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Engaging Supply Chains in Climate Change 让供应链参与气候变化
Pub Date : 2012-10-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1943690
Chonnikarn Jira, M. Toffel
Suppliers are increasingly being asked to share information about their vulnerability to climate change and their strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Their responses vary widely. We theorize and empirically identify several factors associated with suppliers being especially willing to share this information with buyers, focusing on attributes of the buyers seeking this information and of the suppliers being asked to provide it. We test our hypotheses using data from the Carbon Disclosure Project's Supply Chain Program, a collaboration of multinational corporations requesting such information from thousands of suppliers in 49 countries. We find evidence that suppliers are more likely to share this information when requests from buyers are more prevalent, when buyers appear committed to using the information, when suppliers belong to more profitable industries, and when suppliers are located in countries with greenhouse gas regulations. We find evidence that these factors also influence the comprehensiveness of the information suppliers share and their willingness to share the information publicly.
越来越多的供应商被要求分享他们对气候变化的脆弱性以及他们减少温室气体排放的战略的信息。他们的反应大相径庭。我们从理论上和经验上确定了与供应商特别愿意与买家分享这些信息相关的几个因素,重点关注寻求这些信息的买家和被要求提供这些信息的供应商的属性。我们使用碳披露项目供应链项目的数据来检验我们的假设,该项目是跨国公司的合作项目,要求49个国家的数千家供应商提供此类信息。我们发现有证据表明,当买家的要求更普遍、买家似乎致力于使用这些信息、供应商属于更有利可图的行业、以及供应商位于有温室气体法规的国家时,供应商更有可能分享这些信息。我们发现证据表明,这些因素也会影响信息提供者共享的全面性和公开共享信息的意愿。
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引用次数: 166
Uniter or Divider? Religion and Social Cooperation: Evidence from Indonesia 团结还是分裂?宗教与社会合作:来自印度尼西亚的证据
Pub Date : 2012-10-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1991484
Arya B. Gaduh
This study investigates how religion influences particularized and generalized trust as well as inter-group discrimination and tolerance in contemporary Indonesia. I combine the individual-level data of the latest round of the Indonesian Family Life Survey with the national census microdata and other nationally representative datasets to examine two sources of variation through which religion may influence these attitudes: individual religiosity and the community’s religious composition. Religiosity is positively associated with particularized trust and in-group preference, and negatively with religious tolerance. The strengths of the associations between measures of in-group preference (including political preference) and individual religiosity are much stronger than those from gender, education, or per-capita expenditure; they are also strongest among Muslims, the dominant majority in Indonesia. These associations are robust to various identification strategies. Using selection on observables to benchmark the potential bias from selection on unobservables, I find that the selection on unobservables needs to be multiple times that on observables to explain away these results. Meanwhile, consistent with previous empirical studies in economics and political science in the United States and other countries, I find in Indonesia that individuals are more cooperative and trusting of their community members in more religiously homogeneous communities. At the same time – and in support of the optimal contact hypothesis of Allport (1954) – individuals in more homogeneous communities exhibit more in-group trust and are less tolerant of members of the religious out-groups. I also find that the inclusion of segregation measures can substantially affect the size of the diversity coefficients. Conditional on diversity, the segregation coefficients are significant and their signs are opposite those of religious diversity for some of the outcomes.
本研究探讨宗教如何影响当代印尼的特定和普遍信任,以及群体间的歧视和宽容。我将最新一轮印度尼西亚家庭生活调查的个人层面数据与全国人口普查微数据和其他具有全国代表性的数据集结合起来,研究宗教可能影响这些态度的两个差异来源:个人的宗教虔诚度和社区的宗教构成。宗教虔诚度与特定信任和群体内偏好呈正相关,与宗教宽容负相关。群体内偏好(包括政治偏好)和个人宗教信仰之间的关联强度比性别、教育或人均支出之间的关联强度要强得多;他们在穆斯林中也表现得最为强烈,穆斯林在印尼占主导地位。这些关联对于各种识别策略都是稳健的。使用可观察对象的选择来衡量不可观察对象选择的潜在偏差,我发现不可观察对象的选择需要是可观察对象的数倍才能解释这些结果。与此同时,与之前美国和其他国家在经济学和政治学方面的实证研究一致,我发现在印度尼西亚,在宗教同质性更强的社区中,个人对社区成员的合作和信任程度更高。与此同时,为了支持Allport(1954)的最优接触假设,同质化程度更高的社区中的个人表现出更多的群体内信任,对宗教外群体成员的宽容程度更低。我还发现,隔离措施的纳入可以大大影响多样性系数的大小。在多样性条件下,隔离系数显著,且在某些结果上与宗教多样性相反。
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引用次数: 6
Information (in) Chains: Information Transmission Through Production Chains 信息链:信息通过生产链传递
Pub Date : 2012-08-07 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2126621
W. Areosa, M. Areosa
We study the transmission of information in a model with a vertical input-output structure and dispersed information. Firms observe input prices with noise that endogenize the precision of information that is public within a stage but not across stages. In contrast to the case with an exogenous and overall public signal, our main result is that agents may find it optimal to rely less on public information along the chain. A direct implication is that, while information precision remains unchanged with exogenous public signals (information chains), it may decrease along the chain when semi-public signals are endogenous (information in chains).
我们研究了一个垂直投入产出结构和分散信息的模型中的信息传递。企业观察投入价格时带有噪声,这种噪声内化了某一阶段内公开而非跨阶段公开的信息的准确性。与外生和整体公共信号的情况相反,我们的主要结果是,代理可能会发现减少对链上公共信息的依赖是最优的。一个直接的含义是,虽然外源性公开信号(信息链)的信息精度保持不变,但当半公开信号(链中的信息)为内源性时,信息精度可能沿链下降。
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引用次数: 6
The Roommate Problem Is More Stable than You Think 室友问题比你想象的更稳定
Pub Date : 2012-08-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1991460
P. Chiappori, Alfred Galichon, B. Salanié
Stable matchings may fail to exist in the roommate matching problem, both when utility is transferable and when it is not. We show that when utility is transferable, the existence of a stable matching is restored when there is an even number of individuals of indistinguishable characteristics and tastes (types). As a consequence, when the number of individuals of any given type is large enough there always exist quasi-stable matchings: a stable matching can be restored with minimal policy intervention. Our results build on an analogy with an associated bipartite problem; it follows that the tools crafted in empirical studies of the marriage problem can easily be adapted to the roommate problem.
无论效用可转移还是不可转移,在室友匹配问题中都可能不存在稳定的匹配。我们表明,当效用可转移时,当存在偶数个具有不可区分的特征和品味(类型)的个体时,稳定匹配的存在就会恢复。因此,当任何给定类型的个体数量足够大时,总会存在准稳定匹配:稳定匹配可以通过最小的政策干预恢复。我们的结果建立在与相关的二部问题的类比上;因此,在婚姻问题的实证研究中精心设计的工具可以很容易地适用于室友问题。
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引用次数: 34
Analytics of Information and Empirics of the Information Economy 信息分析与信息经济经验
Pub Date : 2012-06-27 DOI: 10.1080/01972243.1986.9960035
N. Karunaratne
The paper reviews some of the salient analytical contributions of information microeconomics or market uncertainty. It contrasts the prolific growth in the theory of micro information economics with relative neglect of empirical macro information economics or technological change. The explosion of transborder data flows and the collapse of natural monopolies in telecommunications has led to the emergence of economies in the grip of an information technology revolution. This paper presents an algorithm to measure the structure and size of the information economy in a cost-effective manner. The paper concludes that the generation of data for the analysis of the emergent information economy will facilitate the formulation of appropriate strategies to foster the development information economy.
本文回顾了信息微观经济学或市场不确定性的一些显著分析贡献。它将微观信息经济学理论的蓬勃发展与经验宏观信息经济学或技术变革的相对忽视进行了对比。跨境数据流的爆炸式增长,以及电信业自然垄断的崩溃,导致了受信息技术革命控制的经济体的出现。本文提出了一种具有成本效益的衡量信息经济结构和规模的算法。本文的结论是,新兴信息经济分析数据的生成将有助于制定适当的战略,促进信息经济的发展。
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引用次数: 7
Permanent Earnings vs. Reported Earnings: Does the Average Difference Approximate Zero? 永久收益与报告收益:平均差异接近于零吗?
Pub Date : 2012-06-20 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1999363
Christos A. Grambovas, Juan M. García Lara, James A. Ohlson, M. Walker
This paper evaluates the hypothesis that the difference between reported earnings and permanent earnings approximates zero, on average. We measure a firm’s permanent earnings using its stock price, and the short term interest rate determines the permanent earnings to price relation. The hypothesis corresponds to the idea that a firm’s capitalized reported earnings minus the stock price equals some “noise” which on average approximates zero. In valuation terms, the hypothesis depends on growth and risk cancelling each other, on average; our modeling does not depend on, or imply, risk-neutrality. US data supports the hypothesis: reported earnings exceed permanent earnings in about half of all cases. However, the proportion of pluses vs. minuses can deviate materially from 50% in any year, and there is marked time-series correlation. The “zero average” holds only because we evaluate several decades of data. The permanent earnings hypothesis will not hold if the accounting approximates fair value accounting. Such accounting provides the underpinnings for Hick's concept of economic earnings, and it differs radically from traditional GAAP accounting. Per theory, economic earnings should exceed permanent earnings, on average. We consider this angle to the 50-50 proposition by examining financial firms. Earnings for such firms should to some extent tilt towards Hick’s earnings concept. The data supports the hypothesis: reported earnings now exceed the permanent earnings significantly more often than 50% of the time. Thus the benchmark permanent earnings hypothesis, the “fifty-fifty” proposition, applies only for industrial (non-financial) firms.
本文评估了报告收益和永久收益之间的差异平均接近于零的假设。我们用股票价格来衡量企业的永久收益,短期利率决定了永久收益与价格的关系。该假设对应于这样一种观点,即公司报告的资本化收益减去股价等于一些平均接近于零的“噪音”。在估值方面,该假设取决于平均而言增长和风险相互抵消;我们的建模并不依赖或暗示风险中立。美国的数据支持这一假设:在大约一半的案例中,报告收益超过了永久收益。然而,正负的比例在任何年份都可能偏离50%,并且存在明显的时间序列相关性。“零平均值”之所以成立,只是因为我们评估了几十年的数据。如果会计近似公允价值会计,永久盈余假设将不成立。这种会计为希克的经济收益概念提供了基础,它与传统的公认会计准则截然不同。根据理论,平均而言,经济收益应该超过永久收益。我们通过检查金融公司来考虑这个50-50命题的角度。这类公司的盈利应该在一定程度上倾向于希克的盈利概念。数据支持这一假设:现在报告的收益远远超过永久收益的频率超过50%。因此,基准的永久盈利假设,即“五五开”命题,只适用于工业(非金融)公司。
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引用次数: 4
To Dodd-Frank: Adapt or Engender More JPM-Like Losses 致多德-弗兰克法案:要么适应,要么造成更多类似摩根大通的损失
Pub Date : 2012-05-20 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2078460
Matthew Schoenfeld
JPM's trade loss offers valuable clues and confirms past experience.
摩根大通的交易损失提供了宝贵的线索,并证实了过去的经验。
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引用次数: 0
Theoretical Modeling of AIDS Infections and Disease Persistence 艾滋病感染和疾病持续性的理论建模
Pub Date : 2012-04-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2042556
Issam A.W. Mohamed
We argue in this paper that it is more feasible to use binary variables and logistic regression analyses in the assessments of AIDS incidents o or other similar researches in social science. Thus, even in measuring disease persistence we can reach solid and comprehensive results. Statistical methods consider the analysis of relationships between measurements made on groups of subjects or objects. The measurements might be the heights or weights and the ages of boys and girls, or the yield of plants under various growing conditions. Additionally, we use the terms response, outcome or dependent variable for measurements that are free to vary in response to other variables called explanatory variables or predictor variables or independent variables although this last term can sometimes be misleading. Responses are regarded as random variables. Explanatory variables are usually treated as though they are non- random measurements or observations. They can be fixed by the experimental design, responses and explanatory variables.
在本文中,我们认为在评估艾滋病事件或其他类似的社会科学研究中,使用二元变量和逻辑回归分析更为可行。因此,即使在衡量疾病持续性方面,我们也能得到可靠和全面的结果。统计方法考虑对一组主体或客体的测量结果之间的关系进行分析。测量结果可能是男孩和女孩的身高、体重和年龄,或者是植物在不同生长条件下的产量。此外,我们使用响应、结果或因变量来表示随其他变量(解释变量、预测变量或自变量)而自由变化的测量结果,尽管最后一个术语有时会产生误导。响应被视为随机变量。解释变量通常被视为非随机测量或观察。它们可以通过实验设计、反应和解释变量来固定。
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引用次数: 0
The Discovery of Price Responsiveness – A Survey of Experiments Involving Dynamic Pricing of Electricity 价格响应性的发现——电力动态定价实验综述
Pub Date : 2012-03-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2020587
A. Faruqui, J. Palmer
This paper surveys the results from 126 pricing experiments with dynamic pricing and time-of-use pricing of electricity. These experiments have been carried out across three continents at various times during the past decade. Data from 74 of these experiments are sufficiently complete to allow us to identify the relationship between the strength of the peak to off-peak price ratio and the associated reduction in peak demand or demand response. An “arc of price responsiveness” emerges from our analysis, showing that the amount of demand response rises with the price ratio but at a decreasing rate. We also find that about half of the variation in demand response can be explained by variations in the price ratio. This is a remarkable result, since the experiments vary in many other respects – climate, time period, the length of the peak period, the history of pricing innovation in each area, and the manner in which the dynamic pricing designs were marketed to customers. We also find that enabling technologies such as in-home displays, energy orbs and programmable and communicating thermostats boost the amount of demand response. The results of the paper support the case for widespread rollout of dynamic pricing and time-of-use pricing.
本文对126个电力动态定价和分时电价的定价实验结果进行了分析。这些实验在过去十年的不同时间在三大洲进行。其中74个实验的数据足够完整,使我们能够确定高峰与非高峰价格比率的强度与高峰需求或需求响应的相关减少之间的关系。我们的分析中出现了一条“价格响应弧线”,表明需求响应的数量随着价格比率的上升而上升,但以下降的速度上升。我们还发现,大约一半的需求响应变化可以用价格比率的变化来解释。这是一个显著的结果,因为实验在许多其他方面都有所不同——气候、时间段、高峰时期的长度、每个地区的定价创新历史,以及向客户推销动态定价设计的方式。我们还发现,诸如家用显示器、能量球、可编程和通信恒温器等使能技术提高了需求响应的数量。本文的结果支持了动态定价和使用时间定价的广泛推广。
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引用次数: 72
Firm Types and Managerial Capital: Findings from Private Bond Contracts 公司类型与管理资本:来自私人债券合同的研究结果
Pub Date : 2012-03-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2018995
Laurent Bouvier, T. Nisar
Field experiments have variously discovered that modern management practices can enhance productivity, but not all firms adopt such practices. In this study, we examine private bond contracts used by the Public House operators to explore if such variations are due to differences in the types of the firms. Asset-backed bonds entail operating covenants restricting management actions in areas such as acquisitions and disposals. We find that managed firms that provide greater flexibility in managing their operations are more responsive to these covenants then the tenanted firms. We also show that middle-level management practices are strongly associated with improved establishment performance.
实地实验不同地发现现代管理实践可以提高生产率,但并非所有公司都采用这种做法。在本研究中,我们研究了公共场所经营者使用的私人债券合同,以探索这种变化是否由于公司类型的差异。资产支持债券需要经营契约,限制收购和处置等领域的管理行为。我们发现,在管理运营方面提供更大灵活性的托管公司比租赁公司更能响应这些契约。我们还表明,中层管理实践与提高企业绩效密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
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Econometrics: Applied Econometric Modeling in Microeconomics eJournal
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