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Tourism Competitiveness in the European Union: A Quantitave Objective Model Study 欧盟旅游竞争力:一个定量客观模型研究
Pub Date : 2016-05-01 DOI: 10.7200/esicm.153.0472.1
José Miguel Rodríguez Antón, Luis Rubio-Andrada
There is strong competition worldwide to increase the income international tourists, demanding that all nations increase competitiveness. In this context, following an analysis of the main competitiveness models, the creation of a quantitative objective model of the competitiveness of tourist destinations derived the model of the World Economic Forum (WEF) is proposed. This model should be able to objectively measure the tourism competitiveness of countries. Its internal structure and validity are proven through an exploratory factorial analysis and used to measure the tourism competitiveness of the 28 countries within the European Union. The results show that the newly d model is not only valid in statistical terms but capable of explaining the entry of international tourists to a greater extent than the WEF model, as it offers a higher correlation than the correlation achieved by the reference model.
为了增加国际游客的收入,世界范围内的竞争非常激烈,要求所有国家都提高竞争力。在此背景下,在分析了主要的竞争力模型之后,提出了在世界经济论坛(WEF)模型的基础上建立旅游目的地竞争力定量客观模型的建议。该模型应该能够客观地衡量各国的旅游竞争力。通过探索性因子分析证明了其内部结构和有效性,并用于衡量欧盟28个国家的旅游竞争力。结果表明,新d模型不仅在统计上有效,而且比WEF模型更能解释国际游客入境,因为它提供了比参考模型更高的相关性。
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引用次数: 2
Value Chain Innovations for Technology Transfer in Developing and Emerging Economies: Concept, Typology and Policy Implications 发展中国家和新兴经济体技术转移的价值链创新:概念、类型和政策含义
Pub Date : 2016-04-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2771612
J. Swinnen, R. Kuijpers
The adoption of modern technologies in agriculture is crucial for improving productivity of poor farmers and poverty reduction. However, the adoption of modern technology has been disappointing. The role of value chains in technology adoption has been largely ignored so far, despite the dramatic transformation and spread of modern agri-food value chains. We argue that value chain organization and innovations can have an important impact on modern technology adoption, not just by downstream companies, but also by farmers. We provide a conceptual framework and an empirical typology of institutional innovations through which value chains can contribute to technology transfer to agriculture in developing and emerging countries.
在农业中采用现代技术对于提高贫困农民的生产力和减少贫困至关重要。然而,现代技术的采用令人失望。尽管现代农业食品价值链发生了巨大的转变和传播,但迄今为止,价值链在技术采用中的作用在很大程度上被忽视了。我们认为,价值链组织和创新可以对现代技术的采用产生重要影响,不仅对下游公司,而且对农民也是如此。我们提供了一个制度创新的概念框架和经验类型,通过这些创新,价值链可以促进发展中国家和新兴国家的农业技术转让。
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引用次数: 2
Religion and Economic Growth: Elements from Sikhism 宗教与经济增长:来自锡克教的因素
Pub Date : 2016-04-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2763585
Charan Singh
The Sikh religion is one of the most recent religions of the world, which originated during the late fifteenth century and finally formalized in early eighteenth century. There is limited material available in English on Sikh religion and its impact on economic growth. In this article, an attempt has been made to examine the important issues mentioned above in the context of Sikh religion and their impact on economic growth. The emphasis is on education, rational thinking, long term planning, modest consumption, high investment, self-employment, and employment generation. In all the pursuits of economic well-being, the guiding principle has to be meditation, honest work and sharing with others the fruit of hard labor.
锡克教是世界上最新的宗教之一,起源于15世纪末,最终在18世纪初正式确立。关于锡克教及其对经济增长影响的英文材料有限。在本文中,试图在锡克教及其对经济增长的影响的背景下研究上述重要问题。重点是教育、理性思考、长远规划、适度消费、高投资、自主创业和创造就业机会。在所有追求经济福祉的过程中,指导原则必须是冥想、诚实工作和与他人分享辛勤劳动的成果。
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引用次数: 4
Accelerating into the Abyss: Financial Dependence and the Great Depression 加速走向深渊:金融依赖与大萧条
Pub Date : 2016-04-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2366291
Mrdjan M. Mladjan
This paper gives new evidence for the importance of bank failures during the Great Depression. Using a panel of state-industry observations from the interwar years, I demonstrate that financially dependent industries saw bigger declines in output relative to their peers. This differential is largest in states that were affected the most by banking failures. The main findings are obtained using the standard indicator of financial dependence for the purposes of investment, pioneered by Rajan and Zingales (1998). I complement them by using a novel measure of financial dependence, based on hand-collected data from the 1920s and specifically designed for periods of severe recessions when investment is not a priority. This is inverse interest cover which describes different channels by which bank failures reduce output compared to the standard measure of dependence. I furthermore find evidence that bank failures reduced output in several more ways than by causing a decline in loan supply. Particularly important was the reduction in demand for durables caused by uncertainty created by local bank failures. To establish causality, I first use Altonji et al. (2005) ratios to exclude omitted variable bias and then instrument bank failures with newly-proposed indicators of predetermined vulnerability of each state’s banking system. My findings show that bank failures can explain a third of decline in manufacturing output during the Great Depression.
本文为大萧条时期银行倒闭的重要性提供了新的证据。我利用一组两次世界大战期间的国有工业观察数据,证明了财政依赖的行业相对于同行的产出下降幅度更大。在受银行倒闭影响最大的州,这种差异最大。主要研究结果是使用Rajan和Zingales(1998)首创的用于投资目的的财务依赖标准指标获得的。我还使用了一种衡量金融依赖程度的新方法作为补充,该方法基于20世纪20年代手工收集的数据,专门为投资不受重视的严重衰退时期设计。这是逆利息覆盖,它描述了与依赖的标准衡量标准相比,银行倒闭减少产出的不同渠道。我进一步发现,有证据表明,除了导致贷款供应下降外,银行倒闭还在其他几个方面降低了产出。尤其重要的是,当地银行倒闭造成的不确定性导致耐用品需求减少。为了建立因果关系,我首先使用Altonji等人(2005)的比率来排除遗漏的变量偏差,然后使用新提出的各州银行体系预定脆弱性指标来排除工具银行的失败。我的研究结果表明,银行倒闭可以解释大萧条期间三分之一的制造业产出下降。
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引用次数: 12
Ideology or Prosperity: Lesson Learned? Democratic Transition Experience of Spain and the Turkish Membership in the European Union 意识形态还是繁荣:从中吸取教训?西班牙民主转型经验与土耳其加入欧盟
Pub Date : 2016-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2864909
Dana Zordova
In 1986, the two Iberian countries joined the European Communities after a protracted, over a decade long negotiations and in the Spanish case, a tense exchange of correspondence and opinions. While the existing literature accentuates primarily the value of democracy for Spanish membership, studying archived historical documents opens up the window for an alternative explanation of the prolonged process. The prevalence of archival materials assessing the country's economic situation and devising measures for its improvement suggests that the Spanish lack of democracy could play a lesser role compared to disconsolate economic situation. Vice versa, Spanish membership endeavour had been in a similar manner motivated less by the vision of a shortcut to democracy and more by the promise of economic profit and more importantly, by the wish to break from isolation and return back to the Western world. The European Community represented the first step; the gate to the world where Spain wanted to belong.
1986年,两个伊比利亚国家在经过了长达十多年的漫长谈判之后加入了欧洲共同体,在西班牙的情况下,双方进行了紧张的通信和意见交换。虽然现有文献主要强调民主对西班牙成员国的价值,但研究存档的历史文件为这一漫长过程的另一种解释打开了一扇窗。评估该国经济状况和制定改善措施的档案材料的普遍存在表明,与令人沮丧的经济状况相比,西班牙缺乏民主的作用可能较小。反之亦然,西班牙加入联合国的努力也以类似的方式进行,其动机与其说是对通往民主的捷径的憧憬,不如说是对经济利益的承诺,更重要的是,是希望打破孤立,回到西方世界。欧洲共同体代表了第一步;通往世界的大门,西班牙想要属于这里。
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引用次数: 0
Breaking Bad: Public Pensions and the Loss of that Old-Time Fiscal Religion 《绝命毒师:公共养老金和旧时代财政信仰的丧失》
Pub Date : 2016-03-24 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2743279
D. Smith, R. Al-Bawwab
The Keynesian Revolution ushered in a new milieu of government deficit spending that overturned a historical tradition of balanced budgets. The historical tradition, the so-called “old-time fiscal religion,” maintained that balanced budgets ensured that those receiving the benefits of government services were also the individuals paying the taxes to cover those benefits. This provided an important taxpayer constraint on government spending. By overturning this old-time fiscal religion, the Keynesian revolution led to massive increases in government deficit spending. Keynesianism provided the intellectual support to push the costs of current government programs onto future generations. While most U.S. states have balanced budget provisions, and thus would seem to avoid this Keynesian tendency towards debt accumulation followed at the national level, the ability for states to underfund pension liabilities for state employees has broken the old-time fiscal religion even at the state level. Defined benefit pension plans, combined with the lack of transparency and misleading actuarial assumptions, have enabled state legislators and taxpayers to push the costs of future obligations made to current employees onto future taxpayers. Akin to the rise in deficit spending at the federal level, breaking the old-time fiscal religion at the state level has led to rising unfunded liability expenditures. Transitioning public pensions from defined benefit to defined contribution models would help redeem the old-time fiscal religion going forward, restoring taxpayer constraint on the growth of state and local government.
凯恩斯主义革命开创了政府赤字支出的新环境,颠覆了平衡预算的历史传统。历史传统,即所谓的“旧时财政宗教”,认为平衡的预算确保了那些从政府服务中受益的人也是为这些福利纳税的人。这对纳税人限制政府支出起到了重要作用。通过推翻这种旧时代的财政宗教,凯恩斯革命导致了政府赤字支出的大幅增加。凯恩斯主义为将当前政府项目的成本推给后代提供了智力支持。虽然美国大多数州都有平衡的预算规定,因此似乎可以避免国家层面上的这种凯恩斯主义倾向,即债务积累,但各州为州雇员提供养老金负债不足的能力,甚至在州层面上也打破了旧时代的财政宗教。固定收益养老金计划,再加上缺乏透明度和误导性的精算假设,使得州议员和纳税人把对当前雇员的未来义务的成本推给了未来的纳税人。与联邦政府赤字支出的增加类似,打破旧的财政宗教在州一级导致了无资金准备的负债支出的增加。将公共养老金从固定收益模式转变为固定缴款模式,将有助于挽回过去的财政信仰,恢复纳税人对州和地方政府增长的约束。
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引用次数: 1
Трансформация Роли и Задач Центральных Банков (Монетарных Властей) в Современной Экономике (The Transformation of the Role and Tasks of the Central Bank (Monetary Authorities) in the Modern Economy)
Pub Date : 2016-03-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2754016
Anna Kiyutsevskaya, Sergey Narkevich, Pavel Trunin
Russian Abstract: Исследование трансформации роли и задач центральных банков на различных этапах экономического развития позволяет определить объективные предпосылки, лежащие в основе эволюции денежно-кредитной политики. Для крупных экономик при выборе режима денежно-кредитной политики важное значение приобретает возможность проведения самостоятельной, независимой денежно-кредитной политики. Помимо этого, как свидетельствует мировой опыт, значимое влияние на выбор целей и задач центральных банков как на современном этапе, так и в исторической ретроспективе оказывают степень финансовой открытости страны и развития ее финансового сектора. По мере интеграции стран в мировую экономику приоритеты их центральных банков смещаются, во-первых, в пользу обеспечения и поддержания ценовой стабильности, и, во-вторых, повышения гибкости механизмов курсообразования. Полученные выводы относительно эволюции целей и задач центральных банков развитых и развивающихся стран позволяют выявить наиболее подходящие режимы денежно-кредитной политики для российского центрального банка.English Abstract: Study of transformation of the role and tasks of central banks at different stages of economic development allows us to determine the objective conditions underlying the evolution of monetary policy. For developed economies, the opportunity to conduct independent monetary policy becomes one of the major factors that determine the choice of the monetary regime. In addition, according to the international experience, the choice of goals and objectives of central banks both at present time and in the historical perspective is greatly affected by the degree of financial openness of the country and the development of its financial sector. While countries become more integrated in the world economy, their central banks shifted priorities, firstly, to achieve and maintain price stability, and, secondly, to increase the flexibility of exchange rate formation. The findings on the evolution of the goals and objectives of the central banks of developed and developing countries reveal the most suitable monetary policy regime for the Russian central bank.
俄罗斯Abstract:研究央行在不同经济发展阶段的角色和目标转变,可以确定货币政策演变背后的客观前提。对于主要经济体来说,在选择货币政策制度时,实施独立独立的货币政策的可能性至关重要。此外,世界经验表明,在当前和历史回顾展上,各国央行的目标和目标的选择都有重大影响。随着各国融入全球经济,它们的央行优先考虑的是确保和维持价格稳定,其次是提高汇率机制的灵活性。关于发达国家和发展中国家央行目标和目标的演变得出的结论为俄罗斯央行提供了最合适的货币政策制度。英语Abstract:《中央银行的转移和转移》《经济发展》中的《我们的经济发展》。为了发展经济,为了建立独立的工厂,为了选择蒙塔瑞瑞的主要工厂。在addition,支持国际experience,中央银行的选择和历史上的贡献是由国家和金融部门的发展决定的。While国家become more integrated in the world经济their central banks shifted priorities firstly, to achieve and price,制动,maintain and secondly, to increase the flexibility of exchange速率组。在俄罗斯中央银行的开发和开发中,最受欢迎的国家是俄罗斯中央银行。
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引用次数: 0
Pension Provision, Care and Dignity in Old Age: Legal and Economic Issues 养老金的提供、照顾和老年人的尊严:法律和经济问题
Pub Date : 2016-03-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2780484
E. Davis, R. Lastra
The legal, policy and economic issues associated with pension provision, care and dignity in old age are fundamental challenges for the future of our society. Pension provision is in crisis and this paper highlights the policy choices and regulatory challenges that this entails. The analysis also highlights the importance of the ‘nuclear family’ and the ‘extended family’ in the provision of care, from child care to old age care and the consideration that the home is the natural environment in which such provision ought to take place. In this context, an adequate legal and regulatory framework for pensions needs to balance a number of competing interests, given the implications in terms of intergenerational debt of the financing of care and income in old age and the broader social justice considerations that are at stake in the design of schemes that provide adequate care and income in old age in a market economy. The starting point should be the dignity of human beings, which today finds general acceptance via the United Nations Universal Declaration of Human Rights. In this context, we highlight inter alia major issues of generational fairness arising in the UK, linked partly but not solely to pension issues. Possible political consequences are a “battle of generations” in the future.
与养老金提供、养老和老年人尊严相关的法律、政策和经济问题是我们社会未来面临的根本性挑战。养老金供应正处于危机之中,本文强调了由此带来的政策选择和监管挑战。分析还强调了“核心家庭”和“大家庭”在提供照顾方面的重要性,从照顾儿童到照顾老人,并考虑到家庭是提供这种照顾的自然环境。在这方面,一个适当的养恤金法律和管理框架需要平衡若干相互竞争的利益,因为为老年照顾和收入筹措资金所涉的代际债务问题,以及在市场经济中设计提供适当的老年照顾和收入的计划所涉及的更广泛的社会正义考虑。出发点应该是人的尊严,这一点今天已通过《联合国世界人权宣言》得到普遍接受。在这种情况下,我们特别强调在英国出现的代际公平的主要问题,部分但不完全与养老金问题有关。可能的政治后果是未来的“几代人之战”。
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引用次数: 0
Credit Cards: Contemporary Issues from Economic and Shariah Perspective 信用卡:经济和伊斯兰教法视角下的当代问题
Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.4197/ISLEC.29-1.4
M. Kahf, A. Mohomed
Over the past few decades, the Islamic finance industry has witnessed exponential growth, intensified innovation and fast development in its products and services. This paper discusses the contemporary issues of credit cards from economic and Shariah perspective and explains the implication of an optional interest clause. Islamic finance providers have experimented with different structures for Islamic credit cards, which, however, have attracted wide-reaching criticism regarding the underlying contracts and whether the concept in itself is in line with the Shariah. From an analysis of the different market practices of Islamic credit cards, we notice that Islamic banks are struggling to find an appropriate approach to provide an Islamic credit card facility which is profitable and meets their financial intermediary purpose. We then propose the concept of prepaid Islamic credit cards and the idea of Master Murabaha Credit Card Agreement which would be more suitable and generate Shariah-compliant returns. This paper also tackles the issue of consumerism and mounting indebtedness from the Shariah perspective, and calls for restrictions and control by Islamic credit card issuers including limiting credits and blocking non-Shariah compliant usages. نمت صناعة التمويل الإسلامي خلال العقود القليلة الماضية نموا متميزا شمل إبداعات كثيرة وتطورا سريعا في المنتجات والخدمات. تناقش هذه الورقة القضايا الشرعية والاقتصادية لبطاقات الائتمان وتشرح مآلات الشرط التخيري للربا. ولقد جربت مؤسسات للتمويل الإسلامي إصدار أشكال عديدة من بطاقات الائتمان، مما أثار سلسلة من الانتقادات التي لم تقف عند العقود التي صدرت بموجبها هذه الأشكال بل بلغت حد التساؤل عن مشروعية فكرة بطاقة الائتمان نفسها. ويتضح من تحليل هذه البطاقات "الإسلامية" أن البنوك الإسلامية تحامل جاهدة البحث عن طريقة لإصدار بطاقة ائتمان تتوافق مع الشريعة وتستطيع من خلالها تقديم الخدمات الائتمانية بشكل يحقق لها هدف التربح من خلال الوساطة المالية. وقد اقترحنا في الورقة مفهوما عاما لبطاقة ائتمان تقوم على الدفع المسبق وبطاقة ائتمان تقوم على فكرة المرابحة مع الوكالة مما يمكن أن يطور ليؤدي إلى تحقيق فكرة التمويل بالبطاقة مع عائد مجز ومتوافق مع الشريعة. وقد ناقشت الورقة أيضا باختصار مسألة علاقة بطاقات الائتمان بالعقلية والسلوك الاستهلاكيين وبتراكم المديونية وناقشنا ذلك من الجانب الشرعي كما ناقشنا قضية حجب استعمال البطاقة عن السلع والخدمات غير المسموح بها في الشريعة وقضية تقييد إصدار الائتمان للتخفيف من المديونية.
在过去的几十年里,伊斯兰金融行业经历了指数级的增长,其产品和服务的创新加剧和快速发展。本文从经济学和伊斯兰教法的角度讨论了信用卡的当代问题,并解释了可选利益条款的含义。伊斯兰金融机构已经尝试了不同的伊斯兰信用卡结构,然而,这些结构在基础合同和概念本身是否符合伊斯兰教法方面引起了广泛的批评。通过对伊斯兰信用卡不同市场实践的分析,我们注意到伊斯兰银行正在努力寻找一种合适的方法来提供一种既有利可图又符合其金融中介目的的伊斯兰信用卡设施。然后,我们提出预付伊斯兰信用卡的概念,以及更适合并产生符合伊斯兰教法的回报的Master Murabaha信用卡协议的想法。本文还从伊斯兰教法的角度解决了消费主义和不断增加的债务问题,并呼吁伊斯兰信用卡发行商限制和控制,包括限制信贷和阻止不符合伊斯兰教法的使用。نمتصناعةالتمويلالإسلاميخلالالعقودالقليلةالماضيةنموامتميزاشملإبداعاتكثيرةوتطوراسريعافيالمنتجاتوالخدمات。تناقشهذهالورقةالقضاياالشرعيةوالاقتصاديةلبطاقاتالائتمانوتشرحمآلاتالشرطالتخيريللربا。ولقدجربتمؤسساتللتمويلالإسلاميإصدارأشكالعديدةمنبطاقاتالائتمان،مماأثارسلسلةمنالانتقاداتالتيلمتقفعندالعقودالتيصدرتبموجبهاهذهالأشكالبلبلغتحدالتساؤلعنمشروعيةفكرةبطاقةالائتماننفسها。ويتضحمنتحليلهذهالبطاقات”الإسلامية”أنالبنوكالإسلاميةتحاملجاهدةالبحثعنطريقةلإصداربطاقةائتمانتتوافقمعالشريعةوتستطيعمنخلالهاتقديمالخدماتالائتمانيةبشكليحققلهاهدفالتربحمنخلالالوساطةالمالية。وقداقترحنافيالورقةمفهوماعامالبطاقةائتمانتقومعلىالدفعالمسبقوبطاقةائتمانتقومعلىفكرةالمرابحةمعالوكالةممايمكنأنيطورليؤديإلىتحقيقفكرةالتمويلبالبطاقةمععائدمجزومتوافقمعالشريعة。وقدناقشتالورقةأيضاباختصارمسألةعلاقةبطاقاتالائتمانبالعقليةوالسلوكالاستهلاكيينوبتراكمالمديونيةوناقشناذلكمنالجانبالشرعيكماناقشناقضيةحجباستعمالالبطاقةعنالسلعوالخدماتغيرالمسموحبهافيالشريعةوقضيةتقييدإصدارالائتمانللتخفيفمنالمديونية。
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引用次数: 12
The Origins, Development, and Fate of Clower's 'Stock-Flow' General-Equilibrium Program 克洛的“存量流”一般均衡程序的起源、发展和命运
Pub Date : 2015-12-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2705031
Romain Plassard
Before becoming the hallmark of macroeconomics a la Wynne Godley, the ‘stock-flow’ analysis was already developed in microeconomics and general equilibrium theory. Basically, the goal was to study the formation of economic plans and the determination of market prices when individuals were supposed to consume, produce, and hold commodities. It is acknowledged that Robert W. Clower was a central figure in this theoretical context. Yet, for both his contemporaries and for historians, his contributions remained essentially technical. No attention was paid to the theoretical project underlying the statics and dynamics analyses of his ‘stock-flow’ price theory. My paper aims to fill this gap. In light of his doctoral dissertation, I show that the elaboration of ‘stock-flow’ market models was part of a project aiming at offering sound microfoundations to a Keynesian business cycle model. I analyze the origins of this microfoundation program, trace its development, and discuss its fate.
在成为宏观经济学的标志之前,“股票流量”分析已经在微观经济学和一般均衡理论中得到了发展。基本上,其目标是研究经济计划的形成和个人消费、生产和持有商品时市场价格的决定。众所周知,罗伯特·w·克洛是这一理论背景下的核心人物。然而,对于他的同时代人和历史学家来说,他的贡献基本上是技术性的。没有人注意到他的“股票流动”价格理论的静态和动态分析背后的理论项目。我的论文旨在填补这一空白。根据他的博士论文,我表明,“股票流动”市场模型的阐述是一个项目的一部分,旨在为凯恩斯主义商业周期模型提供健全的微观基础。我分析了这个微基金项目的起源,追溯了它的发展,并讨论了它的命运。
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引用次数: 5
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AARN: Economic Systems (Sub-Topic)
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