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Effect of Priming on Seed Quality of Soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merrill] Varieties at Assosa, Western Ethiopia 灌浆对大豆种子品质的影响埃塞俄比亚西部阿索萨的品种
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-29 DOI: 10.11648/J.SR.20200803.11
Meseret Ejeta
Benishagul state of Ethiopia is a potential place for soybean seed production but, seed quality production is the major problem under this place. So that, the use of seed priming techniques before seed sowing has been the best solution to overcome seed quality problem. Experiment was carried out at Haramaya University seed science laboratory. The objective of the experiment was to determine the effect of priming on seed quality of soybean varieties. The experiment had three varieties (Belessa95, Wello and Gishama), three priming types [GA3 (100PPM), KH2PO4 (50 PP) and water] and three priming durations (0, 6, 12 hours) were evaluated using a randomized complete block design for field experiment. Seed were harvested and seed quality analysis was tested at laboratory by using completely Randomized Design in three replications. The result of the study showed that highly significant (P≤0.01) difference between interaction of varieties by, priming type and soaking durations for Seedling dry weight, seedling vigor index-2, speed of germination, Electrical conductivity and field emergence index and significant (P≤0.05) difference for seedling vigor index-1 were observed. Varieties by priming type interaction showed highly significant (P≤0.01) difference for seedling dry weight, seedling vigor index-2, speed of germination, electrical conductivity and field emergence index. The highest shoot length were observed for Belessa95 varieties primed with GA3 (16.31cm) and the highest root length were observed for Belessa95 varieties (6.98cm) and seed primed with water (7.22cm). The highest seedling dry weight was recorded when Belessa95 variety primed with water for 12hr (250 gm). The highest seedling vigor index1 was recorded when Gishema variety primed with KH2PO4 for 6hr (2202.20), the highest seedling vigor index2 was recorded when Belessa95 variety primed with water for 12hr (23673) and the highest Speed of Germination was recorded when Wello variety primed with water for 6hr (42.89). Colletotrichum dematium, Aspergillus flavus, Aspergillus niger, Fusarium oxysporum, Penicillium spp, Alternaria spp, Tricodormal spp, Rhizoctonia solani, Pythium spp, Cladosporium spp, Curvularia lunata, Rhizoctonia bataticola, Rhizopus spp, Macrophomina spp, yeast, Chaetomium spp, Sphacelomia glycines and Xanthomonas campestri were disease identified from seed sample. Soybean varieties primed with water and GA3 priming medias exhibited the better results in improving seed quality followed by KH2PO4. Hence, Water priming was recommended to user to overcome the problems of poor crop emergence and establishments under adverse environmental condition.
埃塞俄比亚Benishagul州是大豆种子生产的潜在地点,但种子质量生产是该地区的主要问题。因此,播种前灌种技术是解决种子质量问题的最佳方法。实验在原屋大学种子科学实验室进行。本试验的目的是确定灌浆对大豆品种种子品质的影响。试验采用随机完全区组设计,对3个品种(Belessa95、Wello和Gishama)、3种引物类型(GA3 (100PPM)、KH2PO4 (50 PP)和水)和3种引物时间(0、6、12 h)进行田间试验评价。采用完全随机设计,分3个重复收获种子,在实验室进行种子品质分析。结果表明:不同品种间互作方式、浸渍时间对幼苗干重、幼苗活力指数-2、发芽速度、电导率和出苗指数的影响极显著(P≤0.01),对幼苗活力指数-1的影响极显著(P≤0.05)。各品种在幼苗干重、幼苗活力指数-2、发芽速度、电导率和田间出苗指数方面均表现出极显著(P≤0.01)的差异。GA3处理的Belessa95品种的茎长最高(16.31cm),根长最高(6.98cm),水处理的Belessa95品种的种子最长(7.22cm)。Belessa95品种在水处理12h (250 gm)时,幼苗干重最高。KH2PO4处理6hr(2202.20)时幼苗活力指数最高,Belessa95水处理12hr(23673)时幼苗活力指数最高,Wello水处理6hr(42.89)时萌发速度最高。从种子样品中鉴定出炭疽菌、黄曲霉、黑曲霉、尖孢镰刀菌、青霉菌、褐霉、Tricodormal、solani根丝胞菌、Pythium根丝胞菌、Cladosporium月曲菌、bataticola根丝胞菌、Rhizopus spp、Macrophomina spp、yeast、Chaetomium spp、Sphacelomia glycomyia campestri。水和GA3处理对大豆种子品质的改善效果最好,其次是KH2PO4处理。因此,建议用户灌水,以克服作物出苗率低和环境条件不利的问题。
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引用次数: 1
Maternal Satisfaction and Associated Factors Among Pregnant Women Attended at Antenatal Care Service in Bedessa Health Center, Wolaita Zone, Ethiopia, 2018 2018年埃塞俄比亚沃莱塔区贝德萨保健中心产前保健服务孕产妇满意度及相关因素调查
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-29 DOI: 10.11648/J.SR.20200802.12
Kelemu Abebe Gelaw, N. Gebeyehu
Background: Client satisfaction is indispensable for further advancement of the quality of focused antenatal care service and women's satisfaction has been directly linked to the quality of services given. This is essential to meet specific client needs and to provide uniform health care services for pregnant women. Objective:-To assess maternal satisfaction and associated factors among pregnant women attending Antenatal care service in Bedessa Health center, Wolaita Zone, Ethiopia, 2018. Methods: Facility-based cross-sectional study using quantitative methods was conducted among 387 pregnant women’s. Subjects were selected using systematic random sampling technique. Data were coded, cleaned and entered by using Epi info version 7.2 and analyzed using SPSS version 20, and Bivariate and multiple logistic regression were carried out to identify factors associated with client satisfaction on antenatal care services and strength of association were declared at significance level of 0.05. Result: More than half of the respondents (64.1%) were satisfied with the service that they received. Those pregnant mothers who were merchants were three times more likely satisfied than housewife’s (AOR=2.649, 95%CI: 1.008, 6.96). Mothers who had first visit ANC were almost three times more likely satisfied than those who had a fourth visit (AOR=2.85, 95%CI: 1.383, 5.90) and mothers who had second visits were two times more likely satisfied than those who had four visits (AOR=2.14, 95%CI: 1.09, 4.21). Conclusions and Recommendation: The level of satisfaction was lower compared to other studies. Client feedback should be recognized as a legitimate method of evaluating health services in the health center as a whole.
背景:客户满意度是进一步提高重点产前保健服务质量的必要条件,妇女的满意度直接关系到所提供服务的质量。这对于满足特定客户的需求和为孕妇提供统一的保健服务至关重要。目的:评估2018年埃塞俄比亚沃莱塔区贝德萨保健中心产前保健服务孕妇的孕产妇满意度及其相关因素。方法:采用定量方法对387例孕妇进行医院横断面调查。采用系统随机抽样方法选择研究对象。使用Epi info version 7.2对数据进行编码、清理和录入,并使用SPSS version 20对数据进行分析,采用双变量和多元逻辑回归确定影响产前保健服务满意度的因素,关联强度以0.05的显著性水平表示。结果:超过一半(64.1%)的受访者对所获得的服务感到满意。商人孕妇满意度是家庭主妇孕妇满意度的3倍(AOR=2.649, 95%CI: 1.008, 6.96)。第一次访问ANC的母亲满意度几乎是第四次访问的母亲的三倍(AOR=2.85, 95%CI: 1.383, 5.90),第二次访问的母亲满意度是四次访问的母亲的两倍(AOR=2.14, 95%CI: 1.09, 4.21)。结论和建议:与其他研究相比,满意度水平较低。应承认客户反馈是评价整个保健中心保健服务的一种合法方法。
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引用次数: 3
Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland 芬兰林业应用土壤湿度的偏差调整季节性预报
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-16 DOI: 10.5194/asr-17-23-2020
Otto Hyvärinen, A. Venäläinen, A. Vajda
Abstract. Seasonal forecasts for forestry have been developed in the Finnish Meteorological Institute in cooperation with Finnish end-users. Such forecasts could help forest companies in preparing for adverse conditions of timber harvesting operations.Bearing capacity for harvesting operations is dependent on soil moisture, and skillful forecasts have potentially large economic value. Using the ECMWF seasonal forecasts,we evaluated the monthly mean soil moisture forecasts for four different start months, with lead times from 0 to 2 months. Forecasts were bias adjusted, and showed skill in the first month for all four months. After the first lead month, winter months fared a bit better than summer months.
摘要芬兰气象研究所同芬兰的最终用户合作,编制了林业的季节预报。这种预报可以帮助森林公司为木材采伐作业的不利条件做好准备。收获作业的承载能力取决于土壤湿度,熟练的预报具有潜在的巨大经济价值。利用ECMWF的季节预报,我们评估了4个不同开始月份的月平均土壤湿度预报,预估时间从0到2个月不等。预测经过了偏差调整,在所有四个月的第一个月都显示出了技巧。在第一个先导月之后,冬季几个月的表现略好于夏季几个月。
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引用次数: 3
Nutritional Potential and Antnutritional Factors of Plectranthus edulis, Cocciniaabyssinica and Dioscoreaabyssinica Tubers: A Review 毛竹块茎、球藻和薯蓣块茎的营养潜力及抗营养因子研究进展
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-14 DOI: 10.11648/j.sr.20200801.12
D. H. Mitiku, Ayana Fikadu Roro
In Ethiopia, root and tuber crops play a significant role for food and nutritional security by filling food shortage that might exist until harvest of major crops. The objective was to review the Plectranthus edulis, Cocciniaabyssinica and Dioscoreaabyssinica tubers which are indigenous crops to Ethiopia with good nutritional value and drought tolerance. Plectranthus edulis, Cocciniaabyssinica and Dioscoreaabyssinica are a good sources of carbohydrate, minerals and fiber. Little is known about the contribution of these crops to food and nutritional security, nutritional value and major limiting factors to their wider utilization in Ethiopia. These crops are generally regarded as poor man’s food and remain neglected compared to other food crops in human diet. The anti-nutritional factors available in these indigenous crops can be reduced by different processing methods like fermentation, boiling and cooking to tolerable level. The generated information will give insights for their development, promotion and wider utilization to support food insecurity crises and calorie gap for the fast growing population in Ethiopia. Generally, the Plectranthus edulis, Cocciniaabyssinica and Dioscoreaabyssinica tubers crop have appreciable nutritional composition of foods, minerals, ant nutritional factors and they are also used to maintain the fractured bone of human being. Thus, the crops should be included in people’s daily diet and solve the food insecurity problems in the country. All the stakeholders should give due enphasis to these indegenous crops and process to different food products.
在埃塞俄比亚,块根和块茎作物填补了主要作物收获前可能存在的粮食短缺,在粮食和营养安全方面发挥了重要作用。目的是对埃塞俄比亚的块茎植物Plectranthus edulis、Cocciniaabyssinica和Dioscoreaabyssinica进行综述,这些块茎植物具有良好的营养价值和耐旱性。毛竹、球藻和薯蓣是碳水化合物、矿物质和纤维的良好来源。人们对这些作物对粮食和营养安全的贡献、营养价值以及在埃塞俄比亚广泛利用这些作物的主要限制因素知之甚少。这些作物通常被认为是穷人的食物,与人类饮食中的其他粮食作物相比,它们仍然被忽视。通过不同的加工方法,如发酵、煮沸和烹饪,可以将这些乡土作物中的抗营养因子降低到可耐受的水平。所产生的信息将为它们的开发、推广和更广泛的利用提供见解,以支持埃塞俄比亚快速增长的人口的粮食不安全危机和卡路里缺口。一般来说,石竹、球藻和薯蓣块茎作物具有可观的食物营养成分、矿物质和蚂蚁营养因子,它们也被用来维持人类骨折的骨骼。因此,应该将农作物纳入人们的日常饮食,解决国家的粮食不安全问题。所有利益相关者都应该对这些本土作物和不同食品的加工给予应有的重视。
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引用次数: 2
High-resolution simulations with COSMO model including TERRA_URB TERRA_URB parameterization for the representation of Urban Heat Islands over South Italy 用COSMO模型进行高分辨率模拟,包括TERRA_URB TERRA_URB参数化,以表示意大利南部的城市热岛
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-09 DOI: 10.5194/asr-17-19-2020
E. Bucchignani, P. Mercogliano
Abstract. In this work, some preliminary numerical simulations withthe COSMO model including TERRA_URB parameterization havebeen performed. In particular, this work concerns simulations over a smalldomain located in southern Italy, in order to test the capabilities of themodel in reproducing the main climate features of Urban Heat Islands overthis area. Model evaluation has been performed in terms of 2 m temperature inan urban area and in a rural one, in order to highlight the behaviour of theparameterization in different contexts. Numerical results encourage furtherinvestigation and development of urban parameterization in veryhigh-resolution configuration of limited area models and specifically ofCOSMO, to improve the representation of the maximum daily values oftemperature and diurnal cycle especially in urban, but also in rural areas.Furthermore a better parameter tuning is still required for this specifictest case.
摘要本文对包括TERRA_URB参数化在内的COSMO模型进行了初步数值模拟。特别地,这项工作涉及对意大利南部一个小区域的模拟,以测试该模型在再现该地区城市热岛主要气候特征方面的能力。在城市地区和农村地区进行了2米温度的模型评估,以突出参数化在不同背景下的行为。数值结果鼓励在非常高分辨率的有限区域模式配置下,特别是cosmo模式下,进一步研究和发展城市参数化,以改进对温度和日循环的最大日值的表示,特别是在城市,但也在农村地区。此外,对于这个特定的测试用例,仍然需要更好的参数调优。
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引用次数: 2
Behind the scenes of an interdisciplinary effort: conception, design and production of a flyer on climate change for the citizens of Hamburg 跨学科努力的幕后:为汉堡市民构思、设计和制作一份关于气候变化的传单
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-08 DOI: 10.5194/asr-17-9-2020
Bettina Steuri, Tanja Blome, Katharina Bülow, Juliane El Zohbi, P. Hoffmann, Juliane Petersen, S. Pfeifer, D. Rechid, D. Jacob
Abstract. The goal of an interdisciplinary team of scientists at the Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS) was to make the findings of the special report IPCC SR1.5 more accessible to the citizens of Hamburg. Therefore, a flyer was created that is understandable to non-climate scientists, visually attractive and generates interest. It contains up-to-date climate information, readily understandable texts and several graphical visualisations. The team has been working intensively on analysing and processing further the consequences of a 1.5  ∘ C global warming for the Hamburg metropolitan region. While the team's natural scientists elaborated the impacts on specific climate indices, other team members focused on the visualisation and communication of the results.
摘要德国气候服务中心(GERICS)的一个跨学科科学家团队的目标是让汉堡市民更容易获得IPCC SR1.5特别报告的发现。因此,我们制作了一份传单,让非气候科学家也能理解,在视觉上很有吸引力,能引起人们的兴趣。它包含最新的气候信息,易于理解的文本和几个图形可视化。该小组一直在加紧分析和进一步处理1.5°C的全球变暖对汉堡大都市区的影响。当团队的自然科学家详细阐述对特定气候指数的影响时,其他团队成员专注于结果的可视化和交流。
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引用次数: 1
Effect of Land use Types on Soil Organic Carbon Stock at Sire Morose Sub Watershed, Hidabu Abote District of North Shoa Zone, Central Highland of Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚中部高原北部Shoa区Hidabu Abote区Sire Morose小流域土地利用类型对土壤有机碳储量的影响
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.11648/J.SR.20200801.11
Dereje Girma, Lemma Wogi, Samuel Feyissa
Information about effects of different land use types on soil organic carbon stock is crucial for best land management practices and combating climate change and enhancing ecological restoration. The study was aimed to estimate the effect of land use types on soil organic carbon stock at sire morose sub watershed Hidbuabote district Ethiopia. Three land use types were selected from the sub watershed (Forest, grazing and cultivated land). Undisturbed core and disturbed composite soil samples were collected randomly from three sites with three replications from each land use type at two varying depths (0-20cm and 20-40cm) and subjected to laboratory soil analysis. Heterogeneity in soil C storage was observed across land use types and along soil depth due to disparity in spatial distribution of soil C densities arising from the influences of variations in land use types and management practices. Accordingly, the total mean values soil organic carbon stocks (SOCS) for forest land was 85.97Mg/ha, which was higher than that of grazing land (83.45Mg/ha) and the lowest being that of cultivated land (49.54Mg/ha). Moreover, the average CO2e sink was 315.51 Mg ha-1, 306.26 Mg ha-1 and 181.81Mg ha-1 in soil of the forest, grazing and cultivated land, respectively. Relatively the result shows potential contribution of forestland use types to enhance soil organic carbon stocks and environmental protection.
关于不同土地利用类型对土壤有机碳储量影响的信息对于最佳土地管理实践、应对气候变化和加强生态恢复至关重要。本研究旨在评估不同土地利用类型对埃塞俄比亚希布阿博特地区西莫罗斯小流域土壤有机碳储量的影响。分流域选择3种土地利用类型(森林、放牧和耕地)。在每个土地利用类型的3个不同深度(0-20cm和20-40cm),随机采集3个重复的原状岩心和扰动复合土样品,进行实验室土壤分析。土壤碳储量在不同土地利用类型和土壤深度上存在异质性,这是由于不同土地利用类型和不同管理方式造成的土壤碳密度空间分布差异。林地土壤有机碳储量均值为85.97Mg/ha,高于放牧(83.45Mg/ha),最低的是耕地(49.54Mg/ha)。森林、放牧和耕地土壤CO2e平均汇量分别为315.51 Mg ha-1、306.26 Mg ha-1和181.81Mg ha-1。结果表明,不同林地利用方式对提高土壤有机碳储量和保护环境具有潜在贡献。
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引用次数: 4
Moisture sources and synoptic conditions of summer precipitation in the glacial zone of the East Sayan Range 东萨颜山冰带夏季降水的水汽来源及天气条件
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-24 DOI: 10.5194/asr-17-1-2020
E. Osipov, O. Osipova
Abstract. Precipitation in high-mountain regions is characterized by a strong heterogeneity due to complex interaction between atmospheric circulation and steep topography, however, extremely rare network of high elevation stations hampers the adequate high resolution regional climate modeling. In this study we present new data of precipitation directly measured in high-mountain catchment, on the continental glacier (East Sayan Range, south of East Siberia) during the summer periods of 2015–2017 using automatic weather station. The precipitation record was compared with nearlocated weather stations and ERA Interim and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data.Precipitation mode similar to the glacier site was found at the stationslocated west and northwest, while ERA Interim and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataunderestimated the precipitation by 40 % and 70 %, respectively. Atmospheric circulation patterns in days with precipitation were analyzed by using mean sea level pressure, geopotential height at 700 and 500 hPa and classification of macro scale atmospheric processes of the NorthernHemisphere by Dzerdzeevskii. Summer precipitation was mostly associated with meridional southern group of large scale circulation the Northern Hemisphere, while at synoptic scale it basically fell in cyclonic (49 %of precipitation) and low-gradient cyclonic (30 %) baric fields. Sixtypical atmospheric circulation patterns over the East Sayan were identified for days with precipitation. The sources and atmospheric moisture transfer to the glacier was defined by using the HYSPLIT trajectory model. The most of summer precipitation (70 %) was related with western cyclones, while about 25 % of rainfalls (mainly of moderate to strong intensity) was originated from the south-east (Pacific monsoon influence).
摘要由于大气环流和地形的复杂相互作用,高山区降水具有很强的非均质性,但由于高山区台站网络极为稀少,阻碍了高分辨率区域气候模式的建立。在本研究中,我们利用自动气象站提供了2015-2017年夏季在大陆冰川(东西伯利亚南部的东萨延山脉)的高山集水区直接测量的降水新数据。降水记录与附近气象站、ERA Interim和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料进行了比较。位于西部和西北部站点的降水模式与冰川站点相似,而ERA Interim和NCEP/NCAR再分析数据分别低估了40%和70%的降水。利用平均海平面气压、700和500 hPa位势高度和Dzerdzeevskii对北半球宏观尺度大气过程的分类,分析了降水日的大气环流模式。夏季降水主要与北半球经向大尺度环流南群有关,而在天气尺度上主要落在气旋(49%降水)和低梯度气旋(30%降水)重力场。在降水日,确定了6种典型的大气环流型。利用HYSPLIT轨迹模型定义了冰川的水汽源和大气水汽转移。大部分夏季降水(70%)与西部气旋有关,约25%的降水(主要为中强降水)来自东南部(太平洋季风影响)。
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引用次数: 1
Computation of daily Penman–Monteith reference evapotranspiration in the Carpathian Region and comparison with Thornthwaite estimates 喀尔巴阡地区Penman-Monteith参考日蒸散量计算及与Thornthwaite估算值的比较
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2020-02-20 DOI: 10.5194/asr-16-251-2020
M. Lakatos, T. Weidinger, L. Hoffmann, Z. Bihari, Á. Horváth
Abstract. The Pannonian Basin Experiment (PannEx) is a Regional Hydroclimate Project (RHP) of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) Global Energy and Water Exchanges (GEWEX) Project. A gridded meteorological dataset is available for the PannEx region as part of the CarpatClim database, which consists of homogenized and harmonized daily meteorological observations for several climate parameters with 0.1 ∘ spatial resolution in the period of 1961–2010. The estimation of the Penman–Monteith reference evapotranspiration (ET 0 ) on the daily scale was performed for the CarpatClim grid as one of the first results in the PannEx initiative. This study compares the already accessible Thornthwaite estimates of potential evapotranspiration (PET_Th) on the monthly scale to the newly derived Penman–Monteith estimates. The comparison is made on an annual and seasonal basis for the 50-year period. The distribution of both estimates is influenced by geographical location and orographic features. The annual time series are similar but the regional-average annual values of ET 0 are ∼80  mm greater than the Thornthwaite estimate in the whole CarpatClim region. The relative bias and root mean square error wascomputed as well. The classical Thornthwaite method underestimates the ET 0 by more than 20 % over extensive regions for selected grid points at elevations lower than 200 m in the Pannonian Basin. The slope of the fitted linear trend indicate increasing reference evapotranspiration in the Pannonian/Carpathian Basin due to climate change.
摘要潘诺尼亚盆地试验(PannEx)是世界气候研究计划(WCRP)全球能源和水交换(GEWEX)项目的一个区域水文气候项目(RHP)。作为CarpatClim数据库的一部分,有一个用于PannEx地区的网格化气象数据集,该数据集由1961-2010年期间几个0.1°空间分辨率的气候参数的均质化和统一的每日气象观测资料组成。Penman-Monteith参考蒸散发(ET 0)的日尺度估算是PannEx计划的首批结果之一,在CarpatClim网格上进行。本研究比较了已经可获得的每月潜在蒸散量(PET_Th)的Thornthwaite估计值与新导出的Penman-Monteith估计值。比较是在50年期间按年度和季节进行的。这两个估计值的分布受地理位置和地形特征的影响。年时间序列相似,但整个CarpatClim地区ET 0的年区域平均值比Thornthwaite估算值大~ 80 mm。并计算了相对偏差和均方根误差。经典的Thornthwaite方法在潘诺尼亚盆地海拔低于200米的选定网格点的广泛区域内低估了20%以上的ET 0。拟合线性趋势的斜率表明潘诺尼亚/喀尔巴阡盆地参考蒸散量由于气候变化而增加。
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引用次数: 14
User tailored results of a regional climate model ensemble to plan adaption to the changing climate in Germany 用户定制区域气候模式集合的结果,以计划适应德国不断变化的气候
Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-10-30 DOI: 10.5194/asr-16-241-2019
Katharina Bülow, H. Huebener, K. Keuler, C. Menz, S. Pfeifer, H. Ramthun, A. Spekat, C. Steger, C. Teichmann, K. Warrach‐Sagi
Abstract. In the German regional climate modeling project ReKliEs-De the existingEURO-CORDEX simulations have been systematically complemented by newsimulations to derive more robust ranges of possible future climate change.The focus of the project lay on user tailored results, which are requiredfor the planning of measures to adapt to the changing climate. Changes intemperature and precipitation indices are calculated from a multi modelensemble for the end of the 21st century. The results for themitigation scenario RCP2.6 are compared to the results of the “business asusual” scenario RCP8.5. Averaged over Germany the increase of mean annualtemperature and of the number of summer days will be around 3 times higherfor RCP8.5 than for RCP2.6. In summer, the increase of dry days could betwice as high in RCP8.5 compared to RCP2.6.
摘要在德国区域气候模拟项目ReKliEs-De中,现有的euro - cordex模拟已被新的模拟系统地补充,以得出未来可能的气候变化的更可靠范围。该项目的重点在于用户定制的结果,这是规划适应气候变化的措施所必需的。温度和降水指数的变化是根据21世纪末的多模式集合计算的。将缓解情景RCP2.6的结果与“一切照旧”情景RCP8.5的结果进行比较。平均而言,在德国,RCP8.5的年平均气温和夏季日数的增加将是RCP2.6的3倍左右。夏季,RCP8.5的干旱日数增幅可能是RCP2.6的两倍。
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引用次数: 9
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