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Trade Barrier Elimination, Economics of Scale and Market Competition: Computable General Equilibrium Model 贸易壁垒消除、规模经济与市场竞争:可计算一般均衡模型
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I2.5279
W. Widyastutik, Suahasil Nazara, R. Oktaviani, Djamester A. Simarmata
The ASEAN and its dialogue partner countries agreed to reduce trade barriers in the services sector, one of which is sea transport services. The purpose of this study is to estimate the equivalent tax of non-tariff barriers in the sea transport services. Besides that, this study is going to analyze the economic impacts of the regulatory barriers elimination in the sea transport services of ASEAN and its dialogue partner countries. Using the gravity model, it can be identified that trade barriers of sea transport services sector of ASEAN and dialogue partner countries are still relatively high. Additionally, by adopting IC-IRTS model in Global CGE Model (GTAP), the simulation results show consistent results with the theory of pro-competitive effects. The greater gain from trade is obtained in the CGE model assuming IC-IRTS compared to PC-CRTS. China gains a greater benefit that is indicated by the highest increase in welfare and GDP followed by Japan and Australia DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i2.5279
东盟及其对话伙伴国同意减少服务业的贸易壁垒,其中之一就是海运服务。本研究的目的是估计在海上运输服务的非关税壁垒的等效税。除此之外,本研究还将分析东盟及其对话伙伴国海上运输服务中消除监管壁垒的经济影响。利用重力模型可以发现,东盟与对话伙伴国海运服务业的贸易壁垒仍然相对较高。此外,通过采用全球CGE模型(GTAP)中的IC-IRTS模型,模拟结果与促进竞争效应理论一致。与PC-CRTS相比,假设IC-IRTS的CGE模型获得了更大的贸易收益。中国获得了更大的利益,福利和GDP的增长最高,其次是日本和澳大利亚DOI: 10.15408/ shij .v6i2.5279
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引用次数: 1
Interest Rate Pass-Through: the Case of Indonesia 利率传递:以印尼为例
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I2.4819
Chandra Utama, Rizqianisa Septiani
This paper examines the direct and indirect interest rate pass-trough (IRPT) from policy interest rate (BI rate) to banks’ retail interest rates in Indonesia during a full-fledged inflation-targeting regime. We use montly data of policy interest rate (BI rate) as well as interest rates for interbank money market (interbank), deposit, and loan during July 2005 to May 2015. We employ Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) to find the significant of IRPT and the speed of adjustment process of IRPT. The study suggests the existence of direct and indirect IRPT in Indonesia. The change of policy rate is transmitted quicker in the direct channel compared to the indirect channel. However, indirect channel is more stable than the direct channel. We conclude that the direct and indirect IRPT are complementary. DOI:  10.15408/sjie.v6i2.4819
本文研究了在全面通胀目标制度下,印尼从政策利率(BI利率)到银行零售利率的直接和间接利率通过槽(IRPT)。我们使用了2005年7月至2015年5月期间的政策利率(BI利率)以及银行间货币市场(银行间)、存款和贷款利率的月度数据。我们采用误差校正机制(ECM)和普通最小二乘法(OLS)来寻找IRPT的显著性和IRPT调整过程的速度。该研究表明,印度尼西亚存在直接和间接的IRPT。与间接信道相比,策略速率的改变在直接信道中传输得更快。然而,间接通道比直接通道更稳定。我们得出的结论是,直接和间接IRPT是相辅相成的。DOI:10.15408/jie.v6i2.4819
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引用次数: 0
National and Organizational Culture, Performance Evaluation and Trust: Evidence from Multinational Company Subsidiary in Indonesia 民族与组织文化、绩效评估与信任——来自印尼跨国公司子公司的证据
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i2.4733
Unggul Purwohedi
The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of national and organizational culture on the relationship between accounting and trust in a subsidiary of a Western Multi-National Company (MNC) in Indonesia. This study use a qualitative field study of one French MNC subsidiary and interview four expatriate directors, nine Indonesian managers and 10 Indonesian employees. Key themes were identified with the assistance of NVivo software. In this study, accounting, through formal performance evaluation, contributes to trust building between supervisors and their subordinates. Formal performance evaluation through transparent and objective evaluation increases trust in the supervisor. On the other hand, informal performance evaluation tends to decrease trustful behaviour due to secrecy in the evaluation process.  It appears that Indonesian national culture does influence organizational culture preference in the local staff. Individuals share national culture as a result of values developed from family, religion, education, and experience. DOI:  10.15408/sjie.v6i2.4733
本研究的目的是调查国家和组织文化对印度尼西亚一家西方跨国公司(MNC)子公司会计与信任关系的影响。本研究对一家法国跨国公司子公司进行了定性的实地研究,并采访了四名外籍董事、九名印尼经理和十名印尼员工。在NVivo软件的协助下确定了关键主题。在本研究中,会计通过正式的绩效评估,有助于建立主管及其下属之间的信任。通过透明和客观的评估进行正式的绩效评估可以增加对主管的信任。另一方面,由于评估过程中的保密性,非正式绩效评估往往会减少信任行为。印尼民族文化似乎确实影响了当地员工的组织文化偏好。由于家庭、宗教、教育和经验形成的价值观,个人共享民族文化。DOI:10.15408/jie.v6i2.4733
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引用次数: 0
SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF MULTIPLIERS IN KALIMANTAN ISLAND ECONOMY: AN INTER-REGIONAL INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS 加里曼丹岛经济乘数空间分布:区域间投入产出分析
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I2.4736
M. Muchdie
This paper provides the results of analysis on total multipliers and flow-on, sectoral-specific, and spatial-specific multipliers as important indicators for evaluating, planning and controlling regional development in Kalimantan Island economy. The model employed was Inter-Island Input-Output Model developed using new hybrid procedures with special attention on Island economy. The results show that firstly, the important sectors of Kalimantan Island economy could be based on total multipliers and flow-on effects of output, income and employment. Secondly, important economic sectors could be based on sector-specific multipliers effects; multipliers that occurred in own sector and other sectors. Thirdly, important economic sectors could be based on spatial-specific multipliers; multipliers that occurred both in own region and other regions. Finally, important economic sectors could be based on spatial distribution of flow-on; flow-on effects that occurred in own region as well as in other regions. DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i2.4736
本文将总乘数和流动乘数、部门乘数和空间乘数作为加里曼丹岛经济区域发展评价、规划和控制的重要指标进行了分析。所采用的模型是岛屿间投入产出模型,采用新的混合程序,特别注意岛屿经济。结果表明:首先,加里曼丹岛经济的重要部门可以根据总产出、收入和就业的乘数和流动效应来划分。其次,重要的经济部门可以基于特定部门的乘数效应;在本部门和其他部门发生的乘数。第三,重要的经济部门可以基于特定空间的乘数;在自己的地区和其他地区都发生了乘数效应。最后,重要经济部门可以基于流量的空间分布;流动效应发生在本地区和其他地区。DOI: 10.15408 / sjie.v6i2.4736
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引用次数: 2
Exchange Rate and International Trade: Case From Indonesian Manufacturing Sector 汇率与国际贸易:以印尼制造业为例
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I2.5210
Anung Yoga Anindhita
Exchange rate fluctuation in Floating Exchange Rate Regime is considered to Exchange rate fluctuation in Floating Exchange Rate Regime is considered to have impacts on the international trade through its adjustment to the price and its volatility to the trade risk. This paper is aimed at estimating those impacts on the international trade of manufacturing sector in Indonesia for period 2007 to 2014. To conduct estimation, it uses multiple regression analysis on two models: First, the import of raw-and-auxiliary materials; Second, the export of manufacturing sector. The results show that the exchange rate impacts both work significantly on the import of raw-and-auxiliary materials. The finding implies that, through the import of raw-and-auxiliary materials, manufacturing sector is very susceptible to the shock caused by exchange rate changes. Meanwhile, the export of manufacturing sector is not able to take advantage of the depreciation of the exchange rate due to the lack of competitiveness. DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i2.5210
浮动汇率制度下的汇率波动是指浮动汇率制度中的汇率波动通过对价格的调整及其对贸易风险的波动而对国际贸易产生影响。本文旨在估算2007-2014年期间对印度尼西亚制造业国际贸易的影响。为了进行估算,它对两个模型进行了多元回归分析:一是原辅材料的进口;第二,制造业出口。结果表明,汇率对两项工作的原辅材料进口都有显著影响。研究结果表明,通过原辅材料的进口,制造业很容易受到汇率变化带来的冲击。同时,由于缺乏竞争力,制造业的出口无法利用汇率贬值。DOI:10.15408/jie.v6i2.5210
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引用次数: 2
Measuring Systemic Risk of Banking in Indonesia: Conditional Value at Risk Model Application 印尼银行业系统性风险的衡量:条件风险价值模型的应用
Pub Date : 2017-06-30 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I2.5296
Harjum Muharam, Erwin Erwin
Systemic risk is a risk of collapse of the financial system that would cause the financial system is not functioning properly. Measurement of systemic risk in the financial institutions, especially banks are crucial, because banks are highly vulnerable to financial crisis. In this study, to estimate the conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR) used quantile regression. Samples in this study of 9 banks have total assets of the largest in Indonesia. Testing the correlation between VaR and ΔCoVaR in this study using Spearman correlation and Kendall's Tau. There are five banks that have a significant correlation between VaR and ΔCoVaR, meanwhile four others banks in the sample did not have a significant correlation. However, the correlation coefficient is below 0.50, which indicates that there is a weak correlation between VaR and CoVaR. DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i2.5296
系统性风险是指金融系统崩溃的风险,这将导致金融系统无法正常运行。衡量金融机构,尤其是银行的系统性风险至关重要,因为银行极易受到金融危机的影响。在本研究中,为了估计条件风险值(CoVaR),使用了分位数回归。本研究样本中有9家银行的总资产为印尼最大。在本研究中,使用Spearman相关性和Kendall Tau检验VaR和ΔCoVaR之间的相关性。有五家银行的VaR和ΔCoVaR之间存在显著相关性,而样本中的其他四家银行没有显著相关性。然而,相关系数低于0.50,这表明VaR和CoVaR之间的相关性较弱。DOI:10.15408/jie.v6i2.5296
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引用次数: 6
Merger and Industrial Acceleration: Study at Indonesian Islamic Banking Industry 并购与产业加速:印尼伊斯兰银行业研究
Pub Date : 2017-02-15 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I1.4728
Kindy Miftah, Hendro Wibowo
The purpose of this research tries to feed the alternatives of merger between Islamic banks which becomes a form of recommendation to optimize the merger result, so it will contribute to the development of Indonesia's banking sector in particular. Methodolgy of this study is using comparison technique utilize result of calculation valuation based on valuation theory in general with method discounted cash flaw (DCF). Valuation data processing using data past performance sharia banks is to plan future financial performance. Results of valuation will be conducted both with individual banks that will be merged and alternative merger determined. These findings implied from various possibility alternative mergers between sharia banks, there are 5 alternatives that are feasible considering the internal aspect such as tendency shareholder and condition sharia bank to be merged related to internal interest and external aspect namely scale of assets from merger banks and probability success from merger process.DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i1.4728
本研究的目的是试图为伊斯兰银行之间的合并提供替代方案,这成为一种优化合并结果的建议形式,因此它将有助于印度尼西亚银行业的发展。本研究的方法是采用比较技术,利用基于一般估值理论的计算估值结果和贴现现金缺陷法(DCF)。估值数据处理利用过去的业绩数据来规划银行未来的财务业绩。评估结果将与拟合并的个别银行进行,并确定替代合并。这些发现暗示,从伊斯兰银行之间各种可能的替代合并中,考虑到内部方面如股东倾向和伊斯兰银行被合并的条件,内部利益和外部方面即合并银行的资产规模和合并过程的成功概率,有5种可行的替代方案。DOI: 10.15408 / sjie.v6i1.4728
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引用次数: 23
Flypaper Effect of Regional Expenditure and IT's Impact to Regional Inequality in Indonesia 传单区域支出效应及其对印尼区域不平等的影响
Pub Date : 2017-02-15 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I1.3293
F. Amalia
The primary objective of decentralization is expected to narrow down the regional gap among regions in Indonesia, which is considered as the result of a centralized development. The objective of this research is to identify the flypaper effect of regional expenditures of regency and city governments in Indonesia from 2008 until 2013. Another aim of this study is to provide an empirical evidence that the influence of regional expenditures of regencies and cities in Indonesia from 2009 until 2013 over the regional gap in Eastern and Western provinces of Indonesia. As such, it is necessary to use multiple regression analysis to examine the data. The findings of this study explicate that own-source revenue and general allocation fund significantly affect regional expenditures and a regional gap in the Eastern and Western provinces of Indonesia. Thus, it can be concluded that the dependency level of the regions upon a number of funds transferred from central government is still relatively high. In other words, the flypaper effect occurs in those regions. DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i1.3293
权力下放的主要目标预期是缩小印度尼西亚各区域之间的区域差距,这种差距被认为是集中发展的结果。本研究的目的是确定2008年至2013年印度尼西亚摄政和市政府区域支出的蝇纸效应。本研究的另一个目的是提供经验证据,证明2009年至2013年印度尼西亚县市区域支出对印度尼西亚东部和西部省份区域差距的影响。因此,有必要使用多元回归分析来检查数据。本研究的结果表明,在印尼东、西部省份,自有收入和一般拨款显著影响区域支出和区域差距。由此可见,各地区对中央财政调拨的多项资金的依赖程度仍然较高。换句话说,捕蝇纸效应发生在这些地区。DOI: 10.15408 / sjie.v6i1.3293
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引用次数: 7
Public Debt and Economic Growth in The SouthEast Asian Countries 东南亚国家的公共债务与经济增长
Pub Date : 2017-02-15 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I1.4779
M. G. Wibowo
This study examines the relationship between public debt and economic growth in eight countries in Southeast Asia that are members of ASEAN. Through the study will contribute reference for each country to establish their macroeconomic policies. Using 10 years of data from 2006 to 2015 and analysis tools Autoregression Vector (VAR), the study attempts to test the theory of finance led growth. The main finding of this study is that public debt is actually able to increase the economic growth of a country significantly, although it takes a few years of its existence. This finding supports several previous studies that demonstrate the important role of government debt to the economy of a country. DOI:  10.15408/sjie.v6i1.4779
本研究考察了东南亚8个东盟成员国的公共债务与经济增长之间的关系。通过这项研究将为各国制定宏观经济政策提供参考。利用2006 - 2015年10年的数据,运用自回归向量(VAR)分析工具,对金融带动增长理论进行检验。这项研究的主要发现是,公共债务实际上能够显著提高一个国家的经济增长,尽管这需要几年的时间。这一发现支持了之前的几项研究,这些研究证明了政府债务对一个国家经济的重要作用。DOI: 10.15408 / sjie.v6i1.4779
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引用次数: 6
Microfinance Institutions and Empowerment of Women in Rural Area: A Case in Tangerang 小额信贷机构与农村妇女赋权:以坦格朗为例
Pub Date : 2017-02-15 DOI: 10.15408/SJIE.V6I1.4637
Mukhaer Pakkana, Lincolin Arsyad
The purpose of this study is to discover the performance of the financial independence, the members’ welfare, and accessibility of microfinance institutions to the rural areas in the Tangerang District. To measure the financial dependence is using financial ratios. Measuring levels of performance of the members’ welfare and accessibility using Chi-Square. The results found that, first, the level of welfare of members. The coastal areas have a higher loan value than other regions. Expenditure and income of members, industrial areas have high levels of spending and revenues higher than other regions. The performance of a range to members based on a group basis. Second, the performance of financial independence, categorized as "Healthy". The coastal area is 86.40, the area around the industrial area is 85.71 and agricultural area is 83,73. Third, the level of non-performing loans, the coastal area is 0.03, the industrial area is 0,26, and the agricultural area is 0.19. DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v6i1.4637
本研究旨在探讨坦格朗地区农村小额信贷机构的财务独立性、成员福利及可及性之绩效。使用财务比率来衡量财务依赖性。使用卡方法测量成员福利和可及性的绩效水平。结果发现,第一,会员的福利水平。沿海地区的贷款价值高于其他地区。成员的支出和收入,工业地区的支出和收入水平高于其他地区。基于组的范围对成员的性能。第二,财务独立的表现,归类为“健康”。沿海地区86.40分,工业区周边地区85.71分,农业区83,73分。三是不良贷款水平,沿海地区为0.03,工业区为0.26,农业区为0.19。DOI: 10.15408 / sjie.v6i1.4637
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引用次数: 1
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Signifikan
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