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The Economics of Renewable Energy Sources into Electricity Generation in Tanzania 坦桑尼亚可再生能源发电的经济学
Pub Date : 2016-07-17 DOI: 10.1155/2016/5837154
Baraka Kichonge, I. Mkilaha, G. John, S. Hameer
The study analyzes the economics of renewable energy sources into electricity generation in Tanzania. Business as usual (BAU) scenario and renewable energy (RE) scenario which enforce a mandatory penetration of renewable energy sources shares into electricity generations were analyzed. The results show total investment cost for the BAU scenario is much lower as compared to RE scenario while operating and maintenance variable costs are higher in BAU scenario. Primary energy supply in BAU scenario is higher tied with less investment costs as compared to RE scenario. Furthermore, the share of renewable energy sources in BAU scenario is insignificant as compared to RE scenario due to mandatory penetration policy imposed. Analysis concludes that there are much higher investments costs in RE scenario accompanied with less operating and variable costs and lower primary energy supply. Sensitivity analysis carried out suggests that regardless of changes in investments cost of coal and CCGT power plants, the penetration of renewable energy technologies was still insignificant. Notwithstanding the weaknesses of renewable energy technologies in terms of the associated higher investments costs, an interesting result is that it is possible to meet future electricity demand based on domestic resources including renewables.
该研究分析了坦桑尼亚可再生能源发电的经济性。分析了商业照常(BAU)情景和可再生能源(RE)情景,这两种情景强制执行可再生能源股份进入发电系统。结果表明,与可再生能源方案相比,BAU方案的总投资成本要低得多,而BAU方案的运营和维护可变成本更高。与可再生能源方案相比,BAU方案中的一次能源供应更高,投资成本更低。此外,由于强制性渗透政策的实施,与可再生能源情景相比,可再生能源在BAU情景中的份额微不足道。分析得出结论,可再生能源方案的投资成本要高得多,同时运营和可变成本更低,一次能源供应也更少。敏感性分析表明,无论煤炭和CCGT电厂的投资成本如何变化,可再生能源技术的渗透率仍然不显著。尽管可再生能源技术在相关的较高投资成本方面存在弱点,但一个有趣的结果是,基于包括可再生能源在内的国内资源,有可能满足未来的电力需求。
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引用次数: 4
Overcapacity as a Barrier to Renewable Energy Deployment: The Spanish Case 产能过剩是可再生能源部署的障碍:西班牙案例
Pub Date : 2016-07-12 DOI: 10.1155/2016/8510527
P. Río, L. Janeiro
Renewable energy sources (RES) play a critical role in the low-carbon energy transition. Although there is quite an abundant literature on the barriers to RES, the analysis of the electricity generation overcapacity as a barrier to further RES penetration has received scant attention. This paper tries to cover this gap. Its aim is to analyse the causes and consequences of overcapacity, with a special focus on the impact on RES deployment, using Spain as a case study. It also analyses the policies which may mitigate this problem in both the short and the longer terms.
可再生能源在低碳能源转型中发挥着至关重要的作用。虽然有相当丰富的文献研究可再生能源的障碍,但对发电产能过剩作为可再生能源进一步渗透障碍的分析却很少受到关注。本文试图弥补这一空白。其目的是分析产能过剩的原因和后果,特别关注对可再生能源部署的影响,并以西班牙为例进行研究。它还分析了可能在短期和长期内缓解这一问题的政策。
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引用次数: 25
A Comfort-Aware Energy Efficient HVAC System Based on the Subspace Identification Method 基于子空间辨识法的舒适节能HVAC系统
Pub Date : 2016-03-02 DOI: 10.1155/2016/5074846
O. Tsakiridis, D. Sklavounos, E. Zervas, J. Stonham
A proactive heating method is presented aiming at reducing the energy consumption in a HVAC system while maintaining the thermal comfort of the occupants. The proposed technique fuses time predictions for the zones’ temperatures, based on a deterministic subspace identification method, and zones’ occupancy predictions, based on a mobility model, in a decision scheme that is capable of regulating the balance between the total energy consumed and the total discomfort cost. Simulation results for various occupation-mobility models demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed technique.
提出了一种主动采暖方法,旨在减少暖通空调系统的能源消耗,同时保持居住者的热舒适。该技术将基于确定性子空间识别方法的区域温度时间预测和基于流动性模型的区域占用率预测融合在一个决策方案中,该决策方案能够调节总能耗和总不适成本之间的平衡。各种职业流动模型的仿真结果证明了该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 8
Benchmarking of Electricity Distribution Licensees Operating in Sri Lanka 在斯里兰卡营运的配电持牌机构的基准
Pub Date : 2016-02-16 DOI: 10.1155/2016/2486319
K.T.M.U. Hemapala, L. Neelawala
Electricity sector regulators are practicing benchmarking of distribution companies to regulate the allowed revenue. Mainly this is carried out based on the relative efficiency scores produced by frontier benchmarking techniques. Some of these techniques, for example, Corrected Ordinary Least Squares method and Stochastic Frontier Analysis, use econometric approach to estimate efficiency scores, while a method like Data Envelopment Analysis uses linear programming. Those relative efficiency scores are later used to calculate the efficiency factor (X-factor) which is a component of the revenue control formula. In electricity distribution industry in Sri Lanka, the allowed revenue for a particular distribution licensee is calculated according to the allowed revenue control formula as specified in the tariff methodology of Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka. This control formula contains the X-factor as well, but its effect has not been considered yet; it just kept it zero, since there were no relative benchmarking studies carried out by the utility regulators to decide the actual value of X-factor. This paper focuses on producing a suitable benchmarking methodology by studying prominent benchmarking techniques used in international regulatory regime and by analyzing the applicability of them to Sri Lankan context, where only five Distribution Licensees are operating at present.
电力行业监管机构正在对配电公司进行标杆管理,以规范允许的收入。这主要是基于前沿基准测试技术产生的相对效率分数进行的。其中一些技术,如修正普通最小二乘法和随机前沿分析,使用计量经济学方法来估计效率得分,而数据包络分析等方法使用线性规划。这些相对效率分数随后用于计算效率因子(x因子),这是收入控制公式的一个组成部分。在斯里兰卡的配电行业,特定配电持牌人的许可收入是根据斯里兰卡公用事业委员会关税方法中规定的许可收入控制公式计算的。该控制公式也包含x因素,但其影响尚未考虑;它只是将其保持为零,因为公用事业监管机构没有进行相关的基准研究来确定x因子的实际值。本文的重点是通过研究国际监管制度中使用的主要基准技术,并分析它们在斯里兰卡的适用性,从而产生一种合适的基准方法,目前斯里兰卡只有五家分销许可商在经营。
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引用次数: 3
A Thermodynamic Analysis of Two Competing Mid-Sized Oxyfuel Combustion Combined Cycles 两个竞争的中型氧燃料燃烧联合循环的热力学分析
Pub Date : 2016-01-24 DOI: 10.1155/2016/2438431
E. Thorbergsson, T. Grönstedt
A comparative analysis of two mid-sized oxy-fuel combustion combined cycles is performed. The two cycles are the Semi Closed Oxy-fuel Combustion Combined Cycle (SCOC-CC) and the Graz cycle. In addition, a reference cycle was established as the basis for the analysis of the oxy-fuel combustion cycles. The fuel for all three cycles is natural gas. A parametric study was conducted where the pressure ratio and the turbine entry temperature (also called combustor outlet temperature) were varied. The optimum net efficiency for the reference cycle is 56% at a pressure ratio of 26.2 and turbine entry temperature of 1400 C. The optimum net efficiency for the SCOC-CC was 46% at a pressure ratio of 57.3 and a turbine entry temperature of 1450 C . The optimum net efficiency for the Graz cycle was also 46% at a lower pressure ratio than the SCOC-CC, at 36.5 at the same turbine entry temperature of 1450 C. The main reduction in effifciency for the oxy-fuel combustion cycles comes from the O2 production and compression. The layout and the design of the SCOC-CC is considerably simpler than the Graz cycle while it achieves the same net efficiency. The fact that the efficiencies for the two cycles are close to identical differs from previously reported work. Earlier studies have reported around a 3% points advantage in efficiency for the Graz cycle, which is attributed to the use of a second bottoming cycle. This additional feature, possible to include in both cycles, is omitted to make the two cycles more comparable in terms of complexity. Even in its simplified form the Graz cycle requires the use of intercooling and steam cooling, in contrast to the SCOC-CC. The Graz cycle, however, has substantially lower pressure ratio at the optimum efficiency and has much higher power density for the gas turbine than both the reference cycle and the SCOC-CC.
对两种中等规模的氧-燃料燃烧联合循环进行了对比分析。这两个循环是半封闭式氧燃料燃烧联合循环(SCOC-CC)和格拉茨循环。此外,建立了一个参考循环作为分析氧燃料燃烧循环的基础。这三个循环的燃料都是天然气。在压力比和涡轮入口温度(也称为燃烧室出口温度)变化的情况下进行了参数化研究。在压力比为26.2、涡轮入口温度为1400℃时,参考循环的最佳净效率为56%。在压力比为57.3、涡轮入口温度为1450℃时,SCOC-CC的最佳净效率为46%。与SCOC-CC相比,在同样的涡轮入口温度为1450℃时,Graz循环的最佳净效率为36.5,在较低的压力比下,净效率为46%。SCOC-CC的布局和设计比格拉茨循环简单得多,同时实现了相同的净效率。事实上,这两个循环的效率几乎相同,这与之前报道的工作不同。早期的研究报告称,格拉茨循环的效率约有3%的优势,这要归功于第二个触底循环的使用。省略这个可能包含在两个循环中的附加功能,以使两个循环在复杂性方面更具可比性。与SCOC-CC相比,即使在其简化形式下,格拉茨循环也需要使用中间冷却和蒸汽冷却。然而,与参考循环和SCOC-CC相比,格拉茨循环在最佳效率下的压力比要低得多,对于燃气轮机来说,它的功率密度要高得多。
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引用次数: 16
Gearbox Fault Diagnosis of Wind Turbine by KA and DRT 基于KA和DRT的风电齿轮箱故障诊断
Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.1155/2016/9451631
M. Heidari
The spectral kurtosis analysis (KA) is used to select the filter parameters (FPs) combined with the application of the demodulation resonance technique (DRT) for a gearbox fault diagnosis (FD) of wind turbine. Based on the proposed method, the FPs can be selected automatically according to the kurtosis maximization principle. By changing of the shaft speed under the variable loads conditions, the natural frequency (NF) of the gearbox will be shifted and will affect the accuracy of the detection of the faults. So, the effect of the external loads on the NF of the gearbox is examined based on the simulation of the gearbox. In addition, the fast kurtogram (FK) combined with the demodulated resonance technology is used to process the simulated faulty signal of a gearbox. The results show that the FD of the gearbox is modified by correcting the NF shifts due to the variation of the operating loads.
将谱峰度分析(KA)与共振解调技术(DRT)相结合,用于风电齿轮箱故障诊断(FD)的滤波参数选择。基于所提出的方法,可以根据峰度最大化原理自动选择帧数。在变载荷条件下,通过改变轴的转速,会使齿轮箱的固有频率发生偏移,从而影响故障检测的准确性。因此,在对齿轮箱进行仿真的基础上,研究了外载荷对齿轮箱NF的影响。此外,采用快速峭度图(FK)与解调共振技术相结合的方法对齿轮箱模拟故障信号进行了处理。结果表明,通过修正因运行载荷变化引起的NF位移,可以改善齿轮箱的FD。
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引用次数: 1
Development of a Cost-Effective Solar/Diesel Independent Power Plant for a Remote Station 开发一种具有成本效益的太阳能/柴油独立电站
Pub Date : 2015-12-29 DOI: 10.1155/2015/828745
Okeolu Samuel Omogoye, A. B. Ogundare, I. O. Akanji
The paper discusses the design, simulation, and optimization of a solar/diesel hybrid power supply system for a remote station. The design involves determination of the station total energy demand as well as obtaining the station solar radiation data. This information was used to size the components of the hybrid power supply system (HPSS) and to determine its configuration. Specifically, an appropriate software package, HOMER, was used to determine the number of solar panels, deep-cycle batteries, and rating of the inverter that comprise the solar section of the HPSS. A suitable diesel generator was also selected for the HPSS after careful technical and cost analysis of those available in the market. The designed system was simulated using the HOMER software package and the simulation results were used to carry out the optimization of the system. The final design adequately meets the station energy requirement. Based on a life expectancy of twenty-five years, a cost-benefit analysis of the HPSS was carried out. This analysis shows that the HPSS has a lower cost as compared to a conventional diesel generator power supply, thus recommending the HPSS as a more cost-effective solution for this application.
本文讨论了远程电站太阳能/柴油混合供电系统的设计、仿真和优化。该设计包括确定站点总能源需求以及获取站点太阳辐射数据。该信息用于确定混合电源系统(HPSS)组件的尺寸并确定其配置。具体来说,一个合适的软件包HOMER被用来确定组成HPSS太阳能部分的太阳能电池板、深循环电池的数量和逆变器的额定值。在对市场上可用的柴油发电机进行仔细的技术和成本分析后,为HPSS选择了合适的柴油发电机。利用HOMER软件包对所设计的系统进行了仿真,并利用仿真结果对系统进行了优化。最终设计充分满足电站能量需求。基于25年的预期寿命,对HPSS进行了成本效益分析。该分析表明,与传统的柴油发电机电源相比,HPSS具有更低的成本,因此推荐HPSS作为该应用的更具成本效益的解决方案。
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引用次数: 8
Briquetting of Charcoal from Sesame Stalk 芝麻秸秆炭的压块
Pub Date : 2015-08-25 DOI: 10.1155/2015/757284
Alula Gebresas, H. Asmelash, Hadush Berhe, Tsegay Tesfay
Due to the easy availability of wood in Ethiopia, wood charcoal has been the main source fuel for cooking. This study has been started on sesame stalk biomass briquetting which can potentially solve the health problems and shortage of energy, which consequently can solve deforestation. The result of the data collection shows that, using 30% conversion efficiency of carbonizer, it was found that more than 150,000 tonnes of charcoal can be produced from the available sesame stalk in Humera, a place in north Ethiopia. The clay binders that are mixed with carbonized sesame stalk were found to have 69 liquid limits; thus, the optimum amount of clay that should be added as a binder is 15%, which results in better burning and heat holding capacity and better heating time. The developed briquetting machine has a capacity of producing 60 Kg/hr but the carbonization kiln can only carbonize 3.1 Kg in 2 : 40 hours; hence, it is a bottle neck for the briquette production. The hydrocarbon laboratory analysis showed that the calorific value of the charcoal produced with 15% clay content is 4647.75 Cal/gm and decreases as clay ratio increases and is found to be sufficient energy content for cooking.
由于埃塞俄比亚很容易获得木材,木炭一直是烹饪的主要燃料来源。芝麻秸秆生物质压块的研究可以潜在地解决健康问题和能源短缺问题,从而解决森林砍伐问题。数据收集的结果表明,在埃塞俄比亚北部的Humera地区,使用30%的碳化器转换效率,可以从可用的芝麻秸秆中生产超过15万吨的木炭。与炭化芝麻秸秆混合的黏合剂有69液限;因此,作为粘结剂的粘土的最佳添加量为15%,可以获得更好的燃烧和保温能力,以及更长的加热时间。研制的压块机生产能力为60kg /hr,而碳化窑在2:40小时内只能碳化3.1 Kg;因此,它是一个瓶颈型煤生产。碳氢化合物实验室分析表明,当粘土含量为15%时,木炭的热值为4647.75 Cal/gm,随着粘土含量的增加而降低,足以用于烹饪。
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引用次数: 25
The Effects of Air Preheating and Fuel/Air Inlet Diameter on the Characteristics of Vortex Flame 空气预热和燃料/空气进口直径对旋涡火焰特性的影响
Pub Date : 2015-05-14 DOI: 10.1155/2015/397219
M. Khaleghi, S. E. Hosseini, M. Wahid, H. Mohammed
The effects of fuel/air inlet diameter as well as air preheating on the flame stability, temperature distribution, pollutant formation, and combustion characteristics of a lab-scaled asymmetric vortex flame have been investigated. A three-dimensional steady-state finite volume solver has been used to solve the governing and energy equations. The solver uses a first-order upwind scheme to discretize the governing equations in the space. The semi-implicit method for pressure linked equations has been applied to couple the pressure to the velocity terms. Several turbulence models were applied to predict the flame temperature and it was found that RNG has given the best results in accordance with the experimental results. The results reveal that the inlet air diameter can enhance the thermal properties and reduce the emission while the inlet fuel diameter has less significant impact. Increasing diameters are accompanied with a pressure drop. It was found that preheating the air and fuel would significantly affect the flame temperature and emission with constant mass flow rate.
研究了燃料/空气入口直径和空气预热对实验室规模非对称涡火焰的火焰稳定性、温度分布、污染物形成和燃烧特性的影响。采用三维定常有限体积求解器求解控制方程和能量方程。求解器采用一阶迎风格式将控制方程离散化。采用压力链接方程的半隐式方法将压力项与速度项耦合。用几种湍流模型对火焰温度进行了预测,结果表明RNG模型的预测结果与实验结果吻合较好。结果表明,进气直径可以提高发动机的热性能,降低发动机的排放,而进气直径对发动机的影响较小。直径的增加伴随着压降。研究发现,在一定质量流量下,预热空气和燃料对火焰温度和火焰排放有显著影响。
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引用次数: 6
A Subspace Identification Method for Detecting Abnormal Behavior in HVAC Systems 暖通空调系统异常行为检测的子空间识别方法
Pub Date : 2015-03-11 DOI: 10.1155/2015/693749
D. Sklavounos, E. Zervas, O. Tsakiridis, J. Stonham
A method for the detection of abnormal behavior in HVAC systems is presented. The method combines deterministic subspace identification for each zone independently to create a system model that produces the anticipated zone’s temperature and the sequential test CUSUM algorithm to detect drifts of the rate of change of the difference between the real and the anticipated measurements. Simulation results regarding the detection of infiltration heat losses and the detection of exogenous heat gains such as fire demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
提出了一种检测暖通空调系统异常行为的方法。该方法将每个区域的确定性子空间识别独立地结合起来,创建一个系统模型,该模型产生预期区域的温度,并使用顺序测试CUSUM算法来检测实际测量值与预期测量值之间的差异变化率的漂移。对入渗热损失检测和火灾等外源热增益检测的仿真结果表明了该方法的有效性。
{"title":"A Subspace Identification Method for Detecting Abnormal Behavior in HVAC Systems","authors":"D. Sklavounos, E. Zervas, O. Tsakiridis, J. Stonham","doi":"10.1155/2015/693749","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/693749","url":null,"abstract":"A method for the detection of abnormal behavior in HVAC systems is presented. The method combines deterministic subspace identification for each zone independently to create a system model that produces the anticipated zone’s temperature and the sequential test CUSUM algorithm to detect drifts of the rate of change of the difference between the real and the anticipated measurements. Simulation results regarding the detection of infiltration heat losses and the detection of exogenous heat gains such as fire demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.","PeriodicalId":30572,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Energy","volume":"31 1","pages":"1-12"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81886770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
期刊
Journal of Energy
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