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Self-Selection Bias or Decision Inertia? Explaining the Municipal Bond ‘Competitive Sale Dilemma’ 自我选择偏差还是决策惯性?解读市政债券“竞售困境”
Pub Date : 2017-08-05 DOI: 10.1108/JPBAFM-03-2018-008
Gao Liu
Although most empirical studies find that competitive bidding can reduce the interest cost, the municipal bond primary market is dominated by negotiating offerings. The purpose of this paper is to investigate this dilemma by empirically testing two hypotheses: self-selection bias and decision inertia hypotheses.,Logistic regressions and Heckman procedures are used to examine data from the California municipal bond primary market.,The paper finds that while information asymmetry does affect the selection of underwriting approach, self-selection bias cannot explain the cost difference between the two sale approaches. On the other hand, decision inertia has the highest explanatory power in the selection of sale approaches.,This paper provides a new explanation for the “competitive sale dilemma” from the perspective of decision inertia. The authors document that state and local governments show a greater propensity of adhering to previous choices, particularly in a context in which the outcome is uncertain or actors have little knowledge in comparing the outcome of the alternatives.
虽然大多数实证研究发现竞争性投标可以降低利息成本,但市政债券一级市场以协商发行为主。本文的目的是通过实证检验两个假设:自我选择偏差和决策惯性假设来研究这一困境。本文采用Logistic回归和Heckman程序对加州市政债券一级市场的数据进行了检验。研究发现,虽然信息不对称影响承销方式的选择,但自我选择偏差不能解释两种销售方式之间的成本差异。另一方面,决策惯性对销售方式的选择具有最高的解释力。本文从决策惯性的角度对“竞争性销售困境”进行了新的解释。作者指出,州和地方政府更倾向于坚持先前的选择,特别是在结果不确定或行为者对比较不同选择的结果知之甚少的情况下。
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引用次数: 1
Incentives for Investment in Fast Broadband: How Much Can Be Expected from the Proposed European Code? 对快速宽带投资的激励:从拟议的欧洲代码中可以期待多少?
Pub Date : 2017-07-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3007395
J. S. Marcus, V. Bocarova, G. Petropoulos
In September 2016, the European Commission presented legislative proposals to replace the European Regulatory Framework for Electronic Communications (RFEC) with a new European Electronic Communications Code. Among the many stated objectives was to stimulate more rapid investment in fast and ultra-fast broadband. One can argue that the RFEC was put in place in 2002, at a time when networks were not yet liberalised or privatised, and when investment needs of existing copper networks were fairly consistent and predictable. As a consequence, the RFEC put great emphasis on achieving competition, relatively little on achieving investment. This reflects to some extent a preference for optimisation of static efficiency over dynamic efficiency, which was perhaps in order given that the former is far easier to analyse than the latter. In this paper, we review the regulatory instruments that provided in the European Code, and consider based on the economic literature, publicly available statistics, and our own analysis the degree to which the Action Lines in the proposed European Code are likely (individually or collectively) to contribute to increased investment in fast broadband in practice. Our assessment is that the proposed enhancements to broadband policy in the proposed European Code are broadly in the right direction, and collectively are likely to offer network operators a more profitable and predictable business case for investment in high speed broadband. Notwithstanding our observations that the case for FTTP/FTTP can often be significantly overblown, we would still say that this is a welcome or overdue change. The risks implied by insufficient specification of these provisions in the European Code, and the lack of clarity as regards technological neutrality, are however significant. We would hope that these provisions can be sharpened in the course of the legislative process.
2016年9月,欧盟委员会提交了立法提案,以新的欧洲电子通信规范取代欧洲电子通信监管框架(RFEC)。在众多声明的目标中,有一项是刺激对高速和超高速宽带的更快投资。有人可能会说,RFEC是在2002年实施的,当时网络还没有自由化或私有化,现有铜线网络的投资需求相当一致和可预测。因此,RFEC非常强调实现竞争,相对较少强调实现投资。这在某种程度上反映了对静态效率优化的偏好,而不是动态效率,这可能是有序的,因为前者比后者更容易分析。在本文中,我们回顾了欧洲规范中提供的监管工具,并根据经济文献、公开统计数据和我们自己的分析,考虑拟议的欧洲规范中的行动线可能(单独或集体)在实践中促进快速宽带投资增加的程度。我们的评估是,拟议的欧洲法规中对宽带政策的拟议增强大体上是正确的方向,总的来说,可能为网络运营商提供一个更有利可图、更可预测的投资高速宽带的商业案例。尽管我们观察到FTTP/FTTP的情况经常被严重夸大,但我们仍然会说这是一个受欢迎的或迟来的变化。然而,《欧洲法典》对这些条款的说明不足以及对技术中立性缺乏明确性所隐含的风险是重大的。我们希望这些规定能够在立法过程中得到加强。
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引用次数: 0
Socially Responsible Public Procurement Under EU Law and International Agreements: The GPA, CETA and the EU-Ukraine Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area 欧盟法律和国际协议下的社会责任公共采购:GPA, CETA和欧盟-乌克兰深度和全面自由贸易区
Pub Date : 2017-07-11 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2970964
A. Semple
The 2014 EU procurement directives contain a greatly expanded set of provisions relating to socially responsible public procurement (SRPP). From the application of higher thresholds and ability to limit competition for certain contracts through to the use of social award criteria and contract performance clauses, there are numerous possibilities for contracting authorities to take considerations related to labour law compliance, trading conditions and social inclusion into account. At the same time, the EU has expanded its international commitments in the field of public procurement through the revision of the WTO Government Procurement Agreement (GPA), the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) with Canada, and through the establishment of Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Areas (DCFTAs) with Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia. This paper looks at the extent to which SRPP provisions have been incorporated in these agreements, finding that in a number of areas such as reservation of contracts for disabled and disadvantaged workers, treatment of abnormally low tenders and use of third party certifications, they offer a less supportive framework than the EU directives for SRPP.
2014年欧盟采购指令包含了一系列与社会责任公共采购(SRPP)相关的条款。从采用更高的门槛和限制某些合同竞争的能力,到使用社会奖励标准和合同履行条款,缔约当局有许多可能考虑到与遵守劳动法、贸易条件和社会包容有关的因素。与此同时,欧盟通过修订世界贸易组织《政府采购协定》(GPA),与加拿大签署《全面经济贸易协定》(CETA),与乌克兰、摩尔多瓦和格鲁吉亚建立深度和全面自由贸易区(DCFTAs),扩大了其在公共采购领域的国际承诺。本文考察了SRPP条款在这些协议中被纳入的程度,发现在许多领域,如为残疾和弱势工人保留合同,处理异常低的投标和使用第三方认证,它们提供的支持框架不如欧盟SRPP指令。
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引用次数: 2
Finding the Consumer Center of St. Petersburg? 找到圣彼得堡的消费中心?
Pub Date : 2017-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2992507
K. Kholodilin, I. Krylova, Darya Kryutchenko
In the urban economics, the distribution of people and real estate prices depends on the location of the central business district. As distance from the city center increases, both prices and population density diminish, for travel costs increase in terms of time and money. As manufacturing gradually leaves the cities, the importance of consumer amenities as attractors of population to the urban areas increases. The role of the business center is being taken over by the consumer center. This paper identies the location of the consumer center of St. Petersburg - the second largest city in Russia and its former capital. For this purpose using data from open sources on the Internet regarding the location of dierent types of urban amenities, the indices of their spatial density are computed. Using weights based on coefficients of spatial variation and surveys, the individual indices are aggregated to two general centrality indices. Their unique maxima correspond to the city center of St. Petersburg, which is located on Nevsky prospekt, between Fontanka river and Liteinyi prospekt.
在城市经济学中,人口分布和房地产价格取决于中央商务区的位置。随着离市中心距离的增加,物价和人口密度都在下降,因为旅行的时间和金钱成本都在增加。随着制造业逐渐离开城市,消费便利设施作为吸引人口到城市地区的重要因素增加了。商务中心的角色正在被消费者中心所取代。本文确定了俄罗斯第二大城市、前首都圣彼得堡的消费中心位置。为此,利用互联网上有关不同类型城市便利设施位置的公开来源数据,计算其空间密度指数。利用基于空间变异系数和调查的权重,将单个指数聚合为两个一般中心性指数。它们独特的最大值对应于圣彼得堡的市中心,位于涅夫斯基大街,在丰坦卡河和Liteinyi大街之间。
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引用次数: 0
New Jersey Horse Racing by the Numbers 新泽西赛马的数字
Pub Date : 2017-06-22 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2991211
Bennett Liebman
The paper reviews the current condition of the New Jersey horse racing industry by reviewing 60 years worth of the annual reports of the New Jersey Racing Commission.
本文通过回顾新泽西州赛马委员会60年来的年度报告,对新泽西州赛马产业的现状进行了回顾。
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引用次数: 0
‘Neoliberalism’ and Political Crisis: A Postulate of the Causal Dialectics Behind the Unfolding Trumpian Crisis “新自由主义”与政治危机:特朗普危机背后因果辩证法的假设
Pub Date : 2017-06-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3003662
A. Lodhi
Neoliberalism is theorized by Marxist Polymath David Harvey as a set of political economic practices—predicated upon the teological restoration of economic elite class power through policies of financial deregulation, capital liberalization, and privatization—entailing the intellectual de-legitimization of Keynesian economics, the axiomatization of neoclassical ontological and epistemological precepts regarding the primacy of the self-regulating market, and the retrenchment of the embedded welfare state (Harvey 2005). Neoliberalism has failed dramatically in its purported goal of reviving global capital accumulation since its inception in the late 20th century. Rather, its main substantive economic achievement has been to redistribute, rather than to generate, wealth and income (Stiglitz 2016). Furthermore, within academia, the neoliberal political-economic meta-structure is considered to have eroded the Western socio-cultural ethos writ large, thus irrevocably producing a combustible political environment in which an emergent proto-fascist insurgency—reified currently throughout the contemporary Western polity by the likes of Donald Trump and Marine Le Pen—may unfold (Hedges 2015). These conditions were effectuated by a myriad mechanisms, however, most prominently by those which fall under the prescript of ‘accumulation by dispossession’. This pertains to the continuation and proliferation of capital accumulation practices which Marx had deemed as ‘primitive’ or ‘primal’ during the emergence of the capitalist mode of production. Broadly, these entail the commodification and privatization of land; transmutation of various forms of property rights (common, collective, state etc.) into exclusive property rights (and the subsequent extraction of rents in the case of patents and intellectual property rights); erasure of many common property rights (ex. state pensions, paid vacations, and access to education and health care); commodification of labor power and suppression of indigenous forms of production and consumerism; imperial procedures of appropriation of assets; liquidation of exchange and taxation; and usury, the national debt and the use of the credit system as a means for accumulation by dispossession (Marx 1887). The neoliberal state assumes the central role of both supporting and promulgating these practices, by way of its possessing a monopoly over violence and definitions of legality (Piketty 2014). The purpose of this paper lies in the task of further elucidating these mechanisms within the context of the contemporary Western political crisis.
马克思主义通才大卫·哈维将新自由主义理论化为一套政治经济实践——通过金融放松管制、资本自由化和私有化等政策,在理论上恢复经济精英阶级的权力——这涉及到凯恩斯主义经济学在思想上的非合法化,以及新古典主义本体论和认识论上关于自我调节市场的首要地位的公理化。以及根深蒂固的福利国家的紧缩(Harvey 2005)。新自由主义自20世纪后期创立以来,其所谓的恢复全球资本积累的目标已经严重失败。相反,其主要的实质性经济成就是重新分配,而不是创造财富和收入(Stiglitz 2016)。此外,在学术界,新自由主义的政治经济元结构被认为已经侵蚀了西方社会文化精神,因此不可逆转地产生了一个可燃的政治环境,在这个环境中,一种新兴的原始法西斯叛乱——目前由唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)和马琳·勒庞(Marine Le pen)等人在当代西方政体中体现出来——可能会展开(Hedges 2015)。这些条件是由无数机制实现的,然而,最突出的是那些属于“剥夺积累”的规定。这与资本积累实践的延续和扩散有关,马克思在资本主义生产方式出现期间将其视为“原始的”或“原始的”。从广义上讲,这包括土地的商品化和私有化;将各种形式的产权(公共的、集体的、国家的等)转化为专有的产权(以及随后在专利和知识产权的情况下抽取租金);取消许多共同财产权利(如国家养老金、带薪假期以及获得教育和医疗保健的权利);劳动力商品化和对本土生产形式和消费主义的压制;帝国的资产征用程序;外汇和税收清算;高利贷、国债和利用信用体系作为剥夺积累的手段(马克思1887)。新自由主义国家通过其对暴力和合法性定义的垄断,承担了支持和颁布这些实践的核心角色(Piketty 2014)。本文的目的在于在当代西方政治危机的背景下进一步阐明这些机制。
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引用次数: 0
Participation in the Sharing Economy 参与共享经济
Pub Date : 2017-05-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2961745
A. Andreotti, G. Anselmi, T. Eichhorn, C. Hoffmann, Marina Micheli
Report from the EU H2020 Research Project Ps2Share: Participation, Privacy, and Power in the Sharing Economy
欧盟H2020研究项目Ps2Share:共享经济中的参与、隐私和权力报告
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引用次数: 38
Structural Change and Protection: Non-Tariff Measures in ASEAN 结构变化与保护:东盟的非关税措施
Pub Date : 2017-04-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3066753
Gemelee Hirang
As part of their regional integration measures, the members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) entered a commitment to remove non-tariff barriers and harmonize non-tariff measures by 2015. Despite this, non-tariff measures have steadily increased in the region. This paper examines the non-tariff measure incidence in ASEAN within the context of the structural changes which occurred in the region during the 1990s. The 1990s was a period of tariff liberalization and outward-oriented policies. These marked the transition of these countries from agricultural to increasingly manufacturing countries. The importance of production network-related trade for ASEAN countries makes the rising incidence of non-tariff measures even more noteworthy. On one hand, non-tariff measures can signal the quality of products of processes, thus stimulating demand. On the other hand, non-tariff measures can act as disguised protectionist measures. Are the ASEAN non-tariff measures motivated by a desire to protect industries which are adversely affected by recent structural changes? Or are these non- tariff measures promoting and enhancing these countries’ participation in production networks? Using a qualitative approach, this paper examines the trends in the imposition of non- tariff measures vis-à-vis the characteristics of the ASEAN Members. The trends in this region provide evidence for both scenarios. That the rising incidence of non-tariff measures coincided with increased participation in production networks supports the argument that these measures promote trade by signaling quality. However, the incidence of non-tariff measures in declining industries suggest that protectionist motives may be at play. These results imply that the idea that non-tariff measures need to be harmonized and even eliminated to promote trade needs to be reexamined.
作为区域一体化措施的一部分,东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)成员国承诺到2015年消除非关税壁垒并协调非关税措施。尽管如此,该区域的非关税措施仍在稳步增加。本文在20世纪90年代该地区发生的结构变化的背景下研究了东盟非关税措施的发生率。20世纪90年代是关税自由化和外向型政策的时期。这些标志着这些国家从农业国家向日益增长的制造业国家的转变。与生产网络相关的贸易对东盟国家的重要性使得非关税措施的发生率上升更加值得注意。一方面,非关税措施可以表明产品或过程的质量,从而刺激需求。另一方面,非关税措施也可能成为变相的保护主义措施。东盟的非关税措施是否出于保护受最近结构变化不利影响的工业的愿望?还是这些非关税措施促进和加强了这些国家对生产网络的参与?本文采用定性分析的方法,考察了东盟成员国在实施非关税措施方面的趋势-à-vis。该地区的趋势为这两种情况提供了证据。非关税措施的增加与参与生产网络的增加同时发生,这支持了这些措施通过表明质量来促进贸易的论点。然而,非关税措施在衰退行业的发生率表明,保护主义动机可能在起作用。这些结果意味着需要重新审查需要协调甚至取消非关税措施以促进贸易的想法。
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引用次数: 0
Political Institutions and the Incidence of FDI in South Asia 南亚的政治制度和外国直接投资的发生率
Pub Date : 2017-03-30 DOI: 10.22547/BER/9.1.2
M. Shah
This paper attempts to empirically analyse the potential effect of political institutions on the inward foreign direct investments (FDIs) in five developing nations from South Asia, namely, Pakistan, Nepal, India, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. Making FDI implies committing resources for a long time in the host economy. Therefore, availability of stable political institutions is one of the essential foreign location requisites for the multinationals’ operations. Analysing annual aggregate data for years 1970 to 2009 through random effect panel estimation technique it is found that institutional indicators which count the most for foreign direct investors in SAARC nations are democratic accountability, absence of military and religious influences in politics, corruption-free and honest public office holders, and efficient bureaucracy. The results clearly indicate that changes in institutional variables do not make a significant positive impact on inward FDIs when aggregate measures of political institutional efficiency are employed. However, when these collective measures are disaggregated to a more clearly focused set of factors, their increased effectiveness significantly leads to additional FDI inflows. These results suggest that the findings are robust to alternative proxies of institutional strength, but sensitive to using catch-all composite measures of institutions
本文试图实证分析政治制度对南亚五个发展中国家(巴基斯坦、尼泊尔、印度、孟加拉国和斯里兰卡)外来直接投资的潜在影响。对外直接投资意味着在东道国经济中长期投入资源。因此,拥有稳定的政治机构是跨国公司在国外开展业务的必要条件之一。通过随机效应面板估计技术分析1970年至2009年的年度汇总数据发现,对南盟国家的外国直接投资者来说,最重要的制度指标是民主问责制、政治中没有军事和宗教影响、无腐败和诚实的公职人员以及高效的官僚机构。结果清楚地表明,当采用政治制度效率的综合衡量标准时,制度变量的变化不会对内向外国直接投资产生显著的积极影响。然而,当这些集体措施被分解成一组更明确的重点因素时,其效率的提高将大大导致外国直接投资流入的增加。这些结果表明,这些发现对于制度实力的替代代理是稳健的,但对于使用全面的制度综合衡量指标是敏感的
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引用次数: 14
Current State of Islamic Economics and Direction of Future Research 伊斯兰经济学现状与未来研究方向
Pub Date : 2017-03-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2942109
Muhammad Khan
Islamic economics as a subject has deep historical roots. However, the present body of knowledge known as ‘Islamic economics’ originated in the second half of the last century. During the last four decades, a lot of literature has appeared. However, most of it can be accepted as ‘Islamic economic teachings’ and not ‘Islamic economics’ as a social science. Based on this literature a beginning can be made in developing Islamic economics as a social science. The paper presents a tentative proposal for doing this.
伊斯兰经济学作为一门学科有着深厚的历史渊源。然而,目前被称为“伊斯兰经济学”的知识体系起源于上个世纪下半叶。在过去的四十年里,出现了大量的文献。然而,其中大部分可以被接受为“伊斯兰经济学教义”,而不是作为一门社会科学的“伊斯兰经济学”。在这些文献的基础上,可以开始将伊斯兰经济学发展为一门社会科学。本文对此提出了一个尝试性的建议。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
AARN: Economic Systems (Sub-Topic)
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