hinterlands. My purpose in writing it has been to provide an empirical puzzle for use in teaching and theorizing about the long term coevolution of social-environmental systems and the potential role of policy interventions in guiding that coevolution toward sustainability. I undertook it because while a lively body of theory has begun to emerge seeking to explain such coevolution, rich descriptive characterizations of how specific social-environmental systems have in fact changed over the long time periods (multi-decade to multi-century) relevant to sustainable development remain relatively rare. One result is that the field of sustainability science lacks a sufficient number of the rich empirical puzzles that any field of science needs to challenge its theorizing, modeling and predictions. This paper reflects the beginning of an effort to provide one such characterization on a topic central to sustainability: the long term development of cities and their hinterlands.
在本文中,我概述了两千年来社会与环境之间相互作用的关键事件,这些相互作用塑造了伦敦金融城及其腹地。我写这本书的目的是为了提供一个经验难题,用于社会环境系统的长期共同进化的教学和理论化,以及政策干预在引导共同进化走向可持续性方面的潜在作用。我之所以进行这项研究,是因为尽管已经出现了大量的理论来解释这种共同进化,但对于特定的社会环境系统在与可持续发展相关的很长一段时间内(几十年到几百年)实际上是如何变化的,丰富的描述性描述仍然相对罕见。结果之一是,可持续发展科学领域缺乏足够数量的丰富的经验难题,而任何科学领域都需要挑战其理论化、建模和预测。这篇论文反映了对可持续发展的核心主题——城市及其腹地的长期发展——提供这样一个特征的努力的开始。
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引用次数: 3
Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction – Success or Warning Sign for Paris? 仙台减少灾害风险框架——成功还是巴黎的警告信号?
Pub Date : 2015-07-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2636185
J. Mysiak, S. Surminski, A. Thieken, R. Mechler, J. Aerts
In March 2015, a new international blueprint for disaster risk reduction (DRR) has been adopted in Sendai, Japan, at the end of the Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction (WCDRR, March 14-18, 2015). We review and discuss the agreed commitments and targets, as well as the negotiation leading the Sendai Framework for DRR (SFDRR) and discuss briefly its implication for the later UN-led negotiations on sustainable development goals and climate change.
2015年3月,在第三届联合国世界减少灾害风险大会(WCDRR, 2015年3月14-18日)结束之际,一份新的国际减少灾害风险蓝图在日本仙台通过。我们回顾并讨论了商定的承诺和目标,以及引领仙台减灾框架(SFDRR)的谈判,并简要讨论了其对后来联合国主导的可持续发展目标和气候变化谈判的影响。
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引用次数: 725
Sustainability Development and Competitiveness of Rome as a Tourist Destination 罗马旅游目的地的可持续发展与竞争力
Pub Date : 2015-06-11 DOI: 10.20867/THM.21.2.7
Marco Valeri
Objectives – The aim of the paper is to study the sustainability level of the city of Rome (Italy) as a tourist destination. The paper’s basic assumption is based on the fact that, compared to other international tourist destinations, Rome is high on the list as far as the number of international visitors is concerned, yet it is not the city at the top of the list. Design/Methodology/Approach – The methodology used is that of case study research (Yin, 2003). The results will be evaluated by applying the Weaver model (2000, 2011). According to Weaver, the competitiveness of a tourist destination depends on the level of sustainability of tourism development. Originality/Value – Sustainability implies that tourist destinations are governed and managed in such a way as to satisfy the expectations of the visitor in accordance with the socio-economic and natural environment in which such destinations operate. Thus the management of the sustainability of the destination is an essential ingredient in the development of the entire surrounding area. As a tourist destination, the city has made great efforts to diversify its offer to visitors, including new infrastructural, cultural and sport facilities in order to enhance its attraction as a tourist site, and as a result, to encourage new businesses and provide employment. Practical Implications – The relationship between sustainability and competitiveness is based on the belief that businesses that pursue environmental and economic and social performance improvements may benefit from these activities.
目的-本文的目的是研究城市罗马(意大利)作为旅游目的地的可持续性水平。这篇论文的基本假设是基于这样一个事实,即与其他国际旅游目的地相比,就国际游客数量而言,罗马在名单上名列前茅,但它并不是排名第一的城市。设计/方法/方法-使用的方法是案例研究的方法(Yin, 2003)。结果将通过应用韦弗模型(2000,2011)进行评估。韦弗认为,旅游目的地的竞争力取决于旅游发展的可持续性水平。原创性/价值-可持续性意味着旅游目的地的治理和管理方式符合旅游目的地的社会经济和自然环境,以满足游客的期望。因此,目的地的可持续性管理是整个周边地区发展的重要组成部分。作为一个旅游目的地,这座城市已经做出了巨大的努力,为游客提供多样化的服务,包括新的基础设施、文化和体育设施,以提高其作为一个旅游景点的吸引力,从而鼓励新的企业和提供就业机会。实际意义-可持续发展与竞争力之间的关系是基于这样一种信念,即追求环境、经济和社会绩效改善的企业可能会从这些活动中受益。
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引用次数: 18
Legal Signal Processing 合法信号处理
Pub Date : 2015-06-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2614273
J. Chen
It makes far more economic sense to prepare for disaster in advance than it does to stage heroic relief efforts after calamity strikes. For reasons rooted in politics and emotion, the law does exactly the opposite. Ad hoc relief, as expensive as it is spontaneous, dominates disaster law and policy.The President’s unilateral power to declare a federal disaster under the Stafford Act invites political manipulation. To test whether presidential disaster declarations track the four-year presidential electoral cycle, this paper devises a generalized polynomial and multi-sinusoidal model for detecting cyclical patterns. This model draws heavily upon Fourier analysis and digital signal processing.Presidential disaster declarations since 1953 reveal not one but two forms of periodicity. As expected, a “short wave” of four years shows how disaster declarations track the presidential election cycle. The effect is most pronounced not in election years (when declarations do spike), but in years immediately following a presidential election (when declarations dramatically plummet). Even more surprisingly, the record suggests that presidential disaster declarations also follow a “long wave,” whose frequency appears to be 44 years.
提前为灾难做好准备,远比在灾难发生后进行英勇的救援工作更有经济意义。由于根植于政治和情感的原因,法律的做法恰恰相反。临时救助费用高昂,但却是自发的,它主导着灾害法律和政策。根据《斯塔福德法案》,总统单方面宣布联邦灾难的权力会招致政治操纵。为了测试总统灾难声明是否跟踪四年总统选举周期,本文设计了一个广义多项式和多正弦模型来检测周期模式。该模型在很大程度上依赖于傅里叶分析和数字信号处理。自1953年以来,总统的灾难声明显示出不是一种而是两种形式的周期性。不出所料,四年的“短波”表明,灾难声明是如何跟随总统选举周期的。影响最明显的不是在选举年(当声明确实激增时),而是在总统选举之后的几年(当声明急剧下降时)。更令人惊讶的是,记录显示,总统的灾难声明也遵循“长波”,其频率似乎是44年。
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引用次数: 0
Do the Poor Benefit from Corporate Social Responsibility? A Theory-Based Impact Evaluation of Six Community-Based Water Projects in Sri Lanka 穷人从企业社会责任中受益吗?基于理论的斯里兰卡六个社区水项目影响评价
Pub Date : 2015-06-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2614488
Wilhelm Loewenstein, M. Shakya, Marc Hansen, S. Gorkhali
Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) can work as an effective means towards minimising business risk and maintaining amicable relationships with diverse groups of stakeholders. While many studies have examined the impacts of CSR on firm value and customer perceptions, little is known about the effects of a philanthropic engagement of the private sector on external stakeholder groups, such as local communities in developing countries. This paper examines welfare effects of six community-based water supply projects that were supported by a thermal power plant in Sri Lanka as part of the company's CSR strategy. The implications of these CSR activities are analysed from the perspective of the project beneficiaries, the majority of them poor smallholder farmers. Household production and labour income functions are estimated from survey data to analyse two pathways through which the water projects affect the beneficiaries' lives. First, the households get individual access to water that allows for the irrigation of home gardens, increases land productivity and changes households' farm output and income (irrigation channel). Second, the projects have an indirect effect on households' income via a time channel, i.e. the effect that due to the individual water access the households save time as there is no need any more to fetch water from far away water bodies or wells. This allows for a reallocation of labour time for other productive income-generating activities. Despite the considerable costs that households have to bear for an individual water connection, the study finds a systematic, positive net income effect of the projects on the beneficiaries via both the irrigation and the time channel. Qualitative evidence supports these findings and also reveals additional positive, non-monetarised project impacts. As the water projects would not have been realised without the subsidiary financial support of the power plant, it is concluded that the company's CSR engagement is increasing the welfare of the beneficiary communities.
企业社会责任(CSR)可以作为一种有效的手段,将商业风险降到最低,并与不同的利益相关者群体保持友好的关系。虽然许多研究都考察了企业社会责任对企业价值和客户认知的影响,但人们对私营部门的慈善参与对外部利益相关者群体(如发展中国家的当地社区)的影响知之甚少。本文考察了斯里兰卡一家火力发电厂支持的六个社区供水项目的福利效应,作为该公司企业社会责任战略的一部分。这些企业社会责任活动的影响从项目受益人的角度进行了分析,其中大多数是贫穷的小农。根据调查数据估计家庭生产和劳动收入函数,以分析水项目影响受益者生活的两条途径。首先,家庭可以获得灌溉家庭花园所需的水,提高土地生产力,并改变家庭的农业产出和收入(灌溉渠道)。其次,这些项目通过时间渠道对家庭收入产生间接影响,即由于个人取水,家庭节省了时间,因为不再需要从远处的水体或井中取水。这样就可以将劳动时间重新分配给其他生产性创收活动。尽管家庭必须为单独的供水承担相当大的成本,但研究发现,通过灌溉和时间渠道,这些项目对受益者产生了系统的、积极的净收入效应。定性证据支持这些发现,也揭示了其他积极的、非货币化的项目影响。由于没有电厂的辅助资金支持,水务项目是不可能实现的,因此得出的结论是,公司的企业社会责任参与正在增加受益社区的福利。
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引用次数: 1
Data Revisions and the Statistical Relation of Global Mean Sea-Level and Temperature 资料订正与全球平均海平面与温度的统计关系
Pub Date : 2015-05-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2612924
Eric Hillebrand, S. Johansen, T. Schmith
We study the stability of the estimated statistical relation of global mean temperature and global mean sea-level with regard to data revisions. Using three different model speci?cations proposed in the literature, we compare coefficient estimates and forecasts using two different vintages of the annual time series. We ?find that two out of the three models, proposed in [1] and in [2], are very sensitive to the revisions. The magnitude of the estimated coefficient of infl?uence as well as the implied long-term forecasts change drastically between the two data vintages considered. The model proposed in [3], on the other hand, reacts robustly to the revisions.
我们研究了全球平均温度和全球平均海平面的估计统计关系在数据订正方面的稳定性。使用三种不同的型号规格?根据文献中提出的建议,我们比较了使用年度时间序列的两个不同年份的系数估计和预测。我们发现[1]和[2]中提出的三个模型中的两个对修订非常敏感。估计的注入系数的大小?在考虑的两个数据年份之间,差异以及隐含的长期预测会发生巨大变化。另一方面,b[3]中提出的模型对修订反应稳健。
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引用次数: 11
Reconceptualizing the Future of Environmental Law: The Role of Private Climate Governance 重新定义环境法的未来:私人气候治理的作用
Pub Date : 2015-05-11 DOI: 10.58948/0738-6206.1764
M. Vandenbergh
The environmental issues, policy plasticity, and regulatory instruments that shaped the early decades of environmental law are no longer dominant. Climate change has the potential to dwarf the issues that sparked the environmental movement, the worldviews and coalitions that enabled enactment of more than a dozen major environmental statutes are long gone, and the standard tools of the trade – government regulation, cap-and-trade systems, and taxes – are often not politically viable. Although the ground has shifted under environmental law, new approaches to environmental governance have emerged that can bypass barriers to government action on climate change and other important environmental problems. Recent executive branch regulations will reduce carbon emissions, as will efforts by state and local governments. The international process also may yield additional reductions. But these public governance measures will fall far short of the reductions necessary to reduce the risk of serious climate disruption. The remarkable growth of private climate governance in the last decade demonstrates how private initiatives that target households, corporations, and other organizations can complement public measures and generate major reductions at low cost and without government action. The actors driving these emissions reductions are private institutions rather than government, and the actions are private initiatives, not statutes, regulations or international agreements. These private initiatives do not rely simply on support for climate mitigation, which is often thin, but also harness efficiency incentives that are unexploited because of widespread market and behavioral failures. Private governance is not a substitute for government action, but it can reduce climate risks, complements government response, and provide a window into the future of environmental law.
环境问题、政策可塑性和监管工具塑造了环境法的最初几十年,但它们不再占主导地位。气候变化有可能使引发环境运动的问题相形见绌,使十几项主要环境法规得以制定的世界观和联盟早已不复存在,而贸易的标准工具——政府监管、总量管制与交易体系和税收——往往在政治上不可行。尽管根据环境法,环境治理的基础已经发生了变化,但新的环境治理方法已经出现,可以绕过政府在气候变化和其他重要环境问题上采取行动的障碍。最近的行政部门法规将减少碳排放,州和地方政府也将努力减少碳排放。国际进程也可能产生进一步的削减。但是,这些公共治理措施远远达不到减少严重气候破坏风险所必需的减排目标。在过去十年中,私人气候治理的显著增长表明,针对家庭、企业和其他组织的私人倡议如何能够补充公共措施,并在没有政府行动的情况下以低成本产生重大减排。推动这些减排的是私人机构而不是政府,这些行动是私人倡议,而不是法规、法规或国际协议。这些私人倡议不仅依赖于对减缓气候变化的支持,而且还利用效率激励措施,这些激励措施由于普遍的市场和行为失灵而未得到利用。私人治理不是政府行动的替代品,但它可以减少气候风险,补充政府的应对措施,并为环境法的未来提供一个窗口。
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引用次数: 0
Implications of the 2030 EU Resource Efficiency Target on Sustainable Development 2030年欧盟资源效率目标对可持续发展的影响
Pub Date : 2015-04-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2600838
L. Campagnolo, F. Eboli
The paper explores the implications of achieving the EU27 Resource Efficiency target by 2030 for the future sustainability of the area. The target involves increasing by well over 30% within 2030 EU27 Resource Productivity, which would correspond to nearly double the annual growth rate of the pre-crisis period. The analysis uses a model-based index (FEEM Sustainability Index, FEEM SI) conceived to assess sustainability across time and countries. FEEM SI builds on the recursive-dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model ICES-SI, which considers jointly variables belonging to the three sustainability dimensions (economy, society, and environment). The indicators produced in this framework are first normalized and then aggregated by using some elicited weights and a non-linear methodology. The 30% increase of EU27 Resource Efficiency by 2030 is achieved by applying an ad-valorem tax to the use of mining resources, and offsets the negative effects on the economy (slightly lower GDP and Investment rate) with considerable benefits for the environment. This implies a 1.02% increase in overall EU sustainability with respect to the reference “no policy” scenario.
本文探讨了到2030年实现欧盟27国资源效率目标对该地区未来可持续性的影响。该目标涉及到2030年欧盟27国资源生产率提高30%以上,相当于危机前年增长率的近两倍。该分析使用基于模型的指数(FEEM可持续性指数,FEEM SI)来评估不同时间和国家的可持续性。FEEM SI建立在递归动态可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型ICES-SI的基础上,该模型考虑了属于三个可持续性维度(经济、社会和环境)的共同变量。在这个框架中产生的指标首先被归一化,然后通过使用一些引出的权重和非线性方法进行汇总。到2030年,欧盟27国的资源效率提高了30%,这是通过对采矿资源的使用征收从价税来实现的,并抵消了对经济的负面影响(GDP和投资率略低),对环境有相当大的好处。这意味着相对于参考“无政策”情景,欧盟整体可持续性增加1.02%。
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引用次数: 2
Managing Gold: Examining India's Gold Rush, Its Causes and Concerns with Suggestions for a Sustainable Gold Policy 管理黄金:审视印度的淘金热、成因及对可持续黄金政策的建议
Pub Date : 2015-03-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2578987
Francis Kuriakose, Deepa Kylasam Iyer
The paper examines the evolving role of gold in the light of the current gold rush in India despite the worsening financial crisis across the globe and aggressive inflationary conditions. Economically, gold is a lucrative investment that consistently provides high rate of returns, a hedge against inflation in the long term, a store of wealth, a medium of exchange and a standard of currency that makes it an endearing entity. For Indians, there are cultural and religious implications that lead both the rich and the poor alike to the altar of gold. That is why India remains the largest importer and consumer of gold. The paper calls into question this assumption of gold as a ‘safe asset’ in the light of past experience with the backing of economic theory. It proceeds to analyse the present international gold prices, whether it is a sign of a gold bubble and the financial ramifications it has on the Indian economy. The core argument of the paper is that large imports of gold into the economy has negative consequences for house hold savings, external stability, current account deficit and foreign exchange reserves. Besides, there is the ethical argument of holding idle gold in a country where it can be put to better use for developmental purpose. The paper argues that there is a need for integrating gold into the financial and monetary system to augment the productive capacity of the economy. An alternative approach involving demand reduction, supply management and monetisation of gold in a benign inflationary environment is the foundation of a sustainable gold policy.
尽管全球金融危机不断恶化,通货膨胀加剧,但鉴于印度目前的淘金热,本文探讨了黄金的演变作用。从经济上讲,黄金是一种利润丰厚的投资,可以持续提供高回报率,可以长期对冲通货膨胀,是一种财富储存手段,一种交换媒介和一种货币标准,使其成为一种受人喜爱的实体。对印度人来说,无论是富人还是穷人,都有文化和宗教的影响,导致他们走向金坛。这就是为什么印度仍然是最大的黄金进口国和消费国。根据经济理论支持下的过去经验,这篇论文对黄金作为“安全资产”的假设提出了质疑。接着分析了目前的国际黄金价格,这是否是黄金泡沫的迹象,以及它对印度经济的金融影响。本文的核心论点是,大量进口黄金会对家庭储蓄、外部稳定、经常账户赤字和外汇储备产生负面影响。此外,在一个国家持有闲置的黄金,可以更好地用于发展目的,这是一个道德上的争论。本文认为,有必要将黄金纳入金融和货币体系,以增加经济的生产能力。另一种方法是在良性通胀环境下减少需求、管理供应和实现黄金货币化,这是可持续黄金政策的基础。
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引用次数: 1
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