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Toward a Sustainable Future: Assessing the Impact of Extractive Industries on Sustainable Development in Africa 迈向可持续的未来:评估采掘业对非洲可持续发展的影响
Pub Date : 2016-10-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3054734
D. Kiogora
Mining in Africa has contributed to significant economic growth in some countries. Indeed, these sectors have held the promise of raising incomes and living standards for citizens of resource-rich countries the world over. Numerous African countries today increasingly finance their development through resource extraction. For a continent endowed with a seemingly endless bounty of resources, the allure of rapid economic growth and development funded solely by proceeds from resource extraction have led many African governments to ignore the pitfalls of these industries and become resource-dependent nations. Consequently, the lack of effective strategies, legal frameworks and policies to negotiate, regulate and enforce extraction contracts in transparent and accountable ways have left many African countries unable to take full advantage of their natural wealth. Moreover, the failure of some to insist upon environmentally and socially sustainable resource extraction has spawned a host of associated problems: environmental degradation, volatile economic growth, limited job creation, violent conflicts, endemic poverty, health problems and corruption. These adverse outcomes, however, are not inevitable. Indeed, some African countries have managed to beat the resource curse, using the proceeds from extractive industries to diversify their economies and invest in their human, social, physical and financial capital. This paper thus seeks to assess the successes and failures of African governments to utilize their resources sustainably. It draws upon the experiences of Nigeria, Algeria, the Democratic Republic of Congo and South Africa to document the strides Africa has made toward sustainable development. Using the United Nation’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as a backdrop, the paper further seeks to assess the challenges many African governments still face and the effective strategies and legal frameworks that may be adopted with regard to the exploitation and extraction of Africa’s mineral resources.
非洲的采矿对一些国家的重大经济增长作出了贡献。事实上,这些行业有望提高全球资源丰富国家公民的收入和生活水平。今天,许多非洲国家越来越多地通过资源开采为其发展提供资金。对于一个拥有看似无穷无尽的丰富资源的大陆来说,经济快速增长和发展的吸引力完全来自资源开采的收益,这使得许多非洲政府忽视了这些行业的陷阱,成为资源依赖型国家。因此,由于缺乏以透明和负责任的方式谈判、管理和执行开采合同的有效战略、法律框架和政策,许多非洲国家无法充分利用其自然财富。此外,一些国家未能坚持环境和社会可持续的资源开采,产生了许多相关的问题:环境退化、经济增长不稳定、创造就业机会有限、暴力冲突、普遍贫穷、保健问题和腐败。然而,这些不利结果并非不可避免。的确,一些非洲国家已经设法摆脱了资源的诅咒,利用采掘业的收益使其经济多样化,并投资于其人力、社会、物质和金融资本。因此,本文试图评估非洲各国政府在可持续利用其资源方面的成功和失败。它借鉴了尼日利亚、阿尔及利亚、刚果民主共和国和南非的经验,记录了非洲在可持续发展方面取得的进展。以联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)为背景,本文进一步寻求评估许多非洲政府仍然面临的挑战,以及在开发和开采非洲矿产资源方面可能采用的有效战略和法律框架。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Change and Our Future: Anticipating Trends and Challenges Using Media Data 气候变化与我们的未来:利用媒体数据预测趋势和挑战
Pub Date : 2016-09-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2845888
Nadezhda Mikova
This paper proposes a multidisciplinary approach to understanding the future perspectives of climate change. First, it analyzes the possibilities of using the media as an information source for anticipating trends and challenges in this area through exploring the topics that have been actively discussed in the news in the recent 5 years. Second, qualitative and quantitative approaches are combined in this study in order to identify trends of different categories: social, technological, economic, environmental, political and values/culture. It allows integrating the results of trends monitoring obtained from qualitative and quantitative sources and create a complex map of trends. Qualitative approach is based on the literature review and consultations with the experts, while quantitative analysis includes collecting the news from Factiva database and processing it in Vantage Point software using bibliometric analysis, natural language processing, statistical analysis and principal component analysis. The results shown that 58% of trends were validated by the news and its contribution to the final trends list accounts for 25% on average, which means that the media can be considered as a useful additional data source for validating and updating trends. The results of this multidisciplinary study can be of interest to researchers, economists, business representatives and policy makers that are involved in the climate change related activities
本文提出了一种多学科方法来理解气候变化的未来前景。首先,通过对近5年来新闻中积极讨论的话题的探讨,分析了利用媒体作为预测该领域趋势和挑战的信息来源的可能性。其次,本研究结合了定性和定量方法,以确定不同类别的趋势:社会、技术、经济、环境、政治和价值观/文化。它允许整合从定性和定量来源获得的趋势监测结果,并创建一个复杂的趋势图。定性分析是基于文献综述和专家咨询,定量分析包括从Factiva数据库中收集新闻,并在Vantage Point软件中使用文献计量分析、自然语言处理、统计分析和主成分分析进行处理。结果显示,58%的趋势得到了新闻的验证,其对最终趋势列表的贡献平均占25%,这意味着媒体可以被视为验证和更新趋势的有用的额外数据源。这项多学科研究的结果对参与气候变化相关活动的研究人员、经济学家、商业代表和政策制定者很有意义
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引用次数: 0
Institutional Policy and Its Role in Sustainable Resource Management and Development: A Critical Analysis of the ‘NGT’ Ban on ‘Rat-Hole’ Mining in Meghalaya, India 制度政策及其在可持续资源管理和发展中的作用:对印度梅加拉亚邦“鼠洞”采矿“NGT”禁令的批判性分析
Pub Date : 2016-08-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2819025
Dr. Krishna Chauhan, Iasuklang Kharumnuid
Mining at the backdrop of traditional institutional regime with its rooted socio-economic and political disposition draws a unique attention in Meghalaya. The ‘Rat-hole’ mining in Meghalaya is unique to its institutional framework where the policy of resource management (coal in this context) is characterised by the common resource sharing and social participation. But overtime the common resources were managed by the few which distorted the property right subject and its natural social claim. This also raised the issue of sustainable use of the so called common property resource and resultant environmental concern. The imposition of ‘NGT’ ban since April 2014 which environmental watchdog view as a milestone, and the unusual dynamics of social acceptance of such institutional policy for both present and future resource use, including the environmental concern, is raising a serious debate in Meghalaya. Therefore, the institutional policy debate of privately managed common property resource and ‘NGT’ ban with its consequent socio-economic and political issues need to be analyzed, which is expected to have serious implications both at present and future.The present study is an attempt to throw some light on institutional policy regime practiced in common property resource management in Meghalaya and the impact of ‘NGT’ ban on various socio-economic and political parameters arising out of its institutional arrangements.
在传统制度制度的背景下,采矿及其根深蒂固的社会经济和政治倾向在梅加拉亚邦引起了独特的关注。梅加拉亚邦的“鼠洞”采矿在其制度框架中是独一无二的,其资源管理政策(在这种情况下是煤炭)的特点是共同资源共享和社会参与。但长期以来,公共资源被少数人支配,扭曲了产权主体及其自然的社会要求。这也提出了可持续利用所谓共同财产资源的问题以及由此产生的环境问题。自2014年4月以来,环境监督机构将“NGT”禁令的实施视为一个里程碑,而社会对这种目前和未来资源利用(包括环境问题)的制度性政策的接受程度不同寻常,这在梅加拉亚邦引发了一场严肃的辩论。因此,需要对私人管理的共同财产资源和“NGT”禁令的制度政策辩论及其随之而来的社会经济和政治问题进行分析,预计这将在当前和未来产生严重影响。本研究试图阐明梅加拉亚邦共同财产资源管理中实行的制度政策制度,以及“NGT”禁令对其制度安排产生的各种社会经济和政治参数的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Augmenting Forest Sustainability Certificates with Fiscal Instruments 利用财政手段扩大森林可持续性证书
Pub Date : 2016-08-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2617815
D. Heine, M. Faure, Chih-Ching Lan
Many developed countries have the declared objective of supporting forest sustainability around the globe, but the world’s most important forests are, in fact, outside their jurisdictions. Actions to protect these forests are therefore constrained by the legal problem of extraterritoriality. To legally act outside their borders, developed countries have supported voluntary certificates on production practices and price-based instruments, but, unfortunately, neither instrument reached beyond niche market shares, administration and compliance costs were high, the environmental gains variable, and the two types of instruments work alongside each other without much synergies.In this paper, we use a Law and Economics methodology to develop a mechanism design that integrates forestry certificates with price-based instruments, in a way that exploits synergies, and provides dynamic incentives for sustainable use of forests while keeping down the costs of compliance and administration. It is a mechanism that satisfies legal extraterritoriality constraints while nevertheless allowing countries to act outside their borders. The mechanism consists of a tax imposed by a timber-importing country on a default assumption regarding the sustainability of the timber, combined with a tax discount that is provided on proof that the sustainability was higher than assumed. The proof is established by showing a sustainability certificate to the customs authority when the timber is imported.This Feebate mechanism reduces a range of standard problems in the literatures on certification and taxation of overseas forestry, such as the problems of threshold costs, free-riding and consumer recognition in markets with competing sustainability certificates, and the problem to compute efficient Pigouvian tax rates in a sector marked by data unavailability. We show that a combination of price-based instruments with certificates can lead to greater sustainability of timber production than each of the instruments alone, without infringing the sovereignty of nations in the South in an extraterritorial manner.
许多发达国家都宣称要支持全球森林的可持续性,但事实上,世界上最重要的森林不在它们的管辖范围之内。因此,保护这些森林的行动受到治外法权的法律问题的限制。为了在境外合法行动,发达国家支持生产实践自愿证书和基于价格的工具,但不幸的是,这两种工具都没有超出利基市场份额,管理和合规成本高,环境收益不稳定,两种工具相互配合,没有多少协同作用。在本文中,我们使用法律和经济学方法开发了一种机制设计,将林业证书与基于价格的工具结合起来,以一种利用协同效应的方式,为森林的可持续利用提供动态激励,同时降低合规和管理成本。这是一种满足法律治外法权限制的机制,同时又允许各国在其边界之外采取行动。该机制包括木材进口国对木材可持续性的默认假设所征收的税收,以及对可持续性高于假设的证据所提供的税收折扣。这种证明是通过在木材进口时向海关当局出示可持续性证书来建立的。该Feebate机制减少了海外林业认证和税收文献中的一系列标准问题,例如门槛成本问题、搭便车问题和具有竞争可持续性证书的市场中的消费者认可度问题,以及在数据不可获得的部门中计算有效庇古税率的问题。我们表明,以价格为基础的工具与证书相结合,比单独使用每一种工具更能导致木材生产的可持续性,而不会以治外法权的方式侵犯南方国家的主权。
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引用次数: 4
The Future Prospects of Energy Technologies: Insights from Expert Elicitations 能源技术的未来前景:来自专家的见解
Pub Date : 2016-07-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2815367
Elena Verdolini, Laura Diaz Anadon, E. Baker, V. Bosetti, L. Reis
Expert elicitation is a process for eliciting subjective probability distributions from experts about items of interest to decision makers. These methods have been increasingly applied in the energy domain to collect information on the future cost and performance of specific energy technologies and the associated uncertainty. This article reviews the existing expert elicitations on energy technologies with three main objectives: (1) to provide insights on expert elicitation methods and how they compare/complement other approaches to inform public energy decision making; (2) to review all recent elicitation exercises about future technology costs; and (3) to discuss the main results from these expert elicitations, in terms of implied rates of cost reduction and the role of R&D investments in shaping these reductions, and compare it with insights from backward looking approaches. We argue that the emergence of data on future energy costs through expert elicitations provides the opportunity for more transparent and robust analyses incorporating technical uncertainty to assess energy and climate change mitigation policies.
专家启发是一个从专家那里获得决策者感兴趣的项目的主观概率分布的过程。这些方法已越来越多地应用于能源领域,以收集有关特定能源技术的未来成本和性能以及相关不确定性的信息。本文回顾了现有的能源技术专家启发方法,主要有三个目标:(1)提供专家启发方法的见解,以及它们如何比较/补充其他方法,为公共能源决策提供信息;(2)审查最近所有关于未来技术成本的启发活动;(3)从隐含的成本降低率和研发投资在形成这些降低方面的作用方面讨论这些专家得出的主要结果,并将其与回溯方法的见解进行比较。我们认为,通过专家引证获得的关于未来能源成本的数据,为将技术不确定性纳入评估能源和减缓气候变化政策的更透明和更有力的分析提供了机会。
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引用次数: 4
Uncertainty, Extreme Outcomes and Climate Change: A Critique 不确定性、极端结果和气候变化:批判
Pub Date : 2016-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2801039
M. Arvaniti
Building upon the work of Pindyck (2012), I show how different assumptions regarding the utility and damage functions can support the immediate adoption of a stringent abatement policy. I employ an additive rather than a multiplicative form for the utility function and a damage function that accounts for extreme climate change. Using the distribution for temperature change and the economic impact provided by Pindyck (2012), based on information from the IPCC (2007) and recent IAMs, I estimate a simple measure of "willingness to pay". My specifications lead to significantly higher estimations for the WTP than in Pindyck and in some extreme cases to a value close to 1. Although one could not strongly argue which is the right specification for the model, the analysis suggests that seemingly small differences in modelling can have very different policy implications.
在Pindyck(2012)的工作基础上,我展示了关于效用和损害函数的不同假设如何支持立即采用严格的减排政策。对于效用函数和解释极端气候变化的损害函数,我采用了加法形式而不是乘法形式。利用Pindyck(2012)提供的温度变化和经济影响的分布,基于IPCC(2007)和最近的IAMs的信息,我估计了一个简单的“支付意愿”度量。我的规范导致WTP的估计明显高于Pindyck,在某些极端情况下接近1。尽管人们不能强烈地争论哪种是模型的正确规范,但分析表明,模型上看似微小的差异可能会产生非常不同的政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
Trends of Seeds in the Era of Climate Change – An Issue of Concern towards Sustainability 气候变化时代的种子趋势——一个关注可持续发展的问题
Pub Date : 2016-06-20 DOI: 10.17485/IJST/2016/V9I21/95094
Y. Patil, Sneha Kumari
Background/Objectives: India is an agro-based country where seed is the heartof agriculture. Agood quality seed makes a good crop resulting in high yield and better quality for better economic growth. The objective of the study is to explore the seed trends and critically assess the trends with the changing climatic conditions of Indian agriculture. Methods/Statistical Analysis: The paper has undergone an exhaustive literature to find out the changing policies of agriculture seeds.The paper clearly shows that Seed can make agriculture sustainable. With time National Seeds Corporation have come up with several policies which has made promotion of agriculture convenient. The paper is based on secondary data obtained from ministry of agriculture and national seeds corporation. The study shows the trends in seed development since 1740 till 2014. Findings: The paper undergoes to concern issues of several research papers for making seeds sustainable in the era of climate change. The paper shows how the seeds policies have tried to adopt the seeds to climate change. Since 1740 till 2014 India's climate has shown a drastic change. The paper shows how the seeds policies have tried to adopt the seeds to climate change.These seeds policies have not only tried to improve the productivity of plants but also have tried to move the seeds towards the path of being sustainable. Applications/Improvements: This has been an issue of concern in modern era in terms of economic, environmental and social perspective leading to sustainability.
背景/目标:印度是一个以农业为基础的国家,种子是农业的核心。种子质量好,作物产量高,品质好,经济增长好。该研究的目的是探索种子趋势,并批判性地评估印度农业气候条件变化的趋势。方法/统计分析:对农业种子政策的变化进行了详尽的文献分析。这篇论文清楚地表明,种子可以使农业可持续发展。随着时间的推移,国家种子公司提出了几项政策,为农业推广提供了便利。本文以农业部和国家种子公司的二手资料为基础。该研究显示了自1740年至2014年种子发育的趋势。结果:本文对气候变化时代种子可持续发展的若干研究课题进行了探讨。这篇论文展示了种子政策是如何试图为气候变化提供种子的。从1740年到2014年,印度的气候发生了巨大的变化。这篇论文展示了种子政策是如何试图为气候变化提供种子的。这些种子政策不仅试图提高植物的生产力,而且还试图将种子推向可持续发展的道路。应用/改进:从经济、环境和社会角度来看,这一直是现代社会关注的一个问题,从而实现可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of the Global Banking Crisis on Credit Markets in Chile 全球银行危机对智利信贷市场的影响
Pub Date : 2016-06-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3520223
C. Plambeck, Jillian Zirnhelt
The Chilean economy presents an excellent case study through which to examine questions of the policy desirability of globally integrated financial markets. In this paper we study whether increased lending by the Chilean government bank created positive economic effects for Chilean firms after the global financial crisis of 2008. We also study whether foreign exposures of Chilean bank liabilities altered the lending patterns of those banks during this period. We find positive sales effects for Chilean firms who took a government loan in the immediate aftermath of the financial crisis. We also find that international financial integration does not result in negative domestic consequences transmitted through the channel of foreign exposure after an external liquidity crisis. A striking feature of our paper is the fact that, knowing there is only one government bank in Chile from which to borrow, we are able to link bank lending data directly with the firm survey data. We can thus with confidence recommend using foreign financial markets as a tool for growth for developing countries, particularly when combined with prudent counter-cyclical government lending policies.
智利经济提供了一个极好的案例研究,通过它可以研究全球一体化金融市场的政策可取性问题。本文研究了2008年全球金融危机后,智利政府银行增加贷款是否对智利企业产生了积极的经济效应。我们还研究了智利银行负债的外国敞口是否改变了这些银行在此期间的贷款模式。我们发现,在金融危机后立即接受政府贷款的智利公司的销售效果是积极的。我们还发现,在外部流动性危机发生后,国际金融一体化不会通过对外风险敞口的渠道导致负面的国内后果。我们论文的一个显著特点是,我们知道智利只有一家政府银行可以贷款,因此我们能够将银行贷款数据与公司调查数据直接联系起来。因此,我们可以满怀信心地建议,利用外国金融市场作为促进发展中国家增长的工具,特别是在与审慎的反周期政府贷款政策相结合的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
The Review of the Literature on Factors Impacting Sustainable African Entrepreneurship 非洲可持续创业影响因素的文献综述
Pub Date : 2016-06-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2790566
Professor Alain Ndedi
The process of entrepreneurship is often categorized as opportunity or necessity driven. While the former represents a profitable opportunity as perceived by a potential entrepreneur, the latter in the contrary is associated with entrepreneurship as a last resort, because of any impossibility of finding other sources of income. The distinction between opportunity and necessity based entrepreneurs could also be interpreted as the separation between self-employed and high, growth entrepreneurship. For the past five or four decades, many researchers have attempted to come out with factors that have an impact on entrepreneurship development. However, few researches have been conducted with the focus on Africa. The current paper aims at filling the gap in this regard by providing factors that have an impact on entrepreneurship development from an African perspective. A thorough literature review is conducted with the objective of bringing out the recent research on entrepreneurship development with the focus on Africa.
创业的过程通常被归类为机遇驱动或需求驱动。前者是潜在企业家所认为的有利可图的机会,而后者则相反,由于不可能找到其他收入来源,因此只能将创业作为最后手段。机会型企业家和必要性型企业家之间的区别也可以解释为自雇型企业家和高增长型企业家之间的区别。在过去的五、四十年里,许多研究人员试图找出影响创业发展的因素。然而,很少有针对非洲的研究。本文旨在填补这方面的空白,从非洲的角度提供影响企业精神发展的因素。全面的文献综述进行了,目的是提出了最近的研究创业发展,重点是非洲。
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引用次数: 0
A Better Vision for Development: Eyeglasses and Academic Performance in Rural Primary Schools in China 更好的发展愿景:中国农村小学的眼镜与学习成绩
Pub Date : 2016-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2797542
P. Glewwe, A. Park, Meng Zhao
About 10% of primary school students in developing countries have poor vision, but very few of them wear glasses. Almost no research examines the impact of poor vision on school performance, and simple OLS estimates could be biased because studying harder may adversely affects one's vision. This paper presents results from a randomized trial in Western China that offered free eyeglasses to rural primary school students. Our preferred estimates, which exclude township pairs for which students in the control township were mistakenly provided eyeglasses, indicate that wearing eyeglasses for one academic year increased the average test scores of students with poor vision by 0.16 to 0.22 standard deviations, equivalent to 0.3 to 0.5 additional years of schooling. These estimates are averages across the two counties where the intervention was conducted. We also find that the benefits are greater for under-performing students. A simple cost-benefit analysis suggests very high economic returns to wearing eyeglasses, raising the question of why such investments are not made by most families. We find that girls are more likely to refuse free eyeglasses, and that parental lack of awareness of vision problems, mothers' education, and economic factors (expenditures per capita and price) significantly affect whether children wear eyeglasses in the absence of the intervention.
发展中国家约有10%的小学生视力不佳,但很少有人戴眼镜。几乎没有研究考察视力不佳对学习成绩的影响,简单的OLS估计可能存在偏差,因为更努力地学习可能会对视力产生不利影响。本文介绍了中国西部地区一项为农村小学生免费提供眼镜的随机试验的结果。我们的首选估计(排除了错误地为对照乡镇的学生提供眼镜的乡镇对)表明,佩戴眼镜一学年使视力不佳学生的平均考试成绩提高了0.16至0.22个标准差,相当于增加了0.3至0.5年的学校教育。这些估计值是进行干预的两个县的平均值。我们还发现,表现不佳的学生受益更大。一项简单的成本效益分析表明,戴眼镜的经济回报非常高,这就提出了一个问题:为什么大多数家庭没有进行这种投资?我们发现女孩更有可能拒绝免费眼镜,而父母对视力问题的认识不足、母亲的教育程度和经济因素(人均支出和价格)在没有干预的情况下对儿童是否戴眼镜有显著影响。
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引用次数: 91
期刊
SRPN: Sustainable Development (Topic)
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